Turn On The Jets Week 1 Roundtable: Jets/Bills Match-Up

The Turn On The Jets staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to in the upcoming Jets/Bills match-up

The TOJ staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to this Sunday when the New York Jets take on the Buffalo Bills. We also give our picks for the tonight’s NFL kickoff, as we will be tracking our record against the spread all season –

Joe Caporoso – Darrelle Revis vs. Stevie Johnson – There is nothing more overhyped than Johnson’s “success” against Revis and I’m thrilled it has been dragged through the headlines the past few days. Revis is lining up for a Defensive Player of the Year Award considering he is in a contract year and about to be the best player on one of the league’s top defenses. When the Jets are 7-5 heading into December and all the genius pundits who picked them to go 4-12 are bumbling for excuses, it will start with how dominant their defense turned out to be and that discussion will center around Revis, who will kick off a career year this week by blanketing Johnson. With Johnson out of the equation, who exactly will Ryan Fitzpatrick be throwing the football to?

Yes of course Austin Howard vs. Mario Williams will merit watching. Hopefully, Tony Sparano is smart enough to do everything in his power to limit the 1 on 1 match-ups between the two and to consistently roll Sanchez away from Williams. There is no way Howard could do worse than Wayne Hunter did against DeMarcus Ware last year and the Jets managed to win that game.

Chris Celletti – When your offensive line is bad, your offense has no chance of being consistently good. In today’s pass-heavy league, there’s nothing more important than keeping your quarterback upright. And if you’re the Jets who are stuck in 1954 and want to run the ball 50 times a game, you also need great play up front. There’s no question that the Jets’ offensive live is a big question mark as we begin 2012, and they have a tough task off the bat with the newly Mario Williams-led BIlls’ defensive front. All eyes will be on right tackle Austin Howard, and I’m sure the Bills will line Williams up over him often. Of course the way to neutralize a good pass rush is to run the ball well, but the combination of the Jets’ offensive line and Shonn Greene hasn’t lit the world up this preseason and didn’t during last regular season. How will the Jets’ o-line look in the Wildcat? We’ll finally get to see the super-secret offense on Sunday.

Mike Donnelly – The obvious matchups to watch in this game are Revis vs. Stevie Johnson (no contest), and of course Austin Howard against Mario Williams (sadly, also a big mismatch), and of course I’m interested in seeing how those play out. However, the matchup in this game I’m really looking forward to seeing are the Jets linebackers and new safeties against the Bills spread attack that features two solid pass-catching running backs in CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson. Can Bart Scott prove he deserves to play all three downs? Can Demario Davis make an impact for this defense? Can LaRon Landry lay some big-time hits and stay healthy? These are the slightly under the radar things I’m looking forward to watching this Sunday.

Rob Celletti – There’s been an awful lot of hype about the Buffalo Bills for the last 18 months or so; some of it well-earned, some of it a fabrication of the media.  One element of Chan Gailey’s squad that is often cited as a reason that the Bills are expected to be in the thick of the wild card hunt is their defensive line, bolstered by the off-season additions of Mario Williams and Mark Anderson.  Everyone expects the Bills to be a sack machine, of course, especially against what the media has told us for 7 months is a suspect Jets offensive line. And, well, let’s be honest: the Jets gave up 22 sacks in the preseason. Twenty-two! In four games!  Yikes.

However, let’s not forget that this line boasts three first round draft picks and two Pro Bowlers.  Yes, every Jets fan with half a brain is livid over the fact that last year’s most glaring problem – the right tackle position – was not addressed until the 11th hour.  But it does appear that the Jets have upgraded, albeit marginally, at that position.

Week 1 provides a stern test for the Jets’ offensive line.  Joe has already touched upon this in his early look at this week’s game, but it’s worth reiterating.  The Jets, regardless of the evolution of the NFL into a passing-oriented league, are going to look to make their mark in the trenches, establishing Shonn Greene, and yes, Tim Tebow in the running game.  Their passing attack will come second, though don’t be surprised to see the Jets attempt and complete more passes down the field in the first half of Sunday’s game than they did seemingly all of last season.  But in order to complete the back shoulder throw to Stephen Hill or the seam route to Dustin Keller, Sanchez is going to need time.  If he doesn’t have time, he’ll get sacked frequently.  He may throw quicker than he wants to, into coverage.  And with sacks and incomplete passes and interceptions come the calls for the quarterback’s head… and that’s a discussion the Jets need to avoid at all costs for this season to be successful.

So yeah, let’s hope the Jets’ line can keep #6’s jersey clean.

