Initial Reaction – Jets End Playoff Hopes In Appropriate Fashion

Initial reaction to the New York Jets season ender in Tennessee

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Tonight was another embarrassing primetime loss for the New York Jets, which formally ended their post-season hopes. They lost by 4 points despite 4 interceptions from Mark Sanchez and a botched snap. They were given opportunity after opportunity to win the game and refused to take it. The loss might be painful now but in the long run, it will be a positive thing.

This season has gone poorly enough (particularly in the national spotlight) that Woody Johnson’s personal relationship with Mike Tannenbaum won’t prevent him from firing him, like he deserves to be. Mark Sanchez, despite his guaranteed contract, has now probably played his last snap in New York. At this point, eating the money is a wiser decision than keeping him around. Tony Sparano has to be fired. Basically everything will be thoroughly re-examined from top to bottom. Let the rebuilding begin.

This team dressed six wide receivers tonight. They were consistently confused on offense and looked like a JV team in high school trying to stay organized. The defense has their shortcomings in some areas but they compete, have a sense of organization and strategy while the offense wallows in complete incompetence.

The Jets are so bad on offense right now, they are beyond rational explanation or understanding. It exists beyond the bounds of logic. Every player or coach associated with the unit (outside of a very small handful) needs to be unemployed by this team in 2013.

No playoffs for the Jets for two straight years. Changes are on the way and that is a good thing.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable, Week 15 – Jets/Titans Predictions

The TOJ staff gives their predictions for the Jets Monday Night must win against the Tennessee Tittans

Make sure to stay with us during Jets/Titans tonight, as our writing staff will be doing a live blog of the game right here on the site – 

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack 

Chris Gross –  Jets 23, Titans 10 – You’re really beginning to see the Jets defense click on all cylinders. Muhammad Wilkerson has established himself as a top defensive lineman in this league, while Antonio Cromartie has put any doubt pertaining to his value to the Jets organization to rest. Additionally, LaRon Landry has been one of Mike Tannenbaum’s few excellent free agent acquisitions, as he has coupled with Yeremiah Bell to revamp the safety position that was such a mess a year ago. 1st round pick Quinton Coples is beginning to blossom at the right time, and schematically the Jets have been beyond impressive over the past couple of weeks.

While Chris Johnson’s elusiveness and speed could be a problem for the Jets slower linebackers, he is playing without 4 starting offensive lineman and hasn’t been very effective after contact. This means that the Jets need to hit him before he finds space, and continuously hit him throughout the game. Jake Locker should struggle reading Rex Ryan and Mike Pettine’s fronts, coverages, and blitz disguises, as most young quarterbacks have this year. Look for the Jets to dominate once again on defense, with another strong performance from Muhammad Wilkerson.

Offensively, Tennessee is young and explosive in their defensive front 7, so expect New York to counter their aggressiveness and inexperience with a variety of misdirections and play action passes. Mark Sanchez will be under the microscope on the national stage, so his performance will be highly scrutinized. If he struggles early tonight, don’t count on Rex Ryan not pulling the plug and replacing him with Tim Tebow. The Jets need to win and it is no time to worry about hurting someone’s feelings or creating Tebow hysteria. Look for the Jets to try and limit Sanchez to 15-20 pass attempts while grounding their way to their third consecutive victory.

Chris Celletti – Much like in 2009 when the Jets thought they were done and dusted, the overall mediocrity of the AFC coupled with a few key results have combined to give the Jets and incredible opportunity heading into the final weeks of the year. The Jets’ “playoffs” started a few weeks ago against Arizona, but that was just from a mathematical standpoint. Now, on Monday night in Tennessee, the Jets are truly entrenched in the playoff picture, and make no mistake about it, Monday’s game is for all intents and purposes a postseason game for Gang Green. Over the past few seasons, I suppose 2011 notwithstanding, these are the situations that have brought out the best in both Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez. I expect both of them to have big nights; the Jets defense will dial up a big performance, and Sanchez will play his best game since the Jets’ win in St. Louis. I don’t think it will be easy by any stretch because Chris Johnson can cause the Jets some problems and Jake Locker is a tricky guy to deal with, but I think the Jets get the job done. On a player-specific level, I’m predicting that Braylon Edwards catches a touchdown of over 50+ yards. That’ll be one of the few big plays the Jets make while winning 24-10.

