AFC Championship Game – 12 Pack of Predictions

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It is cold, it is refreshing and it is wrong more times than not…it is the 12 pack, with a very special AFC Championship Game edition –

1. Mark Sanchez is going to throw for about 200 yards and hit a key big play down the field to Santonio Holmes, who is due for a long touchdown. He also won’t turn the football over.

2. Braylon Edwards will lead the Jets in receptions and yards, continuing his terrific season as the Jets most reliable receiver.

3. Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson will combine for less than 90 yards rushing, it is going to be tough sledding against a pissed off Pittsburgh front seven that didn’t play well in the previous Jets match-up.

4. Ben Roethlisberger is going to create a long touchdown after breaking the pocket by hitting one of his receivers that isn’t being covered by Darrelle Revis. Overall, Antonio Cromartie is going to have a tough time in this game and will be picked on by Roethlisberger.

5. Rashard Mendenhall won’t crack 100 yards but will still have a solid outing against the Jets defense, especially taking advantage when they don’t stack the box.

6. The Jets are going to have one big kick return that will directly set up points.

7. The Jets will be very hesitant to attempt a field goal over 40 yards, Nick Folk is going to miss a kick somewhere between 30 and 40 yards as well.

8. Emmanuel Sanders and Heath Miller are both going to have productive days working the middle of the field against the Jets secondary.

9. Jason Taylor is going to record a sack in a big spot. I know he has looked out of it the past week, but I just got a feeling.

10. Shaun Ellis is going to play another very strong game and keep pressure on Roethlibserger throughout the game.

11. The Jets are going to score points in the first quarter…finally.

12. Yes, Yes, Yes…the Jets are going to the Super Bowl. Put it down as my most confident pick of the season, with the Jets winning 21-17 in a tight, hard-fought game. This is our year and it has been since the off-season, through Hard Knocks, through all the miracle last second victories, through all the controversies, and punctuated by the major upset of the Patriots last week, that even I couldn’t see coming…shame on me. Pittsburgh has won enough damn Super Bowls, this is our time.

Jets vs. Patriots Round III – 12 Pack of Predictions

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Another week of Jets football means another 12 pack of predictions. TOJ actually fared well with his wild-card picks, going 3-1 on the games against the spread. In terms of my specific picks for Jets/Colts…eh, it was very hit or miss. Let’s see how we fare this week –

1. Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson will combine for 40 carries as the Jets attempt to control the clock and shorten the game. They will the run ball with some success but neither will crack the 100 yard mark individually.

2. Mark Sanchez will manage the game effectively. The Jets will be conservative with their playcalling, especially in the passing game. Sanchez will have at least one turnover but will also hit one big play down the field off play action when given the chance to go deep.

3. Tom Brady isn’t going to turn the football over.

4. The Jets will get one big play from their special teams, whether it is a return from Antonio Cromartie (who will be deep on kicks), a fake punt, or a surprise onsides kick. This play will help keep the game close into the fourth quarter.

5. The Jets defense will dare New England to run the ball to beat them and won’t stack the box. You will see plenty of Marquice Cole, Kyle Wilson, James Ihedigbo, and Dwight Lowery on the field and less of Bart Scott and Bryan Thomas. BenJarvus Green-Ellis will run for at least 65 yards and Danny Woodhead will add 65 total yards of offense.

6. Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez will both have big games working against the Jets safeties. One of them will score a touchdown and they will combine for at least 90 yards receiving.

7. Santonio Holmes or Braylon Edwards are going to beat Kyle Arrington for a touchdown on a long pass off play action.

8. Dustin Keller is going to have at least 6 receptions and be Mark Sanchez’s favorite target on third downs.

9. The Jets won’t attempt a field goal over 45 yards with Nick Folk, instead opting to go for it or punt on fourth down. Shayne Graham is going to miss at least one field goal attempt.

10. Brad Smith or LaDainian Tomlinson is going to throw a pass for the Jets.

11. There is going to be at least 3 or 4 scrums after the whistle and a personal foul or two in the first half alone.

12. My heart wants to pick the Jets, but in a lame attempt to be somewhat objective I have to admit the logical pick is New England. I do think the Jets will play them tight into the fourth quarter and ultimately lose something like 27-20. However, if the Jets can get the big special teams play I mentioned, and a signature performance from Mark Sanchez, and catch a break on defense with a tipped pass turned into an interception or a timely forced fumble, I wouldn’t be stunned if they stole the game late…I know those are a ton of ifs but this is the NFL and on any given Sunday…anything can happen.

