TOJ Podcast Episode 10 – Bart Hubbuch and John Caputo

Episode 10 of the Turn On The Jets Podcast featuring New York Post writer Bart Hubbuch and Jacksonville Jaguars blogger John Caputo

Check out episode 10 of the Turn On The Jets Podcast hosted by Joe Caporoso. This week we featured New York Post writer Bart Hubbuch and John Caputo, owner of Bold City Brigade which covers the Jacksonville Jaguars. Bart and I discuss the recent trends at New York Jets and New England Patriots camp, along with our projections for the AFC East. John helps me preview the Jets/Jaguars pre-season game this Saturday

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TOJ Roundtable: Jets/Jaguars Picks

Joe Caporoso: See the 12 pack.

Justin Fritze: Looking at this with the scientist’s eye, I notice a few things. The Jets defensive line should have a field day. 4 down lineman, 5 man rush should be sufficient. They’re going up against a bunch of scrubs, a 3rd round rookie out of Lehigh (Editor’s Note: again not thrilled with the shot at Lehigh), and a former first round pick in Eugene Monroe. Kenrick Ellis and Muhammad Wilkerson should see serious playing time, and the Jets can probably sit back and have some fun confusing Luke McCown, mixing up coverages, perhaps bringing the famed “cloud coverage” back and tee off from there.

What else do I like about this game? The Jaguars have nobody at linebacker. The Jets will have to run it to death, for one because they need to find out if Joe McKnight can be the change of pace they need, if Shonn Greene can tire a defense, and if Jeremy Kerley and the wild Hornfrog can create some confusion.  The Jets will also occasionally play action with Keller and take a few shots over the middle with Plaxico Burress as he outsizes all the Jaguars DB’s by 3 feet, give or take a few inches. I may be crazy, but I’m gonna go Jets over Jaguars by 6. Don’t ever count out the short man with a “bum knee”. Lot’s of Jets field goals.

Chris Celletti: I think the Jets get this done fairly easily…by Jets standards. I just simply can’t see them having too much trouble with the Jaguars’ offense and Luke McCown specifically. The Jets’ defensive strength is in their run stopping, and the Jaguars lean heavily on Maurice Jones-Drew. While MJD is one of the top runners in the league, the Jets should keep him in check. Mark Sanchez and the Jets offense won’t put up a ton off points, because I think Brian Schottenheimer and Co. will try to really pound the run and get Shonn Greene going. The Jets play an overall solid game, get a few turnovers on defense, and roll to a 24-7 victory.

Rob Celletti: I was originally going to pick the Jets to win in a close game, because as a Jet fan, I know not to get too confident in this team, especially when they’re favored by more than a touchdown.  But Jason Hill’s (who?!) comments today, calling the Jets’ defense “overhyped”, might light an early fire under the team and particularly their defense, so now I expect them to dominate.  Luke McCown is going to have a miserable game with less than 125 yards passing. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville’s only credible threat, will have a decent game, but not much of an impact.  The Jets will get back to a more balanced attack on offense and be able to dominate time of possession, holding the ball for around 35 minutes.  Plaxico Burress, Derrick Mason and Shonn Greene will get in the endzone in a 27-7 Jets win.

TJ Rosenthal: Jets Win: If the Jets start fast and begin to show they are putting all phases together together Sunday, we see them winning 31-10. This scenario has Shonn Greene with a 100 yard day and a deep ball to Holmes or Burress for a TD. Keller will shine in this type of game as well. Maurice Jones Drew will cut the Jets lead to a harmless 21-10 at some point with a short yardage TD.

Jags Win: The Jags win 17-10 if the Jets continue to struggle on offense and come out of the gates slowly. The snails pace by Sanchez and co. will allow the Jags to settle in until they can find a few spots to pull off a big run or long completion in order to pull of the upset.

Jets vs. Jaguars: 12 Pack Of Predictions

Nothing is better than the cold weather and a 12 pack along with it. It feels like football outside today, which is a beautiful thing.

1. Joe McKnight will receive at least three touches on offense, as the Jets reward him for his game changing special teams play last week. What he does with those plays will determine how much of a role he starts to have moving forward. Also look for John Conner to play more reps this week and a catch a pass out in the flat. His hands are an underrated part of his game.

2. After this game, still nobody will know who the hell Jason Hill is.

3. Luke McCown is going to have a rough time against the Jets defense. He will throw for less than 175 yards, be sacked at least 2 times, and have at least one turnover.