Rob Celletti – Here we go again. The Jets once again play for their lives, and will know exactly what this game means to them when it kicks off on Monday night, as the rest of the Week 15 results will be in.  The Jets’ history isn’t littered with 5-game winning streaks, but they’re in search of one now. I think that desperation will help them as they try and navigate the final three weeks of the season.

Tennessee poses more of a threat than Arizona or Jacksonville; there’s simply more talent on the field. But the Jets will try and muck and grind their way to a win once again, asking their running game to carry the load. Still, the Jets are going to have to throw the ball more to win this week. We saw Mark Sanchez play an extremely tentative game last week, and if he tries to do that again, I don’t think the Jets can win. Often times, playing afraid of making a mistake actually leads to more mistakes. Sanchez simply needs to assert himself. If the running game is successful, there will be chances to hurt Tennessee deep on playaction. It’s a tired refrain, but only because it’s true. I think the Jets will take advantage of their opportunities, and I think the defense continues its dominant play. It’ll be close, but I think the Jets will be coming home 7-7.  Final score, 27-17.

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 15 – Jets vs. Titans

12 predictions for the Jets must win Monday Night game against the Tennessee Titans

The Turn On The Jets 12 pack is back with predictions for a critical Monday Night game for the New York Jets against the Tennessee Titans. If the Jets can take care of business, they are going to give themselves a somewhat realistic chance for a playoff spot in the season’s final two weeks. It has been a bizarre year, particularly in the AFC that has allowed a team currently at 6-7 and holding some shockingly embarrassing stats to remain relevant for so long. 

Yet there is no need for any apologies from the Jets. This is a team who gets criticized for beating Arizona by a single point, when a Detroit team with twice the talent as them goes out and loses to Arizona by 28. Rex Ryan has held his veteran team together, despite a lack overall talent and has prevented the 2012 season from slipping away just yet. It has slipped away in Buffalo. It has slipped away in Miami. It has slipped away in countless other NFL cities but not for the New York Jets. 

It hasn’t been a fun season for Jets fans. Think about it. How many truly enjoyable moments have there been? The week 1 rout of Buffalo was a blast but none of the other six victories have come with much excitement or celebration. Ironically, the season’s second best moment might have been recovering a fumble on a kick return late in the fourth quarter against New England…in what ultimately ended up being a losing effort.

Tonight has a chance to change that. The team and the fanbase has a primetime game to genuinely get excited about. A win in this game means the home finale next Sunday should be a packed and rowdy game as the team looks to beat up on San Diego in the final days of the Norv Turner era while scoreboard watching Kansas City/Indianapolis and Cincinnati/Pittsburgh. 

Hopefully, the Jets come out with the intensity of a team fighting for their playoff lives against the Titans team with nothing to play for. 

On to the predictions –

1. Braylon Edwards will play 15-25 snaps for the Jets offense tonight and pull in 2-3 catches for 30-45 yards, including at least one big first down.

2. Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell will combine for at least 35 carries and 150 yards. Tim Tebow won’t play on offense and Joe McKnight will contribute 3-5 offensive touches.

3. Chris Johnson will be held to under 85 yards rushing and be kept out of the end-zone.

4. Mark Sanchez will throw for under 200 yards and have one turnover, along with one touchdown pass.

5. Jake Locker will have at least 30 yards rushing and throw for around 200 yards. However, the Jets will sack him at least twice and force him into a pair of turnovers.

6. Nate Washington and Kendall Wright will make a few big plays working against Kyle Wilson and Ellis Lankster.

7. Jeremy Kerley will lead the Jets in receptions and receiving yards.

8. Muhammad Wilkerson will have at least one sack, continuing his All-Pro caliber season. Look for a big night from Quinton Coples as well, working against a beat-up Titans offensive line.

9. The Jets will avoid any major special teams errors and both Nick Folk and Joe McKnight will have solid games for Mike Westhoff.

10. Rookie Antonio Allen will play at least 15 snaps on defense and have a couple of quarterback pressures. Garret McIntyre will play the bulk of the reps at outside linebacker for Bryan Thomas.

11. The Jets won’t rotate Vladimir Ducasse in at guard.

12. With their season on the line, the Jets will jump out to an early lead and then hold on to it with their running game. This will be a tight one into the final minutes but look for the defense to make a big play late to ice a 16-13 victory.

