Turn On The Jets Offensive Film Breakdown – Jets vs. Colts

An offensive film breakdown of the New York Jets game against the Indianpolis Colts

This week’s Turn On The Jets offensive film breakdown is going to focus more on the running game, considering their success this past Sunday. Make sure you check back later in the day for our defensive film breakdown from Chris Gross – 

This was a banner performance from the New York Jets offensive line, particularly guards Matt Slauson and Brandon Moore. They were dominant at the point of attack and consistently driving Colts defenders 4-5 yards off the football. Offensive coordinator Tomy Sparano was heavily reliant on Moore pulling into the hole and clearing out space for Greene. On his 21 yard run in the first quarter, look at the hole cleared out by Moore and then sealed off by Konrad Reuland and D’Brickashaw Ferguson. You won’t see a better blocked play in the NFL than this one –

Tight ends Dustin Keller, Jason Smith and even Jeff Cumberland deserve credit for their contributions in the running game. Keller in particular looked like a different player blocking against the run. Sparano’s game plan was built around the tight ends having a large role as blockers, not pass catchers and they responded.

While plenty of credit goes to the offense line, we won’t shy away from giving plenty to Shonn Greene. More impressive than his 21 yard run was this 7 yard one below, which showed vision, patience and power. Greene played this entire game in a different gear and finally ran like the true power back the Jets expect him to be. On this play, Greene correctly extends horizontally to get behind the pulling Matt Slauson

He sees the hole, plants and sharply cuts inside of it without stumbling or slowing down. This has been a frequent problem for him this season. Even more impressive, he began to absorb contact around a 2-3 yard gain on this play but charged forward and dragged three defenders and turned it into a 7 yard gain. Greene got more yards than were blocked up for him, instead of leaving yards on the field.

On his 10 yard touchdown run we saw more of the same. Greene quickly locates the hole and hits it at full speed. He is untouched until the 5 yard line when he is met by two defenders, with a third closing in. He absorbs contact and then keeps his legs churning to drag all three of them into the end-zone. By any standard, against any defense this a very impressive run. If he continues to play like this, the Jets offense has a chance to be consistently successful.

Finally a quick look at how the Jets properly used Tim Tebow. On a 3rd and 1 near the goal-line, the Jets lined Tebow up at quarterback with two running backs behind him, a variation of the Pistol formation. Tebow quickly calls for a shift to five wide. Look in the second image at how much confusion it causes on the Colts defense. When they settle, the Jets have 7 blockers in front of Tebow to deal with 8 Colts in the box. The Jets will take this match-up every single day of the week on a 3rd and 1 with Tebow under center. They should literally run this play every single time on 3rd and 2 or less until a defense shows they can stop it.

Other Observations 

Mark Sanchez – He was not asked to do much in this game but played very well in his limited opportunities. In particular, his two touchdown passes were throws into tight windows. On the touchdown to Stephen Hill, he showed terrific chemistry with the young receiver as Hill properly broke the route off, Sanchez recognized it immediately and fired the ball in. Of his seven incompletions, one was a drop by Jeff Cumberland, one was thrown away on a busted screen, and one should have pass interference on the defender covering Chaz Schilens down the sideline. The only bad throw he missed was Jeremy Kerley down the seam on a third down where his timing was off.

Wide Receivers – Chaz Schilens still has a bad rep with some fans because of his injuries over the summer. The reality is that he has been very good for the Jets, catching 12 passes on 16 targets. He is turning into a favorite target of Sanchez on third downs and rightfully so. He runs sharp routes and aggressively attacks the ball in the air. He will be an important player in the Jets passing game moving forward. Stephen Hill also looked good in limited reps. He caught the ball well and did a nice job using his size to shield off defenders when catching a deep stop route and a slant.

New York Jets Week 6 Grade Report – High Marks

The grade report for the New York Jets week 6 trouncing of the New England Patriots

Quarterbacks (A) – Easy to laugh at a (A) for a 82 yard passing day for Mark Sanchez. However, he didn’t need to do anymore. He completed 60 percent of his passes, moved the chains when he needed to and hit two touchdown passes into tight windows. Most importantly, there were no turnovers. New England’s secondary is awful, particularly down the middle against the deep ball so the game-plan will be more aggressive next week and Sanchez needs to respond. That Tebow guy had a nice conversion on a 3rd and short.

Running Backs (A+) – Shonn Greene played his best game since the 2009 playoffs, racking up over 160 yards and 3 touchdowns. Most importantly, he broke tackles and made a few people miss. He ran decisively and showed better vision than in previous weeks. Joe McKnight also ripped off a 61 yard run. It sounds like despite an ankle injury, he will be able to play this week. Bilal Powell saw limited action and dislocated his shoulder. He will likely be out a few games.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends (A) – The entire group made contributions. Stephen Hill caught all three of the passes thrown to him, including one for a touchdown and two for first downs. Jeremy Kerley had three more catches. Chaz Schilens converted a pair of third downs and even Jason Hill pulled in a short touchdown catch. Dustin Keller had a nice game blocking of all things while Jeff Cumberland continued to struggle in that role and also dropped a pass.

Offensive Line (A+) – A long overdue dominating performance from the Jets frequently maligned offensive line. They pushed the Colts all over the field and imposed their will in the running game. Sanchez was also given a clean pocket and only sacked once on the day.

Defensive Line (A) – Signs of life from the pass rush. Muhammad Wilkerson was all over the field, finishing with 7 tackles, a sack, a forced fumble, a tackle for a loss and a pass defensed. Quinton Coples recorded 1.5 sacks, making him already that much better than Vernon Gholson (as Mike Tannenbaum breathes a sigh of relief). Mike DeVito deserves praise for holding down the fort at nose tackle with Sione Pouha and Kenrick Ellis out.

Linebackers (B) – A quiet day overall from this unit but they performed in the running game. Demario Davis is starting to see extended playing time and looks active rushing the passer. Bart Scott and David Harris only combined for 5 tackles, a rarity.

