Turn On The Jets Week 12 Roundtable – Jets vs. Pats Predictions

The TOJ staff gives their predictions for Jets vs. Patriots on Thanksgiving night

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross– Jets 24, New England 21: Tomorrow, the Jets will display the same mentality that they had last week in St. Louis, the mindset that their backs are against the wall and they need to swing from the hip to survive throughout the rest of the season. While New York is historically bad under Rex Ryan when facing the Patriots in the clubs’ second regular season matchups, they have yet to play under these circumstances.

In the past, New York has been poised to top New England for the divisional lead in match up number 2, but now they host the Patriots as a team of desperation. How much will this team be willing to do to survive? One thing about the Jets in the Ryan era is that they have fought through a lot of adversity. Expect another aggressive gameplan from both coordinators. Sparano needs to pull out all the stops, including a further commitment to his 3 headed RB approach. Defensively, look for Rex to disguise his pressure schemes, creating the illusion that he is sending more pass rushers than he actually is. Tom Brady is lights out against the blitz (86 attempts, 10 TDs, 0 INTs, 90.0 QBR, 127.2 passer rating), so Ryan must let Brady think he has the Jets right where he wants them, only to drop 7 and rush 4. Blitzes will be neccesary, but it is essential the Jets get to Brady, otherwise it will be lights out. Expect a hard fought, chippy game, one that once again comes down to the wire, only with New York coming out on top this time around.

Rob Celletti – It’s amazing what one win can do. Last week, I truly believed that this team was dead in the water.  Granted, they played a weak Rams team that came into a clear letdown situation, and had an extremely poor gameplan to boot (thanks Schotty!).  But that win certainly helped lift the gloom off of the Jets season and gives the team and its fans at least half a hope of saving the 2012 season.

And honestly, there are two ways to look at this: 1) be a pessimist, say “get it over with” and expect the Jets to lose; 2) get excited and root hard for the Jets in a game that they certainly have a chance to win, at home vs. New England on a short week.  I’m taking the latter.  It’s the holiday season after all, which, if nothing else, is a time for positive vibes. The Jets played the Patriots tough and should have beaten them earlier in the season. Mark Sanchez shredded the New England secondary that week, to the tune of 328 yards on 28/41 passing. Expect more of that, plus a stronger dose of the run game. To me, this game comes down to if the Jets can fluster Tom Brady, whose emotional approach to the game can sometimes be his undoing, if he’s rattled. The Jets have done this before (see Week 2 in 2009, AFC Divisional Playoff in January of 2011). What the hell? Jets 30, Patriots 27 – on a late Nick Folk field goal

Mike Donnelly – Everything is set up for the Jets to take this game and make us as fans even more confused as to what kind of team they are. Rob Gronkowski is out and the Patriots only had a short week to prepare for the game without him. The Jets are home, they’re desperate, and home teams always have an advantage on these Thursday games. I laid out my 3 keys to the game in yesterday’s Stock Watch column, and I think the Jets are going to end up putting check marks next to all 3 of them when all is said and done. They’ll protect the football, they’ll harass Tom Brady, and with Gronk out, they’ll find a way to slow down Wes Welker. Let’s be real: The Jets should have won the last time these two teams met in Foxboro a few weeks ago. This time they will get over the hump and pull it out down the stretch, 24-20

Chris Celletti – If I were the Jets, I would throw 40 times on Thursday, right around the same amount they did in Week 7, because that’s how you beat the Patriots. Something tells me the Jets are going to scale Sanchez back a bit and look for a very balanced attack. As for the Jets’ defense, I think people are putting a little bit too much credence into Rob Gronkowski’s injury. He’s a big loss, but this doesn’t mean the Patriots aren’t going to be able to move the ball or score points. It will be up to the Jets’ defense to make a few big plays in the red zone and make New England kick field goals. To me, this game comes down to Mark Sanchez and whether he can hold on to the ball and make plays down the field. The chances will be there, and Sanchez very well could throw for over 300 yards and a few touchdowns. If he does, the Jets win. Give us a nice kickoff to the holiday season boys. Go out and beat the Pats, 27-24

THANKSGIVING PICKS

  • Joe – DET (+3), DAL (-3), NYJ (+7)
  • Chris G – HOU (-3), WAS (+3), NYJ (+7)
  • Mike – DET (+3), DAL (-3), NYJ (+7)
  • Rob – DET (+3), DAL (-3), NYJ (+7)
  • Chris C – HOU (-3), DAL (-3), NYJ (+7)

 

Turn On The Jets Week 12 Roundtable – Jets vs. Pats Match-Up

The TOJ staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to in the Jets vs. Patriots game tomorrow night

Joe Caporoso – Sanchez. Sanchez. Sanchez. Simply put, the Jets cannot win this game unless Mark Sanchez protects the football and makes a few plays down the field against a suspect New England secondary. He has been boom or bust against the Patriots in the past. If the Jets want to make a late season playoff run and Sanchez wants any semblance of job security for next year, it starts with a big time performance tomorrow night.

