Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 10 – Jets vs. Seattle Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff discusses what match-ups they are most looking forward to in the Jets week 10 game vs. Seattle

The Turn On The Jets staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to this weekend when the New York Jets travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter –

Joe Caporoso – The Jets aren’t beating Seattle unless they do two things: slow down Marshawn Lynch (keep him somewhere in the 60-80 total rushing yards area) and don’t let the Seahawks pass rush take over the game. If this game is put into Russel Wilson’s hands to win, the Jets defense has a good shot of forcing a few mistakes and putting themselves into a position for an upset. If Mark Sanchez can stay relatively upright, he has a better chance of protecting the football and making a few plays down the stretch. This is a brutally tough match-up for the Jets and one that will require them to excel in areas they have struggled in all season.

Rob Celletti –   I’m interested in seeing how the Jets’ run defense handles Marshawn Lynch. Everyone who loves Seattle loves to praise Russell Wilson, whose career is off to a nice start, but this team’s offense starts and ends with an effective ground game.  Lynch has been stellar this year, and has gotten hot as of late, with three straight 100-yard efforts and touchdowns in his last two. He can actually eclipse the 1,000 yard mark with a 120-yard performance on Sunday.

If that happens, the Jets are toast, and the game won’t be close.  But the defensive front has improved steadily over the last month and will be bolstered by the return of Kenrick Ellis. If the Jets hold Lynch to something like 15 carries and 55 yards, that will go a long way towards keeping the game close.

TJ Rosenthal –  Energy. Seattle is a brutal place for opponents to play. The 12th man keeps the Seahawks amped up all day. Forget isolating attention on “Beast Mode” Marshawn Lynch. The Jets have to equal what the Seahawks energy level is. We want to see passion, and more desperation. Play like the season is on the line, because it is. Please don’t tell us about who is left on the schedule after Sunday. 3-6 is a death wish.

Chris Gross –  Marshawn Lynch vs. Jets Run Defense – “Beast Mode” currently ranks 2nd in the NFL in total rushing with 881 yards and 4 touchdowns on 185 carries, averaging just below 98 yards per game. Conversely, the Jets rank 29th in run defense, currently surrendering an average of 141.4 yards per game to opposing backs. New York can easily make Seattle’s offense one dimensional, as they have previously feasted on opposing rookie quarterbacks this season (Tannehill week 3, Luck week 6), however, the Seahawks’ rushing attack, led by Lynch, could certainly be enough to keep the Jets defense on their heals. Kenrick Ellis is set to return from injury this week, which will greatly bolster the front seven due to his ability to occupy multiple blockers at the Nose Tackle position. This should realistically give the Jets linebackers more space to avoid blockers and make plays. The key in this matchup will be tackling. We have previously discussed New York’s tackling woes in our defensive film breakdowns, and when facing a back like Lynch, who has made a name for himself in this league through his ability to accumulate yards after contact, sound tackling will be even more important. Seattle’s passing game is average at best. No receiver on the roster poses any severe threat to New York’s strong secondary, however if the Jets allow Lynch to gain extra yards after contact due to poor tackling, Seattle’s passing offense, or lack thereof, will be irrelevant. Lynch needs to be shut down or it will surely be another long Sunday for Gang Green.

Mike Donnelly – Jets Coaches vs. Themselves – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing isn’t necessarily one that’s going to happen between the lines, but rather on the sidelines. I want to see how Rex Ryan and Tony Sparano prepared during the by week to better use their players. There has been endless talk about Tim Tebow’s role and how it will be altered, but I’m interested in seeing how they come out and attack this very good Seattle defense. I want to see if roles will grow for players like Joe McKnight and Jeremy Kerley. On the other side of the ball, I want to see what has changed with our defense. WIll Quinton Coples play a bigger role finally? Can we see more Demario Davis and Marcus Dowtin? Will the older players like Bart Scott, Bryan Thomas, and Calvin Pace finally be weeded out? Starting this week in Seattle, we’re going to have a pretty good idea of what we can expect the rest of the way.

Chris Celletti – Can the Jets prevent Beast Mode? The only chance that Gang Green has in this game is if they can keep Marshawn Lynch largely in check. I fully expect to see the Jets’ offense at its horrifying worst. Seattle’s defense is young, fast, stifling and makes things happen (or, you know, what the Jets’ defense should be with Rex Ryan as head coach), and regardless of even getting into Mark Sanchez, the Jets’ offense just isn’t very good overall. However, as long as they show up ready to play, I think the Jets’ defense will do just fine against rookie QB Russell Wilson and the Seahawks’ receivers. It’s Lynch that could be the big problem. If he runs all over the Jets, they’ll control the clock, field position, and will probably put up points. That points to a loss for the Jets. Stop Lynch, and you may stay in this thing until the end.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 8 – Jets vs. Dolphins Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff with their predictions for Jets vs. Dolphins this Sunday

Hot Sauce for everybody! 

