The AFC Playoff Picture & Predictions

Joe Caporoso breaks down the AFC playoff picture and gives predictions for how the rest of the season will finish out…

With the New York Jets one of the few teams already dead in the AFC playoff picture, let’s look at where the rest of the conference stands, give our predictions for how it shakes out along with our week 13 picks…

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The New York Jets Playoffs Rooting Guide – Week 14

Joe Caporoso with a New York Jets playoffs rooting guide heading into week 14 of the 2015 NFL season

It has been far too long since we have been able to write one of these articles but at 7-5 the New York Jets are currently very much in the AFC Playoff Picture with 4 games to play. What are their odds? Who should you be rooting for? Glad you asked…

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New York Jets & the AFC Playoff Picture Entering Week 12

TOJ Staff Writer Dalbin Osorio breaks down the AFC Playoff Picture and the New York Jets standing heading into Week 12.

The New York Jets squandered a very good opportunity during Week 11. A win over the 3-7 Bills, coupled with a loss by the New England Patriots, would’ve put the Jets one game back of their arch rival in the division with 6 to play. Instead, the Jets didn’t take care of their business and were routed by the Bills. It was a horrible performance by a team that now finds itself faced with the daunting task of beating the defending Super Bowl Champion Ravens on the road. Let’s take a look at the AFC Playoff Picture heading into Week 12.

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TOJ- The New York Jets & The AFC Playoff Picture Entering Week 11

The New York Jets are coming off of their bye week now entering the stretch run in full control of their playoff destiny. Thanks to the Jacksonville Jaguars upset win over the Tennessee Titans in Week 10, the road appears quite easier for Gang Green. With 7 games remaining in the regular season, the Jets schedule becomes much more manageable than it was during the first half of the season as they face only one team with a .500 or better record (the week 15 match up against the Carolina Panthers). Let’s look at the updated playoff picture heading into Week 11.

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TOJ- New York Jets & The AFC Playoff Picture Entering Week 10

To quote Heath Ledger’s iconic turn as The Joker, “and….here….we…go.” That dreaded “P” word has started to crop up around Florham Park. Yes, the New York Jets stand in control of their playoff destiny entering the bye week. They sport a 5-4 record featuring signature wins against the New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, and Atlanta Falcons. If the regular season ended today, the New York Jets would travel to Indianapolis to take on the AFC North leading Colts. The Jets also have a realistic chance at the AFC East title as they only trail New England by 2 games and face the easier schedule. We at TOJ felt that, with seven weeks left in the season, Jets fans would appreciate updated playoff scenarios on a weekly basis. Let’s get right to it.

NOTE: “WInnable Games” – I don’t think any game is winnable in this league full of parity but I am going with the assumption that, more often than not, the better team will win. 

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New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream – Week 15 Viewing Guide

Your New York Jets playoff pipe dream viewing guide for week 15

Somehow, someway the New York Jets playoff pipe dream viewing guide is back. It took a pair of ugly wins over Arizona and Jacksonville and surprising upset losses for Pittsburgh and Cincinnati last week but here we are. The New York Jets are right in the mix for a AFC wild-card spot with three games left to play. Can you imagine the outrage if this team makes playoffs? I can already see the 4,000 word Grantland article documenting how they are the worst playoff team in NFL history and the 2,000 word Florio post on Pro Football Talk demanding a change to the playoff structure so teams like the Jets can’t get in. Hell, even if they lose by 30 in the first round, that would be worth the trip alone. 

THE BIG ONES

Cincinnati (7-6) at Philadelphia (4-9) – Fly Eagles Fly! This game doesn’t feel quite as helpless after watching Nick Foles and company beat Tampa Bay on the road last week. Despite having a tough outing against the Bucs, Bryce Brown is beastly at running back and can provide the big play. The main concern here is that Philadelphia’s secondary is awful and the Bengals have that AJ Green guy. Their offensive line is equally awful and Geno Atkins has been a monster upfront for Cincinnati. This is going to be a close one and an Eagles win can give every Jets fans a great start to the football weekend. Doesn’t it feel kind of natural rooting for the Eagles? They are the most comparative team/fanbase to the Jets out there.