Chris Gross – Mike Westhoff vs. Himself: Has the former star of Hard Knocks already mentally checked out, about 8 weeks prior to his official retirement? The Jets once stout special teams play has been a disaster as of late. Most recently, last week in St. Louis, New York avoided an ultimate disaster after a holding penalty negated what would have been a Rams kickoff returned for a touchdown. Add the blocked field goal and failed fake punt, and it’s a miracle that this team was still able to win in a relatively dominant fashion. To pull the upset tomorrow night against the Patriots, the Jets will likely need to play a perfect game in all three phases. This means that New York cannot afford another Special Teams blunder. A blocked kick, big return, or falling asleep on the kickoff return team, resulting in New England successfully executing a surprise onsides kick (See Miami), will all spell disaster for Gang Green. Westhoff needs to have his unit ready, because based on their play over the past few weeks, Bill Belichick is likely licking his chops while thinking about how he can expose the flaws in New York’s special teams

Rob Celletti – Everyone knows that the Patriots have an abysmal secondary, which is why the key matchup this week for the Jets is actually their run game vs. New England’s defensive front. Mark Sanchez has proven to be an effective quarterback when he’s got a run game supporting him, as this opens up misdirection and playaction.  n my opinion, the Jets have gotten away from the ground game quickly in their losses this season, even when not trailing by multiple scores. Even if the Jets go down 10-0 quickly tomorrow night, they would be wise to continue handing off to the new backfield committee of Greene, Powell and McKnight.  Sanchez should still attempt 30+ passes in this game, but how successful he is on those throws will be tied to how successful the Jets are on the ground

Mike Donnelly – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing is the Jets Pass Rush vs. Tom Brady. There is no question that getting in Brady’s face and pressuring him is the only way to throw him off his game and give yourself the best chance to win. Look at what the Giants did to him in those Super Bowls. Look what the Jets did to him in that 2010 playoff game. It can be done, and the Jets need it to be done. Mo Wilkerson is playing like an absolute beast and Quinton Coples is developing nicely along side of him. Bryan Thomas and Calvin Pace are on the downside of their careers, but don’t be surprised to see them step up in what will likely be their last Patriots rivalry game of their careers. Ricky Sapp is getting a longer look lately, and there was ever a time for him to announce his arrival to the NFL, it’s this week. If the Jets are going to have any chance, they need to generate a pass rush, and that’s what I’ll be watching for.

Chris Celletti – The opportunity is in Mark Sanchez’s hands. The Jets’ quarterback can win this game for his team, he just needs to go out and do it. Just as in their Week 7 matchup against the Patriots, Sanchez will have chances all day to throw the ball down the field and rip off big chunks of yards against the Patriots’ spotty secondary. While the Pats’ offense is a bit banged up and missing their biggest weapon, I still wouldn’t bank on them putting up something like 17 points. They’re still the league’s best offense, and there’s that guy Tom Brady under center. So in order for the Jets to pull the upset, as they almost did in Foxboro earlier this year, they’ll need to put up points. The guy that can make sure that happens? Sanchez. Let’s see it, 6.

Turn On The Jets Week 11 Roundtable – Jets vs. Rams Match-Ups

The TOJ staff debates what match-up they are most looking forward to in the Jets/Rams week 11 game

Joe Caporoso – I hate to reiterate what most of our writers are saying but how could you not look forward to Rex Ryan’s defense versus Brian Schottenheimer’s offense? Without question a low point in a year full of them would be to watch Schottenheimer hang a 35 spot on Ryan. Considering how much crap Schotty took while he was here and how much pride Rex takes in his defense, it would be an ultimate gut punch to this organization. You can bet on Rex throwing the kitchen sink out there this week and likely playing more aggressive than usual. Are the Jets up to representing their now beleaguered head coach against a very average offense? Or will they let the humiliation continue?

Chris Gross – Match Up: Rex Ryan’s Defense vs. Brian Schottenheimer’s offense – Everyone has been talking about the eagerness to see Mark Sanchez face the Rams defense, for the world seems convinced that Sanchez’s former tutor, now Rams Offensive Coordinator, Brian Schottenheimer will have the exact script necessary for St. Louis’s defensive staff to magnify the surplus of Sanchez’s weaknesses. However, after 3 years of having Schotty on his staff, Rex Ryan is likely licking his chops at the opportunity to go head to head with his first and former offensive coordinator with the Jets. New York’s offense became highly predictable under the Schottenheimer regime, and Rex likely has an abundance of plays up his sleeve that he began scripting the moment he found out he’d be coaching against Schotty. Look for a dominant defensive effort led by one of Rex’s best, most prepared, coaching efforts this season.

Mike Donnelly –  The only matchup I’m really looking forward to seeing is Rex Ryan’s defense against Brian Schottenheimer and the Rams offense. The Jets did a very good job against Marshawn Lynch and the Seattle run game for most of the game last week, and I expect that to carry over against a lesser offense in St. Louis. But the big thing is how Rex is going to match wits with the Jets former offensive coordinator that was absolutely trashed here. If Rex lets the Rams come out and drop over 20 points on them and make the defense look silly, then things are much worse in Jets land than we even thought, and it will be the first time I will start to waver on whether or not Rex Ryan’s job security should be in question.

Rob Celletti – This season has gotten so strange that it feels absurd to discuss what’s happening on the field when it comes to the Jets, but let’s put aside the sideshow for a moment.  There are still seven games to play after all, and believe it or not, the Jets are going to try and win them (I think).

