We couldn’t just give you the standard 12 pack of predictions before Labor Day weekend. It is time crack open an entire 30 rack of predictions for the 2o12 New York Jets season. Make sure you are with us throughout the weekend and into next week as we are in regular season mode now at TOJ. Myself, Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly, TJ Rosenthal, Rob Celletti and Chris Celletti are going to be bringing you endless content to get you ready for Jets/Bills and the start of the NFL season.
When you head out for a college football game this weekend, make sure to take advantage of our partnership with Night Out and claim the deal at the top of the page and linked here. Also check out our Turn On The Jets t-shirts, we only have a few left and you know you need that fresh shirt for week 1 at MetLife.
On to the predictions –
1. Mark Sanchez, barring injury or a Wildcat formation on the first play from scrimmage, will start every single game at quarterback for the Jets this season. He will finish with a career high in completion percentage and quarterback rating, along with a career low in interceptions.
2. Quinton Coples is going to finish with 6 sacks in his rookie season and be a consistent disruptive force on the Jets defensive line, making people like me who doubted the selection very foolish.
3. Coples fellow defensive lineman Muhammad Wilkerson will make his first Pro-Bowl in 2012, providing both a strong pass rush and a dominant presence against the run.
4. The Jets defense will finish top three in total defense and first in rushing yards allowed per game.
5. Aaron Maybin will lead the Jets in sacks with 10.5.
6. LaRon Landry will start at least 12 games and lead the team in interceptions.
7. Tim Tebow will lead the Jets in rushing touchdowns with 8. Mark Sanchez will finish with 3 rushing touchdowns.
8. Shonn Greene will finish with somewhere between 1,150 and 1,250 yards along with 6 touchdowns.
9. Dustin Keller will lead the Jets in receptions and finish with a career high 8 receiving touchdowns.
10. Santonio Holmes will lead the Jets in receiving yards and have a nice bounce-back season.
11. Stephen Hill will have at least 4 receptions of more than 30 yards. He will finish with 5 touchdowns but lead the team in dropped passes.
12. Jason Smith will finish the season as the Jets starting right tackle.
13. The Jets will finish 4-2 in the AFC East.
14. Bart Scott will keep his starting position at inside linebacker for the entire season, finishing with 80 tackles and 2.5 sacks in his final season as a member of the New York Jets.
15. David Harris will lead the Jets in tackles with 105 and finish with 4.5 sacks, 2 interceptions and 2 forced fumbles.
16. Darrelle Revis will keep both Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald under 50 receiving yards in their respective match-ups.
17. Tim Tebow will be the Jets second leading rusher by a wide margin. He will finish with less than 250 yards passing on the season.
18. Joe McKnight will return 2 kicks for a touchdown this season.
19. Bilal Powell will finish with less than 300 total offensive yards.
20. Calvin Pace will have 4 sacks in his final season as a member of the New York Jets.
21. The New York Jets will enter their week 9 bye at 4-4 or 5-3.
22. The Jets will enter their final 3 games against Tennessee, San Diego and Buffalo firmly in the mix for a wild-card spot along with the Titans and Chargers.
23. The Jets will finish in second place in the AFC East, at least 2 games behind New England and at least 2 games ahead of Buffalo.
24. The Jets will finish with a winning record at home.
25. Antonio Cromartie will play less than 5 snaps on offense all season and have zero receptions. He will have 4 interceptions and a defensive touchdown.
26. Terrance Ganaway will be the starting fullback by the end of the season.
27. All Pro – Darrelle Revis, Nick Mangold
28. Pro-Bowl – LaRon Landry, David Harris, Muhammad WIlkerson
29. Most improved players – Muhammad Wilkerson, Kenrick Ellis, Mark Sanchez, Nick Folk
30. The Jets will finish 9-7 or 10-6, sneaking into the final wild-card spot.
12 Predictions for the New York Jets second pre-season game against the New York Giants
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack is back with predictions for Jets/Giants tomorrow night. Will the New York Jets ever score a touchdown? Will Mark Sanchez leave the game in the body bag from the Giants pass rush? Read on to find out –
1. The New York Jets are going to be particularly run heavy with their starters. Considering four of their top six receivers won’t play, their pass protection is questionable and the Giants have the best pass rush in football…this is a logical move. Beyond that, the Jets need to get some momentum going for their running game and you can run the football on the Giants.
2. Mark Sanchez won’t turn the football over and will lead a touchdown drive in the first half. Look for Dustin Keller to be a point of emphasis in the passing game.
3. The New York Giants will rip off at least one huge play on the Jets starting defense. They have too much speed not to and even in the pre-season, they always seem to break off big ones against the Jets.
4. When Darrelle Revis is matched up on Victor Cruz, he won’t catch a single pass. However, if Cruz gets in the slot and matched up on Kyle Wilson the Jets will be in trouble.