Predicted Game Outcome Record: 11-2 

8 Head-Scratching New York Jets Stats

Mike Donnelly with 8 head scratching New York Jets stats heading into week 15

As the Jets gear up for their suddenly big game in Tennessee tonight, the playoffs are more than just a pipe dream. We are all familiar with the scenarios at this point, and with Pittsburgh and Indianapolis losing yesterday, a win tonight puts the Jets right in the thick of the playoff hunt with two games to go. Should that happen, it’s going to be awfully hilarious to see the outrage from other fans and media “experts” that the “garbage” Jets made it over “more deserving” teams. Just the thought of that makes me giddy.

Anyway, it’s a borderline miracle that the Jets and playoffs are even possibly going together in the same sentence with the way some of this season has gone, and Rex Ryan deserves a ton of credit for having this team in this position. The Jets roster was extremely poorly constructed as we’ve been over time and time again, and if we knew back in September that some of the Jets stats would look the way they do at this point in the season, we’d think we would be scouting who to take with our top-5 draft pick. Seriously, that the team is in position to win 9 games this year with some of the stats that they’ve produced this year will blow your mind. I present to you the top 8 head-scratching Jets stats of the 2012 season.

Tim Tebow – 87 rush yards, 3.0 yards per carry, 0 TD’s – The Jets marquee offseason transaction was brought in here to bolster the run game, help in short yardage, and give defenses a whole new wrinkle to worry about. Well, it hasn’t quite worked out like that. As the season progressed and the Jets sent Tebow out on the field less and less, it became painfully clear that Rex Ryan had about as much use for Tim Tebow as he would have for another hole in his head. Through 13 games, Tebow has amassed a whopping 29 carries and was never given any sort of consideration to be a “real” quarterback. Tebow was supposed to play a major role this year, and if you knew he’d have dressed for 12 of the 13 games and put up these stats, you’d think something was wrong.

Running Backs have 29 total catches – That’s the combined amount from all the running backs and fullbacks that have suited up in the Green and White this year — 29 through 13 games. When Mark Sanchez was at his best (and I use that term loosely), it was when he had a strong running game and an excellent receiving threat out of the backfield to check down to. First it was Leon Washington, then it was Ladainian Tomlinson, and now it’s… well, nobody. By comparison, in 2010 Tomlinson himself had 52 catches, and as a team the running backs had 76. That’s a major component of the offense that was just ripped away, and if I knew in September that we’d be at 29 at this point in the season I’d have some serious concerns.

Running Backs have 4 total plays over 20 yards – Speaking of having serious concerns about our running backs, we have a whopping FOUR plays over 20 yards, three on runs and one on a pass play. Three of them were by Shonn Greene, and one by Joe McKnight. By comparison, Adrian Peterson has 20. He’s the best back in the league, but what about lesser players you ask? Well, Chris Ivory, who plays sporadically in New Orleans, has 3 runs over 20 yards himself. Mike Goodson of the Raiders has 3, Isaac Redman has 3, Bryce Brown has 6, Joique Bell has 3. It’s simply unacceptable that the Jets have no big play capability whatsoever.

Joe McKnight averages 5.9 yards per carry, doesn’t get to play – Oh wait, the Jets do have some big play capability in their backfield, he just doesn’t play for some reason. That McKnight only has 25 touches (24 carries, 1 catch) on the season is a travesty. We can’t throw this guy some screens or swing passes? Really?

Santonio Holmes is 3rd on the team in Receiving Yards – Remember Santonio Holmes, the wide receiver who was lost for the season way back in WEEK 4? Yep, that guy is still third on the team in receiving yards with 272. Hard to believe Jason Hill, Mardy Gilyard, Chaz Schilens, and the other stud receivers brought in by Mike Tannenbaum this year haven’t been able to surpass that total, huh? Oh wait, no, that isn’t surprising at all actually.

Stephen Hill 12.0 yards per catch, Chaz Schilens 9.9 ypc – These two guys were brought in to compete for the #2 receiver job and provide the badly needed deep threat that was missing last year after Braylon Edwards was replaced by the slow-moving Plaxico Burress and 87-year-old grouch Derrick Mason. Well, it hasn’t quite worked out that way, and the Jets receiver position was in such poor shape that Jets fans everywhere acted as if Calvin Johnson was brought in when Braylon was re-signed last week. In 2009, Braylon averaged 15.5 yards per catch and in 2010 that number went up to 17.1. Now THAT is a deep threat. THAT is what this offense and Mark Sanchez were missing. If we knew Schilens was averaging single digits per catch and our running backs couldn’t break a long play to save their lives, would you think we’re in position to make the playoffs?

