Two Days Can Change Plenty: Wednesday Jets Draft Predictions

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First a few updates:

1. If you didn’t read Rex Ryan’s transcript from his conference call with reporters yesterday, go check it out at (http://www.newyorkjets.com/news/articles/show/3662-rex-s-tuesday-conference-call) …always an entertaining read to hear from Rex, who speaks about the schedule, Jason Taylor, and trade rumors.

2. Peter King has the Jets taking Jahvid Best in his mock draft. Really? There is no way that is happening.

3. Rich Cimini has moved on from running his popular blog The Jets Stream and being the Daily News beat writer to work for ESPN New York. First off, I am pissed at ESPN New York is hiring every other writer in the area but me, second off Daily News, come find me.

4. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook…I don’t have some clever reason today, but just do it.

5. It is being reported that Vernon Gholston will be moving to defensive end next year to back up Shaun Ellis. This move makes sense because Gholston was going to be getting no playing time at outside linebacker with Calvin Pace, Bryan Thomas, and Jason Taylor rolling through. The Jets are thin on the defensive line so hopefully Gholston can bulk up and become an adequate backup…great expectations for the number 6 pick in the draft, right?

6. The Jets are shopping Kellen Clemens…good luck getting a draft pick for him.

Two Days Can Change Plenty: Wednesday Jets Draft Predictions

On Monday I wrote about potential prospects the Jets could be taking in round one at #29, including the likelihood of certain popular players associated with the team to end up in green and white. Yet in a matter of two days things have already shifted, changing the complexion of round one for the Jets. Jason Taylor has been officially signed to play outside linebacker and rumors are swirling that the Jets are looking to trade veteran guard Alan Faneca. With the draft a little over 24 hours away, here are a few things to consider when looking at the Jets in round one:

The Jets interest level in Idaho guard Mike Iupati and Florida center Maurkice Pouncey (who the Jets would slide to guard) obviously increases if they are planning to make a move on Faneca. The only problem is that both players are shooting up the draft board and could be long gone by number 29. Would the Jets trade up for either player? It depends how serious they are about moving Faneca and whether they consider Matt Slauson, Robert Turner, or Wayne Hunter to be adequate in-house replacements. Regardless, Iupati and Pouncey are two names to keep an eye on, especially if either starts sliding into the 20s.

With Jason Taylor on board, I wouldn’t expect the Jets to make any type of move up in the draft to grab Brandon Graham or Sergio Kindle. Both players would be great value at #29 so it isn’t out of the realm of possibility for the Jets to still take either of them or TCU’s Jerry Hughes at that spot. Yet, the likelihood of seeing any other these three players in green and white has decreased from the beginning of the week. Ricky Sapp could still remain a viable option in round two.

Despite Vernon Gholston moving to defensive end, it still remains a high priority for the Jets. Jared Odrick, Everson Griffen, and Terrence Cody all still remain high on the Jets radar. Devin McCourty is still a very real possibility at #29 also. Most people would question McCourty as an option for the Jets initially but remember Rex Ryan loves corners and the Jets nickel back plays about 50 percent of the defensive snaps. I doubt the Jets are comfortable with Dwight Lowery in the nickel role and Drew Coleman at dime back. McCourty could also contribute right away on all the Jets special teams units in coverage and as a returner.

PhotobucketIt is being reported Dallas in love with Texas safety Earl Thomas. The Cowboys are picking at #22 and there are rumors they could trade up to insure getting him. If the Jets really want Thomas, they are likely going to have to leap somewhere around 15 spots to get him, which is going to be costly. Taylor Mays’ name keeps getting thrown around for the Jets at #29. Please…Please…Please, stay away from this guy Mike Tannenbaum. He is Vernon Gholston 2.0 at safety. If you can’t get the safety you want in round one, look at Nate Allen from USF in round two.