Secondary (A) – Antonio Cromartie continued his All-Pro caliber season pulling in another interception and slowing down Reggie Wayne. Rookie Antonio Allen recorded his first career sack. LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell were active in the running game and combined for an impressive 17 tackles. A quiet day for Kyle Wilson, which is a good thing.

Special Teams (A) – Another week, another converted fake punt. Well-designed by Mike Westhoff and well executed by Tim Tebow and Nick Bellore.

Coaching (A) – Rex Ryan deserves credit for building this team back up after they were embarrassed a few weeks ago by San Francisco. They are headed in the right direction and appear ready to be a factor in the increasingly wide open AFC. Tony Sparano executed the type of game plan he talked about all summer on offense and Mike Pettine’s defense had their best game of the year.

 

Sanchez Breakdown: Efficient, Sufficient

Rob Celletti breaks down Mark Sanchez’s performance against the Indianapolis Colts

Stat line: 11/18, 82 Yards, 2 touchdowns – 109.0 QB rating, 61.1 completion percentage

Season stats: 88/177, 1,125 Yards, 8 touchdowns, 6 interceptions – 70.9 QB rating, 49.7 completion percentage

To start this week’s breakdown, why not hear it from Mark Sanchez himself?

“A good running game, a good defense with three takeaways and a good special teams. Those are all a quarterback’s best friend.”

Damn right, Mark! This is a team game, and Sunday’s game was a great example of how, despite being the most important position in football, the quarterback simply cannot be asked to win every single game on his own – especially when he’s working with a patchwork stable of skill players. The Jets’ revived rushing attack enabled to Sanchez to keep the game simple, and also afforded him some holes to throw into in the red zone.

The Best: People who are quick to dismiss Sanchez seem to forget that last year, he was one of the best red zone quarterbacks in the NFL. This season though, Sanchez has committed a few backbreaking, game-changing turnovers with the Jets on the doorstep. Yesterday, “Good” Sanchez made a return inside the 20. Both of the touchdown throws illustrated that Sanchez is a more-than-capable player at this level. The Stephen Hill score showed great patience by Sanchez and a rapidly developing chemistry with his rookie wideout, as it appeared that Hill’s route was originally supposed to take him across the back of the end zone. Seeing that the left corner was vacated, Hill broke the route and gave Sanchez a target, which he did not miss (this, by the way, is another throw that the other quarterbacks on the Jets roster cannot make: Tebow lacks the accurace, McElroy the arm strength). The Jason Hill touchdown was an easy pitch and catch which displayed good arm strength and accuracy from Sanchez (and no J.J. Watt to tip the pass at the line of scrimmage).

The Worst: In such a blowout, being negative on any part of the quarterback’s game would be nitpicking. The bottom line is that Sanchez just needed to be efficient. The Colts didn’t pose much of a threat offensively, and the Jets had established dominance on the ground. Some people might be irked by the fact that the Jets had two consecutive three and outs to open the 3rd quarter. The passing game also lacked any sort of downfield element, which it absolutely needs going forward.

The Key Moment: Eric Mangini (yes, I just went there) used to speak of playing “complementary football,” which was his ludicrous way of saying that good play on defense leads to good offense, which leads to good special teams, and around and around we go. This was on display yesterday. When Antonio Cromartie intercepted Andrew Luck in the 2nd quarter, the Jets were only up 7-3.  Starting with the ball on the Colts’ 35, the Jets simply had to convert that turnover into a touchdown, to put an inferior opponent and its rookie quarterback behind the 8-ball. Sanchez only had to complete two passes on this drive, but one was a key 12 yarder to Chaz Schilens on 3rd and 6. Again, being held to a field goal here maybe keeps the Colts in the game, but the Jets scored a touchdown and were on their way to a much-needed rout.

The Jets took care of business at home against a below-average Colts team. 82 yards from Sanchez will not be enough next week to beat New England. The Jets had success throwing long against the Texans and throwing short, intermediate and in the red zone against the Colts. They will need a complete performance from Sanchez to pull the upset. He showed he could do it in Week 1, but consistency has always been the issue for #6, so we’ll see what he comes up with in Week 7.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 6 – Jets/Colts Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Colts

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 27, Colts 10 – The Jets are coming off consecutive losses at home to what are arguably the league’s two best teams. New York hasn’t lost three consecutive home games since Rex Ryan’s first year as head coach, back in 2009. Conversely, the Colts are coming off a very inspired, hard fought victory at home to the Green Bay Packers. Andrew Luck has looked quite sharp all year, relying heavily on veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne as his primary receiving option. However, Luck has yet to face a defense quite like Ryan’s unit, a task normally difficult to prepare for for any quarterback, especially a rookie, on the road. Look for the Jets to come out extremely aggressive, defensively, to try to hit and rattle the youngster early. Antonio Cromartie has been playing elite level football, and if he can continue his dominant play against Wayne, Indianapolis will need to rely heavily on Luck and their subpar running game.

Offensively, the Jets have looked anything but sharp since their week 1 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. However, since dominating Buffalo, New York has face 4 consecutive defenses ranked within the top 11 in run defense. Look for the ground game to finally get going this week, with Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell leading the way. Whether or not Greene deserves carries is certainly up for debate, but based on the vote of confidence he received from Rex Ryan this week, it looks like he will continue to get the majority of the load for Gang Green, at least for now.

Mark Sanchez also gets back two key players to his receiving corps in Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill. Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez a nice feeling of security and confidence as he tries to lead this extremely young group of skill position players to victory. With key veterans like Santonio Holmes out, Sanchez needs to assume that leadership role and begin to make everyone around him better. Whether or not he has the ability to do that at this point still remains to be seen, but look for this offense to do enough to contribute to a double digit victory and get back to .500.

