TOJ Let’s Get Weird: Week 5 – Jets vs. Broncos

Dan Essien get’s weird with the New York Jets week 5 matchup against the Denver Broncos.

The New York Jets are stuck in a stretch of fairly poor form right now as they try to break a three game losing streak. With some starting to question the leadership of this team, it’s more important now to dive deep. Let’s look at some stats and observations ahead as we prepare for week 5 against the Broncos.

Game Notes

Curious Case Keenum

Case Keenum led the Vikings to the NFC Championship game last season after taking over for Sam Bradford. He had clearly the best year of his career last season after mostly being a high quality backup for the most part. So far this season he’s ranked 31st in passer rating, 29th in completion percentage, 23rd in yards per attempt, and is tied for the 2nd most interceptions thrown. It’s been a slow start for the veteran, to say the least. The Jets defense has been somewhat opportunistic this season, despite the losses. They are tied for the 3rd most takeaways so far this season. If the Jets can stop the run (and that’s a big if with Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman), forcing Keenum into bad situation could lead to some game-changing turnovers.

Bad memories

When the Jets faced off against Denver last season, basically everything went wrong. But most notably, Josh McCown broke his left hand and was knocked out for the rest of the season. The Jets managed just 100 total yards that game, as their offense was shutout in the 23-0 loss. The Broncos defense hasn’t dropped off at all, despite losing Aqib Talib, particularly after the addition of Bradley Chubb. With the Jets offense live already having issues protecting Sam Darnold so far this season, I think the main goal you want as a Jets fan is for Darnold to make it out of this game in one piece. The Broncos secondary isn’t going to make too many mistakes, so the Jets need to find creative ways to take pressure off of Darnold. Otherwise, it’ll be a painful game.

Predictions

Defensive takeover

The Jets defense hasn’t been at their best so far this season. However, the Jets defense (14th overall in total yards allowed) is better than the Chiefs defense (32nd overall in total yards allowed) who the Broncos just faced on Monday night. I expect the Broncos to be unprepared for the sudden change, facing the Jets defense at MetLife. Look for the Jets defense to return the favor a bit from last season on defense. I think they’ll hold them under 250 yards on Sunday.

Darron Lee Identity

Darron Lee got off to quick start in week 1 and has been quite a bit better than he was his previous seasons with the Jets so far through week 4. He has however, been a bit quieter through some of these struggle games. The Broncos are going to try to force the run down the Jets throat. It’s gonna get physical. This is an ideal game for Darron Lee to truly show how far he has come. Expect him to lead the team in tackles on Sunday and get well acquainted with Lindsay and Freedom in the backfield.

Random

It was all Yellow

The Jets are yet to have fewer than 5 penalties in a game this season. However, the Broncos overall have more penalties than the Jets this season, including a 13 penalty performance against the Ravens in week 3. This game has the potential to have a bit of yellow. Be prepared for the referees to be very involved.