Turn On The Jets Offensive Film Breakdown – Jets vs. Colts

An offensive film breakdown of the New York Jets game against the Indianpolis Colts

This week’s Turn On The Jets offensive film breakdown is going to focus more on the running game, considering their success this past Sunday. Make sure you check back later in the day for our defensive film breakdown from Chris Gross – 

This was a banner performance from the New York Jets offensive line, particularly guards Matt Slauson and Brandon Moore. They were dominant at the point of attack and consistently driving Colts defenders 4-5 yards off the football. Offensive coordinator Tomy Sparano was heavily reliant on Moore pulling into the hole and clearing out space for Greene. On his 21 yard run in the first quarter, look at the hole cleared out by Moore and then sealed off by Konrad Reuland and D’Brickashaw Ferguson. You won’t see a better blocked play in the NFL than this one –

Tight ends Dustin Keller, Jason Smith and even Jeff Cumberland deserve credit for their contributions in the running game. Keller in particular looked like a different player blocking against the run. Sparano’s game plan was built around the tight ends having a large role as blockers, not pass catchers and they responded.

While plenty of credit goes to the offense line, we won’t shy away from giving plenty to Shonn Greene. More impressive than his 21 yard run was this 7 yard one below, which showed vision, patience and power. Greene played this entire game in a different gear and finally ran like the true power back the Jets expect him to be. On this play, Greene correctly extends horizontally to get behind the pulling Matt Slauson

He sees the hole, plants and sharply cuts inside of it without stumbling or slowing down. This has been a frequent problem for him this season. Even more impressive, he began to absorb contact around a 2-3 yard gain on this play but charged forward and dragged three defenders and turned it into a 7 yard gain. Greene got more yards than were blocked up for him, instead of leaving yards on the field.

On his 10 yard touchdown run we saw more of the same. Greene quickly locates the hole and hits it at full speed. He is untouched until the 5 yard line when he is met by two defenders, with a third closing in. He absorbs contact and then keeps his legs churning to drag all three of them into the end-zone. By any standard, against any defense this a very impressive run. If he continues to play like this, the Jets offense has a chance to be consistently successful.

Finally a quick look at how the Jets properly used Tim Tebow. On a 3rd and 1 near the goal-line, the Jets lined Tebow up at quarterback with two running backs behind him, a variation of the Pistol formation. Tebow quickly calls for a shift to five wide. Look in the second image at how much confusion it causes on the Colts defense. When they settle, the Jets have 7 blockers in front of Tebow to deal with 8 Colts in the box. The Jets will take this match-up every single day of the week on a 3rd and 1 with Tebow under center. They should literally run this play every single time on 3rd and 2 or less until a defense shows they can stop it.

Other Observations 

Mark Sanchez – He was not asked to do much in this game but played very well in his limited opportunities. In particular, his two touchdown passes were throws into tight windows. On the touchdown to Stephen Hill, he showed terrific chemistry with the young receiver as Hill properly broke the route off, Sanchez recognized it immediately and fired the ball in. Of his seven incompletions, one was a drop by Jeff Cumberland, one was thrown away on a busted screen, and one should have pass interference on the defender covering Chaz Schilens down the sideline. The only bad throw he missed was Jeremy Kerley down the seam on a third down where his timing was off.

Wide Receivers – Chaz Schilens still has a bad rep with some fans because of his injuries over the summer. The reality is that he has been very good for the Jets, catching 12 passes on 16 targets. He is turning into a favorite target of Sanchez on third downs and rightfully so. He runs sharp routes and aggressively attacks the ball in the air. He will be an important player in the Jets passing game moving forward. Stephen Hill also looked good in limited reps. He caught the ball well and did a nice job using his size to shield off defenders when catching a deep stop route and a slant.

New York Jets Week 6 Grade Report – High Marks

The grade report for the New York Jets week 6 trouncing of the New England Patriots

Quarterbacks (A) – Easy to laugh at a (A) for a 82 yard passing day for Mark Sanchez. However, he didn’t need to do anymore. He completed 60 percent of his passes, moved the chains when he needed to and hit two touchdown passes into tight windows. Most importantly, there were no turnovers. New England’s secondary is awful, particularly down the middle against the deep ball so the game-plan will be more aggressive next week and Sanchez needs to respond. That Tebow guy had a nice conversion on a 3rd and short.