4. Maurice Jones-Drew will have a solid day at the office but won’t rip off the big run that will kill the Jets. He will finish with 22 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown.

5. Mark Sanchez won’t turn the football over this week and will throw somewhere between 25 and 30 passes.

6. Santonio Holmes and Eric Smith are both questionable to play this Sunday. Both will suit up but will have a more limited role than usual. Look for more action from both Derrick Mason and Jeremy Kerley on offense and for more Brodney Pool on defense than last week.

7. Plaxico Burress will have another big game, finishing with over 70 yards receiving and another touchdown. He will also be more involved in the first half.

8. For the first time in just about forever, the Jets will score a first quarter touchdown.

9. Antonio Cromartie will have a much better performance than last week, recording an interception and ripping off a big kick return.

10. Shonn Greene will rush for less than 80 yards but will have an improved yards per carry from last week. LaDainian Tomlinson will have at least 4 receptions.

11. Calvin Pace will record a sack for the second straight week.

12. The New York Jets won’t pull away in this one until the fourth quarter but will ultimately win 24-13. Hello 2-0.

Jets Playoff Pipe Dream: Week 13 Viewing Guide

sanchez 

 First a few updates:

1. I missed a day yesterday because of some school commitments (aka staying up all night writing a paper and then sleeping all day), but here is a comprehensive update section to make up for the empty column space yesterday.

2. I have to say I really enjoyed watching the Patriots be completely out-classed and humiliated on Monday night by New Orleans. I love how all the NFL experts assume the Pats are an elite team in the NFL, even though they don’t have a single impressive win all season, and predicted New England to beat the Saints. The bottom line is that the Patriots will more than likely win the AFC East because of the Jets/Dolphins mediocrity, but don’t mistake them for being one of the best teams in the league because they aren’t.

3. It truly was a great week 12 for Jets fans. Obviously, we finally won a game and beyond the Pats being beatdown on national television, the mighty Miami Dolphins and their franchise quarterback lost by 17…yes 17 points in Buffalo, thanks to 3 INT’s from Chad Henne. Miami fans loved piling it on the Jets when the Bills beat them a few weeks back in OT and now they lost by 17 and fell below .500. Also, even though it didn’t help the Jets playoff hopes, I certainly didn’t mind the Giants getting the crap kicked out of them on Thanksgiving.

4. The whole Joe Girardi coming in to practice to teach Mark Sanchez how to slide was a pretty good idea by Rex Ryan…when I thought about it,  you never really have seen Sanchez slide yet this season and it is obviously an important thing for a quarterback to learn.

Bills Jets Football5. It is a shame that it took a two interception performance to receive the proper amounts of national respect for Darrelle Revis and yet he still isn’t getting it from everybody. I love how the consistently Jets-bashing Mike Florio still refers to Revis as one of the best “young corners” in football…how about one of the best corners, if not the best corner in football, period. You can drop the “young”. Also, he tries to hype up the TO/Revis battle tomorrow night and cautions that Revis could be in trouble because he had the audacity to say Randy Moss is faster than Owens, which is going to fire TO up. Obviously Florio didn’t watch what Revis did to Owens the last time these two teams met and also forgets that it doesn’t matter who you throw at Revis…he is going to shut them down. Andre Johnson? Check. Randy Moss? Double Check. Marques Colston? Check. Steve Smith? Check. Terrell Owens? About to be a double check.

6. Injury stuff – Donald Strickland and Dwight Lowery won’t play tomorrow. Mark Sanchez is going to start with a brace on his knee. Everybody else should be a go.

Jets Playoff Pipe Dream: Week 13 Viewing Guide

The NFL is a funny thing sometimes. After the Jets lost to New England, the season was properly proclaimed over by everybody (including me) and yet here I am this week reading article after article about how the Jets are still alive if they can just take it one game at a time. What happened? Well all it took was a Jets win, a Ravens loss, a Dolphins loss, a Jaguars loss, and a Texans loss to turn the AFC wild card race into a complete wide-open mess. Here is what we are looking at right now in that race:

  1. Denver (7-4)
  2. Jacksonville (6-5)
  3. Pittsburgh (6-5)
  4. Baltimore (6-5)
  5. Miami (5-6)
  6. Jets (5-6)
  7. Houston (5-6)
  8. Tennessee (5-6)

There you have it, 8 mediocre teams battling for 2 spots. The good news is that even after watching the Jets Thursday night, there is plenty to be excited about on Sunday in terms of rooting interest. Here is a run-down:

bluejayNew York Jets (5-6) at Toronto Blue Jays (4-7): I will have the full game breakdown later in the day but obviously the Jets have to take care of business tomorrow night or much of this becomes irrelevant. The Blue Jays have been playing better lately led by Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback who actually has decided to use his wide receivers, unlike Trent Edwards.

