Initial Reaction – New York Jets Embracing The Awfulness

The New York Jets continued to bottom out today with a 27-17 loss to the San Diego Chargers

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It was a sad day at MetLife Stadium. The New York Jets have fully regressed to 2007, when December home games were filled with bitter, disinterested fans watching a bad football team play out the string.

Shockingly, a second year 7th round quarterback wasn’t the answer to all the Jets problems. Greg McElroy looked overwhelmed in his first NFL start, turning the ball over twice, taking unnecessary sacks and showing the lack of arm strength that will prevent him from being this team’s answer at quarterback. The rest of the team, with the exception of a handful of players, were truly awful and looked like a team ready to head home for the off-season. There is not a coach on the Jets offensive staff who deserves to be employed in the NFL next season and Rex Ryan’s beloved defense was pushed around by one of the league’s worst offenses.

The offensive line embarrassed themselves. Shonn Greene can’t crack 40 yards rushing unless he gets 20 carries. Eric Smith is still Eric Smith. The linebackers are slow. Kyle Wilson remains his terrible self (at least we didn’t see any finger wags today).

What else can you say? It needs to be blown up from top to bottom. If you have been paying attention, you knew this already.

How about a few positives? Quinton Coples recorded a sack in his third straight game, finishing with 1.5 on the day and now has a team leading 5.5 on the season. Muhammad Wilkerson also added in a sack and now has 5 on the year. The two of them and Kenrick Ellis form the core of an excellent young defensive line. Braylon Edwards has looked strong since returning and the Jets are going to be able to bring him back on a low cost contract and get a productive player. Outside of that? I guess Robert Malone has put together a good season of punting the ball.

One game left and then the rebuilding can commence!

Turn On The Jets Week 16 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff submits their week 16 NFL Picks

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday games –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (123-95-6)

2. Chris Gross (113-105-6)

3. Mike Donnelly (112-108-4)

4. Chris Celletti (111-108-5)

5. Joe Caporoso (96-122-6)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (9-6)

  • Atlanta (-3.5) vs. Detroit
  • Tennessee (+12.5) vs. Green Bay
  • Oakland (+8.5) vs. Carolina
  • Buffalo (+4.5) vs. Miami
  • Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Cincy
  • New England (-14.5) vs. Jacksonville
  • Indianapolis (-7) vs. Kansas City
  • Dallas (-3) vs. New Orleans
  • Washington (-6.5) vs. Philadelphia
  • Tampa Bay (-3) vs. St. Louis
  • Giants (-2.5) vs. Baltimore
  • Minnesota (+7.5) vs. Houston
  • Denver (-13) vs. Cleveland
  • Chicago (-5.5) vs. Arizona
  • Seattle (PK) vs. San Francisco
  • Jets (-2.5) vs. San Diego

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (9-6)

  • Falcons -3.5
  • Titans +12
  • Raiders +8.5
  • Bills +4.5
  • Steelers -3
  • Jaguars +14.5
  • Chiefs +7
  • Cowboys -3
  • Eagles +6.5
  • Bucs -3
  • Jets -2.5
  • Texans -8
  • Giants -2.5
  • Broncos -12.5
  • Bears -5.5
  • Seahawks PK

Rob Celletti

Last Week (10-5)

  • Falcons (-3.5) over Lions
  • Titans (+12.5) over Packers
  • Raiders (+8.5) over Panthers
  • Dolphins (-4.5) over Bills
  • Steelers (-3) over Bengals
  • Patriots (-14.5) over Jaguars
  • Chiefs (+7) over Colts
  • Cowboys (-3) over Saints
  • Eagles (+6) over Redskins
  • Rams (+3) over Buccaneers
  • Giants (-2.5) over Ravens
  • Texans (-7.5) over Vikings
  • Browns (+13) over Broncos
  • Bears (-5.5) over Cardinals
  • 49ers (PK) over Seahawks
  • Chargers (+2.5) over Jets

Chris Celletti

Last Week (5-10)

  • Falcons
  • Packers
  • Raiders
  • Dolphins
  • Steelers
  • Patriots
  • Colts
  • Redskins
  • Rams
  • Giants
  • Texans
  • Browns
  • Bears
  • 49ers
  • Jets

Chris Gross

Last Week (7-8)

  • Falcons (-3.5)
  • Packers (-12)
  • Raiders (+8.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Bengals (+3)
  • Patriots (-14.5)
  • Chiefs (+7)
  • Saints (+3)
  • Eagles (+6.5)
  • Bucs (-3)
  • Ravens (+2.5)
  • Vikings (+8)
  • Denver (-12.5)
  • Bears (-5.5)
  • 49ers (pk)
  • Jets (-2.5)

Turn On The Jets Week 16 Best Bets: Best Of 2012

Chris Celletti with his weekly NFL Best Bets and a collection of “Best Of” Lists for 2012

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Week 15 Record: 0-3

Season Record: 14-29-2

Unfortunately, there are TWO more weeks of the regular season in the NFL.  God why can’t this just end sooner?

