Ten Ways For the Jets To Win Ten Games

First a few updates:

1. Now that I finished going through the entire AFC East, writing articles about how the Jets match-up against the Bills, Dolphins, and Patriots, I thought I’d share each fan bases respective reactions. When I wrote the articles, I posted a copy of the link in ESPN Message Boards for each team.  Here is what I got:

– Bills fans were by far the most civil, offering a reasonable debate about their team. They disagreed with a few of my statements, but for the most part thought I had a fair analysis of their team.

– Patriots fans offered the most comments, all of which described my low levels of intelligence and general idiocy. Obviously, they are the Patriots and clearly they are going 15-1 and nobody can tell them anything different. I will say that it was my mistake to say the Pats defense is old, because it really isn’t. Two of their linebackers are old, their secondary is young but is simply not very good, and they have a very good d-line.

– Dolphins fans cracked me up the most. They talk like Miami went 16-0 last season and rolled through the playoffs. Yes, they had a nice season in 2008 but remember how they squeaked in the playoffs by beating the Jets by 7 in week 17 and then were humiliated at home 27-9 during wild-card weekend. I got news for you Dolphins fans, you aren’t going to be a 13-3 team. Come back to reality.

– My final view of the AFC East at this point is that the Patriots are the best team and will probably be in the 10-6 to 12-4 range. The other three teams will be battling it out, and all be around .500 at worst. One of those teams will win double digits and give New England a run for the division, will it be Buffalo, Miami, or the Jets? We’ll see. But expect to see the standings that look something like this:

  1. New England: 10-6/11-5
  2. Buf/NYJ/Mia: 10-6/11-5
  3. Buf/NYJ/Mia: 8-8/9-7
  4. Buf/NYJ/Mia: 7-9/-8-8

The Jets are going to have to find a way to win their division games, if they want to be in that #2 slot or maybe even that #1 spot.

Ten Ways For the Jets To Win Ten Games

1. Most Important Position Produces – The Jets aren’t going anywhere unless they have consistent, steady quarterback play. Mark Sanchez or Kellen Clemens don’t need to produce pro-bowl numbers but need to protect the football, hit the occasional big play when the opportunity is there, and overall be an effective game manager.

2. Number Two Receiver Steps Up – It doesn’t matter if it is Chansi Stuckey, Brad Smith, David Clowney or a combination of the three. The Jets need production opposite of Jerricho Cotchery to keep double teams off him and to make their offense harder to defend. I really think Stuckey can be a 60 catch guy in a full time role. The guy caught 32 passes last year despite receiving limited playing time, especially down the stretch. I am hoping Clowney can be the 2009 version of Dedric Ward in 1998. Remember Ward? In 1998, he had 25 receptions for 477 yards (19.1 yards per catch) and 4 touchdowns, all on bombs that put the nail in the coffin in huge games for the Jets.

3. Playmakers Make Plays – I am talking about Dustin Keller and Leon Washington, the Jets two most difficult match-ups. Both of these guys should get more touches on offense this year and need to step up. Keller should be able to be a 65-70 catch guy in this offense. Washington needs more carries and receptions. The only thing that stopped him last year was the Jets coaching staff.

4. Secondary Improvement – Lito Sheppard is going to see a ton of balls thrown at him this year and if he can’t play at the level he did a few years ago, the Jets are going to be in trouble. Jim Leonhard is also entering his first year as a full-time starter and needs to do his job well enough to allow Kerry Rhodes to freelance and make plays. Finally, don’t forget about guys like Donald Strickland, Dwight Lowery, and Eric Smith who will be on the field often against the spread offenses of the Bills and Patriots.

5. The Big Man Stays Healthy – The Jets defense starts and ends with Kris Jenkins. They need him healthy and productive for all 16 games, leading the charge against the run and freeing up Bart Scott and David Harris to make plays. Howard Green and Sione Pouha need to provide adequate relief off the bench to help keep the big guy fresh.

6. Offensive Line Stays Healthy – If Damien Woody, Alan Faneca, Nick Mangold, Brandon Moore, and D’Brickashaw Ferguson can stay healthy for all 16 games, it will go a long towards making the Jets a playoff caliber team.

7. TJ – The Jets need Thomas Jones in 2009. I am not ready to start giving Shonn Greene 20 carries a game. Jones has to be the workhorse he was in 2008, if Rex Ryan wants to win football games his way. Mike Tannenbaum…find a way to compromise with Jones to keep him in green and white for this upcoming season.

