Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 14 – Jets vs. Jaguars

The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack – With predictions for Jets vs. Jaguars

The Turn On The Jets 12 pack is back with predictions for this week’s “showdown” between the 5-7 New York Jets and 2-10 Jacksonville Jaguars. It is refreshing to remember that despite all the media hype, there are actually bigger circuses in the NFL than the Jets and worse football teams. This is in my mind after looking at the Jets next four opponents (Jacksonville, Tennessee, San Diego and Buffalo) and watching the Oakland Raiders get blown out again last night. Also don’t forget the Detroit Lions, with their own anonymous quotes, players lining up in the wrong spots on purpose and inadvertent challenge flags. Then there is the Philadelphia Eagles…Kansas City Chiefs…Cleveland Browns…you get the point.

The Jets may receive the most attention so that a casual outsider would assume they are 1-11 and easily the biggest circus in the league. In reality, they are a middle of the pack team who plays in the largest media market. It is a credit to head coach Rex Ryan that they aren’t a bottom three team because from a talent perspective they should be there. Yet, it appears they have a reasonable chance to be a .500 team this season. 

On to the predictions –

1. Mark Sanchez will have a stat line that somewhat resembles 15/25 for 198 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 turnover. It won’t be the kind of performance that will get anybody excited about him turning it around but it will be enough to keep his job for another week.

2. Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell will combine for at least 35 carries and be very effective running the ball on Jacksonville’s porous run defense. Both of them will get into the end-zone.

3. Antonio Cromartie will shut down Justin Blackmon, holding him to under 40 yards receiving and keeping him out of the end-zone.

4. Chad Henne will throw for around 250 yards but also have a pair of turnovers and be sacked at least twice.

5. Stephen Hill will have another encouraging game, finishing with 6 catches for 65 yards. Jeremy Kerley will also be productive finishing with at least 60 yards receiving.

6. Jacksonville will finish with less than 75 yards total rushing. Remember they are basically down to their 4th string running back.

7. Mercedes Lewis will make a few big plays against the Jets secondary in the middle of the field and score a touchdown.

8. Tim Tebow won’t see the field on Sunday.

9. Muhammad Wilkerson will continue his recent tear and finish with 5 tackles, a sack and 2 tackles for a loss.

10. Nick Folk won’t hit the post on any of his field goal attempts.

11. LaRon Landry will force a turnover for the third straight week.

12. The Jets are going to win this one comfortably, 31-13. 31 points? Am I insane? No, Jacksonville’s defense is just that bad and the Jets are going to run the ball all over them, which will set up some easy ones in the passing game. They are also without their top three running backs and top wide receiver on offense. The Jets are bad but much better than what Jacksonville is running out on the field Sunday.

Predicted Game Outcome Record: 10-2 

Turn On The Jets NFL Week 14 Best Bets

Chris Celletti with his Best Bets for week 14 of the NFL season and a brief rant on the Knicks and the NHL Lockout

Week 13 Record: 0-3

Season Record: 13-24-2

Well, at least I’m not in last place in The Race For The Steak (sorry, Joe). At this point my picks are becoming valuable, because you can win some money if you do the exact opposite of what I say. I’m sort of like the new Evan Silva. This sucks.

Before we get to my picks, a few things swirling around my mind other than football, because the Jets are garbage and I suck at picking football games:

-What the hell happened last night? I’m referring to that basketball game played in Miami, where the sans-Carmelo Anthony New York Knicks destroyed the Heat in their building. The Heat have only lost three games by 20-plus points since LeBron Decisioned his way to Florida, and the 2012-13 Knicks are responsible for two of those. Do the Knicks have the Heat’s number? Or are these two wins just a weird anomaly? It’s probably somewhere in the middle. If the Knicks and Heat began a 7-game series tonight, the Heat would still be favored and rightly so. Regardless, the Knicks do match up well with the Heat and that’s not a mistake.

You have to hand it to Glen Grunwald and the Knicks’ brass for building a team with facing Miami in the playoffs in mind. The Knicks are strong in the defensive paint with Tyson Chandler and Rasheed Wallace and whenever-he-gets-healthy Marcus Camby, have good perimeter defenders in Ronnie Brewer, Jason Kidd and Iman Shumpert, and have perimeter shooting with J.R. Smith, Steve Novak, Raymond Felton, ‘Melo, Kidd, etc. What last night proved, if nothing else, is that the Knicks are a true title contender, a Top-5 or so team in the league. And they’re that way because they had a great offseason. They made tough and shrewd decisions, the most scrutinized being letting Jeremy Lin go and replacing him with Felton. Do you think the Knicks win last night with Lin at point guard? Do you remember when LeBron and Co. slapped the breaks on Linsanity in Miami last season? Also, the signing of Kidd looks more each day like the smartest roster move they’ve made in years.