Divisional Round Picks

Jets (+8.5) at New England

Baltimore (+3) at Pittsburgh – Wow, am I excited for this game. You know you could almost take a low-scoring game decided by 3 points or less to the bank. Baltimore is due to knock Pittsburgh out and I think this is the year for them to do it. The Steelers have problems on the offensive line and will miss Aaron Smith on defense. I expect the Ravens to steal a close one in the final seconds of what should be a great game.

Green Bay (+2.5) at Atlanta – I know everybody is on the Green Bay bandwagon, but guess what? So am I. Aaron Rodgers is going to be the best player on the field Saturday night and now that it looks like Green Bay found a running game, they will be balanced enough on offense to steal a tight, high-scoring game.

Seattle (+10) at Chicago – This line just feels too high after watching Seattle last week and knowing Jay Cutler is under center. This is going to be a close one and I wouldn’t be shocked if Seattle won the game, however in the end I do think Chicago will do enough to escape with a victory.

Jets vs. Colts – 12 Pack of Wild-Card Predictions

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Is there anything better than a weekend of playoff football when your team is involved? The correct answer is absolutely not, so here is hoping that everybody beat the snow home and is ready for a great two days of football, without carrying on anymore here is a very special edition of the 12 pack for Jets/Colts, along with the rest of my weekend picks —

1. Mark Sanchez is going to throw for over 250 yards and a pair of touchdowns against an over-matched Colts secondary. More importantly, he will protect the football and won’t have a single turnover.

2. Peyton Manning is going to throw for over 300 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Jets secondary. He will find the match-ups that he wants because he always does. However, Manning will throw an interception Saturday night to Antonio Cromartie.

3. Shonn Greene will have at least 18 carries and at least 90 yards to lead the Jets ground attack. LaDanian Tomlinson will have 10-12 carries and 3-5 receptions. Joe McKnight won’t be involved in the offensive game-plan.

4. The Colts won’t have a running back who finishes with more than 50 yards on the ground. However, they will make big contributions catching the football out of the backfield.

5. Jacob Tamme is going to have a big day against the Jets secondary, with at least 65 receiving yards and a touchdown.

6. Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards will both have at least 70 yards receiving. One of them will get into the end-zone on a big play of 30 yards or longer.

7. Reggie Wayne will have less than 50 yards receiving and won’t score a touchdown against Darrelle Revis. Pierre Garcon will beat Antonio Cromartie for one big play but beyond that will be relatively quiet.

8. Brad Smith is going to have one big kick return and break one big run on offense.

9. Robert Mathis will have a pair of sacks against Damien Woody as he struggles to return from his surgery.

10. Despite having a less reliable kicker, the Jets will outplay the Colts on special teams which will go a long to determining the outcome of this game.

11. The Jets will coach this game extremely aggressively, meaning they won’t hesitate to go for 4th and 1’s and potentially try a few trick plays. However, Rex Ryan being too aggressive on defense will burn them a few times for big plays.

12. The Jets are going win a close one that comes down to the final few minutes, 27-24.

NFL Wild-Card Weekend Picks

Jets (+3) vs. Indy

Saints (-11) vs. Seahawks – I don’t want to hear about the long trip, the crowd noise, or the injuries to their running backs, the Saints are a much, much better team than the 7-9 Seahawks who don’t belong anywhere near the playoffs.

Ravens (-4) vs. Chiefs – Kansas City will struggle to move the football and will have a difficult time stopping Ray Rice. The Ravens are simply a more experienced team, who is better prepared to win this type of game.

Packers (+3) vs. Eagles – I have been all about the Mike Vick show all year but I think he will struggle with Green Bay’s blitzing and the Packers offense will run up a bunch of points on an inconsistent Philadelphia defense.

