New York Jets Week 12 – Early Thoughts On Jets/Pats

Early thoughts on the New York Jets week 12 Thanksgiving Night match-up against the New England Patriots

The New York Jets season received a shot of life with a 27-13 win over the St. Louis Rams. However, it will take an upset over the New England Patriots this Thursday night to truly make them relevant in the AFC playoff picture again. Here is a collection of early thoughts –

1. The big injury news this week is that Patriots tight end Rob Grokowski will not play because of a broken forearm. Considering he is the league’s best tight end and had 2 touchdowns in their early season match-up…yes this is a huge deal. Aaron Hernandez is expected to play and the Jets coverage attention must now shift to him and Wes Welker. It will be interesting to see how the Jets play Welker since Isaiah Trufant, who covered him the majority of the first match-up, is now out of the season. Look for them to frequently bracket him and throw a collection of different corners at him, hopefully led by Antonio Cromartie who is the only one with the ability to cover him man to man.

2. Mark Sanchez’s best game of the season came against the suspect New England secondary, as he went 28/41 for 328 yards with a touchdown (although he did have two turnovers). Sanchez finally looked in rhythm yesterday as the Jets kept Tim Tebow on the bench outside of three plays. This is another game to keep him on the bench. You don’t beat the Patriots with the Wildcat. You beat the Patriots by throwing down the field on their secondary.

3. That being said, the Jets still need to hit 35-40 carries to keep balance on their offense, protect Sanchez and give the play action passing game a chance. We saw the beginning signs of a committee approach yesterday. Bilal Powell merits 10-12 carries a game, along with Joe McKnight deserving at least 5-7. Powell and McKnight also need to remain factors in the passing game. They are both better screen and checkdown options than Shonn Greene. McKnight also has the ability to split out at wide receiver, something the Jets should consider with their lack of depth at the position.

4. Speaking of receiver, it is time to send Stephen Hill to the bench and reduce him to being a role player. The rookie clearly has his confidence shaken and cannot handle major reps. Chaz Schilens should start at split end, with Jeremy Kerley in the slot. Reduce Hill’s workload to 15-20 snaps and build his confidence back up with a few easy catches on smoke screens or hitch routes. Clyde Gates is another player who shouldn’t be seeing more than limited reps in certain packages. He does have very good speed but is a poor route runner.

5. The Jets special teams needs to wake the hell up. There is no way they could beat New England if they have another killer mistake from that unit.

6. An upset victory over New England on national television is the type of win that could start a late season playoff run, especially when you look at the Jets next two opponents (home vs. Arizona and at Jacksonville). The Jets are appropriately 6.5 point underdogs but this is a winnable game. The team should have confidence from the earlier match-up that they should have won and New England’s defense still has many holes.

Rex Ryan must reverse a disturbing trend since he has taken over. Since 2009 (his first year), the Jets are 0-3 in their second regular season match-up against the Patriots with an average margin of defeat of 26.6 points. Mark Sanchez has also played very poorly in all three of those games with 2 touchdowns to 9 interceptions overall. There is no better time to break this trend than right now.

Turn On The Jets Stock Watch – Seattle Meltdown Edition

Mike Donnelly with his weekly Stock Watch, buying and selling after the Jets meltdown in Seattle

There’s nothing quite like New York Jets football, is there? Just prior to the game, we as fans talk ourselves into thinking that this week will be different. This is the week the Jets will get their crap together. This is the week they turn in a solid performance, win, and turn their season around. Then kickoff comes and we spend three agonizing hours breaking down every single play, watching in horror as they find new ways to lose, break our hearts, and then it’s over. We spend the next few days running the full gamut of emotions from rage, to pain, to acceptance, to peace with the situation, and then it’s back to thinking next week will be different again.

I’m not going to get into the whole Mark Sanchez debacle this week, because thinking about how we got from him throwing 3 TD’s in Foxboro during a playoff game to…whatever the hell this is now, physically makes my head hurt. But I will get into the horrible job Mike Tannenbaum has done with this roster that helped usher in this new era of unwatchable football, so don’t worry. Also, believe it or not, there were a few positives from this week’s game, so let’s start with those.