8. Pressure – Every great defense needs a strong pass rush. Calvin Pace needs to match his level of play from last season and receive some support from Vernon Gholston and Bryan Thomas. It is sad that as the #6 pick in the draft, Gholston would make Jets fans thrilled if he could just manage 6-8 sacks this year but we’d take it. Thomas needs to play the way he did the first half of last season for the whole year.

9. Revis Keeps Improving – Darrelle Revis is already one of the five best corners in the league but he will have his hands full this year: T.O. twice, Randy Moss twice, Steve Smith, Andre Johnson, Ted Ginn Jr (kidding), Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White. The Jets need him to be a lockdown corner against the elite receivers they face this year.

10. Cotchery Becomes a #1 – Nobody expects a pro-bowl appearance from Jerricho Cotchery but he needs to produce like a number one receiver. 80 catches, 1150 yards, 6-8 touchdowns would be a nice year for him.

Who Will Be the Jets #2 Receiver?

First a few other updates:

1. Leon Washington’s agent, Alvin Keels, is currently in New York meeting with Jets management. Most people seem to believe that a deal is going to get done within the next few days. The sooner Washington is back at practice, the better.

2. Mark Sanchez will likely be receiving some comments from his new teammates about a recently published spread in GQ Magazine. They took the pictures long before he was drafted, but that doesn’t mean Bart Scott and co. won’t be giving him an earful for some of the pictures.

3. NFL.com currently has a few videos of Brian Baldinger touring the Jets new facility. The place looks unbelievable. Tony Richardson led him through the locker room and made a few funny comments about the size of Bart Scott’s new contract, Brett Favre having two lockers last year, and Mark Sanchez being “new money” for the team. Baldinger also watched some film with Brian Schottenheimer on Kellen Clemens and Sanchez. Back in 2007, you forget the potential Clemens showed in certain games, especially Baltimore and Washington. However, Sanchez looks lights out running that pro-style USC offense.

4. NBA Conference Finals Predictions: Nuggets in 7 – The Lakers aren’t hungry enough to get past Denver. Cavs in 6 – Cleveland will finally lose a game but not a series.

Who Will Be the Jets #2 Receiver?

One of the Jets biggest questions heading into this season is, who will start opposite Jerricho Cotchery at the wide receiver position? Most of us are assuming it will be more of a committee approach, with the reps being divided up between a few different players. Also, Dustin Keller and Leon Washington could very well end up becoming more frequent targets than any of those players competing at the receiver spot. Outside of Cotchery, here is a closer look at who will be battling it out for reps at wide-out:

Brad Smith

Pros: Size (6’2), Speed, Versatility, Experience

Cons: Hands, Route Running, Lack of Production

Smith was the Jets fourth round pick in 2006. A college quarterback, Smith transitioned to receiver while also getting reps at both quarterback and running back. In his rookie year, Smith had 9 catches for 81 yards and 18 carries for 103 yards, with zero touchdowns. He developed a niche on special teams, as one of the best players on the Jets punt and kickoff units. In 2007, Smith saw extended time because of injuries to Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Cotchery but struggled with dropped passes and inconsistency. He finished 2007, with 32 catches for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns. In 2008, he was quiet outside of the Oakland game, where he made a few key catches and had a big run on a reverse. His final stats last year was 12 catches for 64 yards and 12 carries for 113 yards. Rex Ryan has raved about his potential, which he usually flashes in practice but admitted it’s time “for him to step up.”

Chansi Stuckey

Pros: Hands, Quickness, Production

Cons: Size, Durability

Stuckey was the Jets sixth round pick in 2007 but missed the entire season with a foot injury. Last year, he had a strong training camp and grabbed the #3 receiver spot. Stuckey started off the year strong, catching a touchdown in the Jets first three games, but for some reason saw his reps decline as the season went on. However, he was productive for the reps he had and finished with 32 catches for 359 yards, including numerous clutch third down receptions. Personally, I feel Stuckey is an ideal slot/#3 receiver, but he may end up taking over the as the other starter if Smith or David Clowney don’t step up.

David Clowney

Pros: Speed, Potential

Cons: Experience, Durability

David Clowney came out of nowhere to have a monster pre-season last year, but unfortunately broke his collar bone before the regular season started. People within the organization are excited by his big play potential (he had two 60+ yard touchdown receptions in one pre-season game last year) and are anxious to see what he can do with more reps this year. For some reason, Eric Mangini barely played Clowney when he was healthy last year. On the only ball thrown to him, he made a spectacular one-handed catch for a 26 yard gain. Clowney has had injury problems in his short career and it remains to be seen, whether he can handle being a full time player. He reminds me a little bit of Dedric Ward, who was a home run hitter for the Jets in 1998, catching 4 touchdowns of 40 yards or more. Hopefully, Clowney can make a similar impact this year.