Turn On The Jets Offensive Film Breakdown – Jets vs. Dolphins

Turn On The Jets offensive film breakdown from the Jets week 3 win against the Miami Dolphins

A collection of observations after watching the New York Jets offensive game film against the Miami Dolphins. We will focus on a handful of plays before breaking down key individual position group’s performance. Make sure to check back later in the day for Chris Gross defensive film breakdown –

Operation Clusterf*** – The second interception thrown on the day by Mark Sanchez which came in the end-zone during the third quarter was a complete disaster from start to finish, beginning with the play call and ending with a horrid throw. With the ball on the 7 yard line, Tony Sparano called for a smash/fan combination to the right side of the formation. Jeff Cumberland was lined up at split end and Stephen Hill was in the slot.

A smash/fan is one of the most basic route combinations in football and one of the easiest reads for a quarterback. Basically the outside receiver will run 5-7 yards and hitch back to the quarterback. The slot receiver runs a post-corner route. If the outside corner squats on the hitch route, the quarterback throws to the post corner, if the cornerback bails at all, the quarterback throws to the hitch route.

The problem with the play call on the 7 yard line is that it limits the space between the two routes, making it easier for the outside corner to play both routes at once. What is also a problem is that they had Cumberland, who isn’t accustomed to lining up at receiver, running the outside route. His inexperience would shine through on this play by pushing his route way too far into the end-zone. Basically he ran a 9 yard route instead of a 5-7 yard route, which made the outside corner’s job that much easier. In the slot, Stephen Hill rounded off his route and didn’t make a sharp plant and cut to shake his coverage. In a tight space, making a hard sell to the inside is that much more important. Hill could get away with routes like this at Georgia Tech but not in the NFL.

On to Sanchez, who showed no patience and put way too much air under his pass. Basically Sanchez pre-determined in the huddle he was throwing to Hill at the back pylon. He takes three steps and releases the ball immediately, despite having excellent protection. If he would have waited an extra half second, he would have seen how deep Cumberland pushed his route at which point he could have either threw it on a line to Hill instead of floating it or could have put more air under it and got the ball to the back pylon, where it would have been caught by Hill or went out of bounds. Finally, he also could have saw how poor the route combination broke and turned back side to a wide open Santonio Holmes, who probably catches the ball at the 2 yard line and walks into the end-zone.

Sanchez – Overall it wasn’t a pretty day for Sanchez. The positives? He showed good pocket presence, repeatedly stepping up and delivering the ball down the field. He heated up late in the game and showed terrific chemistry with Santonio Holmes…finally. What is so frustrating is that throughout this game Sanchez made every throw necessary in a NFL playbook. He hit the deep dig route, he hit the comeback route outside the numbers, he hit the deep ball in stride down the numbers. However, there is no consistency. He repeatedly missed open receivers down the field and showed a lack of patience. On his first interception of the game, he needs to recognize how poor of a route Clyde Gates ran and how Richard Marshall is ready to jump it. Beyond that, if he is going to throw it, it must be more up the field. He will make throws like this and then make textbook throws like he did on Jeremy Kerley’s 66 yard catch (we’ll get to that later). The inconsistency is incredibly frustrating.

The Wide Receivers – Santonio Holmes did a complete 180 from last week. He ran sharp, aggressive routes and did a good job working back to the football when it came to him. Richard Marshall was unable to handle Holmes from the opening snap. He has the skill set to beat up on weaker corners like him. Holmes also handled rolled coverage very well, showing patience and finding the necessary windows.

Stephen Hill was a disaster out there. He had his leg rolled up early in the game and wasn’t the same after. Hill ran tentative routes and was shoved all over the field by Sean Smith. In the end-zone, he dropped a perfectly thrown fade ball and also had a long pass down the middle of the field bounce off his hands. It is doubtful Hill will play this week because of a hamstring injury but when he returns, he should be splitting reps with Chaz Schilens. Seeing his most extended work of the season, Schilens put together an impressive game. He ran crisp routes and should have a 69 yard touchdown if Mark Sanchez didn’t throw overthrow him on a beautifully executed double move. Schilens carries himself like a confident NFL receiver. Hill gets his confidence shaken too easily.

Jeremy Kerley deserves more playing time. He continued to demonstrate his big play ability, most notably on his 66 yard catch and run which was a thing of beauty from start to finish. The play was designed to clear out the middle of the field for Kerley, who drove his route hard up the field, snapped it back and then broke to the outside on a perfectly thrown ball from Sanchez who threw it away from the corner breaking to Kerley’s inside shoulder.