New England Patriots (7-4) at Miami Dolphins (5-6): This is one of the those games that you could be happy either way with the result. If the Dolphins win, the Jets would only be one game out of first place (pending a Thursday victory). Yet, I would still find it hard to believe that New England would have a complete meltdown in the final four games, especially since the Jets need to finish with a better record than them because they don’t have the tie-breaker. I think it is better to root for the Patriots to bury Miami at 5-7, since we also lack a tie breaker with the Dolphins and we overall have a better chance of catching a wild-card team than the Pats. I don’t want Miami hanging around the wild-card race with their sweep of us.

Oakland Raiders (3-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5): I mean, hey the Chiefs beat the Steelers a couple of weeks ago. Why wouldn’t you have faith in Bruce Gradkowski and company heading into Heinz Field against a pissed-off Pittsburgh team? This game could get ugly real quick but you can always root for a miracle.

Denver Broncos (7-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-8): Here is a slightly more realistic upset watch. Kansas City has won 2 of their 3 past three and they are usually tough at home. Beyond that, I am not sold that Denver is all the way back yet. I think they just ran into a crappy, poorly prepared Giants team on Thursday night.

Tennessee Titans (5-6) at Indianapolis Colts (11-0): Even though a Titans win keeps them very much alive in the playoff race, I am still pulling for them against the Colts. We have the tie breaker with Tennessee anyway and beyond that if this Jets playoff pipe dream has a chance they are going to need a win against Indy in week 16 and the only way that is happening if the Colts are resting starters because they aren’t playing for anything. The only way they are playing for something is if they are going for an undefeated season. If there is one team who has a shot to end this perfect season, it is the Titans who are playing as well as anybody in the NFL right now, with Chris Johnson and Vince Young running around on that turf.

Houston Texans (5-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (6-5): You have to be rooting for the Texans here, because if the Jets win they will have the same record as both teams. Beyond that, the Jets don’t have a tie-breaker with Jacksonville but do have one against the Texans. I just hope this game doesn’t come down to a Kris Brown field goal.

Baltimore Ravens (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-4): Let’s go Packers. I feel good about Green Bay winning this game at home against an inconsistent Ravens team.

They Can’t Play This Bad Again Right? Right?!

Back From Vacation, Back to Work: Make or Break Three Weeks on Horizon For Jets

*Sep 20 - 00:05*

First a few updates:

atlantic-city1. I would like to say I am feeling refreshed after taking the past three days off from the site and not having to deal with the stress of a Jets game yesterday, however I had a thoroughly exhausting reunion weekend with my college friends. The final stats on the weekend include 2 hours of sleep, large amounts of Saki and sushi consumed, a Muhlenberg football loss at Ursinus, hundreds of dollars lost in Atlantic City, thousands of insults exchanged, about 400 miles added to my car because my friend who is supposedly from Philadelphia didn’t remember how to get from his home city to our college, and a dead cell phone leading to an angered girlfriend. I do have to shout out my man Leon Washington because I hit #29 on the roulette table saving me from complete financial disaster. I spent yesterday laying in my bed recovering by watching Larry Fitzgerald and DeAngelo Williams carry my fantasy team, a despondent Joey Porter being shut up by New England (let’s see the national media come after him now for talking too much), the Giants lose their fourth straight game, and both a great Sunday night game and great Curb Your Enthusiasm episode.

2. I know everybody missed Turn On The Jets TV last weekend but don’t worry we will back this Thursday or Friday (hopefully Thursday) with a new episode documenting how I kept myself occupied during the bye week and previewing the Jets/Jags game.

3. The Jets were back to work today in preparation for the Jaguars, here a few things Rex Ryan talked about: In the category of head coach standing up for under achieving players: He continued to stand up for Vernon Gholston saying he is playing well on special teams and was making progress on defense but hasn’t played much because they haven’t needed more interior defensive lineman the past couple of weeks…He also stood up for Kerry Rhodes play and said he believes the turnovers will come for his safety. Ryan couldn’t resist looking a little ahead to New England but did give plenty to Jacksonville and said they have the same record as the Jets and the league’s #9 offense, making them a dangerous team.

