NFL Best Bets Against the Spread – Week 3 Edition

Jake Benaquisto with his NFL Best Bets for week 3…

Week 2 Recap: It wasn’t pretty. I went 1-4 against the spread, and my record for the season is now 4-6. The Cardinals are a lot worse than I thought, as it took a Colts collapse in overtime for them to win without covering. Additionally, I made the mistake to take the Vikings +5.5 before the team announced that Sam Bradford was injured. Dallas and New Orleans also lost convincingly, so I’m thankful that Tampa Bay came through for me and covered. 

NY Jets +6.5 vs. Miami

If the Jets are going to win any games in 2017, these next few weeks are their best opportunity to do so. I’ve been on the pro-tank bandwagon for a while, so this bet is a win/win for me. As much as I want my pick to be right, the Jets continuing to lose with an eye for the number one pick in the draft is also very enticing. I actually thought the Jets overacheived for most of the game in Oakland last Sunday. Kalif Raymond’s fumble on the punt return before halftime gave the Raiders all the momentum, but before that the Jets were a lot more competitive than I anticipated. In their home opener against Miami, I think the Jets can surprise people and keep the game close. I don’t think they’re capable of pulling off the upset here, but I like their chances to cover the 6.5 point spread. Dolphins win 20-17 and the tank rolls on.

Chicago +7.5 vs. Pittsburgh

The Steelers have historically struggled as a favorite on the road. Since 2003, Pittsburgh is 29-35-2 against the spread in this situation, according to teamrankings.com. The Bears aren’t going to scare any teams this year, but they played well against the Falcons at home in week one. In addition to this, Chicago was successful as a home underdog in 2016, as they went 4-1 against the spread. I still think the Steelers will win this game, but I’m going to take the Bears and the points at home. Steelers win 27-20.

Atlanta -3 at Detroit

I’m as big of a Matt Stafford fan as anyone, but I just can’t trust the Lions after a big win on Monday Night Football. They looked good against the Cardinals and Giants, but now they play the Falcons, who just won convincingly against Green Bay in week 2. Laying points on the road is always risky, but Atlanta will be playing in a dome, so I think their offense shouldn’t have a problem putting points on the board. I like the Falcons to win this game 28-23.

Green Bay -8.5 vs. Cincinnati 

Every gambler is probably eager to put Green Bay in a tease this week, but I actually like the Packers without having to adjust the line. Cincinnati has been a train wreck this season. They just fired their offensive coordinator Ken Zampese, which in all likelihood is not going to make Andy Dalton any better. With an already divided locker room, I think the Bengals are going to really struggle in Lambeau this week. Coming off a bad loss on Sunday Night Football, I expect Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to come out swinging and beat the Bengals easily in this one. I’ll take the Packers to win 30-17.

Washington +3.5 vs. Oakland

The Redskins are getting 3.5 points at home against the Raiders this week, who are traveling across the country. Although the Raiders ultimately won the game by a large margin, I was surprised to see how well the Jets offense could move the ball in Oakland last Sunday. I think with them being on the road, the Raider defense could struggle against Kirk Cousins and the Washington offense. Redskins win in an upset 27-26.

Photo Credit: NewYorkJets.com