Jets vs. Patriots Round 1: 12 Pack of Predictions

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1. Darrelle Revis’ hamstring doesn’t sound like it is going to be an issue on Sunday. Brodney Pool is listed as questionable and could be a game time decision.

Jets vs. Patriots Round 1: 12 Pack of Predictions

It wasn’t pretty for TOJ in week one in our 12 pack of predictions, let’s see if we can bounce back in week two with both our Jets and NFL picks:

1. The Jets are going to be looking to restore some confidence in Shonn Greene early in the game. I expect a heavy dose of #23 in the first quarter, as the Jets attempt to get him rolling.

2. Along a similar line, expect a couple of short, safe throws (slants or hitches) to Braylon Edwards on the first or second drive to get him into the flow of the game. He needs to get a couple of catches under his belt early to get going, if he is going to have a big game.

3. No matter what approach the Jets take towards Wes Welker, he is going to rack up catches. The key is going to be limiting his yards after the catch and not letting him consistently beat them on third down. I think the Jets defense will do a halfway decent job and hold Welker to something along the lines of 7-8 catches for 75-80 yards.

4. Inactives – Calvin Pace, Patrick Brown, Vladimir Ducasse, Kellen Clemens, Joe McKnight, Jeff Cumberland, Howard Green, Kenwin Cummings

5. Mark Sanchez will play more aggressive (there is no way he can play any less aggressive) which will benefit the Jets by producing more yards and points but hurt them because he will throw his first (and maybe second) interception of the season at some point.

6. The Jets will bring in David Clowney to send him off on a few fly routes as a decoy. If the Jets go up top, it better be to Braylon Edwards or Dustin Keller down the seam.

7. Jerricho Cotchery always…always kills the Patriots, so while I think Edwards will get going early, it will be Cotchery who is the primary go to guy throughout the game.

8. New England will recognize early they can’t run the ball on the Jets and embrace being completely one dimensional on offense. Expect a ton of spread sets with Aaron Hernandez, Rob Gronkowski, and Brandon Tate getting plenty of playing time.

9. The Jets won’t be as aggressive coming after the quarterback, as they recognize the need to roll coverage wherever Darrelle Revis isn’t. You won’t be seeing a ton of Kyle Wilson in one on one situations, unless it is against Brandon Tate or one of the tight ends.

10. LaDainian Tomlinson will be productive as long as the Jets keep his touches in the 10-15 range.

11. Darrelle Revis will do what he usually does when he covers Randy Moss, yet if Moss gets a crack at Antonio Cromartie…expect to see some yellow on the field.

12. I will pick the Jets against the spread (+4.5) but I am not picking them to win this game. They didn’t show enough last week to make me believe they could score enough points to beat the Patriots. I think the defense will be up to the task for the second week in row and while I think the offense will improve, they won’t do quite enough to secure a victory. I am taking New England 20-17…prove me wrong, Sanchez. Greene and Schottenheimer.

Other NFL Picks (Lines from Bet US)

  • Kansas City (+1) vs. Cleveland
  • Green Bay (-14) vs. Buffalo
  • Baltimore (-3.5) vs. Cincinnati
  • Pittsburgh (+6) vs. Tennessee
  • Detroit (+7.5) vs. Philadelphia
  • Tampa Bay (+4) vs. Carolina
  • Atlanta (-7) vs. Arizona
  • Dallas (-7.5) vs. Chicago
  • Minnesota (-6.5) vs. Miami
  • Oakland (-3.5) vs. St. Louis
  • Seattle (+3) vs. Denver
  • Houston (-4) vs. Washington
  • San Diego (-7) vs. Jacksonville
  • Jets (+4.5) vs. New England
  • Indy (-6) vs. Giants
  • New Orleans (-7) vs. San Francisco

Some OCNN/Droid Love

TOJ recently moved into the 21st century by trading in his flip phone for a Droid, which enables me to constantly express my Jets frustration through Twitter and Facebook, hence why I have no problem with the following plug for Motorola and their work with Darrelle Revis and OCNN:

Throughout the preseason, and expected to continue throughout the regular season, Revis and the OCNN team will continue their insider coverage of hot news and tips. Being backed by Motorola, they athletes/new-age-journalists are provided with access to the latest and greatest Motorola devices starting with the wildly popular Droid X, which will allow these stars to break news across multiple platforms.  With an HD camcorder and integrated social media networks, they can go anywhere and swiftly issue high quality reports.  In addition, the DROID X will allow photo sharing on numerous online mediums which will give fans an inside perspective to wherever these players go.