I will be doing a Best Bets piece for Week 17 (I’m sure you’re all in tatters with excitement), but Week 17 falls on Dec. 30 this year. I plan on spending the week between Christmas and New Years bathing in alcohol and greasy food, so I’ll just alert you now; I’m probably going to mail in my Week 17 column like Mike Francesa in August.

So because I’m sure you haven’t seen enough year-end “Best Of” or “Top (insert whatever here) of the Year” lists, here come a bunch more. You’re welcome, everybody. Here are my Top 5 in a whole bunch of important things from 2012:

Movies of the Year

1. Zero Dark Thirty – I saw this last night and the first thing that came to mind when I walked out of the theater was “I’ve just seen the best movie of the year, if not the last five years.” Super intense, brilliantly paced, well-acted all around. It’s impossible to make a movie about this subject do a better job than Kathryn Bigelow did. The scene of the actual raid of the Bin Laden compound was action film-making at its finest. Oh yeah and all those torture scenes that the government are telling you are “factually inaccurate”? Yeah, please, we totally did all that.

2. Silver Linings Playbook – If everything about this movie was the same except the Solitano family was from New York or New Jersey and they were massive Jets fans instead of Eagles fans, there’s a chance this would be my favorite movie of all time.

3. The Master – Daniel Day-Lewis is going to get the Oscar for Best Actor for Lincoln, but Joaquin Phoenix is just as deserving if not more.

4. Argo – As much as it may pain me to say this, Ben Affleck made a great movie.

5. Moonrise Kingdom – Wes Anderson quirkiness at it’s best. Children acting like adults, adults acting like children. Hilarious, outrageous and heartwarming at the same time.

Honorable Mention: Skyfall, The Dark Knight Rises, ParaNorman (no, really), Lincoln – and I fully expect Django Unchained to be great.

Mike D’Antoni Quotes of the Year (No explanation required)

1. “Uhhhhhhhhh”

2. ” Well, uhhhhhh”

3. “Now you’re startin’ to piss me off.”

4. “Uhhhhhh…Let’s go! Comeonnow! Let’s go!”

5.”Uhhhhhhhhhh”

Honorable Mention: “Well…uhhhhhh, you know…uhhhhhh”

Albums of the Year

1. Japandroids – Celebration RockWhen your quarterback could learn a thing or two about attitude from the lyrics of a Canadian alternative outfit… “When they love you, and they will, tell ’em all they’ll love in my shadow / And if they try to slow you down, tell ’em all to go to Hell”…you know your football team sucks.

2. Bruce Springsteen – Wrecking Ball –An 11-track anthem for the 99%.

3. Frank Ocean – channel ORANGE –If I was doing a Top Songs of the Year list (I’m not), “Pyramids” would be vying for the top spot. That song is mind-blowing.

4. Fang Island – Major – I didn’t know it was possible for an indie band to make anthems that are loud, fast AND fun. Major proved to me that you can.

5. Green Day – Uno! –Pop this in and you may think it’s 1994 all over again. Which would be great if you’re a Rangers or Knicks fan, and not so brilliant if you’re a Jets fan.

Honorable Mention – Rex Ryan f/Mike Pettine – “Sounds of a Defense”. My favorite tracks are “BOOOOOM” “46 Bear 4 Life” and “F&$!@% Sanchez”

Athletes of the Year

1. LeBron James – Thanks to this Grantland article, I was reminded that in Game 4 against the Indiana Pacers with his team down 2-1 in the series, LeBron went for 40 points, 18 rebounds and 9 assists. Holy hell.

2. Lionel Messi – He scored more goals in a calendar year than anyone in history. I’d say that’s fairly impressive.

3. Adrian Peterson – Putting together a year this great, in a league that’s going away from the run, after his knee was decimated late in 2011?

4. Rory McIlroy – Won the PGA Championship by a record 8 strokes, helped the European team to an all-time comeback at the Ryder Cup, and finished atop the PGA Tour’s Money List.

5. Henrik Lundqvist – A goaltender who played so ridiculously good over the course of an entire season. John Tortorella deserves a ton of credit for the Rangers finishing first in the East and making a deep playoff run, but the Rangers are nowhere near that good with standard goaltending. He deserved to win a Stanley Cup in 2012.

Honorable Mention – Usain Bolt, Michael Phelps, Nonito Donaire, R.A. Dickey, Jeremy Lin, Shonn Greene

“Same Old Jets” Plays of the Year:

1. Buttfumble – Sanchez’s Bubby Brister moment.

2. Season-Ending Snap Cluster%&!# – Blame it on Nick Mangold, blame it on Sanchez, take your pick. Picture perfect way for the meaningful part of Gang Green’s season to come to a close.

3. Joe McKnight’s Kickoff Fumble vs. New England – Couldn’t help but start laughing.

4. Sanchez’s OT Fumble in New England – The beginning of the end.

5. Tim Tebow signing a contract – Wait, no, THIS was the beginning of the end. While we’re at it…

Tim Tebow Plays of the Year:

1. 3-yard plunge

2. 2-yard plunge

3. Loss of 6

4. Incomplete Pass

5. 4-yard swing out to Jeremy Kerley

WHAT A FOOTBALL PLAYER!!!