Mike Donnelly – I think the Jets whole season is coming down to this game against the Colts. If they lose this, we might as well start checking out the 2013 draft classes, because the Pats are going to steam roll our defense and then Miami is not going to be an easy game. There would be a pretty solid chance we’d be staring at 2-6 heading into the bye, and Rex Ryan knows it. That is why I fully expect this team to come out and play their best game since week 1 against Buffalo. The Colts are coming off a huge win at home against Green Bay and they are primed for a major letdown. They’re outside of their dome, playing in unfamiliar conditions, and as good as Andrew Luck is, he’s still a rookie, and Rex Ryan feasts as rookie quarterbacks. Look for the Jets defense to play very well, confuse Luck, and pull out the win 24-13. Oh, and since no Jets write up is complete without the obligatory Sanchez/Tebow mention, I think Sanchez is going to play very well and silence the critics for at least one week. Jets roll, and in my opinion, the 3 point spread is a gift. After all, Evan Silva has the Colts winning outright.. Just saying.

Chris Celletti – If you read my Best Bets piece, you know I think the Jets are going to win and cover the 3.5 pint spread. I think this is a good combination of the Jets being due to play a good overall, 60 minute football game and the Colts facing a little bit of a let down after an emotional upset win over the Packers last week. As I’ve previously stated, I think the Jets find some success on the ground against the Colts. I’m not saying Shonn Greene will end up with 100+ yards or anything, but I think the Jets as a team go for somewhere around 160 yards, with a good combination of Greene, Bilal Powell, Joe McKnight and Tim Tebow. Here are a few bold predictions, I think both Tebow and Antonio Cromartie score touchdowns – on offense. The Jets’ defense does enough to corral the Colts’ weak running game and confuse Andrew Luck into a few turnovers. As with any Jet game, it’ll be nervy in the fourth quarter, but a late Nick Folk field goal gets the Jets back to .500 with a 24-14 win.

Rob Celletti – Even though the Jets are on a two-game losing streak (which feels like four, considering the level of play the Jets displayed against Miami), it seems like things are starting to turn. The shock of losing Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes is starting to wear off. The defense showed some life in the second half on Monday vs. the Texans. And finally, the Jets face a defense that isn’t ranked in the top 10 in the NFL.

Yes, Andrew Luck is going to be a tough out, but the Colts are coming in off of a very, very emotional home win and are primed for a letdown. The Jets will be able to move the ball on the ground which should set up nicely for Mark Sanchez to finally get some opportunities on playaction. I think the offense will be able to produce 3 touchdowns, which should be enough. Jets 24, Colts 17

Turn On The Jets Week 6 NFL Picks

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their week 6 NFL Picks as the Race For Steak Continues

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (43-33-2)

2. Rob  Celletti (36-38-4)

3. Chris Gross (35-40-3)

4. Chris Celletti (32-43-3)

5. Joe Caporoso (31-44-3)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (7-7)

  • Browns (+2) vs. Bengals
  • Jets (-3) vs. Colts
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins
  • Chiefs (+4.5) vs. Bucs
  • Falcons (-9) vs. Raiders
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3) vs. Lions
  • Rams (+4) vs. Dolphins
  • Patriots (-3.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4.5) vs. Bills
  • Giants (+6.5) vs. 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) vs. Texans
  • Broncos (+1) vs. Chargers

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (7-7)

  • Cowboys +3.5 @ Ravens
  • Bucs -4.5 vs. Chiefs
  • Browns +2 vs. Bengals
  • Lions +3 @ Eagles
  • Raiders +9 @ Falcons
  • Rams +4 @ Dolphins
  • Jets -3 vs. Colts
  • Cardinals -4.5 vs. Bills
  • Seahawks +3.5 vs. Patriots
  • 49ers -6.5 vs. Giants
  • Texans -3.5 vs. Packers
  • Broncos +1 @ Chargers
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-6)

  • Browns (+2) over Bengals
  • Jets (-3) over Colts
  • Bucs (-4) over Chiefs
  • Raiders (+9.5) over Falcons
  • Ravens (-3.5) over Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3.5) over Lions
  • Dolphins (-5) over Rams
  • Patriots (-3.5) over Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4) over Bills
  • Giants (+7) over 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) over Texans
  • Vikings (PK) over Redskins
  • Broncos (-1) over Chargers

Chris Celletti

Last Week (7-7)

  • Bengals -2
  • Jets -3.5
  • Bucs -4.5
  • Raiders +9.5
  • Ravens -3.5
  • Eagles -3
  • Rams +5
  • Pats -3.5
  • Bills +4
  • Giants +7
  • Packers +3.5
  • Vikings PK
  • Broncos PK

Chris Gross

Last Week (10-4)

  • Bengals (-2)
  • Jets (-3)
  • Bucs (-4)
  • Raiders (+9.5)
  • Ravens (-3)
  • Eagles (-3.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Seahawks (+3.5)
  • Cardinals (-4)
  • Giants (+7)
  • Packers (+3.5)
  • Broncos (-1)
  • Vikings (PK)

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 6 – Jets vs. Colts

Turn On The Jets with 12 predictions for Jets/Colts in week 6

Big week here at Turn On The Jets as we added a new banner and an official new tagline to the site. RIP to the Ground and Pound…”Mission To Civilize” is here to stay. 

On to the predictions (5-0 in game picks so far here by the way…just saying) –

1. This will be the last time I ever predict Mark Sanchez to complete over 50% of his passes if he does not do it. But yes, for one last time…Mark Sanchez will complete over 50% of his passes and throw for over 200 yards. He will have a turnover but also throw two touchdowns.

2. Antonio Cromartie will hold Reggie Wayne under 60 yards receiving. Wayne will be a tougher match-up for Cromartie than Andre Johnson because of how the Colts move him around the formation and because he is quicker out of his breaks/a better route runner.

3. More so because of the Colts struggles on offense than the Jets defense, Indianapolis won’t rush for over 100 yards this week.

