Jets vs. Broncos: 12 Pack Of Predictions

12 predictions for the Jets/Broncos Thursday night match-up

Rough week for the 12 pack last Sunday, but we are back on the short week…we will keep it short and sweet in honor of that.

1. Over/under on Tebow completions? 10. And I am taking the under.

2. Joe McKnight will get at least 10 offensive touches. Bilal Powell will chip in 5.

3. Shonn Greene will have over 100 yards rushing.

4. Mark Sanchez won’t have any turnovers.

5. Tim Tebow won’t throw any interceptions and but will fumble at least once and be sacked 3-5 times.

6. David Harris will have at least 10 tackles…he better.

7. This will be a one possession game after three quarters.

8. Nick Folk won’t miss any field goals.

9. Eron Riley will record his first reception as a member of the New York Jets.

10. Santonio Holmes will have at least 70 yards receiving.

11. Willis McGahee will end up playing and have at least 12 carries.

12. The Jets will pull away in the fourth quarter, in not the prettiest game of the year, but a game that will ultimately be a win, 24-9.

New York Jets: The Danger In Denver

Can the New York Jets avoid having a major let-down in Denver?

I firmly believe the New York Jets are substantially better than their next five opponents. However, we all know that doesn’t mean anything if they don’t play to their potential and that on any given day, any given NFL team could lose to another. Of their next five games, the most dangerous one is coming up the day after tomorrow.

Thursday night’s game has all the ingredients of let-down for the Jets.

  • Hangover from an embarrassing loss to the New England Patriots.
  • A ridiculously short turnaround, thanks to a horrible job of scheduling by the league’s office which has the Jets going from a Sunday night game to a Thursday night game where they have to fly cross country.
  • A bizarre and unique offense to prepare for, which couldn’t be any further from the offense they played last.
  • Playing on the road in a hostile environment against a team who recently clawed back into their divisional race, led by a quarterback who is defying logic by his ability to win football games.

All that being said, if the Jets want to puff out their chest as a serious contender and have any form of pride after the effort they put in front of a national audience only a few days ago, they will respond with a serious beating for the Denver Broncos.

This is as one dimensional as an offense could get. If Rex Ryan and his front seven can’t slow down this offense, there needs to be serious questions about the personnel up front and at linebacker. If Denver scores more than 14 points, than the Jets defense has seriously let them down. On the other side, the Jets offense needs to recognize this and put up the necessary points to win. Denver has an average defense, there is no excuse to have zero first half points and let the Broncos hang around.

The Broncos completed 2 passes last week, 2! If the Jets get up 10-0, what are they going to do? The offense needs to put the pressure on Denver right away to step outside their comfort zone which is when Rex’s defense can really take advantage of such a limited offense.

I can see Thursday going two ways, the Jets are either winning by double digits or losing in an ugly, low-scoring game that is going to sicken all of us beyond belief. Do they want to start building momentum towards the playoffs with a winning streak they should go on? Or, do they want to have to scrap for a 9-7/10-6 record and pray for a few tie-breakers to fall their way?

Let’s hope they show some pride and don’t embarrass themselves for the second time in four days on national television.

Jets vs. Broncos: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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1. Darrelle Revis is the only Jets player listed below probable, at questionable. He will be a game time decision. I wouldn’t bet on him playing this week.

Jets vs. Broncos: 12 Pack Of Predictions

1. Both LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene are going to run for over 100 yards, similar to the Jets week 4 match-up against the Buffalo Bills. After the pass happy game plan last week, the Jets will be focused on running the ball against a Denver defense that struggles against the run and is banged up.

2. Eddie Royal is going to have a big day for Denver. The Jets don’t have a player who matches up well with him, unless Drew Coleman can really rise to the occasion in single coverage.

3. Kyle Orton will throw at least 40 passes and will have a big day statistically. However, considering how one-dimensional the Broncos offense will be. The Jets will force him into at least two turnovers.

4. Despite leading the NFL in receiving yards, Brandon Lloyd will have a quiet game thanks to Antonio Cromartie who will continue playing at a Pro-Bowl level.

5. It is being speculated that Champ Bailey will primarily be covering Braylon Edwards, which means Santonio Holmes is going to make at least one big play down the field. After shaking off the cobwebs last week, Holmes will finish with at least 85 receiving yards and a touchdown.

6. Dustin Keller will bounce back from a quiet game last week and get back in the end-zone.

7. The Jets will turn the ball over at least once this week. They are only human, people.

8. Brad Smith is taking a kick return back to the house on Sunday.

9. The Jets will get off to a slow start as they adjust to the conditions Denver but will pick it up late in the first half and pull themselves into a bit of a shootout with the Broncos.

