Turn On The Jets Week 9 NFL Picks

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their picks for week 9 of the NFL season

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (67-49-3)

2. Rob Celletti (61-53-5)

3. Chris Gross (57-58-4)

4. Chris Celletti (53-62-4)

5. Joe Caporoso (48-67-4)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (3-11!)

  • Denver (-3.5) vs. Cincy
  • Green Bay (-10) vs. Arizona
  • Colts (+2) vs. Dolphins
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs. Browns
  • Texans (-10) vs. Buffalo
  • Panthers (+3) vs. Redskins
  • Jags (+5.5) vs. Lions
  • Bears (-3.5) vs. Titans
  • Vikings (+4) vs. Seattle
  • Tampa (+1.5) vs. Oakland
  • Giants (-3) vs. Steelers
  • Falcons (-3.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Eagles (+3) vs. Saints

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (7-7)

  • Broncos -3.5
  • Cardinals +10
  • Colts +2
  • Browns +3.5
  • Bills +10
  • Redskins -3
  • Lions -4.5
  • Titans +3.5
  • Vikings +4
  • Raiders -1.5
  • Giants -3
  • Cowboys +3.5
  • Eagles +3

Rob Celletti

Last Week (9-5)

  • Broncos (-3.5)
  • Cardinals (+10)
  • Colts (+2)
  • Ravens(-3.5)
  • Texans (-10)
  • Redskins (-3)
  • Jaguars (+5)
  • Bears (-3.5)
  • Seahawks (-4)
  • Raiders (-1.5)
  • Giants (-3)
  • Falcons (-3.5)
  • Eagles (+3)

Chris Celletti

Last Week (6-8)

  • Broncos (-3.5)
  • Packers (-10)
  • Colts (+2)
  • Browns (+3.5)
  • Texans (-10)
  • Redskins (-3)
  • Lions (-5)
  • Bears(-3.5)
  • Seahawks (-4)
  • Raiders (-1.5)
  • Giants (-3)
  • Cowboys (+3.5)
  • Eagles (+3)

Chris Gross

Last Week (6-8)

  • Broncos (-3.5)
  • Packers (-10)
  • Dolphins (-2)
  • Ravens (-3.5)
  • Texans (-10)
  • Panthers (+3)
  • Jaguars (+5.5)
  • Bears (-3.5)
  • Seahawks (-4)
  • Bucs (+1.5)
  • Giants (-3)
  • Cowboys (+3.5)
  • Eagles (+3)

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 9 – Bye Week Predictions

12 predictions for the second half of the New York Jets season

The Turn On The Jets 12 pack went 7-1 throughout the first half of the year predicting the outcome of New York Jets games. Here are 12 predictions for the second half of the season as we take a weekend to regain our sanity after a disappointing first half –

1. Let’s get the record out of the way first. Siding with optimism and a hope that this team won’t quit on Rex Ryan, I think they manage a 5-3 record against a soft schedule en route to a 8-8 record. This will leave them on the outside looking in for the playoffs likely due to a tie-breaker, as I do think a 8-8 team will make the playoffs in the AFC.

2. Moving to the quarterbacks next, Mark Sanchez, barring injury, will start every game the rest of the season.

3. Shonn Greene will barely crack 1,000 yards and finish with 8 touchdowns.

4. Jeremy Kerley will finish somewhere between 950-1,000 yards receiving.

5. Dustin Keller will have a very good second half, finishing with 50 catches and 4 touchdowns on the season.

6. Quinton Coples will have 3 sacks over the last 8 games, finishing with 5 on the season which could very well end up leading the team.

7. Bart Scott won’t play over 30 reps in a game the rest of the season.

8. Stephen Hill will steadily improve over the second half of the season, averaging 3 catches per game and catching 3 more touchdowns.

9. Tim Tebow will score a touchdown at some point this season.

10. Vlad Ducasse will be the starting guard by the end of the season.

11. Joe McKnight will finish the season strongly on both offense and special teams.

12. The only three Jets who will make the Pro Bowl will be Nick Mangold, Antonio Cromartie and D’Brickashaw Ferguson.

The New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream Returns – Week 9 Viewing Guide

The New York Jets playoff pipe dream returns…working to keep your faint hopes alive for postseason football