4. Shonn Greene will rush for over 3.8 yards per carry this Sunday, for the first and maybe last time this season.

5. Jeremy Kerley will catch his third touchdown of the season and lead the Jets with 75 yards receiving.

6. Dustin Keller will catch a touchdown and finish with 4 or more receptions.

7. Andrew Luck will throw for over 250 yards this week but also have a pair of turnovers to go with a touchdown pass.

8. The Jets special teams will make a play that directly leads to points.

9. Jonathan Grimes will get his first carries of the season this week.

10. Tim Tebow won’t play more than 10 total snaps on offense.

11. Nick Folk will continue his perfect season so far, knocking through 2 more field goals.

12. The Jets will snap their 2 game losing streak with an encouraging 20-10 win. Mark Sanchez will play well enough to keep his job another week, which is a good thing because he is guy you want under center against New England.

Turn On The Jets Week 6 Roundtable – Jets vs. Colts Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff breaks down what match-ups they are most looking forward to in Jets/Colts

Make sure to check out Tammany Hall Tavern this weekend for $20 for 20 wings and 2 pitchers of beer. Treat yourself, you deserve it…you are a Jets fan. 

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. The Colts Defense – The Jets need a win and Mark Sanchez needs a strong performance to tone down the Tim Tebow as the starting quarterback talk for a couple of weeks. Sanchez doesn’t have the excuse of going against a strong defense and he will likely have both Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill back. It is time to complete over 50% of your passes. It is time to go a full game without a single turnover. It is time to inspire a little confidence as the Jets head into New England next week. The Jets are much better off with Sanchez under center against the Patriots than Tebow, so let’s hope he can lock down that spot with a strong performance this week.

Chris Gross – Antonio Cromartie vs. Reggie Wayne – Cromartie is coming off what was arguably his best game as a Jet. Wayne, on the other hand, is coming off of a stellar 13 catch, 212 yard, 1 touchdown performance against Green Bay. Wayne has been much rejuvenated this season with the emergence of rookie sensation Andrew Luck, as he has reasserted himself as one of the league’s best Wide Receivers, currently on pace to double his numbers from last season. Cromartie has been playing very Revis-like since the All-World corner tore his ACL in week 3 against Miami. Now comes the real test for Cro. Can he truly be like Revis and shut down the league’s best receivers on a week to week basis? After holding Houston’s Andre Johnson to just one reception last week, Cromartie would be off to a very good start in achieving this consistency with another dominant performance against Wayne. It will be no easy task, but the best in the game have done it. Now it is time to see if Cromartie is really in that elite group of cornerbacks.

Chris Celletti – Jets’ running game vs. Colts’ run defense: If there is one week the Jets are to get going on the ground, it should be this week. The Colts rank 25th in the NFL against the run through five weeks. We have been all over Shonn Greene and the Jets’ putrid running game here at Turn On The Jets, but to play devil’s advocate, the Jets have faced very good run defenses so far this year. The Dolphins, Niners, Texans and Steelers all rank in the top 11 of the NFL against the run so far this year. That doesn’t totally excuse Greene from being the NFL’s worst second-level back, or mean he’s going to all of a sudden look like Adrian Peterson or Arian Foster out there, but he – or for that matter whoever the hell carries the ball for the Jets on Sunday – should be able to be effective. The Jets need it. Mark Sanchez desperately needs it. If the Jets can finally get going on the ground, they should be able to get back to .500 on Sunday.

Mike Donnelly – I’ll make this one short and sweet for this week’s game against the Colts. The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing is the Jets defensive line and pass rush against a rookie QB and his porous offensive line. The Jets are home and the Colts are out of their dome, in hostile territory. Their starting running back is out, so even the lame excuse for run defense we’ve watched the past five games should be able to clamp down and force some 3rd and long situations. If the Jets can’t muster up some kind of pass rush this week against this team, then they truly are a lost cause.

Rob Celletti – Rex Ryan’s scheme vs. Andrew Luck. In 2009 and 2010, one thing about the Jets was a guarantee: they could make quarterbacks of any skill level look foolish, but they could really put a hurting on inexperienced ones. Even last season, everyone knew the Jets would blow out the Jaguars in Week 2 when they trotted Luke McCown out as their starting signal caller.

This year, however, things aren’t so certain.  The Jets’ defense is a shell of its former dominant self, and the quarterback they face on Sunday is no ordinary rookie.  If the Jets are going to win this game – which I do believe they will – one of the key factors is that Rex Ryan needs to figure out a way to confuse and frustrate Andrew Luck. The Jets’ pass rush has been non-existent, so it will be up to the defensive coaches to figure out how to make Luck think twice about the defense as he reads it. The defense actually put in a representative effort against Matt Schaub and the Texans on Monday, particularly in the second half where they only allowed 6 points. Schaub was held to just 14 for 28 passing. Rex likes the term “simulated pressure”, which is ironic, considering the Jets really don’t bring any “actual” pressure. But throwing enough varied looks at Luck should confuse the kid and force him into a turnover or two. If the Jets do that, they have a good chance to even their record at 3-3

THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS

  • Joe – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris C – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris G – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Rob  – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Mike – Tennessee (+6.5)

New York Jets – No Room For Error Against Colts

The New York Jets are facing a must win at home this week against the Colts

In the NFL it is often a foolhardy task to look down the schedule, even in-season and try to predict wins and losses. This is a week to week league and so many things can change in the course of seven days. It was less than a month ago you were probably ready to purchase your Super Bowl tickets after the Jets 48-28 trouncing of the Buffalo Bills, right? Regardless, with the Jets sitting at 2-3 and teetering on the brink of a lost season and a quarterback change, let’s take a quick look down the road.

As of today, the only teams left on the Jets schedule that they have definitively looked better than are the Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans and Buffalo Bills. They should be solid favorites as of now in all those games. The Jets have looked on a comparable level to three other teams left on their schedule, the Miami Dolphins, St. Louis Rams and this week’s opponent, the Indianapolis Colts.

