TOJ Week 7 NFL Picks and Ramblings

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

How about 8-4 last week? Let’s see if TOJ can keep rolling…

Lines From BetUS

Pittsburgh (-3.5) vs. Miami – I firmly believe Pittsburgh is either the best or second best team in the NFL, while Miami is en route to a 7-9 or 8-8 record. Big Ben is going to have a big day against a suspect Miami secondary, while Chad Henne is due for a few bad interceptions after a solid performance last week.

Atlanta (-3) vs.Cincinnati – Atlanta had a major let down last week, but the Bengals just aren’t a very good football team right now. What ever happened to Carson Palmer?

Kansas City (-9) vs. Jacksonville – Todd Bouman? The Jaguars have to be the worst 3-3 team in NFL history, right?

Tennessee (-3) vs. Philadelphia – I am taking the better conference in what should a hard fought, physical game.

Washington (+2.5) vs. Chicago – Sadly, these are both serious playoff contenders in the NFC.

Cleveland (+13.5) vs. New Orleans – You have to like what Colt McCoy showed in his first start. They will keep this one interesting.

Baltimore (-14) vs. Buffalo – Oh boy.

Carolina (+3.5) vs. San Francisco – As bad of a game this is, it would still get better ratings than the World Series.

Seattle (-6.5) vs. Arizona – Max Hall isn’t ready to play in Seattle just yet.

New England (+1.5) vs. San Diego – Why the hell is New England an underdog?

Denver (-8.5) vs. Oakland – Denver is a much better 2-4 than Oakland.

Minnesota (+2) vs. Green Bay – Making the NFC North even more confusing.

New York Giants (+3) vs. Dallas – Goodnight Dallas.

Grading Out Jets/Broncos

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

Quarterback (C) – Mark Sanchez finally gave in and threw a pair of interceptions. His performance was ugly at times but most importantly he got it together and played well in the second half, leading his team to a comeback victory. He made the right decision by putting the ball up Santonio Holmes 1 on 1 on the decisive 4th and 6 and it obviously worked out. This offense has tons of potential that it still hasn’t reach yet, hopefully they will come rolling out of the bye week.

Running Back (B) – LaDainian Tomlinson brought it in the second half when it mattered the most. Shonn Greene was running hard and I would have liked to see him get more than 9 carries. Tony Richardson and John Conner are both playing very good football right now.

Wide Receivers (A) – I continue to be impressed with the season Braylon Edwards is putting together. He looks like the 1,000 yard borderline pro-bowl player the Jets were hoping when they dealt for him. As of now, he is on pace for a very strong, statistical season and he isn’t dropping passes. Santonio Holmes took another step towards getting into the rhythm of the offense, but needs to learn to tuck the ball away. Jerricho Cotchery may finish the season averaging the least yards per catch in NFL history, but he is still reliable. Brad Smith was effective with the ball in his hands, as usual.

Tight Ends (A) – Good day at the office for Keller and more solid blocking from Ben Hartsock, who is quietly a big part of the Jets offense.

Offensive Line (A) – There has really been no drop off from last season, which is a credit to the entire unit and especially Matt Slauson.

Defensive Line (B-) – The run defense was a let down and so was the pass rush. However, Sione Pouha had a nice sack and Trevor Pryce had a tackle for a loss. Big Mike DeVito almost pulled in an interception on a zone blitz.

Linebackers (C+) – David Harris was all over the field and Bart Scott was also active. A very quiet game from Bryan Thomas, Calvin Pace, and Jason Taylor. You’d like to see more pressure on the quarterback from these guys.

Secondary (B) – Antonio Cromartie played another terrific game. Darrelle Revis simply wasn’t himself out there. Drew Coleman had a few nice plays, including a forced fumble and a third down pass breakup. However, he was picked on most of the day. The helmet to helmet call on Jim Leonhard was bogus.

Special Teams (A) – Nick Folk is a monster. Steve Weatherford isn’t too bad either.

Coaching (B) – I wasn’t crazy about the playcalling from Brian Schottenheimer, who never seemed to get in a rhythm. The Jets were caught napping on an onsides kick.

Highlights From The Game

Initial Reaction: Best Record In The NFL? J-E-T-S

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

It just wasn’t the Jets day today. Mark Sanchez was looking jittery in the pocket and throwing interceptions. Santonio Holmes was running into his own guy and fumbling. Darrelle Revis was getting beat up and down the field by Jabar Gaffney and a rookie. The running game was inconsistent. They were on the road in a raucous environment.