Jets vs. Bears: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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Your Christmas present? A 12 pack from TOJ on the Jets-Bears…

1. The Jets defense has struggled getting after the quarterback throughout the season. However, Sunday will be a day for Rex Ryan to show off his ability to design blitzes that constantly harass the quarterback. Jay Cutler will be sacked at least 3 times and one of those will be a strip sack.

2. On the topic Cutler…he won’t shy away from attacking Darrelle Revis, which is going to result in Revis pulling in his first interception of the season.

3. Greg Olsen and Devin Hester are going to have big days working against the Jets secondary. The Jets still haven’t shown an ability to stop the tight end and Hester’s quickness will be problematic if he gets matched up with any of the Jets nickel or dime backs.

4. LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene will combine for at least 35 carries. A Jets running back hasn’t scored a touchdown since they played Denver in week 6 but the streak will end on Sunday.

5. After his big game last week, the Bears will shift more attention to Braylon Edwards opening things up for Santonio Holmes to have a 100 yard performance.

6. Nick Folk is going to keep quietly building momentum heading towards the playoffs by hitting all of his field goal attempts.

7. After being shut out last week, Jerricho Cotchery will have a couple of receptions on Sunday. Dustin Keller will also have one of his better games in recent weeks, pulling in over 50 yards receiving.

8. Mark Sanchez will have another efficient game, completing at least 60 percent of his passes and throwing for just over 200 yards. However, I do think will turn the ball over at least once.

9. Devin Hester will find a way to have at least one big return.

10. Brad Smith will create a big play on offense for the first time since the Cincinnati game.

11. Matt Forte will rush for less than 60 yards against the Jets defense.

12. The Jets are going to relieve all of the unnecessary stress in week 17 by beating the Bears 20-13. I like the way they match-up with them and think it will be a big day for the defense, after a so so effort against the Steelers.

Jets vs. Steelers: 12 Pack of Predictions

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It has been dark times lately for the 12 Pack, as well as the Jets…let’s see if we can turn things around —

1. Joe McKnight will have at least five offensive touches that aren’t in garbage time and will make a case for more playing time during the last couple of games. LaDainian Tomlinson’s role in the game plan will be diminished…or at least it should be.

2. Santonio Holmes is going to have a monster game, on both offense and special teams. He is an elite playmaker in the NFL and will be beyond motivated this game to bounce back from his drop last week and to prove Pittsburgh was wrong for trading him.

3. Hines Ward is going to have a big day working against Antonio Cromartie and Heath Miller, Emmanuel Sanders, and Antawan Randle El will make a few plays in the middle of the field against Dwight Lowery and Brodney Pool at safety.

4. Both teams will struggle to run the football. There won’t be a 100 yard rusher in this game, in fact I’d be surprised if there was a 70 yard rusher in this game.

5. Nick Folk won’t make a field goal that is longer than 40 yards.

6. The Jets defense is going to rise to the occasion and play one of their best games of the season, keeping this a competitive football game.

7. Mark Sanchez will play better than he did the previous two weeks, but there is no way he is getting through this game without a turnover.

8. I think we will see another quiet game from Dustin Keller and Braylon Edwards.

9. The Jets defense will force a fumble from Rashard Mendenhall and sack Ben Roethlisberger at least two times.

10. Mike Wallace will have less than 60 receiving yards and will be kept out of the end-zone by Darrelle Revis.

11. The Jets inactive players and coaches will be about 30 yards from the sideline when the Steelers return punts.

12. Despite putting up a better effort than most people expect, the Jets are going to lose their third straight, 17-10. The loss will mean the Jets will have to win in Chicago and then at home against Buffalo if they want a playoff spot.

Jets vs. Dolphins Round 2: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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Time for a bounce back from both the Jets and TOJ, who had just an awful week with the 12 pack last Monday...

1. Shonn Greene is getting 20 carries this week, going over 100 yards, and scoring his second rushing touchdown of the season. It is December. It is time to let #23 lead the charge on offense, like he did during the Jets playoff run last year.

2. Mark Sanchez may have had a bad week against the Patriots, but Chad Henne is having a bad season. Sanchez has demonstrated so far in 2010, what the majority of football analysts didn’t expect to see, that he has a better future as a franchise quarterback than Henne does. Sanchez will decidedly outplay Henne, who will be holding a clipboard somewhere next year.