If the Jets want to stay around .500 and keep themselves relevant in the playoff race into December, they need to win games like this week against the Colts. Yes, Indianapolis is better than expected and yes they had an emotional win over Green Bay last week. However, it is logical to assume a letdown after such an emotional win for a young team. The Colts are also much tougher in their dome than on the road. They are also dealing with their own injuries. Starting running back Donald Brown won’t play this week and either will Pro Bowl pass rusher Robert Mathis who is out with a knee injury.

The Colts are feisty because of how talented Andrew Luck is at quarterback and how Reggie Wayne is having a career year as his number one target. Similar to the Jets, they struggle running the ball and now will be starting a rookie fifth rounder at running back (although he very well may be better than Shonn Greene, because who isn’t these days?). The Colts have an inexperienced offensive line and a defense with a suspect secondary. Indy is averaging allowing 27.5 points per game and opposing quarterbacks to throw for 242 yards per game.

Nobody is saying this is a “gimme” game because it certainly isn’t. The Jets don’t have those anymore with their talent level. Regardless this a sharp decline from San Francisco and Houston and will be the worst defense they faced since week 1 by a wide margin. If Mark Sanchez cannot put together a statistically respectable performance and lead the Jets to a win here, he deserves to lose his job and that is coming from somebody who is an unabashed Sanchez apologist. At 2-4 and heading into New England it would be officially be panic time and it would shock nobody if Tim Tebow was inserted as the starter even if it defies logic, considering Tebow was killed in both meetings against them and Sanchez has beat Belichick and company three times.

Regardless, the Jets must stay on track to get into their bye week at 4-4 and set themselves up for relevance heading into November and December. The offense will only get better. There were positive signs this past Monday night and with Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill both back in the line-up this week, the improvement should continue. On defense, Rex Ryan must build on the second half against Houston, where we finally saw signs of a good defense as they contained the Texans to 6 points, despite playing on a short field after an onside kick.

You hate saying games are must-wins because which ones aren’t? It is cliche. It is probably over-exaggerated but Sunday is a must win for the Jets and a must strong performance from Mark Sanchez if he has any of hope of remaining the starting quarterback for the foreseeable future.

Turn On The Jets Week 6 Fantasy Football Preview

Mike Donnelly with his weekly fantasy football preview. Who should you bench and who should you start?

It’s been five weeks of fantasy football so far, and I think that’s a fair amount of time to really start judging pre-season rankings. So, before we get to this week’s recommendations (which you obviously want to read since I killed it last week. Just ignore the part where I was down on Demaryius Thomas and Stevan Ridley.), I’d like to run down my top 5 hits and misses from the preseason. Unlike many of the “experts” out there who take themselves far too seriously (hi, Evan Silva!), I have no problem owning up to my misses, just as I thoroughly enjoy patting myself on the back for my good calls. For the record, in my pre-draft column, I bought and sold 33 players. By my count, 14 were great, 9 were terrible, and 10 would be graded as “incomplete” so far. Let’s run down the best and worst.

Great Calls, If I do Say So Myself

3 QB’s– I’m lumping these three together, because they all pretty much go hand in hand. I bought Ben Roethlisberger and sold Cam Newton and Michael Vick. Roethlisberger has performed as a top 5 fantasy QB so far since his team has absolutely no run game, and plenty of receivers to throw to. Newton on the other hand has been an absolute disaster, and while I didn’t predict this big of a decline, I never would have drafted him as a top 4 QB as many others did, and I certainly wouldn’t have predicted him to win MVP or be the #1 quarterback and overall top scorer. As for Vick, well, he is finally close to accomplishing his goal to become the man with the most fumbles of all time. Well done, Mike!

SOLD: Steven Jackson & BenJarvus Green-Ellis – Steven Jackson fit into my “Draft no Rams” strategy, plus his age and declining production were major red flags. The Law Firm just isn’t a good player, and being the Bengals starting running back wasn’t a major draw for me. Plenty of people are kicking themselves for drafting these two.

BOUGHT: Brandon Marshall – I know, I know. Buying Brandon Marshall wasn’t exactly a bold move, but considering where others had him ranked and where I had him ranked, it was a good call. While many had him as a low end WR1, or even a WR2, I had him solidly inside the top 5, and that’s looking pretty good right now.

BOUGHT: Demaryius Thomas – Perhaps my favorite player heading into this season was Demaryius Thomas, Peyton Manning’s #1 receiver in Denver. While many people were high on him heading into the season, not that many had him inside the top 10. You know who did though? This guy!

SOLD: Steve Smith & Jordy Nelson – I packaged them up together in the column, and I’m packaging them together here because combined they barely equal one very good fantasy WR so far this year. Smith has faced massive double teams while playing with an underperforming quarterback, and Jordy Nelson has been a disaster. The league has figured out the Packers offense, and it turns out guys like Nelson just aren’t that good.

Well, This is Embarrassing..

BOUGHT: Shonn Greene – What can be said about Shonn Greene that hasn’t already been said on this site 500 times? (EDITOR”S NOTE – He is awful…just had to get that in one more time – JC)

SOLD: Adrian Peterson & Maurice Jones-Drew – Both of these guys had major question marks heading into the season. Peterson (torn ACL) has proven to be an absolute freak of nature with how his body healed so quickly, and MJD (holdout) came back and looked like he didn’t miss a beat, even though he’s playing with Blaine Gabbert as his QB.

SOLD: Roddy White – It’s not like I didn’t think White would be good, I just didn’t think he’d be a top 5 WR or even the top receiver on his own team. I had him in the 12-13 range in my pre-season column, and he’s absolutely proven me wrong. (So far. I still believe in Julio!)

SOLD: Victor Cruz – In fairness to me, I only sold him saying he’d take a back seat to Hakeem Nicks this year, and Nicks has missed the majority of the season so far. Like White, I thought Cruz would be good, just in more of a secondary role. 5 touchdowns in five weeks later and I’m starting to regret that call.