Running Backs (A+) – Shonn Greene played his best game since the 2009 playoffs, racking up over 160 yards and 3 touchdowns. Most importantly, he broke tackles and made a few people miss. He ran decisively and showed better vision than in previous weeks. Joe McKnight also ripped off a 61 yard run. It sounds like despite an ankle injury, he will be able to play this week. Bilal Powell saw limited action and dislocated his shoulder. He will likely be out a few games.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends (A) – The entire group made contributions. Stephen Hill caught all three of the passes thrown to him, including one for a touchdown and two for first downs. Jeremy Kerley had three more catches. Chaz Schilens converted a pair of third downs and even Jason Hill pulled in a short touchdown catch. Dustin Keller had a nice game blocking of all things while Jeff Cumberland continued to struggle in that role and also dropped a pass.

Offensive Line (A+) – A long overdue dominating performance from the Jets frequently maligned offensive line. They pushed the Colts all over the field and imposed their will in the running game. Sanchez was also given a clean pocket and only sacked once on the day.

Defensive Line (A) – Signs of life from the pass rush. Muhammad Wilkerson was all over the field, finishing with 7 tackles, a sack, a forced fumble, a tackle for a loss and a pass defensed. Quinton Coples recorded 1.5 sacks, making him already that much better than Vernon Gholson (as Mike Tannenbaum breathes a sigh of relief). Mike DeVito deserves praise for holding down the fort at nose tackle with Sione Pouha and Kenrick Ellis out.

Linebackers (B) – A quiet day overall from this unit but they performed in the running game. Demario Davis is starting to see extended playing time and looks active rushing the passer. Bart Scott and David Harris only combined for 5 tackles, a rarity.

Secondary (A) – Antonio Cromartie continued his All-Pro caliber season pulling in another interception and slowing down Reggie Wayne. Rookie Antonio Allen recorded his first career sack. LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell were active in the running game and combined for an impressive 17 tackles. A quiet day for Kyle Wilson, which is a good thing.

Special Teams (A) – Another week, another converted fake punt. Well-designed by Mike Westhoff and well executed by Tim Tebow and Nick Bellore.

Coaching (A) – Rex Ryan deserves credit for building this team back up after they were embarrassed a few weeks ago by San Francisco. They are headed in the right direction and appear ready to be a factor in the increasingly wide open AFC. Tony Sparano executed the type of game plan he talked about all summer on offense and Mike Pettine’s defense had their best game of the year.

 

Sanchez Breakdown: Efficient, Sufficient

Rob Celletti breaks down Mark Sanchez’s performance against the Indianapolis Colts

Stat line: 11/18, 82 Yards, 2 touchdowns – 109.0 QB rating, 61.1 completion percentage

Season stats: 88/177, 1,125 Yards, 8 touchdowns, 6 interceptions – 70.9 QB rating, 49.7 completion percentage

To start this week’s breakdown, why not hear it from Mark Sanchez himself?

“A good running game, a good defense with three takeaways and a good special teams. Those are all a quarterback’s best friend.”

Damn right, Mark! This is a team game, and Sunday’s game was a great example of how, despite being the most important position in football, the quarterback simply cannot be asked to win every single game on his own – especially when he’s working with a patchwork stable of skill players. The Jets’ revived rushing attack enabled to Sanchez to keep the game simple, and also afforded him some holes to throw into in the red zone.

The Best: People who are quick to dismiss Sanchez seem to forget that last year, he was one of the best red zone quarterbacks in the NFL. This season though, Sanchez has committed a few backbreaking, game-changing turnovers with the Jets on the doorstep. Yesterday, “Good” Sanchez made a return inside the 20. Both of the touchdown throws illustrated that Sanchez is a more-than-capable player at this level. The Stephen Hill score showed great patience by Sanchez and a rapidly developing chemistry with his rookie wideout, as it appeared that Hill’s route was originally supposed to take him across the back of the end zone. Seeing that the left corner was vacated, Hill broke the route and gave Sanchez a target, which he did not miss (this, by the way, is another throw that the other quarterbacks on the Jets roster cannot make: Tebow lacks the accurace, McElroy the arm strength). The Jason Hill touchdown was an easy pitch and catch which displayed good arm strength and accuracy from Sanchez (and no J.J. Watt to tip the pass at the line of scrimmage).

