TOJ’s Year In Preview: New York Jets QBs

As we head towards the start of the regular season, the TOJ team will be previewing every position group for the New York Jets. Our own Michael Meegan takes a crack at the QB position.

Quarterback is the most important position in sports.  It is a position the Jets have struggled with my entire life.  In 2021 Jets fans should be hoping that QB is a position no longer a question mark.

Depth Chart: Zach Wilson, Mike White

Zach Wilson: Was the Jets’ number 2 overall pick in the draft this year and Jets fans should be optimistic, for the upcoming year and going forward, given Wilson’s physical tools and his impressive preseason performance that he can be the franchise QB we have been waiting decades for.

Mike White: Is not good and I have no idea why he is on the team.

Veterans Available: Blake Bortles, Ben Dinucci, Nick Foles (Trade)

Former Jaguars QB Blake Bortles: is not good but in a funny way, not in a pathetic way like Mike White, so I guess that is progress?

Former Cowboys QB Ben Dinucci- Terrible QB but Sopranos memes/clips always slap, so would be a welcome addition.

Current Chicago Bears QB Nick Foles- trading any compensation for him is silly, but Ryan Pace is dumb. Unless the Bears attach a pick to this trade, no reason to do this.

Upgrade/Downgrade: Upgrade 1000000000000%

Sam Darnold was the 38th best QB in the league last year: for context, there are only 32 teams in the NFL.  This, coupled with not having to follow Jordan Palmer on Instagram anymore and watch QB throwing drills at the beach, is more than enough evidence to declare Wilson as a substantial upgrade to the Jets 2020 QB’s.

Best Case Scenario: Wilson Balls out

It’s no secret that Zach Wilson’s performances matter more than the Jets 2021 record.  If he is legit good from the jump, it elevates the Jets in 2021 and years to come.  If we are sitting here 12 months from now and have not had to read a million pieces about Zach taking the 2nd year leap because he was already good as a rookie, it’s a home run for the Jets and positions them to be a team that can make noise in the playoffs in 2022 and hopefully every year after that.

Worst Case Scenario: We have to see any QB not named Zach Wilson start a game or more.

Sam Darnold missed time each of his 3 years: in all those games, the Jets were essentially unwatchable and they lost every game.  I would much rather see Wilson take his lumps as a rookie and learn from them playing 17 games than having to miss three to four games and go into 2022 with durability questions.

Prediction: Zach Wins OROY and Mike White does not make me want to shove scissors in my eyes.

Wilson is going to be very good this year and it starts with shutting up the Darnold apologists week 1. Then he collects his OROY trophy posting a 25 TD, 7 INT, 65% comp, 3890-yard season.  Mike White never touches the field and we can forget he existed in 2022.

 

TOJ Pod: 53 Man Roster Thoughts

TOJ Roundtable: New York Jets QB Zach Wilson Season Predictions

The TOJ Roundtable returns for the 2021-2022 season, where the TOJ writers gather around the aptly-named round table to discuss all things New York Football Jets this coming season. Make sure to follow every writer on Twitter.

What will New York Jets QB Zach Wilson’s stat line be for this coming season?

DA Osorio
I’ve already gone on record, most recently on the Trap Or Die podcast, that I think Jets QB Zach Wilson wins NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. I think it is a two-QB race between him and Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence and I think Wilson, because of a Jets defense that will keep games close enough to give him some signature moments in pursuit of an award generally given to QBs who produce those, ends up edging out the former first-overall pick. A first-year stat line of 24 TDs, 4 interceptions, and 3896 yards is on the docket for the young signal-caller as he mirrors Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s statistical averages for his rookie season. Those numbers, plus an 8-9 record for the Jets, propels him towards some hardware.

Dan Essien:
My predicted stat line for Zach Wilson in this 2021 17-game regular season is 3750 passing yards, 28 TDs, 15 INTs, 62% Comp, and 7.1 Y/A. I believe the Jets will rely steadily on the run game, as Wilson acclimates to the NFL game. When he’s let loose, he can be a bit of a risk-taker so he won’t be without a nice chunk of turnovers. However, the good will noticeably outweigh the bad with Wilson.