Back in 2009 when Turn On The Jets was still a member of the Fanball Sports Network, we ran a weekly series of articles over the second half of the season as the New York Jets made an improbable run to the playoffs. If you remember, the Jets dropped to 4-6 that season but due to the general mediocrity of the conference, they were able to rally back against a soft schedule and make the playoffs at 9-7. Every bit as unlikely it seems that the Jets will make the playoffs this season, it was even more unlikely in 2009 when they dropped to 4-6 after getting smacked by the New England Patriots. Maybe we are being superstitious. Maybe we are just bored. Regardless, here is the starting point for the Jets playoff pipe dream –

The Current Standings

  1. Houston (6-1)
  2. Baltimore (5-2)
  3. New England (5-3)
  4. Denver (4-3)
  5. Miami (4-3)
  6. Indy (4-3)
  7. Pittsburgh (4-3)
  8. San Diego (3-4)
  9. Oakland (3-4)
  10. Buffalo (3-4)
  11. Cincy (3-4)
  12. Jets (3-5)
  13. Tennessee (3-5)
  14. Cleveland (2-6)
  15. Jacksonville (1-6)
  16. Kansas City (1-6)

Second Half Schedule

Realistically, the Jets need to go 6-2 over the second half of their season to have hopes of stealing a wild-card. Here is one man’s opinion of the order of difficulty of their remaining games –

  1. At Seattle – Considering their pass rush and their homefield advantage. This isn’t a great match-up for the Jets to say the least.
  2. Vs New England – Most would probably put New England higher than Seattle. I disagree. The Jets will have confidence from their early season match-up and New England still has their issues on defense.
  3. At St. Louis – A tough place to play. A tough defense and an offense led by Brian Schottenheimer that will empty out the entire playbook.
  4. At Tennessee – Not an easy place to play and they have weapons on offense.
  5. At Buffalo – The Jets have had Buffalo’s number under Rex Ryan, regardless of where the game is.
  6. Vs San Diego – The bottom is falling out on their season and the Jets have had their number. Never mind getting them at home in December.
  7. Vs Arizona – In the middle of a 4 game losing streak that could be much longer by this match-up. Another warm weather team coming to MetLife in December.
  8. At Jacksonville – TEEEE-BOWWWW

As you can see, we are going to find out right out of the gate if the Jets are going to compete the second half of the season or not. Their three hardest games are their first three games. They need to find a way to take 2 of those 3, which leaves them at 5-6 needing to go 4-1 against Arizona,  Jacksonville, Tennessee, San Diego, Buffalo…not the craziest of thoughts. Right? Right?!

Week 9 Viewing Guide

Kansas City (1-6) at San Diego (3-4) – Root for the Chiefs. A loss here puts San Diego’s season in complete chaos and means they probably aren’t playing for anything in the December match-up against the Jets.

Denver (4-3) at Cincinnati (3-4) – Root for Denver, who is going to win the AFC West and could hurt a AFC wild-card contender.

Baltimore (5-2) at Cleveland (2-6) – Root for Cleveland. Keep the AFC bunched together.

Chicago (6-1) at Tennessee (3-5) – Root for Chicago. Always go NFC.

Miami (4-3) at Indianapolis (4-3) – Root for the Colts. The Jets have a tie-breaker with them and who wants to see Miami win?

Buffalo (3-4) at Houston (6-1) – Root for the Texans. Knock Buffalo a little further out of contention.

Tampa (3-4) at Oakland (3-4) – Root for the Bucs. Always go NFC.

Pittsburgh (4-3) at Giants (6-2) – G-MENNN.

Keep the pipe dream alive!

TOJ Thursday Night Picks

  • Joe – Chiefs (+7.5)
  • Chris C – Chiefs (+7.5)
  • Rob – Chargers (-7.5)
  • Mike – Chargers (-7.5)
  • Chris G – Chiefs (+7.5)

 

New York Jets – Five Long Term Solutions

Five long term solutions for the New York Jets

We already went over five short term solutions for the New York Jets this week, let’s widen the lens a little bit and look at five long term solutions to prevent this team from wallowing in mediocrity –

1 – Improve the scouting and player personnel decision making process – Ideally, this would require firing GM Mike Tannenabaum who has worn out his stay and is a better fit as a salary cap/numbers guy not a primary decision maker on football players. However, our sources insist that Tannenbaum isn’t going anywhere this off-season. We can only then hope Tannenbaum upgrades his scouting department, gets Terry Bradway out of the organization and brings in a strong minded personnel guy who is given some authority. Given the amount of needs the Jets have this off-season, they can’t afford to miss on any draft picks or make any more ill advised decisions in free agency.

