Welcome back to another edition of the Turn On The Jets 12 Pack. Make sure to check out our store at The Loyalist! and to subscribe to the TOJ podcast (hit us with a rating!). Also check out my interview WFAN this past week discussing the team’s draft class…
12 post draft thoughts on the state of the New York Jets…
1 – Offensive Line – The Jets potential for problems on the offensive line go beyond settling with Jonotthan Harrison as a prospective starter at center, a player who has not played more than 60% of the offensive snaps in a season since 2015 and as recently as 2017, only played 10% of them. We have seen the trickle down effect of poor center play in recent years from both Spencer Long and Wesley Johnson and we don’t have any tangible proof that Harrison can be a competent 16 game starter. It may be easier to feel good about his prospects if his surrounding talent was better but it is littered with question marks.
The most stable player has been Kelvin Beachum, who has been both durable and competent. Kelechi Osemele was one of the best guards in the NFL during the 2016 and 2017 seasons but is coming off an injury plagued 2018. There is reason for optimism he can return to his former self but it is far from guaranteed. Elsewhere, Brian Winters is a below average starter who has been banged up fairly consistently throughout his career (prior to last year when he was healthy, he played about 75% of the team’s snaps in both 2016 and 2017). Brandon Shell is returning from a major injury and has missed between 2-4 games each of the past two years, playing leas than 70% of the team’s snaps in 2017.
We will find out right out of the gate how big of a problem this unit is, as they face four of the league’s best defensive fronts in their first six games: Buffalo, Cleveland, Philadelphia and Dallas while also playing New England twice, who is always crafty with how they get after the quarterback. Let’s hope this isn’t a 2014 redux where a team with a shaky secondary got a gauntlet of passing offenses early in the season, which put their record in too big of a hole to dig out of.2 – Cornerback – At cornerback, Daryl Roberts did play 64% of the defensive snaps last year but prior to that was well under 5o% in each of his previous two seasons. You would feel better about him if Trumaine Johnson looked like he could live up to his contract last year or they were more proven at slot cornerback (Brian Poole is likely to be a lateral move from Buster Skrine). Johnson is a critical player to the Jets success’ this season and could help make a shaky cornerback group on paper more palatable.
3 – Running Back – It slid under the radar but the signing of Ty Montgomery was a savvy one that will add further versatility to the Jets offense and potentially fill their hole at kick returner. Elijah McGuire is not equipped to be a #2 back and Trenton Cannon probably doesn’t merit being a rostered player on a team who is better than 4-12. Montgomery has plenty of flaws but will be better equipped to handle the limited rushing load behind Le’Veon Bell than McGuire would and as a former receiver, can offer even more flexibility in the passing game.
4 – Suspension Guess: We’ll find out at some point before training camp that Chris Herndon is going to be suspended for two games to start the season, leaving the Jets with Trevon Wesco and Jordan Leggett as their top two guys in week 1 and week 2.
5 – Trade Guess: At some point right around the beginning of training camp, the Jets will trade Darron Lee for either another team’s backup cornerback or for a 2020 conditional 5th round pick.6 – Can We Be Normal? This is the best chance in awhile the Jets will have to net both a 1,000 yard rusher (Bell) and 1,000 yard receiver (Anderson) on the same roster. The Jets have not had a 1,000 yard receiver since 2015 (Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker) and then before that did not have one since 2007 (Jerricho Cotchery). 2015 was also when they had their last 1,000 yard rusher (Chris Ivory) and it was the only time this decade the Jets had both a 1,000 yard receiver and rusher on their roster. My guess is that Bell easily exceeds 1,000 rushing yards but Anderson comes just under 1,000 receiving yards.
7 – With My Woes: The Jets are currently tied for the 8th longest playoff drought of any big four (basketball, football, baseball, hockey) professional sports team in America. They are only behind the Mariners, Browns, Marlins, Padres, Kings, Bucs, White Sox and tied with the Suns.
8 – Five Underrated Jets By Fans: Kelvin Beachum, Brandon Copeland, Robby Anderson, Steve McLendon, Ty Montgomery
9 – Five Overrated Jets By Fans: Brandon Shell, Elijah McGuire, Trenton Cannon, Brian Poole, Chandler Catanzaro
10 – May 1st prediction on Jets top six target leaders in the passing game
- Le’Veon Bell
- Jamsion Crowder
- Robby Anderson
- Quincy Enunwa
- Chris Herndon
- Ty Montgomery
11 – May 1st 53 man roster prediction
- QB: Sam Darnold, Trevor Siemian
- RB: Le’Veon Bell, Ty Montgomery, Elijah McGuire
- TE: Chris Herndon, Trevon Wesco, Jordan Leggett
- WR: Robby Anderson, Quincy Enunwa, Jamison Crowder, Josh Bellamy, Deontary Burnett, Greg Dortch
- OT: Kelvin Beachum, Brandon Shell, Chuma Edoga, Brent Qvale
- OG: Brian Winters, Kelechi Osemele, Tom Compton
- C: Jonotthan Harrison, Jon Toth
- DL: Quinnen Williams, Leonard Williams, Henry Anderson, Steve McLendon, Nathan Shephard, Foley Fatukasi
- ILB: CJ Mosley, Avery Williamson, Neville Hewitt, Blake Cashman
- Edge: Jachai Polite, Jordan Jenkins, Brandon Copeland, Franke Luvu, Tarell Basham
- CB: Trumaine Johnson, Brian Poole, Daryl Roberts, Derrick Jones, Parry Nickerson, Rashard Robinson, Jeremy Clark
- S: Jamal Adams, Marcus Maye, Rontez Miles, John Battle, Doug Middleton
- ST: Thomas Hennessey, Lachlan Edwards, Chandler Catanzaro
12 – May 1st AFC Power Rankings
- New England – Defending Champs
- Cleveland – Best roster on paper in the AFC
- Indianapolis – Overachieved last year. Only getting better with their GM/HC/QB combination.
- Kansas City – Defense and no Hill will be a problem but Mahomes is Gawd.
- Los Angeles – Stacked up roster, especially on defense. May be able to surpass KC in West this season.
- Baltimore – Jackson will get better and the infrastructure is there to keep them in playoff mix.
- Houston – Not a well run team but the talent of Watson, Watt, Hopkins and Clowney will regularly bail them out.
- Pittsburgh – Third best team in the AFC North these days?
- Jets – Need Darnold to make a leap and for the offensive line to hold up to allow that to happen.
- Jacksonville – Does a reasonable quarterback make them a contender again?
- Tennessee – Jets/Jaguars/Titans are all interchangeable at this point. Quietly had a nice offseason adding Adam Humphries and Roger Saffold to offense.
- Raiders – Substantially more juice on offense but still feel a year away after total roster annihilation last year.
- Buffalo – Aggressive offseason won’t matter if Josh Allen can’t complete more passes.
- Denver – Flacco isn’t the answer.
- Cincinnati – Arguably the least inspiring offseason in the NFL.
- Miami – Planning for 2020 but will probably hit 5 wins like 2017 Jets.