Turn On The Jets Week 1 Roundtable: Jets/Bills Prediction

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Bills

The TOJ Staff gives their predictions for the New York Jets regular season opener against the Buffalo Bills. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 19 Bills 10 – Don’t expect this game to be very pretty in terms of offensive fire power. Each of these teams are built on defense and running the ball. The Jets play their first real game in the brand new offensive system of Tony Sparano, while Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bills take on a New York defense that seems poised to rank in the top three in the league. The Jets offense will struggle to score touchdowns until it fully gels within the new system, but stellar defensive and special teams play will allow them to win the field position battle and accumulate points through field goals, with a touchdown sprinkled in. Expect either a “TebowCat” TD run from inside the ten, or a play action pass from Sanchez to Keller.

Mike Donnelly – Ahh, the Buffalo Bills. There’s not a team I’d rather see the Jets opening against. After months and months of hearing about how wonderful Buffalo is going to be this year on both sides of the ball, while the Jets are expected to show up in their clown car and just throw in the towel, we get to see both teams actually prove it on the field. WIth or without Sione Po’uha, the Jets defense is going to smother the Bills. You know damn well Rex Ryan has a few special wrinkles saved up for Chan Gailey this week, and I don’t expect Ryan Fitzpatrick to be able to handle them. The Jets offense is NOT as bad as they’ve shown this preseason, and now that the games count you better believe they’re going to open up the playbook and actually, you know, score a touchdown. They’ll do just enough on offense and unleash the hounds on poor Fitzpatrick on defense as the game slowly turns into a rout, something like 27-10. Oh, and expect this guy who wears #24 for the Jets to put all the “Stevie Johnson owns Revis” garbage to rest, once and for all. My official prediction? I’ll let Clubber Lang handle this one –

TJ Rosenthal – Jets win 23-17 if: The Front four remains as physical and quick off the bell as they were against Carolina weeks back. This will allow the  Jets to make the Bills duo of Jackson and Spiller unable to dictate terms. Sanchez will be efficient in this scenario while finding a way to make the big strike at some point. Tebow will move the chains and bring energy to Met Life with a few scintillating runs. Jets lose 27-13 if: The offense looks the way it did all preseason, tiring out a Jets D that had good intentions, but couldn’t rest properly. Eventually caving in after halftime.

Chris Celletti – This game is going to be absolutely excruciating for Jets fans. Not because I think they’ll lose, as you’ll see, but it’s not going to be pretty at all. I still don’t have a ton of confidence in this Jets’ offense. I expect Mark Sanchez to make some really nice throws, hit a few intermediate plays and try some deep throws, but I don’t expect a huge statistical output and I’d be shocked if he doesn’t throw a pick (and at what point that pick comes and the context of it is going to determine the circus factor in MetLife). Tim Tebow and the Wildcat will prove to be efficient, but since the Jets’ offensive line struggled in the preseason on standard running plays, I don’t see them opening up huge holes for Tebow to make a big play. I think both offenses will struggle, especially the Bills as I think the Jets’ D has a big day. The Jets do find a way to score a few touchdowns in a defense/field position battle, and the panic button goes away for at least a week. Jets 20, Bills 16

Rob Celletti– It’s not surprising that of the 16 games on the NFL Week 1 slate, Jets/Bills has the lowest over/under number (39, half a point lower than what promises to be an unwatchable clash between Minnesota and Jacksonville), and still, I’d take the under. It’s not going to be pretty, folks.  The Jets will run the ball, and they’ll punt.  Sanchez will take some sacks, and they’ll punt.  But the defense will not only hold, but dominate, and the Jets offense will find a rhythm at some point.  Look for the offense to score points when they start with a short field, via turnovers or an explosive special teams play.  Mark Sanchez will get this team into the endzone twice, and the Jets will win the game 20-13.  The statistics won’t be pretty, but 1-0 will be

Turn On The Jets Week 1 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff submits their picks for week 1 of the NFL…the race for steak begins

The Turn On The Jets staff will be submitting their picks against the spread on a weekly basis. We will be tracking our weekly records so you know where to turn for your gambling advice. At the end of the season our staff will be gathering for a meal at Peter Lugers in Brooklyn, with the overall winner receiving a free meal. Let the race for steak begin! #RaceForSteak –

Joe Caporoso

Season Record: 0-1

  • Bears (-10) over Colts
  • Eagles (-9.5) over Browns
  • Jets (-3) over Bills
  • Saints (-8.5) over Redskins
  • Patriots (-5) over Titans
  • Jaguars (+3.5) over Vikings
  • Texans (-11.5) over Dolphins
  • Lions (-8.5) over Rams
  • Falcons (-3) over Chiefs
  • Packers (-5) over 49ers
  • Panthers (-3) over Bucs
  • Seahawks (-3) over Cardinals
  • Steelers (+1.5) over Broncos
  • Bengals (+6.5) over Ravens
  • Raiders (-1.5) over Chargers