10. The Jets are going to win 34 – 27. Denver is going to rack up their share of passing yards and take advantage of a Jets turnover at some point. Yet, the Jets will have too much on offense in the 4th quarter and come up with a big stop late.

11. Inactives – Darrelle Revis, Joe McKnight, Kellen Clemens, Marcus Dixon, Jeff Cumberland, Vladimir Ducasse, Matt Kroul, Kenwin Cummings.

12. Jets fans will still be pissed watching a game in Denver because of bad memories from 1998.

Week 6 Picks (Lines From BetUs)

  • Chargers (-8.5) vs. Rams
  • Chiefs (+4) vs. Texans
  • Patriots (-2.5) vs. Ravens
  • Saints (-4.5) vs. Bucs
  • Falcons (+2.5) vs. Eagles
  • Lions (+10.5) vs. Giants
  • Seahawks (+6) vs. Bears
  • Steelers (-14.5) vs. Browns
  • Jets (-4) vs. Broncos
  • Raiders (+6.5) vs. 49ers
  • Vikings (-1.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Colts (-4) vs. Redskins
  • Titans (-3) vs. Jaguars

Jets vs. Broncos: Game Breakdown

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First a few updates:

 1. Darrelle Revis is going to make the trip with the team to Denver and Rex Ryan indicated he could be used in a limited role this weekend. How about this? Sit him down and make sure he is 100 percent for the final 8 games of the season. Everybody else is expected to play this weekend, including Calvin Pace.

2. ALCS/NLCS Predictions – Yankees in 5, Phillies in 6…Yes, I know I really went on a limb there.

Jets vs. Broncos: Game Breakdown

Offense: Denver is beyond banged up on defense and is currently ranked 25th in the NFL in rushing defense. I would say it is time for that Ground and Pound…How about 20 carries for Shonn Greene this week and 14-16 for LaDainian Tomlinson considering he is coming off 23 touches on a short week? Denver’s pass defense isn’t much better than their run defense and their secondary will be without Brian Dawkins, Andre Goodman, Darcel McBath, and Wesley Woodyard. Basically, what I am saying is that the Jets shouldn’t have trouble rolling up points on this defense. It will be interesting to see if this offense has matured enough to take advantage of a below average, banged up defense with the plethora of weapons they have.

Hopefully the chemistry between Mark Sanchez and Santonio Holmes will progress and the Jets can hit a big play to him down the field. I thought Sanchez did a good job of spreading his targets around last week, but it will be interesting to see what happens in a game the Jets don’t throw the ball as much, along with how the role of each receiver ends up developing throughout the season.

Defense: Denver has the NFL’s worst rushing offense by a substantial margin and the Jets have one of the best run defenses in the league. I am thinking Josh McDaniels won’t try to outsmart himself (which he very well may) and will rely heavily on his passing attack this week. Kyle Orton has done a great job of spreading the ball around and the Broncos have a surprisingly productive collection of receivers and tight ends. Even if talented rookie Demaryius Thomas misses this week, Brandon Lloyd, Jabar Gaffney and Eddie Royal have all been good in 2010.

I would expect Antonio Cromartie to spend most of the day on Lloyd, who actually leads the NFL in receiving yards (what?). Considering his build and speed, Drew Coleman makes the most sense for Eddie Royal while Kyle Wilson or Dwight Lowery could cover Gaffney or tight end Daniel Graham. Denver is going to get their yards on the Jets, but the key will be to hit Orton early and often and hope that since he is throwing so much there are a few turnovers.

Special Teams: Royal is dangerous in the return game and Matt Prater is a very good kicker. Doesn’t it feel like we are due for a fake punt?

Good Memories From A  Bad Day In Denver

Jets vs. Broncos: First Look

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Final Thoughts On Week 5

Offensive MVP – The Offensive Line – It isn’t easy to run for 155 yards on the Minnesota Vikings and the big fellas up front deserve some credit. Matt Slauson is beginning to come along at left guard and after five weeks the Jets have the NFL’s #1 ranked rushing attack…so much for not being able to survive without Alan Faneca and Thomas Jones.

PhotobucketDefensive MVP – Antonio Cromartie – I know he allowed the one touchdown to Randy Moss, but I am not sure he could have defended that play any better. Beyond that, Cromartie was in Darrelle Revis circa 2009 form. There were plenty of valid questions about bringing him over from San Diego, yet since a tough week one, Cromartie has been an excellent addition to the Jets defense.

They Deserve Some Love Too – Drew Coleman & Dwight Lowery…TOJ never hesitates to rip on these two, but they both deserve credit for their play last night and thus far in 2010…Shonn Greene…There is the late touchdown run after the defense is worn down, that we’ve been waiting for…David Harris…Very strong all around game….Calvin Pace…Looked great back out on the field with 1.5 sacks….Nick Folk…Money in the bank, who would have thought?…Steve Weatherford…Having a great season so far in 2010.