Dustin Keller caught 28 of 36 targets – That number just seemed high to me. It’s too bad he wasn’t healthy at all this year, because it was clear he was the only receiving threat to have any sort of chemistry with the quarterback.

Calvin Pace has 2 sacks, 1 tackle for loss, makes $7.3 million – Calvin Pace is supposed to be our best OLB, and our top threat to get to the quarterback from the edge. Well, that isn’t quite the case, because instead of actually going after the quarterback, he has decided to master the art of running 2 steps forward, extending his arms, and just standing next to the offensive tackle until the play is over. I’m no mathematician, and I would hate to go all Darren Rovell on you, but it looks like this year the Jets are paying Pace just under $2.5 million for every play he makes behind the line of scrimmage. NOT BAD!

I wish there were basic stats to show just how well Muhammad Wilkerson and Antonio Cromartie are playing, because they’ve been far and away the best players on this team, and I didn’t want it to be all negative stats. For a good look at them, you should definitely check out Chris’s Defensive Film Breakdown, or just take my word that they’re both playing really, really well this year. Unfortunately, the rest of the team hasn’t quite kept up their end of the bargain and these 8 Head-Scratching Stats should really help you appreciate the job Rex Ryan has done this year making chicken salad out of chick– well, you know what I’m saying…

Turn On The Jets Week 15 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff gives their week 15 NFL Picks

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday games –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (113-90-6)

2. Chris Gross (106-97-6)

3. Chris Celletti (106-98-5)

4. Mike Donnelly (103-102-4)

5. Joe Caporoso (87-116-6)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (10-6)

  • Green Bay (-3) vs. Chicago
  • Giants (+2) vs. Atlanta
  • Tampa Bay (+4) vs. New Orleans
  • Minnesota (+3) vs. St. Louis
  • Jacksonville (+7) vs. Miami
  • Denver (-3) vs. Baltimore
  • Houston (-9.5) vs. Indy
  • Carolina (+3) vs. San Diego
  • Seattle (-5.5) vs. Buffalo
  • Detroit (-6) vs. Arizona
  • Dallas (+1.5) vs. Pittsburgh
  • Oakland (-3) vs. Kansas City
  • San Francisco (+5) vs. New England
  • Redskins (PK) vs. Cleveland
  • Jets (+1.5) vs. Titans

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (8-8)

  • Packers -3
  • Falcons -1
  • Saints -3.5
  • Rams -2.5
  • Redskins +4
  • Jaguars +7.5
  • Broncos -3
  • Colts +10
  • Panthers +3
  • Bills +4.5
  • Cards +6
  • Steelers +1
  • Raiders -4
  • 49ers +4.5
  • Jets +1.5
  • Browns PK

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-8)

  • Packers (-3) over Bears
  • Falcons (-1.5) over Giants
  • Saints (-3.5) over Buccaneers
  • Vikings (+2.5) over Rams
  • Jaguars (+7) over Dolphins
  • Ravents (+3) over Broncos
  • Colts (+10) over Texans
  • Chargers (-3) over Panthers
  • Seahawks (-4.5) over Bills
  • Lions (-6.5) over Cardinals
  • Cowboys (+1.5) over Steelers
  • Raiders (-3) over Chiefs
  • 49ers (+4.5) over Patriots
  • Redskins (PK) over Browns
  • Jets (+1.5) over Titans

Chris Celletti

Last Week (9-7)

  • Packers
  • Giants
  • Bucs
  • Rams
  • Jaguars
  • Ravens
  • Colts
  • Panthers
  • Seahawks
  • Lions
  • Steelers
  • Chiefs
  • Pats
  • Redskins
  • Jets

Chris Gross

Last Week (10-5-1)

  • Bears
  • Giants
  • Bucs
  • Vikings
  • Jaguars
  • Broncos
  • Texans
  • Panthers
  • Seahawks
  • Lions
  • Cowboys
  • Chiefs
  • 49ers
  • Jets

New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream – Week 15 Viewing Guide

Your New York Jets playoff pipe dream viewing guide for week 15

Somehow, someway the New York Jets playoff pipe dream viewing guide is back. It took a pair of ugly wins over Arizona and Jacksonville and surprising upset losses for Pittsburgh and Cincinnati last week but here we are. The New York Jets are right in the mix for a AFC wild-card spot with three games left to play. Can you imagine the outrage if this team makes playoffs? I can already see the 4,000 word Grantland article documenting how they are the worst playoff team in NFL history and the 2,000 word Florio post on Pro Football Talk demanding a change to the playoff structure so teams like the Jets can’t get in. Hell, even if they lose by 30 in the first round, that would be worth the trip alone. 

THE BIG ONES

Cincinnati (7-6) at Philadelphia (4-9) – Fly Eagles Fly! This game doesn’t feel quite as helpless after watching Nick Foles and company beat Tampa Bay on the road last week. Despite having a tough outing against the Bucs, Bryce Brown is beastly at running back and can provide the big play. The main concern here is that Philadelphia’s secondary is awful and the Bengals have that AJ Green guy. Their offensive line is equally awful and Geno Atkins has been a monster upfront for Cincinnati. This is going to be a close one and an Eagles win can give every Jets fans a great start to the football weekend. Doesn’t it feel kind of natural rooting for the Eagles? They are the most comparative team/fanbase to the Jets out there.

Pittsburgh (7-6) at Dallas (7-6) – How ’bout them Cowboys? Dez Bryant’s finger injury has dimmed the optimism for this game a little but for God’s Sake the Steelers lost to the Chargers last week…at home!?! How did that happen, seriously have you watched San Diego play this season? They are an abomination. Here is something funny, our buddy Evan Silva had Ryan Matthews ranked as a top three fantasy player coming into the season. He has one touchdown this year! That is 5 less than his whipping boy Shonn Greene, 3 less than Bilal Powell and 1 less than the immortal Jeff Cumberland. Anyway, it is hard to have any faith in the Cowboys in a big spot but Romo has to win an important December game at some point, right?

Indianapolis (9-4) at Houston (11-2) – Yes, the Jets can still catch the Colts who play Houston this week on the road, then in Kansas City and then Houston again at home. Is it that unfathomable for them to get swept by the Texans and lay at least one egg against an inferior team on the road? Regardless, I think the Texans win this one comfortably after their embarrassment in New England last Monday Night.

COULDN’T HURT

Denver (10-3) at Baltimore (9-4) – You want the Broncos to win so they stay breathing down the Texans neck for the #1 seed, forcing the Texans to play their starters against the Colts in week 17.

San Francisco (9-3-1) at New England (10-3) – Root for the Patriots (vomits in mouth) same reason as above.

In a perfect world, the AFC Standings will look like this heading into week 16

  1. Houston (12-2)
  2. New England (11-3)
  3. Denver (11-3)
  4. Baltimore (9-5)
  5. Indy (9-5)
  6. Pittsburgh (7-7)
  7. Cincinnati (7-7)
  8. Jets (7-7)

TOJ Staff Thursday Night Picks

  • Joe C – PHI (+4)
  • Chris G – PHI (+4)
  • Mike D – PHI (+4)
  • Chris C – PHI (+4)
  • Rob – CIN (-4) 

Turn On The Jets Week 15 Roundtable – Jets/Titans Match-Ups

The TOJ staff discusses what match-ups they’re most looking forward to in the Jets week 15 Monday Night matchup against the Tennessee Titans

The TOJ staff discusses what match-up they are most looking forward to in the New York Jets Monday Night match-up against the Tennessee Titans. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter –

Joe Caporoso – If the New York Jets can slow down Chris Johnson, who has the ability to kill them in the open field, they are going to be in great shape to improve their record to 7-7. Jake Locker can be dangerous when he starts scrambling around and does have an ability to push the ball down the field. Yet, let’s not ignore that he only completes 57.5% of his passes, has thrown 9 interceptions to match his 9 touchdowns and has lost two fumbles. Locker isn’t a good enough quarterback to single-handily beat the Jets defense. Due to this, the Jets front seven must stop Johnson, not let him get to the outside and not let him catch the football in space.

TJ Rosenthal – Chris Johnson could end the Jets season. Braylon Edwards, as much as naysayers refuse to believe, may help to prolong it. What we look forward to regarding Monday night most however, is the Jets rushing attack. The Titans are tied for 23rd against the run. Tony Sparano’s ground and pound has become more creative as of late. Shonn Greene has been maximizing his “plow forward” style since the bye week. Maybe this week though, Bilal Powell will finally emerge into something more than a split carry back. With his first breakout game coming on National TV.