3. Brandon Marshall won’t have more than 40 yards receiving on Sunday. He got a pass from Revis Island in week 3, but he won’t as lucky this meti.

4. The players who will hurt the Jets defense will be Davone Bess, Brian Hartline, and Anthony Fasano, just like in week 3. All three are going to rack up yards, the key will be for the Jets defense to bend but not break.

5. Braylon Edwards will have a bounce back performance after a shaky outing on Monday night. He has killed the Dolphins in all three of the Jets match-ups with them, since he has been traded over. He will be getting his fourth touchdown in four games against Miami this Sunday.

6. Mark Sanchez won’t throw more than 25 passes. The Jets will have a more run heavy approach than normal this season.

7. The Jets coaching staff will finally relent and give Joe McKnight a few carries that aren’t in garbage time and he will also get a shot on punt or kick returns.

8. Santonio Holmes is ripping off a big punt return of 25 yards or more.

9. Dan Carpenter is going to make all his field goal attempts, while Nick Folk will miss yet another kick he should make. Fortunately, the Dolphins offense will frequently settle for field goals instead of converting in the red-zone.

10. The Jets defense is coming up with at least two turnovers and two sacks this week.

11. The Jets aren’t a clinching a playoff spot this week. Either San Diego or Jacksonville will find a way to win.

12. The Jets are going to win 20-16. The key differences in the game will be Miami constantly settling for field goals and Sanchez outplaying Henne.

Week 14 Picks, Lines from BetUS

  • Raiders (+4) vs. Jaguars
  • Bengals (+8.5) vs. Steelers
  • Patriots (-4.5) vs Bears
  • Browns (PK) vs Bills
  • Giants (-3) vs. Vikings
  • Packers (-7.5) vs. Lions
  • Falcons (-8) vs. Panthers
  • Bucs (-3) vs. Redskins
  • Rams (+8.5) vs. Saints
  • Seahawks (+5) vs. 49ers
  • Broncos (-4) vs. Cardinals
  • Eagles (-4.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs. Texans

Jets vs. Patriots Round II: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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Better late than never, here are 12 predictions for tonight’s showdown, which is arguably the most hyped Jets regular season game in franchise history — How long have we been waiting for this game by the way?

1. Tonight will be the night Mark Sanchez puts to rest any lingering questions about him as one of the best young quarterbacks in football. He has exceeded everybody’s expectations throughout the season and will continue his strong 2010 season by throwing for over 250 yards, 2 touchdowns, and not having more than one turnover.

2. Tom Brady is going to put together a stronger than usual performance against a Rex Ryan defense. The Jets secondary is getting his “A” game tonight. Brady will also throw for over 250 yards and a pair of touchdowns. However, he will throw his fifth interception of the season tonight.

3. Shonn Greene will lead the Jets in carries and rushing yards. LaDainian Tomlinson will be involved in the offense but primarily through the passing game. Tomlinson will have less than 10 carries but at least 5 receptions.

4. Danny Woodhead will have no more than 60 total yards of offense but will score a touchdown, followed by mass hysteria from Jets fans on Twitter.

5. New England’s leading receiver will be Aaron Hernandez or Rob Gronkowski. Darrelle Revis will spend the bulk of the night on Deion Branch and Wes Welker. Antonio Cromartie will either be covering one of the tight ends, Brandon Tate, or Branch.

6. Jerricho Cotchery will be reliable on punt returns, not muffing any but also not providing any big plays. He will grab at least three receptions in his return to the Jets offense.

7. BenJarvus Green-Ellis won’t have more than 45 yards rushing. The Patriots will be largely one dimensional on offense throughout this game.

8. Both teams won’t hesitate to use trick plays on offense or special teams. Keep an eye on for reverses, toss passes, reverse passes, surprise onside kicks, fake field goals, fake punts or anything along those lines.

9. Jason Taylor will record his fifth sack of the season tonight but overall the Jets will struggle to consistently get to Brady.

10. Mark Sanchez won’t be sacked more than once by New England’s weak pass rush.

11. Both field goal kickers will miss at least one very make-able kick tonight.

12. Your final score? I am taking the Jets 34-31 in a shoot-out and in one of the best games played of the 2010 NFL regular season. This will be a landmark win in the young Rex Ryan/Mark Sanchez era.

Jets vs. Bengals: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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A very special Thanksgiving edition of the 12 pack…

1. Enough is enough. The Jets are going to break through and finally intercept a couple of passes. I know I have said this in previous weeks, but c’mon now this is Carson Palmer we are talking about. It time for 2-3 interceptions in a single game by this secondary.

2. Inactive list – Jerricho Cotchery, Dwight Lowery, Marquice Cole, Damien Woody, Jeff Cumberland, Kellen Clemens, Marcus Dixon, Jamaal Westerman

3. Terrell Owens will have less than 35 yards receiving…and still run his mouth after the game.

4. The Jets will try to re-establish Shonn Greene’s confidence early and for the third week in a row he will finish with more carries than LaDainian Tomlinson. Greene will also score his second touchdown of the season.

5. Dustin Keller is way overdue for a touchdown. He hasn’t scored since week 4. This is the week he gets touchdown number six.

6. Mark Sanchez won’t throw for 300 yards but he will add another 2 touchdowns to his season total without producing any turnovers.

7. The Jets will spend plenty of time in their “Tiger” formation which gashed the Bengals last regular season. Brad Smith will have at least 45 total offensive yards and a big kick return.

8. Calvin Pace will record a multiple sack game and provide some hope for the Jets pass rush moving forward into December.

9. LaDainian Tomlinson will have at least 5 more receptions to add to his team leading total. Braylon Edwards will also have a big game, as Cincinnati has nobody to match-up on him since they will likely put Leon Hall on Santonio Holmes and Jonathan Joseph is hurt.

10. Chad Ochcocinco will unfortunately score a touchdown. Fortunately, it will likely be in garbage time since the Bengals spend most of their season in garbage time.

11. The Jets are getting a comfortable 30-14 win. That being said, considering the way this season is going they will probably go up 30-14, fall behind 31-30 with 8 seconds left and then complete a 90 touchdown to Patrick Turner or something like that to win.

12. Happy Thanksgiving to all the readers, followers, commenters, and anybody else who takes the time to stopt by the site, facebook page, or twitter account…you could be anywhere in the world, but you’re here with me…and I appreciate that.

Week 12 Picks (Lines From BetUS)

  • Lions (+8.5) vs. Patriots
  • Saints (-4.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Jets (-9) vs. Bengals
  • Vikings (+1) vs. Redskins
  • Bills (+8) vs. Steelers
  • Jags (+7) vs. Giants
  • Bucs (+7.5) vs. Ravens
  • Eagles (-4.5) vs. Bears
  • Falcons (-1) vs. Packers
  • Chiefs (-2.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Broncos (-4) vs. Rams
  • Chargers (+3) vs. Colts
  • I refuse to pick the MNF Game because it is so terrible the NFC West should never be featured in prime-time.

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Jets vs. Texans: 12 Pack Of Predictions

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It’s about that time…

1. Mark Sanchez is going to throw for 300 yards for the second time in three weeks as he continues to flourish in the Jets offense during his second year. The Texans have a brutal secondary and unlike last year, the Jets are now equipped to advantage of it.

2. Shonn Greene will get more carries than LaDainian Tomlinson for the second week in a row and start building momentum for a big time December. Don’t worry about LT though, he will still get 13-15 carries along with 3-5 receptions.

3. The inactive list – Jerricho Cotchery, Marquice Cole, Dwight Lowery, Kellen Clemens, Marcus Dixon, Vladimir Ducasse, Josh Mauga, Matt Kroul

4. Andre Johnson will have less than 50 yards receiving, as Darrelle Revis does what he did to him last year and what he did to Calvin Johnson a few weeks back.

5. Arian Foster isn’t going to be the first running back to get 100 yards on the Jets this season.

6. Braylon Edwards is going to have his first 100 yard game of the season, as Houston keys on Santonio Holmes who is coming off back to back big games.

7. The Texans two leading receivers are going to be Jacoby Jones and Joel Dressen as they attack the Jets safeties and #3 and #4 corners.

