2018 NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Week Ten

Jake Benaquisto with his week 10 NFL Best Bets…

If I ever bet on Todd Bowles and the Jets in any way again this season, please come to my house and punch me in the forehead. Despite that horrific game, I still managed to go 3-2 last week. Before I give my picks, here are a few thoughts on the NFL as we go into week 10. 

  1. It’s no guarantee, but if the Steelers ever get back Le’Veon Bell, I think they’re the favorites to win the AFC. That offense was an absolute machine against the Panthers on Thursday. 
  2. I’ve already reached the point of the season where I’m just rooting for the Jets to lose. As sad as it is, I don’t want there to be any reason for this front office and coaching staff to return. The Darnold injury is frustrating and I’ll root for him when he comes back, but wins do absolutely nothing for this team. It’s time to clean house and build a contender around your franchise QB. 

Atlanta -5.5 at Cleveland

This is more of a bet against Cleveland, if I’m being honest. I haven’t seen anything from their offense that would convince me to bet on the Browns. They’ve scored more than 23 points just once this season and it was against the Raiders. That hardly counts, because Oakland is even more dysfunctional than Cleveland right now. I’ll bet Atlanta here, who is still very alive in the NFC Wild Card hunt. Falcons win 23-14.

Chicago -6.5 vs Detroit

Detroit’s offensive line is atrocious. They gave up 10 sacks against the Vikings last week, and now they face another loaded front seven with Chicago. Khalil Mack is fully healthy and off the injury report, so I expect it to be a long day for Matthew Stafford. Bears win comfortably at home, 24-10.

Washington +3 at Tampa Bay

I get the Redskins here, a much better team, and they’re getting points? Count me in. I’m not the biggest Alex Smith fan, but this Buccaneers team is ranked 32nd in total defense on Football Outsiders. In addition to this, they don’t even have much of a home field advantage. Tampa is 11-16 against the spread at home since Jameis Winston’s rookie year in 2015.  Give me Washington to get back on track and win this game easily, 27-20.

New England -6.5 at Tennessee

Tennessee is a week removed from their biggest win of the season after winning a Monday Night Football game in Dallas. Now they get to play the Patriots, who are starting to play at their usual dominant level. I think this game has the chance to be over quickly, so I’ll happily take New England swallowing the points. Patriots win 36-21.

Philadelphia -6.5 vs. Dallas

I’ve seen enough from the Cowboys this season. As much as I like their pass rush, their offense is one of the most boring to watch in the NFL. Even with Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot, and Amari Cooper, that coaching staff cannot figure out how to call a decent game. I think the Eagles are starting to get healthy and could go on a big run soon to take over the NFC East. Philadelphia wins 31-17.

Week Nine Record: 3-2

Season Record: 23-22