Games/Events of the Year:

1. Pacquiao vs. Marquez IV – If you read this column (first off, thanks!) you know where I stand on this.

2. Manchester City’s Title-Winning Comeback – Watch this clip. If you say you’ve ever heard an American sports crowd go anything close to as insane as this, you’re lying through your teeth. Goalkeeper Joe Hart running around by himself in celebration is an incredible image. Martin Tyler’s call is probably the best call in live sports broadcast history. I’m not exaggerating.

3. Saints at 49ers, Divisional Playoffs  – I wish every football game was played like this. Rex Ryan doesn’t.

4. Winter Classic – Rangers vs. Flyers – The Rangers go down only to come back to take a lead in the third period. In the final minute, Henrik Lundqvist stones Danny Briere on a penalty shot with a slim one-goal lead. All in the fresh, open air.

5. Linsanity vs. the Lakers – Jeremy Lin outdid Kobe Bryant, dropping 37 points on the Lakers at MSG. Linsanity’s fever pitch.

Honorable Mention – Raul Ibanez pinch hits for A-Rod, hits game-tying and game-winning HRs, The Ryder Cup’s final day, Olympics Women’s Soccer Gold Medal game – U.S vs. Canada, No. 15 Lehigh beats No. 2 Duke

Oral Histories of the Year:

No yeah screw that, oral histories suck.

Jets Websites of the Year:

1. TurnOnTheJets.com – Yeah that about rounds out the list.

And now…the vaunted picks:

Redskins -6 at Eagles – Skins need it, Eagles are dead.

Giants -2.5 at Ravens – Ravens defense will have trouble with Eli, Cruz, Bennett etc.

49ers PK at Seahawks – Will be a defensive battle, but the Niners have the better big play capability.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record: 6-8-1) – Knicks -6 vs. Bulls AND the over (187)

Happy Holidays y’all!

New York Jets – What Do We Need To See In Final Two Games?

What should New York Jets fans hope to see in the team’s final two games?

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The New York Jets final two regular season games basically break down to being nothing more than glorified pre-season games (without any kind of glory I suppose). What should a Jets fan root for these upcoming weeks against the mighty San Diego Chargers and the Buffalo “Fredo” Bills?

Greg McElroy – You can’t say at this point it won’t be interesting or mildly entertaining to watch somebody besides Mark Sanchez pump fake and throw interceptions or Tim Tebow scramble around and do nothing. Hopefully, the coaching staff allows McElroy to operate a normal NFL offense, not the JV-high school offense the team normally runs. We aren’t going to learn anything about his potential strengths and limitations from having him go 10/14 for 86 yards next week because all he was allowed to throw was slants and boots. Ideally, McElroy plays confident, turnover free football and shows enough to be considered a reliable back-up next season or maybe even a competitor along with a veteran for the starting job.

Young D – No more 35% of the snaps for Quinton Coples who has a sack in each of the last two games and is starting to really come along in his rookie season. Get him out there for 50-60 snaps and let him get accustomed to the extended work. The same goes for Kenrick Ellis who will be your starting nose tackle next year when Sione Pouha is released. Demario Davis should be playing the bulk of the reps at inside linebacker alongside David Harris and Antonio Allen should continue to see increased reps at outside linebacker and as a pass rusher on third downs.

Wide Receiver Shuffle – Haven’t we seen enough Chaz Schilens and Clyde Gates at this point? You make Braylon Edwards your starting split end, to see how he handles major reps. You put Jeremey Kerley as your starting flanker since he has been your best receiver this season and could be in this spot next year if Santonio Holmes is released. You put rookie 7th round pick Jordan White in the slot, since he hasn’t been given a chance yet. They get all the reps. No Schilens. No Gates. Certainly no Mardy Gilyard.

Just Give Him A Chance – Give Joe McKnight 10-15 carries and let’s see if that 6.1 yards per carry can come anywhere near to holding up. It certainly won’t end up lower than Shonn Greene’s 3.9 yards per carry. Let McKnight and Bilal Powell who will both be on the team next year, while Greene probably won’t, handle the workload in the backfield.

New York Jets Salary Cap Hell – A Roundtable Interview

An interview with Jason From NY Jets Cap and a former NFL personnel executive about the state of the New York Jets

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The New York Jets are currently in what can aptly be described as “Salary Cap Hell.” Because of that Turn On The Jets reached out to one of our favorite writers covering the team, Jason from NY Jets Cap. You won’t find anybody out there with a better grasp of the Jets financial situation. On top of that, we also spoke with our source within the NFL on the current status of the team and their upcoming future. Finally, I included a few links to worthwhile reads on how the Jets can proceed from here. Enjoy and as always discuss here in the comment section and on our Facebook and Twitter page –

TOJ – Understanding all the salary cap ramifications and his current level of play – What would you do with Mark Sanchez this off-season? And what do you predict will actually end up playing out?

NY Jets Cap – I think the situation is beyond repair and at this point he has to go. I could not even imagine bringing him back in 2013 and having him compete for a starting job. The home crowd can’t stand him and it is simply not going to work. The problem is from a cap standpoint an outright release costs the team slightly over $17 million which will not only make fielding a team more difficult but be a PR nightmare for the front office. If it was me I’d be contacting any team with a bad QB situation (Oakland and Arizona at the top of the list) and seeing if they would trade anything for him and absorb a portion of that salary for next season. At least its a small victory to bring the cap number down. If that can not be done I would designate him a June 1st cut and split the cap charges over two seasons – around $12.15 million in 2013 and $4.8 million in 2014.

I think what actually happens depends on if there is turnover in the front office or not. If there is I think they will do something along the lines of the June 1 cut. If Mike Tannenbaum is still in charge I think he will remain and they will bring his cap number down by paying some of his 2013 salary as a bonus and deal with the cap consequences of that move the following year.

TOJ – Should the Jets consider trading Antonio Cromartie or Darrelle Revis to free up cap space and begin building through the draft?

NY Jets Cap –  I would take offers for both of them. Again it depends on if you are looking short or long term. A short term move of Cromartie via trade frees up $8.25 million in cap that could go to fixing a number of weaknesses but would not net much in the way of draft compensation. Moving Revis would likely lose cap space in the short term but you would receive higher compensation for him in the draft that can really help in the future. I think there is also the consideration that Revis may not want to come back in 2014 when he will be a free agent when making the move. Either way I would not bring both back next season. Pass defense is the least of the team’s concerns and tying up $20 million in cap for those two is not going to make the team better.

TOJ – Do you think there is any way they could move Santonio Holmes or David Harris’ contract?

NY Jets Cap – Probably not. Holmes I think could have been moved had he not been injured, but his recovery has been very slow and he is coming off a poor season before that. Harris is overpaid and I dont think anyone would want him for $10.9 million in 2013, $9.5 million of which is fully guaranteed. In terms of a pure release Holmes is a candidate and the Jets would receive some credit if he signed with another team and I have to think someone would pay him at least $1-2 million on a 1 year deal. The Jets do create cap room by releasing him. Harris cant be cut due to the salary guarantee.

TOJ – Name 10 players on the current roster who won’t be on the team next season

NY Jets Cap – Bart Scott. Calvin Pace. Eric Smith. Jason Smith. Sione Pouha. LaRon Landry. Dustin Keller. Tim Tebow. Santonio Holmes. Brandon Moore.

TOJ – Considering the Jets need two new starting OLBs, a new starting RB, a new starting RT and G. How many holes can they realistically expect to fill?

smithcol25s-1-webNY Jets Cap – I guess it depends on if they go into full rebuild mode or they go into a retooling mode. The Jets have enough flexibility in their contract structure to go out and grab a few free agents that would help improve the team in the short term. The issue with that scenario is you might replay what we are going through now in another year or two.  If they take the cap pains of the bad deals in 2013 you won’t see any impact players being brought in to fill those spots. It will primarily be all stopgap players, kind of like what the Jets did in 2006 and 2007.

TOJ – Are LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell back next season?

NY Jets Cap – Landry won’t be. I think the price tag is too high and even if the Jets think they are retooling they have to have it in the back of their heads that he is not the answer to a long term rebuild. Bell is a lower cost player and will do 1 year contracts from here on out so I think if he wants to keep playing the Jets will welcome him back.

TOJ – Give me a best case scenario for the Jets off-season

NY Jets Cap – I tend to think the Jets have to think of their long term future and move onward. I think the best case scenario consists of low level trades for Sanchez and Tebow, trading Cromartie, re-signing Revis to a realistic contract, and releasing Holmes. It would probably leave the Jets with $20-25 million to spend in free agency to fill out the roster and not hurt them in the short term while improving their long term prospects. I’m not sure if I would consider Mike Vick or Alex Smith as a one year option at QB, but I think one of those players should be brought in for a look. Vick is more dynamic but Smith is the safer QB. The thing is it can’t be for more than a year. If not I’d look at Matt Moore from Miami and use him as a cheap one year player. If Miami started him this year they would be in the playoff hunt. But to me this is their best team that they can produce and keep 2014 wide open for major improvement.

Worst case scenario is the braintrust going behind closed doors and saying “man if we only had Holmes and Revis for the year we would be 9-7” and then going into the preseason with Sanchez and McElroy battling it out for the starting QB job without releasing any of the big contract guys.

A few quotes from a former NFL personnel executive and current employee of the league on the situation with the Jets

“A current Jets coach had this to say to me about the organization yesterday – As bad as the team looks on the outside, it is ten times worse inside the building.”  – This was a response to an inquiry about the relationship between Rex and Tannenbaum.

“Everyone says the GM should be just doing contracts but that is the worst thing he does. Have you seen the cap of the Jets? It is a mess but with the years left on his contract, I still don’t think he is going to get fired by Woody.”

“It is hard to get a read on what Rex thinks. Who knows the real deal with him because of the lies he throws in front of the media all the time?”

(On chatter about Eric DeCosta as a GM candidate) – “DeCosta is not going anywhere this off-season. Beyond that, take a look at Baltimore’s recent drafts. I don’t think the Jets make the major front office moves their fans are hoping for”

 

TOJ Off-Season Advice To Woody Johnson

Bill Barnwell On Two Potential Routes For The Jets

2013 NFL Free Agents

Turn On the Jets Stock Watch: The 2013 Offense

Mike Donnelly with his weekly Stock Watch, buying and selling members of the New York Jets offense

NFL: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Well, it turns out I was wrong about this Jets team. I thought they were going to win their remaining 3 games and somehow steal a playoff spot, but alas it was not meant to be. Rather than Buy (Wilkerson, Cromartie, Coples) and Sell (Sanchez, Wilson, Lankster) the same old things like I’ve done with the same old players week after week, I’m going to take a look forward toward the 2013 season. Joe already gave a great cheat sheet for Woody Johnson on what to do this offseason, but I’m going to throw my two cents in and look at what kind of replacements we can look forward to possibly wearing the green and white in 2013. Today I’m going to focus on the coaching staff and the offense. Tomorrow I’ll be back with the defense, so be sure to check back.

(Keep in mind this is going to obviously change drastically between now and when the offseason gets into full swing, but this sure beats discussing the Chargers game, right?)

FRONT OFFICE

SELL: Mike Tannenbaum and Terry BradwayFIRED.

COACHING

BUY: Rex Ryan and the Defensive Coaching Staff – Rex Ryan absolutely deserves the benefit of the doubt and should get another crack at getting this thing right. The guy gets his team ready to play every week, and the players love and respect him. Woody Johnson is not going to throw gold bars at Bill Cowher or Jon Gruden to come here, so where are we going to get a better coach than Rex? Do you want to be sitting there in two years saying “I wish we kept Rex!” as our defense flounders? I don’t.

SELL: Tony Sparano, Matt Cavanaugh, Dave DeGuglielmo – Cavanaugh’s firing is a long time coming, so there’s really not much else to say that I haven’t already. As for Tony Sparano, I don’t think he’s done an awful this year, it’s just that it hasn’t been very good. Aside from the awful statistics and whatnot, it is unacceptable how often this team looks completely and utterly confused. It looks as if the call comes in on the headset in Japanese and Sanchez does his best to translate to everyone, so what we end up seeing is the clock running down, guys frantically trying to get to their spot, Sanchez can’t get a look at the defense, and the defense jumps the snap because they know it’s about to happen. Ugh.

Oh, and he can take his delusional buddy Coach Gooch with him. Who is Coach Gooch you may be asking? He’s they psychopath who emphatically claimed Wayne Hunter was the best right tackle out there and they’d have to shoot him dead to bench him. That man has an eye for talent

BUY: Norv Turner as OC – This it he kind of guy Rex Ryan should have had in here since Day One. When great coordinators take over the Head Coach position, they need to be paired with a very strong coach on the other side of the ball, because their natural inclination is to focus on what they know. Instead, we suffered through three years of Brian Schottenheimer, and one year of Tony Sparano who seemed way in over his head. Look around the league and you’ll see how the Jets butchered even this. Gary Kubiak was on the verge of being fired until he hired Wade Phillips. Mike McCarty was given Dom Capers. Get Rex someone like Norv who is an excellent offensive coach, and this team can turn things around rather quickly.

QUARTERBACKS

BUY: Sanchez being here – Might as well get used to it now. He’s going to be here.

BUY: McElroy and Matt Moore – Having these two guys compete with Sanchez in a true competition in training camp is probably the best we can hope for at this point. Good quarterbacks don’t grow on trees, and if we’re going to just take a mid-round prospect, we might as well see what McElroy can do first, right?

SELL: Tim Tebow – I feel really bad for Tebow for having to endure this crap all year, and I genuinely like him. I just don’t want him as our quarterback, and he’s going to force his way out the first chance he gets.

RUNNING BACKS

Jets Jaguarslw23SELL: Shonn Greene – Personally, I have no problem with Greene and I think he’s a strong complimentary runner. The problem is it seems like the team is going to go with Bilal Powell as the 1B option, so we are going to need a better 1A option, preferably someone who can break a big play once in a while.

BUY: Making a Trade – This appears to be a pretty good year to go out and get a veteran running back. There should be plenty of options available for a trade and most won’t cost all that much. The top of the line guys who may be available via trade or after they’re released are MJD, Darren McFadden, Deangelo Williams, Steven Jackson and Chris Johnson. I doubt the Jets will be able to afford any of them, but there are plenty of second tier options as well. A guy I’d love to see them explore is Ben Tate of the Texans, who is glued to the bench behind Arian Foster. I also agree with Joe that Chris Ivory is a guy to definitely sniff around, and after his poor year, Rashard Mendenhall can likely be had for a mid-to-late round pick. There are solid options here, but if all else fails, I actually wouldn’t mind bringing Greene back either.

BUY: Joe McKnight – Whoever our new coordinator is: Please… please try to use Joe McKnight at least a little bit. Thanks.

SELL: Lex Hillard – Good-bye.

RECEIVERS / TIGHT ENDS

BUY: Holmes, Kerley, Stephen Hill – All three will be here next year playing major roles, and if Hill develops heading into year 2, it’s actually a nice trio of receivers. Of course, Hill can’t totally be relied upon, so it would be nice to have a veteran receiver who can get deep down the field and also provides a big reliable target. If only Tannenbaum brought in a guy like that prior to the season… oh wait, in week 15 he did! You know who I mean…

BUY: Braylon Edwards – Braylon never should have been allowed to leave after 2010, that much is obvious. Now that he’s back, he obviously wants to stay, and he will be willing to take a low guarantee/incentive-laden type contract. There is no reason this shouldn’t happen.

SELL: Chaz Schilens, Jason Hill, Clyde Gates, Mardy Gilyard – Ha.

SELL: Dustin Keller – One of the Jets “premiere” free-agents this year is Dustin Keller. His great value to the team was he was the receiver who had the best chemistry and rapport with quarterback Mark Sanchez. Well, now that Sanchez’s days appear to be numbered, there’s no real point in keeping Keller around. He’s undersized, doesn’t have elite athleticism, and he’s a below average blocker. Let someone else overpay him this offseason.

BUY: Anthony Fasano – It makes too much sense, so it probably won’t happen, but Fasano is the exact kind of tight end this team can use. He’s a big, physical player and he’s a strong blocker. He can also get down the seam and make an occasional big play, as well as being a big red-zone target. He’s not great, but he’s the kind of low-cost role player this offense needs. Other options could include Delanie Walker of the 49ers, or James Casey of the Texans.

BUY: Cumberland and Reuland – If a player like Fasano is brought in, I have no problem with Cumberland being the #2 TE who can provide a bit of a receiving threat. I’m not the biggest fan of him, but we can do worse.

OFFENSIVE LINE

BUY: D’Brickashaw and Mangold – Two elite players at their positions, so they won’t be going anywhere, nor should they.

BUY: Austin Howard – I had my doubts at the beginning of the season, but Howard has really come on lately and been a solid player for us. He’s not a Pro Bowler or anything, but he can provide a low-cost and reliable option going forward. His pass protection leaves something to be desired, but he can push the pile and is a very good run blocker.

SELL: Matt Slauson – I like Slauson and wouldn’t mind seeing him back, but he’s a free agent and will likely be seeking a pay increase. He’s a slightly above average player and could hold the fort, but it will likely come down to him or Brandon Moore being retained, and Moore will likely win out. One of the guard spots needs to be upgraded to get this line back to the dominant unit it used to be, and Slauson will likely get the boot.

BUY: Using a 1st or 2nd Round Pick on a Guard – There are plenty of excellent linemen in this draft and this is the year to get one of them. The Big Ugly, Vlad Ducasse will likely be back as the first backup off the bench, perhaps even taking the Jason Smith “extra tight end” role. Get used to hearing “62 is eligibile”!

SELL: Jason Smith – Speaking of Smith, he has a 0% chance of not being cut due to his contract numbers. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him back under a much cheaper deal, but the Jets likely won’t be able to afford whatever he will be asking for.

New York Jets – Off-Season Advice For Woody Johnson

Preliminary off-season advice for New York Jets Owner Woody Johnson

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Even though we have an entire off-season to discuss how the New York Jets can dig themselves out of their current mess, it feels appropriate to get into it a little bit today. There is no solution that involves minor changes or a slight “retooling” of the roster. The Jets weren’t a few games away from a playoff spot because Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes didn’t play this year. They have struggled this year because they lack talent, direction and common sense. Here is a collection of steps for Owner Woody Johnson to take this off-season to move away from being a laughingstock and back towards being a competitive football team –

1 – Fire Mike Tannenbaum and Terry Bradway – No demotions. No re-assigning Mike Tannenbaum to “cap guru” position as many fans have suggested. Newsflash: Mike Tannenbaum isn’t a cap guru. Look at Mark Sanchez’s contract! Beyond that, look at how he guaranteed money to Santonio Holmes, Calvin Pace and Bart Scott among others. Terry Bradway shouldn’t be employed by this organization either. In case you forget, he is the guy who traded a first round pick for Doug Jolley, took Mike Nugent with a 2nd round draft pick, and traded away a 2nd round pick for Justin McCariens. The entire personnel department needs to be revamped so this garbage roster can be looked at with the proper scrutiny and that starts with these two being let go.

2 – GM/Rex Dynamic – The new GM must be given full autonomy on how to handle the head coaching position. Personally, I think it would be wise to bring Rex Ryan back but the GM must be comfortable with him. If Rex does stay on, it must be under the condition that the entire offensive coaching is fired, obviously starting with coordinator Tony Sparano and quarterbacks coach Matt Cavanaugh. Sparano has been an unmitigated disaster in his first season calling the Jets plays and Cavanaugh should have been fired after last season.

3 – Cut Your Losses On Sanchez – Eat the dead money if necessary but Mark Sanchez has to go. It is best for the team and best for him, as he is clearly checked out as a quarterback in this market. Maybe he restructures to help facilitate his release or a trade where he can be a developmental backup somewhere else. Maybe he doesn’t, either way he cannot continue on with this team. Start Greg McElroy the final two games and hope he shows enough to be a competent backup in 2013. Cut Tim Tebow. Look to add a low to mid-cost veteran via free agency or trade, maybe add a mid-round pick (this is a shaky year at QB in the Draft) and take it from there. A few names to kick around – Matt Moore, Matt Flynn, Kirk Cousins (Redskins might not let him go, unless for a King’s Ransom at this point), and Brian Hoyer.