Kerley then shook both the corner and safety and was off to the races. When you see plays like this, it makes the inconsistency of the Jets offense that much more frustrating. The other receiver to play major reps was Clyde Gates, who simply put doesn’t merit any playing time. He rounds off every route and has no answer for physical coverage.

Offensive Line/Tight Ends – The protection in the passing game was very impressive, particularly in the second half. Austin Howard has very quietly put together a strong start to the season. Sanchez had a well formed pocket to throw from during most of the game. The run blocking wasn’t awful but has room for improvement. There are too many instances when Matt Slauson or Brandon Moore are knocked off the ball, clogging up running lanes. There were enough lanes to average more than 2 yards per carry as Shonn Greene did but that doesn’t mean the offensive line can’t perform at a higher level.

The fact that Jeff Cumberland is starting games at tight end is an embarrassment and a direct reflection on the poor job Mike Tannenbaum did this off-season building depth. He can’t block. He shows a lack of understanding of the offense and runs generally poor routes. Konrad Reuland is a better all around player than him by a sizable margin. Reuland shows a willingness to block and clearly understands his assignment on every play.

Running Backs – I won’t beat a dead horse. When a play is blocked like this, it needs to be more than a 2 yard gain –

New York Jets Week 3 Report Card – A Lost Island

The week 3 report card for the New York Jets

Quarterbacks (D) – Mark Sanchez picked up his play in the 4th quarter and overtime, leading two key drives that helped get the Jets a victory. Throughout those drives he repeatedly made big time throws, which is the only reason this grade is not a F. Sanchez must improve his accuracy and decision making. Sub 50% passing days are unacceptable at this stage of his career, regardless of how poor his supporting cast is…and they are poor. The interceptions in the end-zones simply can’t happen. He needs to play how he played in the 4th quarter and overtime throughout the entire game for the Jets to be a competitive team this season.

Running Backs (D) – Bilal Powell’s encouraging 10 carry, 45 yard performance is the only reason this isn’t a F. Shonn Greene is the worst starting running back in the NFL and does not deserve to keep his job or be anything else other than a backup/role player at this point. There is nobody who makes less people miss and leaves more yards on the field in the NFL right now than him.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends (B) – Santonio Holmes had arguably his best game in a New York Jets uniform. He took over in the second half, finishing with 9 catches for 147 yards. Jeremy Kerley continued to be big play weapon, hauling in a 66 yard catch and run and the go ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter. Stephen Hill looked completely lost out there. It is time for him to start splitting reps with Chaz Schilens. Konrad Reuland filled in admirably at fullback, H-Back and tight end and is a decent role player. Jeff Cumberland should be on some team’s practice squad, not a starting player in the NFL.

Offensive Line (B) – Particularly in the second half, the pass protection was very good against a strong front seven. People continue to complain about the blocking in the running game but the holes are there for Powell to average 4.5 yards per carry. The problem is Greene, not the offensive line.

Defensive Line (D) – Zero impact plays. Zero sacks. Zero tackles for a loss. Muhammad Wilkerson was solid against the run with nine tackles but when is somebody going to make a play? If Quinton Coples can’t get reps, why bother taking him in the first round?

Linebackers (D) – Disappointing effort against the run and they were exposed in coverage again. Calvin Pace is sluggish coming off the edge and this is still a unit that lacks in speed. It is time to give Demario Davis more reps, along with potentially Josh Mauga. This current unit is not getting the job done.

Secondary (B) – LaRon Landry made a game changing interception which he took back to the house. Darrelle Revis was Darrelle Revis when he was out there. Beyond that, it was a disappointing effort from Antonio Cromartie and Kyle Wilson. Both of them need to improve their play in Revis’ absence. Yeremiah Bell has been fairly quiet over the first three games.

Special Teams (A) – Anybody notice how good Jets punter Bob Malone has been? Nick Folk has been very good this season as well. Jeremy Kerley, when he catches the ball, is one of the league’s top punt returners.

Coaching (C) – We are still waiting for that “great” defense to show up from Rex Ryan and Mike Pettine. Tony Sparano needs to make a decision on how to use Tim Tebow or not use him at all and then stick to it.