Rob Celletti

Season Record: 1-0

  • Colts (+10) over Bears
  • Eagles (-9.5) over Browns
  • Jets (-3) over Bills
  • Saints (-8.5) over Redskins
  • Patriots (-5) over Titans
  • Vikings (-3.5) over Jaguars
  • Texans (-11.5) over Dolphins
  • Lions (-8.5) over Rams
  • Chiefs (+3) over Falcons
  • Packers (-5) over 49ers
  • Panthers (-3) over Buccaneers
  • Cardinals (+3) over Seahawks
  • Steelers (+1.5) over Broncos
  • Bengals (+6.5) over Ravens
  • Chargers (+1.5) over Raiders
Season Record: 0-1
  • Colts (+9.5)
  • Eagles (-9.5)
  • Jets (-3)
  • Saints (-8)
  • Patriots (-5.5)
  • Jaguars (+3.5)
  • Houston (-11.5)
  • Lions (-8)
  • Chiefs (+3)
  • 49ers (+5)
  • Panthers (-3)
  • Seahawks (-3)
  • Steelers (+1.5)
  • Ravens (-6.5)
  • Chargers (+1.5)

Season Record: 0-1

  • Chicago (-10) vs. Indianapolis
  • Philadelphia (-9.5) at Cleveland
  • Jets (-3) vs.Buffalo
  • New Orleans (-8.5) vs. Washington
  • New England (-5) at Tennessee
  • Jacksonville (+3.5) at Minnesota
  • Miami (+11.5) at Houston
  • Detroit (-8.5) vs. St. Louis
  • Kansas City (+3) vs. Atlanta
  • 49ers (+5) at Green Bay
  • Tampa Bay (+3) vs. Carolina
  • Seattle (-3) vs. Arizona
  • Pittsburgh (+1.5) at Denver
  • Cincinnati (+6.5) at Baltimore
  • San Diego (+1.5) at Oakland

Mike Donnelly 

Season Record: 0-1

  • Colts +10
  • Browns +9.5
  • Jets -3
  • Saints -8.5
  • Titans +4
  • Minnesota -3.5
  • Houston -11.5
  • St. Louis +8.5
  • KC +3
  • Packers -5
  • Bucs +3
  • Cards +3
  • Broncos -1.5
  • Ravens -6.5
  • Raiders -1.5

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 1 – Jets vs. Bills

A 12 pack of predictions for the Jets/Bills week 1 match-up

The 2012 NFL season is off to a beautiful start. Yes, the Giants beat the Jets last year and won the Super Bowl. Did that prevent you from enjoying David Wilson and Mathias Kiwanuka’s tears or the disappointed faces of the bandwagon Giants fans who just bought their jersey the day before in the bar on Wednesday? Of course not. Week 1 is here and with that comes 12 likely inaccurate predictions about the Jets first game, against the Fredo of the AFC East, the Buffalo Bills.

1. Stevie Johnson will have under 50 yards receiving and not score a touchdown. You think Darrelle Revis isn’t keyed up for this game after hearing all week how Johnson is the only receiver who has figured out how to beat him? Look for Revis to get after Johnson at the line of scrimmage and to be in his ear all game. I wouldn’t be surprised if he baited him into a personal foul at some point.

2. Shonn Greene will be the game’s leading rusher. The Jets have had Fred Jackson’s number over the past few years and it doesn’t look like many players will be running successfully on them throughout 2012. Greene should be good for 20+ carries and somewhere between 80 and 95 yards.

3. Let’s get this out of the way – Tebow: 6 carries, 34 yards, 1 rushing touchdown, 0/1 passing. After the rushing touchdown I expect to see a ray of light shining down on the swamps of North Jersey and the local sewage to smell of sweet roses.

4. Mark Sanchez – An efficient, productive game that won’t light up the stat sheet. Get used to them. 16/22, 195 yards, 1 touchdown, no turnovers.

5. CJ Spiller is the player on the Buffalo offense who is going to do the most damage, particularly catching passes out of the backfield. Look for him to rip off at least one big play that leads directly to points.

6. The Jets defense will sack Ryan Fitzpatrick three times and force a pair of turnovers, including one that results in a Jets score.

7. Mario Williams will have a sack in his debut for the Bills. However, Austin Howard will do a decent enough job to prevent him or Mark Anderson from taking the game over.

