It Is Finally Here: Last Thoughts On The Draft

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First a few updates:

1. When I say last thoughts on the draft, I mean that if you are only silly enough to not be following Turn On The Jets on twitter (TurnOnTheJets) or on facebook (just search Turn On The Jets and become a fan of the page)…because I will be all over both them all day and night with thoughts/updates. I got my resident draft expert (my good friend Mike “Tiny” Nolan) heading up to my apartment, I got massive amounts of unhealthy food, I got some cheap beer, and I am ready to sit on my couch from about 6 PM to 1 AM.

Photobucket2. You thought I was going to forget my weekly LOST review, right? wrong. Thoughts On Lost Final Season, Episode 13 “The Last Recruit” – Most people weren’t crazy about this episode because it was a transitional one. I can understand those criticisms but overall I thought the writers did a good job of getting everybody in to place for the final arc of action this season (and overall for the show). The Jack/Locke discussion scene was up to it’s usual high standard and it is hard to picture the end of show not being based around some type of showdown between the two of them. In the sideways world, we are well on the way to everybody meeting up at the hospital and Jack curing Locke’s paralysis. The Jin/Sun reunion was…meh. It was nice to get confirmation that Christian Shephard was the smoke monster all along, which most of us suspected. Next week it looks like Jack/Locke’s camp will be finding a way to break out the rest of the main characters from Widmore and his team.

3. Nothing too ground-breaking from Jason Taylor’s press  conference yesterday…just sack the quarterback and we’ll try to forget the past.

4. Flipping around during the draft? Look for the Bulls and Thunder to steal a game tonight from the Cavs and Lakers and for Portland to take a 2-1 lead over the Suns. What can I say? I like the home teams tonight.

It Is Finally Here: Last Thoughts On The Draft

– Despite his agent re-tweeting from some non verifiable fan information, I am still not sure if Terrence Cody to the Jets at #29 makes sense or if it is going to happen. Obviously he would provide some help on the defensive line but you have to worry about the guy staying in shape and he isn’t really versatile enough to slide out to defensive end.

– Final mock drafts in, as compiled by Tim Graham on ESPN.com here (http://espn.go.com/blog/afceast/post?id=12936)

  • Mel Kiper Jr. – Linval Joseph – East Carolina – Defensive Tackle
  • Scouts Inc – Jared Odrick – Penn State – Defensive Tackle
  • ESPN Blog – Taylor Mays – USC – Safety
  • Bucky Brooks – Jared Odrick – Penn State – Defensive Tackle
  • Charles Davis – Everson Griffen – USC – Defensive End
  • Pat Kirwan – Carlos Dunlap – Florida – Defensive End
  • Rick Gosselin – Patrick Robinson – FSU – Florida State
  • Wes Bunting – Nate Allen – USF – Safety
  • Clark Judge – Taylor Mays – USC – Safety
  • Pete Prisco – Tyson Alualu – California – Defensive End
  • Rob Rang – Everson Griffen – USC – Defensive End
  • Chad Reuter – Demaryius Thomas – Georgia Tech – Wide Receiver

– Let me say right now that I would be furious if the Jets drafted Taylor Mays. This is guy is Vernon Gholston at the safety position. Stay away Mike Tannenbaum…stay away. If you want a safety trade up for Earl Thomas or trade back a few spots and take Nate Allen.

– Isn’t it hard to picture the Jets not making a trade tonight? I don’t know if it will be up or back or if they will move Alan Faneca or Kellen Clemens, but something has to go down.

– Speaking of trades, I got a feeling that Albert Haynesworth and Ben Rothlisberger will be moved. The Steelers have already been calling teams and listening to offers so it almost feels like there is no turning back. Can’t you see Oakland offering their first round pick and the Steelers jumping on that offer?

Most Exciting Thing That Could Happen Tonight – The Jets trade up for Earl Thomas…can you imagine their defense with him roaming around at safety? Wow. What would be the cost though?

You Have To Be Thrilled If The Jets Leave With – Jared Odrick. He would be a steal at #29 and provide instant depth and versatility to their defensive line.

It Would Be A Successful Night If – The Jets found a way to trade Alan Faneca and got their hands on Mike Iupati. I know the Jets line has had good chemistry but Faneca is getting old, his play is starting to decline and the Jets owe him alot of money. For the long term, Iupati alongside D’Brick and Mangold gives the Jets offensive line security for a long time.

You Have To Be Satisfied With – Everson Griffen, Jerry Hughes, Devin McCourty, or Carlos Dunlap at #29.

And with that, I have to prepare for 10 hours on my couch.

TOJ TV Throwback Week Continues With The Holiday Edition (Skit Starts At 1:45)

And From The Producer of TOJ TV – “Post Grad Purgatory”

Final Thoughts On Jets/Colts

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1. I hope everybody has really taken the time to sit back and enjoy this playoff run…the extra media coverage, the bandwagon fans, and everything this else that comes with success. However, let’s not be satisfied with making it to the AFC Championship Game. I am not buying a AFC Championship t-shirt, I want a Super Bowl t-shirt. We are past the point of everything being “gravy” or playing with house money. The Jets need to seize this opportunity by the throat tomorrow. If you think this past month has been fun, imagine what the next two weeks would be like.

