What Will LaDainian Tomlinson's Production In 2010 Be?

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First a few updates:

1. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets). Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at (http://www.youtube.com/user/turn0nthejets).

2. The Jets are back to two a days tomorrow all the way through Saturday. Pre-Season kicks off next Monday against the Giants. Hard Knocks premieres this Wednesday at 10 PM.

What Will LaDainian Tomlinson’s Production In 2010 Be?

Today on twitter I sent Peter King of Sports Illustrated a question about LaDainian Tomlinson. Would he finish with over or under 900 total offensive yards in 2010? King responded the under. I wasn’t shocked by this, considering King has been on record stating his belief that Shonn Greene will be a 1,400 yard back. I am assuming he doesn’t think Tomlinson will get the workload to attain those type of numbers. Beyond King, I quickly had seven other responses agreeing that Tomlinson would either be under or way under 900 total offensive yards. Immediately after the Tomlinson acquisition I would have felt the same way. However, my opinion on his level of production in 2010 has began to shift slightly, to the point where I think he will exceed 900 offensive yards.

PhotobucketTomlinson’s production as a receiver will be the primary reason he hits that number. Brian Schottenheimer likes involving the running backs in the passing game but was hamstrung last year by the Leon Washington’s injury. I am looking for Tomlinson to closely mirror Washington’s 47 receptions for 355 yards in 2008, if not have slightly more yards. Shonn Greene is relatively inept as a pass catcher out of the backfield and Joe McKnight appears to be a long way from being a contributing member of the Jets offense. Tomlinson is going to be catching a ton of screens, check downs, and swing passes and will also frequently be split out. The first play of the Jets Green and White scrimmage was a 70 yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez to Tomlinson, with him lined up at split end. Hopefully, Tomlinson can continue to take advantage of mismatches when linebackers are trying to cover him.

On the rushing end of things, Tomlinson should be able to reach 500 yards. Shonn Greene is going to be the workhorse but you will still see Tomlinson on third downs, a few series each half, and in some short yardage/goal-line situations. I don’t know if he will have a much improved yards per carry from last year in San Diego. Yet, let’s assume Tomlinson is averaging 10 carries per game and finishes with 160 total carries on the season. If he averages 3.5 yards per carry, he will finish up with 560 rushing yards.

Look for Tomlinson to be in the 350-400 yard range on receiving yards and 550-600 yard range on rushing yards. I will take the over on Tomlinson at 900 total offensive yards, but not by much.

Stock Report One Week Into Training Camp

Up – Mark Brunell – The veteran looks like he is running away with the backup spot to Mark Sanchez.

Down – David Clowney – He had a case of the drops on day one and missed the last two practices for personal reasons. I hope all is well with Clowney and his family but he could end up on the outside looking in at the Jets crowded receiver position.

Up – Matt Slauson – The second year player has impressed in the battle for the starting left guard spot with his physicality and knowledge of the offense. He is on his way to pulling off an upset and keeping second round pick Vladmir Ducasse on the bench.

Down – Dwight Lowery – He is struggling opposite Antonio Cromartie in the starting lineup at cornerback. The longer Darrelle Revis holds out, the more time Kyle Wilson will get on the outside instead of in the slot.

Up – Antonio Cromartie – He has impressed with athleticism and ball skills.

Down – Kellen Clemens – I don’t think he will be around much longer.

Up – Braylon Edwards – Edwards and Santa Clause like beard continue to have a strong off-season.

Down – Mike Tannenbaum/Darrelle Revis – August 10th is the day to watch. If Revis doesn’t report he loses a year towards free agency.