The Miami turf turned the donkey wheel and the Jets island is gone…good luck to a speedy recovery #24! 

Sanchez Breakdown: Clusterf$!%

Rob Celletti breaks down Mark Sanchez’s performance this past Sunday

Stat line: 21/45, 306 Yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions – 58.2 QB rating, 46.7 completion percentage

Season stats: 50/99, 710 Yards, 5 touchdowns, 3 interceptions – 78.3 QB rating, 50.5 completion percentage

The editor of this website used a word yesterday that can be applied to almost every facet of this Jets team, and is also the best word to describe Mark Sanchez’s performance yesterday: a total clusterf—.

Forgive me for being crass and reductive, but it’s true. It has never been easier to be productive throwing the football in the NFL, and the Jets have spent the last two weeks making it look more difficult than achieving an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement.

The Best: Goodness, saying anything was “the best” part of this game is essentially telling a flat-out lie, but I will not stray from the format!  Sanchez does deserve credit for putting together three important drives in this game; the first when the Jets were down 10-0 and needed something (yes, this drive was aided by the Tim Tebow fake punt); the second to put them up 20-17 with just over three minutes remaining, leaving the game in the capable hands (ha!) of the Jet defense; and finally, after Dan Carpenter choked away the game for the Dolphins by missing a potential game-winning field goal, Sanchez finally hit an open Santonio Holmes down the field to set up Nick Folk’s three-ball for the Jet victory.

The Worst: There are at least five plays that immediately come to mind when trying to determine what Sanchez’s worst moment of yesterday was. The fact that there are five options to choose from is downright frightening. We’ll get a closer look at the offensive film tomorrow, but the floated interception to the corner of of the endzone for Stephen Hill is the type of mistake that has dogged Sanchez for his entire career. The read was poor and the technique was worse. It happened at a time when it was clear that the Jets were in for a dogfight, but could have seized control of the game with their defense having forced turnovers on consecutive plays. Instead, Sanchez singlehandedly revived the Dolphins, by throwing a floater to Stephen Hill, a play so poorly designed and executed that the man who intercepted the ball was originally assigned to mark Jeff Cumberland in man-to-man coverage.

The Key Moment: The Jets needed, and received, a lot of breaks to win this game, but the 38-yard completion to Santonio Holmes in overtime is something for the quarterback to hang his hat on.  Sanchez has been criticized heavily for letting bad plays snowball into bad games, sulking, etc., but he found a way to hang in yesterday and deliver, dare I say, in a clutch situation. Credit Holmes for overpowering Richard Marshall and Sanchez for the perfectly floated over-the-top ball (remember, he’d missed two similar plays earlier in the game). It’s amazing what happens when a wide receiver actually does his job and finishes the play. I mentioned last week that Holmes and Sanchez would have to fix their issues, and for all the warts on the passing game Sunday, Holmes’ clutch 9 catch, 147 yard performance was a bright spot. Simply put, this was as good as he and Sanchez have looked together since 2010.  For the Jets to have a puncher’s chance this season, that chemistry needs to be consistent.

Normally I close this article with a few snappy words about next week’s game, but I don’t even have that in me. Rooting for the Jets is exhausting.

New York Jets – Darrelle Revis Out For The Season, Now What?

Darrelle Revis is out for the season with a torn ACL…now what for the New York Jets?

The news was bad as expected. Darrelle Revis is out for the season with a torn ACL. It is a devastating injury to the New York Jets best player and to the NFL’s best cornerback. We wish him a speedy recovery and hope to see him back at 100% in 2013, when his contract situation will get that much more interesting.

Anyway, on to the 2012 season which still has 13 games left and believe it or not Jets fans, is still going to occur. Even with Darrelle Revis, the Jets had the look of a borderline .500 team. Now without him, it will take a combination of creative coaching and a collection of players to stepping up to keep the Jets competitive into December. Nobody is running away in the AFC. 8 or 9 wins could very well be good enough for a playoff spot, how can the Jets keep themselves in the mix?

First off, the rest of the defense needs to improve immediately, particularly the pass rush and the cornerbacks. The Jets spent high draft picks on Quinton Coples and Demario Davis. It is time to get them on the field. What they are doing up front right now is not working. Calvin Pace may not record another sack in his NFL career. Marcus Dixon was mercifully cut today after being blown off the ball for three straight weeks and playing twice the reps of Coples. Rex Ryan needs to manufacture a pass rush, so he might as well manufacture it with players who allegedly have speed and pass rushing ability.