2. You have to love Mayor Bloomberg renaming Manhattan, “Revis Island.” You also have to love how the Empire State Building has been green the past month. I was only 10 years old in 1998, so my memories aren’t great but I don’t think the Jets have ever had such a hold on this town before.

3. I referenced the bandwagon fans before. I am in my second semester of taking classes at Lehigh and working at Muhlenberg and I can promise you I was the only person on either campus wearing any Jets stuff first semester. Yet, the past week all of a sudden I saw about 25 Sanchez jerseys, and I am pretty sure I could see the tags hanging out the back of them. Beyond that, I keep hearing all these casual/new Jets fans talking about the team when they clearly haven’t followed them all year…if they had been, they wouldn’t be wearing a Sanchez jersey, they would be wearing a Revis/Greene/or Mangold jersey haha.

4. I am getting up bright and early tomorrow and heading down to South Jersey for a full day of tailgating before watching the game with my cousins, Uncle, and Dad. I am telling you right now, I got some butterflies but overall I feel confident. For all the bandwagon fans out there, even more haters exist who refuse to give the Jets credit.

5. I am sorry this is a little late but check out http://davissportsdeli.com/podcasts/?p=325 for the DavisSportsDeli Podcast, which I made an appearance on yesterday. Aaron Fischman does a great job with the show, so it is something worth checking out over the next few months.

6. I think the Jets receivers are going to have big games tomorrow and by big, I don’t mean necessarily huge statistical days but both Braylon and Cotchery are going to haul in a few catches each in big sports. I like how they match up with the Colts cornerbacks. I also think Kerry Rhodes is going to step up again.

Nice Jets Video Posted Over on Youtube that I Saw Linked At Barstool Sports

TOJ TV

And Of Course…Al

Jets vs. Colts: AFC Championship Game Prediction

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First a few updates:

1. Watch the new episode of TOJ TV at the top and bottom of the article.

2. Kerry Rhodes and Shaun Ellis both practiced today and will be in the starting line-ups on Sunday.

3. www.thejetsblog.com has good coverage of the pep rally in Times Square yesterday, with video and photos from the event.

Jets vs. Colts: AFC Championship Game Prediction

I think the entire “NFL is a passing league and you win by throwing the ball” argument is complete BS. There is a reason Ben Rothlisberger has won more Super Bowls than Peyton Manning and Trent Dilfer, Brad Johnson, and Eli Manning have won the same amount. Look at the past ten 10 Super Bowl Champs: The Patriots won three when they were built on a strong defense and their running game, instead of their passing game. Do you remember the Patriots receiving core during their Super Bowl victories? Exactly. When they became a team built around a prolific passing offense, they  lost in the Super Bowl to a Giants team with a big time defense and a big time running game. The Ravens, Bucs, Steelers, and Giants all won because of their defense and running game, not because of their ability to throw the ball. Even when the Rams were the Greatest Show On Turf, they ran the ball well with Marshall Faulk.

Yes, I know the Colts did a win Super Bowl in 2006. They deserve credit, yet they took advantage of a weak AFC Playoff field (including a below average 10-6 Jets team and a weak 9-7 Chiefs team), an overachieving New England team, and a choke artist San Diego team and beat a not so memorable Chicago team in the Super Bowl. However, do you remember how poorly Peyton Manning played in those first two playoff games? He threw 5 INT’s and 1 TD and continued his crappy play into the first half of the AFC Championship Game before locking into a scary zone, playing an awesome second half and leading the Colts pass the Patriots. How did the Colts win the Super Bowl that year? They won because their defense and running game stepped up. They won because they allowed a combined 14 points in their first two playoff games and they had success running the football. They won in the Super Bowl because their top two backs combined for 190 yards.

This Colts team is carried by one thing: the excellence of Peyton Manning. Yes, they have great defensive ends and fast linebackers but overall their defense is only average (18th overall in total defense, 24th in rushing defense, and 14th in pass defense). They have the worst rushing game in the NFL. Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark are great players but Wayne is going to meet his match this weekend and Clark…well I hope Rex Ryan has something schemed up for Clark. The Colts are 15-0 this year when they play all their starters the full game, which is impressive as hell. Yet, this isn’t the 2007 Patriots who blew out everyone in every game (and remember how their season ended when they faced a team who could hit them in the mouth on both sides of the ball), this is a team who won 8 games that were decided by one possession or less, which is why you are crazy if you took the 7.5 points they are favored this week.

I think their magic in close games runs out this week. I think the team who runs the football and plays defense is going to the Super Bowl. I think there is something going on with this Jets team. The football gods are smiling on the smash mouth team who plays old school football and not the team who spit in the face of history by pulling their starters the final two weeks but then decided to throw a bunch of screen passes to make sure their top two receivers finished with 100 catches each. The Colts created a monster when they pulled their starters in week 16 and this week that monster is going into their building and killing their season.