Jets vs. Broncos: First Look

The Opponent: The inconsistent Denver Broncos have done one thing very well so far in 2010 and that is throw the football. Surprisingly, Kyle Orton has developed into a big time quarterback (at least statistically) and is getting the job done without any big name receivers. Denver is ranked 2nd in the NFL in passing yards but 32nd in rushing yards. Honestly, they have been completely putrid attempting to the run ball as the stats demonstrate. On defense, they are ranked 25th at stopping the run (Ground and Pound, anyone?) and 16th at stopping the pass.

Denver Starters/Key Reserves

OFFENSE

  • Quarterback: Kyle Orton – 141/213, 1733 yards, 8 TDs, 3 INTs
  • Running Back: Knowshon Moreno – 39 carries, 111 yards, 2 TDs
  • Running Back: Correll Buckhalter – 32 carries, 62 yards, 1 TD
  • Running Back: Laurence Maroney – 29 carries, 56 yards
  • Wide Receiver: Brandon Lloyd – 30 receptions, 589 yards, 3 TDs
  • Wide Receiver: Eddie Royal – 29 receptions, 330 yards, 2 TDs
  • Wide Receiver: Jabab Gaffney – 31 receptions, 327 yards, 1 TD
  • Wide Receiver: Demaryius Thomas – 13 receptions, 161 yards, 1 TD
  • Tight End: Daniel Graham – 11 receptions, 84 yards, 0 TDs
  • Left Tackle: Ryan Clady
  • Left Guard: Stanley Daniels
  • Center: J.D. Walton
  • Right Guard: Chris Kuper
  • Right Tackle: Ryan Harris

DEFENSE

  • Defensive End: Ryan McBean – 5 tackles
  • Nose Tackle: Jamal Williams – 10 tackles
  • Defensive End: Justin Bannan – 12 tackles
  • Defensive End: Kevin Vickerson – 15 tackles
  • Outside Linebacker: Mario Haggan – 29 tackles
  • Inside Linebacker: D.J. Williams – 45 tackles, 1.5 sacks
  • Outside Linebacker: Robert Ayers – 19 tackles, 1.5 sacks
  • Inside Linebacker: Jason Hunter – 22 tackles
  • Corner: Champ Bailey – 10 tackles, 1 INT
  • Corner: Andre Goodman – 2 tackles
  • Corner: Perrish Cox – 17 tackles, 1 INT
  • Safety: Nate Jones – 23 tackles
  • Safety: Brian Dawkins – 27 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT
  • Safety: Renaldo Hill – 21 tackles

SPECIAL TEAMS

  • Kicker: Matt Prater – 9/9 on FGs
  • Punter: Britton Colquitt – 43.9 yards per punt
  • Kick Return: Demaryius Thomas – 33.0 per kick return
  • Punt Return: Eddie Royal – 10.2 per punt return

PhotobucketKey Players: Kyle Orton does a great job spreading the ball around. Brandon Lloyd is turning in a terrific season so far off the scrap heap at wide receiver. Champ Bailey is one of the top corners in football and D.J Williams is a very good all around linebacker.

Injuries: Brian Dawkins will be out. Rookie wide receiver Demaryius Thomas and corner Andre Goodman will likely be out. Robert Ayers will be out with a broken foot. Knowshon Moreno is expected back in the line-up.

Key Storylines: Cross-country trip for the Jets on a short week…Darrelle Revis likely missing another game…Can the Jets running game take advantage of Denver’s defense?

Highlights from Denver’s Loss Last Week

Jets Playoff Pipe Dream: Week 13 Viewing Guide

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 First a few updates:

1. I missed a day yesterday because of some school commitments (aka staying up all night writing a paper and then sleeping all day), but here is a comprehensive update section to make up for the empty column space yesterday.

2. I have to say I really enjoyed watching the Patriots be completely out-classed and humiliated on Monday night by New Orleans. I love how all the NFL experts assume the Pats are an elite team in the NFL, even though they don’t have a single impressive win all season, and predicted New England to beat the Saints. The bottom line is that the Patriots will more than likely win the AFC East because of the Jets/Dolphins mediocrity, but don’t mistake them for being one of the best teams in the league because they aren’t.

3. It truly was a great week 12 for Jets fans. Obviously, we finally won a game and beyond the Pats being beatdown on national television, the mighty Miami Dolphins and their franchise quarterback lost by 17…yes 17 points in Buffalo, thanks to 3 INT’s from Chad Henne. Miami fans loved piling it on the Jets when the Bills beat them a few weeks back in OT and now they lost by 17 and fell below .500. Also, even though it didn’t help the Jets playoff hopes, I certainly didn’t mind the Giants getting the crap kicked out of them on Thanksgiving.

