NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Wild Card Weekend Edition

Jake Benaquisto with his Best Bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend

My regular season was very disappointing, as I finished with a record of 40-44-1 against the spread. Luckily, I still have a few more weeks to lose money as we approach Wild Card Weekend.

PLAYOFF FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!

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NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Wild Card Weekend Edition

Week 17 Recap: Another week of just barely missing perfection, as I went 4-1 against the spread. I was able to end the regular season on a positive note and my record improved to 50-34-1. The NFL playoffs are practically a holiday for degenerate gamblers such as myself, and I’m ready to dive into these Wild Card Weekend games. 

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Turn On The Jets Razer Sport Wild Card Weekend Buffet

Joe Caporoso with a Wild Card Weekend preview, Buffet Style, courtesy of Razer Sport!

Every Wednesday or Thursday during the NFL season, Joe Caporoso will break down the upcoming week of NFL action. Unfasten the belts and prepare to gorge on another weekend of fandom, fantasy, gambling, tweeting, cheering, complaining…and complaining. 

The Buffet is brought to you by Razer Sport (www.RazerSport.com) – The world’s most respected sports betting consultants and handicappers, who are producing winners every single week. Visit Razer Sport to sign up for FREE and start winning like a RAZER member. Give them a follow on Twitter right here as well! 

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Author: Joe Caporoso

Joe Caporoso is the Owner and EIC of Turn On The Jets. His writing has been featured in the New York Times, Huffington Post, MMQB and AdWeek. Caporoso played football his entire life, including four years at Muhlenberg as a wide receiver, where he was arguably the slowest receiver to ever start in school history. He is the EVP of Content at Whistle Sports

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Wild-Card Weekend Edition

Joe Caporoso with a 12 Pack of Jets observations and NFL Predictions heading into Wild Card Weekend

Last week we wrapped up our New York Jets predictions for the season. Against the spread, we went 10-6 and on wins and losses we came out to 8-8. However, similar to the Jets front office we believe that is an ascending 8-8 and we are headed in the right direction. Here is a collection of predictions for Wild-Card Weekend and a few off-season thoughts on the Jets…

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Turn On The Jets – Wild-Card Weekend NFL Picks

THe TOJ staff gives their picks for WIld-Card Weekend

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The Race for Steak continues. Only 11 games to go… 

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (137-112-7)

2. Chris Gross (129-120-7)

3. Mike Donnelly (129-122-5)

4. Chris Celletti (126-124-6)

5. Joe Caporoso (114-135-7)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (12-4)

Cincinnati (+4) at Houston – This is a popular pick…almost popular enough to make me want to change it. However, Matt Schaub has never played in a playoff game and has looked generally mediocre the final month of the season. The Texans defense has started to slip due to injuries and they lack weapons in the passing game outside of Andre Johnson. Beyond that, they are terrible on special teams which is a key ingredient in allowing any upset to happen. The Bengals are quietly very good on defense, good enough to think they will be within 3 points and maybe steal a win.

Green Bay (-8) vs. Minnesota – There is nothing comfortable about betting against Adrian Peterson. Yet, sometimes it is as simple as Christian Ponder in Lambeau in January. What happens if this game gets to 21-7. How does Minnesota come back?

Baltimore (-6.5) vs. Indianapolis – Hate to go against Chuckstrong but the Ravens will be motivated for the last home game of Ray Lewis’ career. They have been far from impressive down the stretch but this is a veteran, playoff tested team who will be playing at home against a rookie quarterback surrounded by a ton of inexperienced players. Andrew Luck has been terrific but remains prone to turnovers. Look for the Ravens to take advantage of that and both win and cover.

Seattle (-3) at Washington – The best game of the weekend. Seattle has a far superior defense which will be the difference here. Robert Griffin III is clearly not at 100% right now, which means Washington won’t have enough to overcome Seattle’s pass rush and the playmaking ability of Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch. Also Seattle has a nice special teams advantage with Leon Washington returning kicks and punts.