But, this is 2010 and all this Jets team does is win…5 in a row now.

This was a terribly officiated game but don’t feel bad about getting that last call on Santonio Holmes because unless you are blind, you saw his facemask get grabbed. The Jets never stopped fighting in the 4th quarter and Mark Sanchez showed good field awareness by putting up that final deep ball to Holmes.

As for the rest offense, LaDainian Tomlinson was productive in the second half. Shonn Greene ran with good burst and I liked how the Jets looked out of the Tiger formation. Braylon Edwards continued his strong season and Dustin Keller got back on track with a big day. It was disappointing to see Sanchez struggle and somewhat resemble his 2009 form at times but hey, he wasn’t going the whole season without an interception.

The defense is still way off their level of play from last year. The pass rush was absent today and the run defense was frustrating to watch. However, Antonio Cromartie and David Harris put together strong performances and they made enough plays to win.

It’s not easy to win games in the NFL and the Jets are one point away from being undefeated heading into their bye week. If they could handle the suddenly average Packers at home, accommodating trips to Detroit and Cleveland are on the horizon. I am not saying the Jets could be 8-1. I am saying they should be 8-1.

Jets vs. Broncos: 12 Pack Of Predictions

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

1. Darrelle Revis is the only Jets player listed below probable, at questionable. He will be a game time decision. I wouldn’t bet on him playing this week.

Jets vs. Broncos: 12 Pack Of Predictions

1. Both LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene are going to run for over 100 yards, similar to the Jets week 4 match-up against the Buffalo Bills. After the pass happy game plan last week, the Jets will be focused on running the ball against a Denver defense that struggles against the run and is banged up.

2. Eddie Royal is going to have a big day for Denver. The Jets don’t have a player who matches up well with him, unless Drew Coleman can really rise to the occasion in single coverage.

3. Kyle Orton will throw at least 40 passes and will have a big day statistically. However, considering how one-dimensional the Broncos offense will be. The Jets will force him into at least two turnovers.

4. Despite leading the NFL in receiving yards, Brandon Lloyd will have a quiet game thanks to Antonio Cromartie who will continue playing at a Pro-Bowl level.

5. It is being speculated that Champ Bailey will primarily be covering Braylon Edwards, which means Santonio Holmes is going to make at least one big play down the field. After shaking off the cobwebs last week, Holmes will finish with at least 85 receiving yards and a touchdown.

6. Dustin Keller will bounce back from a quiet game last week and get back in the end-zone.

7. The Jets will turn the ball over at least once this week. They are only human, people.

8. Brad Smith is taking a kick return back to the house on Sunday.

9. The Jets will get off to a slow start as they adjust to the conditions Denver but will pick it up late in the first half and pull themselves into a bit of a shootout with the Broncos.

10. The Jets are going to win 34 – 27. Denver is going to rack up their share of passing yards and take advantage of a Jets turnover at some point. Yet, the Jets will have too much on offense in the 4th quarter and come up with a big stop late.

11. Inactives – Darrelle Revis, Joe McKnight, Kellen Clemens, Marcus Dixon, Jeff Cumberland, Vladimir Ducasse, Matt Kroul, Kenwin Cummings.

12. Jets fans will still be pissed watching a game in Denver because of bad memories from 1998.

Week 6 Picks (Lines From BetUs)

  • Chargers (-8.5) vs. Rams
  • Chiefs (+4) vs. Texans
  • Patriots (-2.5) vs. Ravens
  • Saints (-4.5) vs. Bucs
  • Falcons (+2.5) vs. Eagles
  • Lions (+10.5) vs. Giants
  • Seahawks (+6) vs. Bears
  • Steelers (-14.5) vs. Browns
  • Jets (-4) vs. Broncos
  • Raiders (+6.5) vs. 49ers
  • Vikings (-1.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Colts (-4) vs. Redskins
  • Titans (-3) vs. Jaguars

Jets vs. Broncos: Game Breakdown

Photobucket

Follow Turn  On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

First a few updates:

 1. Darrelle Revis is going to make the trip with the team to Denver and Rex Ryan indicated he could be used in a limited role this weekend. How about this? Sit him down and make sure he is 100 percent for the final 8 games of the season. Everybody else is expected to play this weekend, including Calvin Pace.

