TOJ’s Morning Tea: Why Zach Wilson and the New York Jets Don’t Care That You Wanted Another QB

I’ve been on a short Twitter detox for the last 10 days or so, in large part because the site really lends itself to hot takes not rooted in much objectivity. It’s the gift and the curse, to quote Jay Z’s 2nd worst album, because while it allows you to connect with some really cool people it ALSO gives runway to folks who just love to get their troll on. Some of the trolling is good-natured (shout-out to JJTank, so good at trolling that our own SZ wondered if that was our own Michael Meegan’s burner, for his Andrew Luck tweet that was shared with me), and some of the trolling is exactly why you turned off Skip Bayless after the 911th time he said someone other than LeBron was the best player on the planet. Balanced, as all things should be, right?

Continue reading “TOJ’s Morning Tea: Why Zach Wilson and the New York Jets Don’t Care That You Wanted Another QB”

TOJ Roundtable: Who is One FA You’d Love to Sign This Offseason?

Your favorite TOJ writers suggest one free agency signing next offseason.

The TOJ Crew comes back around the roundtable to discuss the Jets topic of the week. This week we pick our dream free agent pick up for the 2022 offseason

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TOJ Roundtable: Positives and Negatives from Week 1

The TOJ Writers analyze one positive and one negative from last week’s Panthers’ game.

In this installment of the TOJ Roundtable, the TOJ writers and hosts offer one positive and one negative takeaway from the Jets’ Week 1 performance against the Carolina Panthers.

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TOJ 1st & 10: 10 Things To Watch for the New York Jets (Week 1)

DA Osorio gives 10 thoughts heading into week 1 of the 2021 season.

That’s right, my boys: week one is upon us, and I’m here to pinch-hit for the good brother Stephen Russo for this week’s 1st & 10. By the time the Jets kick off their season in Charlotte, North Carolina, it would’ve been 252 days since Adam Gase patrolled the sidelines and Sam Darnold was throwing passes into triple coverage. That era? Gone. It is now Bobby Duran Saleh and Zach Morris Wilson’s turn to right this ship and gets the Jets back to the playoffs for the first time since 2010. Here are 10 things I’ll be looking for.

1. How good CJ Mosley looks:
He was the best defensive player for the Jets the last time he was on the field and he is the unquestioned leader of this unit. If Mosley is the same player he was versus Buffalo (9 tackles and a pick-six), it makes the Jets defense that much more formidable. There are questions at the cornerback position, but the middle of the Jets defense (Quinnen Williams, Marcus Maye, and CJ) will go a long way towards mitigating those concerns if they’re as good as they have shown. It starts with #57.

2. How Mehki Becton and Morgan Moses handle Brian Burns and Haason Reddick:
21.5 sacks last year for Brian Burns and newly-signed EDGE Haason Reddick, so the Jets’ bookends will be tested right out of the gate. How well they handle that will go a long way towards determining if the trip to the Queen City is a successful one or a disaster. Becton had an 83.8% pass rush win rate last year, while the former WFTer Moses allowed 5 sacks and had 6 penalties. Something has to give.

3. How Bryce Hall matches up with DJ Moore:
DJ Moore might really be the most underrated WR in the NFL, as he’s coming off back-to-back 1000+ yard seasons despite not having the chance to play with a starting-caliber NFL QB. That won’t change with Sam Darnold, but clearly, it hasn’t stopped him from producing. Moore played on the outside on 83% of his snaps last year and received the 6th most deep targets in the league with 26. He was 14th in yards per reception, 11th in yards per target, and 12th in yards per route run. He didn’t win by getting a ton of separation, so theoretically this could be a good matchup for the physical Hall, but if not then this could be a big game for DJ.

