I went an abysmal 0-5 against the spread on my ‘best bets’ last week. I may need to go see a witch doctor or something to get myself out of this funk. Luckily, I love my picks this week and can already feel a hot streak coming. Here are some takeaways from an NFL weekend that cost me a lot of money:
- Sam Darnold and the Jets bounced back in a big way against Denver last Sunday. Not only did Darnold throw three touchdowns and make a few mesmerizing throws, but the Jets defense played lights out compared to their effort against Jacksonville.
- The Giants are a circus and I am 100% here for it. OBJ and Saquon are promising building blocks, but the fact that Eli is still starting under center is both confusing and hilarious.
- One of the teams that I loved going into this season was the Falcons, which now looks pretty foolish. No one could have predicted the injuries they’ve had on defense, but that team has looked lifeless.
LA Chargers +1 at Cleveland
I’ve been on the Chargers a lot this season and am continuing to roll with them here. If they were two or three point favorites, I probably stay away from this game. However, getting a point against the Browns is too enticing to pass up. Cleveland is coming off two overtime games in a row, which you can assume takes a toll on a team. Give me the Chargers to win this one, 23-21.
Seattle -2.5 at Oakland
I usually try to avoid betting on London games, but I’m willing to make an exception for the Raiders. Simply put, I have very little faith that Jon Gruden will have this team ready to play in an international game. Seahawks win comfortably, 27-14.
Denver +7.5 vs. LA Rams
The Rams are due for a letdown game. This is their second road game in a row, they’re banged up, and it may snow on Sunday in Denver. With Todd Gurley, the Rams should have no problem running the ball, but I still don’t see them winning this game by more than a touchdown. I’ll take the Rams to win outright, but Broncos cover the 7.5 point spread, 24-23.
Tennessee +2.5 vs. Baltimore
Going with another team getting points at home here, but I actually like the Titans to win outright. Tennessee lost their stud LT Taylor Lewan during the Bills game last week, but he just returned to practice and will be ready to play on Sunday. Look for this game to be ugly and low scoring with Tennessee pulling away late. Titans win 20-17.
New England -3.5 vs. Kansas City
Taking the Patriots with ten days to prepare for their opponent just feels like easy money. I think a majority of the public is jumping on the Chiefs and the points, so I’m going the other direction. New England’s offense is starting to click with Julian Edelman returning and the emergence of Sony Michel. Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense will likely be without Justin Houston and Eric Berry. As much as I’d like to see Mahomes continue to ball out, I think he gets his first loss of the season this week. Patriots win 35-26.
Week 5 Record: 0-5
Season Record: 10-15