2 – Make a decision at quarterback and go all in – Mark Sanchez is likely going to be the quarterback in 2013 because of how his contract is structured. Jets fans need to accept that reality. There isn’t any savior in free agency and they likely aren’t spending a first round pick on a quarterback because of where their pick will be and because of how many other needs they have. Regardless of if Sanchez is the quarterback in 2014 and beyond it is time to build a strong foundation for him to succeed with next year and for whoever the quarterback is in 2014 to succeed with as well. Get Tim Tebow out of town. Find a legitimate quarterback coach. Improve the offensive line and rebuild your group of running backs. The long term situation at receiver has potential with Jeremy Kerley and Stephen Hill, along with Jordan White maybe eventually developing into a capable slot receiver.

3 – Stop ignoring the pass rush – Enough of the gimmicks and ignoring the outside linebacker situation. You need to be able to rush the quarterback in today’s NFL. The Jets top four outside linebackers: Calvin Pace, Bryan Thomas, Aaron Maybin and Garrett McIntyre should all be gone next year. Their void needs to be filled aggressively through both the draft and free agency. Start saturating this team with pass rushers to compliment the young pieces you have up front in Muhammad Wilkerson, Quinton Coples and Kenrick Ellis.

4 – Learn when to say good-bye and hello – Too frequently the Jets have brought back the wrong players for another year (Anthony Clement and Adrien Clarke in 2007, Eric Smith in 2011, Wayne Hunter, Bart Scott, and Calvin Pace this year) and let the wrong players walk (Braylon Edwards, Jerricho Cotchery, Damien Woody). They can’t afford to continue making those mistakes. Don’t pay Shonn Greene a cent. Let him walk. Say good-bye to Bart Scott, Bryan Thomas, Calvin Pace, Matt Slauson and Austin Howard this off-season. If Dustin Keller can finish the season strong and healthy bring him back, as he is a valuable weapon for a quarterback. However, find a strong blocking tight end to pair with him. Bring LaRon Landry back on a long term deal, as long as he stays healthy over the second half of the season.

5 – Speed – The team motto was supposed to be “one step faster” this year but we haven’t seen it. On both sides of the ball the Jets are in desperate need of speed that is properly utilized. This needs to be a major focal point when rebuilding the outside linebacker and running back position.

Jets Should Be Honest With Themselves

TJ Rosenthal on the Jets needing to be honest with themselves

The Jets are 3-5 and already, some outlets like the NY Post have already begun to envision mounting losses and a head coach on the hot seat. We won’t go to that extreme yet. So much can change week to week in the NFL. Even for a team that was as putrid as Gang Green was last Sunday. What the Jets brass ought to do with this bye week is begin to better assess and accept what they’ve seen over eight weeks. Then plan accordingly.

Hoping and praying won’t change a defense that can’t get to the QB. Believing in Mark Sanchez won’t impart him with the “go to guy” mentality of a pure scorer on a shaky NBA team. One who knows the only way to elevate others is to play lights out himself first. Talking about using Tim Tebow publicly, doesn’t guarantee doing it, and won’t change doubting minds who will view his signing as a marketing ploy until #15 becomes a weapon with a real role.

We know key players are hurt. It’s the strategy of trying to simply fill failing components through, that has run it’s course. The only power that Ryan and GM Mike Tannenbaum have left to steer this season back on track is in being proactive. Fixing something they honestly know is broken. No matter whose feelings are hurt or whose original assessments are proven to have been off base.

The trade deadline is today. Maybe a move or two can help. Shuffling the deck with the cards already in place is also an option. Blind faith or stubbornness isn’t.

Not now. Not with a season that went from being ninety seconds away from first place in Foxboro, to on the brink after a disaster at home, in a span of just seven days.

New York Jets – Who Wants To Make A Trade?

A somewhat serious look at the trade value of players on the New York Jets roster

Perhaps Mike Tannenbaum is burning up the phone lines today before the NFL’s trade deadline in hopes of improving his decrepit roster. Here is a look at the estimated value of some players on the New York Jets who they might like to part with –

Tim Tebow – Backup quarterback who isn’t trusted to throw or run a standard NFL offense/Perpetual media headache/H-Back who can’t catch/Punt protector who can’t block – 

Estimated Value – Conditional 7th round pick, which is sent if Tebow can throw 10 straight 10 yard passes without one-hopping more than half of them or a lock of Blaine Gabbert’s hair. Tannenabum should also consider this if Jaguars owner Shahid Khan agrees to shave his mustache.