SOLD: Tony Gonzalez – Hard to pick between this and Shonn Greene as a worse call. Tony Gonzalez has absolutely lit the NFL up this year. One of my worst calls of all time.

Here are the week 6 Start and Sit One-Liners.

Mike Like’s…

QB Matt Schaub vs. GB – QB vs. Packers D = Great Start.

QB Philip Rivers vs. Den – Looking for this game to be a shootout with both Manning and Rivers lighting it up.

RB Mike Leshoure @ Phi – The Eagles have a good secondary and a bad run defense,  plus Stafford is banged up. Leshoure will get 20+ touches and be an RB1.

RB Darren McFadden @ Atl – You should never bench McFadden, but look for his big time run to start now as he starts to justify his draft position.

RB Vick Ballard @ NYJ – The Jets with their artifact linebackers can’t stop the run for crap.

WR Andre Roberts vs. Buff – Kevin Kolb loves throwing to Roberts and the Bills defense is an abomination. Plus, I have a friend who is going to sit Roberts this week despite really, really wanting to play him. He always makes the wrong choices, so this pick looks great.

WR Dwayne Bowe @ TB – Some “experts” have him ranked incredibly low this week because of Cassell’s injury. Maybe I missed something, but Matt Cassell stinks and Brady Quinn, in my opinion, is going to play better.

WR Jeremy Kerley vs. Ind – If you’re facing bye week or injury issues, the Jets new #1 receiver is a very solid option.

TE Dustin Keller vs. Ind – Mark Sanchez’s most targeted receiver is due to come back form injury this week, and you better believe he’s going to get a ton of targets.

It’s Not Your Week..

QB Andrew Luck @ NYJ – Yes, Andrew Luck is awesome, but he’s playing in the windy Meadowlands and the Colts are coming off a dramatic big time win over the Packers. I’m expecting a big letdown performance here as Rex makes life difficult for the rookie.

QB Robert Griffin III vs. Minn – The Vikings have a very good defense and the Redskins have a very bad offensive line. Oh yeah, and RG3 had a concussion last week. There’s no way he plays up to the standard he set for himself so far.

RB Chris Johnson @ Pitt – Just want to make sure you aren’t thinking of doing anything stupid, like playing the worst player in the league.

RB Ahmad Bradshaw @ SF – The 49ers are not the Browns, Ahmad. You’ll see.

RB Rashard Mendenhall @ Tenn – Yes, Mendenhall could be a solid contributor down the stretch for your team, but he absolutely is not an RB1 like I’ve seen him ranked this week. Short week’s are tough, especially for players recovering from ACL surgeries.

WR Reggie Wayne @ NYJ – I’m not saying bench him like you would have if Revis was healthy, but expect low-end WR2 or flex type numbers this week rather than WR1. Antonio Cromartie is the real deal.

WR Jordy Nelson @ Hou – Jordy Nelson sucks, and the Packers offense is a mess. Plus remember my friend who is benching Andre Roberts? Yep, he’s starting Nelson instead. Beware!

TE Martellus Bennett @ SF – Bennett is banged up, and he’s going to be swarmed by Navarro Bowman and Patrick Willis all day. Not a good combination.

Turn On The Jets Offensive Film Breakdown – Sanchez’s 34 Dropbacks

A breakdown of Mark Sanchez’s 34 dropbacks against the Houston Texans. Does he grade out positively or negatively?

This week’s Turn On The Jets offensive film breakdown is going to focus strictly on Mark Sanchez’s 34 dropbacks against the Houston Texans. Each play is going to be graded as either a positive (+) or a negative (-) based on the following criteria: Did Sanchez execute the proper read or decision based on what the defense was giving him? Let’s take a closer look – 

1 – 2nd and 10 at their own 13 (Incompletion to Jeremy Kerley) – The Jets ran a rub route underneath with Jeff Cumberland and Jeremy Kerley. Cumberland ran a poor route, hesitating and sitting too soon. If he takes one more step in his route, Kerley is wide open across the field. Kerley was still open but it was a tight window and Sanchez held the ball a split second too long as the pass rush collapsed around him and was forced to throw it away as he was nearly sacked. Lex Hilliard did a poor job of blitz pickup on this play, although he wasn’t helped by Austin Howard at all. Yes, Sanchez received poor help but he still could have found a way to complete this pass (-)

2 – 3rd and 15 at their own 8 (13 yard completion to Jeremy Kerley) – Sanchez drives a deep out route to Kerley who runs his route about 2 yards short of the marker. Kerley needs to push a little further. However, there was a beautifully formed pocket and Sanchez had Chaz Schilens at the top of the field on an in-cut that was wide open for an easy first down. The blame goes to both Kerley for not running his route deep enough to Sanchez for taking advantage of the extra time to find the open receiver for a bigger gain on the other side of the field. (-)

3- 3rd and 10 at their own 28 (Incompletion to Clyde Gates) – This was a poor route from Gates. He got held up at the top of his route. If he snaps his deep in-cut earlier and at the proper yardage, he would have been wide open. Sanchez threw it to the right spot but was victimized by poor route running. (+)

4 – 1st and 10 at their own 43 (27 yard completion to Clyde Gates) – Gates gets a little redemption here. After Antonio Cromartie’s INT, the Jets called three “go” routes. Houston obliged by putting 7 in the box and playingCover 1. Basically leaving all the Jets receivers in man to man and daring them to throw deep. Sanchez delivered a beautifully thrown ball down the sideline to Gates’ outside shoulder. Gates went up and made an athletic grab over Jonathan Joseph, one of the league’s better corners. (+)