BUY: The Defensive Line – If you just look at the stat sheet, you probably wouldn’t know it, but the defensive line played extremely well this week and has pretty much all year, despite a season-long injury to Sione Po’uha. After a slow start to the season, Mo Wilkerson has been playing like the All-Pro calibre player Rex Ryan talked him up as (which was, of course, a rare instance in which Rex was actually right about one of his guys). According to ProFootballFocus.com, in fact, he’s been the second best defensive end in the entire league this year, trailing only J.J. Watt, who you may have heard is pretty awesome. Along with Wilkerson, Quinton Coples has really started to flash the past few weeks and is good for a few “wow” plays per game. The reason the stats aren’t racking up is because there is literally ZERO pass rush from the edge. So, even though Wilkerson and Coples are pushing the pocket and causing some havoc up front, there is nobody coming around the corner to help out. It’s a good thing Mike Tannenbaum brought in zero OLB’s the past 4 years, huh?

BUY: Bart Scott – I know Bart has lost a step or three the past year or so, but he looked great against Seattle. He’s always been a force against the run, and considering the Jets are going to be facing a ton of runs as the clock gets milked against them in plenty more losses this year, we can’t throw dirt on his playing career coffin just yet. Demario Davis is the future at the position, but he’s still very raw and not ready to take over the role full-time. Plus, Bart Scott is a great veteran to have around teaching these young guys, as Marcus Dowtin referred to in his interview here on TOJ. Bart most likely won’t be back in 2013, and I must say, I’m going to miss him.

SELL: Outside Linebackers – Back to the OLB’s for a second. It blows my mind to see a Rex Ryan team have negative amounts of skill at the edge rusher spots. Calvin Pace is absolutely awful and reaffirmed my hatred of him as he repeatedly blew containment on his side against Seattle. Bryan Thomas plays hard, but at this point all he is, is a constant reminder that we should have drafted Ed Reed instead of him in 2001. Backing those two corpses up on the depth chart are Useless Garrett McIntyre — who is absolutely terrible — and Ricky Sapp, who despite some unwarranted hype prior to the Seattle game, is not the answer. In fact, the only reason I knew Sapp was even playing in that game was because he was unable to recover a fumble deep in Seattle territory that was right in his hands. That being said, I want to see him play more, because the alternatives are just so unbelievably terrible. Let’s keep our fingers crossed. Also deserving more playing time is Marcus Dowtin. I don’t even care where he lines up at this point, I just want to see someone who doesn’t appear to be wearing cement sneakers out there.

Speaking of terrible, in a move that should have shocked nobody, Aaron Maybin was released today. He wasn’t exactly lighting the world on fire out on the field, but I still find it hard to believe he couldn’t offer more to this team than Useless Garrett McIntyre (which should be his new official name). If this team doesn’t bring in a linebacker who doesn’t need to be timed in the 40-yard dash with a sun dial this offseason, then I give up.

SELL: Kyle Wilson & Ellis Lankster – Clearly, Pete Carroll and his coaching staff had a great big laugh watching film of the Kyle Wilson prior to this week’s game. How do I know? Because they attacked him IMMEDIATELY, on their second and third play from scrimmage, which resulted in gains of 18 and 36, the second of which of course being a touchdown. Shockingly, Wilson did not unleash his patented “Finger Wag of Doom” at that time. He waited until much later in the game to show off that nifty little taunt, when he shocked the world and actually broke up a pass. It takes a real special kind of delusional to think you should be wagging your finger in people’s faces when you’ve been worked over all game, but that’s exactly what our 2010 1st round pick does.

