Week 7 Recap: Not very fun. I went 0-5, which puts my record at 17-18 for the season. I knew that when I had to root for Andy Dalton to come back against the Steelers, I probably deserved to lose.
Minnesota -9.5 at Cleveland
Laying 9.5 points is never a good idea, but I feel pretty good about the line against Cleveland. The Browns defense is banged up, as they will be without Myles Garrett for this game and DB Jason McCourty is doubtful to play. Meanwhile, the Vikings defense has been one of the top units in football this season. I feel like you should generally avoid betting games in London, but I trust the Vikings’ coaching staff to be prepared against the worst team in the league. Vikings win 26-13.
Carolina +2 at Tampa Bay
There’s been a lot of talk about Cam Newton being past his prime and mentally soft this week, so it seems like the perfect game for him and the offense to bounce back. Tampa Bay’s pass rush doesn’t scare anyone, so I think Cam is going to have time in the pocket for most of the game. Even though the offense was poor last week, Carolina’s defense continued to play well, and I think they’ll be able to limit the Buccaneers’ offense. Panthers win 28-22.
LA Chargers +7.5 at New England
With Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, the Chargers’ pass rush has potential to wreck havoc in this game. Tom Brady has already been sacked 18 times this season, and that number is likely going up this week. I think the Chargers defense is good enough to keep them in the game and cover the 7.5 points. Patriots win a close one, 27-23.
Pittsburgh -2.5 at Detroit
I’ve been wrong a few times this year on Pittsburgh, so I’m taking them to win and cover this week in Detroit. The Steelers offense seems to finally be in sync, and Le’Veon Bell has looked explosive lately. In the last two games, Bell has rushed for 313 yards and the Steelers are 2-0. This game could be a shootout, but I just don’t think the Lions defense will be able to stop the Steelers. Pittsburgh wins 34-30.
Kansas City -6.5 vs. Denver
The Chiefs are coming off two close losses, so I expect them to be pissed off and motivated for this game. Although Denver’s defense is still dominant, their offense has been horrendous this season. Arrowhead Stadium is one of the most significant home field advantages in football, so I like the the Chiefs laying less than a touchdown here. Kansas City wins 24-14.
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