Thank you for joining us on another edition of Pick Six. This week, we’re doing things a little differently as it is me asking you guys the questions. I asked 6 questions on Twitter and picked the six best answers. Thank you to everyone for sending in answers this week and for keeping up with this article. Now, on to Pick Six:
New York Jets Debate Club: Cole Patterson and Dalbin Osorio tee off on Geno Smith, IK Enemkpali, and Ryan Fitzpatrick.
The New York Jets Debate Club returns to tackle Geno Smith’s broken jaw and the impending Ryan Fitzpatrick era. Yesterday, a locker room fight erupted between Smith and linebacker IK Enemkpali. Enemkpali broke Smith’s jaw over what amounted to a $600 debt. Smith will require surgery and is expected to miss 6-10 weeks. Enemkpali was released. Ryan Fitzpatrick will enter 2015 as the starting quarterback for the New York Jets. With this information in hand, we at Turn On the Jets present the New York Jets Debate Club, an argument/counter-argument format, to best expound the various cases. Dalbin Osorio and Cole Patterson tee off.
AJ Sicignano overviews the New York Jets quarterback position
With the majority of the New York Jets roster set, barring any surprise signings and cuts, AJ Sicignano is going to break down two position groups per week and see where they stand in the AFC East and among the rest of the conference. Continue reading “New York Jets Positional Preview – Quarterback”
A round-up of how New York Jets General Manager John Idzik is moving forward with the rebuilding process
The NFL is in absolute frenzy right now with the official opening of free agency. The New York Jets have not been overly active, as we expected but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a large collection of news to round-up. Here is our opinions, commentary and predictions on what’s happening with the Jets as of right now, along with a few thoughts around the league
Early thoughts on the New York Jets week 1 match-up against the Buffalo Bills
A collection of early thoughts on the New York Jets week 1 match-up against the Buffalo Bills, make sure you check back later in the day for Mike Donnelly’s Stock Watch. Also if you are planning to head out in NYC tomorrow for the NFL opener or Sunday for Jets/Bills, we have partnered with Night Out to hook you up with a discount at Traffic East in Midtown.
1. It sounds like Sione Pouha is 50/50 to play this Sunday. Pouha is obviously one of the Jets top defenders and his presence would be missed. However, the team is well equipped to handle his absence this week for two main reasons. First off, because of Buffalo’s spread attack, the Jets will spend more time in their nickel and sub packages, which would equal less playing time for him anyway. Second, Kenrick Ellis has been terrific this pre-season and is a capable stop-gap for a week or two. It might be better to exercise caution with Pouha and make sure he is 100 percent for week 2 in Pittsburgh.
2. The Jets haven’t had this low of expectations since prior to the 2006 season, which is a good thing. In the past decade, they have performed better in seasons where the expectations weren’t high. Most “experts” are ignoring the reality of how strong the Jets defense will be and how soft their schedule is, particularly when it comes to playing inexperienced quarterbacks and quarterbacks Rex Ryan has had success against.
3. Speaking of quarterbacks Ryan has had success against, Ryan Fitzpatrick is 0-4 in his last 4 starts against Rex Ryan’s Jets with an average QB rating of 70.3.
4. A few more fun Buffalo stats against the Jets since Chan Gailey took over
- 0-4 record
- Average margin of defeat – 18.75 points
- Average points per game – 14 points
7. The best way to neutralize Mario Williams and Mark Anderson is for the Jets to establish Shonn Greene early and often, and then work the play action passing game off him. It doesn’t matter how highly touted rookie Stephon Gilmore is, he is still a rookie. If the Jets can get Santonio Holmes on him 1 on 1, they have to go after him.
8. You hate to say week 1 games are must wins but look at the Jets schedule, look at what everybody has been saying about Buffalo this off-season…this is a must win. The Jets can burst the early bubble on the Buffalo hype train, build momentum heading into a tough week two game on the road, get a crucial division win and avoid the embarrassment of feeding into pundits by losing in their own building to the supposed “up and coming” AFC East team.
