NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Divisional Round Edition

Jake Benaquisto with his NFL Best Bets for Divisional Weekend….

Wild Card Weekend Recap: I went 1-3 ATS, which puts my record at 51-37-1 for the season. Watching the Chiefs blow a 21-3 lead was probably an indicator that I was due for a rough weekend, but in my own defense, even the experts in Vegas could not have predicted all four underdogs covering their spreads. 

Atlanta -2.5 at Philadelphia

Call me crazy, but I refuse to bet on and root for Nick Foles in a playoff game. The Eagles’ offense has never been the same since they lost Carson Wentz, and I don’t think their defense is strong enough to win this game on its own. The Falcon’s defense, on the other hand, proved its legitimacy after shutting down the Rams. This should be a low scoring game, so I’m just going to take the better QB in Matt Ryan. Give me Atlanta to win 20-14.

New England -13.5 vs. Tennessee 

With all the talk about New England falling apart this week, the Patriots seem destined to quiet their critics and blow out the Titans. Tennessee’s comeback win in Kansas City was impressive, but now they’re going against a pissed-off Brady and Belichick. Look for New England to get an early lead and then rely on their running backs to close out this one. Patriots win 36-20.

Jacksonville +7.5 at Pittsburgh

Picking the Jags two weeks in a row feels like a disaster waiting to happen, but I like their defense getting the 7.5 points in this game. Blake Bortles was atrocious throwing the ball last week, but I think the Jacksonville coaching staff can develop a strong game-plan that relies on the run game. When Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh earlier this season, Leonard Fournette had 28 carries for 181 yards and two touchdowns. I don’t think the Jaguars can pull off the upset again, but they have the formula to at least keep the game within one score. Steelers win 27-22.

New Orleans +5 at Minnesota 

The Vikings are a dangerous team at home, but I just think this game is going to be too close for them to lay the 5 points. New Orleans leads the league in yards per play, and I trust Drew Brees a lot more than I do Case Keenum in a big spot. After losing to the Vikings already in week 1, I like New Orleans to get their revenge here. Saints win in an upset, 26-24.

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