The Worst: In such a blowout, being negative on any part of the quarterback’s game would be nitpicking. The bottom line is that Sanchez just needed to be efficient. The Colts didn’t pose much of a threat offensively, and the Jets had established dominance on the ground. Some people might be irked by the fact that the Jets had two consecutive three and outs to open the 3rd quarter. The passing game also lacked any sort of downfield element, which it absolutely needs going forward.

The Key Moment: Eric Mangini (yes, I just went there) used to speak of playing “complementary football,” which was his ludicrous way of saying that good play on defense leads to good offense, which leads to good special teams, and around and around we go. This was on display yesterday. When Antonio Cromartie intercepted Andrew Luck in the 2nd quarter, the Jets were only up 7-3.  Starting with the ball on the Colts’ 35, the Jets simply had to convert that turnover into a touchdown, to put an inferior opponent and its rookie quarterback behind the 8-ball. Sanchez only had to complete two passes on this drive, but one was a key 12 yarder to Chaz Schilens on 3rd and 6. Again, being held to a field goal here maybe keeps the Colts in the game, but the Jets scored a touchdown and were on their way to a much-needed rout.

The Jets took care of business at home against a below-average Colts team. 82 yards from Sanchez will not be enough next week to beat New England. The Jets had success throwing long against the Texans and throwing short, intermediate and in the red zone against the Colts. They will need a complete performance from Sanchez to pull the upset. He showed he could do it in Week 1, but consistency has always been the issue for #6, so we’ll see what he comes up with in Week 7.

No Huddle – New York Jets Very Much Alive Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle on the New York Jets after their big win over the Indianapolis Colts. Are they ready for New England?

Brace yourselves folks. Everyone’s favorite circus act, the New York Jets, are in a first place deadlock and headed for Foxboro. Surprised? Don’t be. It’s the NFL, where anything can happen and the “next man up” approach can yield some new fresh, hungry ballplayers. Maybe these NEW 2012 Jets are beginning to gain some solid footing. A solid performance against Houston. A better collective one yesterday.

1 – Wait, was that…Shonn Greene?

Yesterday’s 160 yard, 3 TD version of Greene was the one that the Jets staff hoped to build the ground and pound around. Now the question is, ‘who is the real Shonn Greene?’

If it’s even half the runner we saw Sunday, not the guy who owned a 2.9 avg prior to kickoff, then the Jets may be able to hit some plays downfield using the play action as the season develops. Control teams on the ground too. Let’s hope his efforts weren’t a mirage, as much as a new starting point for himself and his run blockers up front.

2 – That’s How You Use Tebow

He threw a pass out of a punt formation. He charged forward for positive yards on first down. He had a shot carrying the rock by the goal line. Tim Tebow as a weapon, in our eyes, is beginning to take shape. Forget the idea that Tebow is going to take Sanchez’s job. With some targets back and a resurgent run game, we saw Sanchez the game manager do a fine job out there. Providing the offense an engine boost  on the fake punt, in the wildcat as a decoy and a ball carrier. THAT’S a weapon. Nice job 15.

3 – Do It Through A Strength In Numbers

The Jets offense lacks All Pro names at the skill positions. Where they can be successful anyway, is through a strength in numbers.

The backs: Bilal Powell had two nice runs before injuring his shoulder. Joe McKnight broke one big gainer before he hurt his ankle. Shonn Greene had a career day.

The receievers: The Hills had touchdowns. Chaz Schilens made plays. Jeremy Kerley has emerged as a playmaker. Dustin Keller is back.

Look, it’s not how it was first drawn up, with Santonio Holmes on one side. It can be effective though, if this unit grows in confidence. Yesterday’s performance helped in that department.

4 – Relax, It Was Just The Colts: Or Was It?