Chris Celletti – It’s been a disappointing overall season for Chris Johnson, but the Titans’ back is still capable of having a big game. While the Jets’ defense is coming off two excellent weeks, Johnson is the best back they’ll have faced in the past three weeks by a mile. Also, you’d expect the Titans to use a heavy dose of Johnson as the Jets’ run defense is still weaker than their pass defense (basically, expect FIREWORKS on Monday since the Jets are going to go with the same approach on offense as well). Johnson is the one player on Tennessee that can wreck the game for the Jets. If they can shut him down, they give themselves a much better chance of moving to .500.

Mike Donnelly – The matchup I’m most looking forward to seeing this week is not Braylon Edwards against the Titans secondary (although it’s a close second), but rather how Quinton Coples and Mo Wilkerson do against this Titans offensive line suffering from injuries to four of their regular starters. These two are going to be major factors for our defense for years and I want to see Wilkerson continue his superior play while Coples joins him in the “soon-to-be-stud” club. Chris Johnson is the kind of shifty running back the Jets have struggled with this year, so the ability of Coples and Wilkerson to provide pressure right up the middle will play a major roll in whether or not the Jets improve to 7-7 on Monday.

Chris Gross – Jets Defense vs. Chris Johnson – Come Monday night, Tennessee will be without 4 starting offensive lineman. The Jets have been playing lights out defense the past few weeks, so with the Titans suffering such significant loss, the easy assumption to make is that New York has a clear advantage in this matchup. However, the Jets have struggled against backs with a skill set similar to Johnson’s this year. CJ Spiller gashed this team for over 100 yards in week one, while Reggie Bush has played decently against them, as well. The key for New York will be their ability to make plays in space. Johnson needs to be hit behind the line of scrimmage early and often, but if he hits the open field, New York cannot afford to miss him for he has significant big play ability

Rob Celletti – Can the Jets defense maintain its level of dominance this week?  The Titans aren’t world-beaters, but they have a little bit more talent than the Jets last two opponents, who have scored a combined 16 points and converted only 2 of 31 third downs. The particular match-up that’s key to this game features the Jets linebackers, who simply need to put in a good performance to keep Chris Johnson in check. After becoming the guy that every fantasy football owner loved to hate, Johnson has rebounded nicely this year, averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Johnson is the prototypical running back that gives the Jets a hard time, because of his speed to the outside and ability to change direction.  The Jets’ worst nightmare in this game is Johnson breaking off a long run or two early, putting the Jets in a multiple score hole, and making their offense play catch-up. 

New York Jets Week 15 – Jets/Titans Early Thoughts

Early thoughts on the New York Jets week 15 Monday night match-up against the Tennessee Titans

A collection of early thoughts on the New York Jets Monday night match-up against the Tennessee Titans

1. Chris Johnson has shaken off the early season fantasy football jokes and is putting together a strong overall season, with 1,037 yards on 4.7 yards per carry, along with 4 touchdowns and 33 receptions. Johnson is the type of back who has owned the Jets defense in recent years. He has the ability to break to the outside and be a factor in the passing game, which could expose the Jets lack of speed at linebacker.

2. Jake Locker is kind of like a more mobile Mark Sanchez, in that he is inaccurate and turns the ball over way too much. If the Jets can get the game into his hands primarily, they have a good chance of getting a victory. Tennessee has some talent at wide receiver, look for Antonio Cromartie to match-up with Kenny Britt which will leave Kyle Wilson and Ellis Lankster to handle Kendall Wright and Nate Washington…not ideal match-ups for the Jets.

3. The Titans are 4-9 for a reason. Right now, they are down four starting offensive lineman which should equal a big day for Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples. They are ranked 27th in total defense (23rd against the run and 26th against the pass).

4. Regardless of their vulnerability in the secondary, look for another run heavy game plan from the Jets that will look to control the clock. There is no reason to expect anything less than 15+ carries each for Bilal Powell and Shonn Greene. If the Jets do take their shots down the field, taking them to the newly signed Braylon Edwards makes the most sense.

5. Our playoff pipe dream viewing guide will be published tomorrow but know this – if the Jets win and get just a little help this weekend, their week 16 game at home against San Diego will be hugely important and not just in a “pipe dream” kind of way but in a “they really have a shot to make the playoffs” kind of way.