2. ALCS/NLCS Predictions – Yankees in 5, Phillies in 6…Yes, I know I really went on a limb there.

Jets vs. Broncos: Game Breakdown

Offense: Denver is beyond banged up on defense and is currently ranked 25th in the NFL in rushing defense. I would say it is time for that Ground and Pound…How about 20 carries for Shonn Greene this week and 14-16 for LaDainian Tomlinson considering he is coming off 23 touches on a short week? Denver’s pass defense isn’t much better than their run defense and their secondary will be without Brian Dawkins, Andre Goodman, Darcel McBath, and Wesley Woodyard. Basically, what I am saying is that the Jets shouldn’t have trouble rolling up points on this defense. It will be interesting to see if this offense has matured enough to take advantage of a below average, banged up defense with the plethora of weapons they have.

Hopefully the chemistry between Mark Sanchez and Santonio Holmes will progress and the Jets can hit a big play to him down the field. I thought Sanchez did a good job of spreading his targets around last week, but it will be interesting to see what happens in a game the Jets don’t throw the ball as much, along with how the role of each receiver ends up developing throughout the season.

Defense: Denver has the NFL’s worst rushing offense by a substantial margin and the Jets have one of the best run defenses in the league. I am thinking Josh McDaniels won’t try to outsmart himself (which he very well may) and will rely heavily on his passing attack this week. Kyle Orton has done a great job of spreading the ball around and the Broncos have a surprisingly productive collection of receivers and tight ends. Even if talented rookie Demaryius Thomas misses this week, Brandon Lloyd, Jabar Gaffney and Eddie Royal have all been good in 2010.

I would expect Antonio Cromartie to spend most of the day on Lloyd, who actually leads the NFL in receiving yards (what?). Considering his build and speed, Drew Coleman makes the most sense for Eddie Royal while Kyle Wilson or Dwight Lowery could cover Gaffney or tight end Daniel Graham. Denver is going to get their yards on the Jets, but the key will be to hit Orton early and often and hope that since he is throwing so much there are a few turnovers.

Special Teams: Royal is dangerous in the return game and Matt Prater is a very good kicker. Doesn’t it feel like we are due for a fake punt?

Good Memories From A  Bad Day In Denver

Top Five Reasons The Jets Are 4-1

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

We are coming back soon…

Top Five Reasons The Jets Are 4-1

5. Corners Stepping UpDarrelle Revis has been a nonfactor the first five weeks of the 2010 season. Fortunately, Antonio Cromartie has looked the part of a legit number one corner for most of this year. Most importantly, he kept Randy Moss in check in the second half against New England in week two and against the Vikings in week five. Cromartie isn’t quite an island, but he is playing at a Pro-Bowl level. Beyond him, Drew Coleman has responded well to extra playing time and jumped the disappointing Kyle Wilson on the depth chart. Dwight Lowery and Marquice Cole have also handled their defensive reps well and are starting to make us all believers that the Jets could survive an extended period of time without Revis while he rests his hamstring.

4. Special Teams Excellence – There were a good amount of questions about the Jets special teams heading into the 2010 season. Would releasing Jay Feely to sign the inconsistent Nick Folk come back to haunt the Jets? Could Steve Weatherford hold the punting  job? How much would the Jets miss Wallace Wright? Could Tanner Purdum handle the long snapper job? Who would handle the return duties? Amazingly, all these potential problems have turned into strengths as the Jets are off to an excellent start on special teams. Nick Folk is 12/14 on field goals and was just named AFC special teams player of the week. Weatherford is consistently pinning teams deep. Purdum has been fine. Brad Smith has excelled at kick return and Jim Leonhard has been better on punt returns in year two than he was in year one. Wright hasn’t been missed on coverage units thanks to the play of guys like Eric Smith, Lance Laury, and Marquice Cole.

3. LT Glide – The Jets offense has been bolstered by LaDainian Tomlinson reaching back into the past and playing at his vintage Hall of Fame level. After two subpar seasons in 2008 and 2009, Tomlinson is currently leading the Jets with 435 rushing yards on an astounding 5.7 yards per carry. Beyond that, he already has 17 receptions and 3 touchdowns. Thomas who? After five weeks, the Jets have the NFL’s number one ranked rushing attack.