So what matchup can the Jets exploit against the Rams on Sunday?  How about this: commit to the running game against an average defensive front.  The Jets are arguably the most disorganized offense in the league for a variety of reasons that don’t all involve the play of Mark Sanchez.  If you look at when Sanchez has success, it usually happens when the running game is productive.  But whether it’s due to poor blocking, plodder extraordinaire Shonn Greene, or simply Tony Sparano’s gameplanning, the Jets have not stuck with their guns on the ground, especially when falling behind – even if only by one score. The Jets should be able to get something done in the run game on Sunday, and I’m excited to see Khalil Bell get some burn. He can’t be worse than Greene, can he?

TJ Rosenthal – We look forward to watching Schotty vs Rex. What would be more humiliating Rex, canning his OC only to get torched by him the following season, while the new offense and OC are worse? We honestly at this point, don’t know which of the two we are rooting for in this matchup. We are carrying decades of anger into this game. Whatever needs to be exposed for the true real nature of who the Jets are as an organization, and an offense this Sunday, let’s see it. The Rex and Schotty matchup will be a window into alot of it.

Chris Celletti – What I’m most looking forward to is a pretty simple, general matchup: the Jets’ offense vs. the Rams’ defense. The Jets’ offense has reached new levels of ineptitude over the past two games. The Rams have an okay but unspectacular defense, but at this point it doesn’t even matter who New York is going up against. Will they show any fight? Will Tony Sparano actually call a competent game? Can Mark Sanchez go an entire game without making a mistake that would make a high school QB cringe? Before we write the Jets off as automatically getting blown out, let’s all remember that the Rams aren’t very good. If, and its a gargantuan if, the Jets can actually get in the end zone a few times, they can win.

Turn On The Jets Week 10 Roundtable – Jets vs. Seahawks Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets vs. Seattle

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack 

Chris Gross – Prediction: Seahawks 23 Jets 13 – The Jets enter week 10 heading into a hostile environment at CenturyLink Field. Seattle utilizes their 12th man like no other team in the NFL, making CenturyLink a nightmare for opposing teams. In order to keep it close, the Jets must be able tune out the roaring crowd, a daunting task for a team that has shown little mental toughness all season long. Offensively, Seattle will look to attack New York’s vulnerable run defense, and based on the play of this unit over the past few weeks, coupled with the fact that NT Kenrick Ellis is out yet again this week, there is no reason to believe that the Seahawks won’t be able to get Marshawn Lynch and company going for 130+ yards. Lynch will be keyed, allowing for Russell Wilson to take some shots deep. There is no serious threat to the Jets secondary in Seattle’s receiving corps, but look for the Seahawks to use a lot of play action, particularly if Lynch is ripping off anywhere between 4-5 yards per carry. If New York can slow “Beast Mode,” they should be able to keep Seattle’s offense in check throughout the game. However, with the way Lynch has been running, don’t expect this sub par run defense to be able to contain him for 60 minutes.

The key for New York’s offense once again lies with Mark Sanchez. Will Sanchez finally show some consistent leadership and tenacity, or will he come out petrified of Seattle’s vaunted pass rush forcing him to avoid stepping into his throws, missing target after target? The offensive line will need to be at its best and the Jets will likely provide help in pass blocking schemes, leaving an extra tight end or back in on anything greater than a 3 step drop. Shonn Greene will struggle to get going for anything more than 3.1-3.3 yards per carry, as he has a very limited supporting cast once again, so the play of Sanchez, his receivers, and the offensive line is crucial.
The Jets will do enough to keep it close for about 2 and a half quarters, with Seattle pulling away with a touchdown about half way through the fourth quarter. Sanchez will have opportunity to put the Jets in a position for a late comeback, however New York’s fate will ultimately be sealed by number 6 committing a turnover within 5 minutes left to play.

Mike Donnelly –  I touched on what I expect the Jets to do in my 2nd Half Preview Stock Watch. I think the Jets are going to play their best game of the season and win 20-16. Coming off their bye, these players and coaches know how important this game is if they’re going to make any kind of run in the second half of the season. I expect Mark Sanchez to play a very efficient — if unspectacular — game. The defense is where this game will be won, however. I’ve never been much of a believer in Russell Wilson and that hasn’t changed. The Jets are going to load up to stuff the run and come after Wilson in a big way. I have full confidence in Rex Ryan and his staff that he was able to fix some issues during their week off and add some new wrinkles that will make this defense start to look more like the dominant unit we all expected at the start of the season. Jets pull this one out, make everyone think they’re good again, then lose in comical fashion the following week. It’s all a very Jets thing to do.

Rob Celletti –  I’m not going to beat anyone over the head with logic or reason here. Instead, I’m going with my gut: I like the Jets to win this game.  I’m a believer in “due” and Seattle hasn’t lost a home game yet this season. NFL teams are usually energized after a bye week, so I expect a much better start from the Jets compared to what we saw two weeks ago. Russell Wilson is a rookie and I think the Jets have a good chance to force him into some mistakes, like they did to Andrew Luck (a better quarterback, in my opinion) a few weeks ago. I think the final score is close and the Jets pull it out, 19-16.

