New York Jets: Week 4 Offensive Review

Dan Essien with a statistical review of the Jets week 4 matchup against the Broncos

The Jets offense needs to be under the microscope. This season, this offensive review segment will take a deeper look at how functional this offense is from week to week. We’ll analyze offensive efficiency, play-calling, personnel, and other data points. This will also help us take a deeper look at where Sam Darnold succeeds and where he struggles. I’ll also be marking improvements or regressions against the season average for certain stats. Next up is the Jets week 4 matchup against the Broncos.

Result: Broncos 37 – Jets 28

General

Total Plays: 74
Total Yards: 321
Yards per play: 4.3
Turnovers: 0
Time of possession (+/-): -3:18 (28:21 vs 31:39)

Drives

Total Drives: 11
Total Plays: 74
Scoring Drives: 6 
Plays per drive: 6.7
Points per drive: 2
Yards per drive: 29.2
3 and outs:
↓ (9% of drives were 3 and outs)

Efficiency/Chains

3rd down conversions: 42% (8/19)
4th down conversions:
0% (0/2) →
Red-zone TD conversion: 0% (0/3)
2nd and 5 or less:
25% (5/27)
3rd and 5 or less: 50% (10/20)

Play-calling/Personnel

1st down play types:  18 Pass, 10 Run
2nd and 10+ play calls: 8 Pass, 5 Run
3rd and 5+ play calls: 8 Pass (0 screens)
% of plays with motion: 4%
% of plays w/ play action: 6.8% (11.4% of pass attempts)

Personnel Breakdown

11 (1 RB, 1 TE) – 70% (52/74)
12 (1 RB, 2 TE) – 5% (4/74)
21 (2 RB, 1 TE) – 1% (1/74)
1 RB, 0 TE – 9% (7/74)
2 RB, 0 TE – 1% (1/74)
1 RB, 3 TE – 3% (2/74)
0 RB, 1 TE – 5% (4/74)
0 RB, 0 TE – 4% (3/74)

Distribution

Top 5 – Total Intended Touches (targets and carries) + Yards per Intended Touch
  1. Frank Gore (16 total, 13 carries, 3 targets) // 2.25 yards per intended touch (36 yards on 16 intended touches)
  2. Jamison Crowder (10) // 10.4 yards per intended touch (104 yards on 10 targets)
  3. Jeff Smith (9) // 9 yards per intended touch (81 yards on 9 targets)
  4. Chris Hogan (8) // 2.9 yards per intended touch (23 yards on 8 targets)
  5. LaMichal Perine (5) // 3 yards per intended touch (15 yards on 5 carries)
Top 5 – Total Passing Targets
  1. Jamison Crowder (10)
  2. Jeff Smith (9)
  3. Chris Hogan (8)
  4. Chris Herndon (3)
  5. Kalen Ballage (3)

Passing Risk & Protection

% of pass attempts 15+ yards (from LOS): 25% (11/44)
% of pass attempts 10-15 yards (from LOS): 20% (9/44)
% of pass attempts 1-10 yards (from LOS): 54% (24/44)
% of pass attempts at or behind LOS: 0% (0/44)

Completion % on pass attempts 15+ yards (from LOS): 27.3% (3/11)
Completion % on pass attempts 10+ yards (from LOS): 40% (8/20)
Completion % on pass attempts less than 10 yards (from LOS): 58.3% (14/24)

Average completion air distance (from LOS): 7.3 yards
(not including Flacco’s 4 yard average on 2 attempts)

Average number of rushers faced: 5.6 
% of pressures on pass attempts:
36%

Sam Darnold passing chart

Additional Notes:

This was the Jets best offensive output of the season. 321 total yards is their highest mark through 4 weeks. The league average for total yards in 369.5.  They still only averaged 2 points per drive. The league average is 2.32. On the season, the Jets are averaging 1.34 points per drive. They were also 0 for 3 converting red zone touchdowns. Their only offensive touchdown came on a Darnold miracle run.

The Jets made a bunch of drastic changes offensively in week 4, perhaps a result of desperation. They completely abandoned the screen game, despite having more receivers healthy. This did not, however, result in an offense with more risk. Percentage-wise, they still took the same amount of shots downfield relative to the total attempts. They also gave up on using motion. I only recorded 3 total plays that featured motion out of their season-high 74 plays.

Adam Gase’s play-calling continues to hamstring the offense, particularly in the red-zone. There was a sequence in this game where the Jets were near scoring and Gase called 2 straight runs to Frank Gore and then a pass that featured Frank Gore running wheel route. That drive, of course, then ended in a field goal. The Jets have a hard enough time getting to the red-zone, but to then have no idea how to score touchdowns once they do get there is the mark of a lost offense.

Adam Gase remains determined to feature Gore in the Jets offense despite the clear and obvious poor results. Gore’s average of 2.25 yards per intended touch in week 4 was consistent with his 3.1 yard average on the season. Depending on a 38-year-old running back with a fresh rookie running back behind him seems counterproductive but who can say?