Chris Gross–  Austin Howard vs. Mario Williams – People can talk about Darrelle Revis and Stevie Johnson all they want. Sure, considering Johnson’s self proclaimed success over Revis in the past, that is a very intriguing story line to follow. However,the match up between the two will not influence the outcome of the game nearly as great as Howard vs. Williams. In last season’s opener, DeMarcus Ware toyed with Wayne Hunter in his first career opening day start. Ware accounted for 2 of Dallas’s 4 total sacks that night, and gave Jets fans an unfortunate preview of what would become habitual throughout the entire season. How Howard and the entire offensive line handle the newly revamped defensive line of Buffalo could be a significant sign of how the offense will fare this season. Expect the Jets to give the new Right Tackle ample help with backs and tight ends to assist in blocking the former first overall selection out of North Carolina State. Although Williams has never beaten the Jets in his entire career,he certainly represents the strong point of a defense that will look to expose the Jets largest weakness at Right Tackle.

Tonight’s Predictions

  • Joe – Giants (-3.5)
  • TJ – Dallas (+3.5)
  • Rob – Dallas (+3.5)
  • Mike – Giants (-3.5)
  • Chris G – Giants (-3.5)
  • Chris C – Giants (-3.5)

Super Bowl Friday Thoughts/NFL Playoffs 2010 Recap

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First a few updates:

1. Rich Cimini wrote an article today discussing Chad Pennington returning to the Jets next season as a backup. He discussed it with Pennington, who admitted it would be tough but said it was a move he would definitely consider. I am all for Pennington coming back. First off, I can get some use out of his jersey that I still own in the pre-season and when he is playing mop-up duty against the Dolphins and Bills next years. Did I just say mop-up duty against teams the Jets went 1-3 against last year? Yes, I did. There isn’t going to be anymore 5 interception games or fluke Ted Ginn Jr touchdowns. Second, Pennington is an upgrade over Kellen Clemens.

2. When Leon Washington was talking about playing next season with the Jets, he discussed going back to returning kicks. Personally, I’d rather just leave Brad Smith back there and let Leon worry about offense. One thing the Jets offense missed in a big way last season was a screen game and running backs catching the ball out of the backfield in general (8 receptions for Thomas Jones or 0 for Shonn Greene during the regular season).

3. Follow Turn On The Jets on facebook…everybody is doing it…well, 183 people now are. (I told you I was putting this up with every post).

4. The Game Highlights section has been somewhat ripped apart by videos being taken down on youtube. I will be revamping that into something different next week.

Super Bowl Friday Thoughts

First off…let’s look back at the 2010 Playoffs. Personally, my two favorite weekends of the year are wild-card weekend and divisional weekend. I consider them holidays. Unfortunately, outside of our Jets most of the games were letdowns. Jets/Bengals got things started off right with an exciting 24-14 game, in which I got to watch a bunch of bitter Giants sulk in their recently purchased Chad Ochocino Johnson jerseys. I was expecting a great Saturday night game between Dallas and Philly but my Super Bowl pick decided to get completely blown out. Clearly, Andy Reid made zero adjustments from the two previous losses his team had to the Cowboys. Beyond that, nobody ever wants to see Cowboys fans happy…Maganellis.

Outside of anything Jets related, there was nothing I enjoyed more this NFL season than the first quarter of the Ravens/Patriots wild-card game. Nothing beats watching Bill Belichick be completely out-coached and standing there gawking on the side-line while Tom Brady throws interception after interception and keeps fumbling…great stuff. After the Belichick/Brady meltdown this year in a home playoff game, can we say the Pats dynasty is on the way out? I think you can, their defense isn’t good. They don’t have a running back. Wes Welker might not be back for the start of the next season and Randy Moss is a slouch. The Packers/Cardinals game was obviously very exciting, although it was pathetic how bad both defenses were. It was also frustrating to watch “Fake Defensive Player of the Year” Charles Woodson and the rest of his secondary get torched for 51 points, 379 passing yards, and 5 passing touchdowns. One last time, it was a complete joke that Darrelle Revis didn’t win that award this year.

PhotobucketDivisional weekend? Saints vs. Cardinals was a complete beatdown. On top of that, I had to watch Reggie Bush have a monster game, after ripping him all off-season and saying Leon Washington was better. One thing you have to say about Bush, is that there is a reason everybody was so “shocked” to see him play so well and run so hard…because he hasn’t been doing it his entire of NFL career. You shouldn’t decide to run hard one day, you should be doing it every game, especially when you are the #2 pick in the draft. Colts/Ravens was a disappointing game because I was obviously routing for the Ravens since I wanted a home AFC Championship Game.

On Sunday, it was nice to see Dallas remember they can’t win a big game and get blown out by the Vikings. To top it off, we got to see Keith Brooking and his stupid pre-game chant (we gonna hit them in nose, we gonna hit them in face….give me a break) leave a river of tears on the field. Of course, the late game on Sunday was just terrific and turned out to be the best overall game of the weekend. You can’t beat the defensive beatdown the Jets put on the Chargers in the second half and Shonn Greene rumbling through the Chargers secondary.

Everything about Championship Sunday was great right up until Peyton Manning got the ball back down 17-6. Fortunately, I got a little joy later that night watching Brett Favre choke away the NFC Championship Game…which brings us to Colts/Saints.