Jets vs. Patriots Round 1: First Look

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1. The Jets have signed defensive tackle Howard Green, to help fill the gap left by Kris Jenkins. Green was a decent role player for the Jets last season.

2. In a somewhat surprising move, the Jets cut WR/RB Danny Woodhead and brought back David Clowney. Why would the Jets sign a vertical threat at receiver when they never throw the ball over 5 yards?

The Opponent: The defending AFC East champions and bitter rival of the Jets, New England is coming off a very, very impressive 38-24 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals. Despite questions about their running game and youth on defense, the Patriots are equipped to have arguably the best passing offense in the NFL. Tom Brady isn’t coming off major surgery anymore, Wes Welker looks 100 percent back from his injury, rookie tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski have been impressive, along with second year receiver Brandon Tate, and of course there is that Moss guy. However, New England can be beat through the air and did allow Carson Palmer to throw for 345 yards last week. Unfortunately, it appears the Jets haven’t mastered the forward pass yet.

New England Starters/Key Reserves

OFFENSE

  • Quarterback: Tom Brady – 25/35, 258 yards, 3 TDs
  • Running Back: Fred Taylor – 14 carries, 71 yards
  • Running Back: Kevin Faulk – 3 carries, 23 yards
  • Running Back: Sammy Morris – 1 carry, 2 yards
  • Running Back: BenJarvus Green-Ellis – 5 carries, 22 yards
  • Wide Receiver: Randy Moss – 5 receptions, 59 yards
  • Wide Receiver: Wes Welker – 8 receptions, 64 yards, 2 TDs
  • Wide Receiver: Brandon Tate – 4 receptions, 36 yards
  • Tight End: Aaron Hernandez – 1 reception, 45 yards
  • Tight End: Rob Gronkowski – 1 reception, 1 yard, 1 TD
  • Left Tackle: Matt Light
  • Left Guard: Dan Connolly
  • Center: Dan Koppen
  • Right Guard: Stephen Neal
  • Right Tackle: Sebastian Vollmer

DEFENSE

  • Defensive End: Gerard Warren
  • Nose Tackle: Vince Wilfork – 3 tackles
  • Defensive End: Mike Wright
  • Outside Linebacker: Rob Ninkovich – 4 tackles
  • Inside Linebacker: Gary Guyton – 2 tackles, 1 INT
  • Inside Linebacker: Jerod Mayo – 12 tackles
  • Outside Linebacker: Tully Banta-Cain – 2 tackles, .5 sacks
  • Corner: Devin McCourty – 5 tackles
  • Corner: Darius Butler – 8 tackles
  • Safety: Patrick Chung – 16 tackles
  • Safety: Brandon Merriweather – 7 tackles

SPECIAL TEAMS

  • Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski – 1/3 FGs
  • Punter: Zoltan Mesko – 43 yards per punt
  • Kick Return: Brandon Tate – 46.0 per return, 1 TD
  • Punt Return: Brandon Tate – 1 for 4 yards

PhotobucketKey PlayersWes Welker has killed the Jets every time he has played against them. They might have Darrelle Revis to stop Randy Moss, but they need somebody else to stop Welker…how about a double team, Rex? Jerod Mayo is New England’s top linebacker and Vince Wilfork is a monster at nose tackle. Tom Brady is obviously Tom Brady.

Injuries – The Jets will still be without Calvin Pace, while Sione Pouha steps in the starting lineup for the rest of 2010 for Kris Jenkins. Brodney Pool should be back at safety. Julian Edelman missed week one with a foot injury.