Michael Meegan:

For his rookie season, I predict Zach to throw for 3620 yards, 25 TD’s, and 7 INTs with a completion percentage of 64% and a Y/A of 7.4.  The Jets are going to be a run-first offense this year, I do not expect to see many games with Zach throwing the ball 40 times a game.  Zach was a low turnover guy in college never throwing double digits picks in any of his 3 years starting and I do not expect that trend to stop once he gets to the NFL.  We will not have to talk about Zach making a 2nd-year leap 12 months from now because he will be good from the jump.

Matt Gianesses:

I predict Zach Wilson will throw for 24 TD’s and 13 interceptions in 2021. These are very reasonable numbers to ask from a 2nd overall pick in today’s NFL. 24 TDs is a number only eight Jets QBs have reached before. The combination of a more aggressive and modern offense and a 17th game will help Zach reach the touchdown threshold. If healthy for all 17 games, Zach will throw for 3,700 yards.

Joe Belic:

Love Matty highlighting the more modern offense, but I think The Jets offense is predicated on running the ball (a little old school philosophy), and I believe that will somewhat hinder Wilson’s stat line. That said, I feel a 17-game season with 3750 passing yards, 23 TDs, 15 INTs, 62% completion percentage, 7.0 Y/A, 50 rushing attempts for 225 yards, and two touchdowns on the ground is realistic production. Not even Aaron Rodgers topped 7.0 Y/A his first season under Matt LaFleur, and Baker Mayfield averaged 222 Y/G in a comparable offense last year. Look for similar numbers in those categories for Wilson. While it’s not the sexiest prediction, I think it’s a good start to a career and something to build on for the future.

Will Parkinson:

For me, Zach Wilson over a 17-game season rookie year will throw for 3525 yards, 24 TDs, 10 INTs, 68% Comp, and 7.5 Y/A. I think the Jets are going to rely early and often on the run game: the use of a ton of outside zone will be to take advantage of the team’s speed and get Wilson in ALOT of early quick reads and play action. This will be done, in my opinion, to help build his confidence as he starts out the year facing two great defensive coaches in Bill Belicheck and Vic Fangio. I think he’ll take some big-time shots downfield and convert big plays but work to minimize turnovers. I think it’ll be a strong OROY-type season from Wilson and lead into a huge 2022.

Dylan Price:

I agree with Will on this point: given the offense will rely so heavily on the run, I don’t foresee Zach Wilson throwing the ball a ton. I disagree with how generous everyone is with their predicted stat lines given the acknowledgment that the Jets will be a run-heavy team. Over a 17 game season, I look for Wilson to just eclipse 3,000 yards with a total of 3,196 yards. I expect a touchdown to interception ratio of around 22 to 12 and a completion percentage of around 63%. Look for an average of around 6.9 Y/A as well. It’s not that I don’t think Wilson will light things up, but between the heavy rushing attack LaFleur will install coupled with just the natural progression for a rookie over a 17 game season, his production will be handicapped slightly. All in all, I expect a strong season with a very good last 4-5 games.

 

Greg Armstrong

I can see Wilson having a year where he goes for 3567 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions with a 7.8 Y/A. I think we can expect to see more pushing the ball downfield as the season progresses and as Wilson gets more acquainted with the offense. I think we’ll see a strong run game reliance within the first couple of weeks and week over week we see more of the Jets lengthening the leash for Wilson and what they call.

Last Week on TOJ Live

Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.

A Look At Some of the Jets Head Coaching Options

Matt Marciano provides his thoughts on Jets HC candidates.

The New York Jets’ ownership this Sunday night, following the Jets 28-14 loss to the Patriots, finally did something right. They fired head coach Adam Gase after an abysmal 9-23 record in two years leading the Jets. The biggest decision of the tenure of GM Joe Douglas now looms large and that is finding a head coach that can change the culture of the Jets and to make the Jets a more competitive team moving forward. Here is a list I compiled of some of the candidates that the Jets should pursue (and not pursue). Some of these candidates the Jets have already received permission to speak to as part of their head coaching search.

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