NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Wild Card Weekend Edition

Week 17 Recap: Another week of just barely missing perfection, as I went 4-1 against the spread. I was able to end the regular season on a positive note and my record improved to 50-34-1. The NFL playoffs are practically a holiday for degenerate gamblers such as myself, and I’m ready to dive into these Wild Card Weekend games. 

Kansas City -8.5 vs. Tennessee  

Tennessee ended their regular season in a very uninspiring effort, as they lost 3 of their last 4.  Although they beat the Jaguars in week 17, it was clear that Jacksonville was more preoccupied with getting ready for the playoffs. This is a bad matchup for the Titans and Marcus Mariota, who is playing in his first postseason game. The Chiefs are significantly better at QB, head coach, overall roster, and they get the home field advantage. Need I say more? Kansas City wins this one easily, 26-14.

LA Rams -5.5 vs. Atlanta 

I think this would be a much more competitive game if it was being played in Atlanta, but I just don’t trust the Falcons to cover on the road. Although the Falcons have a respectable defense, there aren’t many teams that are capable of slowing down the Rams’ high-powered offense. Additionally, the Falcons offense and Matt Ryan have noticeably regressed this season without Kyle Shanahan. They haven’t scored more than 24 points since week 12, and I don’t see that changing against Aaron Donald and the LA defense. I like the Rams to win and cover 31-23.

Jacksonville -8.5 vs. Buffalo 

Congratulations to the Bills for finally making the playoffs for the first time since 1999. Watching Buffalo celebrate their playoff berth last week reminded me of when the Jets beat the Patriots in the 2010 playoffs and acted like they won the Super Bowl, which isn’t a good sign for Bills fans. Jacksonville isn’t perfect, especially with Blake Bortles at QB, but that defense has serious playmakers all over the field. With LeSean McCoy’s status for the game in question, I think the Bills’ offense could have real trouble moving the ball. Jaguars win 3o-17.

Carolina +7 at New Orleans 

Prior to their week 17 loss against the Falcons, Carolina was one of the hottest teams in football. They won 7 out of 8 games, and their only loss during that stretch was against New Orleans. I expect Carolina to be motivated and hungry for revenge against their division rival, who they lost to twice this season by double digits. I think this game is going to be very close and even if they don’t win, the Panthers should be able to cover the 7 point spread. I’ll take the Saints to win late by a field goal, 27-24.

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