Turn On The Jets 2013 NFL Draft Big Board 2.0

Chris Gross with his second big board of NFL Draft Season. Who is rising and falling?

With the Senior Bowl in the books and the NFL Combine just two weeks away, we are beginning to get a better idea of where each NFL Draft prospect will rank among draft boards leading into April. Although there will likely be a few dramatic changes following Combine and Pro-Day performances, there are still an abundant amount of prospects whose value remains relatively clear at this point. Today, we bring you our first update of the Turn On The Jets 2013 NFL Draft Big Board. As more of the events aforementioned run their course, this board is surely subject to change, but for now let’s look at where each prospect ranks to current date.

stock same1.) Chance Warmack, Guard, Alabama – 6″3″ 320 lbs: No change at the top for now, as Warmack is still the best player at his position in the entire country. He was the best offensive lineman on a team that ran for an average of 224 yards per game out of a pro-style offense in the SEC. Warmack has excellent strength at the point of attack, and combined with his fantastic footwork and ability to get to the second level. Warmack will be NFL ready from day one and should start right from the get go for whichever team selects him this April. It is a bit unclear where he may go, considering the value of the Guard position, but make no mistake, Warmack is one of the most talented players in the draft pool this year. Previously: 1

stock up2.) Jarvis Jones, Outside Linebacker, Georgia – 6’3″ 241 lbs: Jones is probably the most balanced linebacker in this year’s class. While he has the ability to be an effective 4-3 OLB, his combination of strength, explosiveness, and pass rushing technique make him an ideal fit as a 3-4 DE/OLB. Jones has the size and long frame to become a nuisance to offensive tackles in the NFL, and combined with his speed, agility, and relentless motor, he will be ready to come in and start for whichever team he ends up with from day 1. He has been declared by some to not have the ideal bend around the corner in his pass rush, but his film shows these notions to be untrue. Outside of Texas A & M’s Damontre Moore, Jones is the most dynamic pass rusher in a class that is full of them, but also displays a superior ability in coverage. Against the run, he struggled at times when facing the double team at Georgia, but in a 3-4 scheme with quality lineman in front of him, this should not be a concern, as he will likely see more isolation blocks against the tight end, and with his ability to set the edge, he should excel against the run, as well. Previously: 3

stock up3.) Luke Joeckel, Offensive Tackle, Texas A&M – 6’6″ 310 lbs: Joeckel leads a very strong class of offensive tackles this year. A stalwart to the Aggies offense that yielded 2012′s Heisman Trophy winner, Joeckel fits the Matt Kalil, Jake Long, and Joe Thomas profiles as one of the NFL’s next great offensive tackles. While his size and strength are a key factor to what make him so great, it is his tremendous footwork that will allow him to be a day 1 starter when he enters camp. Joeckel will be NFL ready from day 1, like Warmack, but will face some competition for the top tackle spot after a strong Senior Bowl performance from Central Michigan’s Eric Fisher. Previously 4

stock up4.) Damontre Moore, Defensive End, Texas A&M – 6’4″ 248 lbs: Moore has the rare versatility to play standing up or with his hand on the ground, making him a perfect fit for any 3-4 defense in need of a pass rusher. However, he certainly has the frame and technique to be a stellar 4-3 end, where he may have more success at the next level, depending on how much weight he will be able to add. Either way, Moore is an extremely versatile prospect with a natural ability to rush the passer, something that is of high priority in today’s NFL. He accumulated 12.5 sacks this season largely due to his arsenal of pass rush moves and great ability to dip his hips and shoulders to get by opposing offensive lineman. Previously: 5