Grading Out The Jets Win Against The Cheap-Shot Chargers

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First a few updates:

1. Why the cheap-shot Chargers? Look at dirtbag Antonio Cromartie throw an elbow into Shonn Greene’s back after he rips off his 53 yard touchdown run in the game highlights at the bottom of this article…unbelievble (by the way, I think they are still scraping Eric Weddle off the turf back in San Diego). Beyond that, Shaun Phillips head-butted D’Brickashaw Ferguson…thank you very much for the 15 yards, Kris Wilson was flagged for a 15 yard penalty after taking a cheap shot on Wallace Wright during a punt, and Vincent Jackson was flagged 15 yards for kicking the Jets challenge flag in the 4th quarter…real classy stuff, San Diego…enjoy the off-season because your 11 game winning streak didn’t mean crap when it mattered, so enjoy all those stats you piled up while you watch the AFC Championship game next week…in the end all I have to say the Chargers is this: (beware explicit language, young TOJ readers…and yes they exist because my little cousins read this site)

2. Shockingly enough, Mike Francesa gave the Jets absolutely no credit when analyzing the game last night. He spent 20 minutes coming up with a long list of excuses why the Jets were lucky and should be thanking the gods…give up it already big guy, Rex Ryan is the most popular fat man in this city now…Francesa just sounds like another bitter, whiny Giants fan who still call the Jets a fluke and lucky and then act like they didn’t win a super bowl because their 3rd string receiver caught a ball with his helmet, in the most lucky play in NFL history…give me a break, shut up and accept the fact that your team is irrelevant right now and is the third best team in their own division…and no hiring the interim coach from a 6-10 team to coach your defense isn’t going to change that.

3. I loved John Clayton’s article today previewing the AFC Championship Game, when discussing who is going to win “This one is pretty easy, although I thought the Chargers would beat the Jets. The Colts, after letting Sanchez and the Jets get into the playoffs, will go to the Super Bowl.” Yes, it is clearly easy John…just like it was easy for you to pick the Bengals to beat the Jets wild-card weekend.

4. If you can’t tell I am somewhat agitated about the lack of respect the Jets are still getting (which I will further detail in my article later in the day)…regardless, I looooove how it is becoming clear already that nobody thinks the Jets have a chance this week.

5. Stats and Game highlights have been updated.

6. New TOJ TV is coming this week and Corbett just sent me a text that he has big plans…get ready.

7. AFC Championship = 2 article minimum per day from this site…i can taste a Super Bowl at this point, which means other things like attending class, doing homework, going to my job all take a back seat this week to the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets. By the way, if the Jets win the Super Bowl I can promise you now I will be writing a book on this season and it will be better than anything of the beat writers come up with.

8. You know what I noticed yesterday? The Chargers over celebrating every tackle they made on defense  like they won the Super Bowl, clearly they were shocked when they actually stopped somebody. Also, the Vikings acting like have never won a playoff game before…did you see the way they were celebrating? Calm down man, you still have to beat the Saints…I know this, the Jets weren’t acting like the 9-7 team on Sunday, that would be the Chargers who were clearly rattled and are also clearly both choke and cheap shot artists.

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Grading Out The Jets Win Against The Cheap-Shot Chargers

Quarterbacks (C) The numbers (12/23, 100 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) bear out an ugly game for Mark Sanchez but the reality is that he did his job well enough for the Jets to win and beyond that made a huge play in a big moment. Third and goal from the two yard line…the Jets go play action…the Chargers do a great job of covering everything, Sanchez buys time, stays patient and fires a rocket into Dustin Keller…boom, 10-7 Jets, that was a big-time play in a playoff game. The interception was a bad decision but Sanchez also made a few other nice throws down the field to Braylon Edwards and converted some big third downs to Jerricho Cotchery.

Running Backs (A) Shonn Greene is a beast, period. You can’t give Mike Tannenbaum enough credit for trading up for this guy and grabbing him in the third round. The best part about Greene is that he is fresh, because he barely played the first 6 games of the season. Thomas Jones is handling losing carries to Greene with class and still came up with a few nice runs, none more important than the game-sealing 2 yard gain on fourth and 1. Tony Richardson deserves to be mentioned for having another great year at fullback and actually catching a couple of passes yesterday.

Wide Receivers (B) They weren’t asked to do all that much but they stepped up when necessary. Braylon Edwards had two big catches down the field on third downs and Jerricho  converted two big third downs as well. Unfortunately for Brad Smith it appears the tiger formation is dead.

