TOJ Week 2 – NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Last week as you may remember, I unveiled my plan to pick one absolutely horrible NFL writer each week and post their picks here in this space up against my picks. For week 1, I went with the guy who may very well know the least about football out of them all, PFT honcho, Mike Florio.

I was going to switch it up and use another bozo like Pete Prisco or something for week 2, but after Florio went a whopping 5-11 against the spread last week, I’ve decided to ride him again this week. I made all of my picks that I felt most strongly about on my own, but when in doubt, I’m gonna #FadeFlorio. That has a nice ring to it, doesn’t it? Let’s get started! Continue reading “TOJ Week 2 – NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 1 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Mike Donnelly of TOJ breaks down the week 1 NFL Gambling betting lines and gives his picks.

Week 1 of the NFL season is great for many reasons. Not only do you get to cheer on your favorite team and live or die with them for four months, but you get to enjoy everything else that comes with it. You wear your jersey of your favorite player or your lucky t-shirt, you eat buffalo wings and drink a few (dozen) beers with your friends while you watch games, you play fantasy football and talk trash, and of course, you get to bet on games! And that’s what this space right here is going to be about every week leading up to the games: Gambling on games and picking winners (hopefully). Continue reading “TOJ Week 1 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

NFL Gambling Guide to the Conference Championship Games

The NFL Conference Championship Games have arrived and while we couldn’t have asked for two better games and both should be awesome, it’s also a pretty sad day. It’s pretty much the last day of football for a while and that means the end of betting on football, which is extremely sad. What isn’t sad, though, is this awesome run I’ve been on picking games, over/unders, and props lately. Since the playoffs began I’m on a 26-11 run and I’m hoping to get one more good week out of this run to end the season on a really strong note. I told you I was going to pull a Joe Flacco and I’m almost there. Let’s get to it! Continue reading “NFL Gambling Guide to the Conference Championship Games”

NFL Gambling Guide to the Divisional Playoffs

I hope everyone didn’t give up on me after a so-so regular season, because just like Joe Flacco and Eli Manning I turned from a crappy regular season player into a superstar once the playoffs began! I hit games, over/unders, and player props to the tune of 12-4 total and a surprising 5-0 on my “best bets”. I’m not patting myself on the back just yet, though (ok maybe just a little), because there is still plenty of work to be done. I’m looking to carry last week’s success into this week, and just like the aforementioned quarterbacks, soon everyone will be calling me elite for no reason whatsoever. Ok, probably not, but still…. Continue reading “NFL Gambling Guide to the Divisional Playoffs”

NFL Wild Card Weekend: Point Spreads, Picks, and Props

The regular season has ended, and after a rough start to the season picking games, I rallied a bit to finish at a not-too-pathetic 122-126-7 overall for the season. More disappointing was my Best Bets record, which finished at a paltry 40-42-3. Oh well. Hopefully I can follow up a mediocre season full of horrible screw-ups with an awesome playoff run, make everyone forget that I stunk all year, and then inexplicably get paid $120 million like I’m Joe Flacco or something. That would be cool, huh? Let’s get started! Continue reading “NFL Wild Card Weekend: Point Spreads, Picks, and Props”

TOJ Week 17 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

This is a sad day as the NFL regular season comes to a close. No more fantasy football, no more tons of games to bet on every week, and for most fans, no more watching your favorite team play for the next nine months. But that doesn’t mean we can’t end this season with a bang and make some money right? Let’s get to it… Continue reading “TOJ Week 17 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 15 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

I’m coming off a good week here with my NFL Gambling column and I’m just about even on the season, which is pretty darn good considering how terribly I started. This is a tough week of games to predict here, but there are a couple I really like. One thing is for sure, however: Expect the unexpected. That’s just the way the NFL works at this point in the season, so don’t be surprised to see some crazy stuff today… Continue reading “TOJ Week 15 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 14 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Week 13 was a pretty crappy schedule from top to bottom and I didn’t have a very good read on it, so I consider myself lucky to have finished 7-8-1 on the week. This week I feel much better about my chances to have a big week and there are actually a few games I absolutely love. Like, love a lot. Love almost as much as Jeff Cumberland loves  dropping passes… ok, well maybe not that much. Let’s got on with the show. Continue reading “TOJ Week 14 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 12 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Well, that hot streak sure was fun while it lasted. Then week 11 happened and crushed me in a monster way. I went just 5-8-2 and even worse, lost what I called my favorite pick of the season so far as the Patriots lost to the referees — uhh, I mean the Panthers on Monday night. Actually, it’s not really fair to say the refs cost them that game (even though they did) because the Patriots pretty much beat themselves. Their secondary is the gold standard when it comes to proving that Pro Football Focus is merely a tool and not the gospel when it comes to grading football players because despite their high rankings, they are pretty crappy, and Fumbles Ridley is just a horrible player. Can you tell I’m still bitter about that game? Let’s just move on to week 12… Continue reading “TOJ Week 12 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 11 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Week 11 has arrived and so has my long-awaited picks hot streak! I told you it couldn’t stay that bad forever, and in the last two weeks thinks really started to heat up for me… which probably means I’m do for a massive disappointment and a 1-14 week or something like that. But let’s try to avoid all that and ride this hot streak at least one more week. In the past two weeks I’m 17-8-1 and Best Bets are 7-3. And yes that’s me puffing out my chest and patting myself on the back. Deal with it! Let’s get on with the show… Continue reading “TOJ Week 11 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”