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First a few updates:
1. Calvin Pace returned to practice today with very limited reps and Darrelle Revis still wasn’t on the practice field. I wouldn’t bet on seeing either of them on the field against Buffalo this weekend. Jamaal Westerman and Wayne Hunter could both also miss this week’s game.
2. Danny Woodhead scoring touchdowns in New England. Chauncey Washington signed by the Rams. Leon Washington returning every kick in sight for a touchdown. How about it Joe McKnight?
3. TOJ will be seeing “Lombardi” on Broadway tonight, in his first ever play…thoughts coming tomorrow.
Jets Must Avoid Textbook Trap Game
If you were attempting to define the term “trap game” you would describe the upcoming Jets/Bills match-up. The Jets are coming off two emotional wins against their primary divisional rivals and competition for an AFC East title, New England and Miami, and on the horizon is a made for TV Monday night match-up against Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings, in which you may be able to hear the cheers every time #4 hits the turf up in Connecticut.
Yet, coming up this Sunday at 1 PM the Jets must travel to Buffalo, home of the AFC East’s dysfunctional, basement dwelling Bills. I genuinely feel bad for the fans up there, who are among the most passionate in the league. The past two weeks, I have been walking in the streets of Hoboken on Sunday around noon. If you aren’t familiar with the area, at this particular time the streets are filled with NFL fans in their respective jerseys heading to a sports bar to watch their teams. I always see two or three Bills fans, who have a certain look on their face as they trudge around in their Lee Evans or Marshawn Lynch jersey. Unlike the other fans, they aren’t exactly excited to be heading to watch their team, it almost looks like they are 9 year olds being dragged to church by their parents. Poor, guys.
Anyway, the Jets or their fans would be exceedingly foolish to take this game lightly. Despite Buffalo’s lack of talent, direction, and strategy they have played their other two AFC East opponents tough, only losing to Miami by 5 points and New England by 8.
Needless to say, in a typical Jets season one of the worst losses always comes against the Bills. Consider the following:
- 2009 – Mark Sanchez throws 5 interceptions en route to an embarrassing 16-13 loss, which drops the Jets to 3-3 after a 3-0 start.
- 2007 – Despite high expectations the 1-2 Jets fall to 1-3, after they lose to the 0-3 Bills and then later in the year lose 13-3 at home on a ridiculous Lee Evans touchdown when Abram Elam and Darrelle Revis run into each other.
- 2006 – The eventually playoff bound Jets get smacked by the Bills 31-13 to drop their record to 7-6.
- 2005 – The Jets pull themselves to 2-3 with an impressive win against Tampa Bay with Vinny Testaverde at the helm and then follow with an ugly 27-17 loss in Buffalo.
- 2004 – The 6-1 Jets are upset on the road 22-17 by the Bills and also lose Chad Pennington to an injury.
- 2003 – Despite a bad start, the Jets come into Buffalo winning 3 of 4 but see their recent strong play fall off in a 17-6 loss.
You get the gist of it.
Buffalo is going to play the Jets tough. This is a game in a difficult environment and a good early season test for the Jets. A great team takes care of business in this game, moves to 3-0 in the division and 2-0 on the road. There is no logical reason that Ryan Fitzpatrick should be able to produce more points with his pedestrian wide receivers and tight ends than Mark Sanchez can throwing to Dustin Keller, Braylon Edwards, and Jerricho Cotchery. The Bills have talent at running back, but so far in 2010 you can’t run on the Jets. Why should LaDainian Tomlinson slow down against this defense? Better yet, why can’t Shonn Greene get going against this defense when a scrub like BenJarvus Green-Ellis can nearly run for 100 yards against it?
The point is the Jets have to be a mature team, who treats this game with equal importance to the previous three weeks. If the Jets can handle business this week, there is no reason they can’t knock off the one-dimensional Vikings at home (in case you haven’t noticed they can’t throw the ball) and the inconsistent Broncos in Denver. What will people have to say about that “impossible” start to the Jets schedule, if they head into the bye week at 5-1?