Joe Caporoso12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 24, Dolphins 10 – Contrary to popular belief, the Jets have been playing some of the most consistent football that they have in about a year over the course of the past three games. The defense is beginning to get back form, despite lacking their best player, as well as an extremely inconsistent pass rush. Offensively, we are beginning to see a cohesion develop amongst the players that we have not seen in years past. Youngsters like Jeremy Kerley have stepped up to become significant players in this offense, while veterans like Dustin Keller have come back to instill strong play and leadership. Over the past two games, Shonn Greene seems to have found whatever it is he may have been missing in the first few weeks of the season, while Joe McKnight has put any questions about his toughness and commitment level to rest. The key with this group, as always, will be with Mark Sanchez. Sanchez played, what I believe was, his best half of football in New England last week. If Sanchez can build off of that strong second half performance, he should have no problem picking apart a very suspect Dolphins secondary. Look for Rex Ryan to throw the kitchen sink at Ryan Tannehill (5 INTs on the road this season) and Miami’s offense after being criticized for a conservative defensive approach last week. Expect Tannehill to turn the ball over at least twice, with Reggie Bush, who hasn’t had a 100 yard rushing effort since week 2, to be contained for the better part of the game. The Jets will look to pass to open up the run against the leagues 4th best rushing defense, and Sanchez will likely succeed, finishing with 275 yards and 2 touchdowns. The nature of these games are always interesting, so it will likely stay close for 3 quarters, with New York pulling away late, winning by two scores.

Rob Celletti –  Jets/Dolphins games are almost always dogfights.  The past few years, they haven’t exactly been displays of quality pro football. Mark Sanchez and Chad Henne seemed to be in races to the bottom in terms of quarterback play. So do I expect this trend to continue? Sort of. The Dolphins are coming off of a bye and will be healthy, fresh, and prepared. The Jets are playing very decent football, and have been for the last few weeks. Still, this matchup favors the home team. Ryan Tannehill has been solid, but is he ready to take down a good defense, in a divisional game on the road? I don’t believe so. Will Reggie Bush run rampant through the Jets’ front seven? He’ll be productive, sure, but I don’t think he dominates. On the flip side, Mark Sanchez has started to develop chemistry with Jeremy Kerley and his game has also been augmented by the return of Dustin Keller. The Miami secondary is porous – only slightly less so than New England’s statistically. Look for another good day from Sanchez (250 yards, 2 touchdowns). The game will be close, because AFC East games tend to be, but the Jets win and cover what I think is a low spread: Jets 24, Dolphins 16

Mike DonnellyPeople like to get on Rex Ryan for talking too much and being outlandish, but there truly is a method to his madness. Take this week for example. He knew his team was coming off a crushing loss in New England and could be facing a let down, so he spoke out about Reggie Bush and his comments from week 3. And wouldn’t ya know it, it didn’t take long for his players to immediately become focused and ready to dominate this Sunday. It won’t be an easy game, but I expect the defense to be a their best and hold Miami in check all game. The offense will continue to throw the ball well and do just enough to pull out a 20-10 victory.

Chris Celletti – I picked the Jets to cover the two point spread in my Best Bets piece, but I’m a little bit more worried about this game now than I initially was, because of the possibility of the weather impacting the game. If its rainy and windy, that will even out the advantage I expected the Jets to have in the passing game against Miami’s secondary. But rain or shine,  I still expect a big performance from the Jets’ defense. They have extra motivation now to shut down Reggie Bush, and they’ve always fared well against rookie quarterbacks at home under Rex Ryan. If the weather were to holds off, I think the Jets would put up a lot of points. Either way I like the Jets in this one; I’ll go 20-13.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 7 – Jets vs. Pats Predictions

The TOJ staff gives their predictions for Jets/Pats

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross –  Patriots 27, Jets 20- The Jets head into Foxboro coming off of a dominating performance against the young Indianapolis Colts at home. They face a New England team ranked 5th against the run with a very young and talented front 7, accompanied by an extremely explosive offensive unit. New York has been vastly improved over the past couple weeks, particularly defensively, where we have seen how creative and intelligent Rex Ryan truly is.

The keys for the Jets rely on another strong performance from the pass rush, and secure, smart play from Mark Sanchez. Defensively, if the Jets can get Quinton Coples, Muhammad Wilkerson, and Aaron Maybin in Tom Brady’s face, making him very uncomfortable, they might just have a chance to shut down New England’s high powered offensive attack. Offensively, New York needs to take advantage of every possibly opportunity they may get. The Jets cannot afford to have Sanchez miss open targets, particularly deep, or make careless turnovers.
New York will come into this game guns blazing. Rex will likely be very aggressive with the defense. Expect to see some pressure schemes designed to keep Brady off balance, accompanied by a surplus of personnel groups, including the “big nickel” package, designed to compete with the Patriots’ no huddle offense. On offense, the Jets will look to open up the run by testing New England’s secondary with a few early deep passes. Shonn Greene will get going again, but this week don’t expect another 100+ yard performance. Instead, Greene will likely get 20-25 carries for about 75-80 yards. Sanchez will play well enough to hold off Tim Tebow for another week, while the Jets keep it close all game, but ultimately fall short due to a strong 4th quarter by Brady and Co.

Mike Donnelly – While the Jets may have issues of their own this year, it’s important to keep in mind that the Patriots are not exactly THE PATRIOTS anymore. The defense is still amongst the worst in the NFL, and the offense doesn’t put up video game type numbers on offense like they used to. I expect the Jets to be outplayed, but make a few big plays throughout the game to make it more competitive than most think. Look for a healthy dose of Tebow, a big special teams play or two, and a few timely defensive plays (Tom Brady, meet Quinton Coples!) as the Jets shock the football world and pull out a 26-24 win.