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (11-5)

  • Houston (-4) over Cincinnati 
  • Green Bay (-8) over Minnesota
  • Baltimore (-6.5) over Indianpolis 
  • Washington (+3) over Seattle 

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-8)

  • Cincinnati (+4) over Houston
  • Green Bay (-8) over Minnesota
  • Indianapolis (+6.5) over Baltimore
  • Washington (+3) over Seattle 

Chris Celletti

Last Week (9-7)

Check Best Bets for more details

  • Cincinnati (+4) over Houston
  • Green Bay (-8) over Minnesota
  • Indianapolis (+6.5) over Baltimore
  • Washington (+3) over Seattle 

Chris Gross

Last Week (8-8)

  • Cincinnati (+4) over Houston
  • Minnesota (+8) over Green Bay
  • Baltimore (-6.5) over Indianapolis 
  • Seattle (-3) over Washington 

TOJ Wild Card Weekend Reaction

TOJ with reaction to wild-card weekend and some early thoughts on the divisional round match-ups

A collection of thoughts from wild-card weekend, most importantly starting with…No more of this! Spare us!

Between this commercial, the rumors of Brian Schottenheimer returning as the New York Jets offensive coordinator, and watching the Giants continue to win…aren’t we suffering enough right now? I know you miss our Jets in the playoffs America, I can tell because the 10 people I watched the game with couldn’t stop referencing the Jets and their enduring hate for them. Beyond that, NFL Countdown still spent a healthy 15 minutes talking about them. Anyway, I am ranting…

Five Things I Learned From Wild Card Weekend

1. Marvin Lewis Shouldn’t Be Allowed To Hold A Challenge Flag You might have thought he would have learned from the mistakes he made in the 2009 playoffs against the Jets but he didn’t. Nobody does a better job of wasting timeouts and challenging meaningless plays than Lewis and he kept it up this past Saturday. The Bengals looked like the better team early in the game but everything turned on J.J Watt’s interception. Cincinnati isn’t ready to overcome that type of punch in the gut on the road. Houston buried them in the second half, thanks to a power running game, an overwhelming defense, and a well managed game by T.J. Yates.

2. This Isn’t Madden, Mike SmithSomething about the quarterback sneak, twice on 4th and 1, behind a smaller center, when you have your power running back not involved didn’t feel like it made sense. The Falcons were smacked around on both sides of the ball but could have kept it competitive by making a play in a few big spots, which they just couldn’t do.

3. This Tebow Thing Really Makes No SenseAfter the three blowouts by the favorites, we all should have seen the overtime upset by the underdog coming. Tebow played the game of his life against Pittsburgh, can he do it two weeks in a row?

4. Calvin Johnson Is A MonsterIt is a shame that such a great game by him went to waste. He should spend some time in the off-season teaching his defensive backs how to catch, because if they could, this could have been a different game.

5. People Love Comparing This Giants Team To The 2007 TeamWe have heard it about 8 million times in the past few weeks, so much that it is starting to feel like they are favorites this Sunday against Green Bay.

I do admit the Giants should be confident heading to Green Bay and that it should be a tight game. Yet, don’t forget that this is Aaron Rodgers under center, not Brett Favre, the killer interception won’t be coming from him. Jason Pierre-Paul has already guaranteed a win, but somehow I don’t think the defending champs at 15-1 will be laying down too easily at home.

In the other games, unless Joe Flacco lays a complete egg, I can’t ese Houston winning in Baltimore. Jets fans, who else would you be rooting for right now in the AFC besides the Ravens? The Jets are built on the same formula as them, you want to see it work. Beyond that, I think we’d all vomit at the thought of another Patriots Super Bowl appearance or seeing Tebow come out of the AFC. When it comes to Saturday, you have to root for Denver and hope their magic doesn’t run out at the hands of Brady and Belichick.

In San Francisco, I think too many are caught up in the game being outside. It is supposed to be good enough weather this weekend and unless a rain storm hits, I feel better with Drew Brees, in the middle of an epically good season from him, than I do against Alex Smith in his first playoff game.