Key Storylines – Must win for the Jets to avoid falling 0-2 and two games behind the Patriots…Darrelle Revis vs. Randy Moss…Can Mark Sanchez, Brian Schottenheimer and the Jets offense figure out how to get a first down…Who will stop Wes Welker.

Highlights of Patriots Week One Win

TV Critic: Hard Knocks Episode #5

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Thoughts on the final episode of Hard Knocks…

1. The most interesting parts of the episode clearly were centered on the Revis holdout. I am glad we got some footage of Rex blowing up at his agents and saw the process of the decision to fly down to Fort Lauderdale. Great stuff on the ending but let’s see if Revis Island is truly back.

2. Jason Davis? Obviously wasn’t the happiest camper out there. I wonder if he will surface with another team this year.

3. I don’t think we will be seeing David Clowney back anytime soon. If the Jets add another receiver after week one, it would likely be Laveranues Coles. If you can’t impress on special teams, you aren’t making the roster as a receiver behind Jerricho Cotchery, Santonio Holmes, and Braylon Edwards.

4. I would love to see Joe McKnight get bumped down to the IR with an “injury” and Chauncey Washington moved to the 53 man roster. I don’t want to see McKnight get hurt but the Jets have put players on the IR in the past for storage purposes when a serious injury really hasn’t taken place.

5. Congrats to Danny Woodhead who 100 percent earned his spot.

6. Woody Johnson sounded pretty dead set against budging on Revis after week two or contemplating trading him after the season. I think some of the Rex swag has rubbed off on him.

7. It has been an entertaining August and really an entertaining entire off-season for that matter, yet how long does it feel like it has been since the Colts knocked the Jets out of the playoffs last January? It has been an eternity waiting to watch this hyped up team on the field in a meaningful game. They have a hell of a chance right out of the gate to make a statement against a team that is supposed to be a legit Super Bowl contender. It is only one game, but let’s protect our new stadium and open it, the way we closed it.

Thoughts On Jets 53 Man Roster…As Of Right Now

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View the Jets current depth chart here http://turnonthejets.com/2009-depth-chart/

Obviously, there could be some changes in the upcoming days but for now…

The biggest surprises on the final 53

  • CB Brian Jackson – Benefits from the Revis holdout and Rex Ryan’s desire to carry as many corners as possible at all times. He also played well in the final pre-season game.
  • RB Chauncey Washington – A distant longshot when camp started but earned his spot through his tough inside running and solid special teams play.
  • TE Jeff Cumberland – Surprising the Jets carried four tight ends but they clearly love his potential.

Weird Numbers Game

  • The Jets are carrying seven running backs and only four receivers (until Santonio Holmes returns in week five). However, they can do this because Danny Woodhead can play running back and receiver.
  • Four tight ends, as previously mentioned, is somewhat rare.
  • Only six defensive lineman, not too shocking considering the Jets run a 3-4 and how much Ryan loves defensive backs.

Don’t Get Too Comfortable

  • Brian Jackson, Chaucney Washington, and David Clowney could all be victimized by either the end to the Darrelle Revis contract dispute or the return of Santonio Holmes in week five. Also, I’d be surprised if Mike Tannenbaum didn’t find somebody off another roster before the season starts.

Enjoy Your Labor Day Weekend

Jets Weekend Video Clips & Roster Observations

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First a brief TOJ schedule update:

  • Saturday – Thoughts on final roster and depth chart
  • Monday – 100 Predictions about the Jets season
  • Tuesday – 2010 NFL Predictions
  • Wednesday – Initial thoughts on Jets/Ravens and week in 1 in NFL
  • Thursday – New TOJ TV/Something else
  • Friday – Jets vs. Ravens Game Breakdown
  • Saturday – Jets vs. Ravens prediction
  • Sunday – Final notes on Jets on Ravens
  • Monday – Thoughts on week one of NFL and final thoughts on Jets/Ravens

Thoughts on the Jets recent round of cuts –

– To be honest, there was absolutely no surprises. The only player I was disappointed to see leave is receiver Larry Taylor. Hopefully, he can stick on the Jets practice squad or get another chance next season. Danny Woodhead and David Clowney are widely being reported as having roster spots locked down. Unfortunately, Joe McKnight will make the 53 man roster because he was a fourth round pick. It will be a damn shame if Chauncey Washington gets bumped off because of the lackadaisical and soft McKnight. Washington is the kind of player who could actually contribute in some situations and fits well with the Jets ground and pound approach. He provides quality depth and showed he can play on special teams. Hopefully, he sticks on the final 53 even if it means the Jets keep six running backs.