Jets – 23 Colts – 20

New TOJ TV

Jets vs. Chargers: Game Breakdown & TOJ TV Divisional Round Edition

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First a few updates:

1. Shaun Ellis was limited in practice, which is standard while everybody else practiced full…good news. Ryan also did a nice job standing up for Thomas Jones today, when reporters were trying to press him into saying Shonn Greene was the Jets #1 back and would be their #1 back next year. Don’t underestimate how important Jones still is for the Jets rushing attack.

2. There is some good stuff in the Daily News today on the Jets/Chargers match-up…worth checking out. I won’t bother to link all of them but Hank Gola does a nice job breaking down how the Jets could grab a win.

3. Congratulations to Darrelle Revis and Nick Mangold for being selected to the All-Pro Team. David Harris finished second team, which was well deserved.

Jets vs. Chargers: Game Breakdown & TOJ TV Divisional Round Edition

Offense: We have heard about it all week…the Chargers struggle stopping the run and the Jets run the ball better than anyone in the NFL. Sometimes things are just simple, the Jets need to be themselves and do what they do on offense. Shonn Greene has earned the right to get 20 carries this week and Thomas Jones should be healthier this week, which will allow him to also be around 20 carries. It isn’t about ripping off huge runs, it is about pounding the Chargers average front seven, chewing up clock and wearing them down. If the Jets can put together long, time-killing drives led by their running game, it keeps them in control, keeps Philip Rivers off the field, and could lead the Chargers to start pressing on offense. The Jets have the best offensive line in the NFL and two very good running backs , so let’s ride them into the AFC Championship game.

When it gets beyond handing the ball off to #23 or #20, it would be nice to see a little more from Brad Smith and the Tiger package. The Bengals obviously weren’t going to be gashed by it two weeks in a row, but that doesn’t mean the Jets should abandon it against the Chargers. It is time for Schottenheimer to use some of that world famous creativity and come up with a few new wrinkles in the formation. It is time for Smith to fake the handoff, roll to his right and let one fly to Dustin Keller because I guarantee he will be wide open.

PhotobucketWhen the Jets throw the football, there is nothing wrong with keeping it simple. It is becoming clear what the strengths of Mark Sanchez are. He throws the ball well on the run, he does a good job on the slant route and he throws a pretty deep ball. The Chargers are going to commit to stopping the run, which is going to open the chance for Braylon Edwards to get down field again. I can’t emphasize enough how the Chargers aren’t the Bengals and how the Jets are going to need every point they can get their hands on this week, which means Braylon needs to have a big day. He is playing for a new contract and a chance to stay with the Jets, because honestly if he gives us 2 catches for 12 yards with another key drop, the Jets can’t pay for him to come back. However, if Edwards can man up and play to his talent level, give the Jets 100 yards and a touchdown in a big game, then we are talking about showing him the money next year.

Jerricho Cotchery needs to keep being Jerricho Cotchery, which means coming up big on third down conversions and running well after the catch. I am sure the Chargers spent plenty of time this week figuring out how to take Dustin Keller away, which means somebody like Brad Smith or David Clowney will have to step up and make a big play as a receiver.

Defense: I think the Jets are tired of hearing about all the weapons San Diego has and how difficult it is going to be to stop them. This is one hell of an opportunity for the defense to shut everybody up in the NFL, who won’t give the Jets credit as a great defense. You can’t say anything if they go into San Diego and hold the Chargers under 20 points, which of course is going to be a difficult task. The Jets pass rush must get to Philip Rivers early and often, while still being to defend against the screen pass. Darren Sproles has the ability to kill them if they don’t account for him coming out of the backfield. Honestly, he is player I am most worried about on the San Diego offense. I don’t know if it is going to be Donald Strickland, Dwight Lowery, or Eric Smith but the Jets need a defensive back tracking him all over the field.

Another player who is obviously a huge concern is Antonio Gates. Kerry Rhodes did a great job against Tony Gonzalez a few weeks ago when he was matched-up with him man to man. He needs to duplicate his performance against Gates. All of the inconsistency and criticism Rhodes has faced all year is completely erased if he comes up with a big time performance in this game. If Gates is held in check and Sproles doesn’t kill the Jets with a long touchdown, expect a victory. Yes, I am confident Darrelle Revis is going to do his job against Vincent Jackson who might make a play or two but won’t have a large impact in the game. Malcom Floyd is a concern but I think the Jets will roll some help towards Lito Sheppard occasionally. I am aware Floyd is a big play threat but Sheppard is a savvy veteran and I don’t think Ryan is going to leave him on an island all day with a 6 foot 5 receiver.

I hope the Chargers come out committed to running the football. They could hand off all day as far as I am concerned because that means they aren’t doing what they do best. San Diego is going to get their yards, the key is going to be holding them to field goals instead of touchdowns.