5 – 3rd and 7 on Houston 27 (27 yard touchdown to Jeff Cumberland) – We get on Jeff Cumberland plenty here but he ran a textbook seam route down the hash here. He beat his guy, stayed skinny on his route and bent in at the perfect time. Sanchez drops in another gorgeous pass, his second in a row. This is why his inconsistency is so frustrating. The talent is clearly there. The past two throws were big boy NFL throws that Tim Tebow simply cannot make. (+)

6 – 3rd and 3 at their own 22 (2 yard completion to Chaz Schilens) – The Jets ran another rub route over the middle. Sanchez does an excellent job of stepping up in the pocket and sliding to avoid the rush. However he has Schilens open basically right at the first down marker but instead of throwing it out in front of him, he throws it high and behind. Schilens has to twist to make a very tough (and impressive) catch but is wrapped immediately and unable to extend the ball. Could the route have been a yard deeper, yes? Regardless if it was a better throw, it is still a first down (-)

7 – 1st and 10 at their own 27 (Incompletion to Konrad Reuland) – A poor play design where basically Reuland is the only option on a bootleg in the flat. Tony Sparano needs to keep this play on ice until Dustin Keller is back. Reuland was blanketed and Sanchez had nowhere else to go with the ball. He threw it low and away and it was deflected. Hard to blame him on this one. We’ll give him neither a (+) or (-)

8 – 2nd and 10 at their own 27 (Incompletion to Bilal Powell) – A well designed play that motioned Powell into the slot and had him run a speed out. The Jets got the coverage they wanted and Powell would have been wide open but he tripped out of his break. He must be hanging out with Shonn Greene too much. Sanchez threw it on point but Powell fell so it was incomplete. (+)

9 – 3rd and 10 at their own 27 (Incompletion to Bilal Powell) – The Jets basically cleared out for Powell underneath who was wide open. Sanchez delivered it on time but the pass was batted down. I am taking a case by case basis with the passes knocked down at the line. In this case, Sanchez had time to slide and give himself a better passing lane. By his fourth season, he needs to recognize the need to do this. (-) 

10 – 3rd and 4 at their own 34 (3 yard completion to Jeremy Kerley) – This play was designed for Kerley all the way. He came in motion to run a speed out from the slot. Honestly, this was just a great tackle by Kareem Jackson. Kerley probably should have pushed it a half yard deeper but it is hard to fault any Jet on this play, certainly not Sanchez who threw the ball out in front of Kerley where it needed to be. (+)

11 – 1st and 10 at their own 39 (Incompletion to Antonio Cromartie) – Cromartie ran a beautiful double move and blew right past the cornerback. This should have been an easy 61 yard touchdown. Unfortunately Sanchez threw the ball too far to the outside, forcing Cromartie out of bounds, where he still made a ridiculous catch. Simply put, Sanchez HAS to hit this throw. Separation like this must lead to a touchdown. (-)

12 – 2nd and 10 at their own 39 (Incompletion to Jeff Cumberland) – The Jets ran a deep back shoulder fade to Cumberland. Sanchez put it in the perfect spot but Cumberland dropped it. This should have been about a 25 yard gain. Missed opportunities. (+)

13 – 3rd and 10 at their own 39 (Incompletion to Bilal Powell) – Nobody was open down the field and the pocket quickly collapsed thanks to Brandon Moore, who had a rough night. Sanchez got rid of the ball before taking a sack. (+)

14 – 2nd and 6 at their own 11 (5 yard completion to Chaz Schilens) – Sanchez is very rarely accurate on passes 5 yards and under so this was encouraging to see. Schilens settles into tight window on an option route and Sanchez fired it in there after waiting for the window to open up in the zone coverage. Well done by both Sanchez and Schilens. (+)

15 – 1st and 10 at their own 18 (Strip Sack by Brooks Reed) –  The Jets went into their heavy package and were looking for the home run to Clyde Gates off play action. They were likely hoping to catch Houston napping, thinking they were just going to run the clock out. Unfortunately Gates was doubled deep as was Jeff Cumberland underneath. Sanchez should have thrown it away but held it a little too long and was sacked from behind by Brooks Reed who beat Jason Smith. Obviously this has been a recurring problem for Sanchez who must have better pocket presence and protect the football. (-)

16 – 2nd and 3 at their own 25 (Incompletion to Clyde Gates) – Tony Sparano went back to the same vertical play that they hit Gates on earlier for a big gain. Sanchez makes a very good throw but Gates is held by the corner who wasn’t flagged and can’t get to the ball. This was the play Gates’ shoulder popped out. (+)

17 – 3rd and 3 at their own 25 (12 yard completion to Chaz Schilens) – Sanchez bangs a slant route to Schilens who is wide open after coming in motion. Simple pitch and catch on a route Sanchez traditionally throws well. (+)

18 – 1st and 10 at their own 37 (36 yard completion to Jeremy Kerley) – The throw of the night by Sanchez who stands tall in the pocket, takes a huge shot and drops in a beautiful pass between two defenders to Kerley down the seam. Only increases the frustration that he can’t be more consistent because again this a big boy, 1st round draft pick throw. This is why Rex Ryan is keeping Mark Sanchez as his starter. (+)

19 – 1st and 10 at Houston 27 (10 yard completion to Chaz Schilens) – It looked as if Sanchez and Schilens checked to this at the line after they saw a blitz coming. A well timed throw. A good adjustment and an easy 10 yards. (+)

20 – 2nd and 5 at Houston 12 (Interception) – You’ve seen this play 1,000 times by now. Is the deflection Sanchez’s fault? Not really. Yet, he still made the wrong read on this play. Jeremy Kerley was going to take career ending hit if he caught this ball. Sanchez should went to the flat on the opposite side of the field. So we end the end the half with a (-)

FIRST HALF – 20 Dropbacks – 12 Positives, 7 Negatives, 1 Undecided.