Chris Celletti – If the Jets can keep Tom Brady relatively in check – eliminate big plays, get some hits on him, force a turnover or two – I think this going to be a close game throughout. The Jets are going to try and continue the success they had on the ground last week with Shonn Greene, even though there’s a much more formidable opponent in front of them this week. But I still think they’re going to be very conservative and try to get one of those “game managing, don’t lose it for us” games out of Mark Sanchez. I also expect plenty of Tim Tebow and the rest of the kitchen sink stuff we’ve seen over the past two weeks. The Jets know they need to do some of those things to beat superior teams. Unfortunately, I think Brady and Belichick outdo their counterparts by just enough, holding on late for a 24-17 win.

Rob Celletti -The Jets will play like an insulted, disrespected team on Sunday, and they should, being 10.5 point underdogs. I’m not saying the Jets are on equal footing with New England, but this is a “throw the record out” scenario.  Even if the Jets were 0-6, I’d think they would keep the game close against their arch rivals.

New England’s defense, particularly on the backend, is nothing to brag about. Mark Sanchez has had some of his best games as a pro against the Patriots and there will be places to throw the ball aggressively on Sunday. I also think the Jets will get a representative game on the ground from Shonn Greene and will hit on some creative things with Tim Tebow in the mix. The result of this game is incumbent upon the defense. The Jets can pull an upset if they hold New England to less than 24 points. If Wes Welker and the vaunted tight ends are running rampant in and around the Jets’ linebackers, a likely scenario, watch out.
In the end, the Jets battle to the end, but can’t muster anything on their final drive: New England 31, Jets 27.

Turn On The Jets Week 7 Roundtable – Jets vs. Pats Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to in Jets/Pats

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. Patriots secondary – The Patriots are extremely susceptible to the deep ball and for the Jets to pull the upset it will be up to Mark Sanchez to take advantage of that. We saw Russell Wilson do it last week. We saw Joe Flacco do it a few weeks before. Stephen Hill, Jeremy Kerley and yes Antonio Cromartie all have the speed to get down the field but Sanchez can’t misfire when the plays are there to be. Beyond that, he absolutely cannot turn the football over. Simply put for this season, when the Patriots don’t force turnovers, they don’t win.

Chris Gross – Patriots Tight Ends vs. Jets Safeties – The long awaited, heavy weight bout between LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell against Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez will finally be underway this Sunday in Foxboro. Gronkowski and Hernandez have fared well in their respective careers against New York with Gronkowski averaging 3.5 catches for 42.5 yards and .5 touchdowns and Hernandez averaging 5 receptions for 62.25 yards and .25 touchdowns per contest.

New York has been improved, but still somewhat average against opposing tight ends this season. Some games, they have done a good job of shutting down the position that shredded them time and time again last season, while other times, they have given up big chunks of yards and critical red zone touchdowns. At the end of the day, this year’s Jets are still giving up just 4.7 catches for 54 yards and .5 touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends.

New York had severe holes at the safety position, something that was exploited in their most recent matchup with the Patriots in which Gronkowski went off for 8 receptions, 111 yards, and 2 touchdowns. As a result, the Jets went out and signed two proven veterans in Landry and Bell, and also used two draft picks on safeties in Josh Bush and Antonio Allen. These four players were brought in, not entirely, but primarily for this game.

It will be very interesting to see how this matchup plays out. With all the hype surrounding New England’s talented duo of tight ends, you’d have to think Landry will be coming out like a man possessed, looking to make a statement. Look for both Landry and Bell to be extremely physical in their coverage with each of these tight ends, something that has been lacking in the secondary prior to this season. A physical approach and sound, but creative, game plan could be just what the doctor ordered to finally keep this dual threat of Gronk and Hernandez in check.

TJ Rosenthal – We can’t help wondering how fast this new “starless” Jets team can gel. They seem commuted to each other and must be vining off of the perception that they should just pack up and go home now that Revis and Holmes are done this year. The key may be the run game. When the Pats are held to under 100 yards they are 0-3 this year. When Shonn Greene goes over 100, the Jets are 7-0. Was the Jets run game a mirage that fed off of a bad Colts run defense? Perhaps. If it was a case of the ground and pound finally kicking into gear though, hold the phones. Because maybe some respect on the ground will open up an already questionable Pats secondary to play action. Hold them under 100 and get Greene going again. That’s what we’d like to see. If the matchups up front on both sides of the ball yield something close to it, then the Jets can win in Foxboro Sunday.

Chris Celletti – I’m anxious to see how the Jets cover New England’s downfield passing game. The Patriots haven’t been as dominant through the air this season, but they’ve also faced very good defenses in all three of their losses (Baltimore, Arizona, Seattle). Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden have given New England a semblance of a running game, something they haven’t had in quite a while, but this unit has been a bit feast or famine so far this year. Make no mistake, New England still prefers to move the ball through the air, and Tom Brady still has plenty of weapons to use. . I’m interested to see how effective Rob Gronkowski is against LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell. Sunday’s game is one of the main reasons the Jets felt the need to make a huge upgrade at safety after last season. Overall the Jets’ secondary has a tall order ahead of them, but keeping the Pats’ passing game in check will go a long way towards the Jets beating their hated rival on the road.

Mike Donnelly – Jets New look D vs. Pats Hurry up O – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing this weekend is how the Jets matchup and play against the Patriots quick strike offense. In years past the Patriots have been able to catch the Jets off guard by getting a certain defensive personnel package on the field and exploiting it by going no-huddle and not letting the team make substitutions. Rex Ryan has made a conscious effort the past two years to get more players who can play all three downs effectively to match up with New England specifically. On the defensive line we’ll see less Po’uha and DeVito and more Quinton Coples and Muhammad Wilkerson, which is a massive improvement over Marcus Dixon. At linebacker we’ll see more of Demario Davis, Antonio Allen, and the newly signed Marcus Dowtin to play “hybrid” roles where they can still effectively defend the run and cover the Patriots excellent tight ends. Obviously not having Darrelle Revis is a major blow, but with the improvements made elsewhere, I think the Jets are going to be able to do a solid job covering the Pats many weapons.