5. Demario Davis is going to see extended time with the starting defense. The slow phase out of Bart Scott is going to begin. With his lack of speed, he simply can’t be on the field when it isn’t a likely running down.
6. Both starting defenses will record at least two sacks of the other team’s starting quarterback.
7. Stephen Hill will lead the Jets in receptions and haul in a couple from Mark Sanchez for the first time this week. Patrick Turner should also register 2-3 catches again.
8. Tim Tebow will have a rushing touchdown. The ESPN production truck will explode in response.
9. The Giants will win the game and the ridiculous Snoopy trophy that comes with it. Mike Lupica and Ian O’Connor will each write 1,500 word articles burying the Jets season and worshipping Tom Coughlin in response. Oh wait, O’Connor already did.
10. Antonio Allen is going to take another step towards leap frogging Josh Bush on the depth chart at safety.
11. Joe McKnight will have another strong pre-season game, making a few big plays as both a runner and receiver.
12. Quinton Coples will record his second sack in as many pre-season games and continue his strong pre-season.
Turn On The Jets with 12 predictions for the Jets vs. Bengals pre-season game tonight
Turn On The Jets is back in the prediction business with 12 for tonight’s Jets/Bengals pre-season game. Make sure to take advantage of our one day sale to celebrate the return of New York Jets football. All Turn On The Jets shirts are 25% off. It would be crime against your fandom to not take advantage of a deal like that. When you put this shirt on not only can you play the guitar…your bench will also increase 25 pounds
On to the predictions –
1. Mark Sanchez won’t turn the football over and will lead one scoring drive. He won’t have a high yards per completion but will have a high completion percentage. I expect many shorter, safe throws to Dustin Keller and Josh Baker, along with maybe one shot down the field to Stephen Hill or Chaz Schilens.
2. Bilal Powell is going to lead the Jets in touches and total yards at running back. Look for the Jets to get him out in space in the screen game and give him a decent amount of reps with the first unit. It is time to see if he can translate his practice field success to the game.
3. Stephen Hill will have at least three receptions. Tony Sparano needs him up to speed immediately, so he will try to get him going early with a few quick hitch routes or smoke screens.
4. Demario Davis and Antonio Allen will be the most impressive rookies on the field tonight.
5. Tim Tebow will be Tim Tebow. He will run the ball well, make a few plays on third down but ultimately struggle throwing the football.
6. Aaron Maybin and/or Ricky Sapp are going to have 1.5-2.5 sacks between them.
7. Jordan White is going to make a name for himself as a viable contender for reps in the slot tonight. Look for him to be frequently targeted on third downs.
8. I don’t anticipate Quinton Coples making much noise tonight.
9. Austin Howard will play well enough to keep the right tackle position “open for competition” a few more weeks.
10. Look for a big game from Kenrick Ellis and Muhammad Wilkerson upfront, particularly Ellis who will start for Sione Pouha.
11. Marvin Lewis will look confused on the sideline.
12. The Jets defense will force at least two turnovers.
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack answers fan’s questions about the New York Jets
Today’s 12 Pack is going to answer 12 questions we received on Twitter about the New York Jets throughout this morning. If you aren’t following on Twitter, kindly take a moment and do it right now. Also make sure to follow fellow TOJ writers Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly and TJ Rosenthal as well. We had a busy week here at TOJ, here is a recap –
1. @SeanLDurham – “Talk about this silly notion that Sanchez isn’t showing any back bone by supporting Tebow packages in the red-zone”
Sanchez is in a difficult situation because no quarterback ever wants to come off the field. However, he has handled the situation properly with the media. He knows what he is dealing with and one comment that shows dissatisfaction is going to lead to all types of unnecessary hype and drama surrounding his team. Sanchez is demonstrating his leadership by putting the team first, although personally I’m sure he has resolved to play at a high enough level that it becomes extremely difficult to take him off the field, in any situation.
2. @ItsOasus – “What about the hamstring situation? Preventable?”
This has been an extremely frustrating part of training camp, particularly at the wide receiver position. Hamstrings are pulled when players are not properly stretched or didn’t show up in proper football shape to camp, as a few receivers has publicly admitted. Tony Sparano is running uptempo practices and it seems the receivers are having a tough time adjusting to all the running. At this point, the injuries have already occurred so the players have to make sure they are fully healed before they return or else the injury can become a nagging issue all season.
3. @DC914 – “Who has really been impressive in camp so far?”
On offense, you have to go with Bilal Powell. And how is that for a shocker? Many people didn’t even think Powell would make the roster and yet he has been the consistently most impressive back on the team. He is receiving gradually more work with the first team and has a serious chance to end up being the third down back. Josh Baker also deserves a mention. He is a versatile player, who we talked up a bunch this off-season. Baker will be a factor at tight end, H-Back and fullback this season. On defense, Aaron Maybin has been racking up multiple sacks every day and Ricky Sapp hasn’t been far behind. The Jets may have finally found a couple edge pass rushers.
