Welcome back to another edition of the Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, brought to you by PrimeSport, the official travel and hospitality partner of the New York Jets. Click the link for more info on the Jets official pregame tailgate party and for away game packages!
1. Super Bowl Thoughts – New England has held as a 3 point favorite in most places with the over/under at 58.5. Based on how the teams match-up, the Patriots flat out dominance throughout the regular season and postseason since Tom Brady has been back and their experience in this spot, 3 points feels low, while 58.5 feels a touch high. The gun to your head pick in this game is New England winning, covering while the under hits, think something like 34-24 or 31-23. The Falcons defense is concerning, particularly in the redzone and their ability to finish off drives against a bend but don’t break Patriots defense. You could see Atlanta trading field goals for New England touchdowns too frequently to keep pace. You could see Tom Brady putting together a 26/33, 325 yards, 3 touchdowns, 0 turnover game en route to winning the MVP and making us all that much more miserable.
On the flip side, what is the recipe for an Atlanta upset? There are four major things that need to happen: the Falcons pass rush needs to consistently get to Brady, not just Vic Beasley but their interior rushers. Second, the Falcons secondary weapons need to win one on one matchups, namely Taylor Gabriel, Mohamed Sanu and Tevin Coleman/DeVonta Freeman as pass catchers. Third, Matt Ryan needs to be lights out in the redzone. Finally, the Falcons need to win the special teams battle.
2. Prop Thoughts – Dion Lewis is my Patriots sleeper for MVP. Taylor Gabriel is my Falcons sleeper for MVP. Go with under 2:07 on the national anthem, yellow gatorade on the celebration and the Tom Brady scoring the first touchdown (as a runner). Take Mohamed Sanu’s over on receiving yards and LaGarrette Blount’s under on rushing yards. Take the over on Julian Edelman receptions and the under on Martellus Bennett’s receptions. Bet on Gostowski missing an extra point. Bet on Matt Bryant over made 2 made field goals. Bet on Lady Gaga opening with “Edge of Glory.” Bet on Chris Hogan to have at least one catch over 20 yards.
3. Super Bowl Scavenger Hunt
4. Slash and Burn – If the Jets are going to do what they need to do for a proper rebuild, February and early March should be peppered with headlines, namely releasing Darrelle Revis, Brandon Marshall and Nick Mangold. We have written about this at length and tweeted about it incessantly but don’t half ass this. Nobody is benefitting from one final year of a veteran in their mid 30s, on the decline.
5. Writing On The Wall – The tone of Brandon Marshall in recent interviews sounds like somebody aware he is likely be on the move. Does he think he will be a top five receiver in New York or is he advertising himself to his next team? Does he think he can earn credibility back in the Jets locker room after admitting he failed as leader and publicly playing GM on the quarterback position or is he advertising to his next team that he will avoid those mistakes?
6. Quarterback Targets – A good read on the likely quarterback carousel that will hit this offseason. According to it, the Jets like Jimmy Garoppolo and Mitch Trubisky. They would probably have to give New England five picks to get Belichick to trade him within the division. Trubisky could be selected before the #6 pick but this blogger isn’t high on him as a top ten player. It sounds like the Jets may not be interested in Deshaun Watson, if Charley Casserly and Mike Maccagnan remain on the same page.
7. Favorite FA targets – Melvin Ingram, Dion Sims, Ryan Griffin, Riley Reiff, AJ Bouye, Logan Ryan, Trumaine Johnson, Tony Jefferson,
8. NFL Award Predictions
- MVP – Matt Ryan
- OPOY – David Johnson
- DPOY – Von Miller
- OROY – Ezekiel Elliot
- DROY – Joey Bosa
- COY – Dan Quinn
9. No Consistency – The Jets have had five offensive and special teams coordinators since the end of the 2010 season.
10. No Offense – The only offensive skill position players the Jets have drafted in the first round over the past 10 years are Mark Sanchez and Dustin Keller.
11. No Sacks – The only Jets linebacker to have double digit sacks in the past 10 years? Calvin Pace in 2013 with 10.
12. Happy Retirement Mike Vick – We’ll always have TJ Graham.
Photo Credit: NewYorkJets.com