Pittsburgh (7-6) at Dallas (7-6) – How ’bout them Cowboys? Dez Bryant’s finger injury has dimmed the optimism for this game a little but for God’s Sake the Steelers lost to the Chargers last week…at home!?! How did that happen, seriously have you watched San Diego play this season? They are an abomination. Here is something funny, our buddy Evan Silva had Ryan Matthews ranked as a top three fantasy player coming into the season. He has one touchdown this year! That is 5 less than his whipping boy Shonn Greene, 3 less than Bilal Powell and 1 less than the immortal Jeff Cumberland. Anyway, it is hard to have any faith in the Cowboys in a big spot but Romo has to win an important December game at some point, right?

Indianapolis (9-4) at Houston (11-2) – Yes, the Jets can still catch the Colts who play Houston this week on the road, then in Kansas City and then Houston again at home. Is it that unfathomable for them to get swept by the Texans and lay at least one egg against an inferior team on the road? Regardless, I think the Texans win this one comfortably after their embarrassment in New England last Monday Night.

COULDN’T HURT

Denver (10-3) at Baltimore (9-4) – You want the Broncos to win so they stay breathing down the Texans neck for the #1 seed, forcing the Texans to play their starters against the Colts in week 17.

San Francisco (9-3-1) at New England (10-3) – Root for the Patriots (vomits in mouth) same reason as above.

In a perfect world, the AFC Standings will look like this heading into week 16

  1. Houston (12-2)
  2. New England (11-3)
  3. Denver (11-3)
  4. Baltimore (9-5)
  5. Indy (9-5)
  6. Pittsburgh (7-7)
  7. Cincinnati (7-7)
  8. Jets (7-7)

TOJ Staff Thursday Night Picks

  • Joe C – PHI (+4)
  • Chris G – PHI (+4)
  • Mike D – PHI (+4)
  • Chris C – PHI (+4)
  • Rob – CIN (-4) 

New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream – Week 11 Hail Mary Edition

You still think the New York Jets have a chance at the playoffs, don’t you…you crazy SOB?

You are a sick person aren’t you? Sure, you have appropriately ripped your New York Jets all week to anybody who would listen. Sure, you swear you won’t waste time watching another game. But we all know that you will. You will be glued to your TV at 1 PM this Sunday, wondering in an anxious horror if your football team can truly get any worse…or if maybe, just maybe they could have some professional pride and show signs of life.

You are even thinking way in the back of your head…hey, the Colts and Patriots are playing this week, one of them has to lose right? The Steelers are playing with Byron Leftwich at quarterback the next 4-5 games, what if they start losing because Leftwich…well is, Leftwich. Look at how easy our schedule is!

Let me be the first to tell you that you need help buddy. But let me also be the first to guide your crazy aspirations in a well-structured article.

There are three main teams you should focus on in your crazy hopes: Indianapolis, Pittsburgh and New England. The Jets are currently three games behind all of them and only hold a tie-breaker as of right now with the Colts. Yes, there are other teams between them in the standings but for the time being let’s hold on to the thought that San Diego, Cincinnati, Oakland, Miami, Tennessee and Buffalo will all finish 8-8 or worse.

In terms of catching the Colts, the Jets would have to finish 6-1 (!) and have the Colts finish 3-4. Indy finishes with the following schedule –

  • At New England
  • Vs Buffalo
  • At Detroit
  • Vs Tennessee
  • At Houston
  • At Kansas City
  • Vs Houston

Not that easy. Yet, keep in mind Houston could be resting starters in those two games, particularly in the week 17 game. The hope here is that Indy is a young team who hasn’t played particularly well on the road.

The Jets currently don’t have the tie-breaker with Pittsburgh but it isn’t inconceivable that they could get it. They are currently 3-4 in the AFC and Pittsburgh is 3-3. If the Jets win 6 of their last 7 (!) and Pittsburgh finishes 3-4, they’d likely have the tie-breaker. Here are the Steelers final 7 games –

  • Vs Baltimore
  • At Cleveland
  • At Baltimore
  • Vs San Diego
  • At Dallas
  • Vs Cincinnati
  • Vs Cleveland

This schedule really isn’t that bad on paper but with Leftwich under center who knows?

Finally, the mighty Patriots who are ready to roll to another AFC East crown. Obviously the Jets need to beat them head to head and beat Buffalo at the end of the season, along with hope New England loses another division game and then a few more conference games…basically this ain’t happening unless something screwy goes on in Foxboro. Here are their final 7 –

  • Vs Indy
  • At Jets
  • At Miami
  • Vs Houston
  • Vs San Francisco
  • At Jacksonville
  • Vs Miami

In the real world, you are probably looking at a 5-2 type finish for the Patriots that gets them to 11-5. It actually isn’t that crazy to think either the Steelers or Colts will finish 9-7, what is crazy is to think the Jets could win 6 of their last 7 with the way they are playing right now.