 Here are my current thoughts on what could happen tomorrow:

Potential Trades:

  1. Jets Trade Up For Earl Thomas (Likely in 14-17 range) – 15%
  2. Jets Trade Up For Brandon Graham/Sergio Kindle (Likely in the 15-22 range) – 15%
  3. Jets Trade Up For Mike Iupati – (Likely in 14-17 range) – 25%
  4. Jets Trade Up For Maurkice Pouncey – (Likely in 21-25 range) – 30%
  5. Jets Trade Back Into Round Two, Target Ricky Sapp and Nate Allen With Their Two Picks – 30%

Staying Put At #29

  1. Jets get Jared Odrick – 35%
  2. Jets get Jerry Hughes – 35%
  3. Jets get Everson Griffen – 40%
  4. Jets get Terrence Cody – 40%
  5. Jets get Devin McCourty – 40%

TOJ TV Throwback Week Continues With A Mash-Up Video (starting at 1:26)  of Gloating To Jets Haters About Their Wild-Card Win

Monday Night Jets Draft Thoughts

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First a few updates:

1. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook…Because you want those updates on Facebook and Twitter Thursday night with my thoughts on the draft.

2. Somewhat quiet news day for the Jets…still waiting on a Jason Taylor decision which could be coming in the next two days…Beyond that, it looks like it is time to sit tight and wait for Mike Tannenbaum to make moves on draft weekend.

3. The NFL schedule is coming out tomorrow at 7 PM. I want Miami on opening night. Santonio or no Santonio, let’s get Brandon Marshall his new apartment on Revis Island bright and early this year.

4. I couldn’t agree more with Quentin Richardson about Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett putting on the acting clinic occasionally and I am glad to see Garnett was suspended for game 2, you can’t be throwing elbows around like that.

Monday Night Jets Draft Thoughts

A collection of scattered draft thoughts that could impact the Jets

– There has been more and more talk about the Jets considering a corner in the first round, with Devin McCourty’s name consistently being linked to the team. McCourty was a popular selection for the Jets in mock drafts prior to the Antonio Cromartie trade but he could still be a good fit for the Jets in a nickel role and on special teams (where they need help, as I documented yesterday). Mike Tannenbaum constantly talks about how much Rex Ryan loves his corners and there is no way he is satisfied with Dwight Lowery and Drew Coleman as his #3 and #4 guys so I wouldn’t be shocked if the Jets pulled the trigger on McCourty if the board breaks a certain way.

– When I say the board breaks a certain way, I mean that if there isn’t a defensive lineman or outside linebacker the Jets really like available at #29. In that scenario you could see McCourty at 29 and then the Jets look to make a move for somebody like Ricky Sapp in round two.

– You would have to think if Jared Odrick is there at #29 the Jets will absolutely take him. However, I am not sure if they like him enough to trade up for him if he begins to slide into the low 20s. Odrick isn’t a flashy player but he would be a solid, safe addition to the Jets defensive line and improve their overall depth. He would likely start opposite at Shaun Ellis at end but has the ability to slide inside down the road when Big Jenkins eventually moves on.

Photobucket Another player who I didn’t mention yesterday, who has often been associated with the Jets is USC defensive end Everson Griffen. I don’t think Griffen is as versatile as Odrick but he would be a good fit at end.

– If Jason Taylor can’t make up his mind before the draft, it obviously increases the likelihood the Jets would take a player like Jerry Hughes. Sergio Kindle and Brandon Graham probably aren’t falling within the Jets range but if either got down to 24-26, Tannenbaum could get itchy to move up a few spots.

– The only “big” move I could see the Jets make is trading up for Texas safety Earl Thomas, who in my mind would be a steal at any spot after #15. You know Rex Ryan wants his Ed Reed for the Jets defense and since Kerry Rhodes clearly didn’t fit the bill, maybe the big fella will be pushing for a move to get Thomas.

– When it comes to the Jets divisional opponents. I am hoping Dez Bryant is long gone before the Patriots pick. We don’t need that guy teaming up with Randy Moss and Wes Welker when he returns. I am hoping Buffalo takes Tim Tebow at some point (even they aren’t dumb enough to take him at #9 but they could move up to the bottom of round one or the top of round two) with the thought he is the answer at quarterback. Don’t get me wrong I think Tebow will be a valuable player on a NFL roster but I just don’t think he will develop into a franchise quarterback.

