The TOJ Roundtable is back. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter and to let us know your opinion down in the comment section below! Today’s question is…
What are your projections for the New York Jets quarterbacks in 2015?
Last day this week for international orders of the New York Sack Exchange 2.0 t-shirt!
Joe Caporoso – I broke down most of my thoughts on the Jets QB situation right here. Ultimately, I think Geno Smith will be the team’s starting quarterback for the duration of the 2015 season and finish as a middle of the road quarterback league wide. I am going to put his stat line somewhere around 24 touchdown passes, 4 touchdown runs, 15 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost, with a roughly 60% completion percentage and 3,200-3,400 yards.
Cole Patterson – Geno Smith has done nothing to earn our confidence. His early season glimpses and late season teases have given us reason to hope, however. In his rookie season he was working with Clyde Gates and Stephen Hill as intended contributors. Last year, Eric Decker’s impact was mitigated by injury. This year – with Brandon Marshall on board, a healthy Decker, Jeremy Kerley at home in the slot, and Jace Amaro a year more seasoned – Smith has his best group of pass catchers yet. Finally, Chan Gailey has a better resume then Marty Mornhinweg as a play caller and specializes in the only offense (albeit a college spread) that Smith has proven success in. Perhaps these factors will help Smith put together a full season reminiscent of his last four games in both his rookie and sophomore campaigns.
Dalbin Osorio – I ammore bullish on Geno than Cole is. He’s maddeningly inconsistent, but he’s flashed enough for me to think that this is the year that he finally puts it together. Will there be mistakes? Yes. He will however put it together to the tune of 61% completion percentage, 3,300 passing yards, 550 rushing yards, 33 total TDs, and 14 interceptions. Smith has more talent around him, an offensive coordinator that won’t call triple QB reverses in the red zone, and a better defense that will be able to let him play a freer. Geno essentially had to play mistake free football last year because of how poor the defense was (namely the secondary) and I think he pressed ALOT more than he needed to. This year we won’t see that, and he’ll play good ball for most of the season. No #Weep4Heaps, no #Ready4Petty, no #FitzMagic.
Joe Malfa – The roundtable topic is “projections for New York Jets quarterbacks in 2015,” but I only need to give a projection on a New York Jets quarterback — singular, not plural. I believe that Geno Smith is going to be this team’s QB the entire season, and that he is going to have a successful campaign. His ups and downs in the past have been discussed ad nauseum as we head into camp, so I am going to stay away from that and focus on the QB he can be — not the QB he has been.
Geno Smith has every trait you look for in a prototypical NFL QB except for one, and that one may be the most important of all — decision making. He has the arm, the size, the mobility, and the mind (according to both Demario Davis and Brandon Marshall), but none of those things matter if you make the wrong decisions. You can shake a pass rusher, scamper away from another, and heave the ball 60 yards down the field with ease? Fantastic! But it doesn’t matter if you decide to make that throw into double coverage when there was a guy wide open underneath. Physical traits will only take a QB so far, but to take that next step, he needs to make the right decisions and avoid turnovers.Hopefully two years of experience and a full training camp of working with the first team (no QB competition) will improve his gameday decision making. If he progresses, as I think he will with improved weapons in an offense that really suits him, I agree with a projection somewhere along the lines of DO’s bullish projection (though not quite as bullish) — 60% completion percentage, 3,500 passing yards, 500 rushing yards, 30 total TDs, and 15 interceptions.
Jason Wiles – Some may say I’m an optimist, but I think this is a breakout year for Geno Smith. I think it’s an issue of talent, but not Geno’s talent. He’s not the type of QB that would improve his WRs, but he is the type of QB that improves with better WRs. The poor depth chart showed last year, with Smith averaging an abysmal 58.53 passer rating before the Percy Harvin acquisition. In the last five games of the season, Smith was the seventh rated passer in the league.
With Brandon Marshall joining the roster, this is one of the best WR groups the Jets have put on the field in a very long time. When you combine Offensive Coordinator Chan Gailey’s spread offense with the new and improved WR corps, Geno should be getting better looks with a consistency he hasn’t experienced before. I predict a 3,500 yard season with 19 TDs, and 10 interceptions.