If you told us not to get too excited about beating a team with a rookie QB, BEFORE the Colts beat the Packers two weeks back, we’d have taken your advice. Look at the past three weeks in the NFL though. The Colts beat the Packers. The Texans barely get by the Jets. The Jets beat up the Colts and the Packers blow out the Texans. What that tells us is what we all already know; that it’s a week to week league. A win is a win. Period. Anyone can be beat so make sure you win the winnable games. After all, “On any given Sunday…”

5 – Give It Up For Rex Ryan

So much for the “hot seat” some idiots said Rex was on. How about giving it up for Ryan today instead?

Rex doesn’t warrant kudos for any old “Big Rex” bluster and camera grabbing quotes of bravado or motivation. He has earned it this go round by his simple ability to navigate. Ryan has weathered the storm of two major season ending injuries. Has held strong on his headline grabbing QB situation, despite the pressure to turn to Tebow. Has shown leadership as his Jets team has fought to survive through a tough early schedule and personnel rebranding. This in a media capital that never let’s his team breathe, even when the Jets AREN’T asking for attention.

The Jets are 3-3 and in a four way tie for first in the AFC East. 2-0 in the division. Even with a roster that included Holmes and Darrelle Revis, the situation might not be much better than it is right now.

Now the Jets get set for a week 7 battle in Foxboro against the Pats. Still in position to do all the things they set out to do, before week 1 kicked off.

Way to go Rex. Way to keep the  wings that looked rickety and tattered when the Jets plummeted at home 34-0 to San Fran in week 5, firmly attached to the plane. It’s a brand new season now. No, all is not perfect, but the AFC East is still for the taking though.

Ryan deserves some credit for that.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 6 – Jets/Colts Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Colts

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 27, Colts 10 – The Jets are coming off consecutive losses at home to what are arguably the league’s two best teams. New York hasn’t lost three consecutive home games since Rex Ryan’s first year as head coach, back in 2009. Conversely, the Colts are coming off a very inspired, hard fought victory at home to the Green Bay Packers. Andrew Luck has looked quite sharp all year, relying heavily on veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne as his primary receiving option. However, Luck has yet to face a defense quite like Ryan’s unit, a task normally difficult to prepare for for any quarterback, especially a rookie, on the road. Look for the Jets to come out extremely aggressive, defensively, to try to hit and rattle the youngster early. Antonio Cromartie has been playing elite level football, and if he can continue his dominant play against Wayne, Indianapolis will need to rely heavily on Luck and their subpar running game.

Offensively, the Jets have looked anything but sharp since their week 1 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. However, since dominating Buffalo, New York has face 4 consecutive defenses ranked within the top 11 in run defense. Look for the ground game to finally get going this week, with Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell leading the way. Whether or not Greene deserves carries is certainly up for debate, but based on the vote of confidence he received from Rex Ryan this week, it looks like he will continue to get the majority of the load for Gang Green, at least for now.

Mark Sanchez also gets back two key players to his receiving corps in Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill. Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez a nice feeling of security and confidence as he tries to lead this extremely young group of skill position players to victory. With key veterans like Santonio Holmes out, Sanchez needs to assume that leadership role and begin to make everyone around him better. Whether or not he has the ability to do that at this point still remains to be seen, but look for this offense to do enough to contribute to a double digit victory and get back to .500.

Mike Donnelly – I think the Jets whole season is coming down to this game against the Colts. If they lose this, we might as well start checking out the 2013 draft classes, because the Pats are going to steam roll our defense and then Miami is not going to be an easy game. There would be a pretty solid chance we’d be staring at 2-6 heading into the bye, and Rex Ryan knows it. That is why I fully expect this team to come out and play their best game since week 1 against Buffalo. The Colts are coming off a huge win at home against Green Bay and they are primed for a major letdown. They’re outside of their dome, playing in unfamiliar conditions, and as good as Andrew Luck is, he’s still a rookie, and Rex Ryan feasts as rookie quarterbacks. Look for the Jets defense to play very well, confuse Luck, and pull out the win 24-13. Oh, and since no Jets write up is complete without the obligatory Sanchez/Tebow mention, I think Sanchez is going to play very well and silence the critics for at least one week. Jets roll, and in my opinion, the 3 point spread is a gift. After all, Evan Silva has the Colts winning outright.. Just saying.

