Welcome back to another NimbleTV Turn On The Jets 12 Pack. We don’t want you to miss any New York Jets games this season, because what would we talk about at TOJ then? Sign up here and read our review. On to the predictions, preceded by a few thoughts on the Jets match-up with Detroit…
The Detroit Lions are probably a better overall team than the Chicago Bears, particularly from a defensive perspective. Similar to the Chicago and Green Bay game, the Jets will not be able to overcome backbreaking mental mistakes and turnovers like they would if they were playing a team like Oakland. Detroit has two impressive home victories over the Packers and New York Giants but had an ugly performance in their only road game, against the Carolina Panthers…a team who is built relatively similar to the Jets.Carolina moved the ball on Detroit by throwing the football to their tight ends and slot receivers. Greg Olsen had 72 yards receiving, Jason Avant had 54 and a touchdown and our old favorite Jerricho Cotchery had 46 yards. They struggled throwing the football outside the numbers and running (62 yards on 24 carries for a weak 2.6 YPC) but avoided any turnovers. They also forced three of their own, including a Matthew Stafford interception and fumbles from Joique Bell and Jeremy Ross. Stafford was also sacked four times and was held to completing only 56% of his passes. It is worth nothing, Stafford also struggled last week despite the Lions winning, with 3 turnovers, 0 touchdowns and less than 250 yards passing.
The Lions will be without stud linebacker Stephen Tulloch, who is out for the season after injuring himself against the Packers. Regardless, they still have a talented, athletic defense and an extremely strong defensive front that is going to give the Jets guards issues. Offensively, Megatron is Megatron, which will hopefully keep Rex away from one high looks too frequently. The Lions tight ends have been quiet so far this season and Joseph Fauria could be out with an ankle injury. Reggie Bush and Joique Bell are unlikely to do much in the running game but Bush can be a nightmare in the pass game if the Jets leave their linebackers matched up on him. The Jets would wise to use an extra safety or corner on him when possible.
Geno Smith is going to need to rise to the occasion along with the Jets’ tight ends. I’d expect another high volume day for Jeremy Kerley in the slot as well, regardless of whether or not Eric Decker plays. The Jets aren’t going to abandon the run and I’d expect a course correction game from a Chris Ivory usage standpoint at Rex Ryan’s urging, meaning he should be in line for at least 20 touches.
Can the Jets avoid going 1-3 into their most difficult three game stretch of the season?–
1. Geno, Geno, Geno. The Jets quarterback will have one turnover but two touchdowns and complete 65% of his passes. He will start against San Diego the following week.
2. Chris Ivory will have a minimum of 20 offensive touches and finish with around 100 yards of offense.
3. Calvin Johnson will have 95 yards receiving and a touchdown.4. Golden Tate will have at least 4 catches, so will Reggie Bush.
5. Matthew Stafford will throw for 270 yards but be sacked three times and have two turnovers.
6. Jeff Cumberland, Jace Amaro and Zach Sudfeld will combine for 10 receptions.
7. Bilal Powell will have more offensive touches than he did last week.
8. The Jets will have their first interception of the season.
9. Muhammad Wilkerson will grab another sack, so will Jason Babin.
10. Eric Ebron will make a couple of big plays down the seam against the Jets defense.
11. Willie Colon and Ndamukong Suh will each pick up at least one personal foul.
12. The Jets will play a smarter football game…finally and have a few calls break their way…finally, leading to them edging out the Lions 27-24.
12 Pack Record
Against The Spread (1-2)
Videos from NewYorkJets.com this week: