Initial Reaction – New York Jets Embracing The Awfulness

The New York Jets continued to bottom out today with a 27-17 loss to the San Diego Chargers

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It was a sad day at MetLife Stadium. The New York Jets have fully regressed to 2007, when December home games were filled with bitter, disinterested fans watching a bad football team play out the string.

Shockingly, a second year 7th round quarterback wasn’t the answer to all the Jets problems. Greg McElroy looked overwhelmed in his first NFL start, turning the ball over twice, taking unnecessary sacks and showing the lack of arm strength that will prevent him from being this team’s answer at quarterback. The rest of the team, with the exception of a handful of players, were truly awful and looked like a team ready to head home for the off-season. There is not a coach on the Jets offensive staff who deserves to be employed in the NFL next season and Rex Ryan’s beloved defense was pushed around by one of the league’s worst offenses.

The offensive line embarrassed themselves. Shonn Greene can’t crack 40 yards rushing unless he gets 20 carries. Eric Smith is still Eric Smith. The linebackers are slow. Kyle Wilson remains his terrible self (at least we didn’t see any finger wags today).

What else can you say? It needs to be blown up from top to bottom. If you have been paying attention, you knew this already.

How about a few positives? Quinton Coples recorded a sack in his third straight game, finishing with 1.5 on the day and now has a team leading 5.5 on the season. Muhammad Wilkerson also added in a sack and now has 5 on the year. The two of them and Kenrick Ellis form the core of an excellent young defensive line. Braylon Edwards has looked strong since returning and the Jets are going to be able to bring him back on a low cost contract and get a productive player. Outside of that? I guess Robert Malone has put together a good season of punting the ball.

One game left and then the rebuilding can commence!

Turn On The Jets Week 16 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff submits their week 16 NFL Picks

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday games –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (123-95-6)

2. Chris Gross (113-105-6)

3. Mike Donnelly (112-108-4)

4. Chris Celletti (111-108-5)

5. Joe Caporoso (96-122-6)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (9-6)

  • Atlanta (-3.5) vs. Detroit
  • Tennessee (+12.5) vs. Green Bay
  • Oakland (+8.5) vs. Carolina
  • Buffalo (+4.5) vs. Miami
  • Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Cincy
  • New England (-14.5) vs. Jacksonville
  • Indianapolis (-7) vs. Kansas City
  • Dallas (-3) vs. New Orleans
  • Washington (-6.5) vs. Philadelphia
  • Tampa Bay (-3) vs. St. Louis
  • Giants (-2.5) vs. Baltimore
  • Minnesota (+7.5) vs. Houston
  • Denver (-13) vs. Cleveland
  • Chicago (-5.5) vs. Arizona
  • Seattle (PK) vs. San Francisco
  • Jets (-2.5) vs. San Diego

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (9-6)

  • Falcons -3.5
  • Titans +12
  • Raiders +8.5
  • Bills +4.5
  • Steelers -3
  • Jaguars +14.5
  • Chiefs +7
  • Cowboys -3
  • Eagles +6.5
  • Bucs -3
  • Jets -2.5
  • Texans -8
  • Giants -2.5
  • Broncos -12.5
  • Bears -5.5
  • Seahawks PK

Rob Celletti

Last Week (10-5)

  • Falcons (-3.5) over Lions
  • Titans (+12.5) over Packers
  • Raiders (+8.5) over Panthers
  • Dolphins (-4.5) over Bills
  • Steelers (-3) over Bengals
  • Patriots (-14.5) over Jaguars
  • Chiefs (+7) over Colts
  • Cowboys (-3) over Saints
  • Eagles (+6) over Redskins
  • Rams (+3) over Buccaneers
  • Giants (-2.5) over Ravens
  • Texans (-7.5) over Vikings
  • Browns (+13) over Broncos
  • Bears (-5.5) over Cardinals
  • 49ers (PK) over Seahawks
  • Chargers (+2.5) over Jets

Chris Celletti

Last Week (5-10)

  • Falcons
  • Packers
  • Raiders
  • Dolphins
  • Steelers
  • Patriots
  • Colts
  • Redskins
  • Rams
  • Giants
  • Texans
  • Browns
  • Bears
  • 49ers
  • Jets

Chris Gross

Last Week (7-8)

  • Falcons (-3.5)
  • Packers (-12)
  • Raiders (+8.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Bengals (+3)
  • Patriots (-14.5)
  • Chiefs (+7)
  • Saints (+3)
  • Eagles (+6.5)
  • Bucs (-3)
  • Ravens (+2.5)
  • Vikings (+8)
  • Denver (-12.5)
  • Bears (-5.5)
  • 49ers (pk)
  • Jets (-2.5)

New York Jets – What Do We Need To See In Final Two Games?