Bad Jets/Bills Memory
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First a few updates:
1. It sounds like there is a decent chance Calvin Pace could play this week and an outside chance Darrelle Revis could suit up. Personally, I think the Jets should be resting Revis until after the bye week. Give him the full six weeks to recover from the hamstring injury, so he is 100 percent for the second half of the season. He needs to be 100 percent for Green Bay and Detroit coming out of the bye. The Jets can survive against Buffalo, Minnesota, and Denver without him. All three teams lack a big time receiver and depth at the position…and yes, I do think Kyle Wilson will eventually learn to turn around when the ball is in the air.
2. Jamaal Westerman is also now banged up and could miss this week, which equals more Vernon Ghoslton at outside linebacker. Wayne Hunter will likely miss his second straight game.
Final Thoughts on Week 3:
Offensive MVP – Dustin Keller – Keller has been rolling since the playoffs started last year, if you count those games he has 6 touchdowns in his last 6 games. It sure looks like he will be the Jets leader in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns unless Santonio Holmes plays outside of his mind for 12 straight games.
Defensive MVP – Brodney Pool – He was quiet all night but made two huge plays in the final minute to clinch the Jets victory, by chasing down Brandon Marshall and reading Miami’s final play to knock the ball away from Anthony Fasano.
They Deserve Some Love Too – Mark Sanchez…The guy has looked like a legit franchise quarterback the past two weeks…LaDainian Tomlinson…Carrying the Jets running game and providing a viable receiving option out of the backfield…Braylon Edwards…On the football field, he blocked very well and made two huge catches…Eric Smith…The Jets best special teams player and currently leads the team in tackles…Brad Smith…Every time he touches the ball, it seems like the Jets get a big play.
Jets vs. Dolphins Round 1: First Look
The Opponent: Those poor, poor Buffalo Bills. The AFC East’s whipping boy is off to a 0-3 start and has already cut the quarterback who won their off-season competition. Regardless, the Bills tend to play above their talent level in AFC East games and were very much in their games against Miami and New England. Ryan Fitzpatrick will take shots down the field at quarterback and the Bills have a quality collection of running backs. We all remember what their secondary did to Mark Sanchez last year.
Buffalo Starters/Key Reserves
- Quarterback: Ryan Fitzpatrick – 20/28, 247 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs
- Running Back: Marshawn Lynch – 33 carries, 156 yards
- Running Back: Fred Jackson – 17 carries, 66 yards, 1 TD
- Running Back: CJ Spiller – 12 carries, 38 yards, 11 receptions, 41 yards, 1 TD
- Fullback: Corey McIntyre – 1 carry, 2 yards
- Wide Receiver: Lee Evans – 9 receptions, 88 yards
- Wide Receiver: Steve Johnson – 9 receptions, 137 yards, 1 TD
- Wide Receiver: Roscoe Parrish – 9 receptions, 152 yards, 1 TD
- Tight End: Jonathan Stupar – 5 receptions, 41 yards
- Tight End: David Nelson – 3 receptions, 22 yards
- Left Tackle: Demetrius Bell
- Left Guard: Andy Levitre
- Center: Geoff Hangartner
- Right Guard: Eric Wood
- Right Tackle: Cornell Green
- Defensive End: Marcus Stroud – 13 tackles
- Nose Tackle: Kyle Williams – 14 tackles, 1 sack
- Defensive End: Dwan Edwards – 15 tackles
- Outside Linebacker: Chris Kelsay – 19 tackles
- Inside Linebacker: Andra Davis – 21 tackles
- Inside Linebacker: Keith Ellison – 16 tackles
- Outside Linebacker: Akin Ayodele – 7 tackles
- Corner: Terrence McGee – 9 tackles
- Corner – Leodis McKlevin – 12 tackles
- Corner: Drayton Florence – 17 tackles
- Safety: Jairus Byrd – 11 tackles
- Safety: Donte Whitner – 21 tackles
- Safety: George Wilson – 9 tackles
- Safety: Bryan Scott – 14 tackles, 1 sack
- Kicker: Rian Lindell – 4/6 FGs
- Punter: Brian Moorman – 43.3 yards per punt
- Kick Return: CJ Spiller – 31.2 yards per return, 1 TD
- Punt Return: Roscoe Parrish – 6.6 per punt return
Key Players – Marshawn Lynch has been Buffalo’s most productive back. CJ Spiller is explosive on offense and special teams. Roscoe Parrish is a big play threat at receiver. Terrence McGee and Leodis McKlevin are athletic corners who can make big plays.