Special Teams: The Jets can’t allow a big return on kicks or punts, allowing easy points to the Chargers is suicide in this game. Their coverage units have been pretty awful all year, so yes I losing sleep over Sproles on special teams this week. If the Jets are punting around mid-field, don’t be shocked to see them attempt a fake…they are overdue for one.

TOJ TV Divisional Round Edition…Enjoy A Bunch of Jets Haters Eating Their Words During Wild-Card Weekend

Jets vs. Chargers Position By Position Comparison

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First a few updates:

1. Good news for our coaching staff: Brian Schottenheimer has turned down an interview for the Buffalo Bills head coaching job. Despite most fans having mixed feelings on Schotty, he has down a great job the past few weeks andhaving the same offensive coordinator we will be a huge help for Mark Sanchez in year two. Beyond that, why would Schotty want to deal with that mess in Buffalo? I bet Steve Spagnuolo wishes he spent another year with the Giants instead of taking a job with the Rams.

2. Braylon Edwards pleaded no contest in his court case and it is expected that he will receive a one game suspension from the NFL for the 2010 season.

3. New TOJ TV is the on the way this Friday, also friend me on facebook…not because I want to be your friend, but I because I want you to follow Turn On The Jets on facebook, where you will receive extra commentary, links to other quality Jets articles, and plenty more stuff worth looking at.

4. Thomas Jones and Tony Richardson were held out of practice for extra rest by Rex Ryan. Shaun Ellis was limited today in practice, while everybody else was a full participant.

5. Another great Darrelle Revis graphic:

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Jets vs. Chargers Position By Position Comparison

Quarterback: Philip Rivers (4254 yards, 28 TDs, 9 INTs) vs. Mark Sanchez (2444 yards, 12 TDs, 20 INTs) – Sanchez surprised everybody last week by playing one of his best games of the season in a cold-weather environment on the road. This week, he is back in his home state and facing off against an even better quarterback. Rivers has been a beast this season and makes the Chargers offense go since their running game is the worst in the NFL, Sanchez just needs to manage the game and hit a few big plays when the opportunity presents itself. Advantage: Chargers

Running Back: LaDanian Tomlinson (730 yards, 12 TDs), Darren Sproles (840 total yards, 7 TDs) vs. Thomas Jones (1402 yards, 14 TDs), Shonn Greene (540 yards, 2 TDs) – San Diego has the league’s 32nd ranked rushing attack, while the Jets have the league’s #1 ranked rushing attack. Tomlinson is a shell of his former self and only averages 3.3 yards per carry. Sproles is obviously a big play threat as a receiver, however don’t sleep on Shonn Greene who is coming on strong and has fresh legs because he didn’t start playing until week 7. Greene gashed the Bengals for 135 yards and a touchdown last week. Advantage: Jets

Wide Receiver: Vincent Jackson (1167 yards, 9 TDs), Malcom Floyd (776 yards, 1 TD), Legedu Naanee (242 yards, 2 TDs) vs. Braylon Edwards (541 yards, 4 TDs), Jerricho Cotchery (821 yards, 4 TDs), Brad Smith (270 total yards, 1 TD), David Clowney (191 yards, 1 TD) – Vincent Jackson is going to be the best receiver on the field Sunday, it is shame because there is no reason Braylon Edwards can’t be as good as him…except he can’t catch. I am sure there is ton of people who would say Floyd is better than Jerricho Cotchery but I got news for you…he isn’t. I don’t care how tall he is, Cotchery is a better receiver and in reality is the Jets #1 guy, as everybody who watched Jets/Bengals last week knows. Chargers fans have been pumping up Naanee and his 242 yards like crazy this week, and while he is a better pure receiver than Brad Smith or David Clowney, let’s not go crazy like he is some type of game breaker. I don’t know how much of factor Smith will be this week and Clowney has been invisible since the middle of the year. Advantage: Chargers, slightly because Vincent Jackson can catch and Braylon Edwards hasn’t proven he can.

Tight Ends: Antonio Gates (1157 yards, 8 TDs) vs. Dustin Keller (522 yards, 2 TDs) – Despite Keller breaking out last week in the playoffs, Gates is the best in business and will be a big match-up problem for the Jets. Advantage: Chargers

Offensive Line: Marcus McNeill, Kris Dielman, Nick Hardwick, Louis Vasquez, Brandyn Dombrowski vs. Damien Woody, Brandon Moore, Nick Mangold, Alan Faneca, D’Brickashaw Ferguson – The Jets have the best offensive line in football, led by three pro-bowlers and two underrated guys in Brandon Moore and Damien Woody. Advantage: Jets

Defensive Line: Jacques Cesaire (26 tackles,  1 sack), Ogemdi Nwagbuo (19 tackles, 1 sack), Luis Castillo (25 tackles, 2 sacks), Alfonso Boone (15 tackles, 3 sacks) vs. Marques Douglas (64 tackles, 1.5 sacks), Sione Pouha (45 tackles), Shaun Ellis (53 tackles, 6.5 sacks), Mike DeVito (28 tackles) – The Chargers miss Jamal Williams and it has shown in their run defense. The Jets miss Kris Jenkins and hasn’t really shown in their run defense until last week against the Bengals. Advantage: Jets, slightly