What should New York Jets fans hope to see in the team’s final two games?

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The New York Jets final two regular season games basically break down to being nothing more than glorified pre-season games (without any kind of glory I suppose). What should a Jets fan root for these upcoming weeks against the mighty San Diego Chargers and the Buffalo “Fredo” Bills?

Greg McElroy – You can’t say at this point it won’t be interesting or mildly entertaining to watch somebody besides Mark Sanchez pump fake and throw interceptions or Tim Tebow scramble around and do nothing. Hopefully, the coaching staff allows McElroy to operate a normal NFL offense, not the JV-high school offense the team normally runs. We aren’t going to learn anything about his potential strengths and limitations from having him go 10/14 for 86 yards next week because all he was allowed to throw was slants and boots. Ideally, McElroy plays confident, turnover free football and shows enough to be considered a reliable back-up next season or maybe even a competitor along with a veteran for the starting job.

Young D – No more 35% of the snaps for Quinton Coples who has a sack in each of the last two games and is starting to really come along in his rookie season. Get him out there for 50-60 snaps and let him get accustomed to the extended work. The same goes for Kenrick Ellis who will be your starting nose tackle next year when Sione Pouha is released. Demario Davis should be playing the bulk of the reps at inside linebacker alongside David Harris and Antonio Allen should continue to see increased reps at outside linebacker and as a pass rusher on third downs.

Wide Receiver Shuffle – Haven’t we seen enough Chaz Schilens and Clyde Gates at this point? You make Braylon Edwards your starting split end, to see how he handles major reps. You put Jeremey Kerley as your starting flanker since he has been your best receiver this season and could be in this spot next year if Santonio Holmes is released. You put rookie 7th round pick Jordan White in the slot, since he hasn’t been given a chance yet. They get all the reps. No Schilens. No Gates. Certainly no Mardy Gilyard.

Just Give Him A Chance – Give Joe McKnight 10-15 carries and let’s see if that 6.1 yards per carry can come anywhere near to holding up. It certainly won’t end up lower than Shonn Greene’s 3.9 yards per carry. Let McKnight and Bilal Powell who will both be on the team next year, while Greene probably won’t, handle the workload in the backfield.

New York Jets Salary Cap Hell – A Roundtable Interview

An interview with Jason From NY Jets Cap and a former NFL personnel executive about the state of the New York Jets

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The New York Jets are currently in what can aptly be described as “Salary Cap Hell.” Because of that Turn On The Jets reached out to one of our favorite writers covering the team, Jason from NY Jets Cap. You won’t find anybody out there with a better grasp of the Jets financial situation. On top of that, we also spoke with our source within the NFL on the current status of the team and their upcoming future. Finally, I included a few links to worthwhile reads on how the Jets can proceed from here. Enjoy and as always discuss here in the comment section and on our Facebook and Twitter page –

TOJ – Understanding all the salary cap ramifications and his current level of play – What would you do with Mark Sanchez this off-season? And what do you predict will actually end up playing out?

NY Jets Cap – I think the situation is beyond repair and at this point he has to go. I could not even imagine bringing him back in 2013 and having him compete for a starting job. The home crowd can’t stand him and it is simply not going to work. The problem is from a cap standpoint an outright release costs the team slightly over $17 million which will not only make fielding a team more difficult but be a PR nightmare for the front office. If it was me I’d be contacting any team with a bad QB situation (Oakland and Arizona at the top of the list) and seeing if they would trade anything for him and absorb a portion of that salary for next season. At least its a small victory to bring the cap number down. If that can not be done I would designate him a June 1st cut and split the cap charges over two seasons – around $12.15 million in 2013 and $4.8 million in 2014.

I think what actually happens depends on if there is turnover in the front office or not. If there is I think they will do something along the lines of the June 1 cut. If Mike Tannenbaum is still in charge I think he will remain and they will bring his cap number down by paying some of his 2013 salary as a bonus and deal with the cap consequences of that move the following year.

TOJ – Should the Jets consider trading Antonio Cromartie or Darrelle Revis to free up cap space and begin building through the draft?

NY Jets Cap –  I would take offers for both of them. Again it depends on if you are looking short or long term. A short term move of Cromartie via trade frees up $8.25 million in cap that could go to fixing a number of weaknesses but would not net much in the way of draft compensation. Moving Revis would likely lose cap space in the short term but you would receive higher compensation for him in the draft that can really help in the future. I think there is also the consideration that Revis may not want to come back in 2014 when he will be a free agent when making the move. Either way I would not bring both back next season. Pass defense is the least of the team’s concerns and tying up $20 million in cap for those two is not going to make the team better.