2. The Sanchize – Eight touchdowns but way more importantly ZERO turnovers. Mark Sanchez has learned how to protect football and is aggressively attacking down the field. The confidence he is playing with has opened up the running game and made the Jets far from one-dimensional on offense. The talk of the Jets not being to win a Super Bowl has quieted down awfully quick, with Sanchez posting 91.7 quarterback rating through five weeks.

1. The Turnover Margin – The Jets have one turnover in five games and have forced 12 turnovers…simply put that is winning football.

Grading Out Jets/Vikings

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

1. Darrelle Revis admitted after the game what everybody could plainly see, he still isn’t 100 percent back from his hamstring injury and it now sounds like he might not play against the Broncos. It was foolish for Revis to attempt a comeback, unless he was truly 100 percent. You get the feeling this is going to be a nagging injury all year and we won’t be seeing any of the 2009 version of Revis this year.

2. The stats section is now updated.

Grading Out Jets/Vikings

Quarterback (B-) The stats (21/44, 191 yards) don’t show a very productive game for Mark Sanchez. However, there were at least 4 dropped passes by his receivers and he was dealing with poor weather conditions. Most importantly, Sanchez has now gone five full games without a single turnover.

Running Back (A) Another strong night for LaDainian Tomlinson with 94 yards on 20 carries, along with 5 receptions. I am a little concerned with him getting worn down, 25 touches is a bit too much. Shonn Greene only had 10 carries, which isn’t enough. He got rolling in the second half and finally popped through for a touchdown run late in the fourth quarter.

Wide Receiver (C) Too many drops from this unit, particularly Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes. Edwards did have another productive night with 70 yards on 5 receptions, but it could have much more. Jerricho Cotchery had a good night with 5 catches for 46 yards.

Tight End (C) Dustin Keller was due for a quiet night (2 receptions, 14 yards).

Offensive Line (A) They did a terrific job run blocking against a physical Minnesota front seven. The pass protection was very good for most of the night. They are getting better with the penalties and starting to more closely resemble the unit they were in 2009.

Defensive Line (A-) They did a solid job against Adrian Peterson, holding him to under 100 yards. Sione Pouha and Mike DeVito both had 5 tackles and were active all night. Shaun Ellis added a half sack and didn’t appear limited by his leg injury last week.

Linebackers (A) Very active night for David Harris with 9 tackles, including a few big shots on Adrian Peterson. Calvin Pace made his presence felt with 1.5 sacks. Jason Taylor had another sack. A quiet night for Bryan Thomas. Bart Scott had a fumble recovery.

Secondary (B) There still seems to be miscommunication at times and Darrelle Revis is far from being his old self, however Antonio Cromartie played a great game despite allowing the one touchdown to Randy Moss, Drew Coleman is playing the best football of his life, and even Dwight Lowery made a huge play in a big spot.

Special Teams (A+) Nick Folk is playing like the All-Pro he used to be, by going 5/5 including a 53 yarder. Steve Weatherford also continued his strong 2010 campaign, continually pinning the Vikings deep and having great hang time on his kicks. Brad Smith ripped off a huge kick return that set up a field goal.

Coaching (C) I am downgrading them all the way to a C for the horrific time management in the final few minutes. The Jets gave the Vikings an extra minute to drive down for the go ahead field goal. There was no reason to throw ball on that second down before the two minute warning. Yes, Sanchez did a bad job not running the play clock all the way down but a pass never should have been called.

Highlights From The Win

Jets vs. Vikings: Game Breakdown

Photobucket 

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

First a few updates:

1. Calvin Pace practiced full today and should be back in the starting line-up Monday night. Darrelle Revis was limited and his status remains somewhat in the air. The Jets should also be getting backup tackle Wayne Hunter back from a shin injury.

2. Brett Favre is taking his talents to South Beach all over Deadspin today…proceed with caution.

Jets vs. Vikings: Game Breakdown

Offense: Is do what you been doing the past three games too easy? Seriously, the Jets seem to have found a nice balance between their rushing and passing attack, along with a good division of touches between their various playmakers. Minnesota is a tough defense to run the ball on but that doesn’t mean they should shy away from having LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene combine for 35-40 touches. The Jets offense is most effective when the running game gets going, opening up the play action attack for Mark Sanchez.