– Finally, as of today here is what I am thinking for the Jets in round one:

  • Most Exciting Potential Move – Trade up for Earl Thomas
  • Best Player They Could Get At #29 – Jared Odrick
  • Second Best Player They Could Get At #29 – Jerry Hughes
  • Sleeper Pick – Devin McCourty
  • Most Likely – Everson Griffen or Hughes

Welcome to TOJ TV Throwback Week: Starting With My Reaction To The Jets Loss To The Bills This Past Season

Five Saturday Thoughts On Who The Jets Could Draft

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First a few updates:

1. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook because you need me to sort out all the top Jets links on a daily basis and throw in my witty commentary on them.

2. I know we haven’t been too crazy with the draft coverage here at TOJ. Honestly, the draft loses a little interest when your team is picking at #29 and isn’t linked to rumors about trading up for a big name. However, here are a few things we have on the horizon. First off, the second edition of the Fanball Mock Draft is currently going on and the Jets pick is coming up soon. Second, S Gato and myself will be recording the first ever TOJ Podcast edition next week, which will include plenty of draft coverage. Third, during round one of the NFL Draft next Thursday night, I will be live blogging (actually just twittering/updating the facebook page) throughout the entire first round with my thoughts, culminating with my reaction on the Jets pick at #29. Also on April 26th, I will be writing a AFC East Draft Wrap Up for Fanball, which I will link up here.

3. Apparently Mark Brunell is all about signing with the Jets…who isn’t these days? While on the other hand, Kellen Clemens has been brooding a little bit about likely spending the rest of his career as a backup. Unfortunately, any fatih anybody had left in Clemens as a competent starter in the NFL was erased last year when he looked erratic as hell against the Bills and Bucs. If the Jets want Brunell they will have to wait until July 23rd to sign him if Jason Taylor ends up joining the team because of the Final Eight rules. It isn’t until that date the restrictions are lifted off them in their pursuit of free agents.

Five Saturday Thoughts On The Jets Defense

1. Rich Cimini recently threw around the names of some pass rushers the Jets could add to their defense via the draft if the Jason Taylor deal doesn’t end up getting done. He mentions Brandon Graham (Michigan), Sergio Kindle (Texas), and Jerry Hughes (TCU). Here is a little more information on the three of them (Courtesy of www.nfldraftscout.com):

  • Graham – Ranked #1 Outside Linebacker…6’2, 268 pounds…26 TFLs and 10.5 sacks in 2009…Senior Bowl MVP (2 sacks, 1 forced fumble)…Projected Mid 1st round to early second round.
  • Kindle – Ranked #2 Outside Linebacker…6’3, 250 pounds…17 TFLs, 3 sacks in 2009 (2.5 sacks in national championship game)…Projected Mid 1st round to early second round.
  • Hughes – Ranked as #4 Outside Linebacker…6’2, 255 pounds…11.5 sacks in 2009…Projected Mid 1st round to early second round…Ran 4.65 40 yard dash.

2. Other names that have been frequently linked to the Jets on the defensive side of the ball are Jared Odrick of Penn State and Ricky Sapp of Clemson. Odrick is a defensive lineman whose stock has been rising. He is listed as a defensive tackle but you would think the Jets would look to use him at defensive end in their system with Jenkins and Pouha rotating at NT. Sapp is an outside linebacker who is considered a solid second round prospect and could be somebody the Jets trade back for if they don’t like what they see at #29. Mel Kiper Jr. also recently had the Jets taking USC defensive end Everson Griffen in his mock draft, so he could be another guy to keep an eye on. He is 6’3, 280 pounds, and recorded 7 sacks last season.

Photobucket3. On offense, it remains a pipe dream of mine that somehow Dez Bryant will slip within to reach of the Jets. Don’t you think Mike Tannenbaum would get a little anxious if Bryant was available at say #20, with the Patriots picking at #22? I would hate to see that guy opposite Randy Moss with Wes Welker eventually back in the slot. There hasn’t been a ton of talk recently about the Jets and other receivers but if the defensive player they want isn’t available at #29 and somebody like Golden Tate or Demaryius Thomas is around, it might be hard for the Jets to pass on that kind of talent.

4. Outside of spending a 1st or 2nd round pick on a receiver, I expect this to be a defensive dominated draft by the Jets. Rex Ryan watched the front office take three offensive players last year and you know he is anxious to add some new, young pieces on his side of the ball. The Jets still need another defensive lineman, pass rusher, and corner to improve their depth and I expect all three positions to be targeted during draft weekend.