In the secondary, Rex Ryan refers to Antonio Cromartie as a number one corner. Number one corners don’t get beat on double moves by 20 yards by Brian Hartline. Cromartie has the skill set to be a number one corner but shows no consistency with his technique. He might want to start now. I’m not sure why people are shy about saying Kyle Wilson has been an unmitigated bust but he has been so far. You don’t spend first round picks on nickel backs who can’t cover a team’s third best receiver without getting called for pass interference every other play. Now would be a good time for Wilson to start playing to first round status. After those two? The Jets should probably sign a veteran because Ellis Lankster or Isaiah Trufant haven’t shown any indication they are ready for major reps.

On offense, we will get into this more during the week – but the Jets just need to be better. That starts with Mark Sanchez playing more consistent. The immediate moves with the current depth chart is starting Bilal Powell at running back, getting Joe McKnight into the mix at running back and receiver and involving Jeremy Kerley more as both a receiver and runner. Pick a logical role for Tim Tebow and stick to it. No more 2 yard out routes. Make him your short yardage back out of the quarterback position, period. At wide receiver, Chaz Schilens should be splitting time with Stephen Hill opposite Santonio Holmes until he is up to speed.

The Jets need to examine the trade and free agent market at both running back and receiver. Ryan Grant as a free agent or Chris Ivory in a trade merits a roster spot over Shonn Greene. Plaxico Burress as a free agent or James Jones in a trade merits a roster spot over Clyde Gates.

The expectations are through the floor for the Jets right now. Nobody would be surprised if they finished 5-11 now. Can they exceed expectations in a mediocre conference filled with parity?

No Huddle – New York Jets Ugly Win Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle on the New York Jets week 3 win over the Miami Dolphins

Yikes. Talk about a quirky nailbiter. This one had disaster written all over it. Luckily the Jets escaped by the skin of their teeth with a 23-20 OT win. Call it a thriller. Call it ugly. We call it 2-1 and 2-0 in the division. A reality that will be covered with a dark cloud should Darrelle Revis be out for the season due to a non-contact knee injury suffered yesterday. How could we not start with Revis, whose probable season ender may make this win feel like a loss by later today.

1 – Oh No, Not Revis

What a year for Revis Island.. First a concussion in week one, now this. What looks like a season ending torn ACL. The violent world of pro football seems more violent lately as a whole too, doesn’t it? Can the Jets survive a defense without Revis? We don’t think so. The drop off is precipitous when Revis is not on the field.

This morning we all hold our breath, while knowing that from the looks of Sunday’s win that provided no pass rush and a confused offense, the Jets may be in trouble WITH Revis too this season. If that’s any consolation.

2 – Cover your Eyes, The Jets have the ball

Watching QB Mark Sanchez work on Sunday was like watching a scary movie. There was fear, laughter, comic relief and of course, sudden horror. Like the underthrown interception into double coverage that took place in the Dolphins end zone.

In The end thankfully, #6 remembered that he was not his team’s internal villain, but a player who can be clutch when the idea of victory is fading late in the game for many who bleed green and white.

As for the ground and pound, the Jets FINALLY realized that force feeding Shonn Greene is not enough of a dynamic rushing attack. Bilal Powell was 10-45 which was a step in the right direction, but Joe McKnoght is still invisible and the Wildcat has not become a seamless Part of the fabric yet.

With Stephen Hill dropping TDs Amd Dustin Keller still out, thank god Santonio Holmes (9-147) stepped up like we asked him to this past week. Or else this offense would have come apart at the seems yesterday.

3 – Ugly, or Epic: You Pick

No Jets Dolphins game ever goes according to plan. From the Mud Bowl of 1982, to the 51-45 classic in 1986. From the Marino spike game of 1994 to the Monday Night Miracle, on and on and on…into 2012.

Where both teams lost their top stars (Reggie Bush and Revis) and 4th quarter leads. In a game where the Dolphins kicker was frozen with a timeout and then missed a game winner in OT but frozen Jet K Nick Folk is SAVED by a time out. Only to be awarded a second chance after an initial blocked kick.

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. To us, Jets Dolphins matchups are always classics, even when they are stranger than strange. They are heated games in a long time rivalry, that tastes sweeter than sweet when the Jets prevail.