8. Kyle Wilson is going to break big punt return this week for 30 yards or more.

9. The Jets are going to finally get an interception this week. I am guessing it will be Antonio Cromartie who pulls in his third of the season.

10. Nick Folk is going to miss another field goal, giving us all indigestion heading into December.

11. Patrick Turner will take the bulk of the reps for Jerricho Cotchery and record his first reception of the season.

12. If you haven’t been able to tell already I am supremely confident in the Jets this week. Houston does not match-up well with them and is in the midst of a 3 game losing streak. The Jets have the ability to take away the two best things Houston does on offense: throw to Andre Johnson and handoff to Arian Foster, and the Texans defense is brutal. There is no way they are coming into the New Meadowlands in late November and winning this game. I am picking the Jets 27-10.

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Week 11 Picks (Lines Courtesy of BetUs)

  • Raiders (+7) vs. Pittsburgh
  • Ravens (-11.5) vs. Panthers
  • Redskins (+7) vs. Titans
  • Cowboys (-7) vs. Lions
  • Packers (-3.5) vs. Vikings
  • Bills (+5.5) vs. Bengals
  • Browns (-1.5) vs. Jaguars
  • Cardinals (+8) vs. Chiefs
  • Saints (-11) vs. Seahawks
  • Falcons (-3.5) vs. Rams
  • Bucs (+3.5) vs. 49ers
  • Peyton Manning (+4) vs. Patriots
  • Mike Vick Show (-3.5) vs. Giants
  • Chargers (-9) vs. Broncos

Jets vs. Browns: 12 Pack of Predictions

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Nothing better or more refreshing than a 12 pack from TOJ to start off your weekend

1. I like the under (38) in this game. It is going to be a physical, defensive struggle in which I think the first team to 20 is going to win. Both units with be throwing a myriad of confusing looks at the opponent’s young quarterbacks who will need time to adjust.

2. It is All-Disappointment week for the Jets, with Vernon Gholston likely starting, Kyle Wilson moving back into the nickel role, and Joe McKnight being active for the first time since week 4. I predict Gholston won’t be getting his first NFL sack, Wilson will show some improvements from earlier in the year, and McKnight will actually get an offensive touch that isn’t in garbage time.

3. Inactive list – Marquice Cole, Kellen Clemens, Jarron Gilbert, Marcus Dixon, Josh Mauga, Vladimir Ducasse, Jeff Cumberland, Jamaal Westerman.

4. This is the week it finally happens…Shonn Greene gets more carries than LaDainian Tomlinson and starts to look like the Jets #1 back.

5. Braylon Edwards is going to have his first 100 yard game of the season and get in the end-zone. Get ready for the Dougie, Dawg Pound.

6. The Browns will pull at least one trick play on offense and one trick play on special teams. Mangini will be dumping out the playbook to upset his former team.

7. Mark Sanchez and Colt McCoy will both turn the ball over, whichever team takes bigger advantage of the opposing quarterback’s mistakes will go a long to deciding the outcome.

8. I think there will be a Calvin Pace sighting this week. He is too good of a player to be quiet this many weeks in a row. Jason Taylor? I think he might be moving into being a major disappointment this year.

9. Jerricho Cotchery is going to play less than 30 reps this week, as his demotion into the #3 receiver role is fully cemented.

10. Peyton Hillis is going to run for less than 100 yards. I got faith in Sione Pouha, Mike DeVito, Shaun Ellis, Bart Scott, and David Harris to keep doing what they’ve been doing all season.

11. Abram Elam is giving up a big play in the passing game…because, he is Abram Elam after all.

12. I like the Jets in an ugly, sloppy game that won’t quiet any questions about when they are going to finally put it all together. I am taking them 16-13.

Week 10 Picks (Lines Courtesy of BetUS)

  • Peyton Manning (-7) vs. Bengals
  • Jaguars (PK) vs. Texans
  • Titans (-3) vs. Dolphins
  • Vikings (-2.5) vs. Bears
  • Bills (-3) vs. Lions
  • Bucs (-7) vs. Panthers
  • Chiefs (-2.5) vs. Broncos
  • Rams (+5) vs. 49ers
  • Cardinals (-3.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Giants (-13.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Steelers (-4) vs. Patriots
  • Eagles (-3.5) vs. Redskins