Back From Vacation, Back to Work: Make or Break Three Weeks on Horizon For Jets

You could tell my rust from taking three days off by the unnecessarily, long, run-on title I came up with. Anyway, the Jets face both an uphill climb towards a wild-card spot and a division title over the next 8 weeks. In terms of the wild card, San Diego (5-3), Houston (5-4), Baltimore (4-4), Pittsburgh (5-2), and Jacksonville (4-4) remain in the mix. The Jets have a tie breaker with the Texans and I think they will fade down the stretch to their normal .500 record anyway. They have a chance to gain a tie breaker with Jacksonville this weekend and the Jaguars don’t seem capable of winning more than 7 or 8 games either. Baltimore should be in the mix but they have a tough remaining schedule and I still wouldn’t be shocked to either the Chargers or Steelers catch the Broncos and Bengals respectively which still means both wild card teams are going to have at least ten wins. I don’t know how the Jets tie breakers would shake out with San Diego, Denver, Cincinnati, or Pittsburgh but my guess is that it wouldn’t be good because of our poor divisional record.

Jets Dolphins FootballHowever, when you turn the focus to the division it becomes clear that the Jets 2009 season comes down to the next three weeks. Right now the Patriots are 6-2, while our Jets sit at 4-4, 2 games behind with 8 games each to play. The next three weeks New England travels to Indianapolis (8-0) host the Jets at home and then travel to New Orleans (8-0). In contrast, the Jets host Jacksonville (4-4), travel to New England, and then host Carolina (3-5). What does all that mean? It means it is time for the Jets to make their move if they want to win the 2009 AFC East title. The November 22nd match-up in New England is the make or break game for the Jets division hopes. New England will lose to either Indy or New Orleans, maybe both of them. The Jets need to avoid the let down and handle the inferior Jaguars and Panthers at home and they will set themselves up as the front runner in the division heading into the final five games of the season.

I am ready for anything, from the Jets running the table to the Jets losing out…from the Jets winning by 28 this weekend to Maurice Jones-Drew running for 348 yards en route to a Jacksonville blow out…from Mark Sanchez adjusting to cold weather and pulling out a victory on a November day in New England (where you know it will be hailing and snowing because Belichick controls the weather up there) to Sanchez throwing 4 INTs and weeping as he sips on a hot chocolate on the sideline…it is the Jets, so who knows, in the end they will probably get all our hopes up and then break our heart, but hey there is always that 1 percent chance that this could be year everything changes, so because of that I will be driving up to the Meadowlands this Sunday ready and excited for the second half of the season to kick off. It could be worse right? I could be a Browns fan.

The Disaster That Happens When Second Rate Cities Try to Imitate First Rate Ones, Wow This Is Bad

If You Haven’t Seen These Clips Yet of This Crazy New Mexico Women’s Soccer Player, Watch and Be Scared

The Jets Will Win Ten Games

NFL-Jets-Texans

First a few updates:

1. First off, how about those Yankees? A great season from a truly great, well-rounded team. I remember standing in the rain at Camden Yards on opening day watching CC and Texiera struggle and listening to the heckles of the Baltimore fans (who were clearly just bitter they haven’t had a relevant baseball team in over a decade) and wondering if this team had the make up to be a champion or whether they’d spent all that money to just lose in the first round again. Fortunately, after some early season struggles they turned things around and were the best team in baseball for the entire summer and all the way through the playoffs. Amazing post-season from A-Rod. Jeter was Jeter. Matsui and Damon were particularly clutch in the World Series. CC was the ace we signed him to be. Mariano was Mariano…and on and on. #27 in the books.

2. A little reader appreciation on the bye week to frequent readers and people who comment often: The Iron Marshall for always posting insightful thoughts and staying optimistic, Angel who has been following my writing for a few years now and is a great writer himself over at the The Bleacher Report and The Jets Blog, Bruce Harper, Simplysimon, all the fellow Fanball bloggers who stop by, JetBo, 16, dmd13, Coach and everybody else who takes the time to visit the site.