Jets Weekend Video Clips

Welcome to the bench, Brandon Jacobs…it’s a hard knock life, right?

Now, Let’s Get Some Snacks

I Hear You, Random Sports Report Girl

Come Back, Leon

What Darrelle Revis Will Be Doing While The Jets Battle For An AFC East and Super Bowl Title

Could We Be Electric Gliding More Than Expected This Year?

Look at LT go…and Rex talking that smack on the field

Outdated, But Still Hysterical

Thank God The Pre-Season Is Over: Jets Beat Eagles 21-17

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I think everybody can sympathize with me when I say “Thank god, the pre-season is over.” It wasn’t the prettiest of games tonight but hear is a quick recap:

Joe McKnight doesn’t deserve a spot on the Jets 53 man roster. He is going to get one because the Jets spent a fourth round pick on him but the guy has been terrible this August, simply terrible. He lost three fumbles, including another one tonight that went back for a touchdown. He doesn’t hit the hole hard and runs timid. The guy is more scared of contact than Kerry Rhodes…no wonder he wears #25. Chauncey Washington ran the football the way it is supposed to be run tonight with 56 tough yards on 12 carries. He earned a spot on this roster. Danny Woodhead added 45 yards and a touchdown. He earned a spot on this roster.

Don’t give me any BS standing up for McKnight either. Go back and watch the highlight of his reaction after he fumbled tonight. Look at the way he didn’t go after the ball and look how he hung his head, this guy has been a disaster. The Jets made an absolute mistake by parting ways with Leon Washington and drafting McKnight.

The numbers aren’t going to show it but Kellen Clemens still looked better than Mark Brunell tonight and I am still adamant in my belief that Clemens should be the number two quarterback.

Great night for Matt Kroul who locked himself down a roster spot with two sacks. Vernon Gholston had another active night and clinched the game with a bone crunching sack. I was also impressed with Brian “King Ugly” Jackson. I don’t know if he can stick on the 53 man roster but he could be a good practice squad candidate. Similar to Jackson, Larry Taylor flashed a few times but is probably destined for the practice squad.

In the end, it wasn’t the most exciting pre-season in Jets history. I am just happy it is over.

Bring on the Ravens.

Jets vs. Eagles "Backup Bowl" – What To Watch For

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1. Mark Brunell is a whopping 5/13 for 23 yards with a lost fumble this pre-season. Why is he the primary backup to Mark Sanchez again? I have said it 1,000 times this August and I will say it again, Kellen Clemens should be the #2. I hope Clemens puts together a final push tonight and claims his rightful spot on the depth chart.

2. Considering the play of Danny Woodhead and Chauncey Washington this pre-season. Is there a chance the Jets might put Joe McKnight on the practice squad? He certainly hasn’t played like he deserves a spot on the 53 man roster and is in desperate need of a strong performance tonight.

3. Larry Taylor and David Clowney will both be battling for one of the final 53 roster spots. Clowney needs to flash on special teams, which he has been inconsistent on this pre-season. Taylor is an easy guy to root for who appears to be a favorite of special teams coordinator Mike Westhoff, which certainly doesn’t hurt his chances.

4. Vernon Gholston is going to get plenty of time tonight, including a good share of the reps at outside linebacker since Calvin Pace, Jason Taylor, and Bryan Thomas won’t be playing. Hopefully, Gholston continues his strong pre-season and can drop Mike Vick a few times.

5. Keep making those field goals, Nick Folk.

6. Santonio Holmes should be running circles around the Eagles backups tonight. Of course, he needs a quarterback who can get the ball into his hands.

7. How about Matt Slauson doesn’t allow a sack tonight? It would go a long way to making all of us feel better about Mark Sanchez’z safety in 2010.

8. I am looking for Jamaal Westerman to make a strong case that he deserves a good chunk of the reps Calvin Pace would play until he returns from injury.

New Episode Coming This Wednesday

Monday Night Jets Roster Thoughts

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A few comments on the recent roster developments…

First off, I can’t say I disagree with the decision to release Laveranues Coles. The Jets are better off giving his roster spot to a young player, who can contribute on special teams. David Clowney is the obvious favorite to stick on the roster as the number five receiver, but don’t be shocked if Danny Woodhead or Larry Taylor bump him off if they can put together strong performances Thursday against Philadelphia.

I am not crazy about keeping four tight ends. Clearly, the Jets are very high on Jeff Cumberland. Yet, why not just stash him on the practice squad this year, let him develop a little more as a blocker and hope he can become the number two tight next year? I can’t see many scenarios when Cumberland will be active on Sundays. I just don’t think he has shown enough this pre-season to merit a spot on the 53 man roster.

It is a wise decision to keep Tony Richardson and John Conner. Let Conner get a full season working off the bench and soaking up as much information as possible from Richardson. The Jets need Richardson’s veteran presence in the huddle. Both of these guys will be active on a weekly basis, while we may not be able to say the same for Joe McKnight.

PhotobucketIt sounds like Kellen Clemens is going to make the final roster, which should have been a no-brainer. Clemens should be the #2 quarterback. Mark Brunell has done absolutely nothing this pre-season. He will get the starting nod this Thursday and if Clemens outplays him again, how could the Jets keep him as the number two quarterback?

I think the Jets can survive without the addition of Adalius Thomas. Yes, it would be nice for depth purposes but I like what I have seen from Jamaal Westerman this pre-season and think he can adequately spell Jason Taylor. I also think, similar to last year, Bryan Thomas can handle most of Pace’s regular responsibilities. We’ll see how Vernon Gholston looks when he drops back to outside linebacker occasionally on Thursday. Yet, I would hate to see the progress he has been making at defensive end go to waste. He has actually looked like he could be a capable part of the line rotation in 2010.

TOJ TV?

Jets vs. Redskins: What We Need To See

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First a few updates:

1. There is a ton of buzz about the Jets depth chart, which was displayed on Hard Knocks last night. What we saw is still subject to change, especially after the upcoming two pre-season games. However, a few comments :

  • It is a joke if Kellen Clemens gets cut to keep Kevin O’Connell on the roster. It is bad enough that Mark Brunell is being handed the backup job, when he doesn’t deserve it over Clemens but to keep O’Connell on the roster over Clemens is insane. O’Connell has been awful this pre-season, while Clemens has been the Jets best second quarterback.
  • It is a wise decision by the Jets to keep Tony Richardson on the roster. He is a valuable veteran to have in the offensive huddle, especially with Thomas Jones and Alan Faneca no longer around.
  • I wouldn’t be surprised if the Jets changed their mind about keeping four tight ends. It makes more sense to put a guy like Jeff Cumberland on the practice squad and keep a Danny Woodhead, Chauncey Washington, David Clowney, or Lance Laury on the active roster.
  • The Jets may have to look at roster cuts from another team to fill that sixth defensive lineman spot.

Jets vs. Redskins: What We Need To See

The third pre-season game provides the most extended look at a team’s starters, while the fourth pre-season game is for sorting out the final roster spots. Unfortunately, the Jets defense won’t really be tested tomorrow considering Donovan McNabb won’t be playing, and the geriatric collection of running backs and receivers the Redskins have. However, Washington usually runs out a solid defense, which will provide a good test for a Jets offense that needs a bounce-back performance after an ugly showing in Carolina.