4 – The Pass Rush? Anytime Now Guys

The Jets “elite” defense allowed a rookie QB time to drive the ball downfield for the game tying FG late in regulation, and in OT where a Dan Carpenter miss from 47 prevented Ryan Tannehill from star of the game headlines today,

We blame much of this on the Jets defensive line. Zero sacks, little pressure, and a group that is lucky that they aren’t the target of blame today in what would have been a devastating loss. With Revis likely gone, if this part of the defense can’t find itself very soon then the Jets may find themselves reeling soon.

5 – Sanchez and Holmes: A Hollywood Ending In Miami

Remember the final game of 2011? Holmes was kicked out of the huddle, Sanchez was awful, and an alleged rift between the two became a symbol for the team’s dysfunction.

Yesterday, the pair essentially saved the Jets. Sanchez hit Holmes (9-147, drawing 3 PI calls) for a huge play in OT that set up Folk’s game winner. Exorcising the demons of an overblown stigma that the two have had to live with since New Years day. Hopefully this can springboard their on field chemistry to new heights. The Jets will need it to.

Especially if Revis is gone, the pass rush continues to stumble, and the offense struggles to find answers elsewhere.

Initial Reaction – A Win Filled With Major Problems, Jets 2-1

The New York Jets won ugly…very ugly over the Miami Dolphins 23-20 in overtime

Today was one of those wins that wasn’t very easy to enjoy. Let’s start with this reality, it appears likely that Darrelle Revis tore his ACL. We won’t find out for sure until tomorrow but any educated fan understands what a season ending injury means to the quality of the Jets defense. A Jets defense that already is not very good. It certainly isn’t elite. It certainly isn’t great. I’m not even sure if it is fair to classify it as good. When you allow a rookie quarterback to drive up and down the field on you with his second and third string running backs and the collection of receivers Miami has, you have nothing to puff your chest out about. If Reggie Bush doesn’t get hurt, the Jets might have lost by 10-14 points today.

The Jets have no pass rush, no speed at linebacker and cornerbacks in Antonio Cromartie, Kyle Wilson and Ellis Lankster who play the ball poorly in the air and are susceptible to double moves. Quinton Coples and Demario Davis have brought nothing to the defense so far. Aaron Maybin is a non-factor and the tackling for the entire unit is below average. This defense has a ton of room to improve and Rex Ryan must start finding a way to manufacture a pass rush.

On offense, it is painfully apparent the New York Jets had no well defined plan on how to use Tim Tebow coming into this season. So far his primary use this year has been as a slot receiver, who can’t catch the football (sadly, I’m serious). The Jets have been awful in short yardage and around the goal-line. If Tebow can’t get on the field on the 1 yard line on any of the Jets attempts down there, why is he on this team?

At running back, Shonn Greene needs to be put on the bench. I have battled with readers of this site the past few weeks about Greene but the numbers and production don’t lie. 19 carries for 40 yards? 2 yards per carry? How could you defend this guy as the starting running back? Don’t talk about the offensive line not opening up holes because Bilal Powell had 10 carries for 45 yards or 4.5 yards per carry. It is time to make Powell the starter, Joe McKnight (the Jets aren’t good enough on offense to keep somebody with his speed on the bench) the 3rd down back and relegate Greene to 7-10 carries per game off the bench. He isn’t even reliable enough in short yardage to make him a speciality back for that. Greene is painfully slow and has no ability to break tackles or make people miss.

Mark Sanchez did not play well at quarterback today. Simply put, he needs to complete a higher percentage of his passes and improve his decision making. His interception in the red-zone was awful, regardless of the poor route from Jeff Cumberland. Yes, there were dropped passes. Stephen Hill dropped an easy touchdown and had an overall poor game. Bilal Powell had a key third down drop. Regardless, Sanchez supporting cast is weak. We knew that coming into the year. It is a reality that isn’t going away. He needs to find a way to elevate his play and the play of those around him.

Now to the positives because there were a few – Santonio Holmes as Mark Sanchez eloquently put it “played his ass off.” Despite coverage being rolled to him, Holmes racked up 9 catches for 147 yards and the key catch in overtime. Jeremy Kerley is turning into a reliable playmaker and the Jets must do a better job of the getting the ball in his hands more. LaRon Landry had a pick six and has been a substantial upgrade at safety. Sanchez deserves credit for driving the Jets for the go ahead touchdown and the game winning field goal and throwing for over 300 yards with the collection of receivers and tight ends he had on the field.