4. @WheelanNDealin – What about the Australian TE the Jets signed this off-season?
Hayden Smith has held his own by most accounts so far in Cortland. However, he still has a long way to go before leap frogging Dustin Keller, Jeff Cumberland and Josh Baker on the depth chart. Smith is a good down the road prospect and has practice squad written all over him for this season.
5. @TeamThirstTrap – How are LaRon Landry and Bryan Thomas looking after coming off major injuries?
LaRon Landry has been on a pitch count all camp but when he has been out there he been very impressive. Landry has admitted himself that he can only go 100 miles per hour so the Jets have tried to protect him from himself somewhat. He is on pace to start the first pre-season game but will likely receive limited usage throughout the pre-season to make sure he is 100% for Buffalo in week 1. Bryan Thomas has had a quiet camp. Yet, the team knows what to expect from him. He should be a quality two down linebacker for the defense throughout this season.
6. @NFLSpecialist – Santonio Holmes admittedly “not being ready for camp” and what are Rex’s disciplinary options?
Holmes quotes didn’t come off well yesterday, with his comments about not being in “true football shape” yet. He is setting a poor example for a group that been injury plagued and disappointing throughout camp. Unfortunately for Rex, he needs Holmes back on the field as soon as possible because he is the team’s only proven wide receiver and because it will encourage the other injured players to get out there. Holmes has always been a gamer but he is coming off a down year, so it remains to be seen how productive he will be.
7. @ShawnZP715 – Details on Jets practice at MetLife and how is Coples doing so far?
The Jets practice at MetLife Stadium will be on August 21st from 5:30 – 8:30 and open to the public for free. Coples has had a quiet camp so far. Apparently he has had some difficultly grasping the full installation of the defense, so the Jets have been using him more situationally. This makes sense since Coples will primarily be used on passing downs this season anyway, since Mike DeVito is so stout against the run.
8. @MikeMHill – How many rushing yards will Shonn Greene have this season? Over 1,500?
I would project Greene to finish with somewhere between 1,150 – 1,300 yards. I’d be shocked if he finished anywhere near 1,500 yards or over it. Greene is good for about 4.2 yards per carry, so if he gets the 300 carries Tony Sparano talked about giving him, he is looking at about 1,260 yards this season.
9. @MCaseyNYJ – Who really is the 2nd best receiver on the team?
Based on physical talent alone it is probably Stephen Hill. Yet, he is extremely raw and obviously unproven as a rookie. Chaz Schilens has the best combination of physical skills and NFL production and only has 72 career receptions. Jeremy Kerley is coming off a pretty good rookie year but has been hurt and is in Rex Ryan’s doghouse. One player to keep an eye on is Patrick Turner who is quietly putting together a very good camp and showed some flashes last season.
10. @CrazyChimpman – Will the offense improve in rank and do we possibly have a legitimate pass rush?
At a minimum the offense will improve in their rushing rank because of how frequently they are going to run the ball and the presence of Tim Tebow. As for the pass rush, Aaron Maybin looks legitimately poised for a double digit sack season and the presence of Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples up front should give the Jets more pressure they’ve had from their defensive lines in years.
11. @FroDawg14 – The best way to maximize efficiency in the red-zone?
Both of the Jets quarterbacks…yes both are very good rushing threats inside the 5 yard line. When throwing the football, Dustin Keller, Stephen Hill, Patrick Turner and Jeff Cumberland all have good size and potential to be consistent weapons down there. The Jets should be a very, very good red-zone team in 2012.
12. @JetsChamp – Talk about Jets beat writers thinking fans want them to cause fights among players and that we enjoy reading controversey
I wouldn’t put all the blame on the beat writers. The ESPN coverage has been far worse. Yes, the beat writers can exaggerate headlines at times but that isn’t always their fault. However, the intentional controversy brewing around this team has been frustrating and that is why we are here…we are on a mission to civilize New York Jets coverage.
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack has some early thoughts and predictions for New York Jets training camp
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack is back after a packed week of content here on the site. A big thanks to our writing staff who is the best in the business: Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly and TJ Rosenthal. In case you weren’t following, here is what you missed –
And of course we started selling our Turn On The Jets Vintage Jets T-Shirts this week. Make sure to buy yours now. Wear that Green and White proud –
1. Anybody who follows this team on a day to day basis shouldn’t be surprised by the reality that there is no quarterback competition in training camp. Mark Sanchez is going to be the starter. He is going to get 95% of the reps with the first team and in certain situations Greg McElroy will even take second team reps over Tim Tebow. This coaching staff views Sanchez as their quarterback and Tebow as a weapon to enhance their running game and give them a dynamic element on offense. The reports from day one are that Sanchez thoroughly outplayed Tebow, notably throwing the ball much better…get used to reading that.
2. The top story from today will likely end up being that Matt Slauson and Vladimir Ducasse are suddenly in a battle for a starting guard positon. Mike Donnelly was on to this a few months ago. I dislike this. Why? Let your starting offensive line work together every single day to build chemistry and cohesion in a new offensive system. Don’t rotate to Ducasse in every few plays because you are making a last ditch effort to make him a contributing player. Slauson beat him out easily two years ago and has been solid ever since, while Ducasse has shown no signs of improvement. Stop with the dog and pony show to hype up a failed draft pick and give the reps to Slauson who has earned his spot.
3. Not sure why there is so much buzz about Antonio Cromartie taking a few reps at wide receiver. He did this last season and even ran a reverse. The Jets will likely use him as a decoy and a potential rushing option on a few trick plays again.
4. Random prediction – Just like their first play in team practice was a play action bomb to Stephen Hill (a 40 yard catch over Darrelle Revis by the way), their first play against Buffalo will be a deep pass. You spend all summer talking about the Ground and Pound and then you come out and just bomb one up the first play.
5. Regretting not putting Dexter Jackson on my 53 man roster prediction. I think he could stick as a special teamer and a gadget player on offense because of his speed.
6. Each passing day we don’t hear about Jeff Otah passing his physical gets a little scarier. It is hard to say that it would be a shock at this point if the trade is rescinded and we are back to Wayne’s World at right tackle.
7. Rex Ryan’s press conferences are never going to be toned all the way down. You won’t hear Super Bowl getting thrown around but you will still hear effusive praise for all his coaches and players…and himself. Today Ryan proclaimed his belief that he is the best defensive coach in football and why shouldn’t he have that belief in himself? Other coaches and players make similar statements and they are called confident, if Rex does it…he is ridiculed.
8.Aren’t we due for a big camp from Kyle Wilson? People seem to forget the Jets spent a first round pick on this guy a few years ago. It is time for him to start playing like it.
9. I am staying with my prediction that Sanchez will thoroughly outplay Tebow all summer and then Tebow will have a monster final pre-season game against the Philadelphia Eagles when both teams are resting all their starters, leading into a new wave of “controversy” and Skip Bayless yelling heading into week 1.
10. Sounds like Nick Folk got the better of Josh Brown on day one. It is a long battle and I do ultimately think Brown will get comfortable and beat him out.
11. Let’s hope Demario Davis is back on the field soon. Hamstrings are tricky injuries. It is hard to see him working his way into the first sub package early in the season if he misses a couple of weeks in training camp.
12. Tough start for a few of the late round Jets draft picks – Robert T. Griffin left the field with a leg injury. Jordan White is still out with a foot injury and Antonio Allen is running with the third team, behind Tracy Wilson on the depth chart.
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack gives 12 must follows for Jets fans throughout the NFL season
Today’s edition of the Turn On The Jets 12 Pack is going to hand out some love to our peers who we have had the pleasure of interacting with throughout the growth of our site. Turn On The Jets started as a member of the Fanball Network thanks to Bryan Douglass, who is currently the content manager for Wayin. Personally, I will always have Bryan to thank for giving me a shot. After the network shut down, Will Horton of the Rams Herd made sure we stayed afloat thanks to some timely HTML and web service help. So thanks to Will as always, who is a great writer himself.
Anyway here are your TOJ recommended follows for the 2012 NFL Season, obviously outside of us and staff writers Chris Gross and Mike Donnelly. Turn On The Jets commits itself to providing in-depth writing and analysis on the New York Jets on a daily basis. We do that as well as anybody out there, so stay with us. The staff is only growing with Rob Celletti and Chris Celletti joining up in season and TJ Rosenthal continuing with contributions.
Last site PSA: T-Shirts are done and shipped. They will go on sale early next week (likely Tuesday) right here on the site. We will be doing all types of giveaways to people who buy from our first batch so keep an eye out and make sure you are following TOJ on Facebook.
On the to the recommendations (in no particular order) –
1. Jeff Capellini, CBS New York/WFAN.com – Jeff is a terrific, in-depth writer who covers the Jets along with the Yankees and Islanders. His articles are a must read. We only wish we could have more published content from him. Jeff thinks outside the box and has a very good pulse on the Jets. He is also an entertaining follow on Twitter and always up for a solid debate.
2. TJ Rosenthal, The Jet Report – We are fortunate enough to have TJ as a regular contributor here at Turn On The Jets but his own site, The Jet Report is also a must visit. TJ has a PhD in Jets history and has a fascinating collection of materials from the team throughout the years. He is also a detailed writer who frequently finds unique angles to cover the team from.
3. Erik Manassy, Jets Twit – The social media master when it comes to the New York Jets. He does a little bit of everything, including writing, podcasts, web development and social media management. Erik does a great job of aggregating all the social media content coming from Jets writers and players.
