NFL Playoff Picture: Week 17

TOJ with a look at the NFL playoff picture heading into week 17

Down to the final week of the NFL season, there are only a few things left to be shuffled out before wild-card weekend, most of which is seeding. Every single team below, outside of Green Bay, is playing in a game with some kind of playoff implications this weekend –

AFC

  1. New England (12-3)
  2. Baltimore (11-4)
  3. Houston (10-5)
  4. Denver (8-7)
  5. Pittsburgh (11-4)
  6. Cincinnati (9-6)
  7. Oakland (8-7)
  8. Tennessee (8-7)
  9. Jets (8-7)

New England needs to win to wrap up the number one seed. Baltimore needs to beat Cincinnati to avoid sliding from a number two seed all the way to down to a number five seed. By all reports, Houston is going to play all out this weekend to avoid going into the playoffs on a three game losing streak and to keep divisional rival Tennessee out (good news for the Jets). Denver plays Kansas City and Oakland plays in San Diego in two games that are complete toss-ups, if both teams win or lose, Denver takes the AFC West. Pittsburgh will play hard against Cleveland, as they actually still have an outside shot at the number one seed. The Jets need to win and hope three separate teams help them.

NFC

  1. Green Bay (14-1)
  2. San Francisco (12-3)
  3. New Orleans (12-3)
  4. Giants (8-7)
  5. Detroit (10-5)
  6. Atlanta (9-6)
  7. Dallas (8-7)

Winner of Giants/Dallas takes the number four seed. If Detroit loses and Atlanta wins, they will drop to the number six seed and a likely first round beatdown at the hands of New Orleans, who can only move up to number two if San Francisco slips up this week against St. Louis.

Could The New York Jets Make The Playoffs At 10-6?

Could the New York Jets make the playoffs at 10-6?

Maybe I have lost some of my optimism, but I believe it is worth considering the possibility of the New York Jets not running the table, and maybe winning just 2 of their final 3. Does that scenario leave them a realistic chance of being the AFC’s number six seed? It just might…

They have built a one game lead over Oakland, Tennessee, and Cincinnati. We already know they don’t have the tie-breaker with Oakland and as of now they don’t have it with Tennessee or Cincinnati based on conference record, although that could change.

Let’s start with Oakland, who would only need to lose one more game to keep the Jets safe at 10-6. They play Detroit, at Kansas City, and home against San Diego. Right now Detroit and San Diego are better teams than Oakland and Kansas City has already beat them this year 28-0 this season. I think it is a safe assumption that Oakland will lose one, if not two more games.

Tennessee plays at Indianapolis, home versus Jacksonville, and then finishes at Houston. The assumption all along has been that Houston will be resting starters in week 17. As of now, that won’t be the case because they could very well be playing for a bye. Beyond that, they could want to get as much work for T.J. Yates as possible before the playoffs start. Considering that Houston beat the Titans 41-7 in their last match-up, if the Texans don’t rest anybody they should be able to handle Tennessee. Outside of week 17, Indianapolis just might show a little pride at home this week to avoid going 0-16 and there is a good chance Jake Locker will be making the first start of his career on Sunday. Hey, you never know right? Jacksonville also has upset potential because of their running game, defense, and the fact that they beat Tennessee earlier in the year.

Cincinnati travels to St. Louis this week before hosting Arizona and Baltimore to end the season. Again, many people were assuming Baltimore would be resting starters in week 17. However, considering they have the same record as Pittsburgh and they could potentially drop from a 1 to a 5 seed if they lose the AFC North, resting starters wouldn’t be an option as of right now. On top of that, if Pittsburgh falls out of contention for the division title, they are still battling Houston and New England for the 1 and 2 seed. If Baltimore does happen to rest their starters, Arizona is 6-7 and will be far from a walkover for banged up Bengals team.

Of course, it would be much easier if the Jets just took care of their own business and won their last three. However, it remains a very real possibility that they could still sneak in, even at 10-6.

NFL Week 15: Playoff Picture Remains Blurry

With three games to go, the NFL picture remains blurry

There are only three games left in the 2011 NFL season. Where did the time go? Despite heading into week 15, 21 teams technically remain alive for a playoff spot and we are only sure about one thing when it comes to seeding, that Green Bay will be number one in the NFC. Let’s take a closer look —

AFC

  1. Houston (10-3)
  2. Baltimore (10-3)
  3. New England (10-3)
  4. Denver (8-5)
  5. Pittsburgh (10-3)
  6. New York Jets (8-5)
  7. Tennessee (7-6)
  8. Cincinnati (7-6)
  9. Oakland (7-6)
  10. San Diego (6-7)

The battle for a bye and the NFC North title should prevent Houston, New England, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh from resting any starters in the coming weeks. Denver looks to be in the driver’s seat for the AFC West, considering how Oakland has looked in the previous two weeks. San Diego is technically still lingering around in the West but Baltimore could end that this weekend. In terms of the wild-card, the Jets control their own destiny but have three very losable games approaching on the schedule. Cincinnati and Tennessee still have a good shot if they could win out, but that could be more difficult than it initially looked. Pretty funny that if the season ended today, the Jets would be traveling to New England for wild-card weekend.

NFC

  1. Green Bay (13-0)
  2. San Francisco (10-3)
  3. New Orleans (10-3)
  4. New York Giants (7-6)
  5. Atlanta (8-5)
  6. Detroit (8-5)
  7. Chicago (7-6)
  8. Dallas (7-6)
  9. Seattle (6-7)
  10. Arizona (6-7)
  11. Philadelphia (5-8)

We are going to learn plenty about San Francisco this Monday night against Pittsburgh. Their battle with New Orleans for a bye should be interesting to watch. The Giants are in the driver’s seat now for the NFC East and would be dangerous in the playoffs because of how well Eli Manning is playing. Atlanta, Detroit, and Dallas will battle it out for the last spot but all three feel like one and done type teams. Yes, Eagles fans are still counting on running the table and the Giants and Dallas losing two of their last three so they could sneak in.

Recapping A Successful Jets Sunday: We’re Going Streaking!

TOJ on the Jets prospects for continuing their steak to an improbable playoff spot

Sometimes you just have one of those Sundays where everything breaks the right way. Today was one of those days for the New York Jets. Left for dead at 5-5, the Jets have put together three straight wins and received the necessary help along the way to make the following reality: win their last three games and make the playoffs. It took an unbelievable comeback from Houston and a last second stop from New Orleans, but the help was given.

The next three games won’t be nearly as easy as the last three, but the opportunity is there and the road starts next Sunday in Philadelphia. Here are the current AFC standings, with the tie-breakers:

Yes, the Jets might be able to get in as a 10-6 team but considering how their tie-breakers are looking, it isn’t likely. It is probably coming down to the Jets continuing to streak…all the way to six straight wins to put themselves in the postion of being the AFC’s final wild card team, which as of right now would put them in New England in the first round. How about that match-up?

Do they have three more wins in them?

New York Jets Playoffs Scenario Week 14

Photobucket

The Jets clinch a playoff spot this week with the following

1) A Jets Win + SD loss or tie + JAK loss or tie

2) A Jets Win + SD loss or tie + IND loss or tie

3) A Jets Tie + OAK loss or tie + SD loss + IND loss

Schedule

  • Indianapolis At Tennessee – Thursday, 8:20 PM
  • Oakland At Jacksonville – Sunday, 1 PM
  • Kansas City At San Diego – Sunday, 4:15 PM