Chris Celletti – As I mentioned in our roundtable earlier this week, the most important matchup of this game, to me, is whether or not the Jets can keep Marshawn Lynch from running wild. You would think with some extra rest off the bye week the Jets’ defense should be fresh, but personally I just think that matchup favors the Seahawks too heavily and is going to prove to be too meaningful to this game. Although, I do fully expect the Jets’ pass defense to shut down Seattle’s passing attack with rookie QB Russell Wilson. If they can’t, it’s game over. Offensively, I don’t see how the Jets are going to put up too many points. This seems like a game where Mark Sanchez will struggle in, most quarterbacks do in Seattle. The Jets will need a big play or two on special teams in order to stay in this one late. Either way, I think Seattle defends their home, winning 23-16.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 10 – Jets vs. Seattle Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff discusses what match-ups they are most looking forward to in the Jets week 10 game vs. Seattle

The Turn On The Jets staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to this weekend when the New York Jets travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter –

Joe Caporoso – The Jets aren’t beating Seattle unless they do two things: slow down Marshawn Lynch (keep him somewhere in the 60-80 total rushing yards area) and don’t let the Seahawks pass rush take over the game. If this game is put into Russel Wilson’s hands to win, the Jets defense has a good shot of forcing a few mistakes and putting themselves into a position for an upset. If Mark Sanchez can stay relatively upright, he has a better chance of protecting the football and making a few plays down the stretch. This is a brutally tough match-up for the Jets and one that will require them to excel in areas they have struggled in all season.

Rob Celletti –   I’m interested in seeing how the Jets’ run defense handles Marshawn Lynch. Everyone who loves Seattle loves to praise Russell Wilson, whose career is off to a nice start, but this team’s offense starts and ends with an effective ground game.  Lynch has been stellar this year, and has gotten hot as of late, with three straight 100-yard efforts and touchdowns in his last two. He can actually eclipse the 1,000 yard mark with a 120-yard performance on Sunday.

If that happens, the Jets are toast, and the game won’t be close.  But the defensive front has improved steadily over the last month and will be bolstered by the return of Kenrick Ellis. If the Jets hold Lynch to something like 15 carries and 55 yards, that will go a long way towards keeping the game close.

TJ Rosenthal –  Energy. Seattle is a brutal place for opponents to play. The 12th man keeps the Seahawks amped up all day. Forget isolating attention on “Beast Mode” Marshawn Lynch. The Jets have to equal what the Seahawks energy level is. We want to see passion, and more desperation. Play like the season is on the line, because it is. Please don’t tell us about who is left on the schedule after Sunday. 3-6 is a death wish.

Chris Gross –  Marshawn Lynch vs. Jets Run Defense – “Beast Mode” currently ranks 2nd in the NFL in total rushing with 881 yards and 4 touchdowns on 185 carries, averaging just below 98 yards per game. Conversely, the Jets rank 29th in run defense, currently surrendering an average of 141.4 yards per game to opposing backs. New York can easily make Seattle’s offense one dimensional, as they have previously feasted on opposing rookie quarterbacks this season (Tannehill week 3, Luck week 6), however, the Seahawks’ rushing attack, led by Lynch, could certainly be enough to keep the Jets defense on their heals. Kenrick Ellis is set to return from injury this week, which will greatly bolster the front seven due to his ability to occupy multiple blockers at the Nose Tackle position. This should realistically give the Jets linebackers more space to avoid blockers and make plays. The key in this matchup will be tackling. We have previously discussed New York’s tackling woes in our defensive film breakdowns, and when facing a back like Lynch, who has made a name for himself in this league through his ability to accumulate yards after contact, sound tackling will be even more important. Seattle’s passing game is average at best. No receiver on the roster poses any severe threat to New York’s strong secondary, however if the Jets allow Lynch to gain extra yards after contact due to poor tackling, Seattle’s passing offense, or lack thereof, will be irrelevant. Lynch needs to be shut down or it will surely be another long Sunday for Gang Green.

Mike Donnelly – Jets Coaches vs. Themselves – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing isn’t necessarily one that’s going to happen between the lines, but rather on the sidelines. I want to see how Rex Ryan and Tony Sparano prepared during the by week to better use their players. There has been endless talk about Tim Tebow’s role and how it will be altered, but I’m interested in seeing how they come out and attack this very good Seattle defense. I want to see if roles will grow for players like Joe McKnight and Jeremy Kerley. On the other side of the ball, I want to see what has changed with our defense. WIll Quinton Coples play a bigger role finally? Can we see more Demario Davis and Marcus Dowtin? Will the older players like Bart Scott, Bryan Thomas, and Calvin Pace finally be weeded out? Starting this week in Seattle, we’re going to have a pretty good idea of what we can expect the rest of the way.

Chris Celletti – Can the Jets prevent Beast Mode? The only chance that Gang Green has in this game is if they can keep Marshawn Lynch largely in check. I fully expect to see the Jets’ offense at its horrifying worst. Seattle’s defense is young, fast, stifling and makes things happen (or, you know, what the Jets’ defense should be with Rex Ryan as head coach), and regardless of even getting into Mark Sanchez, the Jets’ offense just isn’t very good overall. However, as long as they show up ready to play, I think the Jets’ defense will do just fine against rookie QB Russell Wilson and the Seahawks’ receivers. It’s Lynch that could be the big problem. If he runs all over the Jets, they’ll control the clock, field position, and will probably put up points. That points to a loss for the Jets. Stop Lynch, and you may stay in this thing until the end.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 8 – Jets vs. Dolphins Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff with their predictions for Jets vs. Dolphins this Sunday

Hot Sauce for everybody! 