As for Lankster, well, the guy is just terrible and somehow manages to get worse weekly. If he’s on the field, it should only be to blitz, because when he’s in coverage it can only result in one of two things: 1) A pass interference penalty; or 2) A touchdowns. In the 3rd quarter against Seattle, he managed to achieve both those things on the same play, which was pretty impressive. Way to go! Aaron Berry must just be completely unable to grasp the playbook or something, because there’s no reason he shouldn’t be out there getting snaps in place of either of these two guys.

SELL: Mike Tannenbaum – I present to you the reason that I have so many complaints about this team… Mr. Mike Tannenbaum! I was going to list a few of the horrible things he’s done the past two years to lead us to this position here in this paragraph, but it wouldn’t be fair to Mike to just gloss over them like that. He deserves a full blown column to really detail the impressive job he’s done in managing to keep his job despite being so completely and utterly terrible at it. (Kind of like my Letter to him, or my evisceration of the roster he built, or even how he couldn’t develop a QB.) I’ll be back tomorrow with more on our wonderful GM, so be sure to check back for that.

New York Jets – Rex and Sanchez Try To Save Each Other

TJ Rosenthal on Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez trying to save each other

As the Jets offense continues to struggle while the losses pile up, we wonder about what this will mean at seasons end for both Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez. The Jets starting QB is once again demonstrating poor body language and self admittedly has become affected by the Tebow substitutions, leading to making too many poor decisions at crucial times.

Ryan meanwhile, is defiantly sticking by him. Despite the calls for a change in energy on offense, to the emotionally fiery, miracle working Tim Tebow. Rex tells us that Sanchez still gives the Jets ‘the best chance to win’ and he could be right. If the losses keep coming though, and the idea of starting Tebow is never approached, will that give Woody Johnson more to think about in the offseason than simply who the Jets starting QB will be next season?

We hope that Ryan is making a clear headed football decision over his QB situation. Not one rooted in some personal battle with Woody Johnson. Whose acquiring of Tebow in March seems more like a publicity stunt with each passing day. Especially as the notion of Tebow taking over gets passed on so quickly by the HC these days. While Sanchez stumbles so miserably.

We like Rex and don’t want a season that bottoms out costing him his job. Ryan however, is entering dangerous territory now. The fourth year head coach is risking himself in sticking up for Sanchez every Monday after baffling offense performances. Sanchez has to dig deeper in support of perhaps the only Jet left aside from Antonio Cromartie, who continues to have blind faith in him. Ryan.

Even if others on the offense aren’t doing their jobs well either, Sanchez is the quarterback. The face and symbol of the struggles, deservedly or not. He also may be the one guy who can steer Ryan away from his own job danger if the marriage between the two remains cemented the rest of the way.

Turn On The Jets Interview With Marcus Dowtin

Turn On The Jets interview Jets rookie linebacker Marcus Dowtin aka The Hybrid

New York Jets rookie linebacker Marcus Dowtin was nice enough to take the time to speak with Turn On The Jets yesterday. Dowtin was recently promoted to the active roster and has the versatility to play a number of roles in Rex Ryan’s defense, hence earning the nickname: The Hybrid. Dowtin also stepped up recently by offering support for victims of Hurricane Sandy. Make sure you are following him both on Facebook and Twitter

JC – What inspired you to be one of the first Jets players to step up and offer support to the victims of the Hurricane in the area?

MD – I have family throughout the area, which helped me really understand just how deep the devastation truly was. It was horrible what the people here had to deal with. This is our community and I wanted to make sure that I did something, even if it was only a little something to help give back to our fans.

JC – Obviously your nickname stems from your ability to play a variety of positions and do a variety of things on the football field. Yet, do you have one skill set that you feel could really help the Jets defense?

MD – If I could cover slot receivers and tight ends and blitz off the edge all day it would be fun but obviously there is more to playing in this defense. I have seen time in the middle and working at setting the edge in the running game. So I am just concentrating on becoming a complete player and doing whatever the coaches need me to.

JC – How has Rex Ryan used you specifically since you have been called up to the active roster, in terms of the positions you are learning and where you are lining up in practices?