4. The whole Joe Girardi coming in to practice to teach Mark Sanchez how to slide was a pretty good idea by Rex Ryan…when I thought about it,  you never really have seen Sanchez slide yet this season and it is obviously an important thing for a quarterback to learn.

Bills Jets Football5. It is a shame that it took a two interception performance to receive the proper amounts of national respect for Darrelle Revis and yet he still isn’t getting it from everybody. I love how the consistently Jets-bashing Mike Florio still refers to Revis as one of the best “young corners” in football…how about one of the best corners, if not the best corner in football, period. You can drop the “young”. Also, he tries to hype up the TO/Revis battle tomorrow night and cautions that Revis could be in trouble because he had the audacity to say Randy Moss is faster than Owens, which is going to fire TO up. Obviously Florio didn’t watch what Revis did to Owens the last time these two teams met and also forgets that it doesn’t matter who you throw at Revis…he is going to shut them down. Andre Johnson? Check. Randy Moss? Double Check. Marques Colston? Check. Steve Smith? Check. Terrell Owens? About to be a double check.

6. Injury stuff – Donald Strickland and Dwight Lowery won’t play tomorrow. Mark Sanchez is going to start with a brace on his knee. Everybody else should be a go.

Jets Playoff Pipe Dream: Week 13 Viewing Guide

The NFL is a funny thing sometimes. After the Jets lost to New England, the season was properly proclaimed over by everybody (including me) and yet here I am this week reading article after article about how the Jets are still alive if they can just take it one game at a time. What happened? Well all it took was a Jets win, a Ravens loss, a Dolphins loss, a Jaguars loss, and a Texans loss to turn the AFC wild card race into a complete wide-open mess. Here is what we are looking at right now in that race:

  1. Denver (7-4)
  2. Jacksonville (6-5)
  3. Pittsburgh (6-5)
  4. Baltimore (6-5)
  5. Miami (5-6)
  6. Jets (5-6)
  7. Houston (5-6)
  8. Tennessee (5-6)

There you have it, 8 mediocre teams battling for 2 spots. The good news is that even after watching the Jets Thursday night, there is plenty to be excited about on Sunday in terms of rooting interest. Here is a run-down:

bluejayNew York Jets (5-6) at Toronto Blue Jays (4-7): I will have the full game breakdown later in the day but obviously the Jets have to take care of business tomorrow night or much of this becomes irrelevant. The Blue Jays have been playing better lately led by Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback who actually has decided to use his wide receivers, unlike Trent Edwards.

New England Patriots (7-4) at Miami Dolphins (5-6): This is one of the those games that you could be happy either way with the result. If the Dolphins win, the Jets would only be one game out of first place (pending a Thursday victory). Yet, I would still find it hard to believe that New England would have a complete meltdown in the final four games, especially since the Jets need to finish with a better record than them because they don’t have the tie-breaker. I think it is better to root for the Patriots to bury Miami at 5-7, since we also lack a tie breaker with the Dolphins and we overall have a better chance of catching a wild-card team than the Pats. I don’t want Miami hanging around the wild-card race with their sweep of us.

Oakland Raiders (3-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5): I mean, hey the Chiefs beat the Steelers a couple of weeks ago. Why wouldn’t you have faith in Bruce Gradkowski and company heading into Heinz Field against a pissed-off Pittsburgh team? This game could get ugly real quick but you can always root for a miracle.

Denver Broncos (7-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-8): Here is a slightly more realistic upset watch. Kansas City has won 2 of their 3 past three and they are usually tough at home. Beyond that, I am not sold that Denver is all the way back yet. I think they just ran into a crappy, poorly prepared Giants team on Thursday night.

Tennessee Titans (5-6) at Indianapolis Colts (11-0): Even though a Titans win keeps them very much alive in the playoff race, I am still pulling for them against the Colts. We have the tie breaker with Tennessee anyway and beyond that if this Jets playoff pipe dream has a chance they are going to need a win against Indy in week 16 and the only way that is happening if the Colts are resting starters because they aren’t playing for anything. The only way they are playing for something is if they are going for an undefeated season. If there is one team who has a shot to end this perfect season, it is the Titans who are playing as well as anybody in the NFL right now, with Chris Johnson and Vince Young running around on that turf.

Houston Texans (5-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (6-5): You have to be rooting for the Texans here, because if the Jets win they will have the same record as both teams. Beyond that, the Jets don’t have a tie-breaker with Jacksonville but do have one against the Texans. I just hope this game doesn’t come down to a Kris Brown field goal.

Baltimore Ravens (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-4): Let’s go Packers. I feel good about Green Bay winning this game at home against an inconsistent Ravens team.

They Can’t Play This Bad Again Right? Right?!