Joe Caporoso12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 24, Dolphins 10 – Contrary to popular belief, the Jets have been playing some of the most consistent football that they have in about a year over the course of the past three games. The defense is beginning to get back form, despite lacking their best player, as well as an extremely inconsistent pass rush. Offensively, we are beginning to see a cohesion develop amongst the players that we have not seen in years past. Youngsters like Jeremy Kerley have stepped up to become significant players in this offense, while veterans like Dustin Keller have come back to instill strong play and leadership. Over the past two games, Shonn Greene seems to have found whatever it is he may have been missing in the first few weeks of the season, while Joe McKnight has put any questions about his toughness and commitment level to rest. The key with this group, as always, will be with Mark Sanchez. Sanchez played, what I believe was, his best half of football in New England last week. If Sanchez can build off of that strong second half performance, he should have no problem picking apart a very suspect Dolphins secondary. Look for Rex Ryan to throw the kitchen sink at Ryan Tannehill (5 INTs on the road this season) and Miami’s offense after being criticized for a conservative defensive approach last week. Expect Tannehill to turn the ball over at least twice, with Reggie Bush, who hasn’t had a 100 yard rushing effort since week 2, to be contained for the better part of the game. The Jets will look to pass to open up the run against the leagues 4th best rushing defense, and Sanchez will likely succeed, finishing with 275 yards and 2 touchdowns. The nature of these games are always interesting, so it will likely stay close for 3 quarters, with New York pulling away late, winning by two scores.

Rob Celletti –  Jets/Dolphins games are almost always dogfights.  The past few years, they haven’t exactly been displays of quality pro football. Mark Sanchez and Chad Henne seemed to be in races to the bottom in terms of quarterback play. So do I expect this trend to continue? Sort of. The Dolphins are coming off of a bye and will be healthy, fresh, and prepared. The Jets are playing very decent football, and have been for the last few weeks. Still, this matchup favors the home team. Ryan Tannehill has been solid, but is he ready to take down a good defense, in a divisional game on the road? I don’t believe so. Will Reggie Bush run rampant through the Jets’ front seven? He’ll be productive, sure, but I don’t think he dominates. On the flip side, Mark Sanchez has started to develop chemistry with Jeremy Kerley and his game has also been augmented by the return of Dustin Keller. The Miami secondary is porous – only slightly less so than New England’s statistically. Look for another good day from Sanchez (250 yards, 2 touchdowns). The game will be close, because AFC East games tend to be, but the Jets win and cover what I think is a low spread: Jets 24, Dolphins 16

Mike DonnellyPeople like to get on Rex Ryan for talking too much and being outlandish, but there truly is a method to his madness. Take this week for example. He knew his team was coming off a crushing loss in New England and could be facing a let down, so he spoke out about Reggie Bush and his comments from week 3. And wouldn’t ya know it, it didn’t take long for his players to immediately become focused and ready to dominate this Sunday. It won’t be an easy game, but I expect the defense to be a their best and hold Miami in check all game. The offense will continue to throw the ball well and do just enough to pull out a 20-10 victory.

Chris Celletti – I picked the Jets to cover the two point spread in my Best Bets piece, but I’m a little bit more worried about this game now than I initially was, because of the possibility of the weather impacting the game. If its rainy and windy, that will even out the advantage I expected the Jets to have in the passing game against Miami’s secondary. But rain or shine,  I still expect a big performance from the Jets’ defense. They have extra motivation now to shut down Reggie Bush, and they’ve always fared well against rookie quarterbacks at home under Rex Ryan. If the weather were to holds off, I think the Jets would put up a lot of points. Either way I like the Jets in this one; I’ll go 20-13.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 7 – Jets vs. Pats Predictions

The TOJ staff gives their predictions for Jets/Pats

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross –  Patriots 27, Jets 20- The Jets head into Foxboro coming off of a dominating performance against the young Indianapolis Colts at home. They face a New England team ranked 5th against the run with a very young and talented front 7, accompanied by an extremely explosive offensive unit. New York has been vastly improved over the past couple weeks, particularly defensively, where we have seen how creative and intelligent Rex Ryan truly is.

The keys for the Jets rely on another strong performance from the pass rush, and secure, smart play from Mark Sanchez. Defensively, if the Jets can get Quinton Coples, Muhammad Wilkerson, and Aaron Maybin in Tom Brady’s face, making him very uncomfortable, they might just have a chance to shut down New England’s high powered offensive attack. Offensively, New York needs to take advantage of every possibly opportunity they may get. The Jets cannot afford to have Sanchez miss open targets, particularly deep, or make careless turnovers.
New York will come into this game guns blazing. Rex will likely be very aggressive with the defense. Expect to see some pressure schemes designed to keep Brady off balance, accompanied by a surplus of personnel groups, including the “big nickel” package, designed to compete with the Patriots’ no huddle offense. On offense, the Jets will look to open up the run by testing New England’s secondary with a few early deep passes. Shonn Greene will get going again, but this week don’t expect another 100+ yard performance. Instead, Greene will likely get 20-25 carries for about 75-80 yards. Sanchez will play well enough to hold off Tim Tebow for another week, while the Jets keep it close all game, but ultimately fall short due to a strong 4th quarter by Brady and Co.