There’s a team or two in New York, a certain football team comes to mind, that could learn a little bit from the Knicks.

-It’s hysterical to me that you can read a report about the NHL Lockout negotiations, the quotes from both sides, the predictions from the media, and if you swapped out the names and locations you could be reading about the Fiscal Cliff. Maybe the parties involved should do just that, swap places altogether and give it a shot. Chris Matthews interviewing Gary Bettman would be epic. “You know, Gary, you guys are like a bunch of bullies, shoving the the younger, littler guys into lockers and stealing their lunch money. This is the United States of America, Gary.  This isn’t Oak Hills Elementary School!”

-The Grammy Nominations came out this week. The Grammys are the most bi-polar awards ever. Some years all the nominees and winners are pop artists, and sometimes the National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences straight up trolls pop music (also, the “National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences” is the most asinine, outdated name for the organization that gives out music awards in the 21st century. There is more science to Mark Sanchez trying to parallel park a car than there is to Katy Perry recording a song). Once every five years, the Grammys give out major awards to people you’ve never heard of or artists 40 years past their prime to serve as a reminder that their awards are meaningless. In 2008, Herbie Hancock won the Album of the Year award. 47 people on Earth have ever listened to that album. This year the five nominees are all popular artists, so expect the 2014 award for Album of the Year to go to k.d. Lang.

It will be a grave injustice if “Call Me Maybe” doesn’t win Song of the Year.

Pick time:

Bengals -3 vs. Cowboys – The Bengals like the throw the ball around and the Cowboys aren’t very good at stopping it. Could be similar to the Bengals’ blowout win over the Giants a few weeks ago.

Saints +5 at Giants – You don’t need to watch any Giants football the rest of the year because I’m going to spell out for you everything that’s going to happen to them from here on out. They’ll lose their next two (vs. Saints, at Falcons) to fall to 7-7 and it will be panic time. They’ll go into Baltimore in Week 16 and beat the Ravens on a late touchdown by Eli, then blow out the Eagles at home in the regular season finale to finish 9-7 and with a division title. They’ll host Seattle in the Wild Card round and win 24-14, setting up a date in Atlanta in the Divisional Round. The Giants will win that game 31-10, then visit the Packers in the NFC Title game and win 27-21 in overtime on a 53-yard touchdown to Victor Cruz after Aaron Rodgers fumbles a snap. Of course they’ll play the Patriots in the Super Bowl and win because they own New England. Woody Johnson will respond by firing Rex Ryan and Mike Tannenbaum and hiring Brett Favre as Coach/GM. Rinse and repeat.

Packers -6.5 vs. Lions – Anyone who has Aaron Rodgers in fantasy will win this week.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record: 5-7-1) – Boxing again! Should be a fascinating fourth fight between Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez on Saturday. Quick primer: they fought to a draw in 2004 and Pacquiao eked out highly-controversial decision wins in 2008 and 2011. A fourth fight is definitely a bit of overkill, but all three have been absolute wars and this one should be no different. Marquez is maybe the world’s best counterpuncher and because of that he gives Manny fits. But the reason to be excited for this one of that Pacquiao is going to be in total knockout mode, trying to quell any doubts about the first three fights. I think Marquez will be a bit too amped for a knockout himself and may leave himself open. If Pacquiao still has any power left, which is certainly a question at this point in his career, he can score a KO or stoppage in this one. Pacquiao by KO or TKO is +200. Take it.

New York Jets Week 14 – Early Thoughts On Jets/Jags

Early thoughts on the New York Jets week 14 match-up against the Jacksonville Jaguars

Oh hey, remember there is still a football game this Sunday amidst all the quarterback controversy when the 5-7 New York Jets travel to face the 2-10 Jacksonville Jaguars. It is game that will likely be played in front of 10,000 disinterested Jacksonville fans, 10,000 disappointed Tebow fans who came to the game just to watch him stand on the sideline in a sweatshirt and many…many tarps.

1. The Jets may be catching a huge break if both wide receiver Cecil Shorts and running back Rashad Jennings don’t play this weekend due to injury, making an inept Jaguars offense that much worse. They have been more productive since Chad Henne took over at quarterback although he took a step back last week but Shorts in particular would have given the Jets fits. Justin Blackmon will likely be manned up by Antonio Cromartie and now the Jaguars don’t have the playmaking Shorts to eat up Kyle “Finger Wag” Wilson and Ellis Lankster. If Jennings doesn’t play, it leaves special teamer Montell Owens to handle the primary running back role. Basically, Rex Ryan’s defense should be able to beat up on this unit the way they beat up on Arizona last week.

2. You will hear a ton of hype this week about how Chad Henne has “owned” Rex Ryan’s defenses when in reality outside of one big game early in 2009, he hasn’t doen much of anything against them. In his last start against the Jets, Henne went 5/18 for 55 yards and was sacked 5 times.

3. Yes, Mark Sanchez will be under center this week and yes he will have a quick hook. It will be fascinating to see what kind of game plan the Jets come out with. Jacksonville has the league’s 31st ranked defense meaning they are putrid against both the run and pass. Last week Buffalo racked up 232 rushing yards on them. There should be a heavy dose of both Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell but the Jets have to take their shots down the field, if anything just to see how Sanchez handles it.

4. Hopefully wide receiver Stephen Hill can build on his encouraging performance from last week. The Jets worked him in the short/intermediate passing game and it’d be nice to see him as a target on most deep shots…not Chaz Schilens who struggled with them last week.

5. Speaking of rookies, can we see more of Quinton Coples and Demario Davis? Both barely played last week and will be opening day starters in 2013.

6. For you playoff day-dreamers you need to root for the following: Jets win, Colts loss to Tennessee, Pittsburgh loss to San Diego and Cincinnati loss to Dallas…also a New England win over Houston so the Texans have something to play for in week 17 vs. the Colts…good luck!

The Sky Is Falling! Mark Sanchez Named Starting Quarterback

Mark Sanchez will remain the Jets starting quarterback

The New York Jets are staying with Mark Sanchez as their starting quarterback this Sunday against the Jacksonville Jaguars. While this has come as a shock to many, we detailed here yesterday how there was a reasonable argument for this to happen. Not surprisingly many Jets fans are acting like the sky is falling right now…threatening to abandon the team…cursing out Rex…cursing out Sanchez etc…

Here is the simple reality – Mark Sanchez is getting paid 8.3 million dollars from the Jets next year regardless of whether he is on their team, another NFL team or laying on a beach in California. The Jets are finishing up a playoff-less season against four mediocre football teams. The hope is that he plays well in these games, builds some measure of confidence back up and becomes a reasonable option to start in 2013 (he should still be forced to compete with a veteran next summer).

Believe it or not, this team is going to give every chance possible to a former first round pick who has won more playoff games than any other quarterback in franchise history. Is it worth the risk of playing him the last four games when you are 5-7 and nearly half your team won’t be back next year? Yes…it probably is.

If you want to get mad at somebody, get mad at “cap expert” Mike Tannenbaum for how he structured Sanchez’s contract. Get mad at him for the contradicting actions of doubling down on Sanchez in 2013 and then supporting him by bringing in a PR circus as a backup quarterback and not upgrading running back, wide receiver or offensive line this off-season. Sanchez already took a step back last year but the Jets front office greased the skids on his regression this season by having an awful off-season.

Sanchez has been generally terrible this season but the Greg McElroy infatuation only comes from his last name not being “Sanchez.” Ask yourself this, if McElroy’s fourth quarter interception stood (like it should have) and the Jets lost 9-7, is this debate so heated right now? If McElroy is the savior that many are exaggerating to call him and Sanchez is truly that awful. Guess what? Sanchez will be benched at some point in the next four gams and McElroy will get his chance.

As for the ongoing pity party Jets fans are throwing for themselves. Get a grip on reality. Look around the NFL. Since 1997 the Jets have 12 seasons at .500 or better, 7 playoff wins, 3 AFC Championship Game appearances and yes despite it being over 40 years ago…the Jets have won a Super Bowl. How do you think Bills fans have enjoyed the last 15 years? Lions fans? Eagles fans? Chiefs fans? Browns fans?! The list goes on.

Mark Sanchez starting a week 14 game in a 5-7 year is the straw that broke the camel’s back in your support of this team? Really? Not letting the roster go to crap after  back to back AFC Championship Game appearances? Not the PR-stunt Tebow trade? This is the decision? And people wonder why the general perception of Jets fans is so negative.

There is no reason to be overly optimistic that Sanchez is going to turn it around and have a brilliant final four games but that doesn’t mean there wasn’t logic behind this decision. It also means the most logical thing for any Jets fans to do is root for Sanchez to succeed…otherwise go become a Bills fan.

A couple of appropriate Godfather clips

Making Sense Of The New York Jets Quarterback Mess

An attempt to make sense of the New York Jets quarterback mess

New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan will likely announce a decision on his starting quarterback within the next 24 hours. There have been various reports on who prefers who in the Jets hierarchy, but at this point who can really trust any sources from this organization?

We know this much, it isn’t going to be Tim Tebow. Rex Ryan, Mike Tannenbaum and the entire coaching staff have never shown a hint of interest of giving Tebow a major role and that isn’t going to change now. This was 100% a PR trade and at this point, it is almost an act of defiance and protest by everybody not named Woody Johnson to keep him on the bench. Tebow will never start a game here, may never play another snap again here, and without question will be let go this off-season.

This leaves the decision down to Greg McElroy and Mark Sanchez. From what I can tell about 95% of the fanbase wants McElroy to start because the backup quarterback is always the most popular guy in town and he did provide a needed shot of energy to the Jets huddle on Sunday. Outside of that, there is a reasonable argument to give him the ball for the final four games of this disappointing season.

Considering how Mark Sanchez looked on Sunday from the opening snap and his general play throughout this season, it is fair to surmise that he is mentally finished as a quarterback in this market. Doesn’t Rex Ryan have to hold his players accountable for porous play on the field…especially his quarterback? You can’t watch the game tape from the past two weeks and say Sanchez gives the Jets a very good chance to win. Simply put, he is playing like a bottom three starting quarterback in the league right now and could jeopardize four very winnable games down the stretch for his team.

McElroy looked decent enough in his first NFL action and could be a viable contender for a starting job next season. The only way the Jets will find that out is by giving him a chance here. His arm strength is suspect but at a minimum, it is fair to expect relatively smart, mistake free football from him which could be all the Jets need to finish 4-0 and keep themselves distantly relevant in the playoff race into week 16 and week 17.

On the other hand, Mark Sanchez is owed over 8 million guaranteed dollars from the team next season. Unless they want to take a massive cap hit, he is likely going to be on the roster next year. He is a former first round pick who has been successful here, no matter how much certain people want to act like it never occurred, shouldn’t you give him every last chance to turn it around…particularly in a generally meaningless final four games? If there is a place to build somebody’s confidence back up, it is on the road the next two weeks against awful Jacksonville and Tennessee defenses. If you permanently send him to the bench here, is there any way he is viable competitor to start next year or do you just accept a 8 million dollar cap hit or spending that on a backup?

People are going crazy for McElroy but is there any reason to believe his ceiling is anything higher than “game manager?” Are the Jets in such a rush to usher in another era of that type of football or will they finally look to do better than that at quarterback? If McElroy plays okay down the stretch and the Jets finish well, the team can’t be blinded by that and must still bring in veteran competition for him.

There is an argument for both sides at this point despite the fan’s angst towards Sanchez. It is a critical decision that could ultimately seal the fate of Rex Ryan, Mike Tannenbaum and Tony Sparano which is what should make these next few days and upcoming game especially compelling.

Ultimately my prediction is that the team will cave to public sentiment and go with McElroy. The Jets will finish winning 3 of their last 4 or maybe even running the table behind generally average play from him. They will try like hell to move Sanchez in some way this off-season (probably failing) and whether he comes back or not as a “competitor” for the starting job with McElroy and a veteran add on will depend on their desire to stomach such a large cap hit for a player not on the roster.

Initial Reaction – It’s Over Mark, Jets Make Switch And Win

Initial reaction to the New York Jets win over Arizona and their decision to bench quarterback Mark Sanchez

The New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals played arguably the ugliest football game of the 2012 NFL Season. Ultimately the Jets escaped with a 7-6 win but the story is Rex Ryan’s decision to finally bench Mark Sanchez…in favor of Greg McElroy. Considering how today’s game was going, Rex had no choice and there is no going back now. Sanchez is like The Sopranos…it is over…find a new show.

From the first play of the game when he threw a brutal interception, Sanchez looked completely lost out there. The team was lifeless with him and the game was there to be taken, thanks primarily to Ryan Lindley being the worst quarterback to ever take a snap in the NFL (10/31, 72 yards, 1 INT!). Making the switch to McElroy brought a shot of life to the offense, which promptly scored a touchdown. Outside of a back shoulder throw to Jeremy Kerley to convert a third down, McElroy didn’t make any special plays. Yet, he steadied the offense and brought a much needed energy to the huddle.

There is no need to go crazy and crown McElroy as the next Joe Montana after a 5/7, 29 yard performance (which the New York media will inevitably do) but for right now, he can protect the football and manage a run heavy offense. The Jets were effective with the 1-2 punch of Bilal Powell (12 carries, 58 yards) and Shonn Greene (24 carries, 104 yards) and had an encouraging performance from Stephen Hill who had 5 catches. This is still not a good football and a team devoid of talent on offense but they should be able to compete, if not win their remaining four games.

Big picture – There is no reason not to stick with McElroy at this point. It is very clear the Tim Tebow trade was 100% a PR move orchestrated by Woody Johnson. Rex Ryan never had an interest in playing him. Mark Sanchez looks completely finished as a New York quarterback. Mentally and physically he looks defeated. There is no going back to him. See what McElroy can do with these last four games and if he could be a viable competitor next summer for an open quarterbacking job with a veteran who is brought in. At this point, it is worth wondering if the Jets will eat Sanchez’s guaranteed money and just get him off the roster in 2013.

This was an important day for Rex Ryan, who finally held Sanchez accountable for his poor play. It was likely too late and there are still major issues all over this roster…don’t allow a 7-6 win over a terrible team make you forget that. Regardless, Sanchez’s time as this team’s franchise quarterback is now officially over.

Turn On The Jets Week 13 Roundtable – Jets vs. Cardinals Predictions

The TOJ staff with their predictions for Jets vs. Cardinals

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 16 Cardinals 9 – In one of the ugliest games of the season, the Jets will struggle to find ball movement against Arizona’s 7th ranked defense. Look for New York to try to pound the ball early through carries by both Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell, while finding difficulty throwing the ball. Mark Sanchez will have at least one turnover in the first half, while the offensive struggles to move the ball will put the Jets defense in some tough spots early. However, New York’s defense will provide a dominant effort against 6th round rookie Ryan Lindley, setting the Jets up for a 4th quarter touchdown, that will ultimately prove to be the game winner. The Jets defense will record 4 sacks as a unit, while field goals are traded throughout the day, leading to the Jets scoring the only touchdown of the contest within ten minutes prior to the end of regulation. It will certainly not be a television friendly game, and mistakes will be made, but expect the Jets to play well enough to stop the bleeding of 2012 for at least one more week.

Chris Celletti – At this point, there isn’t a team n the entire league that you would pen the Jets for a surefire win against, which should make the end of this season interesting since the have some cupcakes on the remainder of the schedule. In our previous roundtable about Jets/Cardinals, I highlighted the strength of the Cardinals’ pass defense and how that probably means the Jets’ offense will struggle, as it has basically all season. I think that will be the case, and because of that I expect the game will be pretty close the entire way. Conversely, I think the Jets’ defense comes up with a big effort. Rex Ryan’s defenses usually eat quarterbacks like Ryan Lindley for lunch, and Arizona does not have a running attack that scares you, which plays into the Jets’ hands. As long as the Jets don’t turn the ball over like nuts (possible) or have a few shockers on special teams (also, very possible), I think they find a way to beat a poor west team playing early on the east coast. Jets 20, Cardinals 14.

Rob Celletti – Chris Celletti did a hell of a job recounting the crapfest that was Jets vs. Cardinals in 1999, and I’m expecting something of a similar game.  Neither team is really any good.  The Jets will be reeling after the embarrassment that was Thanksgiving, and the Cardinals haven’t won since September…the calendar now reads December.

