Week 12 Recap: Back to mediocrity after going 2-3 on my picks. My season record is now 31-29, but I think I’m due for a hot streak that could start with these picks.
NY Jets +3.5 vs. Kansas City
I’d be devastated if this costs the Jets a top five pick in the draft, but I still like them getting 3.5 at home. As they do almost every week, the Jets looked like the better team last Sunday until they squandered another fourth quarter lead (looking at you, Todd Bowles). Carolina was gifted a fumble and punt return that both went for touchdowns, otherwise the Jets probably would have won that game. This feels like a bounce back week for the Jets, who are going up against the slumping Chiefs. I like them to upset Kansas City here and win, 23-21.
New Orleans -4.5 vs. Carolina
Coming off a tough loss against the Rams, I expect New Orleans to be motivated for this divisional matchup. According to teamrankings.com, the Saints are 25-16 ATS after a loss since 2012. As I mentioned above, the Panthers were outplayed last week and still won. They’ll have a tougher time this week going against the Saints, who get to play in front of their home crowd. I’m taking the Saints to win, 28-22.
LA Rams -6.5 at Arizona
The last time these two played was week 7, and the Rams won in a blowout 33-0. The Blaine Gabbert story was great last week, but now he’s facing this LA defense that is led by Aaron Donald. I expect the Rams offense to keep rolling and the Cardinals to come back down to Earth in this game. Rams win 28-17.
Oakland -8 vs. NY Giants
With all the drama surrounding the Giants this week, it seems like a no brainer to bet against them here. The Raiders get to lay less than 10 points against a team who just benched their beloved franchise QB for Geno Smith and are traveling across the country … need I say more? You can guarantee that Oakland will be included in every single teaser this week, and I like them without having to adjust the line. Raiders win 30-16.
Seattle +5.5 vs. Philadelphia
I’ve been on the Eagles all year, but they should not be laying 5.5 in Seattle’s territory. The Seahawks have arguably the best home field advantage in the NFL, and even great teams like the Eagles often struggle in this stadium. Seattle’s defense is banged up, but this feels like the type of game where Russell Wilson puts the entire team on his back and keeps it close. I’ll take the Eagles to win without covering, 27-24.
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