The big news on this side of the ball is obviously that Santonio Holmes is returning to the line-up. It will be very interesting to see how many snaps he plays and his integration into the offense. I would imagine the smoke screens and quick receiver screens the Jets usually like throwing to Jerricho Cotchery, will now be going to Holmes. Yet, the Jets don’t want to just use Holmes run after the catch ability. He is the most complete receiver on the roster and I expect Brian Schottenheimer to be excited about his new toy, and hence take an early shot down the field to him.

I would say Minnesota will likely focus their coverage on Dustin Keller, but really how could they? If they want to consistently leave Braylon Edwards and Holmes in single coverage with their corners, then good luck. Don’t forget Lito Sheppard plays major reps for them at corner and even if he gets matched up with Jerricho Cotchery in the slot, the Jets could do some damage.

Beyond that, there is also that Brad Smith guy running around on reverses, options, and quarterback draws.

Defense: The Jets need to put this game in Brett Favre’s hands. Adrian Peterson has been a monster this season (as usual) and even though the run defense has been stout so far, he has the ability to change that quickly. Worry about stopping AP first and then let the old gunslinger (aka dongslinger as Jason Whitlock is now calling him on Twitter) take his shots on our secondary.

If Darrelle Revis does play, he shouldn’t be tracking Randy Moss all over the field. Antonio Cromartie already showed he can shut him down. Let Revis get a few shots at him to keep him off balance but for the most part let Cromartie man him up. Revis can work on Percy Harvin, while Kyle Wilson will probably primarily be matched up on Vishante Shiancoe, which he better have safety help on. Shiancoe has been banged up though and could be less than 100 percent.

Favre can take his chances on our secondary and I wouldn’t be shocked if he hit one big play to Moss. As we saw in week two, the Jets can survive one big play by Mr. Play When He Wants To. I’d be shocked if Favre didn’t throw at least one interception into the hands of Cromartie this Monday and maybe a few more to our other DBs to boot.

Special Teams: Be wary of Harvin on returns and keep Jim Leonhard going on the punt returns, he looks much better than Kyle Wilson. Nick Folk, forget that 30 yard miss from last week.

Randy Moss, Danny Woodhead, Matt Slauson – Collection of Jets Thoughts

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

First a few updates:

1. Santonio Holmes, Calvin Pace, and Darrelle Revis were all on the practice field today. It sounds like Pace is definitely going to suit up and play, while Revis remains up in the air a little bit. If he does play, he shouldn’t be tracking Randy Moss all over the field. Let Antonio Cromartie cover him. He did a great job against him in week two and there is no reason to have Revis chasing him around in his first game back from injury. Let him match-up with Percy Harvin and occasionally get a shot at Moss.

On The Randy Moss Trade

I understand Aaron Hernandez has looked great so far in his rookie year and that Brandon Tate has potential as a deep threat. However, I don’t buy any argument about this trade improving New England for 2010. Randy Moss is a top three or four wide receiver in the NFL, who draws double coverage and the respect of every defensive coordinator in the league. All of that space you are used to seeing Wes Welker and Hernandez run around isn’t going to exist anymore because teams won’t be worried about Moss killing them over the top. Tate has never caught a touchdown in the NFL. Moss is an all time great who can score on any given play.

Yes, New England won a bunch of Super Bowls without a star wide receiver. However, they actually had a good defense in those years. News flash in case you haven’t been watching the 2010 NFL season…New England’s defense isn’t good anymore. They are also one dimensional on offense, considering their top running back was the Jets third stringer a few weeks ago. Which is a good lead in to…

Danny Woodhead Hysteria

There has been a good deal of anger among Jets fans, as they are watching Danny Woodhead become a big part of New England’s offense. He actually played the most snaps out of any running back in their Monday night victory over the Miami Dolphins. Yet, can we calm it down just for a second? The guy has 11 carries for 78 yards and 1 reception for 11 yards. He hasn’t exactly been Adrian Peterson.

Of course you hate to see a player leave our team and flourish on our rival. However, what would have Woodhead done on this 53 man roster? Nothing, he would have been inactive every week. In case you haven’t noticed LaDainian Tomlinson is playing at a Pro-Bowl level and Shonn Greene is our running back of the future, who is coming off a 117 yard game. Where would there have been touches for Woodhead? People forget we have Brad Smith who currently has 8 carries for 79 yards, 1 reception for 11 yards, a touchdown pass, and is our best special teams player. If you had Woodhead in the line-up, there is no room for Smith to get offensive touches and of course you keep Smith on the roster over Woodhead because of how superior a special teams player he is.