Injuries – Paul Posluszny has been banged up and could miss this game. Calvin Pace could suit up for the Jets and play a somewhat limited role. Darrelle Revis will likely be out for the second straight week, along with Wayne Hunter.
Key Storylines – Can the Jets avoid the trap game? Seeing if the secondary can play better against an average offense. Can Shonn Green finally get going? Calvin Pace’s potential return to the lineup.
Highlights of Bills week three loss
In the coming days, keep an eye out for some TOJ give-a-away contests for the following items and more –
1. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (TurnOnTheJets)…I have been hovering near 300 fans on Facebook for awhile without getting over it, so let’s go now. I know you want that news feed filled with Jets links and witty commentary on your favorite team.
2. A recent SportsNation poll on ESPN.com that asked Jets fans to select what games they thought their team would win this regular season resulted in fans projecting a 15-1 season for the team. I like the optimism because I was getting tired of the post draft negativity, but 15-1 may be…just may be…a stretch. Right now I would project the Jets as a 11-5 or 12-4 team, which scares me because I have never projected them to be that good. It is a little weird to have such high expectations.
3. Thoughts on Lost Final Season, Episode 14 “The Candidate” – Wow…that is what I am talking about. When Lost is on it’s game like that, there isn’t a better show on TV…not even close. I am glad we can end any debate about Locke being the bad guy now. He clearly never had any intention to get off the island but his plan was rather based around getting the candidates to all kill each other. I can’t blame Sawyer for not trusting Jack after he got Juliet killed last season but c’mon now you have to listen to the chosen one (which Sayid confirmed Jack was before sacrificing himself). I will miss Sayid, who was undoubtedly my favorite Iraqi torturer. The Jin/Sun death was obviously sad but we can get along fine without them considering how their characters have been used the past 2 seasons. It was kind of funny how nobody mentioned Frank dying…how about some love for the pilot, who went out with the funny line before getting smashed with a door and drowning. The sideways stuff is getting better, especially with Jack and Locke switching roles. Next week should be crazy good as well, with the backstory of Jacob and the MIB.
4. Do you think Nick Mangold noticed the contract Jahari Evans just got from the Saints? Do you think David Harris noticed the contract Patrick WIllis just got from the 49ers? The Jets better be ready to offer up the money to keep the cornerstones of their offense and defense…okay maybe Revis is the cornerstone on defense but he is about to be a free agent too.
Interesting AFC East Thoughts And Questions
#2 Quarterback in the Division? – Tim Graham of ESPN.com addressed this question in his AFC East blog and properly selected Mark Sanchez as the second best quarterback in the division over Chad Henne. Here is a key part of his argument:
“While Sanchez got better as games became more meaningful down the stretch, Henne struggled. Heading into Week 15, the Dolphins had a wonderful shot at securing a wild-card berth. They finished with three straight losses. Henne threw three touchdowns and five interceptions.”
I couldn’t agree more. I am always amazed how much people talk up Henne as this player who is going to jump into greatness next year, while they are quick to question Sanchez as the Jets biggest potential problem in 2010. Yes, Sanchez struggled heavily at times last year but it was the guy’s rookie year and he was thrown right into the fire. In the end, he came out of it to lead the Jets from 4-6 to the AFC Championship Game. Henne had a year to learn behind Chad Pennington and turned in a very average season last year. Stop talking about Henne like he lit the league on fire last season. He threw 12 touchdowns to 14 interceptions and had a QB rating of 75.2. Beyond that, he had his team at 7-6 and lost out to three teams who missed the playoffs to finish 7-9.
Sanchez’s performance against the Bengals in the wild-card round on the road, in the fourth quarter against the Chargers in the divisional round on the road, and in the AFC Championship Game on the road are all more impressive than anything Henne has done in his career.
Well, at least we can’t debate Tom Brady is the best quarterback in the division and Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, or Brian Brohm are the worst.