Chris Celletti – If you read my Best Bets piece, you know I think the Jets are going to win and cover the 3.5 pint spread. I think this is a good combination of the Jets being due to play a good overall, 60 minute football game and the Colts facing a little bit of a let down after an emotional upset win over the Packers last week. As I’ve previously stated, I think the Jets find some success on the ground against the Colts. I’m not saying Shonn Greene will end up with 100+ yards or anything, but I think the Jets as a team go for somewhere around 160 yards, with a good combination of Greene, Bilal Powell, Joe McKnight and Tim Tebow. Here are a few bold predictions, I think both Tebow and Antonio Cromartie score touchdowns – on offense. The Jets’ defense does enough to corral the Colts’ weak running game and confuse Andrew Luck into a few turnovers. As with any Jet game, it’ll be nervy in the fourth quarter, but a late Nick Folk field goal gets the Jets back to .500 with a 24-14 win.

Rob Celletti – Even though the Jets are on a two-game losing streak (which feels like four, considering the level of play the Jets displayed against Miami), it seems like things are starting to turn. The shock of losing Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes is starting to wear off. The defense showed some life in the second half on Monday vs. the Texans. And finally, the Jets face a defense that isn’t ranked in the top 10 in the NFL.

Yes, Andrew Luck is going to be a tough out, but the Colts are coming in off of a very, very emotional home win and are primed for a letdown. The Jets will be able to move the ball on the ground which should set up nicely for Mark Sanchez to finally get some opportunities on playaction. I think the offense will be able to produce 3 touchdowns, which should be enough. Jets 24, Colts 17

Turn On The Jets Week 6 NFL Picks

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their week 6 NFL Picks as the Race For Steak Continues

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (43-33-2)

2. Rob  Celletti (36-38-4)

3. Chris Gross (35-40-3)

4. Chris Celletti (32-43-3)

5. Joe Caporoso (31-44-3)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (7-7)

  • Browns (+2) vs. Bengals
  • Jets (-3) vs. Colts
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins
  • Chiefs (+4.5) vs. Bucs
  • Falcons (-9) vs. Raiders
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3) vs. Lions
  • Rams (+4) vs. Dolphins
  • Patriots (-3.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4.5) vs. Bills
  • Giants (+6.5) vs. 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) vs. Texans
  • Broncos (+1) vs. Chargers

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (7-7)

  • Cowboys +3.5 @ Ravens
  • Bucs -4.5 vs. Chiefs
  • Browns +2 vs. Bengals
  • Lions +3 @ Eagles
  • Raiders +9 @ Falcons
  • Rams +4 @ Dolphins
  • Jets -3 vs. Colts
  • Cardinals -4.5 vs. Bills
  • Seahawks +3.5 vs. Patriots
  • 49ers -6.5 vs. Giants
  • Texans -3.5 vs. Packers
  • Broncos +1 @ Chargers
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-6)

  • Browns (+2) over Bengals
  • Jets (-3) over Colts
  • Bucs (-4) over Chiefs
  • Raiders (+9.5) over Falcons
  • Ravens (-3.5) over Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3.5) over Lions
  • Dolphins (-5) over Rams
  • Patriots (-3.5) over Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4) over Bills
  • Giants (+7) over 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) over Texans
  • Vikings (PK) over Redskins
  • Broncos (-1) over Chargers

Chris Celletti

Last Week (7-7)

  • Bengals -2
  • Jets -3.5
  • Bucs -4.5
  • Raiders +9.5
  • Ravens -3.5
  • Eagles -3
  • Rams +5
  • Pats -3.5
  • Bills +4
  • Giants +7
  • Packers +3.5
  • Vikings PK
  • Broncos PK

Chris Gross

Last Week (10-4)

  • Bengals (-2)
  • Jets (-3)
  • Bucs (-4)
  • Raiders (+9.5)
  • Ravens (-3)
  • Eagles (-3.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Seahawks (+3.5)
  • Cardinals (-4)
  • Giants (+7)
  • Packers (+3.5)
  • Broncos (-1)
  • Vikings (PK)

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 6 – Jets vs. Colts

Turn On The Jets with 12 predictions for Jets/Colts in week 6

Big week here at Turn On The Jets as we added a new banner and an official new tagline to the site. RIP to the Ground and Pound…”Mission To Civilize” is here to stay. 