Mike Donnelly – While the Jets may have issues of their own this year, it’s important to keep in mind that the Patriots are not exactly THE PATRIOTS anymore. The defense is still amongst the worst in the NFL, and the offense doesn’t put up video game type numbers on offense like they used to. I expect the Jets to be outplayed, but make a few big plays throughout the game to make it more competitive than most think. Look for a healthy dose of Tebow, a big special teams play or two, and a few timely defensive plays (Tom Brady, meet Quinton Coples!) as the Jets shock the football world and pull out a 26-24 win.

Chris Celletti – If the Jets can keep Tom Brady relatively in check – eliminate big plays, get some hits on him, force a turnover or two – I think this going to be a close game throughout. The Jets are going to try and continue the success they had on the ground last week with Shonn Greene, even though there’s a much more formidable opponent in front of them this week. But I still think they’re going to be very conservative and try to get one of those “game managing, don’t lose it for us” games out of Mark Sanchez. I also expect plenty of Tim Tebow and the rest of the kitchen sink stuff we’ve seen over the past two weeks. The Jets know they need to do some of those things to beat superior teams. Unfortunately, I think Brady and Belichick outdo their counterparts by just enough, holding on late for a 24-17 win.

Rob Celletti -The Jets will play like an insulted, disrespected team on Sunday, and they should, being 10.5 point underdogs. I’m not saying the Jets are on equal footing with New England, but this is a “throw the record out” scenario.  Even if the Jets were 0-6, I’d think they would keep the game close against their arch rivals.

New England’s defense, particularly on the backend, is nothing to brag about. Mark Sanchez has had some of his best games as a pro against the Patriots and there will be places to throw the ball aggressively on Sunday. I also think the Jets will get a representative game on the ground from Shonn Greene and will hit on some creative things with Tim Tebow in the mix. The result of this game is incumbent upon the defense. The Jets can pull an upset if they hold New England to less than 24 points. If Wes Welker and the vaunted tight ends are running rampant in and around the Jets’ linebackers, a likely scenario, watch out.
In the end, the Jets battle to the end, but can’t muster anything on their final drive: New England 31, Jets 27.

Turn On The Jets Week 7 Roundtable – Jets vs. Pats Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to in Jets/Pats

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. Patriots secondary – The Patriots are extremely susceptible to the deep ball and for the Jets to pull the upset it will be up to Mark Sanchez to take advantage of that. We saw Russell Wilson do it last week. We saw Joe Flacco do it a few weeks before. Stephen Hill, Jeremy Kerley and yes Antonio Cromartie all have the speed to get down the field but Sanchez can’t misfire when the plays are there to be. Beyond that, he absolutely cannot turn the football over. Simply put for this season, when the Patriots don’t force turnovers, they don’t win.

Chris Gross – Patriots Tight Ends vs. Jets Safeties – The long awaited, heavy weight bout between LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell against Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez will finally be underway this Sunday in Foxboro. Gronkowski and Hernandez have fared well in their respective careers against New York with Gronkowski averaging 3.5 catches for 42.5 yards and .5 touchdowns and Hernandez averaging 5 receptions for 62.25 yards and .25 touchdowns per contest.

New York has been improved, but still somewhat average against opposing tight ends this season. Some games, they have done a good job of shutting down the position that shredded them time and time again last season, while other times, they have given up big chunks of yards and critical red zone touchdowns. At the end of the day, this year’s Jets are still giving up just 4.7 catches for 54 yards and .5 touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends.

New York had severe holes at the safety position, something that was exploited in their most recent matchup with the Patriots in which Gronkowski went off for 8 receptions, 111 yards, and 2 touchdowns. As a result, the Jets went out and signed two proven veterans in Landry and Bell, and also used two draft picks on safeties in Josh Bush and Antonio Allen. These four players were brought in, not entirely, but primarily for this game.

It will be very interesting to see how this matchup plays out. With all the hype surrounding New England’s talented duo of tight ends, you’d have to think Landry will be coming out like a man possessed, looking to make a statement. Look for both Landry and Bell to be extremely physical in their coverage with each of these tight ends, something that has been lacking in the secondary prior to this season. A physical approach and sound, but creative, game plan could be just what the doctor ordered to finally keep this dual threat of Gronk and Hernandez in check.

TJ Rosenthal – We can’t help wondering how fast this new “starless” Jets team can gel. They seem commuted to each other and must be vining off of the perception that they should just pack up and go home now that Revis and Holmes are done this year. The key may be the run game. When the Pats are held to under 100 yards they are 0-3 this year. When Shonn Greene goes over 100, the Jets are 7-0. Was the Jets run game a mirage that fed off of a bad Colts run defense? Perhaps. If it was a case of the ground and pound finally kicking into gear though, hold the phones. Because maybe some respect on the ground will open up an already questionable Pats secondary to play action. Hold them under 100 and get Greene going again. That’s what we’d like to see. If the matchups up front on both sides of the ball yield something close to it, then the Jets can win in Foxboro Sunday.

Chris Celletti – I’m anxious to see how the Jets cover New England’s downfield passing game. The Patriots haven’t been as dominant through the air this season, but they’ve also faced very good defenses in all three of their losses (Baltimore, Arizona, Seattle). Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden have given New England a semblance of a running game, something they haven’t had in quite a while, but this unit has been a bit feast or famine so far this year. Make no mistake, New England still prefers to move the ball through the air, and Tom Brady still has plenty of weapons to use. . I’m interested to see how effective Rob Gronkowski is against LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell. Sunday’s game is one of the main reasons the Jets felt the need to make a huge upgrade at safety after last season. Overall the Jets’ secondary has a tall order ahead of them, but keeping the Pats’ passing game in check will go a long way towards the Jets beating their hated rival on the road.