4. Flight 5 Live – A new web based television show that airs every Friday night. They have pulled in quite the collection of guests so far including Curtis Martin, Wesley Walker, Demario Davis and Marcus Dixon. All five hosts are passionate fans, among them Kristine Reese who is a great writer for Aerys Sports and Brian Imbemba who is a must follow on Twitter.
5. Erik Frenz, The Bleacher Report – The AFC East lead blogger for BR. Regardless of your preconceptions of the site, Erik is a terrific writer who thoroughly covers the Jets, Dolphins, Bills, and Patriots. The guy literally might publish 3,000 words a day…not sure when he sleeps.
8. Brian Bassett, The Jets Blog – Founded The Jets Blog, which is now in partnership with SNY, the Jets home station. Brian is a blogging beast and a great guy who I was fortunate enough to meet at Blog With Balls last year.
The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack breaks out some stat predictions for the 2012 New York Jets
This week’s 12 Pack is going throw out some statistical predictions for members of both the New York Jets offense and defense. Credit for the idea goes to (@ItsOasus) on Twitter. Give the man a follow and while you are it give our fellow writers Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly and TJ Rosenthal a follow.
Turn On The Jets shirts (designed and created by Bark Tees NY) are being shipped out this upcoming week and should be for sale no later than July 20th.
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1. Mark Sanchez – 256/432, 59.2 completion percentage, 3,360 yards, 25 touchdowns, 13 interceptions – I am basically projecting Sanchez for 16/27, 210 yards on a weekly basis. The yardage total might seem a little high but I think the Jets will attack down the field more often with Tony Sparano calling plays, will use Santonio Holmes more vertically and should have a viable deep threat in Stephen Hill. Yes, I believe he will do a better job of protecting the football and will cut 5 interceptions off his total from last season.
2. Shonn Greene – 280 carries, 1,175 yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 5 touchdowns – Greene isn’t anywhere near an elite level back but considering their depth chart at running back and the offensive system the Jets are going to give him 17-20 carries per week. He should be able to translate that into a little under 1,200 yards considering his history. His touchdown total will be disappointing because Tim Tebow will be a major presence around the goal-line.
3. Santonio Holmes – 72 receptions, 1,044 yards, 7 touchdowns – Holmes averaged 15 yards per catch over the 3 years prior to 2011, let’s put him at 14.5 this season…a nice bump up from the 12.8 of last season. Sparano should also do a better job of getting the ball in his hands than Brian Schottenheimer did last season, so 4.5 catches per game seems reasonable. Holmes had 8 touchdowns last year, which tied a career high. He will end up with 7 this season.
4. Dustin Keller – 64 receptions, 832 yards, 7 touchdowns – Yes, I do think Holmes and Keller will equate for this large of a share of the Jets passing game. Keller was at 12.5 yards per catch last year, he’ll bump up to about 13 in Tony Sparano’s offense. 7 touchdowns would be a career high but he is due to be a sustainable red-zone presence throughout an entire season.
5. Stephen Hill – 40 receptions, 630 yards, 5 touchdowns – The reception total won’t be high but Hill will be a big play threat for the Jets, hence the high yards per catch average. His size and leaping ability ability will also make him a consistent red-zone threat.
6. Tim Tebow – 80 carries, 440 yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 250 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns – Tebow is going to be a major factor in the red-zone as a rusher and overall should average out to about 5 carries per week. His passing totals are hard to project, because it remains to be seen how often the Jets will use him a passer. For the record, I do think Mark Sanchez, barring injury, starts every game this season at quarterback.
7. Aaron Maybin – 10.5 sacks, 26 tackles, 5 forced fumbles – With a full off-season under his belt, Maybin will become the first Jets defender to hit double digit sacks since John Abraham (!). If that forced fumble total seems high, remember he forced 4 last season in 13 games with a very limited role.
8. David Harris – 90 tackles, 4 sacks, 4 interceptions – Another rock solid, Pro-Bowl caliber season from the Jets inside linebacker. Don’t look for any drop-off in his regular production.
9. Quinton Coples – 30 tackles, 5.5 sacks – Rex Ryan and Karl Dunbar will get Coples in the proper position to make an immediate impact as a pass rusher. Towards the end of the season, he will begin to come on more as a complete player, particularly in run defense.
10. Muhammad Wilkerson – 55 tackles, 6 sacks, 10 tackles for a loss – I am on the Wilkerson bandwagon, who I think will play at a Pro-Bowl caliber level as a two way defensive end. Wilkerson and Coples will give the Jets their best pass rushing duo up front since John Abraham and Shaun Ellis were young pups.
11. Joe McKnight – 75 carries, 325 yards, 32 receptions, 320 yards, 2 offensive touchdowns, 1 special teams touchdown – A good all-around year for McKnight who will be able to handle the role of 3rd down back and be a reliable checkdown/screen option for Mark Sanchez. He also will remain one of the league’s better kick returners.