Linebackers: Shaun Phillips (59 tackles, 7 sacks), Stephen Cooper (102 tackles), Kevin Burnett (66 tackles, 2.5 sacks), Shawne Merriman (36 tackles, 4 sacks), Brandon Siler (67 tackles, 2 sacks), Tim Dobbins (55 tackles, 1 sack), Larry English (36 tackles, 2 sacks) vs. Calvin Pace (55 tackles, 8 sacks), David Harris (127 tackles, 5.5 sacks), Bart Scott (92 tackles, 1 sack), Bryan Thomas (53 tackles, 2 sacks) – The Chargers have alot of people rolling through at linebacker, especially since Merriman and Burnett among other people haven’t been able to stay healthy. Calvin Pace put together a better statistical season than Phillips despite only playing in 12 games, while David Harris will be the best overall linebacker on the field. What else can I say? The Jets are better and more consistent here. Advantage: Jets

Corners: Quentin Jammer (58 tackles, 3 INTs), Antonio Cromartie (33 tackles, 3 INTs), Antoine Cason (41 tackles, 2 INTs) vs. Darrelle Revis (54 tackles, 6 INTs), Lito Sheppard (31 tackles, 1 INT), Dwight Lowery (24 tackles, 3 INTs), Donald Strickland (26 tackles, 2 sacks) – Revis is obviously the best player here, although I would take Jammer or Cromartie over Lito Sheppard. Cason and Lowery are both good nickel backs. It will be a nice boost for the Jets to have Strickland back, who has been productive when he has been healthy. Advantage: Jets, slightly

Safeties: Steve Gregory (71 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT), Eric Weddle (82 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2 INTs), Kevin Ellison (52 tackles, 1 sack), Paul Oliver (49 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) vs. Jim Leonhard (76 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 1 INT), Kerry Rhodes (63 tackles, 3 INTs), Eric Smith (48 tackles, 1 INT), James Ihedigbo (19 tackles, 2 sacks) – These are very comparable groups. Rhodes is going to have his hands full covering Gates. Leonhard did a nice job last week, and will need to keep it up. I wouldn’t be shocked to see alot of Eric Smith in the Jets nickel package, also Ihedigbo has turned into a valuable blitzer for the Jets. Advantage: Even

Specials: Nate Kaeding (32/35 FGs), Mike Scifers (45 yards per punt), Darren Sproles (24.1 per kick return, 7.0 per punt return, 1 TD) vs. Jay Feely (30/36 FGs), Steve Weatherford (42 yards per punt), Brad Smith (31 per kick return, 1 TD), Jerricho Cotchery (10.3 per punt return) – The Chargers have the best kicker/punter duo in the playoffs and arguably the most explosive return guy, even though Smith and Cotchery have quietly been very good on returns and Feely is a very good kicker, you have to give the advantage to the Chargers. Advantage: Chargers

Mike Francesa Begins His One Month Crying Session Over The Jets…Man He Is Upset The Giants Were Awful This Year

Jets vs. Bengals Game Breakdown

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First a few updates:

1. David Harris did practice today, although he was limited. However, from all reports he looked pretty good and should start at linebacker on Saturday. Donald Strickland was the only other player who was limited in practice and he could be a game-time decision. Steve Weatherford (who complimented my prediction skills on facebook) was practicing full and should be 100 percent for Saturday.

2. It is looking like somewhere between 10-20 degrees with a chance of flurries on Saturday at 4:30 PM…you are a long way from USC Mark Sanchez.

3. Rex Ryan continued to argue for Darrelle Revis as the Defensive Player of the Year today…you focus on the Bengals, Rex…I am going to argue for Darrelle’s cause a little later in the day.

4. Stop by (www.greenrewind.com) to check out Marty Schupak’s latest podcast, which features an appearance by yours truly along with plenty of other Jets writers/bloggers. Also check out the Fantasy Buffet radio show at (http://www.blogtalkradio.com/fanball/2009/12/21/fantasy-buffet) where I will be making an appearance tomorrow around 11 AM.

5. Don’t forget to friend me on facebook and then become a fan of the Turn On The Jets page to find extra commentary, links to other Jets article, along with all the stuff you could here on this site.

6. A new episode of TOJ TV has been filmed and should be posted tomorrow afternoon or maybe even tonight if I decide to avoid being lazy.

Jets vs. Bengals Game Breakdown

Offense: The playoffs is not the time for the Jets to abandon what got them there. It is time to run the football. I have to give Brian Schottenheimer and Bill Callahan credit for their creativity with the Jets rushing attack. Teams know the Jets are going to run the ball and try to keep it out of Sanchez’s hands but they have still found a way to get the job done. Expect to see plenty of Wayne Hunter and Robert Turner off the bench, which means the Jets are going to have seven lineman in the game and are basically saying “we are running the ball, we know you know it but you can’t stop it.” You can bet on Thomas Jones getting his 20-25 carries and Shonn Greene adding on another 12-15.