4 – All Options On The Table – When you are so deep into salary cap hell and have so many needs, all options are on the table and that includes working the phones to see if you could swing a productive trade for anybody from Darrelle Revis to Antonio Cromartie, all the way through to David Harris. People naturally recoil at the thought of trading a Revis or Cromartie but here is the reality: you don’t have the luxury to have two elite, high-paid cornerbacks when you have gaping holes all over your roster.

5- Draft Heavy/Spend Smart – Load up on draft picks. The team currently has seven picks (one in each round). How about getting that number up towards the 9-12 range via trading current players or trading back on draft day in the necessary spots. When looking at personnel decisions not related to the draft, spend prudently and self-scout properly. Don’t pay Dustin Keller. Let him walk and sign Delanie Walker or Anthony Fasano for half the money. Don’t pay Shonn Greene. Try to sign Chris Ivory to a contract as a restricted free agent. Part ways with Sione Pouha because you have Kenrick Ellis and Damon Harrison. If you are going to spend, make it on enhancing your offensive line and outside linebacker positions which both badly need makeovers.

I even made a cheat sheet for you Woody!

MUST GO

  • Mike Tannenbaum
  • Terry Bradway
  • Tony Sparano
  • Matt Cavanaugh

LET WALK

  • Shonn Greene
  • Dustin Keller
  • Calvin Pace
  • Bryan Thomas
  • Bart Scott
  • Jason Smith

CUT YOUR LOSSES

  • Mark Sanchez
  • Sione Pouha
  • Eric Smith
  • Tim Tebow

UP IN THE AIR

  • Rex Ryan (Needs to be new GM’s call)
  • Mike Pettine
  • Matt Slauson/Austin Howard (Need to find suitable replacements if letting them walk. Ideally replace at least 1 of 2)

QUIETLY FLOAT ON TRADING BLOCK

  • Darrelle Revis (More hope to sign him long term if Tannenbaum is gone)
  • Antonio Cromartie (Value will never be higher)
  • David Harris (Good luck with that contract)
  • Santonio Holmes (Good luck with that contract)

BUILDING BLOCKS

  • Muhammad Wilkerson
  • Nick Mangold
  • Quinton Coples
  • D’Brickashaw Ferguson
  • Kenrick Ellis
  • Demario Davis
  • Jeremy Kerley
  • Stephen Hill (Because you can’t cut ties with a 2nd round pick this early…not with his size and speed)
  • Bilal Powell (Your hopeful 1B Back)
  • Greg McElroy (Your hopeful backup QB)
  • Joe McKnight (Kick returner/Hopeful can contribute on offense if properly used)

TRY TO BRING BACK, MAY NOT BE ABLE TO

  • LaRon Landry
  • Yeremiah Bell
  • Mike DeVito

Initial Reaction – Jets End Playoff Hopes In Appropriate Fashion

Initial reaction to the New York Jets season ender in Tennessee

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Tonight was another embarrassing primetime loss for the New York Jets, which formally ended their post-season hopes. They lost by 4 points despite 4 interceptions from Mark Sanchez and a botched snap. They were given opportunity after opportunity to win the game and refused to take it. The loss might be painful now but in the long run, it will be a positive thing.

This season has gone poorly enough (particularly in the national spotlight) that Woody Johnson’s personal relationship with Mike Tannenbaum won’t prevent him from firing him, like he deserves to be. Mark Sanchez, despite his guaranteed contract, has now probably played his last snap in New York. At this point, eating the money is a wiser decision than keeping him around. Tony Sparano has to be fired. Basically everything will be thoroughly re-examined from top to bottom. Let the rebuilding begin.

This team dressed six wide receivers tonight. They were consistently confused on offense and looked like a JV team in high school trying to stay organized. The defense has their shortcomings in some areas but they compete, have a sense of organization and strategy while the offense wallows in complete incompetence.

The Jets are so bad on offense right now, they are beyond rational explanation or understanding. It exists beyond the bounds of logic. Every player or coach associated with the unit (outside of a very small handful) needs to be unemployed by this team in 2013.

No playoffs for the Jets for two straight years. Changes are on the way and that is a good thing.

No Huddle – New York Jets Monday Night Preview Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle to preview the New York Jets Monday Night game against the Tennessee Titans

It’s No Huddle time but before we go into “Jets vs Titans,” please kindly allow us to leave a thought on the Newtown tragedy. 

The Newtown Tragedy Must Help Propel Change

Nothing better be the same in this country again. Ever. A massacre that involves a gun once again, this time with innocent six year olds as the victims, has to be the final straw.

The right to go kindergarten, and the right for parents to feel safe about sending their kids to school, has to trump any laws designed to insure our “freedom.”

Our thoughts, prayers and tears will all be wasted if this country doesn’t use this disgusting and embarrassing moment in our history to change its ways. It’s time as Martin Luther King once said, to “be what we say we are.” It’s time to wake up America, and deal with both the Second Amendment and issues of mental health more aggressively. Now. No more waiting. No more finger pointing. No more excuses.