8. Stephen Hill will have 3 catches for 55 yards in his rookie debut.

9. Santonio Holmes will lead the Jets in catches and yards.

10. Dustin Keller will have a quiet game as he battles a hamstring injury. Jeff Cumberland will struggle with extended reps.

11.Bilal Powell will have less than 25 total offensive yards.

12. The Jets are going to win an ugly, defensive dominated 20-10 game. They won’t put it away until the 4th quarter behind their rushing attack and defense, which force a key late turnover.

Turn On The Jets Week 1 Fantasy Football Preview

Mike Donnelly previews week 1 from a fantasy football perpsective

Week One of the NFL is here and with that comes Fantasy Football (YESSS!!!). I’m sure most –if not all– of you are in at least one fantasy league and are starting to get excited about your week 1 matchup, praying for a win so you get to talk an endless amount of trash for a whole week about your glorious victory. There’s also a good chance you’ve spent a few hours this week staring at your computer screen and agonizing over which player you want to start at your flex spot, or which of your two QB’s is a better start. Well for those people, I’m here to help. I’m not going to waste our time by telling you to start Aaron Rodgers or Calvin Johnson, because if you need that, you should go find the nearest toilet and flush your league entrance fee straight down it.

Oh, and if you’re in a league playing against me and looking for some advice, I suggest you all go read Evan Silva’s rankings. I could use a few easy wins. Thanks! Alright, let’s get on with the show.

Things are Looking Up For You If You’ve Got…

QB: Matt Ryan @ KC – I’ve seen Ryan consistently ranked in the top 7 or 8 for week 1, so you should be starting him no matter what. But I think there’s a good chance he finishes this week in the top 4 or 5 as Atlanta unveils their new pass-happy, up-tempo offense against a KC defense that is pretty stout against the run.

QB: Robert Griffin III @ NO – I’d rather start RG3 over guys like Matt Schaub, Big Ben, or Jay Cutler this week. It’s not because I fawn over him as a player like everyone else or think he’ll beat the Saints, though. It’s strictly because the Saints are going to score a ton and there’s a great chance RG3 will rack up some late meaningless stats, which are the best kind!

QB: Jake Locker vs. NE – Locker is one of my sleepers for this season and I expect big things from him as a #2 fantasy QB and bye week fill-in. I’m not placing him here to toot my own horn or anything like that, but strictly because of the Patriots high school calibre defense. If you’re in a deep league, you can do much worse than Jake.

RB: Shonn Greene vs. Buff – I love Shonn Greene this year, as you’ve seen me state numerous times now, and he’s gonna kick off a solid season by shredding Buffalo’s still bad defense.

RB: Doug Martin vs. Car – Martin is the clear centerpiece of new coach Greg Schiano’s offense. Look for him to get the ball early and often against a pretty awful Panthers run D.

RB: Stevan Ridley @ Tenn – Another one of my favorites heading into this season is Stevan Ridley. To me, he’s just a far more talented version of Green-Ellis and I think 1,000 yards and 10 TD’s is a good possibility. This week, Shane Vereen is out and if the Pats get ahead, look for Belichick to test out his new bellcow.

WR: Brandon Marshall vs Ind – To be clear, you should never bench Brandon Marshall. But look for him to perform as a top 5 WR this week against an Indy defense that is still a work in progress.

WR: Percy Harvin vs. Jax – Am I listing Marshall and Harvin because I have them both in my main money league? Yes. But Harvin was a monster the last 8 weeks of last season and with Adrian Peterson still hurt, Harvin is the main man for Minnesota.

WR: Antonio Brown @ Denv – I love Antonio Brown this year. Mike Wallace is very boom or bust and likely to be squaring off with Champ Bailey, while Brown is going to be the one consistently racking up catches.

WR: Justin Blackmon @ Minn – I think Justin Blackmon is going to be really great. Look for him to announce his arrival against a porous Vikings secondary, even though Blaine Gabbert will be throwing to him.

TE: Aaron Hernandez @ Tenn – I think there’s a good chance Hernandez will lead the Pats in receiving yards this season. Look for him to routinely make big plays down the middle of the field this week as the Titans key on Welker, Gronk, and Lloyd.

TE: Dustin Keller vs. Buff – Dustin Keller kills the Bills. Plain and simple. I refuse to believe the Bills D is all of a sudden this great unit. It’s not.

DEF: NY Jets vs. Buff – Rex Ryan vs. Chan Gailey. Yep.

DEF: Houston Texans vs. Miami – Anybody against the Dolphins is a solid start this year.