MD – All over the place. Defensive end. Outside linebacker. Nickel safety. I like it, it helps keep me in shape and focused. It is also good to learn how to do different things out there on the field.

JC – There is a ton of veteran experience in the linebacker group. Can you talk about what you have learned from players like Bart Scott, Calvin Pace and Bryan Thomas?

MD – We have a great group of guys at that position. Bart Scott is a tremendous leader. He works with me every Monday and Tuesday specifically on the little things that I need to go over. Calvin Pace does the same type of things. Bryan Thomas is a good guy to talk to for all kinds of advice. I appreciate how all those guys work with me on a daily basis and answer questions I have about making it in this league both on and off the field.

JC – What about special teams and playing for Mike Westhoff?

MD – I really want a bigger role on special teams. I think I could definitely make an impact there on any of the units whether it is coverage, blocking…whatever they need me to do. I hope moving forward in the coming weeks I get the chance to do more for Coach Westhoff.

JC – Finally, what are your goals for the foreseeable future?

MD – I saw what an impact by good buddy Nick Bellore was able to make on special teams as a rookie last year and this year, I’d like to be able to do the same thing. On defense I just want to keep progressing and getting more comfortable in this system. I’m going to do what it takes to stick around on this roster and make an impact.

New York Jets Offense – A Failure From Top To Bottom

The New York Jets offense is abject failure from top to bottom

The New York Jets offense has sank to 30th in the NFL. We are now talking Blaine Gabbert bad. When you are this incompetent, it is a failure of their entire unit and really of the entire organization. Consider this reality: through nine games there is ONE player on the entire Jets offensive roster who has exceeded expectations this year – Jeremy Kerley. Everybody else has performed below any type of realistic expectations for them individually this season and that includes the coaching staff and front office.

As always let’s start at the top. Woody Johnson forced Tim Tebow on to this roster despite his coaching staff having no grasp on how to use him. The Jets wasted cap space on an unproductive (in their system) distraction. Mike Tannenbaum (culprit #1 for the Jets failures as an organization right now) didn’t improve the running back position despite lacking a lead back and depth. He also ignored the evident shortcomings at right tackle and guard. Finally, he failed add necessary veteran depth at both tight end and wide receiver. This team needed a capable veteran at both positions…not Jeff Cumberland and Chaz Schilens.

Next on the list is Mark Sanchez who is trending away from “maddeningly inconsistent” into “simply awful.” Sanchez has completed less than 50% of his passes in 5 of the Jets 9 games this year. He has thrown an interception in every single game except for two of them. His record as a starting quarterback in his previous 12 games is 3-9, with only 1 road victory. The Jets have failed to develop him properly by giving him a below average quarterback coach, switching his top three wide receivers ever year, letting the running back depth deplete, the offensive line talent decline and of course the Tebow circus but that doesn’t give him a pass for this level of play. There is excusably average because of a lack of talent around you and then there is the interception he threw in the red-zone yesterday (in case you forgot, he ignored Stephen Hill on the backline and threw it 3 seconds to late towards Dustin Keller).

The supporting cast around Sanchez is the worst in the NFL right now. Austin Howard is not a starting NFL right tackle. Matt Slauson is not a starting NFL guard. Brandon Moore is at the end of career and is a shell of the player he was in 2009 and 2010. Even Nick Mangold and D’Brickashaw Ferguson have been good but not at the level of play we’ve seen them reach before. Jason Smtih plays 15 reps per game on this team, at tight end! Think about that. Shonn Greene is a backup running back masquerading as a starter. Go take away the stat line from the Colts game and then look at his stat line this year (122 carries, 406 yards, 3.3 YPC and 2 TDs). Not good enough. Stephen Hill isn’t ready to be a starting NFL wide receiver yet but the Jets don’t have a capable veteran to split his reps. Dustin Keller is inconsistent at tight end. Did I miss anything?