Rob Celletti – Jets Front Seven vs. New England’s hurry-up. Two weeks ago, I sat, semi-horrified, watching Tom Brady march the Patriots up and down the field on the Broncos, utilizing a ruthless hurry-up offense that was just as likely to pick up 15 yards on the ground as it was through the air. But I didn’t see their opponent in orange and blue; I saw them in green and white.  This seems like a truly worst-case scenario matchup for the Jets, who are slow at linebacker and largely inexperienced along the defensive line.  Would there be anything more torturous than watching Brady hurry the Patriots to the line and kill the Jets with handoffs to Stevan Ridley and Danny Woodhead?

But remember, the Jets are coming off of a brilliant defensive performance, albeit at home against an inferior opponent.  They have leaned on some younger players which has increased athleticism; but can these pups handle a Brady-led offense? Again, the onus is on Rex Ryan to prepare this defense to try and hold New England to around 24 points in order to give the Jets a fighting chance at the upset.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 6 – Jets/Colts Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Colts

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 27, Colts 10 – The Jets are coming off consecutive losses at home to what are arguably the league’s two best teams. New York hasn’t lost three consecutive home games since Rex Ryan’s first year as head coach, back in 2009. Conversely, the Colts are coming off a very inspired, hard fought victory at home to the Green Bay Packers. Andrew Luck has looked quite sharp all year, relying heavily on veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne as his primary receiving option. However, Luck has yet to face a defense quite like Ryan’s unit, a task normally difficult to prepare for for any quarterback, especially a rookie, on the road. Look for the Jets to come out extremely aggressive, defensively, to try to hit and rattle the youngster early. Antonio Cromartie has been playing elite level football, and if he can continue his dominant play against Wayne, Indianapolis will need to rely heavily on Luck and their subpar running game.

Offensively, the Jets have looked anything but sharp since their week 1 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. However, since dominating Buffalo, New York has face 4 consecutive defenses ranked within the top 11 in run defense. Look for the ground game to finally get going this week, with Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell leading the way. Whether or not Greene deserves carries is certainly up for debate, but based on the vote of confidence he received from Rex Ryan this week, it looks like he will continue to get the majority of the load for Gang Green, at least for now.

Mark Sanchez also gets back two key players to his receiving corps in Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill. Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez a nice feeling of security and confidence as he tries to lead this extremely young group of skill position players to victory. With key veterans like Santonio Holmes out, Sanchez needs to assume that leadership role and begin to make everyone around him better. Whether or not he has the ability to do that at this point still remains to be seen, but look for this offense to do enough to contribute to a double digit victory and get back to .500.

Mike Donnelly – I think the Jets whole season is coming down to this game against the Colts. If they lose this, we might as well start checking out the 2013 draft classes, because the Pats are going to steam roll our defense and then Miami is not going to be an easy game. There would be a pretty solid chance we’d be staring at 2-6 heading into the bye, and Rex Ryan knows it. That is why I fully expect this team to come out and play their best game since week 1 against Buffalo. The Colts are coming off a huge win at home against Green Bay and they are primed for a major letdown. They’re outside of their dome, playing in unfamiliar conditions, and as good as Andrew Luck is, he’s still a rookie, and Rex Ryan feasts as rookie quarterbacks. Look for the Jets defense to play very well, confuse Luck, and pull out the win 24-13. Oh, and since no Jets write up is complete without the obligatory Sanchez/Tebow mention, I think Sanchez is going to play very well and silence the critics for at least one week. Jets roll, and in my opinion, the 3 point spread is a gift. After all, Evan Silva has the Colts winning outright.. Just saying.

Chris Celletti – If you read my Best Bets piece, you know I think the Jets are going to win and cover the 3.5 pint spread. I think this is a good combination of the Jets being due to play a good overall, 60 minute football game and the Colts facing a little bit of a let down after an emotional upset win over the Packers last week. As I’ve previously stated, I think the Jets find some success on the ground against the Colts. I’m not saying Shonn Greene will end up with 100+ yards or anything, but I think the Jets as a team go for somewhere around 160 yards, with a good combination of Greene, Bilal Powell, Joe McKnight and Tim Tebow. Here are a few bold predictions, I think both Tebow and Antonio Cromartie score touchdowns – on offense. The Jets’ defense does enough to corral the Colts’ weak running game and confuse Andrew Luck into a few turnovers. As with any Jet game, it’ll be nervy in the fourth quarter, but a late Nick Folk field goal gets the Jets back to .500 with a 24-14 win.

Rob Celletti – Even though the Jets are on a two-game losing streak (which feels like four, considering the level of play the Jets displayed against Miami), it seems like things are starting to turn. The shock of losing Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes is starting to wear off. The defense showed some life in the second half on Monday vs. the Texans. And finally, the Jets face a defense that isn’t ranked in the top 10 in the NFL.