Just How Bad Is Buffalo – Unfortunately for those upstate New York football fans, it is hard to see Buffalo winning more than 5 games this season. No quarterback. No offensive line. A questionable defense. A questionable hire at head coach and GM. Three other quality teams in the division. This is the recipe for a rough season. Yet, I am still terrified of the Jets traveling up there in week 4.
Where Are Your Running Backs – The AFC East is stacked with quality running backs. Even the previously mentioned Bills have two 1,000 yard rushers and the 9th overall pick in the draft, with Marshawn Lynch, Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. The Dolphins have Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. The Jets have rising star (I hope not to jinx him) Shonn Greene, LaDainian Tomlinson in the proper backup role, and Joe “Tums” McKnight. But what about the Patriots? Laurence Maroney isn’t a #1 back. Fred Taylor is 650 years old and can’t stay healthy. Sammy Morris is 575 years old and can’t stay healthy. This normally wouldn’t be a problem in New England’s spread offense, but with an injured Wes Welker, their passing offense just isn’t that scary anymore. I could only say that because I know Darrelle Revis can take Randy Moss out of the game 1 on 1, and I like…make that love, matching up Antonio Cromartie and Kyle Wilson on Julian Edeleman, Sam Aiken, or the old version of Torry Holt.
For No Particular Reason, Receiver Rankings
- Brandon Marshall
- Randy Moss
- Santonio Holmes
- Braylon Edwards
- Jerricho Cotchery
- Lee Evans
This is obviously very, very debatable. I really hate putting Braylon in front of Cotchery but his physical talent is too hard to ignore…the guy had 17 touchdowns only a few season ago. What about Edwards and Cotchery in front of Lee Evans? The guy only had 44 receptions for 612 yards last year. I know his quarterbacks were crappy but Cotchery’s quarterbacks were crappy in 2007 and he had 1130 yards. Then again Evans had 1000 yards in 2008 with crappy quarterbacking and Cotchery didn’t with Favre back there…but then again Favre stunk the second half of the season. Evans is more physically gifted and more of a big play threat but Cotchery is more consistent…I don’t know, they are interchangeable. I feel good about 1-4, what is interesting is how sharp the drop off is after these 6. Look at this collection of players:
- Torry Holt
- Julian Edeleman
- Sam Aiken
- Brad Smith
- David Clowney
- Steve Johnson – That is Buffalo’s listed other started right now by the way.
- Roscoe Parrish
- James Hardy
- Brian Hartline
- Devone Bess
- Greg Camarillo
How do you rate those guys? Holt has the best pedigree obviously, but how much does he have left in the tank? Brad Smith isn’t really a true receiver. Edeleman and Hartline showed flashes last year. Bess and Camarillo are steady guys, who are decent fits as #3 options. Everybody else is a journeyman.
And Yet Another Well-Made Highlight Video
First a few updates:
1. The official injury report for tomorrow lists Lito Sheppard, Donald Strickland, and Robert Turner out. Tight End Matthew Mulligan has been moved to the active roster to replace Justin Miller, who was released last week.
2. Darrelle Revis was named AFC Defense Player of the Week for his performance against Carolina. A well-deserved honor for the league’s best cornerback.
Jets vs. Bills Game Breakdown
Offense: The Jets ran for over 300 yards the last time they played Buffalo so it would be a safe assumption that Thomas Jones, Shonn Greene, and Danny Woodhead will be very active tomorrow night. Buffalo needs to prove they can stop the run before the Jets stop turning around and handing the ball to Jones. One quick thing for Brian Schottenheimer, can we stop with the toss play? I swear the Jets run toss two times every game and lose 5 yards on it both times. Jones and Greene are north and south runners, give them the ball up the middle. After watching game tape this should be the easiest game plan Schottenheimer ever put together: Hand the ball off early and often.
When the Jets do need to throw the football, I wouldn’t mind seeing them take a couple of shots down the field. The Jets were about as conservative as possible last week and eventually Buffalo is going to put enough people in the box, where the offense is going to need to put one up for Braylon Edwards. Dustin Keller has been doing a great job in the intermediate passing game the past few weeks but with how well the Jets run the football, they should be able to make the defense pay with big plays in the passing game. Jerricho Cotchery was quiet last game, so don’t be surprised to see the Jets try to get him involved early.