This unit needs to be gutted. Tony Sparano gone. Matt Cavanaugh gone. Shonn Greene, Dustin Keller, Matt Slauson, Austin Howard…let them walk in free agency. Mark Sanchez is probably coming back because of his contract and because what is the other option? They aren’t taking a quarterback in the first round. You want to go sign Michael Vick? What are the other options? Take your free cap space, take your draft picks and find yourself a new starting running back, two new starting offensive lineman and a new tight end. If you can find a taker for Santonio Holmes contract (they won’t) then trade him. Start from scratch and hope Stephen Hill develops in year two the way Jeremy Kerley did.

The Jets have officially regressed to the end of the 2005 season when they were starting Brooks Bollinger, Cedric Houston, Justin McCariens and Doug Jolley. The good news? They made playoffs in 2006. We needed something optimistic in this article, right?

Sanchez Breakdown: Toxic

Rob Celletti with a breakdown of the failures of both Mark Sanchez and the New York Jets

Before I get to Sanchez – which I will keep brief anyway – I’m going to abuse my power as a writer for this site to talk about the Jets as a whole.

I will never forget the text message I got from my father, a Jets fan since the Titans days and a season ticket holder since the 1970s, the day after Rex Ryan was hired as the head coach of the Jets. It read: “Rex Ryan 4 year deal: 9-7, 10-6, 8-8, 4-12, Bye bye.” I laughed. My father’s cynicism has certainly thickened with age, but deep down I thought: no one knows this team better than him.

And here we are, in year four, with the Jets stumbling towards another disaster and another rebuild. The ship is rudderless, the problems run deep, and indeed, the Jets are now 3-9 in their last 12 games with Rex Ryan at the helm. Blame Sanchez, blame Tannenbaum, blame whoever you want. The bottom line is that this is a bad football team, which routinely gets blown out in a league that is structured so that basically every game comes down to the final possession. When that’s happening, to paraphrase the great Mike Francesa: YOU STINK, and it ain’t just the quarterback.

But here’s what bothers me most about all of this: people are enjoying it, and those who love the Jets are even more guilty than those who hate them. Ever watch Jets Post Game Live? SNY is a breeding ground for the toxic atmosphere that constantly surrounds this team, as guys like Ray Lucas, Kris Jenkins and Adam Schein (a Giants fan, by the way) can’t wait to pile on after every game, win or lose. Remember, this fan base ran Chad Pennington out of town, and now they’re relishing in the impending round of public executions. The people who wore Tebow jerseys to the opening day game against Buffalo are a symbol of everything that’s wrong with this organization.  It is untenable for any type of long-term success.

Let me be clear: I’m not saying the Jets don’t deserve to be lambasted, nor that people shouldn’t lose their jobs after this season ends. I don’t expect anyone to try and be positive after another 20-plus point loss. But what this team needs is a change in culture…again. Rex Ryan seemed to bring that in 2009 and 2010, but at this point, how is this any different than the Eric Mangini or Herman Edwards eras? The only person who changed the Jets in a meaningful way was Bill Parcells, a first ballot Hall of Fame football mastermind with more clout than anyone else who has ever been associated with this cursed franchise. Anyway, let’s move on and critique the latest performance by THE SANCHISE.

Good lord. I’ve never played quarterback at a level higher than backyard signal-caller on Thanksgiving, and even I would have known to throw the damn ball out of the back of the end zone (was Stephen Hill open underneath the goalposts, by the way?) on the killer goal line interception. Was there any doubt that the game was lost after that play? If there was, Jeremy Kerley’s muffed punt sealed it anyway.

One of the great things about writing for a site like this is the connection you make with other Jets fans. I’ve really come to respect the opinion of Steve Hunter (@SportsGeek33 on Twitter, give him a follow if you haven’t already). His level-headed, fact-based commentary is a breath of fresh air in an otherwise badly polluted discourse when it comes to the Jets’ beleaguered quarterback. Steve made a comment during yesterday’s game that Sanchez’s faults are ingrained. At this point, it’s hard to disagree with this, as the sack-fumble in the fourth quarter yesterday proved. Hasn’t Sanchez been sacked enough times at this point to know not to try and throw it when he’s in the defender’s grasp? I guess not.

