Time for a NimbleTV Turn On The Jets 12 Pack. Looking for somewhere new to yell at your TV screen when watching the Jets? Sign up for NimbleTV and see the game wherever you travel. On to the predictions, preceded by a few thoughts on the Jets match-up with the Broncos.
This is not a good match-up for the New York Jets. You don’t need me to tell you that. The team we saw last week in San Diego can’t beat anybody in the NFL, nevermind the best team in the AFC (which is Denver by a slight margin over those same Chargers who just whipped the Jets). Last week was a pathetic display of coaching and effort. It is no coincidence Demario Davis, Sheldon Richardson and Nick Mangold have publicly questioned the team’s preparation. The Jets have a toxic feel to them right now but that is an article for another day and hopefully something that passes soon in this very week to week league.As for Sunday? The Jets don’t have the talent or speed to stop Denver defensively. Most teams don’t, as a very good Arizona defense was shredded to pieces by them last Sunday. In particular, they were killed whenever they tried to blitz Peyton Manning. Let’s HOPE Rex Ryan watches the tape and combines that with his what he’s seen from his defense so far this season to help inform his gameplan. Simply put, if the Jets are going to send 7 or 8 at Manning and leave people like Kyle Wilson, Calvin Pryor and Philip Adams in man coverage all day, it is going to get very ugly, very fast. It would seem to be more sensible to mix in more two high looks, drop extra players into coverage and force Manning to work down the field meticulously on longer drives, instead of allowing huge chunk plays. You hope that the defensive line can break through and make some plays unsupported by the blitz. You hope for a tipped pass leading to an interception. You hope Ronnie Hillman or one of Denver’s receivers coughs up the ball. Denver is going to move the ball and score points but the Jets don’t need to expedite that process by relentlessly blitzing Manning and playing cover zero or one high with Calvin Pryor.
Offensively, the Jets need to start fast, which can sound laughable when you consider what you saw last week. Regardless of Geno Smith’s struggles, they need to run a NFL offense, not a single read wing-t high school offense. Spread the field, pick up the tempo and encourage Smith to use his legs. One more time with emphasis: When Geno Smith runs for 30 yards or more, the Jets are 6-1 and his average QB rating is 83. RUN, GENO RUN. You are a harder team to defend when your quarterback can create with his legs.
You know what also makes you a harder team to defend? Giving Chris Ivory 15-20 carries and making Bilal Powell his primary backup, while throwing Chris Johnson a few screens and using him in the slot. You know what else does? Making Jace Amaro, Jeremy Kerley and Eric Decker your top three options in the passing game, in terms of reps and targets.
If the Jets start the game with multiple three and outs, an already likely to be ugly MetLife crowd is going to get downright nasty. This team badly, badly needs an early touchdown to get some confidence back. I would not be surprised to see a few desperation moves on special teams this week, what are you saving your trick or surprise plays for? Give it a shot this week.I’ll say this much – I do think the Jets will play better against Denver than they did against San Diego, although really is it physically possible to not do that?
On to the predictions…
1. Peyton Manning will throw for 325 yards and 3 touchdowns. He will have one turnover.
2. Geno Smith will have two turnovers but also score a pair of touchdowns, one rushing and one passing.3. Emmanuel Sanders will have at least 75 yards receiving, so will Demaryius Thomas.
4. Julius Thomas will catch a touchdown…so will Wes Welker.
5. Chris Ivory will have at least 80 yards of offense.
6. Jeremy Kerley will have 4-6 catches, so will Eric Decker in his return to the lineup.
7. Chris Johnson will have less than 10 offensive touches.
8. Jeff Cumberland will play at least 10 reps less than he did last week (52 versus San Diego).
9. Nick Bellore will see a big chunk of defensive reps, spelling David Harris from time to time.
10. Muhammad Wilkerson will have a sack, so will Demario Davis.
11. Bilal Powell will have at least 5 offensive touches.
12. The Jets will lose and fail to cover, 34-17.
12 Pack Record