Expect ugly football: missed assignments, poor tackling, turnovers.  In a game between two teams like this, it’s prudent to pick the home team.  The Jets will also be well-rested, for what it’s worth.  The Jets haven’t been involved in many close games this year, so I feel like they’re due for one.  A late Folk field goal wins it for the Jets, 19-17

Turn On The Jets Week 13 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff gives their picks for week 13 of the NFL Season


The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday games –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (96-75-6)

2. Chris Gross (89-83-5)

3. Mike Donnelly (88-85-4)

4. Chris Celletti (87-85-5)

5. Joe Caporoso (70-101-6)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (3-11…ready to hang it up)

  • Bears (-3.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Vikings (+8) vs. Packers
  • 49ers (-7) vs. Rams
  • Jets (-4.5) vs. Cardinals
  • Carolina (-3) vs. Chiefs
  • Colts (+5) vs. Lions
  • Jaguars (+6) vs. Bills
  • Patriots (-7.5) vs. Fins
  • Texans (-6.5) vs. Titans
  • Bucs (+7) vs. Broncos
  • Bengals (-1.5) vs. Chargers
  • Eagles (+10) vs. Cowboys
  • Redskins (+3) vs. Giants
  • Ravens (PK) vs. Steelers
  • Browns (PK) vs. Raiders

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (6-8)

  • Bears -3.5
  • Vikings +8
  • Rams +7
  • Jets -4.5
  • Chiefs +3
  • Colts +5
  • Jaguars +6
  • Dolphins +7.5
  • Titans +6.5
  • Bucs +7
  • Bengals -1.5
  • Cowboys -10
  • Redskins +3
  • Ravens PK
  • Browns PK

Rob Celletti

Last Week (11-3!)

  • Bears (-3.5) over Seahawks
  • Vikings (+8) over Packers
  • Rams (+7) over 49ers
  • Cardinals (+5.5) over Jets
  • Lions (-5.5) over Colts
  • Jaguars (+6) over Bills
  • Patriots (-7.5) over Dolphins
  • Texans (-6.5) over Titans
  • Broncos (-7) over Buccaneers
  • Panthers (PK) over Chiefs
  • Steelers (+8.5) over Ravens
  • Raiders (+2.5) over Browns
  • Bengals (-1.5) over Chargers
  • Eagles (+10.5) over Cowboys
  • Redskins (+3) over Giants

Chris Celletti

Last Week (7-7)

  • Bears
  • Packers
  • Niners
  • Jets
  • Chiefs
  • Lions
  • Jags
  • Pats
  • Texans
  • Broncos
  • Steelers
  • Browns
  • Bengals
  • Eagles
  • Giants

Chris Gross

Last Week (8-6)

  • Bears (-3.5)
  • Vikings (+8)
  • 49ers (-7)
  • Jets (-5.5)
  • Panthers (-3)
  • Colts (+6)
  • Bills (-6)
  • Patriots (-7.5)
  • Texans (-6.5)
  • Broncos (-7)
  • Ravens (-8.5)
  • Raiders (+2.5)
  • Bengals (-1.5)
  • Eagles (+10.5)
  • Giants (-3)

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 13 – Jets vs. Cardinals

The Turn On The Jets 12 pack gives predictions for Jets vs. Cardinals

Sanchez! Lindley! The NFL on FOX, Next! The Turn On The Jets 12 pack is here with predictions for the battle of 4-7 offensive juggernauts that will take place at MetLife Stadium this weekend. It will certainly be interesting to see what starters the team decides to call out, since they have had to resort to calling out the special teams and first responders to Hurricane Sandy in recent weeks. The New York Jets are probably the only team in football who has to consistently tell their starting quarterback and his offense…sorry, we aren’t comfortable sending you out through that tunnel on a name by name basis.

And who can blame them? We all know it would be boo-city. Beyond that the Jets insist on spouting out irrelevant tidbits about their starters before they run out through the tunnel…like saying “Pro-Bowler…Bart Scott!” when he was in the Pro-Bowl in 2006. Or “1st round pick…Bryan Thomas!” when he was a first round pick in 2002. Can you imagine the offensive starters? (Picture these with “I’m Not Afraid” by Eminem playing the background, which the Jets insist on continuing to play)

“At quarterback…completing over 50% of his passes…once bedded supermodel Kate Upton…MARK SANCHEZ!”

“At wide receiver…his friends call him Clyde…and he runs super fast in a straight line…EDMOND GATES!”

“At running back…averaging 3.2 yards per carry…scored 2 touchdowns in 2009 playoffs…SHONN GREENE!”

“At right tackle…he isn’t Wayne Hunter…AUSTIN HOWARD!”

On to the predictions…

1. The much-maligned New York Jets defense is going to have a big day against Ryan Lindley and the Arizona Cardinals slopfest offensive line, finishing with 4 sacks, 2 turnovers and holding them under 17 points.

2. Mark Sanchez is going to struggle against the Arizona defense. The Jets will roll with a very conservative gameplan. Sanchez will throw for less than 200 yards and have at least one turnover.

