With this week’s edition of #PickSix, we’ve decided to take a one week reprieve from your Twitter questions and bring you a New York Jets Fantasy Football preview. With drafts coming up in the next few weeks and leagues filling up, here is who you should target on the Jets roster. Let’s jump right into it…
6. QB Geno Smith
Average Draft Position: Undrafted
Why? Now, I know what you’re thinking: why on earth would I risk my fantasy football season on arguably the worst starting quarterback in the league? Easy, because Geno is a low cost/high upside pick that you could potentially sign as your QB2 after you’ve loaded up on positions elsewhere. With a better supporting cast and a schedule that features just three top 15 cornerbacks, it isn’t out of the realm of possibility for Geno to produce enough to be a top 15-18 fantasy QB. Signing him after your draft and getting a top 15 QB in a 12 team league is a coup. Again, high upside, low cost for the Jets signal caller.
Average Draft Position: Undrafted
Why? Amaro was the best rookie tight end in the league last year, and even with his inconsistent blocking and case of the drops he still had 53 targets and caught 38 of them, for a catch percentage of 71%. Amaro had 2 touchdowns, so his ceiling might not be very high in Gailey’s offense although he will be utilized differently. Still, compared to what his production could be, him going undrafted is mind boggling and this makes him a good candidate as a pickup during your bye weeks or as a TE2-TE3 should you need someone to fill in your lineup with.
4. RB Chris Ivory
Average Draft Position: 37th
Why?: Ivory is being drafted, on average, at the top of the 3rd round after finishing 179 yards shy of his first 1,000 yard season. A 4.1 yards per carry average, and 6 touchdowns despite some of the worst red zone play calling you’ll ever see means Ivory could end up outproducing ALOT of the guys drafted in front of him. He is the primary ball carrier on a team that will run the ball to take pressure off of their 3rd year QB. He has minimal competition for the majority of carries, as Bilal Powell will be used as the 3rd down back. Zac Stacy and Steven Ridley don’t pose any immediate threats, and concerns about Ivory not being able to catch the ball out of the backfield have been somewhat erased during his two years with the Jets, as he’s done enough with the limited opportunities hes received. Ivory is a Jet that, if healthy, should outproduce his draft position.
3. WR Eric Decker
Average Draft Position: 41st
Why? Despite the worst quarterback situation in the league and no real weapons around him, Decker had a very respectable season last year as he hauled in 74 catches for 962 yards and 5 touchdowns. He now has a Pro Bowl WR opposite him in Brandon Marshall and a vertical threat in Devin Smith. I’ve gone on record stating that I think both Marshall and Decker go over 1,000 yards, and both should be heavily targeted by Geno Smith. Decker will also have the luxury of facing number two corners all year so there is no reason to think that he couldn’t approach 90 catches on 130 or 140 targets. He is a legitimate WR2/WR3 option and may fall even lower than his ADP because of fans feeling uncertain about the quarterback situation in New York.
Average Draft Position: 12
Why? The Jets fortified their defense with the selection of Leonard Williams, and the free agent signings of the Armada Secondary that is now at Todd Bowles’ disposal. With the Jets facing a schedule that features Josh McCown/Johnny Manziel, Robert Griffith III, Derek Carr, Blake Bortles, Tyrod Taylor/EJ Manuel x2, Brian Hoyer/Ryan Mallett, Mark Sanchez/Sam Bradford, and Marcus Mariota…that’s 9 favorable match-ups for the Jets defense. That’s why the 12th average draft position the team is currently holding is borderline laughable, as they’re being picked behind defenses like Green Bay, Carolina, New England, and Denver. The Jets defense should get you points on a fairly consistent basis, as they feast on mediocre quarterbacks.
1. Brandon Marshall
Average Draft Position: 26th
Why?: A season marred by injury and inconsistent quarterback play hasn’t stopped Brandon Marshall from being drafted early in Round 3 in 12 team leagues, with some leagues seeing him go at the end of round one. At least 145 targets for six consecutive seasons and at least 100 catches in five of those puts Marshall in better position than a couple of the guys that are being drafted ahead of him, namely Keenan Allen and DeAndre Hopkins. I’d snatch Marshall up early in round two and sit smugly when Marshall racks up another Pro Bowl season.
We will be doing multiple TOJ Fantasy Leagues this year, as well as a weekly pick ’em where you get to compete against some of the staff writers. More information to follow…