TOJ Week 12 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Well, that hot streak sure was fun while it lasted. Then week 11 happened and crushed me in a monster way. I went just 5-8-2 and even worse, lost what I called my favorite pick of the season so far as the Patriots lost to the referees — uhh, I mean the Panthers on Monday night. Actually, it’s not really fair to say the refs cost them that game (even though they did) because the Patriots pretty much beat themselves. Their secondary is the gold standard when it comes to proving that Pro Football Focus is merely a tool and not the gospel when it comes to grading football players because despite their high rankings, they are pretty crappy, and Fumbles Ridley is just a horrible player. Can you tell I’m still bitter about that game? Let’s just move on to week 12… Continue reading “TOJ Week 12 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 11 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Week 11 has arrived and so has my long-awaited picks hot streak! I told you it couldn’t stay that bad forever, and in the last two weeks thinks really started to heat up for me… which probably means I’m do for a massive disappointment and a 1-14 week or something like that. But let’s try to avoid all that and ride this hot streak at least one more week. In the past two weeks I’m 17-8-1 and Best Bets are 7-3. And yes that’s me puffing out my chest and patting myself on the back. Deal with it! Let’s get on with the show… Continue reading “TOJ Week 11 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ: Week 10 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks

Week 10 has arrived and I finally put together a great week last week, going 8-4-1 total. The week would have been even better had I put the article out on Sunday morning like I’m doing this week because then I would have been able to include two picks I changed my mind on with the Vikings and the Eagles. Oh well, I’ll still take the solid week and hopefully we can build on that going forward and end the season with a bang. I’m feeling pretty good about a few games this week, and others not so much. Let’s see how it goes… Continue reading “TOJ: Week 10 NFL Gambling Advice and Picks”

TOJ Week 9 Stock Watch & Gambling Advice

I can’t be the only person out there who thinks this NFL season needs to slow down, can I? I mean, it’s November and week 9 has arrived. It seems like just yesterday everyone was having their fantasy football drafts and anxiously awaiting week 9 to arrive, right? It can’t really be that long ago that I had visions in my head of dominating the NFL season and making a mockery of the point spreads the geniuses in Vegas came up with. Well, 9 weeks later and here we are. The season is half over and while my picks have been better of late, the season has been pretty terrible overall. The tide is turning though. I can feel it. This is the week! Continue reading “TOJ Week 9 Stock Watch & Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 8 NFL Gambling Advice & Picks

Well another week has come and gone, and another losing week is in the books, as I finished week 7 a disappointing 7-8. But don’t worry, I think this is the week we turn it all around! Six teams are on bye this week, which means there are 3 less games to pick, so I’m gonna go ahead and say that means I’m able to focus more on the games that are being played and deliver a winning week! Besides, this is the first week I’m posting this column on Sunday instead of Saturday, so perhaps the change in days will be good. Ok, you’re right.. it probably won’t matter at all. Oh well. Let’s get started. Continue reading “TOJ Week 8 NFL Gambling Advice & Picks”

TOJ: Week 7 NFL Gambling Advice

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived and that can only mean one thing around these parts – more losing picks provided by yours truly! But fear not, loyal readers, I’ve made some changes to my strategy this week and I can feel a big week coming. I’ve picked a few games that I feel strongly about myself and for the rest that I have no feel on, I’ve resorted to finding the opinions of some of the NFL pundits whose thoughts I value the least (like Mike Florio, for example) and went against them. That means it’s winning time! Let’s get to it…  Continue reading “TOJ: Week 7 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 6 NFL Gambling Advice

Can you believe it’s already Week 6 of the NFL season? Man oh man, it sure is flying by. We haven’t quite gotten off to the start I was looking for here through five weeks, but before you know it you’ll look up and say “Wow it’s already week 12?!” and you’ll check my record here to see things have turned around in a big way…. Ok, maybe not, but I’m gonna give it my best shot anyway. It’s the point in the season where you can start to get a read on some teams, so hopefully that helps going forward. Let’s get rolling. Continue reading “TOJ Week 6 NFL Gambling Advice”

TOJ Week 5 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football

Mike Donnelly breaks down this week’s gambling lines and gives fantasy football advice for week 5.

At this point I feel like I can just copy and paste the intro paragraph from last week’s column when it comes to my weekly picks. “Well, last week didn’t quite go the way I had hoped, but this week I feel like it’s about to turn around!” This week, however, I actually do feel real good about my best bets, so at least there’s that. And while the picks were umm, not the best shall we say last week, my fantasy takes were actually pretty spot on.

This week I’m going to give you one player in each game that should outperform expectations and that I’d recommend you start, especially if you are having bye week problems. It should go without saying, but I’m not going to tell you to start your stud players. I’m looking at mid-range kind of guys here. I’d say “sleepers” but there’s no such thing in fantasy these days. Let’s get started.. Continue reading “TOJ Week 5 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football”

TOJ Week 4 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football

Turn On The Jets Week 4 NFL Gambling and Fantasy Football Outlook

Well, it’s Week 4 and things haven’t quite gone as planned so far here with my weekly picks. The visions I had dancing in my head of starting the season on fire and having all our readers begging for my picks haven’t quite materialized… yet! Ok, ok, that’s probably never going to happen, and you may be better off fading me at this point, but I feel it all turning around this week! There’s plenty of room left here on the bandwagon (current occupancy: 1).

And to shake things up this week, I’m not gonna just give my reasons for why each team will cover. Instead, I’m gonna also break things down by giving my fantasy football takes on each game and which players you should be thinking about starting or sitting when Sunday afternoon rolls around. You’re welcome.

Continue reading “TOJ Week 4 – Point Spreads, Picks, and Fantasy Football”

TOJ – Week 3 NFL Gambling Advice

Mike Donnelly with Week 3 gambling advice on all of the NFL action.

After going 8-8 last week on the heels of Week 1’s mini disaster, things are starting to look up for me as we head into Week 3. This is the time of the season when you start to get a feel for teams but unfortunately so do the Las Vegas bookmakers and the lines become increasingly difficult. Let’s see if we can go ahead and beat them this week and make a few bucks… you know, if gambling were legal and all.  Continue reading “TOJ – Week 3 NFL Gambling Advice”