12. Jeremy Kerley – 45 receptions, 460 yards, 2 touchdowns – Kerley won’t have a high yards per catch but will develop into a reliable third down target, being a good option in the short to intermediate passing game.
The Turn On The Jets 12 pack ranks the AFC’s best teams heading into the season
This week’s edition of the 12 pack is going to rank the top teams in the AFC, including sorting out where our New York Jets fit in heading into training camp. For your requisite Friday reminders before you crack into your 12 pack of reading and 12 pack of drinking, remember to follow myself, Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly, and TJ Rosenthal on Twitter. Nobody out there is rolling with four stronger Jets writers right now, period. Also remember to check out Gameday Goods, where you get 10% off any product by using the promo code “TurnOnTheJets.” Finally, sit tight on those t-shirts, they are on their way along with enough giveaways to make your head spin.
On to the 12 pack –
16. Indianapolis Colts – Andrew Luck is going to be a special player one day but he has been put in the middle of a rebuilding process. The Colts won’t be 2 win bad this season but won’t be much better. The Jets see them in week 6 at MetLife Stadium. Bring the blitz, Rex.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars – Blaine Gabbert with Chad Henne waiting in the wings…yikes. The defense and Maurice Jones-Drew will keep them competitive in most weeks but ultimately they will be battling with the Colts for the basement in the AFC South. The Jets travel to them in week 14. I am calling for more Tebow fans than Jaguars fans in the crowd.
14. Cleveland Browns – Poor Cleveland. That being said, we disagree with Jim Brown and think Trent Richardson is anything but ordinary. But, what does he know about running backs anyway?
13. Miami Dolphins – Picturing David Garrard under center on a 3rd and 9 with Chad Ochocinco, Brian Hartline and Davone Bess split out and wondering how the hell are they going to convert…ever?
12. Oakland Raiders – Not a believer in Carson Palmer and not sure if Darren McFadden can stay healthy.
11. Kansas City Chiefs – Wouldn’t be surprised if they ended up being a playoff team and wouldn’t be surprised if they were 4-12. It depends on how Matt Cassel manages the offense and how Jamaal Charles bounces back from his injury.
10.San Diego Chargers – I am sure I will hear I put them too low but what exactly have they won lately? The last time they were in the playoffs was when Shonn Greene was actually breaking long runs. The Jets host them in week 16 for Sunday Night Football.
9. Buffalo Bills – Everybody else can pile on their bandwagon. Ryan Fitzpatrick is their quarterback. Chan Gailey is their coach. They can’t win in their division and they can’t stretch the field. The Jets start and end their season with them.
8. Tennessee Titans – How quick of a hook will Matt Hasselbeck have? The Titans quietly put together a good off-season and should make some noise in the AFC South. The Jets travel to them for Monday Night Football in week 15 in what could be an elimination game for a wild-card spot.
7. New York Jets – They are going to be in plenty of close games this season, how they finish in the fourth quarter will determine if they are 7-9 or 11-5.
6. Cincinnati Bengals – I don’t know if Andy Dalton and AJ Green will have a sophomore slump or if it is foolish to believe Marvin Lewis can coach a winning team for two years in a row but they deserve the respect heading into the season.
5.Denver Broncos – Maybe I am giving too much respect to Peyton Manning but if he is anywhere near healthy, Denver is going to be very tough with that kind of defense to support him.
4. Pittsburgh Steelers – Interested to see how the Todd Haley/Ben Roethlisberger marriage is going to work out but you know they are going have a very good defense and they are loaded at wide receiver. Jets play them week 2 on the road in what will be some kind of test for Tony Sparano’s new offense.
3. Houston Texans – On paper they might be the best team in the conference but can that defense play at the level they did last season? If so, they are going to be very hard to beat. They come to MetLife Stadium for Monday Night Football in week 5.
2. Baltimore Ravens – They should have won in New England last season for the AFC Championship Game. Can they get themselves back to that level? Much of that will depend on how Joe Flacco keeps developing and if they can replace Terrell Suggs adequately. Fortunately, the Jets don’t play them this season as they have suffered two ugly losses to them since Rex Ryan has taken over.
1.New England Patriots – They keep the top spot until somebody knocks them off. Unfortunately for the Jets, the Brady/Belichick combination basically guarantees 11-13 wins a season. Interested to see how new additions like Brandon Lloyd, Joseph Addai, Chandler Jones, and Dont’a Hightower fit in. The Jets play them in week 7 and then on Thanksgiving night.
Friday’s Turn On The Jets 12 pack focuses on the New York Jets offense, how can they improve in 2012?
We have spent a big chunk of the week here focusing on the New York Jets defense, and why not? They have the potential to be one of the league’s best units. However, it is the other side of the football that needs to see a dramatic improvement from last season. Today’s 12 pack is going to take a closer look at multiple aspects of the Jets offense in 2012.