By the way, we were all reminded this past weekend how much the Jets miss Jerricho Cotchery. Derrick Mason just retired by the way, Mike Tannenbaum.

TOJ Wild-Card Weekend Picks

TOJ with his wild-card weekend picks. Who do you like?

After a very average season of regular season picks against the spread, I am ready to impart my wisdom on the wild-card round of the playoffs. If you have said before the season that I’d be settling in this weekend to watch T.J. Yates, Andy Dalton, and Tim Tebow play, I would have said you were as crazy as Rex Ryan when he decided to name Santonio Holmes captain. Oh well.

Final Regular Season Record: 124-120-5

Houston (-3) vs. Cincinnati – This should be an evenly matched, fairly low-scoring game. I do think the Houston running game will control the clock and Arian Foster or Ben Tate will break a big run at some point that will prove to be difference. Cincinnati made it into the playoffs without ever posting a truly impressive win, I do think this will be tight into the fourth quarter but they won’t be able to make the big play late to win this game.

Detroit (+10.5) vs. New Orleans – I do think New Orleans will ultimately win this game but it will be closer than most people anticipate. Detroit has the firepower to run up points in the dome and I think they will remain in striking distance until the fourth quarter, when Drew Brees will make a few plays that Matthew Stafford won’t.

New York Giants (-3) vs. Atlanta – A very evenly matched game, in which both teams should run up a good amount of points. The key to this game will be how well Atlanta can run the football in order to set up the play action passing game where they can hurt the Giants secondary with their big play weapons. Ultimately, in a game this tight I am going with the better quarterback, who is Eli Manning.

Pittsburgh (-8.5) vs. Denver – This game has 20-3 written all over it. Tim Tebow isn’t ready to beat this Pittsburgh defense.

Initial Thoughts On Wild-Card Weekend

Initial thoughts on the match-ups for wild-card weekend. Who are you rooting for?

Contrary to the beliefs of some New York Jets fans out there, the world and the NFL season did not end this past Sunday. The playoffs kick off this weekend, with a particularly weak AFC field that does make the Jets missing the playoffs sting a little more. Here is a quick look at the four games –

Cincinnati at Houston – Pretty bizarre to think that the Bengals are in the playoffs when most people ranked them as the 32nd best team in the league heading into the season. Remember how they looked in the pre-season against the Jets? Who would have thought? Regardless, they have a tough defense, a young quarterback who isn’t afraid to put the ball down the field, and a monster at receiver in A.J. Green. Houston is down to their third quarterback in rookie T.J. Yates and has struggled down the stretch. This game is a complete toss-up, yet Jets fans should be rooting for the Texans. Why? You want Pittsburgh (after they dismantle Denver) going to New England in round two to end our beloved Patriots season. If the Bengals win, they are heading to a blow out loss in New England, which nobody wants to watch.

Detroit at New Orleans – Even though we all remember picking the Saints to easily win wild-card weekend last year and watch them lose a shocker to Seattle, it is hard to imagine the same thing happening two years in a row. The Saints are nearly unbeatable in their dome and the Lions are one of the teams they smacked around in it during the regular season. Detroit’s only chance is to beat New Orleans at their own game in a shootout and I just can’t see Drew Brees coming up short here.

Atlanta at Giants – The best match-up of the weekend. Atlanta has the weapons to take advantage of a suspect Giants secondary with Roddy White, Julio Jones, and Tony Gonzalez but can they protect Matt Ryan, who has never won a playoff game, long enough so he can get the ball out? Eli Manning and Victor Cruz have turned into arguably the best big play combo in the league and will put up points on an inconsistent Falcons defense. This should be a high scoring, close game that comes down to the final possession.

Pittsburgh at Denver – Whether you want to embrace it or not, Tim Tebow is not a good NFL quarterback and the Broncos offense is a joke. The only way this game is close is if Denver’s defense puts together an epically good performance.