Yes, Andrew Luck is going to be a tough out, but the Colts are coming in off of a very, very emotional home win and are primed for a letdown. The Jets will be able to move the ball on the ground which should set up nicely for Mark Sanchez to finally get some opportunities on playaction. I think the offense will be able to produce 3 touchdowns, which should be enough. Jets 24, Colts 17

Turn On The Jets Week 6 Roundtable – Jets vs. Colts Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff breaks down what match-ups they are most looking forward to in Jets/Colts

Make sure to check out Tammany Hall Tavern this weekend for $20 for 20 wings and 2 pitchers of beer. Treat yourself, you deserve it…you are a Jets fan. 

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. The Colts Defense – The Jets need a win and Mark Sanchez needs a strong performance to tone down the Tim Tebow as the starting quarterback talk for a couple of weeks. Sanchez doesn’t have the excuse of going against a strong defense and he will likely have both Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill back. It is time to complete over 50% of your passes. It is time to go a full game without a single turnover. It is time to inspire a little confidence as the Jets head into New England next week. The Jets are much better off with Sanchez under center against the Patriots than Tebow, so let’s hope he can lock down that spot with a strong performance this week.

Chris Gross – Antonio Cromartie vs. Reggie Wayne – Cromartie is coming off what was arguably his best game as a Jet. Wayne, on the other hand, is coming off of a stellar 13 catch, 212 yard, 1 touchdown performance against Green Bay. Wayne has been much rejuvenated this season with the emergence of rookie sensation Andrew Luck, as he has reasserted himself as one of the league’s best Wide Receivers, currently on pace to double his numbers from last season. Cromartie has been playing very Revis-like since the All-World corner tore his ACL in week 3 against Miami. Now comes the real test for Cro. Can he truly be like Revis and shut down the league’s best receivers on a week to week basis? After holding Houston’s Andre Johnson to just one reception last week, Cromartie would be off to a very good start in achieving this consistency with another dominant performance against Wayne. It will be no easy task, but the best in the game have done it. Now it is time to see if Cromartie is really in that elite group of cornerbacks.

Chris Celletti – Jets’ running game vs. Colts’ run defense: If there is one week the Jets are to get going on the ground, it should be this week. The Colts rank 25th in the NFL against the run through five weeks. We have been all over Shonn Greene and the Jets’ putrid running game here at Turn On The Jets, but to play devil’s advocate, the Jets have faced very good run defenses so far this year. The Dolphins, Niners, Texans and Steelers all rank in the top 11 of the NFL against the run so far this year. That doesn’t totally excuse Greene from being the NFL’s worst second-level back, or mean he’s going to all of a sudden look like Adrian Peterson or Arian Foster out there, but he – or for that matter whoever the hell carries the ball for the Jets on Sunday – should be able to be effective. The Jets need it. Mark Sanchez desperately needs it. If the Jets can finally get going on the ground, they should be able to get back to .500 on Sunday.

Mike Donnelly – I’ll make this one short and sweet for this week’s game against the Colts. The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing is the Jets defensive line and pass rush against a rookie QB and his porous offensive line. The Jets are home and the Colts are out of their dome, in hostile territory. Their starting running back is out, so even the lame excuse for run defense we’ve watched the past five games should be able to clamp down and force some 3rd and long situations. If the Jets can’t muster up some kind of pass rush this week against this team, then they truly are a lost cause.

Rob Celletti – Rex Ryan’s scheme vs. Andrew Luck. In 2009 and 2010, one thing about the Jets was a guarantee: they could make quarterbacks of any skill level look foolish, but they could really put a hurting on inexperienced ones. Even last season, everyone knew the Jets would blow out the Jaguars in Week 2 when they trotted Luke McCown out as their starting signal caller.

This year, however, things aren’t so certain.  The Jets’ defense is a shell of its former dominant self, and the quarterback they face on Sunday is no ordinary rookie.  If the Jets are going to win this game – which I do believe they will – one of the key factors is that Rex Ryan needs to figure out a way to confuse and frustrate Andrew Luck. The Jets’ pass rush has been non-existent, so it will be up to the defensive coaches to figure out how to make Luck think twice about the defense as he reads it. The defense actually put in a representative effort against Matt Schaub and the Texans on Monday, particularly in the second half where they only allowed 6 points. Schaub was held to just 14 for 28 passing. Rex likes the term “simulated pressure”, which is ironic, considering the Jets really don’t bring any “actual” pressure. But throwing enough varied looks at Luck should confuse the kid and force him into a turnover or two. If the Jets do that, they have a good chance to even their record at 3-3

THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS

  • Joe – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris C – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris G – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Rob  – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Mike – Tennessee (+6.5)

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 5 – Jets/Texans Predictions

The TOJ staff gives their predictions for Jets/Texans tonight

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Texans 27, Jets 20 – Rex Ryan and his coaching staff will have this team ready to come out swinging after last week’s debacle. Every news outlet and their brothers are already writing the 2-2, 1st place Jets off, as good as dead. However, the Rex-led Jets have historically played their best football with their backs against the wall. in 2010, they didn’t have a snow ball’s chance in hell to go into New England in the post season and beat Tom Brady and the Patriots at home, particularly after the 45-3 blowout New York suffered to New England in their previous meeting.

Tonight, the Jets face a 4-0 Houston team in a similar predicament. The difference this time is that the defense is not nearly as good, and the talent on offense has dropped off tremendously. The Jets will come out and play desperate, throwing everything including the kitchen sink at Houston in all three phases of the game. However, unlike in 2010, this unit does not posses the talent to couple with the sense of desperation needed for an upset. New York keeps it closer than everyone is predicting, but in the end, they will prove unable to stop the vast amount of playmakers Houston has all over the board.