New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream – Week 10 Viewing Guide

The New York Jets playoff pipe dream viewing guide for week 10

The Turn On The Jets playoff pipe dream guide is back for another week. We saw a little positive progress last week as the Jets actually moved from 12th to 10th in the AFC. The beauty of inactivity! Before we get into it, we have a few more tid-bits from a former NFL personnel executive who still works in the league – 

On Mike Tannenbaum’s job security – “The GM has the owner convinced that he isn’t at fault. He will play the Revis and Holmes injury card and plus he can play the Blame Rex game. He is brilliant at that.” (Translation – as we have been saying all along, Tannenbaum isn’t going anywhere next year).

On Tim Tebow – “He commands zero value on the market. It will not be easy at all to find a team to take him off the Jets hands this off-season…including Jacksonville.”

The Current Standings

  1. Houston (7-1)
  2. Baltimore (6-2)
  3. New England (5-3)
  4. Denver (5-3)
  5. Indianapolis (5-3)
  6. Pittsburgh (5-3)
  7. San Diego (4-4)
  8. Miami (4-4)
  9. Oakland (3-5)
  10. Jets (3-5)
  11. Buffalo (3-5)
  12. Cincy (3-5)
  13. Tennessee (3-6)
  14. Cleveland (2-7)
  15. Jacksonville (1-7)
  16. Kansas City (1-7)

Week 10 Viewing Guide

Indianapolis (5-3) at Jacksonville (1-7) – Who is ready to root for Blaine Gabbert tonight? A few reasons for optimism on the upset: Jacksonville’s only win this season was against the Colts, these Thursday night games are always a little screwy and the Colts are much better at home than on the road. Have I convinced you yet?

NY Giants (6-3) at Cincinnati (3-5) – Thanks for the help last week against Pittsburgh Eli. You picked a great time to tank in the fourth quarter. The Giants can’t lose this game, can they?

Tennessee (3-6) at Miami (4-4) – Jake Locker is back in the starting line-up and we are ready to root for him. This would be a pretty crippling loss for the Dolphins with New England still on the schedule twice and a trip to San Francisco on the way.

Buffalo (3-5) at New England (5-3) – The AFC East race would be tightened with a Bills win. The Bills season would be over with a loss. Sort of a win-win. I can’t see Buffalo winning this game or even keeping it close for that matter.

San Diego (3-5) at Tampa Bay (4-4) – Go Muscle Hamster! It is hard not to like the Bucs here. Let the Chargers implosion start as soon as possible.

Oakland (3-5) at Baltimore (6-2) – Somewhat similar situation to the Buffalo/New England game. A Baltimore loss tightens the AFC and could lead to a late season slide for them. A loss for Oakland could basically eliminate them.

Houston (7-1) at Chicago (7-1) – Why would a Bears win be important? You don’t want Houston pulling away and resting starters in their late season games against the Colts, which the Jets will need them to lose.

Thursday Night TOJ Picks

  • Joe – Jax (+3)
  • Mike – Jax (+3)
  • Chris C – Ind (-3)
  • Rob – Ind (-3)
  • Chris G – Ind (-3)

The New York Jets Playoff Pipe Dream Returns – Week 9 Viewing Guide

The New York Jets playoff pipe dream returns…working to keep your faint hopes alive for postseason football

Back in 2009 when Turn On The Jets was still a member of the Fanball Sports Network, we ran a weekly series of articles over the second half of the season as the New York Jets made an improbable run to the playoffs. If you remember, the Jets dropped to 4-6 that season but due to the general mediocrity of the conference, they were able to rally back against a soft schedule and make the playoffs at 9-7. Every bit as unlikely it seems that the Jets will make the playoffs this season, it was even more unlikely in 2009 when they dropped to 4-6 after getting smacked by the New England Patriots. Maybe we are being superstitious. Maybe we are just bored. Regardless, here is the starting point for the Jets playoff pipe dream –

The Current Standings

  1. Houston (6-1)
  2. Baltimore (5-2)
  3. New England (5-3)
  4. Denver (4-3)
  5. Miami (4-3)
  6. Indy (4-3)
  7. Pittsburgh (4-3)
  8. San Diego (3-4)
  9. Oakland (3-4)
  10. Buffalo (3-4)
  11. Cincy (3-4)
  12. Jets (3-5)
  13. Tennessee (3-5)
  14. Cleveland (2-6)
  15. Jacksonville (1-6)
  16. Kansas City (1-6)

Second Half Schedule

Realistically, the Jets need to go 6-2 over the second half of their season to have hopes of stealing a wild-card. Here is one man’s opinion of the order of difficulty of their remaining games –

  1. At Seattle – Considering their pass rush and their homefield advantage. This isn’t a great match-up for the Jets to say the least.
  2. Vs New England – Most would probably put New England higher than Seattle. I disagree. The Jets will have confidence from their early season match-up and New England still has their issues on defense.
  3. At St. Louis – A tough place to play. A tough defense and an offense led by Brian Schottenheimer that will empty out the entire playbook.
  4. At Tennessee – Not an easy place to play and they have weapons on offense.
  5. At Buffalo – The Jets have had Buffalo’s number under Rex Ryan, regardless of where the game is.
  6. Vs San Diego – The bottom is falling out on their season and the Jets have had their number. Never mind getting them at home in December.
  7. Vs Arizona – In the middle of a 4 game losing streak that could be much longer by this match-up. Another warm weather team coming to MetLife in December.
  8. At Jacksonville – TEEEE-BOWWWW

As you can see, we are going to find out right out of the gate if the Jets are going to compete the second half of the season or not. Their three hardest games are their first three games. They need to find a way to take 2 of those 3, which leaves them at 5-6 needing to go 4-1 against Arizona,  Jacksonville, Tennessee, San Diego, Buffalo…not the craziest of thoughts. Right? Right?!

Week 9 Viewing Guide

Kansas City (1-6) at San Diego (3-4) – Root for the Chiefs. A loss here puts San Diego’s season in complete chaos and means they probably aren’t playing for anything in the December match-up against the Jets.

Denver (4-3) at Cincinnati (3-4) – Root for Denver, who is going to win the AFC West and could hurt a AFC wild-card contender.

Baltimore (5-2) at Cleveland (2-6) – Root for Cleveland. Keep the AFC bunched together.

Chicago (6-1) at Tennessee (3-5) – Root for Chicago. Always go NFC.

Miami (4-3) at Indianapolis (4-3) – Root for the Colts. The Jets have a tie-breaker with them and who wants to see Miami win?

Buffalo (3-4) at Houston (6-1) – Root for the Texans. Knock Buffalo a little further out of contention.

Tampa (3-4) at Oakland (3-4) – Root for the Bucs. Always go NFC.

Pittsburgh (4-3) at Giants (6-2) – G-MENNN.

Keep the pipe dream alive!

TOJ Thursday Night Picks

  • Joe – Chiefs (+7.5)
  • Chris C – Chiefs (+7.5)
  • Rob – Chargers (-7.5)
  • Mike – Chargers (-7.5)
  • Chris G – Chiefs (+7.5)

 

Closer Look At Jets Longshot Hope For Playoffs

A closer look at the Jets week 17 pipe dream of making the playoffs

Don’t lie to yourself and say you aren’t doing the following – looking at the Jets current scenario, looking at the AFC playoff field and talking yourself into them getting in, knocking off Houston in the first round, and then repeating what they did last season to New England. Just so you know, you are a crazy person, but hey you are in the company of one on this site right now:

First off, the Jets need to beat the Dolphins, a tall task considering how well Miami has been playing and how generally awful the Jets have looked the past two weeks. They play at 1 PM.

Second, also at 1 PM Houston hosts Tennessee. The early word is that Houston will play their starters and treat this game like any other despite it being meaningless for them, which is obviously good news for the Jets. It makes sense for them to want to avoid heading into the playoffs on a 3 game losing streak and to keep a division rival out of the playoffs. Yet, considering the Texans have just lost to the Panthers and Colts, who knows if they can even beat Tennessee if they try to?

If the 1 PM games end and the Jets are still alive, you should be feeling pretty good. You have to expect Baltimore to beat Cincinnati to avoid losing out on a bye. Then they need either Oakland to lose to San Diego or Denver to lose to Kansas City. The AFC West has been a complete toss-up all season and either of those games could go either way.

Here is how I rank the likelihood of the different games breaking the Jets way on Sunday, with the 1st being the most likely —

1. Baltimore beats Cincinnati

2. San Diego beats Oakland

3. Kansas City beats Denver (Did you watch Denver lose by 26 to Buffalo last week? Yikes).

4. Jets beat Miami

5. Houston beats Tennessee