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1. Wayne’s World – The Jets don’t need Wayne Hunter to be an All-Pro. They need him to be competent. They need him to resemble the Wayne Hunter from the end of the 2010 season. If Tony Sparano is smart, he will avoid leaving Hunter on an island in obvious passing situations and roll Sanchez to his left the majority of the time. If Hunter is given the necessary help and this offensive system suits him better, he is salvageable as a starter. He needs to be because Vladimir Ducasse has spent the entire off-season working at left guard and Stephon Heyer and Ray Willis can’t be relied on.
2. Speaking Of Guard – As Mike Donnelly pointed out last week, why is Vlad Ducasse still working as the starting left guard when Matt Slauson claims to be 100 percent healthy? Personally, I think the Jets just wanted to get Vlad as much work as possible and felt no need to rush Slauson back into his old spot. If Brandon Moore ever gets hurt, it isn’t the worst thing in the world to have Slauson get experience at right guard while Ducasse would move left guard. I don’t think Slauson is any danger of losing his position and I don’t think Ducasse has any real chance of starting this season. The Jets are going to look to him as a swing backup off the bench at guard/tackle and an extra tight end for big packages. At this point, if Ducasse can handle that role I’d be satisfied, which is a damn shame for a 2nd round pick.
3. A Signing On The Way – The Jets need Ben Hartsock or a player who resembles him. They missed him badly last season when they made a mistake letting him walk and handing the backup tight end position over to Matthew Mulligan. It is unusual that a team who is going to be so run heavy still lacks a blocking tight end. Jeff Cumberland is a nice receiving option, particularly in the red-zone but he is a basically a taller/slower Dustin Keller. Hayden Smith isn’t going to be ready this season. Do not be surprised to see the Jets consider a player like Daniel Graham who could give them 12-15 plays a game of solid blocking.
4. War Machine – There seems to be a genuine split amongst Jets fans on whether or not Shonn Greene can handle being the “Bell-Cow” back Rex Ryan talks him up as. Greene’s ceiling feels like 275 carries, 1100 yards and 7 touchdowns with a few receptions thrown in. That is okay if the Jets get needed support from Joe McKnight, Bilal Powell, Terrance Ganaway and Tim Tebow. If McKnight is used the proper way and can stay healthy, he has the skill set to be a very good third down back. Tebow will be a major factor in short yardage and near the goal-line, which doesn’t leave much work for Powell (who I could see being cut) or Ganaway. Most disagree but I say protect yourself by signing Cedric Benson or Ryan Grant. If Greene goes down for 4 weeks, do you trust a McKnight/Powell/Ganaway platoon to carry the “Ground and Pound” load?
5. Wide Receiver Rotation – It will be interesting to see how reps and targets shake out. Early reports indicate that Dustin Keller is going to be the featured player in the passing game, maybe even more so than Santonio Holmes. Regardless, I think Holmes will be good for a solid bounce-back season. He won’t put up Pro-Bowl numbers in this offense but the key is making big plays, particularly after the catch and remaining clutch as usual. Opposite him, Stephen Hill will be the de facto starter but if he struggles to stay healthy in camp don’t be surprised to see Chaz Schilens getting a good chunk of reps on the outside. There is no shame in bringing Hill along slowly if Schilens is productive. Both players have the size and speed to stretch the defense and take attention away from Holmes. In the slot, Jeremy Kerley should perform the Davone Bess role from Sparano’s days in Miami and be a major factor on third downs.
6.Really? – Ron Jaworski made a fairly on-point analysis of Mark Sanchez when going through his QB rankings but putting him 23rd in the league? How could you watch film of Sanchez, Sam Bradford, Josh Freeman and Matt Cassel last year and put Sanchez behind the three of them? Sanchez fits somewhere in the 16-20 range right now. Who would I rate ahead of him right now? Brady. Brees. P. Manning. E. Manning. Rodgers. Big Ben. Rivers. Romo. Vick. Stafford. Newton. Hasselbeck. Schaub. Ryan. Cutler are my top 15 (in no particular order). After that you are looking at a next group of Dalton, Palmer, Flacco, Sanchez and Alex Smith in some type of order. Don’t put Freeman in front of him. Don’t put Bradford in front of him. No Kevin Kolb. No rookies who haven’t played yet. No Jake Locker. No Cassel. Nobody on Jacksonville. Nobody on Seattle. Certainly no Ryan Fitzpatrick or anybody or Miami.
7. Really, Really? – Tim Tebow made the NFL’s Top 100 list and Nick Mangold didn’t? Mangold is the best center in the NFL and probably one of the 30 best players in the league. Tebow? Probably the 30th best quarterback in the league.
8. An Early Shot – After a whole summer of talk about the running game. Can’t you see the Jets going play action, deep post to Holmes on the first play from scrimmage this season against Buffalo?