Be Prepared For Trash Talk If You’re Starting…

QB: Joe Flacco vs. Cin – I just don’t buy all the new “high-powered Ravens offense” talk, and I don’t believe in Joe Flacco. And I certainly don’t this week against a very solid Bengals defense.

QB: Matt Schaub vs. Miami – Miami has an awful team from top to bottom, and the Texans will smack them around, but look for Houston to keep it close to the vest, run the ball a ton, and not rack up a lot of passing numbers.

RB: Marshawn Lynch @ Arz – I’m down on Lynch overall this year, but especially this week. He’s already got minor injuries nagging him and the Cards surprisingly have a pretty solid defense. Don’t be surprised if Robert Turbin ends up with more carries this week.

RB: Michael Turner @ KC – Oh yeah, that whole pass-happy Atlanta offense thing? Michael Turner doesn’t fit in so well. And KC has a pretty tough defense.

RB: Maurice Jones Drew @ Minn & RB: Adrian Peterson vs. Jax – I’m lumping these two together since they’re playing on the same field and are pretty much in the same situation. MJD can’t be trusted because he held out of camp for 6 weeks to… well, he really didn’t get anything out of it, actually. And Peterson still hasn’t been allowed to take hits below the waist in Vikings practices. I’m no expert like Evan Silva or anything, but that doesn’t seem to me like he’s ready to really contribute in a meaningful way this weekend. I’d bench both of these guys.

WR: Stevie Johnson @ NYJ – Two words: Darrelle. Revis. Make that a very pissed off Darrelle Revis, actually, after he’s had to hear all offseason how Johnson owns him.

WR: Roddy White @ KC – Yes, you should absolutely start Roddy White if you have him on your team. But no, you should not expect top 5 or even top 10 level production from him this week. Julio Jones is now “the man” in Atlanta.

WR: Mike Wallace @ Den – I touched on this before, but he’s likely to get a whole lot of Champ Bailey this week, and after this prolonged holdout, I don’t think it’s going to be a very good night for Wallace.

TE: Jermaine Gresham @ Balt – Gresham has a really good chance to have a nice season for Cincinnati, but that’s much more likely to begin in week 2 after he heals up and doesn’t have to face the Ravens defense.

TE: Vernon Davis @ GB – All of the 49ers are going to have a rough go of it this week in Green Bay. The Packers and Dom Capers are smart enough to know that even with all the WR additions in San Fran, Davis is still the man to key on.

DEF: SF 49ers @ GB – The 49ers will still have an excellent defense this year and will rack up a ton of fantasy points. It just won’t be this week.

New York Jets Fact Or False: Week 1 Edition

Chris Gross Fact or False previews the Jets/Bills week 1 match-up

With the 2012 NFL season finally just a couple of days away, Turn On The Jets brings you the very first regular season edition of New York Jets Fact Or False. For the duration of the season, each week’s F or F will be previewing the upcoming Jets game for each particular week. During the bye week, we will have another edition of the ever so popular “Tweeter’s Choice,” where readers can send in topics for analysis via twitter. For now, let’s look at some keys to the game for this Sunday’s season opener against the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium.

Fred Jackson will surpass 100 yards rushing. False.

While Fred Jackson is certainly a very effective running back, who seems to be aging like a fine wine, he has never surpassed 100 yards rushing against the Jets over his entire career. Jackson is coming off of a season ending leg injury from 2011, and being on the wrong side of 30 is a cause for serious concern for one of Buffalo’s most highly touted offensive weapons. Still, Jackson will likely turn out a productive season. That being said, don’t expect him to light up the stat sheet this Sunday.

Jackson’s career rushing high against New York came in their most recent meeting last season, a game in which he amassed just 82 yards on the ground. With the way the Jets’ defense has looked this preseason, particularly against the run, don’t expect Jackson to do much better than that. The Jets have added some youth and speed to their front seven to couple with veterans like Calvin Pace, Bart Scott, and David Harris. This defense should be fun to watch this season, and it will start by shutting Jackson down this Sunday.

Darrelle Revis will keep Stevie Johnson in check. Fact. 

We all expected the hype surrounding this issue coming into this game. The Bills and their fan base like to believe that Stevie Johnson is the only wide receiver in the league to have success against Darrelle Revis. Comparatively speaking, they surely propose a fair argument. In their last match up, Johnson caught 8 balls for 75 yards and a touchdown, numbers that are certainly more respectable than those of his counterparts around the league when facing New York’s All-Pro cornerback. However, following this matchup,the claim has been made that Johnson actually has Revis’s number. Unlike the prior argument, this holds no water.

Throughout his career, Johnson has faced Revis in six games. Over the course of those games, he has amassed 22 catches for 283 yards and 3 touchdowns, averaging out to about 3.7 receptions for 37 yards and .5 touchdowns per game. Considering the fact that Johnson is Buffalo’s number one receiving option, and one of their best offensive playmakers, these numbers do not quite scream domination. You can bet your last dollar that Darrelle Revis has been listening to all of the hype from the fanbase and media alike about Johnson’s success against him, which will likely cause him to take this matchup more personal than any other. Expect Revis Island to be at high tide this Sunday.

The outcome of this game will come down to whichever Quarterback makes the least mistakes. Fact.

The Jets and Bills are both built somewhat similar. Each team relies heavily on their defense and rushing attack to stay competitive in games, hoping that their respective quarterbacks can take that next step to propel them toward permanent contender status. This game will surely provide plenty of quality defense and could remain close for the greater part of 60 minutes.

Mark Sanchez and Ryan Fitzpatrick have each shown signs of quality quarterback play in the past, but each have struggled heavily at times as well, both becoming scapegoats for holding their teams back at some point in their careers. When speaking of each of these teams, the consesus for predicting their success seems to be the same – if the quarterback position can provide consistent, quality play, the team can do great things. That notion could not be more on point for this Sunday. While there will surely be plenty of plays made on the defensive side of the ball, as well as in the running game for each team, the quarterbacks will likely determine the outcome. Who is going to make the plays when they count the most? Who will choke under pressure and cost their team a victory with a vital mistake?

Mark Sanchez will be sacked less than 3 times. False. 

While Sanchez should certainly have better protection now that Wayne Hunter is off of the team and in St. Louis, Austin Howard is making his first career start against one of the most prolific pass rushers in all of football in Mario Williams. Williams inked a record setting deal with Buffalo this offseason, and one would think that he is going to be playing to prove his worth after Houston allowed him to depart as a free agent this spring. Combine that with the rest of Buffalo’s very talented defensive line, and Howard and Co. should have a very busy day this Sunday. Again, the line does look improved with Howard replacing Hunter, however Sanchez was sacked 4 times in the season opener last year, so if New York can limit Buffalo to 3, it is still an improvement.

Mark Sanchez will complete more than 58% of his passes. Fact.

One thing that Sanchez has shown this preseason, particularly in the Carolina game, is a much better command of the offense. In fact, over the course of the entire preseason, he posted a completion percentage of 68.6. While the offense may not be built for Sanchez to put up monstrous numbers, there is no reason for him to be inefficient. Ball security and efficiency are going to be key to the success of the offense this year, and Sanchez, now heading into his fourth professional season, needs to demonstrate each of these components. Considering Buffalo’s young secondary, Sanchez should be able to complete more than half of his passes this Sunday, if he is provided adequate blocking. If the offensive line struggles to protect him, however, all bets are off.

The “TebowCat” will be used on at least one scoring drive. Fact.

Everyone has been eagerly waiting to see what the Jets have planned, offensively, for Tim Tebow. The “TebowCat,” as this package is now being referred to as, will likely make its debut at MetLife Stadium this Sunday, and for good reason. As previously discussed, Buffalo has a very good, ferocious defensive line, that will likely play very aggressively. New York can slow that unit down by rolling out the Tebow-led package and running some draws and misdirections to keep Mario Williams and Co. on their toes. Expect this formation to be used on at least one scoring drive this weak, particularly inside the 20.

New York Jets: Separating The Reality From The Hype

Separating the reality from the hype when it comes to the New York Jets

The general view of the 2012 New York Jets is the following – an overhyped team who went down in flames last year and is about to completely fall off the tracks, leaving both Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez unemployed. The circus characterization has been beaten to death by an unoriginal New York media who has spent the last 6 months making a mountain out of every mole hill possible. NFL “media experts” have piled on, pegging the Jets as a 5-7 win team that is more headlines than substance, even when they are the ones giving them the headlines they complain about.

Seriously, is there any thing more tone deaf that ESPN running a segment about how the Giants have flown under the radar because of excessive Jets coverage when ESPN ran the idiot brigade out there all August?

The public fellatio handed to coaches like the Harbaugh brothers isn’t extended to Rex Ryan because he isn’t an information hoarding Bill Belichick clone. He is loud, obnoxious and not afraid to open up in press conferences. His public personality has prevented him receiving the respect he deserves. The hot seat? Because of a 8 win season after back to back AFC Championship Games in his first two years? Give me a break.

Jim Harbaugh lost in a Conference Championship in his first year, exactly what Rex Ryan did, only Rex had to break in a rookie quarterback. Rex then followed up by beating Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Belichick in his own building in the playoffs in his second season. Let’s see how Harbaugh follows up in year two, when he has already been crowed as Lombardi 2.0. John Harbaugh has the same thing to show as Rex Ryan so far in his coaching career, two Conference Championship losses. They get the benefit of the doubt and lofty places in polls like this where Rex isn’t even mentioned. Comically, somebody would rather start their team with Greg Schiano than Rex Ryan, only problem is the biggest game Schiano ever won is the Insight.com Bowl.

Perception is the Jets went 3-13 last year. Reality is they went 8-8, one game worse than the eventual Super Bowl champions and 2 games better than the “upstart” Buffalo Bills who have been unanimously picked to finish ahead of them in the standings this year.

Perception is Mark Sanchez is the 32nd best quarterback in the NFL. Reality is the racked up 32 total touchdowns last year and has won 4 playoff games in his first 3 years. Could you imagine the fawning over Josh Freeman for those type of accomplishments? Yet, Freeman remains the “experts” choice for the big year in 2012. Other young quarterbacks require time to develop and every success is praised endlessly, the same benefit doesn’t fall to Sanchez who only receives armchair psychoanalysis.

The decision to bring in Tim Tebow reeked of headline grabbing. However, would a similar move by Baltimore, Houston or Buffalo inspire such criticism? The move isn’t an abject failure until Tebow is throwing more than 5 passes in a single game. If he comes out and runs 8 times for 45 yards week 1 as the Jets win, is it a stupid decision then?

Clown car? Here are the teams who have won less total games than the 32 the Jets have won the past three seasons (including regular season and playoffs) – Buffalo, Miami, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Tennessee, Oakland, Kansas City, Denver, San Diego, Philadelphia, Dallas, Washington, New York Giants (yes they have a Super Bowl though), Minnesota, Detroit, Chicago, Carolina, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Seattle, St. Louis, and Arizona. Atlanta has won 32 as well but with zero playoff wins.

So that leaves New England, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New Orleans and Green Bay as the only teams who have been more successful than the Jets the past three years and we will throw in the Giants for their Super Bowl victory. Are the Jets ever mentioned in the same breath as these franchises for their success the past few years? Of course not. Save the clown cars for Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Minnesota and the other awful organizations, not the team who goes 8-8 and has it considered a colossal failure.

Turn On The Jets 2012 NFL Season Staff Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff submits their predictions for the 2012 NFL Season

The Turn On The Jets Staff has looked into their crystal ball to give you their predictions for the 2012 NFL season. Make sure you are following everybody and check back later today for our roundtable on what match-up we are most looking forward to in the Jets/Bills game this Sunday. 

Throughout the year we will also be submitting our weekly NFL picks on Saturday mornings –

Joe Caporoso

Division Winners

New England, Baltimore, Houston, Oakland, Philadelphia, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Tennessee, Giants, Chicago

Jets Record

9-7

Award Winners

OPOY – Tom Brady

DPOY – Darrelle Revis

OROY – Andrew Luck

DROY – Melvin Ingram

MVP – Drew Brees

Chris Gross

Division Winners

New England, Baltimore, Houston, Denver, Philadelphia, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Kansas City, Chicago, Giants

Jets Record

10-6

Award Winners

OPOY – LeSean McCoy

DPOY – Jason Pierre-Paul

OROY – Andrew Luck

DROY – Dont’a Hightower

MVP – Aaron Rodgers

Mike Donnelly

Division Winners

New England, Baltimore, Tennessee, Denver, Giants, Green Bay, Atlanta, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Houston, Chicago, Philadelphia

Jets Record

11-5

Award Winners

OPOY – Matthew Stafford

DPOY – Darrelle Revis

OROY – Andrew Luck

DROY – Luke Kuechly

MVP – Tom Brady

TJ Rosenthal

Division Winners

New England, Baltimore, Houston, Kansas City, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Pittsburgh, Giants, Detroit

Jets Record

10-6

Award Winners

OPOY – LeSean McCoy

DPOY – Jason Pierre-Paul

OROY – Andrew Luck/David Wilson

DROY – Melvin Ingram

Chris Celletti

Division Winners

New England, Pittsburgh, Houston, Denver, Giants, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Chicago

Jets Record

9-7

Award Winners

OPOY – Tom Brady

DPOY – Jason Pierre-Paul

OROY – Trent Richardson

DROY – Courtney Upshaw

MVP – Tom Brady

Rob Celletti

Division Winners

New England, Pittsburgh, Houston, Denver, Philadelphia, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco

Wild Card

Jets, Baltimore, Dallas, Giants

Jets Final Record

10-6

Awards

OPOY – Aaron Rodgers

DPOY – Darrelle Revis

OROY – Andrew Luck

DROY – Melvin Ingram

MVP – Drew Brees

Turn On The Jets Stock Watch – Regular Season Preview Edition

Mike Donnelly’s Stock Watch previews the New York Jets 2012 regular season

After months of back and forth debating that in many cases turned into all-out fighting and arguing about the Jets, the season is finally here. I know if you watch ESPN, NFL Network, or whatever other stations full of “experts” there are out there, you’ll get the impression the Jets have no chance to compete this year, but I’m a much more optimistic lad. Call me crazy, but I’m downright giddy about the Jets chances this year and I think their offensive woes have been blown way out of proportion. To prove that point, I’m going to be dedicating this week’s stock watch to buying and selling made-up statistical props for the Jets players in 2012. Let’s start with the quarterback who will be leading the Jets this year and prove all the doubters wrong..

BUY: TIM TEBOW

Just kidding..

BUY: Mark Sanchez over 60% completions – With Brian Schottenheimer and his baffling offensive system out of town, look for Mark to thrive under Tony Sprarano. He won’t put up eye-popping statistics, but you can bet his completion percentage will improve a great deal as the team runs the ball with more consistency and actually works off that with some play-actions which were mysteriously absent from Schotty’s playbook.

BUY: Mark Sanchez under 15 interceptions – With a less-confusing offense that better suits his skills, Mark’s interception total is going to go down to around the 12-13 area instead of the 18 he threw last year. Unfortunately, I don’t see him approaching the 26 touchdowns through the air from a year ago this season either, though.

BUY: Shonn Greene over 1500 yards from scrimmage – Yes, Shonn Greene is going to eclipse 1,500 yards from scrimmage this year. Many Jets fans, including some on this very site, are extremely down on the former third round pick, but I am not one of them. I expect the offensive line to get their crap together and for Greene to really hit his stride on the ground this season as he’s fed the ball repeatedly. And I can’t stress this enough: Shonn Greene is entering his contract year. He’s going to bust his ass to put up numbers and get paid. This is a lock.

BUY: Santonio Holmes over 70 Catches and 10 TD’s – Well he had 8 TD’s and 51 catches last year and it can’t get much worse than the year he had, right? Look for the Jets to force the ball to Holmes early in the season to get him involved and keep him happy. Plus, he’s the only reliable receiver on the team, so throwing to him early and often makes a ton of sense.

SELL: Chaz Schilens over 10 catches – The way it’s looking now, I’d probably sell if the over was 0.5 catches. Ugh. Hope I’m wrong about this one.

SELL: Austin Howard over 4.5 starts at RT – Another one I hope I’m wrong about, because having Howard become a legit starting RT would be a major boon for the offense. Plus, it would cause Mike Tannenbaum to nearly collapse in joy at the thought of finding his own diamond in the rough to appease his “Next Victor Cruz” obsession. And that’s not to mention some Jets bloggers who shall remain nameless that have already made plans to attend Austin Howard’s Hall of Fame induction in the year 2034. That being said, I just don’t think Howard is going to last, and Jason Smith will be the man on the right side before long.

BUY: Coples and Wilkerson combined over 10.5 sacks – Considering these are both interior pass rushers, over 10 sacks combined might be a little bit of a lofty goal. BUT,these two guys are incredibly talented and athletic and are going to cause major havoc in opposing backfields. Even if they fall a little short of this number combined, they’ll be directly responsible for about a dozen other sacks that will fall into the laps of Calvin Pace and Aaron Maybin on the outside. Unfortunately this won’t stop plenty of yahoo Jets fans who will look at the sack numbers, not see double digits each and call both of them busts. Sigh.

SELL: Aaron Maybin over 10 sacks – I think Maybin will lead the team in sacks this year, but I don’t think he will crack double digits. Think 7-9 for him and that will be just fine when combined with our young studs on the line. Defenses are going to pay more attention to him this yearf, so cracking 10 could be tough.

SELL: Darrelle Revis over 0.5 TD’s allowed – Ok let’s see here. We’re witnessing perhaps the greatest defensive back of all time at the age of 27. He’s in his absolute athletic peak. He gave up one touchdown last year and people have dogged him about it since, saying Stevie Johnson now owns him. He’s playing for a new contract that will likely make him the highest paid non-quarterback in the history of the NFL. Umm, yeah I’m gonna go ahead and say we’re about to see some kind of historic season from Number 24. Oh, and Stevie Johnson, if you’re reading this (and why wouldn’t you be?) you’re screwed this week. SCREWED.

BUY: Nick Folk over 30 FG’s made this year – Folk has had an excellent off-season, beating out Josh Brown, and we all know how much Tony Sparano loves his field goals.

BUY: Jets over 8.5 wins this year – I’ve been over this time and time again (like in my AFC East Preview), but this is a lock. With that schedule and that defense, 9 wins should be an afterthought. I’m thinking 10 or 11 and a deep playoff run. I’m getting excited just thinking about this team’s potential.

So forget the haters. Forget Evan Silva and Mike Florio. The hell with Merrill Hoge and Gary Myers and Mike Francesa. Ignore the Tim Tebow disciples like Skip Bayless. This team has a real chance to give us a special season that we’ll remember for a long time. Let’s sit back and enjoy the ride.

Early Thoughts On Jets/Bills Week 1 Match-Up

Early thoughts on the New York Jets week 1 match-up against the Buffalo Bills

A collection of early thoughts on the New York Jets week 1 match-up against the Buffalo Bills, make sure you check back later in the day for Mike Donnelly’s Stock Watch. Also if you are planning to head out in NYC tomorrow for the NFL opener or Sunday for Jets/Bills, we have partnered with Night Out to hook you up with a discount at Traffic East in Midtown. 

1. It sounds like Sione Pouha is 50/50 to play this Sunday. Pouha is obviously one of the Jets top defenders and his presence would be missed. However, the team is well equipped to handle his absence this week for two main reasons. First off, because of Buffalo’s spread attack, the Jets will spend more time in their nickel and sub packages, which would equal less playing time for him anyway. Second, Kenrick Ellis has been terrific this pre-season and is a capable stop-gap for a week or two. It might be better to exercise caution with Pouha and make sure he is 100 percent for week 2 in Pittsburgh.

2. The Jets haven’t had this low of expectations since prior to the 2006 season, which is a good thing. In the past decade, they have performed better in seasons where the expectations weren’t high. Most “experts” are ignoring the reality of how strong the Jets defense will be and how soft their schedule is, particularly when it comes to playing inexperienced quarterbacks and quarterbacks Rex Ryan has had success against.

3. Speaking of quarterbacks Ryan has had success against, Ryan Fitzpatrick is 0-4 in his last 4 starts against Rex Ryan’s Jets with an average QB rating of 70.3.

4. A few more fun Buffalo stats against the Jets since Chan Gailey took over

  • 0-4 record
  • Average margin of defeat – 18.75 points
  • Average points per game – 14 points
5. An overhyped storyline coming into this week will be Stevie Johnson’s “success” against Darrelle Revis, stemming from the “monster” 8 catch, 75 yard, 1 touchdown game he had against him last year. Of course most people neglect Revis was supposed to have underneath help on Johnson’s touchdown and that 8 catches for 75 yards wasn’t enough for a win that day. I am sure everybody in the Jets building is hoping Buffalo comes after Revis early and often with Johnson.
6. If Buffalo was smart, they’d make CJ Spiller a large part of their game plan on Sunday, particularly in the passing game. The more you can force the Jets linebackers into coverage, the better chance you have to move the football on their defense. Buffalo lacks a tight end who can exploit the middle of the field so Spiller is their best bet to take advantage of the softest spot of the Jets defense.

7. The best way to neutralize Mario Williams and Mark Anderson is for the Jets to establish Shonn Greene early and often, and then work the play action passing game off him. It doesn’t matter how highly touted rookie Stephon Gilmore is, he is still a rookie. If the Jets can get Santonio Holmes on him 1 on 1, they have to go after him.

8. You hate to say week 1 games are must wins but look at the Jets schedule, look at what everybody has been saying about Buffalo this off-season…this is a must win. The Jets can burst the early bubble on the Buffalo hype train, build momentum heading into a tough week two game on the road, get a crucial division win and avoid the embarrassment of feeding into pundits by losing in their own building to the supposed “up and coming” AFC East team.

Turn On The Jets – Week 1 Giveaway Contest

Turn On The Jets is partnering with Gameday Goods to give away a free New York Jets mini helmet, sign up here!

We are happy to participate in this giveaway with Gameday Goods for New York Jets fans in week one, check out the details below –

Enter to win sweepstakes sponsored by Gamedaygoods.com

Register as a member at Gamedaygoods.com and get a chance to win this Free Authentic Mini Jets Helmet. All you need to do is sign up here and enter in TURN ON THE JETS where it says enter in redemption or Groupon code here. Also make sure to get all your Jets gear here and be ready for Kickoff.

RULES
1. The promotion will last for 2 weeks
2. Valid entries must sign up at Gameday Goods
3. Contestants agree to pay for shipping fees