Turn On The Jets Offensive Film Breakdown – Jets vs. Jaguars

Turn On The Jets answers your questions on the New York Jets offensive game film from their game against Jacksonville

The Turn On The Jets offensive film breakdown this week is going to focus on a handful of questions I received on Twitter – All the questions generally broke out into the following four categories, which I will review section by section. Make sure to check back later today for Chris Gross‘ defensive film breakdown.

1 – Wide Receiver Separation

Many people were curious if the Jets wide receivers were getting any type of separation against a below average Jacksonville secondary. There was only 19 attempted passes by Mark Sanchez, in what was a highly conservative game plan. To put it bluntly, the Jets basically ran a high-school passing attack this past Sunday. Extremely simplistic and meant to give Sanchez easy, quick reads that would equate to a high completion percentage. Yet, how did the receivers fare with their limited routes?

Overall, they were relatively average. Yes, there were situations where they struggled to create separation as seen below when Mardy Gilyard runs a comeback route and curls directly behind the cornerback. Needless to say, there is a reason Gilyard has been unemployed in the NFL more than he’s been employed.

But outside of him and a few instances from other receivers, the situation wasn’t a complete disaster. Jeremy Kerley continued to run crisp, quick routes and gets himself plenty of separation like shown below but Mark Sanchez just missed him. Chaz Schilens had a good day, consistently getting himself open outside of a sideline comeback route that should have never been thrown his way. He got excellent separation twice on a boot route, including this 17 yard completion below.

2 – Mark Sanchez’s General Play

Meh. The Jets literally ran a high school passing attack, which consisted of them running about 3 different basic passing plays out of a few different alignments and formations. They ran boot, quick rub routes (short speed outs) to the outside and three step slant/comeback combinations. Sanchez did OK with this but generally played timid and still missed more throws than you’d like to see in this type of attack (like the Kerley comeback above). Look at this boot route – He has Chaz Schilens open for a big gain but instead he pulls the ball down and runs for 4 yards.

This hesitation likely comes from having two deep balls to Schilens the previous week dropped and intercepted, along with an emphasis from the coaching staff to play safe. However, if we see Braylon Edwards running the same route this week, I can guarantee that Sanchez makes this throw.

Outside of his 37 yard completion to Jeff Cumberland late in the fourth, Sanchez didn’t make any plays that you’d classify as “very good.” He basically had a mix of proper decisions, good throws mixed in with some missed throws and poor reads. The completion to Cumberland was a thing of beauty however…just a frustrating glimpse of his first round talent.

3 – Running Back Comparison

Bilal Powell and Shonn Greene put up nearly identical numbers, with Powell having a slightly higher yards per carry. Both players are very comparable on a week to week basis but the film maintains that Powell is a little quicker and can make a little more happen when less is available. Surprisingly it was Powell who was more effective going directly up the middle, while Greene was getting more from the outside counters. Here are two inside handoffs, the first one is Greene which went for 9 yards, the second one is Powell which went for 13 yards. Powell gets more yardage because he is quicker through the hole and is quicker with his cuts at the second level.

To Greene’s credit, he showed better vision and decisiveness on counter handoffs than Powell. Both backs were benefitted by a superior game from the Jets offensive line.

4 – Offensive Line

Outside of D’Brickashaw Ferguson letting Jason Babin beat him for a strip sack, this was an excellent all-around performance from the Jets offensive line. In the second half, they simply took over the football game and drove Jacksonville defenders all over the field, clearing big lanes for Greene and Powell. Look at the blocking on this counter –

To their credit, Austin Howard and Matt Slauson had particularly strong games despite having up and down seasons. Both were borderline dominant in the running game. Nick Mangold had arguably his best game of the season and made the PFF All-Week 14 Team. Vladimir Ducasse played limited snaps but Slauson looked better out there and was in the line-up for both touchdown drives. Jason Smith also deserves credit for strong blocking as an extra tight end.

Turn On The Jets Stock Watch: Week 15 Edition

Mike Donnelly with his weekly Stock Watch, buying and selling as the Jets head into week 15

Lots to get to in Jets Land as usual with just three games left to play, so let’s just jump right into this week’s Stock Watch.

BUY: Braylon Edwards Signing – I know lots of Jets beat writers and “expert” types rushed to their laptops and smart phones to make their very own Braylon jokes on Twitter as soon as news of the signing broke, but make no mistake about it: This was a GOOD signing. Here is a list of players that have lined up at wide receiver this season for the Jets (other than legitimate NFL options Santonio Holmes and Jeremy Kerley): Stephen Hill, Chaz Schilens, Clyde Gates, Jason Hill, Mardy Gilyard, Jordan White and Antonio Cromartie. Seriously.