The Jets aren’t a very good team and have many things to improve on. Regardless, they are 2-1. 2-0 in the AFC East and currently in 1st place. A win is a win and we’ll take it.

Turn On The Jets Week 3 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff gives their week 3 NFL Picks

The Race for Steak continues and despite my awful start I’m not discouraged. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game. 

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (16-15-2)

2. Rob  Celletti (14-17-2)

3. Chris Celletti (14-17-2)

4. Chris Gross (12-19-2)

5. Joe Caporoso (11-20-2)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (5-9-2)

  • Rams (+7) vs. Bears
  • Cowboys (-8) vs. Bucs
  • 49ers (-7) vs. Vikings
  • Titans (+3.5) vs. Lions
  • Bengals (+3) vs. Redskins
  • Jets (-1) vs. Dolphins
  • Saints (-8.5) vs. Chiefs
  • Bills (-3) vs. Browns
  • Colts (-3) vs. Jags
  • Cardinals (+3) vs. Eagles
  • Falcons (+3) vs. Chargers
  • Texans (-1.5) vs. Broncos
  • Steelers (3.5) vs. Raiders
  • Ravens (2.5) vs. Pats
  • Packers (-3) vs. Seahawks

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (7-7-2)

  • Chi -7 vs. StL
  • TB +8 @ Dall
  • Minn +7 vs. SF
  • Tenn +3.5 vs. Det
  • Cin +3 @ Wash
  • NYJ -1 @ Mia
  • KC +8.5 @ NO
  • Cle +3 vs. Buff
  • Ind -3 vs. Jax
  • Arz +3 vs. Phi
  • Atl +3 @ SD
  • Den +2 vs. Hou
  • Oak +3.5 vs. Pitt
  • Balt -2.5 vs. NE
  • Sea +3.5 vs. GB

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-6-2)

  • Bears (-7) over Rams
  • Buccaneers (+8) over Cowboys
  • Vikings (+7) over 49ers
  • Lions (-3.5) over Titans
  • Redskins (-3) over Bengals
  • Jets (-3) over Dolphins
  • Saints (-8.5) over Chiefs
  • Browns (+3) over Bills
  • Colts (-3) over Jaguars
  • Eagles (-3) over Cardinals
  • Chargers (-3) over Falcons
  • Broncos (+2) over Texans
  • Steelers (-3.5) over Raiders
  • Patriots (+2.5) over Ravens
  • Packers (-3) over Seahawks

Chris Celletti

Last Week (6-8-2)

  • Cowboys (+8)
  • Colts (-3)
  • Bills (-3)
  • Jets (-1)
  • Saints (-8.5)
  • Redskins (-3)
  • Rams (+7)
  • Vikings (+7)
  • Lions (-3.5)
  • Falcons (+3)
  • Eagles (-3)
  • Steelers (-3.5)
  • Broncos (+1.5)
  • Patriots (-2.5)
  • Packers (-3)

Chris Gross

Last Week (5-9-2)

  • Bears (-7)
  • Bucs (+8)
  • 49ers (-7)
  • Lions (-3.5)
  • Redskins (-3)
  • Jets (-1.5)
  • Saints (-8.5)
  • Browns (+3)
  • Colts (-3)
  • Eagles (-3)
  • Falcons (+3)
  • Texans (-2)
  • Steelers (-3.5)
  • Ravens (-2.5)
  • Seahawks (+3)

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 3 – Jets/Dolphins Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Dolphins

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for the New York Jets week 3 match-up against the Miami Dolphins. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter and make sure to hit up Traffic East this weekend when you are watching football to take advantage of this great deal from Night Out!

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Prediction – Jets 27, Dolphins 9. The Dolphins will certainly get some early momentum from a few medium to long gains from Reggie Bush. Expect Miami to get their most explosive offensive weapon the ball in space via screens, sweeps and passes out of the backfield. However, it will not take long for the Jets to catch onto the fact that Bush is Miami’s only true offensive threat. New York will key him early, and with a rookie quarterback throwing to a less than mediocre group of wide receivers, shutting down Bush will equate to a shut down performance. Miami will move the ball here and there, enough to get on the board with three field goals, but don’t expect much more. New York’s defense will be coming out fired up with a chip on their shoulders, similar to their mentality entering week 1.

