TOJ Pick Six – Top 6 Quarterbacks In NFL Draft

Dalbin Osorio with a TOJ Pick Six ranking the top quarterbacks in the NFL Draft and predicting the Jets approach to the position this offseason…

With our eye towards the NFL draft, we begin with our first Pick Six positional breakdown. Below the ranking you will see my big board ranking for each player. Book mark the big board when it publishes, as we write our feedback on each player through the combine and their Pro Days. Without much further ado, let’s take this one to the house like what the Chiefs could’ve done to so many passes from Ben Roethlisberger…

1. Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson
Positional Ranking: 1 (Last Week: NR)
Overall Ranking: 11
Stats: 814/1207, 67.4%, 10,168 YDS, 90 TDs, 32 INTs, 8.7 YPA, 435 carries, 1934 YDs, 4.4 YPC, 26 TDs
Compliment: Athletic and elusive; displays good touch on throws; able to keep his eyes downfield and use those same eyes to move defenders; strong enough arm
Critique: Frame may not be able to withstand punishment from NFL DL; accuracy when forced to progress through reads has been inconsistent; release is, at times, too quick and feet aren’t properly set.

2. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech
Positional Ranking: 2 (Last Week: NR)
Overall Ranking: 16
Stats: 857/1349, 63.5%, 11,252 YDs, 8.3 YPA, 93 TDs, 29 INTs, 308 carries, 845 yards, 22 TDs
Compliment: Arguably the strongest arm in the draft; elusive for a guy his size; able to read defenses at almost a pro level already when he is asked to.
Critique: Does not set his feet properly at times; too many times he is falling backwards and throwing across his body, which will not lead to success in the NFL; won’t be ready to start day one due to mechanical issues

3. DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame
Positional Ranking: 3
Overall Ranking: 28
Stats: 422/695, 60.7%, 5805 YDs, 8.4 YPA, 47 TDs, 19 INTs, 264 Carries, 997 YDs, 18 TDs, 3.7 YPC
Compliment: Physically imposing; strong arm that pops when he’s stationary; one of the prettiest throwing motions you will see on a QB
Critique: Inconsistent in his mechanics, which impact his arm strength because if he’s moved off his spot the arm isn’t as strong; struggles with reading defenses; struggles with determining how much touch is needed on certain routes

4. Mitch Trubisky, QB, North Carolina
Positional Ranking: 4
Overall Ranking: 31
Stats: 386/572, 67.5%, 4762 YDs, 8.4 YPA, 41 TDs, 10 INTs, 120 carries, 429 YDS, 8 TDs
Compliment: Very good athlete; keeps his eyes downfield despite having a ton of traffic around him; very rarely makes the wrong decision
Critique: Arm isn’t very strong, is more of a body thrower; will stare down receivers; not very accurate when throwing on the move.

5. Brad Kaaya, QB, Miami
Positional Ranking: 5
Overall Ranking: 99
Stats: 720/1188, 60.6%, 9968 YDs, 69 TDs, 24 INTs
Compliment: Can make every throw; shown an ability to handle big hits; has excellent touch on his passes.
Critique: Eyes drop when he sees the pass rush; does not do a good job of avoiding sacks; maybe the most immobile of the QBs in this draft

6. Davis Webb, QB, California
Positional Ranking: 6
Overall Ranking: 122
Stats: 841/1367, 61.5%, 9852 YDS, 83 TDs, 34 INTs
Compliment: Prototypical size for successful QBs; able to read defenses and make really good decisions; big arm that allows him to throw a very good deep ball
Critique: Too long a windup; has a tendency to lock on to receivers and telegraph his throws; will panic when the pressure gets too close

On The Clock With The Jets
Deshaun Watson would be the guy I would take because he’s the only one that can start from day one and be effective. He’s the best QB right now and in the right system, could be the best QB in three years.

Patrick Mahomes provides the biggest extremes in terms of ceiling and floor. He could be a Pro Bowler or he could get a front office fired, but he needs to sit at least a year so his mechanics can be refined so the Jets would be wise to sign a veteran placeholder.

DeShone Kizer has All-Pro build and is the guy i’m going to say will be the best QB in this draft if we redraft in 3 years. He, like Mahomes, needs to sit but his sitting could be a little longer because he’s never had to dedicate to improving his craft as a QB and the Jets may not have the time to sit him AND Christian Hackenberg.

Mitch Trubisky’s one year of play worries me, but he could be an effective starter if a coach is willing to tailor the offense to him. May not be an elite QB, but you can win games with him but I wouldn’t take him at 6. Same goes for Brad Kaaya; on a loaded team, with a good OL, he could be the missing piece (think Kansas City) but that place is not here. He’s an easier project than Hackenberg, but you don’t want two projects claiming roster spots.

Davis Webb is intriguing because the things he does well, he does REALLY well, but when he struggles it is not pretty. I obviously wouldn’t touch him at 6, but I like his upside more than Bryce Petty, who i’d be looking to move on from this offseason.

Prediction
The Jets pass on Watson, Mahomes, Kizer, and Trubisky in favor of Christian Hackenberg and in favor of continuing to build the rest of their team. I could see them taking Kaaya or Webb as their long term backups, but don’t think that’s what the Jets end up doing either.

Photo Credit: TexasTech.com 

Author: Dalbin Osorio

Dalbin Osorio is a Case Planner for Graham-Windham, New York's oldest child welfare agency. He is, also, a student at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College. Dalbin graduated from Monroe College with a degree in Business Administration. A 3 sport utility man in high school (think a mix of Jerome WIlliams, Brad Smith, and Jayson Nix), he joined TOJ in 2013.