This week’s Championship weekend picks and a few random thoughts on the New York Jets offense…
1 – Tennessee (+7.5)
Don’t ignore the team who gets hot at the right time. The Titans have a 2007/2011 New York Giants (yuck) vibe to them right now. If they can win in New England and win in Baltimore, why can’t they keep it close and maybe steal one in Kansas City? The 51 points from the Chiefs is fresh in everyone’s mind but let’s remember how Andy Reid’s offense has looked out of the gates in their past three playoff games with Patrick Mahomes. If the Titans can linger and keep this competitive into the 4th quarter, the Chiefs can/will get tight and the upset will be there for the taking.2 – San Francisco (-7.5)
One close game. One blowout…well maybe not a blowout but I am expecting something similar to the 49ers/Vikings game last week…a fairly dull, straightforward double digit beating where the result isn’t in question after the 3rd quarter.
3 – Titans/Chiefs (Over 53)
The Titans hit 28 last weekend against a superior Ravens defense. When these teams met in November they combined for 67 points (a Titans victory in Tennessee). Get on this now before the line climbs higher.4 – Packers/49ers (Over 46)
This feels like a backdoor/garbage time touchdown from Green Bay that pushes it over the top. Something like 30-17 or 30-20. 46 is just a bit too low for my liking.
5 – Your Two Teasers
- Tennessee +13.5, Tennessee/Kanas City over 47, San Francisco -1.5
- Green Bay/San Francisco over 40, San Francisco -1.5, KC -1.5
6 – Your Two Parlays
- Tennessee +7.5, San Francisco ML
- Green Bay/San Francisco over, San Francisco ML
7 – Jets fans are sleeping on the importance of bringing back Kelvin Beachum in free agency. Everyone only remembers Myles Garrett destroying him on Monday Night Football but leaving him one on one all night with Trevor Siemian at quarterback was coaching stupidity (surprise!). Look up Sam Darnold’s splits with and without Beachum this year. He is a somewhat competent tackle who is capable of starting, if he walks, the Jets need to find two starting tackles, re-sign their starting guard (Alex Lewis), find another starting guard to replace Brian Winters and find a new center…good luck doing all that in one offseason.
8 – Le’Veon Bell is good as gone as Adam Gase is in the process of successfully banishing another talented offensive player away to a different team where he’ll be more successful. A smart team will find a way to onboard his contract and make use of him next season while the Jets will enter the offseason with zero running backs under contract. If both Bell and Robby Anderson don’t return, the Jets will be looking to replace 130+ receptions before next season. So much for continuity being important for Sam Darnold.
9 – I’d bet on Adam Gase finding a way to bring Demaryius Thomas back on a one year contract, while I am guessing the Jets and Quincy Enunwa will mutually work on a way to part. If the Jets enter the NFL Draft with Jamison Crowder, Thomas and Vyncint Smith, they are going to need to take at least two swings at the position among their picks.
10 – If the Jets are going to dip into the wide receiver free agent market, Rashard Higgins from Cleveland could be an interesting swing. He has had trouble staying healthy but anyone who is going to hit the market will have some caveats. Higgins is a versatile receiver who was a big reason Baker Mayfield had success his rookie season.
11 – It will be interesting to see if the Jets run it back with Trevor Siemian as their backup quarterback or try to find a superior option. Darnold has missed three games in each of his first two seasons so they’d be wise to take their quarterback depth seriously in 2020.
12 – Let’s end with a positive – Chris Herndon should be back and healthy next year and tight end will be one position the Jets should enter feeling good about their depth in 2020.
Playoff Picks: 8-5