On to the predictions (5-0 in game picks so far here by the way…just saying) –

1. This will be the last time I ever predict Mark Sanchez to complete over 50% of his passes if he does not do it. But yes, for one last time…Mark Sanchez will complete over 50% of his passes and throw for over 200 yards. He will have a turnover but also throw two touchdowns.

2. Antonio Cromartie will hold Reggie Wayne under 60 yards receiving. Wayne will be a tougher match-up for Cromartie than Andre Johnson because of how the Colts move him around the formation and because he is quicker out of his breaks/a better route runner.

3. More so because of the Colts struggles on offense than the Jets defense, Indianapolis won’t rush for over 100 yards this week.

4. Shonn Greene will rush for over 3.8 yards per carry this Sunday, for the first and maybe last time this season.

5. Jeremy Kerley will catch his third touchdown of the season and lead the Jets with 75 yards receiving.

6. Dustin Keller will catch a touchdown and finish with 4 or more receptions.

7. Andrew Luck will throw for over 250 yards this week but also have a pair of turnovers to go with a touchdown pass.

8. The Jets special teams will make a play that directly leads to points.

9. Jonathan Grimes will get his first carries of the season this week.

10. Tim Tebow won’t play more than 10 total snaps on offense.

11. Nick Folk will continue his perfect season so far, knocking through 2 more field goals.

12. The Jets will snap their 2 game losing streak with an encouraging 20-10 win. Mark Sanchez will play well enough to keep his job another week, which is a good thing because he is guy you want under center against New England.

Turn On The Jets NFL Week 6 Best Bets

Chris Celletti with his Best Bets for week 6 of the NFL season

Week 5 record: 1-2

Season record: 5-9-1

Before you scoff at my horrific record, please remember that I warned you how ugly this was going to be before the season. Also, I have picked 5 out of 15 games correctly, with one push, so it’s kind of like I’m currently batting .333 with a walk. Or something like that. Either way, at this success rate I should be batting clean up for the Yankees and earn a 7-year, $120 million contract this offseason. More on those awesome Yankees in a second.

A few quick things before I get to my picks:

-So now that the Colts beat the Packers last week, does this mean Mitt Romney is going to win in November? I feel partially responsible now if this happens.

-I can’t be the only person who pretends I’m a running back when I’m navigating my way through Port Authority, Penn Station or any crowded NYC street during rush hour, am I? It really is an art form, because if you don’t look ahead and pick out holes to hit, you’re really gonna end up like Shonn Greene – a.k.a. on your ass in no time. On Tuesday morning, I was pretending I was Arian Foster, weaving my way in and out of clueless commuters (Jets defenders) to find open space. I guess Monday was still fresh in my mind.

-Steve Novak is on pace for about 616/616 from three this year.

Okay, on to the lousy picks.

Jets -3.5 vs. Colts

I haven’t picked the Jets in any of my Best Bets columns yet, so I’m going for it this week. I actually think the Jets will get the running game going a little bit, which should help Mark Sanchez in what’s a crucial game for him. On the other side, Andrew Luck has a completion percentage that’s barely better than Sanchez’s, so I think the Jets’ defense will have a solid showing. We’re yet to make our official staff predictions, but here’s a teaser in that I think the Jets cover.

Bucs -4.5 vs. Chiefs

Brady Quinn on the road. Brady Quinn on the road. Brady Quinn on the road. BRADY QUINN ON THE ROAD.