9. Big Plays – Where will they come from this season? Holmes makes big plays after the catch, so he needs the ball in space. Stephen Hill should be targeted on a couple of “go” routes per game. Joe McKnight is dangerous in the screen game and maybe Jeremy Kerley can rip off a big play on a reverse or on a quick screen. Obviously, Tebow is a factor here if he can break the pocket or springs a quarterback draw.
11. 5 Game Exaggeration – The chatter about Sanchez struggling out of the gate because of the Jets schedule, leading to Tebow replacing him are over exaggerated. In week 1, the Jets play Buffalo who Sanchez is 5-1 against in his career. Last year in their two meeting his quarterback rating was 92.9 and 90.2, respectively. In week 2, they travel to Pittsburgh where Sanchez played two very good games in 2010, including one in the AFC Championship Game. Week 3 they are at Miami, who Sanchez has played well against in 4 of his 6 career games against them, including 3 games with a QB Rating over 95. Week 4 is against San Francisco which will be a challenge but at least the Jets are home and week 5 is against Houston at home. Sanchez is 2-0 against the Texans.
12. Won’t Be Elite, Don’t Need To Be – The Jets offense won’t be elite this year. Yet, with the defense they should have. If they can protect the football, run the ball consistently and hit the big play on a weekly basis, it will be good enough for the Jets to be a playoff caliber team.
TOJ shines the light on 12 New York Jets who haven’t received much attention this off-season
The goal of this Friday’s 12 pack is to discuss twelve players on the New York Jets roster who haven’t been mentioned much, if at all this off-season. Middle class and bottom of the roster players play a crucial role in forming a deep, playoff-caliber team. Let’s give “the other guys” their day in the sun here at Turn On The Jets. Crack open the 12 pack, give us a follow on Facebook and Twitter…and enjoy –
1. Greg McElroy – The other guy in the quarterback room besides Tebowmania and The Sanchize. McElroy showed promise last pre-season and looked like he could be a long term backup for the team. He surrounded himself in some controversy by criticizing the locker room environment last year. This is an important season for McElroy to establish that he can be a backup quarterback in the NFL.
2. Josh Mauga – A forgotten man at linebacker since the Jets selected Demario Davis in the third round. However, Mauga has the skill set to be a very good special teams player and a capable backup at inside linebacker. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see him in certain sub packages on defense because he has decent coverage skills compared to the rest of the linebacker group.
3. Ricky Sapp – He has received a little hype from the coaching staff as a role player/backup at outside linebacker. If he can stay healthy and produce with the second team in the pre-season, there is no reason he shouldn’t stick on the 53 man roster. Sapp has intriguing pass rushing skills.
4. Ellis Lankster – It looks like he will be the fourth corner heading into the season, which is an important part of Rex Ryan’s defense. Lankster will also be relied on to be a core special teams player, replacing Marquice Cole on many of the coverage units. The fact that the Jets didn’t sign Chris Johnson, after kicking his tires, shows their faith in Lankster to take on an expanded role.
5. Patrick Turner – By all accounts, he had a very strong practice this week and took advantage of Stephen Hill being on the sideline with a hamstring injury. Turner has good size and is familiar with Tony Sparano’s offense. He had a few catches last season and will battle it out with Chaz Schilens and Jordan White for the 4th and 5th spot on the receiver depth chart behind Santonio Holmes, Stephen Hill and Jeremy Kerley.
6. John Conner – What ever happened to “The Terminator?” He was average at best last season and didn’t contribute much overall. Can he take on a bigger, more important role in Tony Sparano’s offense? His lead blocking will be crucial to helping establish the Jets as a power running team again and he also is a good short yardage back.
7. Jeff Cumberland – If the season started today, he’d be the number two tight end. Cumberland has good size and hands but similar to Dustin Keller, he is more of a receiver than blocker. If Cumberland can become more consistent blocking, he should see a good chunk of playing time in Tony Sparano’s offense.
8. Bilal Powell – Many (including myself) think that rookie Terrance Ganaway has the ability to pass him up on the depth chart. However, let’s not forget Powell was a fourth round pick and despite a disappointing rookie year should get a good chance in the pre-season to stake a claim on the third running back spot on the depth chart.
9. Matt Kroul – Competing with Caleb Schlauderaff (Mike Tannenbaum’s favorite player) for the backup center position behind Nick Mangold. He also has the ability to play guard. Kroul is a former defensive lineman. You know who also used to be a defensive lineman? Brandon Moore.
10. Tanner Purdum – You never want to hear about the long snapper but Purdum will be back for his second season with the team. The James Dearth era is truly over.
11. Martin Tevaseau – Competing with Kenrick Ellis for reps in the defensive line rotation. He has the advantage of Ellis missing the first few days of training camp because of a jail sentence.
12. Nick Bellore – A linebacker who will have a tough time seeing any reps on defense but does have the ability to become a quality special teams player. He is firmly on the bubble of the 53 man roster after the Jets selected Demario Davis in the third round.