5. I would expect to see the Jets grab a corner with a mid-round pick. How could you feel good with being one injury away from having Dwight Lowery starting and Drew Coleman at nickel back?

A Little Rewind To Last Year

Early Thoughts On Jets Draft

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First a few updates:

1. We are in the process of putting together a network wide mock draft, so keep a look out for it on Fanball and my article on what I decide to do with the 29thpick after seeing how the rest of the first round breaks down.

2. We picked up 5 new facebook fans yesterday for Turn On The Jets, which we means we are 9 away from 200, so once again follow Turn On The Jets on facebook.

3. Shaun Ellis has begun the rehab process for his broken hand and should be ready to go in time for the Jets off-season program.

4. The Jets have been linked to Adalius Thomas on multiple occasions as a potential target this off-season, if he is cut by New England (which he likely will be). I would be all for the Jets finding a way to get him without overpaying. I think he could rotate with Bryan Thomas at outside linebacker and improve the pass rush.

Early Thoughts On Jets Draft

With the Fanball mock draft rapidly approaching, I figured this was a good time to do a better job of familiarizing myself with some potential prospects the Jets could target with the 29th overall pick in the first round. The Jets also have the 29th overall pick in the 2nd, 6th, and 7th round, along with one of the Eagles 5th round selections. My initial thoughts on the draft, is that knowing his history, Mike Tannenbaum is likely to make multiple moves either trading up or trading down. I would also expect the first two selections to be defensive players unless there is a receiver the Jets fall in love with who is available at number 29 or at the end of the second round. Hopefully, one or two of those late round picks will be on offensive lineman for the Jets to develop behind Faneca and Woody.

Tim Graham did a nice job on his AFC East blog at ESPN.com, rounding up the latest mock selections for the Jets in the first round. Here is what he came up with:

  • ESPN’s Todd McShay – Arrelious Benn, Wide Receiver, Illinois
  • SI’s Don Banks – Damian Williams, Wide Receiver, USC
  • National Football Post’s Wes Bunting – Arrelious Benn, Wide Receiver, Illinois
  • Football Future’s Robert Davis – Patrick Robinson, Corner, Florida State
  • Arizona Republic’s Bob McManaman – Jared Odrick, Defensive Tackle, Penn State
  • PFW’s Nolan Nawrocki – Demaryius Thomas, Wide Receiver, Georgia Tech
  • CBS Sports Rob Rang – Damian Williams, Wide Receiver, USC
  • CBS Sports Chad Reuter – Trent Williams, Offensive Tackle, Oklahoma
  • Fox Sports Peter Schrager – Kyle Wilson, Corner, Boise State
  • Scout.Com’s Chris Steuber – Dan Williams, Defensive Tackle, Tennessee

PhotobucketMy first thoughts when looking at this collection of names is that 5 out of 10 people think the Jets are going wide receiver and only 2 out of 10 think they are going corner, which surprised me. I would be shocked if the Jets spend a first round pick on an offensive tackle because he probably wouldn’t play next year and I think the Jets want instant help. I wouldn’t be as surprised if they went defensive lineman because of concern about Jenkins coming back from injury.

Here are some other sites that I looked up and who they had the Jets taking:

  • Draft Countdown – Golden Tate, Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
  • Walter Football – Jerry Hughes, OLB/DE, TCU
  • Draft Site – Brandon Graham – Outside Linebacker, Michigan

From everything I have read about this year’s draft (which honestly isn’t that much at this point), Kyke Wilson, Dan Williams, and Jared Odrick sound like guys the Jets would like to get their hands on. Damian Williams and Golden Tate are both big time receivers from big time programs, who have skill sets that could fit well into being the Jets #3 receiver next year. It also can’t hurt Williams that he has some experience with Mark Sanchez already. Overall, considering where the Jets are picking unless they really fall in love with somebody, I could easily see them trading back and trying to get more picks to improve their overall depth. Obviously, whatever moves they make in free agency will also impact their decisions during draft weekend.

Golden Tate Highlights

Damian Williams Highlights