Mike Donnelly – Jets New look D vs. Pats Hurry up O – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing this weekend is how the Jets matchup and play against the Patriots quick strike offense. In years past the Patriots have been able to catch the Jets off guard by getting a certain defensive personnel package on the field and exploiting it by going no-huddle and not letting the team make substitutions. Rex Ryan has made a conscious effort the past two years to get more players who can play all three downs effectively to match up with New England specifically. On the defensive line we’ll see less Po’uha and DeVito and more Quinton Coples and Muhammad Wilkerson, which is a massive improvement over Marcus Dixon. At linebacker we’ll see more of Demario Davis, Antonio Allen, and the newly signed Marcus Dowtin to play “hybrid” roles where they can still effectively defend the run and cover the Patriots excellent tight ends. Obviously not having Darrelle Revis is a major blow, but with the improvements made elsewhere, I think the Jets are going to be able to do a solid job covering the Pats many weapons.

Rob Celletti – Jets Front Seven vs. New England’s hurry-up. Two weeks ago, I sat, semi-horrified, watching Tom Brady march the Patriots up and down the field on the Broncos, utilizing a ruthless hurry-up offense that was just as likely to pick up 15 yards on the ground as it was through the air. But I didn’t see their opponent in orange and blue; I saw them in green and white.  This seems like a truly worst-case scenario matchup for the Jets, who are slow at linebacker and largely inexperienced along the defensive line.  Would there be anything more torturous than watching Brady hurry the Patriots to the line and kill the Jets with handoffs to Stevan Ridley and Danny Woodhead?

But remember, the Jets are coming off of a brilliant defensive performance, albeit at home against an inferior opponent.  They have leaned on some younger players which has increased athleticism; but can these pups handle a Brady-led offense? Again, the onus is on Rex Ryan to prepare this defense to try and hold New England to around 24 points in order to give the Jets a fighting chance at the upset.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 6 – Jets/Colts Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Colts

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 27, Colts 10 – The Jets are coming off consecutive losses at home to what are arguably the league’s two best teams. New York hasn’t lost three consecutive home games since Rex Ryan’s first year as head coach, back in 2009. Conversely, the Colts are coming off a very inspired, hard fought victory at home to the Green Bay Packers. Andrew Luck has looked quite sharp all year, relying heavily on veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne as his primary receiving option. However, Luck has yet to face a defense quite like Ryan’s unit, a task normally difficult to prepare for for any quarterback, especially a rookie, on the road. Look for the Jets to come out extremely aggressive, defensively, to try to hit and rattle the youngster early. Antonio Cromartie has been playing elite level football, and if he can continue his dominant play against Wayne, Indianapolis will need to rely heavily on Luck and their subpar running game.

Offensively, the Jets have looked anything but sharp since their week 1 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. However, since dominating Buffalo, New York has face 4 consecutive defenses ranked within the top 11 in run defense. Look for the ground game to finally get going this week, with Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell leading the way. Whether or not Greene deserves carries is certainly up for debate, but based on the vote of confidence he received from Rex Ryan this week, it looks like he will continue to get the majority of the load for Gang Green, at least for now.

Mark Sanchez also gets back two key players to his receiving corps in Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill. Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez a nice feeling of security and confidence as he tries to lead this extremely young group of skill position players to victory. With key veterans like Santonio Holmes out, Sanchez needs to assume that leadership role and begin to make everyone around him better. Whether or not he has the ability to do that at this point still remains to be seen, but look for this offense to do enough to contribute to a double digit victory and get back to .500.

Mike Donnelly – I think the Jets whole season is coming down to this game against the Colts. If they lose this, we might as well start checking out the 2013 draft classes, because the Pats are going to steam roll our defense and then Miami is not going to be an easy game. There would be a pretty solid chance we’d be staring at 2-6 heading into the bye, and Rex Ryan knows it. That is why I fully expect this team to come out and play their best game since week 1 against Buffalo. The Colts are coming off a huge win at home against Green Bay and they are primed for a major letdown. They’re outside of their dome, playing in unfamiliar conditions, and as good as Andrew Luck is, he’s still a rookie, and Rex Ryan feasts as rookie quarterbacks. Look for the Jets defense to play very well, confuse Luck, and pull out the win 24-13. Oh, and since no Jets write up is complete without the obligatory Sanchez/Tebow mention, I think Sanchez is going to play very well and silence the critics for at least one week. Jets roll, and in my opinion, the 3 point spread is a gift. After all, Evan Silva has the Colts winning outright.. Just saying.

Chris Celletti – If you read my Best Bets piece, you know I think the Jets are going to win and cover the 3.5 pint spread. I think this is a good combination of the Jets being due to play a good overall, 60 minute football game and the Colts facing a little bit of a let down after an emotional upset win over the Packers last week. As I’ve previously stated, I think the Jets find some success on the ground against the Colts. I’m not saying Shonn Greene will end up with 100+ yards or anything, but I think the Jets as a team go for somewhere around 160 yards, with a good combination of Greene, Bilal Powell, Joe McKnight and Tim Tebow. Here are a few bold predictions, I think both Tebow and Antonio Cromartie score touchdowns – on offense. The Jets’ defense does enough to corral the Colts’ weak running game and confuse Andrew Luck into a few turnovers. As with any Jet game, it’ll be nervy in the fourth quarter, but a late Nick Folk field goal gets the Jets back to .500 with a 24-14 win.