4. How Robby Anderson and Terrence Marshall are defended by the rest of the Jets secondary:
Terrence Marshall enters his first regular-season game as the highest-rated rookie WR via PFF, and Jets fans are very familiar with the Sun Gawd as he’s coming off his first 1,000+ yard season. The Jets spent three day-3 picks on cornerbacks and released Blessaun Austin in order to give the young corners a chance. Well, they’re going to get their chance, alright. Marshall slots in as the replacement for Curtis Samuel in Panthers Offensive Coordinator Joe Brady’s offense, and figures to draw either rookie Michael Carter (a much-smaller corner) or rookie Jason Pinnock while Anderson draws rookie Brandin Echols. If the Jets have intentions of winning this game, we cannot see the back of their jerseys too often.

5. If Quinnen Williams dominates Pat Elflein:
Coming off a strong sophomore season, the addition of EDGE Carl Lawson was supposed to give Williams the chance to really dominate in year 3. DraftSZN’s Michael Meegan has predicted that Q is talked about as a top-3 IDL by season’s end and, while I do not share that optimism, it is hard not to be excited for what the former ‘Bama DT gives us this season. He’s going against Pat Elflein (and, at times, John Miller), so this is advantage Jets on literally every snap. He had seven sacks and two forced fumbles last year and the addition of Sheldon Rankins means teams will be wise to not double-team him every chance they get. An errant Sam Darnold pass caused by a Quinnen Williams bull-rush might as well be written in blood.

6. Who emerges at RB out of the gate:
Ty Johnson was the best back in camp, but Michael Carter has the highest ceiling, and free-agent addition Tevin Coleman figures to be in the mix. Carolina’s defense was 20th against the run last year and 28th in yards allowed per attempt. There will be plays in the run game, and who is the one making them will be interesting to watch.

7. How is Elijah Moore used:
The Jets have the deepest WR group they’ve had in a really long time, and that was true before they took the Ole Miss standout with their first pick at the top of the second round. A much better pick than the New York Giants taking AR Toney 14 picks earlier, Elijah Moore can play in the slot or on the outside, and it is safe to assume the Jets will move him around a lot in the formation. We have to assume because Moore didn’t see the field at all during the preseason, but his first action comes against a team with the 3rd fewest interceptions last year. Similar to Carolina’s WRs versus the Jets corners, the Jets have the advantage versus the Carolina secondary, and Moore is a big reason why.

8. Corey Davis versus rookie Jaycee Horn:
I’ve said all offseason that the signing of Corey Davis feels very much like the signing of Plaxico Burress by the Giants from the Steelers: a young guy with a ton of talent who is just much better in his 2nd contract, Davis already has a rapport with his young QB and will be heavily featured in this passing game. He draws who I had at CB1 in South Carolina CB Jaycee Horn, who seemed to be picking off Sam Darnold daily in Panthers training camp. For Zach Wilson to have a productive game, Corey Davis needs to school the young corner: Horn struggled with Elijah Moore and guys like him in college, whereas bigger targets where Horn could get his hands on them didn’t pose much of a threat. Davis fits the latter, except he also has deceptive speed. If he is cooking Horn repeatedly and Wilson is finding him, I expect the Jets offense to dominate.

9. Can Connor McGovern keep DT Derrick Brown from collapsing the pocket:
If he can’t? Game over.

10. Will Zach Wilson be better than Sam Darnold:
This is it right here and let me just say this: entering the draft, Zach Wilson in 2021 was better than Sam Darnold in 2018. There is no comparison between either of them as prospects entering their first NFL season. I’d even argue that 2021 Zach Wilson is a better QB today than QB Sam Darnold was leaving New York, as he was the 39th best QB in a league with only 32 teams. ALOT will be written after this game about two things:

one: how the Jets did the right thing by moving on from Darnold if they win
two: how the Jets did the wrong thing by not trading back from 2 and building around Darnold if they lose

None of those questions will be answered one Sunday afternoon in September, but if Zach Wilson balls and outplays Darnold (like I think he will), then it will go a long way towards silencing the beat writers who already have the #IToldYouSo pieces written. Wilson has a lot of talent on his OL and at WR, way more help than Darnold ever had, but he also is the more talented QB. I expect him to show that on Sunday, and for the Jets to leave Ric Flair Country 1-0.