Offensively, the Jets should take advantage of Miami’s depleted secondary. There is realistically no one outside of Sean Smith who can match up with any of the Jets three main receiving targets. Expect Sanchez to throw for about 250 yards with 2 Touchdowns to add to the first wild cat touchdown of the season. It is only fitting that Tim Tebow scores his first rushing touchdown as a Jet in his native state.

Mike Donnelly – I just don’t see how the Dolphins are going to stay with the Jets in this game. Rex Ryan is an absolute master when it comes to taking advantage of inexperienced or flat out crappy quarterbacks. Fortunately for the Jets, this week they get to go against both of those in Ryan Tannehill. Yes, Reggie Bush will be a major annoyance all day, but in the end, the Dolphins just don’t have enough fire power on offense to scare a Jets defense that is welcoming back All-Pro corner Darrelle Revis. On the other side of the ball, look for Mark Sanchez to have a bounce back performance as the Jets do just enough on offense to win comfortably. I don’t expect to see them light up the scoreboard like they did week 1 against Buffalo, but slowly but surely this game will turn into a lopsided victory as the defense imposes their will on Boring Joe Philbin’s boys. 27-10 Jets

Chris Celletti – As I’ve mentioned previously, I think the only player that can wreck this game for the Jets is Reggie Bush. I have plenty of faith in New York’s defense to confuse Ryan Tannehill (which isn’t very hard to do – just stick him in front of a map and you’ll be amazed) and keep the Dolphins’ questionable passing game in check. It’s Bush that worries me; the Jets have problems with speedy backs (see C.J. Spiller in Week 1), and I expect the Dolphins to go to Bush as much as possible. Still, I think the Jets’ defense will have a bend-but-don’t-break day and not allow many scores. As for the Jets’ offense, I expect this to be Tim Tebow’s biggest game thus far in terms of usage. The Jets are going to try and play safe on offense and limit turnovers. Mark Sanchez, however, will make a few big plays through the air, leading an unspectacular but balanced Jets offense to a productive day. It will be close throughout, with the Jets pulling away late. Jets 21, Dolphins 10

Rob Celletti – We’ve seen what one loss can do to distort the perspective of the media, and in turn, (some) fans of the New York Jets.  I shudder to think what would happen around here after back-to-back defeats. It’s difficult not to be pessimistic when you root for the Jets, but I do think they find a way to avoid catastrophe this week against a subpar Dolphins team. It won’t be pretty.  It’s funny; the matchups would seem to dictate that the Jets would have an easier time throwing the ball than running, yet I don’t think that’ll be the case. Yes, Sanchez should make some plays against the Dolphins secondary; but the same has been said before lots of similar games (dare I invoke Christmas Eve 2011). But enough with pessimism. This may be a game that is extremely frustrating to watch at times, but Rex Ryan’s defense will play like it has something to prove. In the end, they’re too much for Ryan Tannehill, who turns the ball over multiple times, and the Jets win ugly, 20-9

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 3 – Jets vs. Dolphins

Turn On The Jets with 12 predictions for the Jets week 3 match-up against the Miami Dolphins

How about this weather in New York City? There is nothing like the autumn. It reminds me of getting ready for another breakout 3 catch, 26 yard performance at Muhlenberg as we got ready to whoop up on Union College (sorry Chris Gross). Anyway, The New York Daily News or as we call them around here, TMZ has had a fun week of stirring the quarterback controversy pot and talking about Tebow shirtless. Fortunately, we have supplied you with all the necessary football coverage…emphasis on football you need here the past five days. The Mission To Civilize continues –

On to the predictions –

1. Ryan Tannehill will have at least two turnovers and struggle to push the ball down the field to his overmatched wide receivers against the Jets secondary. He won’t top 175 yards passing.

2. Stephen Hill will get back to being a factor, finishing with at least 55 yards receiving and his third touchdown of the season.

3. Reggie Bush will be the leading rusher in this game and keep Miami competitive for about three quarters, finishing with 80 yards rushing and another 35 receiving, along with a touchdown.

4. Brian Hartline will have less than 40 yards receiving.

5. Bilal Powell will have 10 carries and average more yards per carry than Shonn Greene, who will have another disappointing effort.