21 – 1st and 10 at their own 28 (24 yard completion to Jeff Cumberland) – Good Mark Sanchez is back, dropping in a pretty deep out route to Jeff Cumberland off play action that goes for 24 yards. He does a nice job of putting enough touch on it to get it over the linebacker but enough zip to get it out front of the safety so Cumberland can turn up field. (+)

22 – 2nd and 14 at their own 47 (36 yard completion to Jeremy Kerley) – Jeremy Kerley is turning into a damn good NFL wide receiver. He shakes the corner at the line of scrimmage, forcing him to fall and then holds on as he takes a huge hit from the safety. Sanchez could have put a little more zip on this cover 2 hole shot but that is probably nit-picking. (+) 

23 – 2nd and goal at the Houston 3 (Incompletion to Chaz Schilens) – Damn JJ Watt. This is easy touchdown for the Jets over the middle to Chaz Schilens who ran a slant out of the bunch. Sanchez makes the right read and then Watt makes the type of play that is going to win him Defensive Player of the Year. I am sorry but Sanchez is at no fault here. He did everything right. This was just a tremendous play from Watt. (+)

24 – 3rd and goal at the Houston 3 (Incompletion to Chaz Schilens) – The Jets wanted to go backside to Kerley on a slant-fade route. Basically where Kerley takes three hard steps to the slant and then breaks out to the fade but it was well covered. Sanchez correctly moves to his next read, which is Schilens who appears to be running a deeper slant and then whipping back out along the back line. A tough and bizarre route that is ran very poorly by Schilens from start to finish. Again, this is not on Sanchez but on poor route running and play design. (+) 

25 – 2nd and 18 at their own 46 (19 yard completion to Shonn Greene) – Sanchez did everything fine here. (+) – Let me take a minute to riff on Shonn Greene’s general awfulness. If Greene had one capable NFL running back move this is a 54 yard touchdown. Look how much space he has!

Of course Greene slows down and leans to the inside where there is nothing but green to the outside. Instead of making a move, he then continues to slow down, crouches down and slams head first into the defender, allowing the pursuit to catch up with him.

He will never start another game in the NFL after this season, period.

26 – 2nd and 10 at Houston 35 (Incompletion to Shonn Greene) – Sanchez opted to check down to Greene, which based on the coverage was not a poor decision. His primary reads were all well covered. Sanchez threw the ball a little to Greene’s right to move him away from the linebacker but Greene dropped a ball that him in both hands. (+)

27 – 3rd and 10 at Houston 35 (Sacked) – Sanchez had Jeremy Kerley down the seam for a big play and he stepped up into the pocket to make the throw. However, JJ Watt made another ridiculous play, beating Brandon Moore and taking Sanchez’s legs out. Initially I thought this play would be on Sanchez for taking a sack in a bad spot but after watching the film, I’m not sure what else he could have done here considering the play Watt made. We’ll give him an undecided here.

28 – 2nd and 2 at their own 24 (Incomplete pass to Antonio Cromartie) – A poorly designed play that was rushed because of unnecessary substitutions that shouldn’t be occurring in a 2 minute drill. The swing screen was deflected by Conner Barwin but even if Cromartie caught it, he wasn’t going anywhere. Another undecided.

29 – 3rd and 2 at their own 24 (6 yard completion to Jeremy Kerley) – Excellent patience by Sanchez who waited for Kerley to get all the way across the set on a drag route and then fired in an accurate pass to move the chains on 3rd down. (+)

30 – 1st and 10 at their own 30 (10 yard yard completion to Jason Hill) – Sanchez went back to his bread and butter, the slant route. Hill stumbles a bit at the top of the route but Sanchez gets it to him anyway. At this point, it felt like the Jets were actually putting something together on their final drive. (+)

31 – 1st and 10 at their own 40 (Incompletion to Jeremey Kerley) – Sanchez was looking for Kerley on a 10 yard out route from the slot but simply missed the throw, putting it too low and to the outside. There is no reason this shouldn’t have been a 10-15 yard gain. (-)

32 – 2nd and 10 at their own 40 (Sack) – The Texans dialed up a blitz off the edge that the Jets completely failed to pick up (looking at you Bilal Powell). However, Sanchez should have recognized the pressure was going to come off the left side and move Powell there before the snap to make his job easier and the blitz easier to recognize here. Sanchez double clutched and probably could have got rid of the ball to an underneath receiver. Tough play with the blitz? Yes. Still you cannot take a sack here. (-)

33 – 3rd and 18 at their own 32 (Interception) – For some reason the Jets rushed to get this play off right before the two minute warning. They should have taken their time and went to the sideline to regroup after the sack. Sanchez made the right read. Jeff Cumberland was the primary read, he was open on about a 12 yard out route. Sanchez makes a good, not great throw that bounces off Cumberland hands for a game ending interception. Yes, Cumberland should have caught the ball. But why rush to the line in this situation? (-)

34 – 1st and 10 at their own 9 (Incompletion to Jeremy Kerley) – The Jets last second desperation play. You’d like to find a way to complete this so you at least have a chance to lateral. (-)

SECOND HALF – 14 Dropbacks – 8 Positives, 4 Negatives, 2 Undecided

TOTAL – 34 Dropacks, 20 Positives, 11 Negatives, 3 Undecided

Overall Analysis – It is fair to say that Mark Sanchez played better than his stat line indicated. However, that doesn’t absolve him of the inconsistencies he demonstrated. What is frustrating about re-watching this game tape is that this game was there for the Jets to win. They weren’t blown off the field by Houston. They weren’t outclassed. In a way that is encouraging for the rest of the season. If they cut back on the missed opportunities and mistakes, they are going to win football games. You can’t miss on a 61 yard touchdown to Antonio Cromartie. You can’t drop 25 yard completions. You can’t make the wrong read near the end-zone. However, you also won’t be dealing with JJ Watt and the Houston Texans every week. Sanchez was much better against Houston than he was against San Francisco and even Miami. It would not be surprising to see him put up a solid stat line against a Colts defense that is a major step down from Houston. Beyond that, everybody now has another game of experience in the offense and Dustin Keller should be back.