I have written thousands of words defending this quarterback, and now I’m spent. The statistics show regression, the eye test shows worse: a player who has no chance of succeeding in his current situation. The shame of it is that the Jets had a real chance to develop Sanchez into a good NFL quarterback after 2010. He was trending in the right direction. But the lack of support in terms of coaching and skill position players, not to mention the acquisition of Tim Tebow, combined with Sanchez’s own shortcomings have doomed this plan.

So of course, Sanchez will go somewhere like Arizona once he’s released and lead them to a division title, right? That would be SO Jets.

No Huddle – New York Jets Brutal Loss (Again) Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle after another brutal loss by the New York Jets

Another brutal loss in what was a winnable game against the Seahawks. Now the once desperate Jets are on life support. Here are a few parting thoughts before the club flies home back East, while leaving hope in Seattle.

1 – The Game And Season Most Likely Ended Here

When Dustin Keller false started in a 7-7 game on the goal line in Tebow time, the Jets were cheated out of more than a big one score lead in a defensive battle. They lost a chance to see if Tebowing might have provided a unique spark. Perhaps even more plays for the odd but energy based playmaker.

The Jets needed to win in any way possible. The following play, a Mark Sanchez end zone INT, sent #6 into his too familiar mental hole, and left the Jets again wondering who, if anyone, was piloting the plane.

2 – Post Game Quotes From Cro and Sanchez: Baffling and Telling

Antonio Cromartie telling those in favor of a QB change to “kiss my ass” after the loss was a loyal and noble act. It also is a decision that will be out of his hands After all, there are tickets to sell at Met Life and curiosities for many of us to pursue. Can Tebow lift another team in miraculous fashion? We all wonder.

Mark Sanchez alluding to being affected by the constant shifting in and out in his post game presser may explain part of his skittish play this season. We know he has few weapons. Something else is bothering him though. It’s not physical either. His body language shows uncertainty even before kickoff. Maybe Tebow’s shadow is part of it.

3 – Welcome Back Defense

Finally, in week 10, we saw a Jets defense that attacked a QB, slowed down a top notch RB, hit hard and plaued confidently all day. Kyle Wilson got beat early and the unit sagged due to fatigue late, but overall the effort was what many expected the Jets defense to put forth all year. Better late than never. Nice work fellas.

4 – Now, We Enter Uncharted Airspace

The Jets are 3-6. They have few dependable weapons on offense and a QB controversy on top of a QB consistency problem. This season has the potential to fly itself into Rich Kotite era territory if the locker room begins to divide in any way. Could that happen? Recent history will tell you, its possible.

The offense, again for the second straight year, can’t help the team. The special teams unit is now a mess. The two best players Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes are out for the season. If Rex Ryan loses the players, whose jobs remain safe and secure? Anyone?

We wonder whose names are written in stone on the untouchable list. This is not your run of the mill 3-6 team. This is one with an inability to score and an uncanny ability to create unwanted drama for itself during the week. A dangerous combination for a team whose collective flight is losing altitude at an alarming rate.

Let the blame games and the unnamed source hunting begin. Only Rex Ryan can prevent disarray and anonymous voices who may try to save their own jobs. Rex could be the last line of defense before 2012 makes it’s way down towards the landing strip of an ugly ending.

Initial Reaction – New York Jets Pop Warner Offense Gets Blown Out

The New York Jets offense no showed in a 28-7 blowout loss to Seattle

The New York Jets defense came to play today. This isn’t the most talented unit and they are lacking in many key areas. Regardless, they put forth a respectable effort and gave their team every chance to be competitive and win.