Mike Donnelly – I know what everyone is thinking — this game is going to be an absolute disaster. The Jets won’t be able to move the ball, won’t stop Arian Foster, won’t get anywhere near Matt Schaub, etc, etc etc. I know that’s the perception, but I don’t think it’s going to be the reality. This team right now is like a wounded dog that’s cornered, and I expect them to come out swinging. Don’t think for a second Rex Ryan hasn’t reminded his defense every day about Carlos Rogers saying they quit last week. They’re going to play really well and keep the team in the game tonight. On offense, it’s Tebow time and we are gonna see a much bigger dose of him to make up for the fact Mark Sanchez is throwing passes to low-level high school calibre players like Jeff Cumberlamd in the base offense. I don’t think the Jets are going to win, but I expect them to show some pride and keep it close all the way before ultimately falling short, 24-20.

Chris Celletti – When I was picking this week’s games for our Race For The Steak, I picked the Jets +8.5. I’m not really sure why the hell I did that, so here comes a total hedge. I don’t see the Jets being very much competitive on Monday night. The Texans will run the ball right down the Jets’ throat, controlling the clock and field position. The few times the Jets offense does have the ball, I don’t expect it to be pretty. The roster the Jets are throwing out there, offensively, on Monday night is one of the worst collection of skill position players the franchise has ever assembled. This Jets’ offense is worse than the ones they had under Rich Kotite. How are they supposed to score any points? Maybe the Jets score in garbage time or on special teams. Other than that, I see almost no hope. Texans 24, Jets 7

Rob Celletti -Honestly, I’m tired of hearing how bad the Jets are.  I’m tired of reading it, hearing it, seeing it, writing about it.  They’re injured, they lack depth, there are questions about the general manager, coach and quarterback; these are all valid points.  But analysis of the NFL is often driven by hyperbolic narratives that change week to week: one win, and everyone thinks you’re a contender; one loss, you’re in serious trouble.  The Jets are 2-2, it’s October 8th.  There are still 12 football games to be played.

Why am I so positive?  Because I think somehow, the Jets show up tonight and compete.  Offensively, yes, the Jets are challenged, but the defense is due for at least a representative performance. I think they keep the Jets in this game.  I also think Joe McKnight and Jeremy Kerley will make their presence felt on special teams. As I wrote last week, these are major factors in the recipe for an upset.  On offense, it’s anyone’s guess. I wish I could tell you that Mark Sanchez will find a way to put 14 points on the board, aided by a heavy dose of Tim Tebow. If the Jets offense can manage two touchdowns, I think they have a decent shot at winning this game.
Unfortunately, I don’t think they can.  Texans 16, Jets 10.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 4 – Jets/49ers Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for the New York Jets week 4 match-up against the San Francisco 49ers. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter!

Joe Caporoso12 Pack

Chris GrossJets 16, 49ers 9. While this will surely be one of the most difficult tasks the New York Jets have faced in recent memory, last week proved just how difficult it is to win on the road in the NFL. San Francisco looked unbeatable until they were upset in Minnesota by the Christian Ponder led Vikings last week. Conversely, the Jets went into Miami as favorites, where the ended up squeaking out an overtime victory against a Dolphins team that lost its best offensive player prior to halftime. While New York has struggled mightily to defend the run this season, Frank Gore is the type of back that this defense is built to stop. Unlike CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush, Gore is much more of a power back, rather than a speedster, which should make him relatively easy to defend for New York’s sluggish linebacker corps. Alex Smith has been extremely efficient, and the loss of Darrelle Revis will certainly hurt the Jets ability to defend the pass, however, I think Rex Ryan and Mike Pettine get more creative with their blitz packages and pressure schemes than we have ever seen before. After all, without the security blanket of Revis in the secondary, they have no choice. New York is in a kill or be killed situation when it comes to defending the pass from here on out.

Offensively, the Jets will certainly struggle in the early portion of the game. Shonn Greene will get the start at running back, but after about 8-10 carries of 3 yards or less, Tony Sparano will begin to get creative with his personnel. Expect to see more of Bilal Powell, who still may not turn heads on the stat sheet against this Patrick Willis led defense, but will certainly be more effective than Greene. Tim Tebow should get ample playing time as a ball carrier as well, and the deciding score in this game could come as a result of some trickery out of the wild cat.

New York is also hopeful that Dustin Keller will return this week, which would be a huge upgrade at Tight End, and would help Quarterback Mark Sanchez tremendously. Over the first three games, Sanchez has targeted Jeff Cumberland and Konrad Reuland a combined 15 times. Together, the tight ends have hauled in only 6 balls. Keller will provide Sanchez with some nice insurance, and will help this offense move the sticks on third down. Don’t expect either team to light up the scoreboard, but in the end, the Jets do enough to steal one from San Francisco in what turns out to be one of the most physical matchups of the 2012 season.

Mike Donnelly – The way everyone is talking about this game, you’d think the Jets shouldn’t even bother to show up. Apparently the 49ers are some kind of unbeatable powerhouse, while the first place Jets are a complete and utter joke who have no chance to win any more games this year with Darrelle Revis out. Well, I don’t quite see it that way. Nobody believes in the Jets at all and that’s when they play their best. I think the offense is going to come out throwing the ball and we are gonna see our first glimpses of an opened up Tebow package. On defense, Rex Ryan is going to show that all his talk about being the best defensive coach in the league was more than just talk, and Quinton Coples is going to make his presence felt. Plus Evan Silva called for a 20-6 49ers win and virtually everyone else in the world thinks this is a lock for the 49ers as well. Nope. Jets win, 23-20 in a nail-biter.