TOJ – Do you think there is any way they could move Santonio Holmes or David Harris’ contract?

NY Jets Cap – Probably not. Holmes I think could have been moved had he not been injured, but his recovery has been very slow and he is coming off a poor season before that. Harris is overpaid and I dont think anyone would want him for $10.9 million in 2013, $9.5 million of which is fully guaranteed. In terms of a pure release Holmes is a candidate and the Jets would receive some credit if he signed with another team and I have to think someone would pay him at least $1-2 million on a 1 year deal. The Jets do create cap room by releasing him. Harris cant be cut due to the salary guarantee.

TOJ – Name 10 players on the current roster who won’t be on the team next season

NY Jets Cap – Bart Scott. Calvin Pace. Eric Smith. Jason Smith. Sione Pouha. LaRon Landry. Dustin Keller. Tim Tebow. Santonio Holmes. Brandon Moore.

TOJ – Considering the Jets need two new starting OLBs, a new starting RB, a new starting RT and G. How many holes can they realistically expect to fill?

smithcol25s-1-webNY Jets Cap – I guess it depends on if they go into full rebuild mode or they go into a retooling mode. The Jets have enough flexibility in their contract structure to go out and grab a few free agents that would help improve the team in the short term. The issue with that scenario is you might replay what we are going through now in another year or two.  If they take the cap pains of the bad deals in 2013 you won’t see any impact players being brought in to fill those spots. It will primarily be all stopgap players, kind of like what the Jets did in 2006 and 2007.

TOJ – Are LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell back next season?

NY Jets Cap – Landry won’t be. I think the price tag is too high and even if the Jets think they are retooling they have to have it in the back of their heads that he is not the answer to a long term rebuild. Bell is a lower cost player and will do 1 year contracts from here on out so I think if he wants to keep playing the Jets will welcome him back.

TOJ – Give me a best case scenario for the Jets off-season

NY Jets Cap – I tend to think the Jets have to think of their long term future and move onward. I think the best case scenario consists of low level trades for Sanchez and Tebow, trading Cromartie, re-signing Revis to a realistic contract, and releasing Holmes. It would probably leave the Jets with $20-25 million to spend in free agency to fill out the roster and not hurt them in the short term while improving their long term prospects. I’m not sure if I would consider Mike Vick or Alex Smith as a one year option at QB, but I think one of those players should be brought in for a look. Vick is more dynamic but Smith is the safer QB. The thing is it can’t be for more than a year. If not I’d look at Matt Moore from Miami and use him as a cheap one year player. If Miami started him this year they would be in the playoff hunt. But to me this is their best team that they can produce and keep 2014 wide open for major improvement.

Worst case scenario is the braintrust going behind closed doors and saying “man if we only had Holmes and Revis for the year we would be 9-7” and then going into the preseason with Sanchez and McElroy battling it out for the starting QB job without releasing any of the big contract guys.

A few quotes from a former NFL personnel executive and current employee of the league on the situation with the Jets

“A current Jets coach had this to say to me about the organization yesterday – As bad as the team looks on the outside, it is ten times worse inside the building.”  – This was a response to an inquiry about the relationship between Rex and Tannenbaum.

“Everyone says the GM should be just doing contracts but that is the worst thing he does. Have you seen the cap of the Jets? It is a mess but with the years left on his contract, I still don’t think he is going to get fired by Woody.”

“It is hard to get a read on what Rex thinks. Who knows the real deal with him because of the lies he throws in front of the media all the time?”

(On chatter about Eric DeCosta as a GM candidate) – “DeCosta is not going anywhere this off-season. Beyond that, take a look at Baltimore’s recent drafts. I don’t think the Jets make the major front office moves their fans are hoping for”

 

TOJ Off-Season Advice To Woody Johnson

Bill Barnwell On Two Potential Routes For The Jets

2013 NFL Free Agents

New York Jets – Off-Season Advice For Woody Johnson

Preliminary off-season advice for New York Jets Owner Woody Johnson

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Even though we have an entire off-season to discuss how the New York Jets can dig themselves out of their current mess, it feels appropriate to get into it a little bit today. There is no solution that involves minor changes or a slight “retooling” of the roster. The Jets weren’t a few games away from a playoff spot because Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes didn’t play this year. They have struggled this year because they lack talent, direction and common sense. Here is a collection of steps for Owner Woody Johnson to take this off-season to move away from being a laughingstock and back towards being a competitive football team –

1 – Fire Mike Tannenbaum and Terry Bradway – No demotions. No re-assigning Mike Tannenbaum to “cap guru” position as many fans have suggested. Newsflash: Mike Tannenbaum isn’t a cap guru. Look at Mark Sanchez’s contract! Beyond that, look at how he guaranteed money to Santonio Holmes, Calvin Pace and Bart Scott among others. Terry Bradway shouldn’t be employed by this organization either. In case you forget, he is the guy who traded a first round pick for Doug Jolley, took Mike Nugent with a 2nd round draft pick, and traded away a 2nd round pick for Justin McCariens. The entire personnel department needs to be revamped so this garbage roster can be looked at with the proper scrutiny and that starts with these two being let go.