Tight Ends (B) Good blocking all day by Keller and Hartsock. Obviously, Keller also came up huge by freeing himself in the end-zone and making a difficult catch for the go-ahead touchdown.

Offensive Line (A) Best in the NFL, week in and week out.

Defensive Line (A) Sione Pouha and Mike DeVito deserve some serious recognition for playing the game of their lives yesterday. Pouha had 5 tackles and blew up numerous run plays. He seemed two steps quicker off the ball than usual. DeVito had three tackles, 1 sack, and 1 tackle for a loss in extended reps for an injured Shaun Ellis.

Linebackers (A) Were there two players wearing #52 on the field yesterday? David Harris was everywhere, coming up with 10 tackles, one for a loss, and a pass defensed. Bryan Thomas played another really strong game and Bart Scott chipped in with 4 tackles. Somehow, Calvin Pace didn’t register a single stat.

Secondary (A) Peter King tracked Darrelle Revis all game and wrote in his Monday Morning Quarterback article that Revis was thrown at 4 times, with the following results: 1 interception, 1 tackle for a 4 yard loss, 2 incompletions (1 knocked away by him)…well then, who was the Defensive Player of the Year again? It was also a great job by Rex Ryan to move Revis all over the field and have him take turns guarding Tomlinson, Gates, Floyd, and even Naanee on one play and not just leaving him on Vincent Jackson all day, who Ryan said after the game wasn’t worthy of that type of attention…owch. Kerry Rhodes aka “Mr. Redemption” played a terrific game (8 tackles, 1 sack, and 1 huge onsides kick recovery). He has won me back over and effectively shut up all his critics and how about Jimmy Leonhard? How can you not love the 5’8 guy taking out Malcom Floyd (and getting screwed out of a forced fumble), coming up with a monster interception, and adding 6 tackles? Awesome stuff. Donald Strickland had a big third down pass break-up.

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Special Teams (A) I am glad our kicker is Jay Feely and not Nate Kaeding. Brad Smith had a nice kick return to start the second half and Cotchery broke a nice punt return in the fourth quarter. The Jets coverage units were excellent, led by James Ihedigbo.

Coaching (A) Rex Ryan dialed up all the right calls and had his team properly motivated. He doesn’t look so stupid now for saying he thinks the Jets should be Super Bowl favorites, does he? Brian Schottenheimer did a great job sticking with the run, but needs to ditch the reverses and tiger formation.

Jets – 17 Cheap-Shot Chargers – 14

Awesome Video From Jets Locker Room After Game

LaDanian Should Probably Slide Himself Into Retirement

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Five Final Thoughts on Jets/Dolphins Monday Night Game

First a few updates:

1. Jerricho Cotchery and Damien Woody are both expected to be in the starting line-up tonight. Cotchery may not be at 100 percent, so it will be interesting to see if the Jets spell him occasionally with Brad Smith and David Clowney. On defense, the good is news is that Calvin Pace is back. The bad news is that Lito Sheppard and Donald Strickland won’t be playing again…fortunately, Miami’s starting receivers are better cast as #3 and 4 receivers.

2. Peter King dropped the Jets down to #8 in his Power Rankings and picked the Dolphins to win tonight, as are more people than I expected. The Jets are only 1 point favorites despite having a 2 game better record…we shall see tonight.

3. You have to love Paplebon choking in the 9th and the Red Sox getting swept out of the playoffs, the same day the Yankees swept the Twins and the same day the Patriots lost. Watching all those depressed/confused faces in Fenway, I have to say things are starting to feel right in the sports world again.

4. Congrats to Eric Mangini for getting his first win in Cleveland, despite his quarterback going 2/17 for 23 yards with an INT. I am 90 percent confident I could have replicated those stats, if I was under center for the Browns yesterday. Chansi Stuckey must be crying himself to sleep looking at pictures of Mark Sanchez.