Bart Scott – Run stopping linebacker who misses a bunch of tackles and can’t cover a single a skill position player in the NFL/High maintenance in the locker room/Wildly overpaid

Estimated Value – An extra sweater vest for Rex Ryan to wear for December home games.

Calvin Pace – Pass rushing linebacker who can’t get to the quarterback/Prone to foolish statements to the media/Wildly overpaid

Estimated Value – Jamaal Westerman or Marques Murrell…maybe with a Chad Cascadden jersey thrown in if Tannenbaum plays his cards right.

Aaron Maybin – Designated pass rusher who has no pass rushing moves/Gives more quotes to the New York media than any player roster despite playing 5 snaps a game (AKA “Tebow reps”) 

Estimated Value – The leading tackler on the worst team currently in the UFL…is that still a league?

Shonn Greene – Bell Cow who isn’t a top 30 running back in the NFL/Doesn’t know a single juke move/Enjoys running directly into defenders when it is unnecessary

Estimated Value – Rod “He Hate Me” Smart. Cedric Houston.

Kyle Wilson – First round corner who frequently gets beat deep by mediocre receivers and then wags his finger after

Estimated Value – A ticket to the annual Jets/Eagles pre-season game, in the non-PSL seats. “It’s Go Time!”

New York Jets – Five Short Term Solutions

Five short term solutions for the New York Jets so they don’t embarrass themselves the rest of 2012

Five short term solutions for the New York Jets so they don’t embarrass themselves for the rest of the 2012-2013 season. Check back later in the week for five long term solutions, so the Jets can be a competitive team in the AFC in the coming years. 

1 – Use A Sensible Tebow Plan – The type of plan everybody assumed the Jets were going to use this summer. This offense is short on playmakers, particularly in the running game so there is a viable role for Tebow this season. Use him in every short yardage situation out of an empty formation. Let him run option with players that have speed like Jeremy Kerley and Joe McKnight. Lull a defense to sleep with him running a few times and then let him take a shot down the field. Stop lining him up at receiver or H-Back. He has zero value there and you are playing 10 on 11 in those situations. Turn him into your primary second rushing option behind Shonn Greene.

2 – More Jeremy Kerley, More Joe McKnight – Jeremy Kerley needs 8-12 touches on a weekly basis, regardless of whether or not defenses are keying on him. Take a look at how Green Bay uses Randall Cobb. They line him up in the backfield. He is in the slot. He is out wide. He is catching screens, going down the field and taking handoffs or pitches. Kerley should be doing the same thing in this offense. Give him 4-5 carries a week. Give a few wide receiver screens. They will be easy completions for Mark Sanchez and let Kerley make plays in space. As for McKnight, hopefully he gets healthy over the bye week. If he does, McKnight needs to get more carries and become a factor in the screen game, along with taking reps lined up at wide receiver. The Jets must utilize what few players they do have who can make people miss and have speed.

3 – Young and Varied On Defense – We have seen signs of this already but Rex Ryan needs to scrap the 3-4 as his predominant defense. The Jets personnel fits better this year with a 4-3 or 46 look, particularly when Kenrick Ellis returns healthy. At linebacker, the Jets simply can’t afford to keep playing Bryan Thomas major reps and Calvin Pace needs to see his time cutback as well. Give Marcus Dowtin more playing time. Get Antonio Allen in the box for certain looks. Call up Ricky Sapp from the practice squad. In the secondary, give Aaron Berry an extended look on the outside and in the slot. Cut back Kyle Wilson’s reps and cut back any reps that Ellis Lankster is receiving.

4 – Don’t Be Gimmick Shy – The Jets aren’t going to match-up well with many teams over their last eight games so a “kitchen-sink” approach is going to frequently make sense. Don’t shy away from the fake punts. Don’t shy away from Antonio Cromartie on offense. Don’t walk into games thinking you are just going to push teams around and play smash-mouth football because you don’t have the personnel for it.

5. Offensive Line Shuffle – Now is the time to make this switch, so there is extra practice time for the new front five to work together – move Vladimir Ducasse and Jason Smith into the staring line-up and get Matt Slauson and Austin Howard out. No more 1/2 and 1/2 for Slauson and Ducasse. You know he isn’t the long term answer and his level of play is comparable to Ducasse, so give Vlad 8 games here to see if he has any chance of being a long term answer. Howard has been below average all season and also isn’t a long term answer. Smith has first round talent and has been pretty good as an extra tight end. Give him eight games here, see if he could be better than Howard and if could be part of the equation going forward.