stock up5.) Eric Fisher, Offensive Tackle, Central Michigan – 6’8″ 305 lbs: Fisher was somewhat of an under the radar prospect, having played his college ball at Central Michigan, but an excellent showing at the Senior Bowl proved Fisher can not only hang with elite talent from top level schools, but he can dominate as well. In practice leading up to the Senior Bowl, Fisher displayed excellent hand placement, footwork, agility, tenacity, and a well balanced distribution of both upper and lower body strength. In pass rush vs. pass pro drills at practice, he was defeated a total of just once all week. He continued his strong showing during last Saturday’s game, and displayed his ability to be a strong pulling lineman due to his short burst and ability to maintain balance and footwork against smaller, quicker defenders in open space. Fisher likely solidified himself as a top 10 selection due to his Senior Bowl performance and could certainly challenge Joeckel for the first tackle off the board. Previously: NR

stock down6.) Star Lotuleli, Defensive Tackle, Utah – 6’4″ 325 lbs: Lotuleli may not get the exposure that he would if he played on a team in the SEC, but he is the surest defender in this year’s class. A rare combination of size, strength, and quickness will make him a fit in any scheme at the next level. He is big and strong enough to be an effective Nose Tackle in a 3-4, while possessing the explosiveness and agility to be a playmaking 3-technique in a 4-3. Lotuleli’s abscence from the Senior Bowl could hurt him with the emergence of fellow defensive tackles Kawann Short and Sylvester Williams. Still, Loutuleli is highly likely to be the first defensive tackle selected this April, a probable top 10 selection. Previously: 2

stock same7.) Barkevious Mingo, Defensive End, LSU – 6’5″ 240 lbs: Surely some boom or bust potential here, Mingo has the upside that can allow him to develop into a stud at the next level. While his 2012 stats may have taken a hit in comparison to 2011, Mingo’s game film reveals the amount of talent that the defensive end truly possesses. He has very good hands and footwork, but his speed and athleticism could separate him from the other pass rushers in this class down the road. He will need to add some bulk and strength to defend the run at the next level, but at 6’5″ he certainly has the frame that NFL scouts look for. Previously: 7

stock same8.) Dee Milliner, Cornerback, Alabama – 6’1″ 197 lbs: Milliner is the clear cut leader of the cornerback class this year. There are some concerns about his man coverage abilities, but having played his entire collegiate career under defensive backs guru Nick Saban, there should be little doubt about his knowledge of the position and coachability. As the NFL playoffs have shown, quality cornerbacks are still in high demand throughout the league, and Milliner has the skill set to be one of the NFL’s best within the next few years. Like most players in his category, the combine will be an effective tool to measure how far his stock rises or falls as we head closer to April. Previously: 8

stock down 9.) Bjoern Werner, Defensive End, Florida State – 6’4″ 255 lbs: Werner is one of those prospects that immediately jumps off of the film due to his unstoppable motor. Having moved from primarily a 6I technique in his junior season, Werner has shown his athelticism and ability to be an excellent edge rusher this year. In terms of pure strength, Werner may be the best at his position this year, which will make him an appealing prospect for either a 3-4 or 4-3 scheme. The combine will be key for Werner’s stock as a 3-4 OLB as there are some concerns about whether or not he possesses the athleticism needed to make the transition from having his hand on the ground for the majority of his reps. Intellectually, Werner has shown over his career at Florida State that he has no problem grasping new concepts in terms of his position. Werner’s stock could be effected by the rise/fall of fellow defensive ends in this class, but he is still undoubtedly a premier prospect. Previously: 6

stock up10.) Ezekiel Ansah, Defensive End, BYU – 6’6″ 273 lbs: Ansah was arguably the best player at the Senior Bowl a couple of Saturdays ago as he displayed, not only the superior athleticism we had known about, but much better overall technique and football awareness than expected. Widely regarded as an extremely raw prospect, having finished just his second year of playing football, Ansah may not be as raw as he is simply inexperienced. At the Senior Bowl, he showed tremendous use of his hands, as well as an excellent ability to read and react based on the block he was getting. Ansah will likely post astronomical combine numbers, and could sneak his way into the top ten this April. Previously: 13