Now all of us at Turn On The Jets, move our attention for the time being towards Monday Night. With heavy hearts. Ready for some football and a much needed mental break from this madness.

Rex’s Magic Dust Is Working Again but…

The Steelers could have easily won Sunday and didn’t. The Colts were fighting back too. Remember the crazy finish Rex’s Jets had in 2009, when they needed Peyton Manning to sit for an entire half, and hope the following week that the Bengals would have nothing to play for? They got both, then got hot in January.

At 4-7, Gang Green needed a few collapses and a win streak just weeks ago. Right now, competitiors are teeetering on the brink of destruction as wins and beatable opponents keep coming for the Jets. The magic dust is working again but only has power going forward with a win tonight. There should be no signs of a flat Jets team in Nashville tonight.

Ground and Pound and the Defensive “The Boys Up Front.”

For the Jets to run the table, the “Ground and Pound” has to keep churning out yardage, while Mo Wilkerson rises. If Quinton Coples can add to the equation, then what the Jets will have is, the opportunity to force three and outs with the ability to keep the ball and move downfield in low-risk fashion.

A Winning Formula For This Roster

If the Jets fail to limit opposing Chris Johnson tonight, and apply modest pressure on Jake Locker, or struggle to run the ball themselves, then look out. Rex and Co. will be forced into the type of game they don’t play very well.

The Braylon Effect

Can Braylon Edwards spark the passing game and provide some calm to skittish Mark Sanchez? Let’s hope so. San Diego and Buffalo, the Jets final two opponents, appear to be defeated and ready to pack up and call it a season. Assuming that the Jets will run the ball well through December, an engine boost to third down conversions may be all that is needed to win out. A confidence boost for Sanchez is needed more than anything having to do with the Jets.

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 15 – Jets vs. Titans

12 predictions for the Jets must win Monday Night game against the Tennessee Titans

The Turn On The Jets 12 pack is back with predictions for a critical Monday Night game for the New York Jets against the Tennessee Titans. If the Jets can take care of business, they are going to give themselves a somewhat realistic chance for a playoff spot in the season’s final two weeks. It has been a bizarre year, particularly in the AFC that has allowed a team currently at 6-7 and holding some shockingly embarrassing stats to remain relevant for so long. 

Yet there is no need for any apologies from the Jets. This is a team who gets criticized for beating Arizona by a single point, when a Detroit team with twice the talent as them goes out and loses to Arizona by 28. Rex Ryan has held his veteran team together, despite a lack overall talent and has prevented the 2012 season from slipping away just yet. It has slipped away in Buffalo. It has slipped away in Miami. It has slipped away in countless other NFL cities but not for the New York Jets. 

It hasn’t been a fun season for Jets fans. Think about it. How many truly enjoyable moments have there been? The week 1 rout of Buffalo was a blast but none of the other six victories have come with much excitement or celebration. Ironically, the season’s second best moment might have been recovering a fumble on a kick return late in the fourth quarter against New England…in what ultimately ended up being a losing effort.

Tonight has a chance to change that. The team and the fanbase has a primetime game to genuinely get excited about. A win in this game means the home finale next Sunday should be a packed and rowdy game as the team looks to beat up on San Diego in the final days of the Norv Turner era while scoreboard watching Kansas City/Indianapolis and Cincinnati/Pittsburgh. 

Hopefully, the Jets come out with the intensity of a team fighting for their playoff lives against the Titans team with nothing to play for. 

On to the predictions –

1. Braylon Edwards will play 15-25 snaps for the Jets offense tonight and pull in 2-3 catches for 30-45 yards, including at least one big first down.

2. Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell will combine for at least 35 carries and 150 yards. Tim Tebow won’t play on offense and Joe McKnight will contribute 3-5 offensive touches.

3. Chris Johnson will be held to under 85 yards rushing and be kept out of the end-zone.

4. Mark Sanchez will throw for under 200 yards and have one turnover, along with one touchdown pass.

5. Jake Locker will have at least 30 yards rushing and throw for around 200 yards. However, the Jets will sack him at least twice and force him into a pair of turnovers.

6. Nate Washington and Kendall Wright will make a few big plays working against Kyle Wilson and Ellis Lankster.

7. Jeremy Kerley will lead the Jets in receptions and receiving yards.

8. Muhammad Wilkerson will have at least one sack, continuing his All-Pro caliber season. Look for a big night from Quinton Coples as well, working against a beat-up Titans offensive line.

9. The Jets will avoid any major special teams errors and both Nick Folk and Joe McKnight will have solid games for Mike Westhoff.

10. Rookie Antonio Allen will play at least 15 snaps on defense and have a couple of quarterback pressures. Garret McIntyre will play the bulk of the reps at outside linebacker for Bryan Thomas.

11. The Jets won’t rotate Vladimir Ducasse in at guard.

12. With their season on the line, the Jets will jump out to an early lead and then hold on to it with their running game. This will be a tight one into the final minutes but look for the defense to make a big play late to ice a 16-13 victory.

Predicted Game Outcome Record: 11-2