A Few Words On The Mighty Miami Dolphins

jason_taylor_red_rooster_strutAs many people have read the humble and high character Miami Dolphins have enjoyed their share of shots on the Jets in the past few days. Joey Porter ranting on about how they were the division champs last year and the division still runs through them. Jason Taylor talking about how Giants Stadium is a “hellhole” and that unlike Giants fans, Jets fans are “asses.” We all know that Taylor has had a lifelong hatred of the Jets organization and fans and will always take a shot whenever he can. What can you say? Taylor is a probable hall of fame player but a guy who will never win a championship and a guy who has never been past the second round of the playoffs. He got there a couple of times but lost 62-7 to Jacksonville and was blown out by the Raiders another time. He left Miami last year because Bill Parcells didn’t want him because he was too worried about his Hollywood career, stunk it up in DC and then got out of his contract by refusing to participate in off-season workouts. While he was gone, Miami had their best season in years and won the division, so Jason came back this year just in time to be a part of another 6-10 Dolphins team this season. Taylor is right about one thing, he hates Jets fans and we hate him. He can enjoy another January at home this season watching the NFL playoffs, like he has done every year since 2001.

Also, another funny thing about the Dolphins is how they refer to themselves as “champions” from last year. They won the AFC East title not the Super Bowl. I have never seen a team more proud of a season that ended at home in the first round of the playoffs in a game where they were completely outclassed and embarrassed (by Rex Ryan, Bart Scott, Jim Leonhard, and Marques Douglas among other people). The Dolphins talk about their 2008 season like they won a Super Bowl, yet they didn’t even win a single playoff game. Similar to how they act like they are in first place because they swept the Jets, when they are in third place and are still below .500. The entire NFL is praising the Dolphins character and toughness, yet they have enough character and toughness to blow a 21 point lead at home and lose a game where they held the ball for a record amount of time.

The Jets Will Win Ten Games

The general consensus about the Jets now is that their 2009 season is over. Rex Ryan is in over his head right now as a head coach and needs to change his personality. Mark Sanchez won’t be ready to lead a playoff team until next season. There is no way the Jets can overcome the injuries to Kris Jenkins and Leon Washington. Their second half schedule is brutal and on and on and on. It would be easy to write that article today. It is easy to bury a team who has lost four of their last five and flush the second half of the season down the toilet. Yet, I said in the beginning of the year the Jets would win ten games and still believe they will today. Will those ten wins be enough to make the playoffs? The tie breakers can be tricky but I think they got a good shot.

20081207_zaf_cg5_080-calvin-paceThe Jets have a great defense. Through the first eight games of the season, they played one poor game but beyond that have been among the best in the NFL. The Jets will never get blown out because of this. When I look at the Jets losses, I see a game in New Orleans (the best team in the NFL) that was a touchdown game in the fourth quarter despite 14 points allowed by the Jets offense. I see an OT loss to Buffalo despite 5 interceptions, a botched field goal, and a crucial holding penalty in OT. I see a defensive let down the first time against Miami, which was corrected with a dominant defensive performance in the second game but the team was let down by the kick coverage unit.

Mark Sanchez won’t play any games as poorly as he did in New Orleans or against Buffalo in the second half of the season. He may struggle in some games but there won’t be any five interception performances or 14 points directly handed to the other team. I am going from what I saw in six of the Jets games, compared to two of them and how he responded to each of his bad performances. Beyond that, the Jets have found their running game in a big way. Great running game plus great defense plus decent quarterbacking that doesn’t turn the ball over equals a winning team. Do you think Mike Westoff’s kick coverage units are going to lose another game for the Jets this year? Do you think the Jets will make the mistake of making Marques Murrell, Ahmad Carroll, and Marquice Cole all inactive on the same day? I don’t.

thomas-jones22When I look at the Jets second half schedule, I think they take care of Jacksonville and Carolina at home. I think they take care of Buffalo (aka Toronto) and Tampa Bay on the road, without much difficulty. The real question is going to be what are the Jets going to do in New England and Indy? What are they going to do at home against Atlanta and Cincy? I think the Jets/Pats game will be close, like they are every time play. I know if the Jets want a prayer at the division they better take care of business up there. I like the match-up with Atlanta because they are a playing a dome team at home in the middle of December. Obviously, Indy is going to be a tough game but by that point won’t the Colts have everything wrapped up and potentially be resting some people? In the end, the Jets could very well be hosting the Bengals on the last day of the season as a 9-6 team, needing a victory to get in the playoffs. If it comes to that, I am glad we are at home and we shall see what happens.

A quick thing about Rex Ryan, it is time for Jets fans and writers to stop flip-flopping on the guy. If you liked the swagger in week 3 and were nominating him for NFL Head Coach of the Year, don’t be calling for his job in week 8 or asking him to change his personality. This is who we hired. This attitude, this mindset, and this style is what he hired and personally I still like the direction this team is headed. I believe Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez are going to be leading this team for a long time.

Number 27