The offense? Putrid. Embarrassing. Pop Warner quality. The Jets had two weeks to prepare and their major revelation was bringing Tim Tebow in the game to throw a swing pass to Jeremy Kerley. The Jets actually ran it four separate times. There was mass confusion. Poor play calling. Terrible blitz pick up. Wide receivers who couldn’t get open. Dustin Keller false starting and dropping passes all over the field. And of course awful quarterbacking.

This game turned on a brutal red-zone interception from Mark Sanchez. Just an inexcusably terrible pass. And how many times have I written that sentence this season? Everything around Sanchez on offense is not good enough. Austin Howard and Matt Slauson aren’t capable starting NFL lineman. They are average at running back. They are below average at wide receiver (outside of Jeremy Kerley). However, Sanchez doesn’t get a pass for playing this mediocre. He is showing no signs of progressing and continually makes way too many mistaks. Simply put, he isn’t playing well enough to keep his job.

If the Jets had any other backup quarterback, the change would have been made by now. Clearly Rex Ryan and the rest of the staff has no faith in Tim Tebow to run their offense and they know once they switch with him, they are stuck with him for the rest of the year. Regardless to keep credibility in the locker room at this point Rex needs to make the switch. You can’t keep trotting Sanchez out there and scoring zero points every single week. Tebow isn’t the long term answer but at this point how much worse could the Jets offense get?

What we are watching now is unacceptable. Tony Sparano should be fired. Mike Tannenbaum should be fired. Fire everybody on the damn offense outside of Mangold, Ferguson and Kerley. Firesale time for the Jets.

Turn On The Jets Week 10 Roundtable – Jets vs. Seahawks Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets vs. Seattle

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack 

Chris Gross – Prediction: Seahawks 23 Jets 13 – The Jets enter week 10 heading into a hostile environment at CenturyLink Field. Seattle utilizes their 12th man like no other team in the NFL, making CenturyLink a nightmare for opposing teams. In order to keep it close, the Jets must be able tune out the roaring crowd, a daunting task for a team that has shown little mental toughness all season long. Offensively, Seattle will look to attack New York’s vulnerable run defense, and based on the play of this unit over the past few weeks, coupled with the fact that NT Kenrick Ellis is out yet again this week, there is no reason to believe that the Seahawks won’t be able to get Marshawn Lynch and company going for 130+ yards. Lynch will be keyed, allowing for Russell Wilson to take some shots deep. There is no serious threat to the Jets secondary in Seattle’s receiving corps, but look for the Seahawks to use a lot of play action, particularly if Lynch is ripping off anywhere between 4-5 yards per carry. If New York can slow “Beast Mode,” they should be able to keep Seattle’s offense in check throughout the game. However, with the way Lynch has been running, don’t expect this sub par run defense to be able to contain him for 60 minutes.

The key for New York’s offense once again lies with Mark Sanchez. Will Sanchez finally show some consistent leadership and tenacity, or will he come out petrified of Seattle’s vaunted pass rush forcing him to avoid stepping into his throws, missing target after target? The offensive line will need to be at its best and the Jets will likely provide help in pass blocking schemes, leaving an extra tight end or back in on anything greater than a 3 step drop. Shonn Greene will struggle to get going for anything more than 3.1-3.3 yards per carry, as he has a very limited supporting cast once again, so the play of Sanchez, his receivers, and the offensive line is crucial.
The Jets will do enough to keep it close for about 2 and a half quarters, with Seattle pulling away with a touchdown about half way through the fourth quarter. Sanchez will have opportunity to put the Jets in a position for a late comeback, however New York’s fate will ultimately be sealed by number 6 committing a turnover within 5 minutes left to play.

Mike Donnelly –  I touched on what I expect the Jets to do in my 2nd Half Preview Stock Watch. I think the Jets are going to play their best game of the season and win 20-16. Coming off their bye, these players and coaches know how important this game is if they’re going to make any kind of run in the second half of the season. I expect Mark Sanchez to play a very efficient — if unspectacular — game. The defense is where this game will be won, however. I’ve never been much of a believer in Russell Wilson and that hasn’t changed. The Jets are going to load up to stuff the run and come after Wilson in a big way. I have full confidence in Rex Ryan and his staff that he was able to fix some issues during their week off and add some new wrinkles that will make this defense start to look more like the dominant unit we all expected at the start of the season. Jets pull this one out, make everyone think they’re good again, then lose in comical fashion the following week. It’s all a very Jets thing to do.