Chris Celletti – There are two football teams everybody is absolutely head over heels for this season, and they happen to be the Jets’ next two opponents; the 49ers and the Texans. Listen to any sports talk radio, read the papers and blogs or just talk to football fans, everybody wants to tell you how incredible both of these teams are. I think they’re both good. I don’t think either of them are unbeatable – how’s this…the 49ers lost last week to Christian Ponder and the Minnesota Vikings. Now, I do think the 49ers present a bad matchup for the Jets. The Jets are really going to struggle to score points. They’ll try to pound the ball with should-be-benched Shonn Greene, and to no ones surprise they’ll struggle there. I think Mark Sanchez could have some success throwing short to Dustin Keller  but overall the Jets passing game is going to have a tough time out there and likely won’t hit any big plays. The bigger ifs for me come on the defensive side of the ball. Can the Jets not get run over by Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter? I still think the Jets are much more equipped to handle a north-south running attack like the Niners, so I don’t think that matchup will be as in favor of Frisco than most people think. If the Jets secondary can hold up its end of the bargain (a big, big if), I think this is game that comes down to the wire. At the end, the Nines are just too good, too tough, too well coached, too amazing….oh, screw it. Jets 21, Niners 20.

Rob Celletti – Darrelle Revis’ injury diagnosis on Monday reminded me of a similar moment in recent Jets’ history.  Two seasons ago, a few days before the 9-2 Jets traveled to New England to take on the 9-2 Patriots in what was supposed to be the Monday Night Football game of the year, the Jets lost Jim Leonhard to a broken leg suffered in practice.  The demeanor of the Jets the rest of the week told you that they simply had no chance of going into Gillette Stadium and winning that game.  While the circumstances this week are quite different, the demeanor of the Jets has been similar.  Rex Ryan delivered the news that Revis would be out for the year grimly.  Joe McKnight was moved to cornerback in a move that smacks of desperation from a team that seems to be losing its way (remember, the Jets are $8 million UNDER the salary cap; Mike Tannenbaum, somehow, still has a job), or never had a plan to begin with.

So should Jets fans be at all confident this Sunday?  No, probably not.  But this is the NFL, where every year it seems that games might as well be decided with a coin flip.  I’ve said to people, half-jokingly, that I will witness a season, before I leave this earth, where every single one of the 32 teams finishes 8-8, and playoff berths will be decided by tiebreakers, and yes, coin flips.  The parity (or is it mediocrity) is astounding.  The 49ers are an excellent team, and they’re coming in angry.  But the Jets are at home and they’re getting Dustin Keller back.  The run defense has something to prove.  I’ve essentially picked every single Jets game to be, in a word, ugly this year, so why stop now?  A tightly contested defensive battle leaves the Jets just short, as they fall 20-14.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 3 – Jets/Dolphins Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Dolphins

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for the New York Jets week 3 match-up against the Miami Dolphins. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter and make sure to hit up Traffic East this weekend when you are watching football to take advantage of this great deal from Night Out!

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Prediction – Jets 27, Dolphins 9. The Dolphins will certainly get some early momentum from a few medium to long gains from Reggie Bush. Expect Miami to get their most explosive offensive weapon the ball in space via screens, sweeps and passes out of the backfield. However, it will not take long for the Jets to catch onto the fact that Bush is Miami’s only true offensive threat. New York will key him early, and with a rookie quarterback throwing to a less than mediocre group of wide receivers, shutting down Bush will equate to a shut down performance. Miami will move the ball here and there, enough to get on the board with three field goals, but don’t expect much more. New York’s defense will be coming out fired up with a chip on their shoulders, similar to their mentality entering week 1.

Offensively, the Jets should take advantage of Miami’s depleted secondary. There is realistically no one outside of Sean Smith who can match up with any of the Jets three main receiving targets. Expect Sanchez to throw for about 250 yards with 2 Touchdowns to add to the first wild cat touchdown of the season. It is only fitting that Tim Tebow scores his first rushing touchdown as a Jet in his native state.

Mike Donnelly – I just don’t see how the Dolphins are going to stay with the Jets in this game. Rex Ryan is an absolute master when it comes to taking advantage of inexperienced or flat out crappy quarterbacks. Fortunately for the Jets, this week they get to go against both of those in Ryan Tannehill. Yes, Reggie Bush will be a major annoyance all day, but in the end, the Dolphins just don’t have enough fire power on offense to scare a Jets defense that is welcoming back All-Pro corner Darrelle Revis. On the other side of the ball, look for Mark Sanchez to have a bounce back performance as the Jets do just enough on offense to win comfortably. I don’t expect to see them light up the scoreboard like they did week 1 against Buffalo, but slowly but surely this game will turn into a lopsided victory as the defense imposes their will on Boring Joe Philbin’s boys. 27-10 Jets

Chris Celletti – As I’ve mentioned previously, I think the only player that can wreck this game for the Jets is Reggie Bush. I have plenty of faith in New York’s defense to confuse Ryan Tannehill (which isn’t very hard to do – just stick him in front of a map and you’ll be amazed) and keep the Dolphins’ questionable passing game in check. It’s Bush that worries me; the Jets have problems with speedy backs (see C.J. Spiller in Week 1), and I expect the Dolphins to go to Bush as much as possible. Still, I think the Jets’ defense will have a bend-but-don’t-break day and not allow many scores. As for the Jets’ offense, I expect this to be Tim Tebow’s biggest game thus far in terms of usage. The Jets are going to try and play safe on offense and limit turnovers. Mark Sanchez, however, will make a few big plays through the air, leading an unspectacular but balanced Jets offense to a productive day. It will be close throughout, with the Jets pulling away late. Jets 21, Dolphins 10