Defense: There is alot of talk about the emergence of the Bills down field passing attack led by Ryan Fitzpatrick. However, the Jets got an answer for the suddenly woken up Terrell Owens and that is Darrelle Revis. I am more concerned about Lee Evans matched up with Lito Sheppard. Evans hurt the Jets in their last meeting but Sheppard is coming off his best game of the season and appears to finally be getting healthy. I would still like to see the Jets role the coverage to help against Evans. Revis can handle Owens one on one.
Fred Jackson has been moved into the starting line-up for the Bills and is a dangerous back. The Jets defensive line has played surprisingly well in the absence of Kris Jenkins and needs to keep it up against Jackson and the Bills. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a mobile quarterback who escaped a few sacks against the Jets last time. They need to bring him down when they get a chance. I would like to see Bart Scott make a few big plays. David Harris and Calvin Pace have made their share in the past few weeks, so let’s see Scott get a few. Hopefully, Kerry Rhodes will use coming off the bench in a primetime game as motivation and put together another big game.
Special Teams: I think we will see Brad Smith as the primary kick returner from now on. Jerricho Cotchery has been good on punt returns but I still worry about him getting hurt back there. Buffalo is traditionally solid on special teams and has never been averse to trick plays.
Please don’t ever think every italian guy from North Jersey is like this…I don’t even own hair gel…I swear.
Being a season ticket holding Jets fan my entire life, I have sat through some bad football games. Today was among the worst I have ever seen. The Bills were awful. The officiating was awful. Most importantly, the Jets were awful. It was a long, painful game to watch with no rhythm or tempo. By the fourth quarter, it wasn’t a question of if the Jets were going to lose, it was how they were going to lose. They found a uniquely, cruel and unusual way to drag it out today but sure enough they did lose in the end and are now 3-3.
Paging Kellen Clemens…Paging Erik Ainge…Paging Kevin O’Connell…Just kidding, but wow Mark Sanchez was bad today. I understand he is a rookie but that can’t be an excuse to throw five interceptions. The kid looked shaken today. He was on nowhere near the same page as his receivers and repeatedly killed the Jets with turnovers. There are plenty of things to point fingers at today but the bottom line is that you aren’t going to win with 5 interceptions. We know the talent is there but how many more performances like this is Sanchez going to have this year? He has already cost the team two games.
Airing of Grievances…The early reports is that Kris Jenkins is out for the season, when it rains it pours. The Jets defense was already struggling the past few weeks but is now going to be in serious trouble without Jenkins, who is their most valuable player on that side of the ball…Before you even think about saying the Jets defense played anywhere near good today, remember they recorded 1 sack for 5 yards against an offensive line starting three rookies, Rex Ryan’s blitz schemes aren’t fooling anybody and nobody on the Jets is talented enough to beat their blocker and make a play…Ryan Fitzpatrick led a 10 point second half comeback on the road against the defense…Lito Sheppard was beat like a drum all day by Lee Evans before finally being pulled for Dwight Lowery…There is no excuse for Steve Weatherford for dropping that snap and denying Jay Feely at a chance at winning the game in OT…The amount of penalties on the Jets was astronomical, every single drive in OT started with a penalty and they had the game pulled out of their hands by the officials thanks to a holding call, after Thomas Jones ran down to the 13 yard line in OT.
More Grievances…James Ihedigbo should be cut for punching somebody on the opening kickoff in OT and costing the Jets 15 yards…Mark Sanchez also can’t keep taking 15 yard sacks, throw the ball away. Dustin Keller and Mark Sanchez look they have never been in the same room as each other and are running different offenses…Brian Schottenheimer’s playcalling still leaves something to be desired.
Welcome back to mediocrity Jets fans. We had a nice three weeks in the beginning of the year without it, but now we are back where we belong. You are kidding yourselves if you feel confident about flying out to Oakland next week and getting a win. The Jets never play well on the West Coast, particularly in Oakland and the Raiders just took care of the Eagles today, who are much better than the Jets. Also, Mark Sanchez is currently playing like JaMarcus Russell.