There is no need for a number three running back on this Jets offense right now, Smith basically fills that role and hopefully one day Joe McKnight will fill it.

Matt Slauson

The biggest question on the Jets offense heading into the 2010 season, outside of Mark Sanchez was left guard Matt Slauson. The second year pro easily beat out rookie Vladimir Ducasse for the starting job in training camp and has been under the microscope as Alan Faneca’s replacement. So far, the results have been mixed for Slauson. He has struggled with penalties and remains a liability in pass protection, especially against top tier defensive lineman. However, he has been very good in run blocking and turned in a terrific all-around performance last week against the Bills. Let’s hope he can continue the strong play when the Jets aren’t playing a CFL caliber team.

Something To Laugh About

Miami’s special teams and Chad Henne looking like Brooks Bollinger on his three interceptions last Monday night.

Jets vs. Bills Round 1: 12 Pack Of Predictions

Photobucket

Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (@TurnOnTheJets)

First a few updates:

1. Darrelle Revis, Jamaal Westerman, and Wayne Hunter are officially out this Sunday against Buffalo. Calvin Pace will be a game-time decision, but I’d be surprised to see him suit up.

2. A big thank you to everybody who is following TOJ on Facebook, Twitter, and takes the time to leave comments on the articles here…it is all greatly appreciated. Along those lines, it is time for TOJ to give back:

Get 5 new people to follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and enter yourself to win one of the following prizes.

Photobucket

Photobucket

Photobucket

 Photobucket

The first five people who e-mail me (JCaporoso@fanball.com) the five new followers they recruited, will be drawn at random and win either an OCNN t-shirt, a Taylor Made Jets hat, or the grand prize the Joe Namath Book and DVD. Get recruiting, so I can keep giving things away.

Jets vs. Bills Round 1: 12 Pack Of Predictions

1. The Jets pass rush is going to pick it up in a big way this week. Taking advantage of a weak offensive line, the Jets will drop Ryan Fitzpatrick at least four times.

2. Fitzpatrick will take his shots down the field and hit a few big plays against Drew Coleman or Kyle Wilson. However, he will turn the ball over with at least one fumble and one interception.

3. I know he has been off to a slow start, but Shonn Greene will have over 60 yards rushing this week. It isn’t anything to get that excited about, but it will be a step in the right direction.

4. Mark Sanchez will complete the first quarter of the 2010 season without a single turnover.

5. Lee Evans is going to score a touchdown, because he always scores a touchdown against the Jets.

6. Inactives – Jamaal Westerman, Wayne Hunter, Darrelle Revis, Kellen Clemens, Calvin Pace, Patrick Turner, Marcus Dixon, Jeff Cumberland

7. Joe McKnight will return a few punts and get 2-3 carries,  as he begins his climb out of the coach’s and fan’s doghouse.

8. I think the Jets will be more committed to the run than they have been the past few weeks. LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene will combine for 35-38 carries, while McKnight and Brad Smith chip in a few also.

9. Mark Sanchez will hit a big play or two down the field but for the most part will work in the short/intermediate passing game. He will throw for just under 200 yards.

10. Nick Folk will miss his first under 60 yard field goal of the year…I just think he is due for one and hopefully he gets it out of the way this week.

11. Trevor Pryce is going to record a sack and Rex Ryan will have some type of comment in his post-game press conference about how Baltimore is foolish for thinking he was done.

12. The Jets are going to avoid the trap game and win 24-13. Buffalo will keep this game interesting into the fourth quarter but will never be able to make the big play to pull ahead, as the Jets eventually put them away.

Other NFL Picks (Lines From BetUS): 10-6 Last Week

  • Broncos (+7) vs. Titans
  • Ravens (+2) vs. Steelers
  • Bengals (-3.5) vs. Browns
  • Packers (-14) vs. Lions
  • Saints (-13.5) vs. Panthers
  • 49ers (+7) vs. Falcons
  • Rams (+2.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Jets (-7.5) vs. Bills
  • Colts (-8.5) vs. Jags
  • Texans (-4.5) vs. Raiders
  • Redskins (+5.5) vs. Eagles
  • Bears (+3.5) vs. Giants
  • Dolphins (+2.5) vs. Patriots