PhotobucketMark Sanchez needs to demonstrate the accuracy he displayed against the Giants in the pre-season opener, while continuing to spread the ball around. It appears that Brad Smith is going to primarily be the number three receiver until Santonio Holmes returns from suspension, unless Laveranues Coles can have a head turning performance tomorrow night. Sanchez and Dustin Keller have displayed good chemistry all summer and he looks in sync with Jerricho Cotchery, like he was last season. However, Sanchez hasn’t connected with Santonio Holmes yet in a pre-seaosn game. I want to see them connect a few times in August, considering they won’t be playing together again until October 11th. Finally, the Jets haven’t hit on a deep ball. How about a downfield completion to Braylon Edwards from Sanchez, and a bomb from Mark Brunell to David Clowney?

Speaking of Brunell and Clowney, they are two players who need a strong performance tomorrow night. Clowney is on the verge of being cut and of course losing his “Mr. August” title. Brunell has done nothing to inspire confidence as being the number two quarterback. Hopefully he can actually string together a few completions and move the Jets offense a little bit.

I am interested to see the division of reps between Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson. Greene has been solid this August, but I’d like to see him get 9 – 11 carries and get rolling a little bit. LT will be looking to continue to build on a strong August. Danny Woodhead and Chauncey Washington will be battling for a roster spot in the fourth quarter, while Joe McKnight continues his quest to stop every Jets fan from disliking him and wanting Leon Washington back.

I don’t buy the left guard competition anymore. Let’s just see Matt Slauson go three quarters without a holding penalty or allowing a snack.

On defense, I would like to see Kyle Wilson be tested a little bit. Yet, I don’t think Rex Grossman and Joey Galloway are up to the challenge. We can only hope that Dwight Lowery and Drew Coleman build on what they did last week and aren’t beat like a drum by the Redskins reserves. Also, how about a Jason Taylor sighting? I am not sure I have heard a single word about our former enemy this August making any kind of impact on defense. Yes, Taylor is a veteran and pacing himself but at least a quarterback pressure would be nice.

Beyond that, Vernon Gholston needs to keep up his surprisingly high level of play. Kris Jenkins needs to stay healthy and I’d like to see Brodney Pool flash a little more out there.

Nick Folk…just keep pretending it is 2007.

New TOJ TV

TV Critic: Hard Knocks Episode #3

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Thoughts on episode #3

1. I could watch Mike Westhoff coach all day. It sure looks like David Clowney is far from a lock to make the roster. I understand the guy’s frustration about not being part of the offense but he has to find a niche on special teams to stick around. Westhoff was pretty hard on Brashton Satele but coaches have no tolerance for injured players. Poor TJ Conley by the way.

2. Good to see Matt Slauson and Matt Kroul go at it with each other…a couple of hungry players who are anxious to prove themselves. Kroul is going to become a bigger part of the Jets defensive line rotation with the season ending injury to Ropati Pitoitua, which was a real shame because you got the impression he was ready to become a consistent contributor to the Jets defense.

3. “Boy, don’t get indifferent with me” — Welcome to the NFL rookie, Brian Jackson (King Ugly). You hsve to appreciate the rookie hazing when it is due. You know you aren’t getting away when Kris Jenkins has you in the bear hug.

4. If you could give some of Danny Woodhead and Larry Taylor’s attitude to Joe McKnight…the Jets would be on to something with their fourth round pick. It is hard not to root for guys like Woodhead and Taylor.

5. Rookie night? Fond memories…I had to sing “Total Eclipse of the Heart” in front of the whole team my freshman year of college.

6. Where was the Jets version of “The Decision” with Darrelle Revis? I am still confident #24 will sign a new contract by the end of the week. Perhaps if I say it enough times, it will come true.

7. Good to see Schotty get going a little bit, as he should have after that ugly performance by the Jets offense. I love the passion Rex Ryan has on the sideline, especially his reaction after the hit by Chauncey Washington, who Ryan seems to be taking a liking to. The guy runs hard and all of a sudden could have a chance to sneak on the roster. Beyond that, I love how competitive he is by keeping the number twos in to make sure the Jets still won a pre-season game.

8. I was loving that ending montage with the Jets coming back to Florham Park.

Your Hard Knocks Parody