stock up11.) Jonathan Cooper, Offensive Guard, North Carolina – 6’3″ 320 lbs: Although Cooper did not participate in the Senior Bowl, he is still the draft’s second best guard behind Warmack. He has great agility for the position and consistently shows the ability to blow defenders off the ball at the point of attack, as well as having arguably the best range, in terms of getting to the second level, out of any interior lineman in this year’s class. While other interior lineman have emerged since the Senior Bowl, Cooper is still a safe bet to be the second guard taken in April. Previously: 12

stock up12.) Alec Ogletree, Inside Linebacker, Georgia – 6’3″ 237 lbs: A converted safety, Ogletree has the top end speed that NFL teams are looking for in interior linebackers that is needed to match up with the league’s new wave of athletic tight ends. His superior sideline to sideline ability allow him to be a menace on the field as he has great ability to tally up a large number of tackles on any given day. The biggest concerns for Ogletree will be how well he can adapt to becoming a downhill player at the next level. However, given his size and athleticism, he has the potential to end up being the best at his position in this year’s class down the road. Previously: 14

stock up13.) Kenny Vaccaro, Safety, Texas – 6’1″ 218 lbs: Vaccaro is very intellectually impressive, as his film reveals his great ability to recognize routes and react to them. He has the long frame that NFL scouts look for in an early round safety, and he has shown he can be effective in the run game as well. A deeper study of Vaccaro’s film reveals a much higher range in coverage than originally believed, and he could hear his name called in the top 20 this year with a strong combine. Previously: 18

stock up14.) Lane Johnson, Offensive Tackle, Oklahoma – 6’7″ 303 lbs: Johnson, like Fisher, put together a very strong performance at the Senior Bowl. While he is very big and relatively strong for the position, his athleticism is superior having converted from a high school quarterback, to tight end during his early days at OU, and now finally offensive tackle. His feet and agility are what you would expect of someone making such transitions over the years, and his length is that of an elite NFL tackle. He is expected to run a sub 5.0 second 40 yard dash at the combine, and considering his size, this would help his stock tremendously. Previously: NR

stock up15.) Dion Jordan, Defensive End, Oregon – 6’7″ 243 lbs: Jordan is very high on some boards out there, but to me he has the biggest bust potential out of any player at his position this year. His film reveals some real talent in terms of leverage and bend, and in the right scheme, he could end up being a very productive pro. His length is more suited as an end in a 4-3, but his athleticism could allow him to make the transition to OLB in a 3-4. Durability will be a concern moving forward as well, as he is poised to missed the Senior Bowl due to an injury sustained in his last game. Previously: 17

stock same16.) Sheldon Richardson, Defensive Tackle, Missouri – 6’4″ 295 lbs:Richardson accumulated an astounding 75 tackles and 4 sacks this past season, eye-popping numbers for an interior defensive lineman. A very physical player, Richardson flashes excellent technique in terms of both hand and footwork, along with a relentless motor that is vital to the position. Previously: 16

stock down17.) Tyler Eifert, Tight End, Notre Dame – 6’6″ 250 lbs: Eifert comes from a school that has consistently produced quality NFL tight ends throughout their history, and there is no reason to believe he is not the next to join that class. A massive target, Eifert shows tremendous ball skills, and a great ability to leap over defenders. His overall top end speed is the only concern as of right now. The Senior Bowl showed that, although there are some quality tight ends in this year’s class, Eifert still ranks at the top. He will, however, be challenged by Stanford’s Zach Ertz as the first TE off the board. Previously: 15

stock up18.) Zach Ertz, Tight End, Stanford – 6’5″ 245 lbs: While Ertz isn’t quite as big as Eifert, his route running ability may be greater than that of the Notre Dame TE. He has excellent hands and uses them very effectively, rarely catching balls with his body. His top end speed is above average, which combined with his route running ability and excellent hands, will make him a very valuable receiving tight end in the NFL. He has good technique in run blocking, but needs to work on his overall strength to be successful as an inline blocker. Previously: NR