3. Bilal Powell will have at least 12 touches on offense and Joe McKnight will also have at least 5 touches. Shonn Greene will have 17 carries for 80 yards with a touchdown.

4. Dustin Keller will be the Jets leading receiver.

5. Stephen Hill will have a quietly productive 4 catch, 45 yard game with 0 drops.

6. Larry Fitzgerald will have less than 50 yards receiving. Antonio Cromartie will also have an interception when Lindley tries to force the ball to Fitzgerland.

7. Andre Roberts will have a big day working against Kyle Wilson and Ellis Lankster, finishing with at least 70 yards receiving.

8. Greg McElroy (who will be active as the 2nd quarterback) will not see the field and will not start a game this year.

9. Kyle Wilson is going to fumble a punt.

10. Joe McKnight will return a kick out past the 50 yard line.

11. Jordan White will have his first NFL reception.

12. The Jets will win an ugly, low-scoring 16-10 game…moving to 5-7 and inspiring no confidence in the process.

Predicated Game Outcome Record: 9-2 

 

Turn On The Jets NFL Week 13 Best Bets

Chris Celletti with his weekly NFL Best Bets, including an argument for the New York Jets to fire Rex Ryan

Week 12 Record: 1-1-1

Season Record: 13-21-2

Let’s go back, briefly, to my pick from last week’s Falcons/Buccaneers game. I’ll just copy and paste it verbatim because it’s glorious:

“Falcons -1 at Buccaneers: I think the Falcons win this game, and to me, if they win it they’re going to cover a one point spread.

/Watches in dismay as the Falcons win by 1″

Just in case you guys forgot, the Falcons won 24-23. YAY.

If you follow me on Twitter, you may have seen me respond to Chris Gross’ excellent, well-thought out and researched piece defending Rex Ryan by naming him the Captain of Team Pro Rex, while countering and calling myself the Captain of Team Anti Rex. I’ll use this space to state my case as to why I’m just not a big Ryan fan, even though I’m like most Jets fans and fell in love with the guy in 2009.

Chris used mainly numbers to justify that Ryan is coaching a collection of players that simply aren’t good enough, or at least very much below the average of their opponents at basically every position on the field. There’s no arguing that, and I would never ever argue that Rex isn’t getting the full potential out of this lot of crappy players that the Jets have assembled in 2012. No team is going to win a lot of games giving major reps to guys like Edmond “Clyde” Gates, Chaz Schilens, Austin Howard, Matt Slauson, and, in 2012 at least, Bart Scott, Calvin Pace and Bryan Thomas. The Jets do not have playoff talent, so I don’t expect Rex to lead this team to the playoffs.

Do I expect better than four wins at this point in the season? Maybe. But I certainly expect the team to be more competitive on a week-by-week basis and not get blown out five times, thrice at home. That, I believe, is largely on the coach. It’s my opinion that teams in the NFL, a league designed so that every team can win every week, don’t get blown out consistently if they have a truly great coach on the sideline. Regardless of the talent on the roster.

Now, Mike Tannenbaum deserves every ounce of blame he gets for the Jets’ being the way they are this year. He doesn’t deserve to be the GM of this team anymore. But you cannot simply blame Tannenbaum and nobody else, and that includes Rex Ryan. It’s not like Rex went on vacation all offseason and parachuted into Florham Park in mid July and was like “Woah, Tanny, what the hell is this? This is who I have to work with?” It’s impossible that Rex has NO say whatsoever in the personnel on his team. I understand that there are salary cap implications and the like, but you can’t tell me that Rex Ryan couldn’t go to Tannenbaum right after last season and say “Mike, I can’t go into next year with these four linebackers. And we need a better right tackle. And a fullback. And a…” and you get the point. And if he doesn’t have any say, at all? If it’s literally that he just shows up and coaches the guys he’s given, well that tells you all you need to know about the Jets organization.

What this also brings up is a question I often ponder, and that’s whether coaches make players or players make coaches in the NFL. I think there are strong arguments either way. Bill Belichick did not have great success as a head coach before going to New England and having Mo Lewis deliver Tom Brady into his lap. There’s no doubt that Brady, or any great quarterback, can hide the shortcomings of a head coach. But I personally think there are more examples of “system” players, guys that can thrive in the right situation, if used correctly and maximized by the coaching staff.