Five Final Thoughts on Jets/Dolphins Monday Night Game

1. Back to Basics – The Jets need to run the football tonight, early and often. Expect to see Thomas Jones and Leon Washington have their stats look similar to the way they did in the Houston game. Also, don’t be shocked to Shonn Greene get a series in each half. The Jets offensive line has something to prove tonight.

2. When We Do Throw – The Jets will take at least one shot down the field to Braylon Edwards tonight who racked up his only three 100 yard efforts last year in primetime. It will be a message to upcoming defensive coordinators about the new capabilities of this offense. I am going to predict Edwards ends up with 4 catches for 62 yards. Also keep an eye on Dustin Keller, because the Dolphins linebackers and safeties aren’t good in coverage…remember what Dallas Clark did to them a few weeks back.

3. Mismatch – I wouldn’t start Chad Henne on my fantasy team tonight. The guy is going to be in for a rough night facing a Jets pass rush bolstered by Calvin Pace and a Jets secondary that should be able to handle the Dolphins receivers even without Lito Sheppard and Donald Strickland. Ronnine Brown might throw for more yards than Henne tonight.

4. It All Comes Down To – The Jets ability to stop the run. If Miami can’t move the football on the ground, they have no chance to even remain competitive tonight. However, if Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams get going the Jets could be in for a long night.

5. Bury Them – The Jets can basically bury the Dolphins with a win tonight by opening up a 3 game lead over them. I hate to pencil in victories but the Jets get the Bills and Raiders the next two weeks, which means they can open up even more space throughout October.

Turn On the Jets TV Episode V

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Midnight Miracle

Grading Out the Jets/Pats Game

First a few updates:

1. Apparently the 49ers are threatening the Jets with tampering charges for still unsigned receiver Michael Crabtree. I don’t know what the Jets could have done except maybe reach out to their agent for preliminary discussions about him for the 2010 draft, since it looks like that is where he is headed. The Broncos were threatening charges about Brandon Marshall and nothing came of it, so as of now I wouldn’t be too worried about this.

2. Some injury concerns from yesterday: Lito Sheppard has a quad injury, which could be trouble considering his history, Donald Strickland who has been sensational off the bench twisted his ankle, and Kris Jenkins had the wind knocked out of him late in the game (that’s alot of wind). In terms of Sheppard and Strickland you have to hope they will be back to 100 percent for the Saints game the week after next. I think Dwight Lowery and Drew Coleman can hold the fort down against the Titans.

3. You have to love the excuses and lack of credit coming out of New England. First off, Randy Moss commenting that Darrelle Revis didn’t shut him down and that he always had help over the top, which is just laughable because anybody who watched the game knows Revis was one on one with Moss 90 percent of the time. Moss was held to 4 catches for 24 yards, was out jumped by Revis for an interception and appeared to give up on some of his routes because #24 gave him no room to breathe. Also, Boston talk radio today and the Patriots message board yesterday and today can’t seem to recognize the reality that the Jets out-played and out-coached them yesterday. If I was a New England player, fan, or media member I would stop crying about the Jets trash talk, mocking of them by making Kevin O’Connell, Larry Izzo, and Damien Woody captains and focus on upcoming games against Atlanta and Baltimore. How does 1-3 sound New England?

4. Peter King ranked the Jets #4 in his power rankings and put Darrelle Revis on his MVP watch list. I will say that it is nice to see some national media members (John Clayton also singled him out in his column) finally talking about Revis as arguably the best corner in the league.

5. Site Updates – I added the Jets/Pats highlights to the “Game Highlights” section, added the new episode of TOJ TV to the “TOJ TV” section, updated the stats and the depth chart.

6. The Yankees better take care of business against the Angles the next three games. I don’t want to be heading into the Boston series up 3 games or less.

