TOJ with his week 16 NFL picks. Who are your best bets?
Last Week: 8-8
Season Record: 108-108-5
Week 16 NFL Picks (Lines Courtesy of BetUS)
- Houston (-7) vs. Indianapolis
- Kansas City (-2.5) vs. Oakland
- Denver (-3) vs. Buffalo
- Tennessee (-7) vs. Jacksonville
- Arizona (+4.5) vs. Cincinnati
- New England (-10) vs. Miami
- Baltimore (-13) vs. Cleveland
- Minnesota (+7) vs. Washington
- Carolina (-8.5) vs. Tampa Bay
- San Diego (+2.5) vs. Detroit
- Seattle (+3) vs. San Francisco
- Philadelphia (+1.5) vs. Dallas
- Green Bay (-13) vs. Chicago
- New Orleans (-7) vs. Atlanta
TOJ with a closer look at the NFL playoff picture, where week 16 could make or break a number of teams
It is amazing how many teams remain relevant in the playoff race in both conferences, with 11 of the 16 teams in each the AFC and NFC still having a realistic shot of making the post-season. This weekend should end hopes for many of those teams, so it will be interesting to see who rises to the occasion in a big spot and who falls off as a contender.
- New England (11-3)
- Baltimore (10-4)
- Houston (10-4)
- Denver (8-6)
- Pittsburgh (10-4)
- Jets (8-6)
- Cincinnati (8-6)
- Tennessee (7-7)
- Oakland (7-7)
- San Diego (7-7)
- Kansas City (6-8)
With games left against Miami and Buffalo, New England has all but wrapped up home-field throughout the playoffs. Pittsburgh ends the season with the Rams and Browns, which will keep pressure on Baltimore to win their last two to clinch the AFC North title and the second seed. Houston had a tough loss last week and unless the Ravens slip up will end up being the three seed. All four teams remain alive in the AFC West and at this point I think San Diego might be the most dangerous one if they get into the tournament. The battle for the number six seed will likely come down to the Jets and Bengals, both of whom face 7-7 NFC teams this weekend, with the Jets hosting the Giants and the Bengals hosting the surging Cardinals.
- Green Bay (13-1)
- San Francisco (11-3)
- New Orleans (11-3)
- Dallas (8-6)
- Atlanta (9-5)
- Detroit (9-5)
- Seattle (7-7)
- Chicago (7-7)
- Giants (7-7)
- Arizona (7-7)
- Philadelphia (6-8)
Green Bay is still safe as the number one seed, while the number two remains a toss up. Both New Orleans and San Francisco have tough games this week, against the Seahawks and Falcons respectively. The NFC East is wide open and it is crazy to think that Philadelphia still has a somewhat realistic shot to sneak into the playoffs as a division winner. Atlanta and Detroit only need to win one more game each to clinch a playoff spot but the Lions have San Diego and Green Bay the next two weeks. If they lose out, it could open the door for a team like Seattle or Arizona to somehow sneak in.
Why in the world should anybody have confidence in the New York Jets at this point?
It would be easy to find the prospect of the New York Jets winning another football game this year or a playoff game down the road laughable after watching them play yesterday. It would be laughable only if you haven’t watched the NFL this year or in recent years.
People will say the New York Jets haven’t beat a good football team all season and that their two three game winning streaks this year were a result of a low level of competition. Only that “awful” Washington team they beat by two touchdowns just manhandled the New York Giants for the second time this season. The “terrible” Kansas City Chiefs team just ended the Green Bay Packers quest for perfection. The “pathetic” San Diego Chargers just destroyed the Baltimore Ravens and have now won three games in a row. Any win the NFL, particularly this year, is a quality win and the Jets have eight of them.
The prospect of it “not being worth” the Jets even making playoffs because they won’t be able to beat anybody when they get there couldn’t make any less sense. Did anybody watch the Jets beat a 14-2 New England Patriots team last January, who beat them 45-3 a couple of months before that game? Did anybody see the Seattle Seahawks knock off the New Orleans Saints last January?
Who in the AFC is so unbeatable that the Jets can’t make noise in the tournament? Houston, who’d they play in the first round if the season ended today is starting a rookie fifth round quarterback and lost to Carolina yesterday. Baltimore is fresh off getting blown out by the Chargers. New England…anything goes in a rivalry game. Pittsburgh has looked far from unbeatable all season and is dealing with a banged up Ben Roethlisberger. The AFC is wide open.
The Jets aren’t a great a football team. They might not even be a good football team. They are a slight cut above average at 8-6. Yet, they were thoroughly average at 7-7 before they beat two teams who basically laid down for them to enter the 2009 playoffs where they pulled off two straight road wins. Last year, their 9-2 record turned into a 11-5 final record as the Jets were very average down the stretch.
If you think back, it made no sense to think the Jets could get within a half of the Super Bowl the past two years but they did. There is never ending cycle of things that make no sense which occur in the NFL and that was on perfect display yesterday.
All that matters right now is beating the New York Giants, another average football team in a league full of them, the Jets have done it eight times already this season and there is no reason they can’t do it again on Saturday.