6. Tim Tebow will have 40 total offensive yards and his first touchdown of the season on a short run.

7. Mark Sanchez will complete 60% of his passes or higher, finish with over 200 yards passing and not have a turnover.

8. Cameron Wake will have at least one sack.

9. Joe McKnight will see his most extensive work of the season on offense and finish with 45 total offensive yards.

10. Aaron Maybin will have his first sack of the season.

11. The Jets won’t miss a beat without John Conner. Konrad Reuland will play at FB/H-Back and play well enough to begin taking most of his reps when he returns healthy.

12. The Jets will win 23-10 in a game that will remain tight into the early fourth quarter but will get put away by a lengthly touchdown drive from the Jets offense and a shutdown Jets defense.

Turn On The Jets NFL Week 3 Best Bets

Chris Celletti submits his Best Bets for week 3 of the 2012 NFL Season

Week 2 Record: 2-0-1

Season Record: 3-2-1

For this column’s purposes, I went 2-0-1 last week. I say that because when I actually put my money where my mouth was, by Sunday morning, the Giants’ line vs. the Buccaneers had moved to -7.5. When I wrote my Week 2 piece, it was at -7. We call that a push, you guys. But as always the moral of the story goes: Don’t bet on your crosstown rival. It’s just not worth it. Whenever you need to root for a team you usually loathe, it never ends well. So that was the lesson of Week 2 for me (that and “Always buy the point, ass-clown).” As for my two straight up wins, I still cannot figure out how the Texans were only a seven point fave against a crap Jacksonville team, and I loved the Colts and Andrew Luck getting points in their home opener (FYI: Foreshadowing alert!). As Mike Francesa might so eloquently say when he’s not catatonic: Bink, bink, boom…and now we move to Week 3.

Steelers (-3.5) at Raiders

All of us here at Turn On The Jets got a first hand view at the Steelers last week. With Rashard Mendenhall out, Pittsburgh has finally gotten with the times and become a throwing team. Ben Roehtlisberger has three very good wide receivers who can stretch the field and a dependable tight end, and they look like a team who is going to put up some serious points. Big Ben totally picked apart the Jets’ secondary last week – still a talented group even without Darrelle Revis. Oakland just got their asses handed to them by Miami. Also, “The Black Hole” is the most asinine feature of any sports stadium in the world. Right, because the Steelers – world class, insanely trained professional athletes –  are scared of a bunch of mouth-breathers who treat eight Sundays a year like Halloween. I hope the Raiders go winless at home for a decade.

Colts (-3) vs. Jacksonville

This is a meshing of my Week 2 victories in one: Colts at home vs. the Jaguars. Love it, bro. Consider me on the Andrew Luck train. He’s a soccer fan who can probably name at least 15 out of the 19 MLS teams. Good on you, sir, you have that in common with me and 1% of the American male population. Home teams have been covering at a pretty high clip so far, some of which might have to do with the replacement refs. I’m not backing off my stance with the Jaguars being one of the worst teams in the league. I picked them before the season as under 5.5 wins for the year, and an 0-3 start would get that future bet off to a promising start.

Broncos (+2) vs. Texans

I think this is going to be a really tight game, and I’ll go with the home team getting points. First off, everybody talks about the Houston Texans like they’re God’s gift to football. Yeah, they’re good. They might be really good. They’re not unbeatable. The Broncos have a solid enough defense to keep the game close, and I think we might see a Peyton Manning late-game drive to set up a winning field goal. I see this as a “can go either way” type game.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record: 1-1)

I know, last week’s bet that the Milwaukee Brewers would take their series against the LOLMets wasn’t the boldest of calls, but hey, I told you it was free money. And when the Mets took the first game of the series, we were hot water for a second there, folks. For Week 3 we move to the other football, and on Sunday morning before the NFL kicks off we have a classic English Premier League match between Fenway Sports Group’s latest shitshow, Liverpool, against Manchester United. Winning on the road in the Premier League is pretty tough, which is why Man U is +160 on the money line to do so (when you bet on soccer, with the prospect of ties, you get scenarios in which both teams are at “plus” odds like this). Much like the Red Sox, Liverpool is a mess. They’re winless through four Premier League matches and in 17th place. Maybe after Man U goes in and thrashes the poor Reds, John Henry will plant a story in the media that Brendan Rodgers is hooked on painkillers and Steven Gerrard and Pepe Reina are having pre-match Guinnesses and Fish and Chips. There isn’t a team and fanbase in the entire world more deserving of Fenway’s swift buy-and-destroy job than Liverpool. Good riddance.