Rob Celletti – We’ve seen what one loss can do to distort the perspective of the media, and in turn, (some) fans of the New York Jets.  I shudder to think what would happen around here after back-to-back defeats. It’s difficult not to be pessimistic when you root for the Jets, but I do think they find a way to avoid catastrophe this week against a subpar Dolphins team. It won’t be pretty.  It’s funny; the matchups would seem to dictate that the Jets would have an easier time throwing the ball than running, yet I don’t think that’ll be the case. Yes, Sanchez should make some plays against the Dolphins secondary; but the same has been said before lots of similar games (dare I invoke Christmas Eve 2011). But enough with pessimism. This may be a game that is extremely frustrating to watch at times, but Rex Ryan’s defense will play like it has something to prove. In the end, they’re too much for Ryan Tannehill, who turns the ball over multiple times, and the Jets win ugly, 20-9

Turn On The Jets Week 2 Roundtable – Jets vs. Steelers Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets vs. Steelers

The TOJ Staff with their predictions for Jets/Steelers 

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 24, Steelers 17 – Since I couldn’t have been more off with my prediction last week, it’s only fitting I deliver a prediction of redemption. With so many key players, for both teams, sitting out this week, it is extremely difficult to gage where this game will go. Kyle Wilson, who will be starting opposite Antonio Cromartie with Darrelle Revis out, has a huge opportunity to prove that the Jets can rely on him to play well consistently. Wilson will likely be matched up with Antonio Brown, who has become one of Ben Roethlisberger’s favorite targets over the past year, and will certainly have his hands full. Brown has big play ability and consistently finds holes in coverage to make key grabs and keep the chains moving for Pittsburgh. Wilson has a huge task at hand, but should be excited about the opportunity to prove himself.

Pittsburgh has a below average offensive line, one that gave up five sacks to Denver last week. Expect the Jets to get to Big Ben on more than one occasion. Look for Muhammed Wilkerson, Calvin Pace, and possibly Quinton Coples to all register sacks this week. With Rashard Mendenhall out for Pittsburgh again, the Steelers will likely turn to their stable of less than average running backs, all of whom the Jets will shut down early. Look for Pittsburgh Offensive Coordinator Todd Haley to start airing it out by the second quarter, leading to 1-2 interceptions by Ben Roethlisberger.
Offensively, the Jets will look to keep that fire from Buffalo burning, especially with Pittsburgh’s two best defensive players, James Harrison and Troy Polamalu, also out with injuries. New York will try to get the run game going, but with Shonn Greene average under 4 YPC, Sparano will likely let Sanchez take control and look to get Stephen Hill, Santonio Holmes, and Jeremy Kerley the ball in space. Ultimately, this game could come down to the final possession, one that has a Sanchez game winning drive written all over it, a phenomenal way to enter Miami week with San Francisco and Houston looming afterwards.

Rob Celletti – As exhilarating as week one was, it was just that: week one. I’m an optimist (I picked the Jets to win 10 games this year, after all), but I also don’t want to start drinking the Kool-aid just because the Jets walloped a suspect football team with a mediocre quarterback at home. Sunday’s game will be a battle. Pittsburgh is a quality football team, and even though they’re banged up, I expect a motivated Steelers side that will be anxious to wash the taste of their opening week loss out of their mouths. It will be a hard-fought game in which both teams will play well.  The Jets won’t have such an easy time throwing the ball, but Sanchez will put up representative numbers. He’ll also get sacked in key spots by a Pittsburgh defense that will be more creative and active than Buffalo. Also, remember, the Jets put the ball on the ground three times against the Bills and Sanchez was intercepted once.  If they make mistakes like that in this game, Pittsburgh will capitalize.  In the end, an even game comes down to the final possession, and Pittsburgh does enough to win, 24-21.

Chris Celletti – Most people probably think this is going to be a knock down, drag ’em out kind of game. I think both teams will look and say “Hey, their best defensive player is out, let’s take a few shots here” (as long as Troy Polamalu and/or James Harrison don’t play, with Darrelle Revis already ruled out), and we could be in for a more high scoring affair than most people think. I don’t think the Steelers are nearly as tough as we’re used to them being, which isn’t to say that they’re not good. They’re still good, but in a different way with a more dynamic offense led by three very good receivers. Mark Sanchez will have more success through the air, while Shonn Greene will continue to find a way to gain three yards, no more or less, on literally every play. The game will come down to wire, with maybe a big special teams play deciding things. In a bit of an upset I’ll take Jets 31, Steelers 27

Mike Donnelly – This game is going to be a much tougher test than last week against the paper champion Buffalo Bills. The Steelers are not the powerhouse team they were a few years ago, and they’ll be without mainstays James Harrison, Troy Polamalu, and Rashard Mendenhall, but they’re still a formidable opponent — especially at Heinz Field. The Jets will be without Darrelle Revis of course as well, which is a major blow, bit I expect the defense to exploit he Steelers Swiss cheese offensive line and make up for the absence of #24, pulling out a nail biter late in the 4th quarter 23-20.