2018 NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Week Seventeen

Jake Benaquisto with his week 17 NFL Best Bets…

My thoughts on the Jim Harbaugh / Jets rumors: 

If I had to wager on it, I think Harbaugh ultimately stays at Michigan, especially now that Urban Meyer will no longer coaching. But let’s say the Jets offer him $10 million per year to be their Head Coach with control over player personnel. He has to at least think about it, right?

Sam Darnold, Robby Anderson, and Chris Herndon are making this job look more attractive with each passing week. With their young core on offense, a top five draft pick, and a ton of cap space, Jim Harbaugh could reasonably be the coach that brings this team back to the playoffs.

Again, I’m not necessarily optimistic about it, but I’d be thrilled if the Jets made this happen. Harbaugh would be the disciplinarian that this team has lacked for years and is a lot more intriguing than taking some offensive coordinator without any HC experience. It’s an aggressive move that comes with a lot of risk, but has the potential to be just what this franchise needs.

Houston -6.5 vs. Jacksonville

Losing Demariyus Thomas is not ideal, but I trust Deshaun Watson. In their last-second loss to the Eagles, he had another great game, throwing for two touchdowns and 339 yards. Houston needs to beat Jacksonville for first place in the AFC South and I think they take care of business at home.

I’m taking Watson and the Texans to win this game easily, 27-17.

NY Jets +13.5 at New England

Anyone who has watched the Patriots lately will tell you that this team is extremely flawed. Gronk is a shell of his former self and Tom Brady looks like a 41 year old quarterback with old and limited weapons.

I like the Jets here because of Sam Darnold, who played his best football of the season versus the Packers. The rookie has legitimately looked like an All Pro-level talent in recent weeks, and I expect him to have another encouraging game in New England. I still think the Patriots win, but they are not good enough to cover by two touchdowns.

Patriots win a close one, 28-24.

Tampa Bay +1.5 vs. Atlanta

I’m not sure why the Buccaneers are getting points at home here. Tampa is just as good, if not better than the Falcons, and I expect their offense to score at ease against them. Jameis Winston may be auditioning for a new team, so I think he ends the season on a high note.

Give me the Bucs to win 31-21.

San Francisco +10 at LA Rams

Kyle Shanahan usually has his team buttoned-up for divisional games, but the Rams embarrassed the 49ers earlier in the season. I like the revenge angle for San Francisco and think they keep this game close.

49ers cover but Rams win the game, 23-17.

Chicago +5.5 at Minnesota

This feels like the exact kind of game that Kirk Cousins loses. Playoffs are essentially on the line for the Vikings and he’s facing the best defense in the league.

I know Chicago is already a lock for the three seed in the NFC, but I don’t expect Matt Nagy to pull back in this game. Not only will the Bears play hard, but I think they go into Minnesota and win the game outright.

Bears win in an upset, 22-18.


Week Sixteen Record: 2-2-1

Season Record: 38-41-1