1. I think this game goes one of two ways: 1) We have an all-time game, an absolute shootout where the team with the ball last wins…something like 45-42 or 2) the Colts fall behind a little early, Manning reacts and then the Colts roll in the second half to a double-digit victory.

2. The only way the Saints are winning this game is if they find a way to out-score Manning because they aren’t stopping him.

3. My predictions:

  • Super Bowl MVP – Peyton Manning (A real stretch, I know)
  • First touchdown – Pierre Thomas
  • Final Score: Colts – 41 Saints – 30

Another Jets Highlight Tape

AFC Power Rankings: Where Do the Jets Fit?

First a few updates:

1. It’s officially training camp week, with the Jets opening up this Friday in Cortland, New York. Later in the day, I will be posting an extended, comprehensive (two big time adjectives there) training camp preview. Also, I will finish up my positional analysis this week, with a look at the team’s linebackers and special teams. You can look back through the archives for my breakdown of all the other positions on the roster.

2. I will be appearing on a podcast on our site tomorrow around 11:30 to discuss the Jets, the link is http://ownersedge.fanball.com/fantasy_buffet.php

3. By the end of the week, I plan on making additions to both the TOJ Hall of Fame and TOJ Hall of Shame…thrilling stuff for everybody, I know. Also, I am stuck with the 5th pick in upcoming fantasy football draft and I am open to suggestions on who I should pick…Brees, Fitzgerald, Jones-Drew, Westbrook, Brad Smith, Wallace Wright?

AFC Power Rankings: Where Do the Jets Fit?

I don’t like to rank teams from 1-16, but instead separate them into different levels. With training camps starting up this week, here is how I see the AFC breaking down:

The Favorites

Pittsburgh Steelers – The defending champions are returning all of their major parts and should be right back at the top of the AFC North. Their defense should be one of the league’s best and if they can get something out of Rashad Mendenhall and Limas Sweed this year, their offense could be even more dynamic.

New England Patriots – They have the best coach in the NFL, a good defense, and potentially the best offense in football if Tom Brady is back at 100 percent. If the Jets want to win the AFC East, the road goes through New England (sorry Dolphins fans).

Indianapolis Colts – They were playing as well as anyone in football last year before getting bounced in the wild-card round to the Chargers. Even without Tony Dungy, they still have a quality defense and tons of weapons on offense, including first round pick Donald Brown, who should flourish in their system.

San Diego Chargers – They have as much talent as anyone in football, but can they put it together? Fortunately for them, the AFC West is a weak division and they shouldn’t have any trouble repeating as champs.

The Contenders

Baltimore Ravens – A great defense, a young quarterback who is only going to get better, and a dominant running game should equal another double-digit win total for the Ravens.

Tennessee Titans – I think they will take a big step down from last year’s win total. They sure didn’t feel like a 13-3 team last year, but maybe that’s just because I watched the Jets embarrass them in their home building. They got a shot for revenge in the Meadowlands in week 3, though.

Question Marks

Miami Dolphins – They have 6-10 written all over them this season and I’m not saying that as a biased Jets fan. The Wildcat won’t fool anybody this year and Chad Pennington has never put together two healthy, productive seasons in a row. Yet, they have a good defense and running game which will keep them competitive.

Buffalo Bills – There is a ton of talent at the skill positions but can Trent Edwards stay healthy and take his game to the next level? Can Dick Jauron get out of his own way?

New York Jets – I expect a great defense and a great running game but there is still question marks at quarterback, receiver, tight end, and depth on both lines.

Houston Texans – Every year everybody picks them to make a big jump but it never seems to happen. If Matt Schaub can stay healthy, their offense will be scary good with Steve Slaton and Andre Johnson making plays but they still have question marks on defense, as usual. The Texans will be a good test for the Jets in week one.

Bigger Question Marks

Denver Broncos – You don’t improve from 8-8 by going from Jay Cutler to Kyle Orton at quarterback.

Jacksonville Jaguars – Torry Holt will help them on offense, but unless David Garrard goes back to his 2007 form, the Jaguars aren’t going to be any better than they were last season.

The Basement Dwellers

Oakland Raiders – There is obviously talent on offense and some pieces on defense, but hasn’t that been the case on Oakland for the past few years? I’m sure they will go 5-11 but still find a way to beat the Jets.

Kansas City Chiefs – Matt Cassell isn’t going to look so good without Randy Moss, Wes Welker, and one of the best offensive lines in football.

Cincinnatti Bengals – If Carson Palmer can play a full 16 games, they could improve a few games from last season but that would only put them in the 6-7 win range.

Cleveland Browns – Have fun Eric Mangini, but hey they said the same thing about your Jets in 2006 and look what happened.

Jets Highlight of the Day: After spending another weekend of arguing with my friend’s about Leon Washington’s talent level, I decided to throw up some of his highlights, Give 29 a new contract: