TOJ Week 9 Stock Watch & Gambling Advice

I can’t be the only person out there who thinks this NFL season needs to slow down, can I? I mean, it’s November and week 9 has arrived. It seems like just yesterday everyone was having their fantasy football drafts and anxiously awaiting week 9 to arrive, right? It can’t really be that long ago that I had visions in my head of dominating the NFL season and making a mockery of the point spreads the geniuses in Vegas came up with. Well, 9 weeks later and here we are. The season is half over and while my picks have been better of late, the season has been pretty terrible overall. The tide is turning though. I can feel it. This is the week! Continue reading “TOJ Week 9 Stock Watch & Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 8 NFL Gambling Advice & Picks

Well another week has come and gone, and another losing week is in the books, as I finished week 7 a disappointing 7-8. But don’t worry, I think this is the week we turn it all around! Six teams are on bye this week, which means there are 3 less games to pick, so I’m gonna go ahead and say that means I’m able to focus more on the games that are being played and deliver a winning week! Besides, this is the first week I’m posting this column on Sunday instead of Saturday, so perhaps the change in days will be good. Ok, you’re right.. it probably won’t matter at all. Oh well. Let’s get started. Continue reading “TOJ Week 8 NFL Gambling Advice & Picks”

TOJ: Week 7 NFL Gambling Advice

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived and that can only mean one thing around these parts – more losing picks provided by yours truly! But fear not, loyal readers, I’ve made some changes to my strategy this week and I can feel a big week coming. I’ve picked a few games that I feel strongly about myself and for the rest that I have no feel on, I’ve resorted to finding the opinions of some of the NFL pundits whose thoughts I value the least (like Mike Florio, for example) and went against them. That means it’s winning time! Let’s get to it…  Continue reading “TOJ: Week 7 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 6 NFL Gambling Advice

Can you believe it’s already Week 6 of the NFL season? Man oh man, it sure is flying by. We haven’t quite gotten off to the start I was looking for here through five weeks, but before you know it you’ll look up and say “Wow it’s already week 12?!” and you’ll check my record here to see things have turned around in a big way…. Ok, maybe not, but I’m gonna give it my best shot anyway. It’s the point in the season where you can start to get a read on some teams, so hopefully that helps going forward. Let’s get rolling. Continue reading “TOJ Week 6 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 5 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football

Mike Donnelly breaks down this week’s gambling lines and gives fantasy football advice for week 5.

At this point I feel like I can just copy and paste the intro paragraph from last week’s column when it comes to my weekly picks. “Well, last week didn’t quite go the way I had hoped, but this week I feel like it’s about to turn around!” This week, however, I actually do feel real good about my best bets, so at least there’s that. And while the picks were umm, not the best shall we say last week, my fantasy takes were actually pretty spot on.

This week I’m going to give you one player in each game that should outperform expectations and that I’d recommend you start, especially if you are having bye week problems. It should go without saying, but I’m not going to tell you to start your stud players. I’m looking at mid-range kind of guys here. I’d say “sleepers” but there’s no such thing in fantasy these days. Let’s get started.. Continue reading “TOJ Week 5 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football”

TOJ Week 4 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football

Turn On The Jets Week 4 NFL Gambling and Fantasy Football Outlook

Well, it’s Week 4 and things haven’t quite gone as planned so far here with my weekly picks. The visions I had dancing in my head of starting the season on fire and having all our readers begging for my picks haven’t quite materialized… yet! Ok, ok, that’s probably never going to happen, and you may be better off fading me at this point, but I feel it all turning around this week! There’s plenty of room left here on the bandwagon (current occupancy: 1).

And to shake things up this week, I’m not gonna just give my reasons for why each team will cover. Instead, I’m gonna also break things down by giving my fantasy football takes on each game and which players you should be thinking about starting or sitting when Sunday afternoon rolls around. You’re welcome.

Continue reading “TOJ Week 4 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football”

TOJ – Week 3 NFL Gambling Advice

Mike Donnelly with Week 3 gambling advice on all of the NFL action.

After going 8-8 last week on the heels of Week 1’s mini disaster, things are starting to look up for me as we head into Week 3. This is the time of the season when you start to get a feel for teams but unfortunately so do the Las Vegas bookmakers and the lines become increasingly difficult. Let’s see if we can go ahead and beat them this week and make a few bucks… you know, if gambling were legal and all.  Continue reading “TOJ – Week 3 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ – Week 2 NFL Gambling Advice

Ok, so week 1 didn’t exactly go as planned as the games I liked the most let me down. The Giants and Panthers really let me down with late cover blowing, as DeAngelo Williams fumbled late inside the 20 and Eli Manning threw a pick 6. Oh well, time to bounce back here in week 2. Let’s get to it.

Jets +12.5 @ Patriots – 1 for 1 this week! Things are turning around! Continue reading “TOJ – Week 2 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ – Week 1 Gambling and Fantasy Football Advice

Mike Donnelly with week 1 NFL Fantasy and Gambling Advice

Well look what we have here. The Turn On The Jets gambling column has found a new home in 2013 and it is right here in Donnellyville. Joe searched high and low for the most degenerate gambler he could find, and he picked me. I’m honored. I truly am. Each week I’m going to run down all the games and give a brief synopsis on why I’m picking who I am. Then I’m going to give you my 5 “Best Bets” which are typically the games I’m going to be betting on myself and the “Teaser of the Week”. Yes, teasers are usually sucker bets, but they’re fun, and every once in a while I nail a good one. Then afterwards, I’m gonna give my fantasy football advice for the week. You’re welcome. Let’s get started.  Continue reading “TOJ – Week 1 Gambling and Fantasy Football Advice”

Turn On The Jets NFL Week 4 Best Bets

Week 3 record: 0-3-0

Season record: 3-5-1

I’m just going to go ahead and do what everybody else did who had a bad week last week and blame it on the replacement refs.

Speaking of replacement refs, on Thursday morning after the league struck the deal to bring back the real refs, I happened to be listening to Mike and Mike on my way into work (The iPod connection in my car is broken and Boomer and Carton were at a commercial, okay). They had Adam Schefter on, which should have been an big enough clue to turn the channel and spare myself, but I kept it on. The first thing Schefter did, I kid you not, was praise Steve Young and Trent Dilfer for speaking their minds about the whole Monday Night reffing debacle. This made me want to veer off the side of the road and total my car. I guess the best thing you can say is that Schefter didn’t give himself the credit for ending the ref lockout, although that’s pretty much what he was doing. “Look at us here at ESPN! We’re not just shills for our husbands, the NFL! And better yet, what we say matters!” As if at any point during the negotiations, anybody brought up anything Trent Dilfer or Steve Young said. This just in: ESPN somewhat enjoys itself.

Patriots (-4) at Bills

The Patriots can’t lose three straight and start out 1-3, right? I would love to see it happen, but I just can’t. I have to think the Pats will go into this one totally desperate. Plus, did you see how the Bills’ defense looked against the Jets? Have you seen what the Jets offense has looked like since? I suppose the Pats’ offense isn’t as dominant as it once was, but I still can’t see them struggling to score too much. They should win by a touchdown.

Falcons -7 vs. Panthers

This season is setting up so darn perfectly for Matt Ryan and the Falcons. They really are the NFL’s new version of the San Diego Chargers, and Ryan is playing the Philip Rivers role. Ryan’s done nothing since turning pro except put up good numbers, win a lot in the regular season and crap the bed in the postseason. Sound familiar? The Falcons will roll to something like 13-3 this year, get a bye, then host the Giants in the 2nd round and lose 27-13. As for this week, they’ll put up enough points at home against a woeful Carolina team to cover this spread.

Giants +1.5 at Eagles

The road team in this rivalry always seems to play well, and the Giants in general are usually steady away from home. Lincoln Financial Field is going to be all sorts boozed up for this one in a way only Philadelphians can, which is going to make it even sweeter when the Giants waltz in and pummel Michael Vick. At halftime, Eagles fans will be chanting for Nick Foles, and will then spend the entire second half on hold trying to get through to WIP’s postgame show to complain about “Andy Reid’s Awwfensive playcawwwling down thurr awn the gowl loine”.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record 2-1)

We nailed it last week with Manchester United over Liverpool, so let’s stick with the Premier League and another big matchup between two of England’s top teams, Chelsea and Arsenal. Chelsea is in first place and has only allowed two goals in five Premier League games so far. Arsenal ha started to score a little more as of late, but started the year off by being shutout by Stoke City and Sunderland. I like Chelsea’s chances to pitch another shutout and snag a late goal, and at +235 I think it’s worth a shot.