The key for the Jets running game is going to be setting up third and short for Mark Sanchez, where the Jets have a reasonable option to both run and pass. One of the Jets favorite plays in a 3rd and 3 type situation is putting Jerricho Cotchery in the slot, bringing him in motion over the center and then sprinting him back out towards the slot, having Sanchez roll out and throw a quick 3 yard out to him, if you fast forward to 6:44 in this clip below, you will see a variation of this play. I don’t have the exact numbers on this play but by my count the Jets are about 10 for 10 on this play this year (they also ran it with Keller as the 2 point conversion vs the Colts, as you could see in the other clip below at the 2:46 mark and with Edwards against Jacksonville as you could see in the clip below that at the 2:59 mark). The point is that, they need to put themselves in situations where they could run this play and other ones they are comfortable with/have a high success rate with on third down.

You will also see plenty of the Jets “Tiger” formation. I don’t care how much time the Bengals spent on Brad Smith this week, NFL teams are not used to defending all the variations of option the Jets could run with Smith under center. It is a tremendous advantage that Smith can’t not only run the traditional “Wildcat” but is comfortable taking direct snaps. He has shown an ability to execute the pitch relationship with Shonn Greene and convert the pitch to him if the defensive end gets out in front of him. Also, let’s not forget Smith threw for 8,000 yards in college and I can promise you one of the first “Tiger” plays the Jets run will involve Smith throwing a pass (likely a short one to be safe) just to make the Bengals think twice every time Smith rolls out and if they hesitate, there is no reason this can’t happen again:

It would go a long way towards a Jets victory if Mark Sanchez and Braylon Edwards can convert on a big play down the field. The Jets obviously struggle scoring points and if they could grab a quick seven, it would be a huge boost in a low scoring game and soften up the Bengals defense against the Jets run. Sanchez has done a good job on deep balls this season but hasn’t always been helped by his wide receivers. Here are three clips of Sanchez throwing and connecting on a well-thrown deep ball. Finally, it has been said a thousand times but Sanchez must protect the football at all costs. If he doesn’t turn the ball over, there is no reason the Jets can’t be off to Indy or San Diego.

Sanchez to Cotchery at 3:04

Sanchez to Braylon at 0:51

Sanchez to Clowney at 2:02

Defense: The key for the Jets is to slow down Cedric Benson and the Bengals rushing attack. The Jets defensive line has overachieved all season and Marques Douglas, Sione Pouha, Mike DeVito, and Shaun Eliis need a big game. We need David Harris to continually introduce himself to Benson throughout the game and force the Bengals into third and long, and then eventually abandon their running game. The bottom line is that the Bengals can’t throw on the Jets. Darrelle Revis will do his job on Ochocinco and they have nobody else who can hurt the Jets down the field. However, it goes beyond the Jets limiting the Bengals rushing attack and preventing big plays in the passing game. The Jets need to force turnovers and sack the quarterback, to help their offense score points.

Outside of Cedric Benson, the Bengals starting offense played last week for the entire half and was completely embarrassed. Whether or not they ran a vanilla package and hid some things, don’t tell me there isn’t some doubt in their mind about their ability to move the ball on the Jets defense. It isn’t like they just had a bad half of football…a bad half is getting shut out but still gaining some yards and completing some passes. Carson Palmer was 1/11 for 0 yards with an interception and the only first down the Bengals got was on a questionable penalty on the Jets. If the Jets can get off to a fast start on defense and force a few 3 and outs, the Bengals are going to start questioning themselves and maybe trying to force some things.

Special Teams: This is going to be a low scoring game, which means a big return could swing the final results. It has to be the Jets who get good field position or a touchdown because of their special teams units, not the Bengals. One of the things I am most worried about is a big return from Bernard Scott on kickoffs. However, don’t be shocked to see a fake punt from Mike Westhoff and the Jets special teams units.

Final TOJ NFL Rankings & Other Thoughts on Regular Season/Jets vs. Bengals

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First a few updates:

Note: This terrific picture above was created by JetsFan_MD and posted on www.jetsinsider.com. Considering my two favorite things in the world are the Jets and the TV show LOST…this is about as good as it gets for me.

1. Rex Ryan didn’t sound too confident about David Harris practicing this week with his sprained ankle. He may end up being a game time decision. Ryan Fowler would step in, although he had a head injury apparently so he could be replaced by Kenwin Cummings…ut-oh.

2. Ryan didn’t say anything else too notable in his press conference. He was pretty low key and respectful of the Bengals, which is the right approach to take. However, he did affirm that the Jets goal is to make the Super Bowl and that they aren’t just happy to be in the playoffs.

3. Not too much love from Mike Francesa on WFAN today, who didn’t give the Jets much credit for last night. He did say he thought they had a decent shot to win on Saturday but he seemed more anxious to talk about Jason Bay or John Mara…you have to love how salty Giants fans are today.