So my question to these “experts” is how is this in any way, shape, or form a bad move?  The Jets picked up a veteran receiver who has a rapport with their quarterback and a familiarity with the team, city, and locker room. If he isn’t healthy enough to contribute, then you cut him and lose nothing. If he plays bad, you cut him and lose nothing. If he says or does something stupid, then you cut him and lose nothing. More than likely though, you are getting a motivated player who knows he’s on his last chance and is going to give everything he has to this team and to this quarterback. And yes, I’m aware he called the general manager an idiot on Twitter in a moment of frustration, but so what, Mike Tannenbaum IS an idiot when it comes to building a roster. That being said..

BUY: Mike Tannenbaum – Yes, he’s done a horrible job with this offense and roster in general the past two years, but kudos to Mr. T for putting his pride to the side and doing what is clearly best for this team in signing a real NFL-caliber receiver for a change. Some people may say the organization is too soft on Sanchez and signing one of his favorite ex-receivers is another example of that, but I say it’s about time Tannenbaum threw Sanchez a bone and let him throw some passes to a player he’s comfortable with rather than needlessly dismantling the offense so they can sign 53-year-old Derrick Mason and fresh out-of-Oz, Plaxico Burress. Ehhh…

SELL: Mike Tannenbaum – Yeahhhh.. he still should probably be fired

BUY: Quinton Coples – I’ve been as big of a Coples supporter as there is out there, and I’ve been dying to see him get more playing time. (I’ve bought more stock of him in this column than I know what to do with.) This week we finally got to see him in action for extended time (although it still should have been more) and he did not disappoint. He only recorded 1 sack on the stat sheet, but he should have closed the deal on two others, and he was directly responsible for the game-ending interception as he got in Chad Henne’s face and forced a poor pass. The Quinton Coples break out is coming and he’s going to be a major force by the time 2013 rolls around. That reminds me..

SELL: Garrett McIntyre Getting So Many Snaps – There were times in the 4th quarter agains the Jaguars we saw two down linemen rushing the passer with blitzes coming from all over the place. Those two linemen were the tremendous Mo Wilkerson (who is having an All-Pro caliber season), and… Garrett McIntyre?! I know Calvin Pace is basically useless at this point in his career, so I understand him not being out there, but why not let Coples and Wilkerson feast on the Jags offensive line in those obvious passing situations?

SELL: All Corner Backs Not Named Cromartie – When Cro left the game and was headed to the locker room in the 4th quarter on Sunday, I thought this defense was toast. All of the corners on this team not named Cromartie are awful. Kyle Wilson has played a little better of late (and even stopped doing his ridiculous finger wag!), but he’s still no better than a solid 3rd corner. Ellis Lankster is a fine 3rd corner as well, as long as we’re talking about being a 3rd corner on some sort of low-grade independent football league out in the midwest or something. Aaron Berry has been hurt since the day he signed his contract with the Jets, which is unfortunate, because I was really hoping to see more of him out in the nickel spot this year.

BUY: 3-0 The Rest of the Way – The manta is “One Game at a Time” for the Jets, but I’m just a guy writing about them on the internet, so I’m allowed to look ahead. It is 100% conceivable that this team is going to go 3-0 the rest of the way with this schedule. The Titans are suffering from injuries to FOUR of their offensive linemen. Believe me, I was a Chris Johnson fantasy owner, I know how incredibly putrid this team is. It doesn’t help them that Mike Munchak looks more like a guy who should be driving a tow truck than being an NFL coach either. And speaking of comical head coaches, the Jets get to then close out the season against Norv Turner and Chan Gailey, who have both been updating their resumes for two solid months now in hopes of getting an offensive coordinator job in 2013. I don’t know if the Jets will get the necessary help to make the playoffs, but just that it’s possible is truly crazy.

BUY: Rex Ryan – That this team — with this talent — has a chance to go 9-7 really speaks to how good of a coach Rex Ryan is. I’m really tired of hearing people rip this guy and saying they want him fired. Just remember: The grass is not always greener on the other side. We have a good thing here with Rex Ryan. Just imagine how much better it can be once someone comes in here who can evaluate talent and give him the necessary pieces to become a dominant team again.