Rob Celletti –  I’m not going to beat anyone over the head with logic or reason here. Instead, I’m going with my gut: I like the Jets to win this game.  I’m a believer in “due” and Seattle hasn’t lost a home game yet this season. NFL teams are usually energized after a bye week, so I expect a much better start from the Jets compared to what we saw two weeks ago. Russell Wilson is a rookie and I think the Jets have a good chance to force him into some mistakes, like they did to Andrew Luck (a better quarterback, in my opinion) a few weeks ago. I think the final score is close and the Jets pull it out, 19-16.

Chris Celletti – As I mentioned in our roundtable earlier this week, the most important matchup of this game, to me, is whether or not the Jets can keep Marshawn Lynch from running wild. You would think with some extra rest off the bye week the Jets’ defense should be fresh, but personally I just think that matchup favors the Seahawks too heavily and is going to prove to be too meaningful to this game. Although, I do fully expect the Jets’ pass defense to shut down Seattle’s passing attack with rookie QB Russell Wilson. If they can’t, it’s game over. Offensively, I don’t see how the Jets are going to put up too many points. This seems like a game where Mark Sanchez will struggle in, most quarterbacks do in Seattle. The Jets will need a big play or two on special teams in order to stay in this one late. Either way, I think Seattle defends their home, winning 23-16.

Turn On The Jets Week 10 NFL Picks

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their picks for week 10 of the NFL season

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (70-60-3)

2. Rob Celletti (69-59-5)

3. Chris Gross (66-63-4)

4. Chris Celletti (61-68-4)

5. Joe Caporoso (57-72-4)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (9-5)

  • New England (-11) vs. Buffalo
  • Giants (-3.5) vs. Bengals
  • Tampa Bay (-3) vs. San Diego
  • Carolina (+4) vs. Denver
  • Titans (+6) vs. Dolphins
  • Raiders (+8) vs. Ravens
  • Falcons (-2.5) vs. Saints
  • Lions (-2) vs. Vikings
  • Jets (+6) vs. Seattle
  • Eagles (+2) vs. Dallas
  • 49ers (-11) vs. Rams
  • Bears (-1.5) vs. Texans
  • Steelers (-11.5) vs. Chiefs

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (3-11!)

  • Patriots -12
  • Giants -3.5
  • Bucs -3
  • Panthers +4
  • Titans +6
  • Raiders +7.5
  • Falcons -2.5
  • Lions -2.5
  • Jets +6
  • Cowboys -2
  • 49ers -11.5
  • Texans +1.5
  • Steelers -11.5

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-6)

  • Patriots (-11)
  • Bengals (+3.5)
  • Bucs (-3)
  • Broncos (-4)
  • Titans (+6)
  • Ravens (-8)
  • Saints (+2.5)
  • Vikings (+2)
  • Jets (+6)
  • Cowboys (-2)
  • Rams (+11)
  • Bears (-1.5)
  • Steelers (-11.5)

Chris Celletti

Last Week (8-6)

  • Bills
  • Giants
  • Chargers
  • Broncos
  • Titans
  • Ravens
  • Falcons
  • Vikings
  • Seahawks
  • Cowboys
  • Rams
  • Bears
  • Chiefs

Chris Gross

Last Week (9-5)

  • Patriots (-12)
  • Giants (-3.5)
  • Chargers (+3)
  • Broncos (-4)
  • Titans (+6)
  • Ravens (-7.5)
  • Saints (+2.5)
  • Vikings (+2.5)
  • Seahawks (-6)
  • Eagles (+2)
  • 49ers (-11.5)
  • Bears (-1.5)
  • Chiefs (+11.5)