Previously On TOJ:
https://turnonthejets.com/2021/09/tojs-year-in-preview-new-york-jets-iol/

Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

DA’s Final New York Jets Mock Draft

The day is finally here, Jets fans: it is Draft Day! *turns up Drake’s underrated single that shouted out Johnny Manziel*

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Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

TOJ Pick Six: NFL Draft Offensive Sleepers for the New York Jets

We are now six days away from the NFL Draft and the New York Jets are wrapping up their pre-draft virtual visits and have probably identified their “get by any means” prospects and their “run the hell away” prospects. Before I transition to giving you my top 6 rankings for the defensive side of the ball, I wanted to give you my top 6 sleepers on the offensive side of the ball.

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Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

TOJ Pick Six: NFL Draft Interior Offensive Linemen for the New York Jets

DA ranks his top 6 IOL!

We are now nine days away from the NFL Draft and, as word continues to trickle out that the Jets have zeroed in on BYU QB Zach Wilson, it is absolutely imperative that they do not wait until year three to address OL in the NFL Draft like they did for now-Panthers QB Sam Darnold. As it currently stands, the New York Jets do not have a starting-caliber guard on the roster. Greg Van Roten and Alex Lewis were awful, and they let their best guard (Pat Elflein) go in free agency. The 2nd wave of free agency, set to begin after the draft, has some intriguing names that the Jets could add but DraftSZN’s James Kuntz has been banging the “this team will be built through the draft” long before free agency began and I have come around to that after evidence pointed to exactly that. One small note:

OL: can play all 5 positions
IOL: can play guard or center
OT: can play LT or RT
OG: can only play guard

Here are the top 6 rankings for the interior offensive line prospects in the NFL Draft, of which the Jets should make sure to add two if they do not tackle the position with one of the six I mentioned in yesterday’s article.

1. USC OT/OG Alijah Vera-Tucker
Overall Ranking: 9th
Grade: First
Wow: the athleticism and agility you want to see from the heir apparent to the Quentin Nelson throne of guards, Vera-Tucker has excellent mobility and a really good anchor. He can play LT, and play it very well, but I think he’s got insane guard potential. He does an excellent job of getting to the 2nd level of a defense and he comes off the snap ridiculously hard.
Worry: None.

2. Ohio State OG Wyatt Davis
Overall Ranking: 24th
Grade: Late 1st
Wow: a plug-and-play right guard at the next level, Wyatt Davis’s 2019 film showed an NFL-ready player whereas 2020 still showed flashes of that with some hiccups. He has great vision and a good first move to ward off pass rushers.
Worry: that the Davis we get is the Davis from 2020, who played a little out of control (likely due to injury)

3. Oklahoma C Creed Humphrey
Overall Ranking: 32nd
Grade: Late 1st
Wow: best Center in this class, but Humphrey can also slot right into a guard spot because of his intelligence and his strong anchor.
Worry: short arms and some timidness when engaging defenders.

4. Ohio State C Josh Myers
Overall Ranking: 39th
Grade: 2nd
Wow: raw power and a strong anchor that prevents him from getting knocked back by defenders.
Worry: not the best lateral mobility.

5. Alabama IOL Landon Dickerson
Overall Ranking: 48th
Grade: Mid 2nd
Wow: explosive off the snap with a pretty good burst, and just absolutely violent hands.
Worry: a torn right ACL, ankle surgery, ankle injury, and ligament damage in his left knee

6. Tennessee OG Trey Smith
Overall Ranking: 67th
Grade: 3rd
Wow: a mauler at guard who has one mission and one mission only: obliterate the guy across from him. Smith has exceptional power and a strong base that prevents him from getting pushed back.
Worry: has tight hips and had blood clots in his lungs

Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

TOJ Pick Six: NFL Draft’s Offensive Tackles for the New York Jets

DA Osorio Ranks his Top 6 Offensive Tackles in the 2021 NFL Draft.

With 9 days until the NFL Draft, we continue my pick six with the offensive tackles. We went through the pass catchers yesterday: today it’s tackles, then with interior offensive line, interior defensive line, edge, linebackers, cornerbacks, and safeties following. If you’re new to our draft coverage, the way these rankings work is I will give you:
-my top 6 at each position with stats
-my round grade
-their overall ranking on my big board
-something that wows and worries me about each prospect.