7. Eric Mangini…yikes. How does 2-14 sound?

8. My fantasy team? Yikes…how does 2-11 sound? My top two quarterbacks (McNabb and Hassleback) are already down.

Grading Out the Jets/Pats Game

Quarterbacks: (B) It was a slow start for Mark Sanchez, who couldn’t move the offense in the first half and nearly had a disastrous fumble on his first play from scrimmage. Yet, the kid came out slinging in the second half. His two most impressive throws were the laser to Jerricho Cotchery to kick off the second half and the touch he displayed on his touchdown pass to Dustin Keller, just two plays later. 14/22 for 163 yards with a touchdown and zero interceptions is enough for the Jets to win with this season. How about the rookie doubling Tom Brady’s quarterback rating? The best part about Sanchez is that he is only going to get better as the season progresses.

Running Backs: (B-) Leon Washington had a killer fumble that directly led to three points for New England and a dropped pass but beyond that put together a strong, productive game on offense. His 19 yard run in the fourth quarter was something else and he had a huge third down conversion on a reception over the middle. Thomas Jones was steady but was never able to break through to the second level. Jones and Washington combined for 31 touches (14 carries each, Washington had 2 receptions, and Jones had 1). I’d like to see that number closer to 40 but Brian Schottenheimer is still doing a great job of balancing their touches and using Leon Washington more.

Wide Receivers: (B) After being invisible in the first half, Jerricho Cotchery looked like a legit number one receiver in the second half. He did a great job staying on his feet and turning a 15 yard catch into a 45 yard gain and went down to make two other tough catches for Mark Sanchez, including one that converted a big third down. Cotchery looks like a 1200 yard receiver right now. Chansi Stuckey was productive with 4 catches, including a gutsy grab when getting leveled by 2 Pats defenders. Brad Smith had his standard one reverse, this time picking up seven yards. David Clowney still hasn’t had a ball thrown his way.

Tight Ends (B+) Dustin Keller stepped up in the red-zone, which will be key for the Jets this season. He did have a holding penalty but overall did a solid job with his blocking. Ben Hartsock played less than he did last week.

Offensive Line (A-) Another strong effort by this unit, who only allowed Sanchez to be sacked twice and opened enough holes in the running game. Alan Faneca may have been beat for a sack but had a heads up play by covering up the ball after everybody else seemed to stop, thinking it was an incomplete pass.

Defensive Line (B) These guys must be exhausted, since only four of them were active. Sione Pouha provided quality reps off the bench. Kris Jenkins appeared to be himself in the middle and Shaun Ellis had a huge stop on a 3rd and 1. Overall, the Pats ran the ball a little better than I expected them to but like the rest of the unit, the defensive line bent but never broke.

Linebackers (A) Was there two David Harris’ and Bart Scotts on the field yesterday? The Jets inside linebackers were constantly in Tom Brady’s face. Scott had 2 tackles for a loss and Harris had 3 hits on the quarterback. Bryan Thomas was also very active with 4 tackles and a few near sacks. Vernon Gholston didn’t play that much and when he was on the field didn’t have an impact. Imagine this defense when Calvin Pace comes back? Wow.

Secondary (A) Rex Ryan was smart to have 10 defensive backs active since the Patriots spent the whole game in 3 and 4 wide sets. Darrelle Revis was Darrelle Revis, the best corner in the NFL right now. Kerry Rhodes backed his words up with 8 tackles, a QB hit, and a PD. Jim Leonhard is always around the football. Donald Strickland was having the game of his life before leaving with an ankle injury. Dwight Lowery was excellent off the bench and could be seeing more playing time the next couple of weeks with the injuries to Strickland and Lito Sheppard.

Special Teams (A) A great game of kick returning by Leon Washington. Another good coverage day for the Jets punt and kick units. Jay Feely was 3/3 on kicks.

Coaching (A+) Rex Ryan can do no wrong right now. You can say his voice message to fans was cheesy but it worked. I have never seen the stadium like that in my life. In only a few months he has completely changed the culture around this team. I love how the Jets defer when they win the coin toss. I love how he made the ex-Pats the game captains and I love how he out adjusted Bill Belichick at half-time.

Enjoy the Highlights One Last Time