4. Yes, of course there will be a playoff edition of TOJ TV coming this week. I am also trying to set up a question exchange with the Bengals FanBall blogger.

5. In case you are curious, I have insane amounts of free time on my hands this week since I am on winter break and all my friends work full time (you know because they enjoy having money, unlike me who would rather accumulate student loan debt), so yes this web-site and the facebook page will be updated so much that you will be fully convinced I have no life…oh well.

Final TOJ NFL Rankings & Other Thoughts on Regular Season/Wild-Card Weekend

Long title, right? Now, I am not one to pat myself on the back but check out (http://turnonthejets.com/2009/09/07/2009-nfl-predictions/):

  • I picked 5 out of 6 AFC playoff teams right, my only miss was on the Bengals winning the North (I picked Pittsburgh). My wild-card picks? Jets and Ravens.
  • I picked the Dolphins (7-9), Titans (8-8), Browns (5-11), and Jacksonville (7-9) record correctly and missed by one game on Denver, Buffalo, Chiefs, and Chargers.
  • I picked 4 out of 6 NFC playoff teams right, my only misses were on the Saints (yikes) and Cowboys. I had the G-Men (ha) and Falcons in the playoffs.
  • I picked the Cardinals (10-6) record correctly and missed by one game on the Eagles, Packers, Bears, and Lions.
  • Just for reference I picked a San Diego/Philly Super Bowl.

Just call me young Nostradamus. Better pay attention to my playoff picks.

And then check out (http://turnonthejets.com/2009/09/07/40-predictions-for-2009-new-york-jets-season/) and see how many Jets specific things I missed including gems on Mark Sanchez’s stats, Lito Sheppard’s INT total, Vernon Gholston’s sack total, and plenty more.

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Final TOJ NFL Rankings

  1. Indianapolis Peyton Mannings (14-2) Going into the playoffs on a 2 game losing streak (by their backups).
  2. San Diego Chargers (13-3) Going into the playoffs on a 11 game winning streak…watch out.
  3. New Orleans Saints (13-3) Going into playoffs on a 3 game losing streak…ut oh.
  4. Minnesota Vikings (12-4) You can bet I will be rooting against them.
  5. Dallas Cowboys (11-5) Need a playoff win in the worst way.
  6. Green Bay Packers (11-5) Very dangerous team.
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) They are better than they showed last week.
  8. Arizona Cardinals (10-6) Risky to sleep on them after last year.
  9. New England Patriots (10-6) Too bad about Wes Welker’s injury (and I am being serious, no matter how much I hate him and New England you never want to see anyone get hurt, especially somebody as good as him).
  10. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) Well at least they are going in with some momentum, right?
  11. Baltimore Ravens (9-7) They can run and play defense, which  means they are dangerous.
  12. New York Jets (9-7) They can run and play defense better than anybody in the NFL, which means they are dangerous.
  13. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) Too little, too late for the defending champs.
  14. Houston Texans (9-7) They can thank Kris Brown for missing the playoffs.
  15. Tennessee Titans (8-8) 8-2 over their last 10 games.
  16. Atlanta Falcons (9-7) Two straight winning seasons for the dirty birds.
  17. Miami Dolphins (7-9) Have fun sitting at home.
  18. Jacksonville Jaguars (7-9) Not a bad year for a young team.
  19. Denver Broncos (8-8) They should be embarrassed.
  20. Carolina Panthers (8-8) Strong finish with Matt Moore at QB.
  21. New York Giants (8-8) Embarrassed themselves the past two weeks and final 11 games for that matter.
  22. San Francisco 49ers (8-8) Only .500 because they get to play the Seahawks or Rams 4 games a year.
  23. Chicago Bears (7-9) They felt worse than 7-9. Jay Cutler stunk the joint up.
  24. Cleveland Browns (5-11) Finished the season on a 4 game winning streak…go Mangini.
  25. Oakland Raiders (5-11) All they do is beat playoff teams…and lose to everyone else.
  26. Buffalo Bills (6-10) Consistently mediocre.
  27. Washington Redskins (4-12) And so ends the Jim Zorn era.
  28. Kansas City Chiefs (4-12) I guess Matt Cassell isn’t a franchise quarterback.
  29. Seattle Seahawks (5-11) The most irrelevant team in the NFL this year.
  30. Tampa Bay Bucs (3-13) Showed some fight occasionally.
  31. Detroit Lions (2-14) A two game improvement from last year.
  32. St. Louis Rams (1-15) Well then…

Some final Regular Season Observations

PhotobucketDo you think Jim Zorn just had Bruce Springsteen playing into his headset during the second half of the season?…I know the Giants fired their defensive coordinator today but when you allowed 40+ points every week, the problem goes beyond the coaching…Denver was 8-4 the past two years and both times lost out to miss the playoffs, cough cough…At least Jason Taylor can now get an early jump on next season of Dancing With the Stars…The 49ers are Texans are between 7-9 and 9-7 every year and then picked to make the jump by all the experts for the following season, only they just go 8-8 again and miss the playoffs, I look forward to this repeating again next year…My favorite non-Jets regular season games – Steelers vs. Titans opening night, Colts vs. Patriots on Sunday night, Saints vs. Patriots on Monday night, Dallas vs. Giants on Sunday night in week two, Saints vs. Redskins, Denver vs. Patriots, Ravens vs. Chargers, Titans vs. Texans on Monday night, Titans vs. Cardinals.