Eagles -3 vs. Lions

I just think this is a god matchup for the Eagles, at home. Detroit is off to a bad start and the Eagles’ defense has been pretty good this season. As usual, if Michael Vick can avoid turnovers, the Eagles are a tough team to knock off. Remember last year when the Lions made the playoffs? That was fun.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record 3-2)

The Orioles are +175 to win Game 5. Of course the Orioles are going to win! Have you watched the Yankees recently? They’re reinventing how to play bad playoff baseball and feeding the appetites of those old time Yankee fans who yearn for the days of Bernie Williams and Scott Brosius and Paul O’Neill and guys who “played the right way” (whatever the hell that means). One reason I think the Yanks are done tonight is because they’re at home. How many times in the past 10 years have the Yankees lost big/deciding games at home, where all you heard was “it’s okay, we’re back at the Stadium”? A bunch come to mind: Game 6 in the 2003 World Series vs. the Marlins, Games 6 and 7 in the 2004 ALCS vs. the Red Sox, the 2007 ALDS against the Indians, and last year’s Game 5 vs. the Tigers. I hope I’m wrong, but I have a feeling you’ll be able to add Game 5 of the 2012 ALDS vs. the Baltimore Orioles to that list. Well, at least somewhere Jimmy McNulty and Bunk Moreland will be celebrating.

Turn On The Jets Week 6 Roundtable – Jets vs. Colts Match-Ups

The Turn On The Jets staff breaks down what match-ups they are most looking forward to in Jets/Colts

Make sure to check out Tammany Hall Tavern this weekend for $20 for 20 wings and 2 pitchers of beer. Treat yourself, you deserve it…you are a Jets fan. 

Joe Caporoso – Mark Sanchez vs. The Colts Defense – The Jets need a win and Mark Sanchez needs a strong performance to tone down the Tim Tebow as the starting quarterback talk for a couple of weeks. Sanchez doesn’t have the excuse of going against a strong defense and he will likely have both Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill back. It is time to complete over 50% of your passes. It is time to go a full game without a single turnover. It is time to inspire a little confidence as the Jets head into New England next week. The Jets are much better off with Sanchez under center against the Patriots than Tebow, so let’s hope he can lock down that spot with a strong performance this week.

Chris Gross – Antonio Cromartie vs. Reggie Wayne – Cromartie is coming off what was arguably his best game as a Jet. Wayne, on the other hand, is coming off of a stellar 13 catch, 212 yard, 1 touchdown performance against Green Bay. Wayne has been much rejuvenated this season with the emergence of rookie sensation Andrew Luck, as he has reasserted himself as one of the league’s best Wide Receivers, currently on pace to double his numbers from last season. Cromartie has been playing very Revis-like since the All-World corner tore his ACL in week 3 against Miami. Now comes the real test for Cro. Can he truly be like Revis and shut down the league’s best receivers on a week to week basis? After holding Houston’s Andre Johnson to just one reception last week, Cromartie would be off to a very good start in achieving this consistency with another dominant performance against Wayne. It will be no easy task, but the best in the game have done it. Now it is time to see if Cromartie is really in that elite group of cornerbacks.

Chris Celletti – Jets’ running game vs. Colts’ run defense: If there is one week the Jets are to get going on the ground, it should be this week. The Colts rank 25th in the NFL against the run through five weeks. We have been all over Shonn Greene and the Jets’ putrid running game here at Turn On The Jets, but to play devil’s advocate, the Jets have faced very good run defenses so far this year. The Dolphins, Niners, Texans and Steelers all rank in the top 11 of the NFL against the run so far this year. That doesn’t totally excuse Greene from being the NFL’s worst second-level back, or mean he’s going to all of a sudden look like Adrian Peterson or Arian Foster out there, but he – or for that matter whoever the hell carries the ball for the Jets on Sunday – should be able to be effective. The Jets need it. Mark Sanchez desperately needs it. If the Jets can finally get going on the ground, they should be able to get back to .500 on Sunday.

Mike Donnelly – I’ll make this one short and sweet for this week’s game against the Colts. The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing is the Jets defensive line and pass rush against a rookie QB and his porous offensive line. The Jets are home and the Colts are out of their dome, in hostile territory. Their starting running back is out, so even the lame excuse for run defense we’ve watched the past five games should be able to clamp down and force some 3rd and long situations. If the Jets can’t muster up some kind of pass rush this week against this team, then they truly are a lost cause.

Rob Celletti – Rex Ryan’s scheme vs. Andrew Luck. In 2009 and 2010, one thing about the Jets was a guarantee: they could make quarterbacks of any skill level look foolish, but they could really put a hurting on inexperienced ones. Even last season, everyone knew the Jets would blow out the Jaguars in Week 2 when they trotted Luke McCown out as their starting signal caller.

