Week 5 Recap: My third winning week in a row. I went 3-2 again, so my record now stands at 14-11. This week, I’m going NFC heavy on my picks and am hoping that the Rams don’t let me down again.
New Orleans -4 vs. DetroitThe Saints offense has been impressive in their last two games, and now they will likely have Willie Snead returning to the team. I think Detroit probably has the better roster, but right now they are banged up. Stafford hasn’t looked fully healthy over the last few weeks, and the Lions just lost Haloti Ngata with an injury. Surprisingly, New Orleans hasn’t played at home since September 17th, so I expect them to take care of business in front of their own crowd. Saints win 27-21.
LA Rams +3.5 at Jacksonville
My favorite bet last week was the Rams beating the Seahawks, and they honestly should have won. The Los Angeles offense made it to the red-zone four times, yet they only came away with 10 points. I think their offense is going to bounce back this week, and I especially like them getting 3.5 points. Rams upset the Jags 23-19.
Tampa Bay -1.5 at ArizonaCall me pessimistic, but something tells me that Adrian Peterson will not solve Arizona’s problems. The Buccaneers kept the game close against the Patriots last week, and I think their defensive front is going to be a headache for Carson Palmer. With the Bucs getting a few extra days to prepare, I think they clearly have the advantage in this matchup. I’ll take Tampa Bay to win 34-16.
Minnesota +3.5 vs. Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers might end up winning the MVP this season, but I think the Packers are going to struggle in this game. Green Bay typically struggles on the road, and in a divisional game like this, I like Minnesota getting points at home. Sam Bradford will be out, but the Vikings were better off with Case Keenum at QB last week. I like Green Bay to win late without covering the spread, 26-24.
Kansas City -3.5 vs. PittsburghI just don’t trust this Steelers team in a big spot. Big Ben looked atrocious against the Jacksonville defense last week, and now he’s playing arguably the best team in the NFL. Not only are the Chiefs legit, but their home field advantage makes them even harder to beat. I think Ben and the Steelers offense are going to struggle again this week, and the talks of retirement will continue. Chiefs win 31-23.
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