Bye Bye Miami

Back From Hiatus: TOJ TV Holiday Edition, Jets vs. Bucs Prediction

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First a few updates:

1. The Jets official injury report lists Mark Sanchez, Dwight Lowery, and Robert Turner out. Wayne Hunter and Alan Faneca are listed as questionable with illnesses, and Donald Strickland has been bumped up to probable.

2. A belated thank you to Eric Mangini and the Browns for knocking off the Steelers Thursday night. Three losses in a row to the Cheifs, Raiders, and Browns? Yikes.

Back From Hiatus: TOJ TV Holiday Edition, Jets vs. Bucs Prediction

If you aren’t interested in hearing me talk about the Jets/Bucs game, fast forward to the 1:45 mark for the skit.

Grading Out The Jets/Panthers Game

*Nov 29 - 00:05*

First a few updates:

1. Except for Denver winning (thank you very much Giants), literally every team the Jets needed to lose yesterday, actually did lose. It was a rare day of positive outcomes for the Jets, who now somehow sit 1 game out of the AFC’s final wild card spot.

2. I don’t have a major problem with how Kerry Rhodes handled the media yesterday. The guy has been through a rough week with his well deserved benching. He said what he needed to say and left before having to answer millions of questions about whether he should get his job back (he shouldn’t yet, Eric Smith played a very good game). Hopefully, Rhodes will string together a few big games and start to resemble the player the Jets expected him to be in 2009.

3. The stats and game highlights section have been updated. It was nice to finally add some winning highlights. We are currently working on an extended holiday special version of TOJ TV to hopefully air before the Jets/Bucs game on December 13th. However, I’d like to get something up before Thursday’s game but apparently I need to devote more attention to my finals than my website’s television show. We’ll see if I end up writing my final today or instead laying in my bed, watching re-runs of LOST, and eating pretzels.

Grading Out The Jets/Panthers Game

JETS V PANTHERS SQuarterbacks: (B-) It was far from his best game of the season, but it was still a step in the right direction from the previous few games for Mark Sanchez. He was noticeably more careful with the football, showed his ability to run when his receivers are covered and displayed accuracy on a few impressive throws over the middle to Dustin Keller. Yes, the interception he threw was a bad pass and eventually he will have to press the ball down the field a little more but he played well enough for the Jets to win. It was also good to see him finally get his completion percentage well above 50.

Running Backs: (B-) A solid, workmanlike day from Thomas Jones. Shonn Greene’s fumble lowered the grade of this group. He shows some good burst but must do a better job of protecting the football. It was a smart decision by the Jets coaching staff to activate Danny Woodhead and use him in the third down role because he is a very good receiver out of the backfield. He provides a Sanchez a good outlet as a check down.

Wide Receivers: (C) It was a quiet day from this group, with Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery only combining for 4 receptions. Edwards showed a strong ability to run after the catch and it was also a good decision to throw him shorter passes to keep him involved.

Tight Ends: (C) Dustin Keller had a very good game, except for his fumble. It is good to see him becoming more consistently involved in the offense. Ben Hartsock is stringing together a few games without a penalty.

Offensive Line: (C) It wasn’t the best day for this group. Sanchez was sacked a few times and Thomas Jones couldn’t crack the 100 yard mark. D’Brickashaw Ferguson also had a holding penalty.

Defensive Line: (A) A really strong effort from this group in slowing down DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Marques Douglas and Shaun Ellis are both playing better than expected this season. Sione Pouha has also been more than competent as a replacement for Kris Jenkins.

Linebackers: (A) A sack for David Harris, Calvin Pace, and Bryan Thomas. Bart Scott was also fairly active. Was Vernon Gholston in uniform on Sunday?

112909Jets03ACNYSecondary: (A) Darrelle Revis played another terrific game on Sunday, you can add Steve Smith to the list of elite receivers who have been completely shut down by Revis. Eric Smith didn’t disappointin his promotion to the starting line-up, with a team leading 8 tackles and 2 for a loss. Aided by Jake Delhomme’s general awfulness, Kerry Rhodes pulled in his first two  interceptions of the season. Rex Ryan is looking pretty smart for at least one week.

Special Teams: (B) Jay Feely made an important kick in the 4th quarter. Brad Smith had a nice kick return. The punt coverage was a little shaky.

Coaching: (A) The benching of Kerry Rhodes brought out strong performances from both him and Eric Smith. Ryan also made the right call by challenging Steve Smith’s touchdown. It was a good game plan on both sides of the ball and the coaching staff had the team ready to play.

Highlights of the Jets 17-6 Win Over Carolina