2 – GM/Rex Dynamic – The new GM must be given full autonomy on how to handle the head coaching position. Personally, I think it would be wise to bring Rex Ryan back but the GM must be comfortable with him. If Rex does stay on, it must be under the condition that the entire offensive coaching is fired, obviously starting with coordinator Tony Sparano and quarterbacks coach Matt Cavanaugh. Sparano has been an unmitigated disaster in his first season calling the Jets plays and Cavanaugh should have been fired after last season.

3 – Cut Your Losses On Sanchez – Eat the dead money if necessary but Mark Sanchez has to go. It is best for the team and best for him, as he is clearly checked out as a quarterback in this market. Maybe he restructures to help facilitate his release or a trade where he can be a developmental backup somewhere else. Maybe he doesn’t, either way he cannot continue on with this team. Start Greg McElroy the final two games and hope he shows enough to be a competent backup in 2013. Cut Tim Tebow. Look to add a low to mid-cost veteran via free agency or trade, maybe add a mid-round pick (this is a shaky year at QB in the Draft) and take it from there. A few names to kick around – Matt Moore, Matt Flynn, Kirk Cousins (Redskins might not let him go, unless for a King’s Ransom at this point), and Brian Hoyer.

4 – All Options On The Table – When you are so deep into salary cap hell and have so many needs, all options are on the table and that includes working the phones to see if you could swing a productive trade for anybody from Darrelle Revis to Antonio Cromartie, all the way through to David Harris. People naturally recoil at the thought of trading a Revis or Cromartie but here is the reality: you don’t have the luxury to have two elite, high-paid cornerbacks when you have gaping holes all over your roster.

5- Draft Heavy/Spend Smart – Load up on draft picks. The team currently has seven picks (one in each round). How about getting that number up towards the 9-12 range via trading current players or trading back on draft day in the necessary spots. When looking at personnel decisions not related to the draft, spend prudently and self-scout properly. Don’t pay Dustin Keller. Let him walk and sign Delanie Walker or Anthony Fasano for half the money. Don’t pay Shonn Greene. Try to sign Chris Ivory to a contract as a restricted free agent. Part ways with Sione Pouha because you have Kenrick Ellis and Damon Harrison. If you are going to spend, make it on enhancing your offensive line and outside linebacker positions which both badly need makeovers.

I even made a cheat sheet for you Woody!

MUST GO

  • Mike Tannenbaum
  • Terry Bradway
  • Tony Sparano
  • Matt Cavanaugh

LET WALK

  • Shonn Greene
  • Dustin Keller
  • Calvin Pace
  • Bryan Thomas
  • Bart Scott
  • Jason Smith

CUT YOUR LOSSES

  • Mark Sanchez
  • Sione Pouha
  • Eric Smith
  • Tim Tebow

UP IN THE AIR

  • Rex Ryan (Needs to be new GM’s call)
  • Mike Pettine
  • Matt Slauson/Austin Howard (Need to find suitable replacements if letting them walk. Ideally replace at least 1 of 2)

QUIETLY FLOAT ON TRADING BLOCK

  • Darrelle Revis (More hope to sign him long term if Tannenbaum is gone)
  • Antonio Cromartie (Value will never be higher)
  • David Harris (Good luck with that contract)
  • Santonio Holmes (Good luck with that contract)

BUILDING BLOCKS

  • Muhammad Wilkerson
  • Nick Mangold
  • Quinton Coples
  • D’Brickashaw Ferguson
  • Kenrick Ellis
  • Demario Davis
  • Jeremy Kerley
  • Stephen Hill (Because you can’t cut ties with a 2nd round pick this early…not with his size and speed)
  • Bilal Powell (Your hopeful 1B Back)
  • Greg McElroy (Your hopeful backup QB)
  • Joe McKnight (Kick returner/Hopeful can contribute on offense if properly used)

TRY TO BRING BACK, MAY NOT BE ABLE TO

  • LaRon Landry
  • Yeremiah Bell
  • Mike DeVito