My favorite example in this case is Victor Cruz. I respect the hell out of Cruz, and I’m in no way trying to say that the guy lacks talent or anything. You don’t put up record-setting seasons like he did last year if you’re not any good. But football is the ultimate system sport. Tom Coughlin is an offensive coach, a wide receivers coach by trade, and I have a tiny feeling that he knows exactly what hes doing in terms of utilizing Victor Cruz. I look at someone like Jeremy Kerley or Randall Cobb, and I’m honestly not so sure that there’d be that big of a drop off if the Giants replaced Cruz with one of those guys. Maybe they wouldn’t put up numbers that were as gaudy, but it’s not like Cruz makes the Giants an 11-win team where they’d be a seven or eight win team with Kerley or Cobb. That’s because Tom Coughlin is a great coach – and it definitely doesn’t hurt having a top quarterback like Eli Manning either.

I’m sure there are instances in which Ryan has gotten more out of certain players than other coaches would. Maybe Muhammad Wilkerson wouldn’t be half the player he is with the Jets than if he were on half the other teams in the NFL. I don’t think Rex is an incompetent football coach, and this brings me to my next point that I’ve always feared with Rex, and that he’s a great defensive coordinator but an average-at-best head coach. There are a lot of signs that this is the case, from poor clock and game management, to the fact that he admitted that this season, his FOURTH AS A HEAD COACH, that he’s going to more offensive meetings and getting more involved on that side of the ball than ever before. I’ve never played football on any level, so maybe I’m naive and this is just how head coaches work, but if that’s the case then that’s asinine. You’ve always gotten the sense with Rex that his defense was all important, and the offense was just the other side of the ball. Which brings me to my last point, one that I think is the most relevant in today’s league.

I think that the type of football Ryan wants to play is archaic. That’s my opinion. The league has changed over the past 10 or 15 years, and you need to change with it in order to be successful. The worst thing that ever happened to Rex Ryan was being on the Ravens’ staff in 2000 when they won the Super Bowl with an all-time defense, a good running game and an otherwise pretty bad offense, with a middling quarterback and receivers. He’s trying to recreate that with the Jets, but it’s 2012 and that doesn’t work anymore. Look at the teams that have made and won the Super Bowl over the past few seasons. New England constantly wins 13 games and goes deep into the playoffs despite having one of the league’s worst defenses nearly every year. The Giants’ defense has patches every season where you think “they cannot win with this”, yet they do. The Colts, for years, had Peyton Manning and a bad defense, yet they won a Super Bowl and went to another. The Saints, the Packers…these are the types of teams that win in the NFL these days.

What all of those teams have in common is great quarterbacking, and that’s not something the Jets have. But it goes beyond that, and it’s about the culture of those teams and how they’re built. It’s not about punching someone in the mouth and giving up 10 points. It’s not about running the ball to control the clock and keep the other team’s QB on the sidelines. All those successful teams we just mentioned didn’t have shut down defenses, they had defenses that could make big plays at big times. They had the ability, and most importantly the desire and were designed to, put up a lot of points and hit big plays. Watching the Jets over the past three-plus seasons, I don’t get the vibe it’s just that the Jets can’t play offense this way, it’s that they don’t want to. Too risky. Too much potential for turnovers. Well if your defense is so great, how about picking up the offense when it inevitably turns the ball over? I’m sorry, you don’t hand-pick Tony Sparano to run your offense if you want to succeed in the NFL in 2012.

This is not even to get into the idea of Ryan’s boasts, the ridiculousness that constantly surrounds this team, etc. I honestly don’t even believe in that stuff too much. That’s the type of thing that is all well and good when you’re winning, and is a disaster when you’re losing. I have no problem with that.

And I honestly hate that I feel this way because I did love Rex Ryan when he took over in 2009. It felt like he changed the culture of the Jets, but I think the past two seasons are a clear indication that he really didn’t. He merely turned the Jets from a team that nobody bothered paying any attention to into to one that people love to point and laugh at and root against. Either way, they aren’t winning. At one point, us Jets fans thought that we had our coach in Herman Edwards, in Eric Mangini, when those guys surprised us early on by bringing us to the playoffs. I think Rex is a better coach than both of those guys, and I really hope that we don’t look back on him the same way we do those guys.

I fear, however, that we will.

Oh yeah, the picks:

Jaguars +6 at Bills, 49ers -7 at Rams, Jets -4.5 vs. Cardinals

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record: 5-6-1): Boxing Bet Alert: Miguel Cotto vs. Austin Trout. I like Cotto at -230 to win, and under 9.5 rounds at +220.