Rob Celletti – Even though the Jets are on a two-game losing streak (which feels like four, considering the level of play the Jets displayed against Miami), it seems like things are starting to turn. The shock of losing Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes is starting to wear off. The defense showed some life in the second half on Monday vs. the Texans. And finally, the Jets face a defense that isn’t ranked in the top 10 in the NFL.

Yes, Andrew Luck is going to be a tough out, but the Colts are coming in off of a very, very emotional home win and are primed for a letdown. The Jets will be able to move the ball on the ground which should set up nicely for Mark Sanchez to finally get some opportunities on playaction. I think the offense will be able to produce 3 touchdowns, which should be enough. Jets 24, Colts 17

Turn On The Jets Week 6 Roundtable – Jets vs. Colts Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff breaks down what match-ups they are most looking forward to in Jets/Colts

Make sure to check out Tammany Hall Tavern this weekend for $20 for 20 wings and 2 pitchers of beer. Treat yourself, you deserve it…you are a Jets fan. 

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. The Colts Defense – The Jets need a win and Mark Sanchez needs a strong performance to tone down the Tim Tebow as the starting quarterback talk for a couple of weeks. Sanchez doesn’t have the excuse of going against a strong defense and he will likely have both Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill back. It is time to complete over 50% of your passes. It is time to go a full game without a single turnover. It is time to inspire a little confidence as the Jets head into New England next week. The Jets are much better off with Sanchez under center against the Patriots than Tebow, so let’s hope he can lock down that spot with a strong performance this week.

Chris Gross – Antonio Cromartie vs. Reggie Wayne – Cromartie is coming off what was arguably his best game as a Jet. Wayne, on the other hand, is coming off of a stellar 13 catch, 212 yard, 1 touchdown performance against Green Bay. Wayne has been much rejuvenated this season with the emergence of rookie sensation Andrew Luck, as he has reasserted himself as one of the league’s best Wide Receivers, currently on pace to double his numbers from last season. Cromartie has been playing very Revis-like since the All-World corner tore his ACL in week 3 against Miami. Now comes the real test for Cro. Can he truly be like Revis and shut down the league’s best receivers on a week to week basis? After holding Houston’s Andre Johnson to just one reception last week, Cromartie would be off to a very good start in achieving this consistency with another dominant performance against Wayne. It will be no easy task, but the best in the game have done it. Now it is time to see if Cromartie is really in that elite group of cornerbacks.

Chris Celletti – Jets’ running game vs. Colts’ run defense: If there is one week the Jets are to get going on the ground, it should be this week. The Colts rank 25th in the NFL against the run through five weeks. We have been all over Shonn Greene and the Jets’ putrid running game here at Turn On The Jets, but to play devil’s advocate, the Jets have faced very good run defenses so far this year. The Dolphins, Niners, Texans and Steelers all rank in the top 11 of the NFL against the run so far this year. That doesn’t totally excuse Greene from being the NFL’s worst second-level back, or mean he’s going to all of a sudden look like Adrian Peterson or Arian Foster out there, but he – or for that matter whoever the hell carries the ball for the Jets on Sunday – should be able to be effective. The Jets need it. Mark Sanchez desperately needs it. If the Jets can finally get going on the ground, they should be able to get back to .500 on Sunday.

Mike Donnelly – I’ll make this one short and sweet for this week’s game against the Colts. The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing is the Jets defensive line and pass rush against a rookie QB and his porous offensive line. The Jets are home and the Colts are out of their dome, in hostile territory. Their starting running back is out, so even the lame excuse for run defense we’ve watched the past five games should be able to clamp down and force some 3rd and long situations. If the Jets can’t muster up some kind of pass rush this week against this team, then they truly are a lost cause.

Rob Celletti – Rex Ryan’s scheme vs. Andrew Luck. In 2009 and 2010, one thing about the Jets was a guarantee: they could make quarterbacks of any skill level look foolish, but they could really put a hurting on inexperienced ones. Even last season, everyone knew the Jets would blow out the Jaguars in Week 2 when they trotted Luke McCown out as their starting signal caller.

This year, however, things aren’t so certain.  The Jets’ defense is a shell of its former dominant self, and the quarterback they face on Sunday is no ordinary rookie.  If the Jets are going to win this game – which I do believe they will – one of the key factors is that Rex Ryan needs to figure out a way to confuse and frustrate Andrew Luck. The Jets’ pass rush has been non-existent, so it will be up to the defensive coaches to figure out how to make Luck think twice about the defense as he reads it. The defense actually put in a representative effort against Matt Schaub and the Texans on Monday, particularly in the second half where they only allowed 6 points. Schaub was held to just 14 for 28 passing. Rex likes the term “simulated pressure”, which is ironic, considering the Jets really don’t bring any “actual” pressure. But throwing enough varied looks at Luck should confuse the kid and force him into a turnover or two. If the Jets do that, they have a good chance to even their record at 3-3

THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS

  • Joe – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris C – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris G – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Rob  – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Mike – Tennessee (+6.5)