This year, however, things aren’t so certain.  The Jets’ defense is a shell of its former dominant self, and the quarterback they face on Sunday is no ordinary rookie.  If the Jets are going to win this game – which I do believe they will – one of the key factors is that Rex Ryan needs to figure out a way to confuse and frustrate Andrew Luck. The Jets’ pass rush has been non-existent, so it will be up to the defensive coaches to figure out how to make Luck think twice about the defense as he reads it. The defense actually put in a representative effort against Matt Schaub and the Texans on Monday, particularly in the second half where they only allowed 6 points. Schaub was held to just 14 for 28 passing. Rex likes the term “simulated pressure”, which is ironic, considering the Jets really don’t bring any “actual” pressure. But throwing enough varied looks at Luck should confuse the kid and force him into a turnover or two. If the Jets do that, they have a good chance to even their record at 3-3

THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS

  • Joe – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris C – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Chris G – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Rob  – Pittsburgh (-6.5)
  • Mike – Tennessee (+6.5)

New York Jets – No Room For Error Against Colts

The New York Jets are facing a must win at home this week against the Colts

In the NFL it is often a foolhardy task to look down the schedule, even in-season and try to predict wins and losses. This is a week to week league and so many things can change in the course of seven days. It was less than a month ago you were probably ready to purchase your Super Bowl tickets after the Jets 48-28 trouncing of the Buffalo Bills, right? Regardless, with the Jets sitting at 2-3 and teetering on the brink of a lost season and a quarterback change, let’s take a quick look down the road.

As of today, the only teams left on the Jets schedule that they have definitively looked better than are the Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans and Buffalo Bills. They should be solid favorites as of now in all those games. The Jets have looked on a comparable level to three other teams left on their schedule, the Miami Dolphins, St. Louis Rams and this week’s opponent, the Indianapolis Colts.

If the Jets want to stay around .500 and keep themselves relevant in the playoff race into December, they need to win games like this week against the Colts. Yes, Indianapolis is better than expected and yes they had an emotional win over Green Bay last week. However, it is logical to assume a letdown after such an emotional win for a young team. The Colts are also much tougher in their dome than on the road. They are also dealing with their own injuries. Starting running back Donald Brown won’t play this week and either will Pro Bowl pass rusher Robert Mathis who is out with a knee injury.

The Colts are feisty because of how talented Andrew Luck is at quarterback and how Reggie Wayne is having a career year as his number one target. Similar to the Jets, they struggle running the ball and now will be starting a rookie fifth rounder at running back (although he very well may be better than Shonn Greene, because who isn’t these days?). The Colts have an inexperienced offensive line and a defense with a suspect secondary. Indy is averaging allowing 27.5 points per game and opposing quarterbacks to throw for 242 yards per game.

Nobody is saying this is a “gimme” game because it certainly isn’t. The Jets don’t have those anymore with their talent level. Regardless this a sharp decline from San Francisco and Houston and will be the worst defense they faced since week 1 by a wide margin. If Mark Sanchez cannot put together a statistically respectable performance and lead the Jets to a win here, he deserves to lose his job and that is coming from somebody who is an unabashed Sanchez apologist. At 2-4 and heading into New England it would be officially be panic time and it would shock nobody if Tim Tebow was inserted as the starter even if it defies logic, considering Tebow was killed in both meetings against them and Sanchez has beat Belichick and company three times.

Regardless, the Jets must stay on track to get into their bye week at 4-4 and set themselves up for relevance heading into November and December. The offense will only get better. There were positive signs this past Monday night and with Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill both back in the line-up this week, the improvement should continue. On defense, Rex Ryan must build on the second half against Houston, where we finally saw signs of a good defense as they contained the Texans to 6 points, despite playing on a short field after an onside kick.

You hate saying games are must-wins because which ones aren’t? It is cliche. It is probably over-exaggerated but Sunday is a must win for the Jets and a must strong performance from Mark Sanchez if he has any of hope of remaining the starting quarterback for the foreseeable future.