Mehki Becton and Connor McGovern are locked in as starters on the OL, while George Fant seems to be locked in at the RT position. The Jets do not have a capable starter on the interior, and Joe Douglas’s refusal to even call Corey Linsley and then allowing himself to get outbid for Joe Thuney either means he is confident in Greg Van Roten and Alex Lewis or he is planning to address these holes in the draft. This doesn’t mean he should ignore tackle completely, especially when you consider that Fant’s contract has only $1M in dead money and can save the Jets almost $10M if he’s released next year. This class has some good tackles that can start out inside before kicking out to RT if/when Fant is released. If you need more info about each prospect, make sure to subscribe to Badlands to read Connor’s excellent Draft Guide.

Let’s take this pick six back to the future.

1. Northwestern OT Rashawn Slater
Overall Ranking: 6th
Round Grade: 1st
Wow: allowed 5 pressures over 355 dropbacks, a rate of 1 pressure every 71 snaps. That would’ve been tops in the league, which is where I think Slater will be at the next level. Slater has the potential to be an All-Pro guard, tackle, or center in the NFL and his strength and footwork and where he already is (he’s already good enough to start on an NFL offensive line and actually be good) make him the best tackle in this class for me. For evidence, see what he did to Chase Young in 2019.
Worry: hasn’t played football in a year.

2. Virginia Tech OT Christian Darrisaw
Overall Ranking: 10th
Round Grade: 1st
Wow: did not allow a single sack or hit all year, and only allowed six pressures. Darrisaw improved every year in Blacksburg and reminds me a lot of former Jets great D’Brickashaw Ferguson. The former Hokie is strong, athletic, and can play both tackle positions really well. I think Darrisaw can, also, play inside and be dominant from either guard position.
Worry: his feet aren’t the most consistent when matched up versus speedier edges.

3. Oregon OT Penei Sewell
Overall Ranking: 18th
Round Grade: Mid-1st
Wow: still incredibly raw for a player that was as good as he was at 19 years old, it is scary to think what Sewell’s ceiling is. He has excellent hands, and was PFF’s highest graded collegiate tackle ever. Just an absolute violent blocker in the run game, Sewell has the potential to develop into a franchise LT.
Worry: does not have the best technique and may be better long-term at OG.

4. Oklahoma OT Tevin Jenkins
Overall Ranking: 22nd
Round Grade: Late-First
Wow: 11 pressures in 623 snaps over two seasons, an absurd rate when you consider how many one-on-one matchups left tackles generally face. Has a violent punch to thwart off pass rushers, and loves to dominate the competition.
Worry: his lack of athleticism.

5. Notre Dame OT Liam Eichenberg
Overall Ranking: 23
Round Grade: Late-First
Wow: as NFL-ready a prospect as you’ll find in this class who I originally thought should transition to guard but really think he’d be an excellent right tackle at the next level. Eichenberg has sound fundamentals and really could find a lot of success wherever he is drafted.
Worry: better run blocker than pass protector at this point in his career.

6. North Dakota State OT Dillon Radunz
Overall Ranking: 33
Round Grade: 2nd
Wow: really good agility and a really good run blocker, Trey Lance’s blindside was thoroughly protected by Radunz. He has experience in a pro-style offense so his transition to the NFL won’t be as difficult as other prospects.
Worry: wondering if he will remain as agile if he’s asked to put on weight.

Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

TOJ Pick Six: NFL Draft Pass Catchers for the New York Jets

Dalbin Osorio gives his top 5 pass catchers in the 2021 NFL Draft.

With 10 days until the NFL Draft, we continue my pick six with the pass catchers of this class. We went through RBs yesterday: today it’s wide receivers and tight ends, with guards, tackles, centers, interior defensive linemen, edge, linebackers, cornerbacks, and safeties following. If you’re new to our draft coverage, the way these rankings work is I will give you:

Continue reading “TOJ Pick Six: NFL Draft Pass Catchers for the New York Jets”