stock same19.) Geno Smith, Quarterback, West Virginia – 6’3″ 208 lbs: Smith is probably the most athletically gifted quarterback in this year’s class, but is any quarterback truly worthy of a first round grade this year? I am not sold on that notion one bit. However, Smith put together a very impressive season at West Virginia, that is being forgotten due to his poor performance in the Pinstripe Bowl against Syracuse. Combine that with the highly abysmal showing of quarterbacks at the Senior Bowl, and Smith is more than likely to be the first quarterback selected this year. While he may not have the accolades and overall talent you’d like to see out of a first round prospect, the depleted class at the position, combined with the high need of quarterbacks in the NFL will make him a first round pick. Previously: 19

stock down20.) Manti Te’o, Inside Linebacker, Notre Dame – 6’1″ 248 lbs: Te’o’s performance against Alabama in the BCS National Championship game, along with his bizarre recent off the field issues, will certainly raise some red flags and question marks about his ability and character, but let’s not forget his impressive overall body of work as the foundation of Notre Dame’s defense for the past 4 seasons. He is an excellent downhill interior linebacker with a knack for finding the ball, but his once highly touted leadership skills will now be doubted due to the fallout of the girlfriend hoax. He will need to really impress scouts and teams during the interview process, but he still has the ability to be a very quality NFL linebacker. Previously: 10

stock up21.) Keenan Allen, Wide Receiver, California – 6’3″ 206 lbs: Allen is a big body and possesses above average top end speed, with very good ball skills and athletic ability. He has some of the strongest hands out of any player at his position in this year’s class and does a very good job of getting to the ball at its highest point. Allen has been highly praised by coaches and teammates alike for his work ethic and overall coach-ability. He puts in an extensive amount of time studying film, as well as in the weight room. Depending on how the first round plays out, he should find himself selected somewhere between picks 20-35. Previously: NR

stock up22.) Sharrif Floyd, Defensive Tackle, Florida – 6’3″ 303 lbs: Floyd is quickly shooting up draft boards due to the immense amount of improvement he showed throughout the year at Florida. He is an ideal fit as a 3 technique in a 4-3 due to his great athleticism, quickness, good hand technique, and lower body strength. Floyd has also taken tremendous strides to repair his public image since facing NCAA violations early in his career at Florida. Previously: NR

stock down23.) Eddie Lacy, Running Back, Alabama – 6’1″ 220 lbs: Lacy flew a bit under the radar this season as a major beneficiary of the nation’s best offensive line, however, he has put together an extremely impressive body of work over the course of his career at Alabama, having averaged nearly 7 yards per carry throughout his three seasons with the Crimson Tide. Lacy has excellent size and strength, combined with fantastic balance and vision that should translate well to the NFL. His top end speed will be the biggest concern, but a strong combine performance will put those questions to bed, further boosting his draft stock. He will, however, surely be challenged by North Carolina’s Giovani Bernard as the top back selected this year. Previously: 20

stock up24.) Cordarrelle Patterson, Wide Receiver, Tennessee – 6’3″ 205 lbs: Patterson may be the most athletically gifted player at the wide receiver position this year, possessing a fantastic leaping ability, top end speed, and the ability to catch the ball at its highest point. He will need to put together a very strong combine, however, to prove that he has first round athleticism and maneuverability, as he tended to disappear against top level competition this season, namely Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina. Previously: NR

stock up25.) Kevin Minter, Inside Linebacker, LSU – 6’2″ 244 lbs: Minter has excellent size for the inside linebacker and is simply a tackling machine, posting double digit tackles in 5 contests this year, including an astounding 20 in an October loss at Florida. Minter has the range, tenacity, and instinct to start right away next season. The combine, like many others, will be crucial to his draft stock. Previously: NR